on July 10, 2023 “Following Pashinyan’s search for the gunner of the war. Before and after the war” We published an analysis in the article, where according to the chronology and political moment, we presented what Nikol Pashinyan considered the trigger of the war. Of course, during this period, the number of reasons for war already voiced by Pashinyan has increased.

And now he considers His Holiness and the Armenian Apostolic Church to be war mongers because they dare to say during the liturgy that they bless the Republic of Artsakh and speak about the rights of Artsakh Armenians.

And it is nothing that the former presidents or the opposition forces state that today they cannot imagine the return to Artsakh in any way, it is not realistic, and that a number of issues must be resolved for this, which may not be possible in the coming years. In other words, there is political manipulation in Pashinyan’s speech here as well.

On the other hand, it is possible, isn’t it, to ensure that the Armenian graves are not destroyed, the Armenian traces are not destroyed by Baku, so that the people of Artsakh can either visit the graves of their children, husbands, parents, or carry out the exhumation and bring the bodies of their relatives to Armenia. Is this an act of war or an international human right?

Another thing: when, for example, Pashinyan’s opponents say that the Artsakh page should not be closed, they mean that, first of all, not to forget the victory of the first Artsakh war, those who gave their lives for the sake of a centimeter of land for 30 years, their biographies, and deal with what I said about.

Can the mentions of the soldiers, officers, commanders who died in the same 44-day war in the form of articles, or the presence of the Artsakh flag near the graves in Yerablur be considered a trigger of war tomorrow? First of all, this is called not closing the Artsakh page, and this cannot be a trigger for war, as Nikol Pashinyan claims, and what is the question: does Aliyev demand it?

By the way, during the days of the 44-day war, on October 16, 2020, while sending off the reservists who were leaving Yerevan for the Artsakh war, he said:

“You go there to protect your bedrooms, to protect your bedroom entrances, to protect your porches, to protect your buildings, to protect your yards.”

In other words, the outcome of the 44-day war was directly related to the security of Armenia, but not in the context that many people like to say, but in terms of the geographical position, which was a certain geopolitical playing card in our hands. And in reality, the Republic of Armenia has been the guarantor of Artsakh’s security for 30 years, and when it ceased to be, we lost Artsakh, yes, weakening the security of Armenia geographically.

But even in the case of the results of the 44-day war, it was possible to have as strong security as possible and not to lose territories from Armenia. This is a separate discussion topic.

In this context, let’s not forget the revolution or evolution of Pashinyan’s views on the status of Artsakh, which 168.amas well presented in detail.

Let’s go back to the topic of whether or not to provoke a war.

168.ampresented in detail after the war is pwar warnings chronology, and how Nikol Pashinyan has shown himself, having these warnings in hand, what provocative steps he has taken, from various statements to the participants of the July victory in Sardarapat reward A month before the 44-day war.

By the way, back in 2019, when Artak Davtyan was the head of the GSH, our with information During the consultations in the General Assembly, the possibility of a war was also highly assessed, it was even mentioned that the next war will be more large-scale than the April 2016 war. Moreover, Davtyan had this idea on one occasion said also during the interview given to Satik Seyranyan.

Here it is worth remembering how Pashinyan was after the change of power in 2018 refusal considers the formula “territories in exchange for peace” unacceptable, and then repeatedly states that if territories were handed over, he would be considered a traitor. And this before the war, during the war, and after it.

Let’s remember Pashinyan’s famous confession: “We could have prevented the war, which would have resulted in the same situation without the casualties.” Why was this not done, why on the 4th day of the war, the former head of the RA Armed Forces General Onik Gasparyan? the offer not accepted. Maybe it was needed.

And now, when Nikol Pashinyan considers his party the “party of peace” and the Church or the opponents as the party of war, it is ridiculous.

Why, because in the 8 years of Pashinyan’s rule, we got the 44-day war of 2020 with several thousands of victims, territorial losses and the document of November 9, by which the territories held by the army were surrendered, this was followed by the May 2021 Azerbaijani invasion of the sovereign territory of the Republic of Armenia, but during that time Nikol Pashinyan continued to promise peace in pre-election meetings. Selected.

And months after that, we had the November battles of 2021, the September battles of 2022, during which we had more than 200 casualties in a few hours, we had territorial losses, Azerbaijan entered Jermuk.

Moreover, after the 2021 elections, Pashinyan also announced that his “Civil Pact” party received votes from Armenian citizens in the elections. A mandate to open an era of peaceful development for Artsakh.

And what? Artsakh was depopulated in 2023.

Now who is the war party, and should we believe the peace promises of such a government? By the way, the enemy can wage a war in supposedly peaceful conditions, with supposedly peaceful weapons.

And what Pashinyan says is that he decides the RA foreign policy and no one has the right to oppose it. Very well, in that case, let’s remind Pashinyan again that the 44-day war happened because the foreign policy he drew failed, secondly, the war is conducted by the state, and he is in RA martial law under the conditions assumed the authority of the supreme commander, why is he not responsible for the defeat in the war, and those who implement his foreign policy, why was he left only to the army, which was suddenly decided to be made a reserve?

Promises about peace, even unfulfilled ones, do not “water down” the responsibility for wars, their results and consequences.

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A little while ago, information was spread that the police detained about two dozen supporters of Samvel Karapetyan from the court yard.

168.amAccording to the report, the supporters of Samvel Karapetyan were detained just for crossing the street at the traffic light.

The participants of the peaceful support action in front of the anti-corruption court building were detained for unknown reasons and, according to preliminary information, transferred to the Arabkir department of the RA Ministry of Internal Affairs.

We were also informed that the lawyers are dealing with the issue of those detained.

According to the police, however, there are 3 arrested and they are in the regional division of the MIA police because of not fulfilling the legal requirement of the police officer.

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While the Ministry of Health declares that there are no problems related to the state order, citizens continue to face problems when they arrive at the hospital with a serious health condition to be treated or receive appropriate medication within the framework of the state order, and suddenly hear the answer: “There is no money, wait.”

After hearing such an answer, the citizens are forced to raise money in order to pay and receive the necessary medical care. And those who do not have money, of course, should go home and live in harmony with their health problems, relying only on God, because “the state order is over, there is no money, they have to wait”.

Doctor of Medical Sciences, Professor Garik Aghabekyan is one of those citizens who has already faced this problem several times, because one of his relatives was diagnosed with cancer.

“The man has breast cancer, the cancer must be treated within the framework of the state order, now he is receiving chemotherapy. He should receive the third chemotherapy next week, we paid for the first two chemotherapy treatments, we bought the medicine. The head of the hospital department says: “What can I do? We have to buy the medicine.”

We ask, “Isn’t it a state order?” He replies, “It is a state order, but there is no money, we have to buy the medicine.” I spoke with the director of the hospital, he said: “What should I do? The state should give, but the state does not give money.”

In the case of another citizen, maybe the prescribed medicine is more expensive or cheaper, I don’t know, but we buy the medicine every time for 145 thousand drams. Now, does every person have the opportunity to pay 145,000 drams, buy medicine in order to receive chemotherapy? What do you think?” 168.am–Garik Aghabekyan said in a conversation with

According to our interlocutor, they called the doctor for the third chemotherapy and received an answer that “it seems that there is no money this time.”

“This is also the state of our state order, it has been for ages that the state provides the treatment of cancer patients, the Ministry of Health should at least do this, and then go deal with the issues of pensioners… They still haven’t done one thing, they are doing another, and that too half-heartedly. That is why our healthcare sector is in this state,” added Professor Garik Aghabekyan.

Continuing, our interlocutor said that it is natural that within the framework of the state order, the patient is admitted to the hospital, laid in the ward, they do not pay a single penny for it, but they say to the same patient: “go and bring the medicine, the state should have given money, we also gave the medicine, but the state did not give money.”

“They say: I’m sorry, there is no medicine, we can’t connect you to the system. It turns out that a cancer patient comes home without treatment, which for him is equal to death: the disease develops, life is shortened. Now the Ministry of Health cares about the health of its citizens or not, it does not care,” added Garik Aghabekyan.

We also asked the professor: if there are claims that Ewing’s sarcoma malignant tumor is treated free of charge in Armenia, then why do our compatriots go to Germany to get treatment? Garik Aghabekyan answered: if it is already sarcoma, there should be a state order, now the question arises: why do Armenians leave Armenia for treatment?

“If they go, then there are some problems. We have good doctors, but there are some Armenians who say: ‘Let’s go to the USA or Europe, it will be fine.’ But if they buy, then either the medicine is not available, or there is another problem.  Maybe, following our example, others are told to pay for medicine. In other words, our healthcare system is in a bad state,” he emphasized.

According to Garik Aghabekyan, it is not realistic that the Ministry of Health will take steps after raising the issue, but he is not going to sit quietly and not raise the problems he has seen with his own eyes.

“It’s me, I don’t have those 145,000 drams. What am I going to do? I should tell my relative: it’s over, right?” The administrative situation of the hospitals is also very bad, as if they are holding a competition, appointing a person who has no experience as the head of the hospital, it is good, at least he is a doctor, maybe tomorrow or the next day they will remove this too, and say that it is not necessary for the head of the hospital to be a doctor,” emphasized Garik Aghabekyan.

It turns out that there are millions of reward money for the authorities of the day, but there is no state order money?

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Edgar Ghazaryan and Davit Sargsyan of the “Erku front” podcast in the next issue, they discuss the chaos of the regional war, the incoherent attitude of the administration, the regional campaign of the KP, also the outline of the main opposition actors, and in this context, the unification of forces and the implementation of the commitment to defeat the KP in the upcoming elections.

Details in the video

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While the Iran-USA-Israel war continues in the Middle East, amid rumors that the war is not going according to the American plan, the US president continues to make victorious statements. During the last hours, he announced that since the Second World War, no country has been hit as hard as Iran is now.

“We have destroyed most of their missiles, we have destroyed many drones, we have destroyed many objects producing missiles and drones. We are hitting them with a force that no country has felt since World War II,” he said in an interview on the Fox News channel.

He also wrote on his page of the Truth Social social network that new attacks will be carried out against the leadership of Iran in the near future.

“Look what’s going to happen today to those crazy bastards,” Trump wrote, vowing to continue the destruction of those he called responsible for the deaths of innocent people around the world for decades.

The American leader also spoke harshly to the press, accusing the media of defeatist sentiments.

According to him, if you read the New York Times, you might mistakenly think that the US is not winning, when in fact Iran’s navy is destroyed, aviation has ceased to exist, missiles and drones are subject to widespread destruction, and “leaders have been wiped off the face of the earth.”

It is noteworthy that despite the ongoing attacks against various Iranian settlements, tens of thousands of people in many cities and villages of Iran today took to the streets to celebrate Al-Quds Day, which is celebrated on the last Friday of Ramadan, when people in Iran and other countries take to the streets as a sign of solidarity and unity in the fight against the Jewish state.

Today’s march was attended by the President of the Republic of Iran Masoud Pezeshkian, the Minister of Internal Affairs Seyed Abbas Araghchi, as well as the Secretary of the National Security Council of Iran, Ali Larijani. He walked freely through the streets and answered the questions of journalists. He said that Israel’s attacks prove its helplessness, and Trump does not understand that the people of Iran are mature, strong and determined. According to him, the greater the pressure, the stronger the will of the people. Earlier, Larijani recorded that Trump said that he expected a quick victory.

“Although starting a war is easy, it cannot be won with a few posts. We will not surrender until you repent for this miscalculation,” he wrote.

168.amin a conversation with ռուս ռազմական վերլուծաբան Ալեքսանդր Խրամչիխինն said that it is definitely not in the interests of the US to prolong this war, because it is difficult for the US to wage war in this region against a state like Iran.

According to him, the analysts noted earlier that Iran is not Iraq or Venezuela and that a crushing and quick war against Iran is not possible.

According to Alexander Khramchikhin, since the initial plan – a quick war, the option of eliminating the supreme leader of Iran and solving the issue in this way – did not work, and now the future plan is not mentioned.

“Iran’s plan is to confront, the Iranian side clearly declares that, Iran’s position, in my opinion, is hardening parallel to the military operations. And there are conflicting statements from the USA, one says that they have won, another says that the war will end soon, and they also say that new powerful rocket attacks are expected… and the reason for this is that the initial calculation that removing a few key officials would solve the issue did not work, as the system continued to resist. Time will show how effective it is, but the US and Israel are still unable to solve the problem before them.

Another issue is that Trump wants to declare victory, there is almost no possibility of negotiation or retreat between the parties, this also complicates the situation, as well as the fact that Iran declares that it will not negotiate, and there are also some preconditions,” Khramchikhin said.

According to him, the statements that the USA has eliminated all of Iran’s missile potential are not reliable, otherwise Iran would not have resisted, and the situation on the battlefield would have changed.

As for the South Caucasus, according to Alexander Khramchikhin, the South Caucasus countries, following the situation, should draw conclusions from the policies of the USA and Iran for their future foreign policy.

According to him, there is one scenario when the USA achieves its goals by defeating Iran, another scenario is when Iran resists, reaching the point where the USA announces the cessation of military operations.

“Being in the neighborhood of this war, it is impossible not to take all this into account. Iran is an important player in the South Caucasus, this war will naturally change the political perceptions of Iran and the USA, including in the South Caucasus. And I think that the careful positioning of Turkey and Azerbaijan is important, taking into account the nature of the relations between Turkey and the USA,” said Alexander Khramchikhin.

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Armenia can get involved in the war against Iran only if Azerbaijan gets involved. if Azerbaijan got involved in military operations against Iran, Armenia cannot avoid that conflict. Expressed this opinion 168TVof Revue on the air of the program Hayk Nahapetyan, colonel of the RA Armed Forces Reserve, expert on military and security issuesanalyzing the course of Israel-US-Iran war operations and the dangers for Armenia.

“Armenia is not a subject. Nobody asks our opinion. Unfortunately, it is. The danger is that our territory will become a theater of military operations. If, however, the geography of this war increases, and Azerbaijan is theoretically involved in that geography, Armenia will certainly appear in that geography as well. Do not doubt. Only in that case, otherwise, bombs will not fall here, as they say. If Azerbaijan got involved in that conflict in one way or another, Armenia cannot avoid that conflict,” commented Hayk Nahapetyan.

And the colonel sees a real possibility and prospect of Azerbaijan joining the military operations of the Israeli-American coalition against Iran, taking into account Aliyev’s long-term plans and close relations with Israel.

The military expert is convinced that the March 5 incident with anti-aircraft strikes in Nakhichevan was an Azeri provocation, organized by Aliyev in order to create an occasion for war against Iran, but then the Baku dictator “dropped the bullet”, as the Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces officially spoke on March 7 about the Israeli presence in the territories under the control of Azerbaijan, calling on neighboring Azerbaijan, as a Muslim country, to withdraw the Zionist forces from its territory. and not to endanger their own people and the security of Iran.

“I think he was warned, and Aliyev’s ears were stretched by Erdogan on the phone, saying, ‘Keep calm, this is not your fight.’ I suppose. There are two impulses on Aliyev: the statement of the Iranian headquarters and Erdogan, who is a more heavyweight player,” the military expert believes.

According to Hayk Nahapetyan, “if necessary, Mehriban and Ilham have a tea party in the bunker in the evening, an Iranian drone will come, enter the room through the window, land at Ilham’s feet and explode at his feet.”

The expert believes that Iran will attack the Israeli facilities located in the occupied Artsakh territory or in Nakhichevan, if it feels a physical threat from that side, and if the air force and missiles work from that direction.

In this context, the military expert emphasizes that the change in the status of Nakhijevan by the central authorities of Azerbaijan, from the preamble to the constitution of the Autonomous Republic of Nakhijevan in 1921. The removal of references to the Moscow and Kars treaties is also related to these events.

“Azerbaijan is trying to annex that territory, which it does not have the right to, because according to the agreement, two states (Russia and Turkey) guarantee any change in the status of Nakhichevan. Now Ilham’s ambition, as they say, reaches the stars, he says: “I want to do it.” It violates the order of the law, it violates the contract. Tomorrow, Russia or Turkey will stretch their ears and say. “What have you done?” Who left it to you to make a unilateral decision to change the status of that autonomy?” When the United States leaves here, then the leaders of Iran and Russia will call Aliyev and say: “Boy, why were you making decisions on your own, changing your status?” By what law is that, “with panyatk”? Well, now we will cut off your old man’s ear with a panyatk, and there are still some things left to do.

And in general, the military expert considers the worst scenario of the Iranian-Israeli-American war, which has been going on for almost two weeks now, to turn into a nuclear or atomic war.

“The calculation of the United States, which is a military superpower, was illogical, according to which if the elite of Iran is beheaded on the first day, then Iran surrenders. Don’t you think it’s illogical? In fact, Iran did not surrender, and the United States and Israel found themselves in a difficult situation. Now it either turns out that the “second coming of the savior” or “Armageddon” was a bluff, if they are convinced, they take a step back, if they are not convinced, then they will go to the end, and the end is nuclear war, that is, the use of nuclear weapons.

If Israel fires, in principle the State of Israel may no longer exist because Iran has hypersonic missiles that can hit Israel’s two power plants, two large chemical plants, a nuclear reactor in the desert, and nuclear storage facilities that Iran can also hit.

If the United States launched a nuclear strike, I don’t know how long Iran’s arms are. If America hits, I don’t know what will happen to the planet Earth. Of course, it is unlikely that the United States will take this extreme step, but I do not rule out Israel’s option.”

According to Nahapetyan, the United States and Israel actually lost the war, and now a “resource war” is going on.

“This fight will stop. It’s an illogical fight,” adds the military expert.

Full interview in the video.

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