A few days ago, Nikol Pashinyan gathered a group of businessmen and hung noodles in their ears, talked about the economic “miracles” recorded by the government, talked about entering a new period of economic development, conquering and setting new horizons, forgetting that he confronted the same big business. What Nikol Pashinyan intends to do, the future of business is at risk and now business will have to make a choice about its future.

Nikol Pashinyan does not say openly, but he does not hide that he is going to withdraw Armenia from EAEU. What this means for business, these people understand better than anyone else, regardless of what Nikol Pashinyan will say or not.

Nikol Pashinyan does not say that he will deprive businesses from the EAEU market, but everyone sees what he is doing. When they ask, he tries to give an evasive answer, saying that when the time comes, we will make a decision. He avoids saying it directly, but in the footnote everyone understands where all this is leading. The goal is to leave the EAEU and join the European Union, although we have been convinced many times that no one in the EU is waiting for Armenia.

As much as they do not expect Armenia in the EU, the rulers of Armenia have made their choice long ago. There is no doubt as to who will be the first victims on the way to that election. the people and the business will be the victims.

The people and the business will bear the economic and social consequences of such a decision when they face serious problems. But then it will be too late. That is why it is necessary to think about one’s own future now, until others decide their fate for them. Even if it continues like this, even the authorities will not be the decision-makers. Neither will wait until they decide whether to stay or go. Without them, that decision will be made and Armenia will be faced with the facts.

In that case, the problem is not so much about Armenia’s high dependence on strategic goods imported from EAEU. The problem is about losing the largest market for the sale of Armenian products without the creation of alternative markets.

The largest market for the sale of Armenian products, including agricultural products, is the Eurasian Economic Union and, first of all, Russia. Those engaged in the production of agricultural products, especially those who took loans, set up production, built greenhouses in the hope that they will be able to sell their products in those markets, have a serious reason to think. The main market for Armenia’s greenhouse economy products is the Eurasian Economic Union and Russia. If they lose that market, the greenhouses will be closed everywhere, and the greenhouse owners will find themselves under loans. We still do not say that the greenhouse economy today is able to survive exclusively due to the cheap imported Russian gas. It is not difficult to say what will happen if Russian gas becomes more expensive.

Today, most of the products of Armenia’s processing industry and at least one third of the local products in general are sold in EAEU markets. In the case of being left out of the EAEU, there will always be reasons to limit or prohibit the sale of Armenian products in the markets of the EAEU countries. Not only do these products have no alternative markets, but it takes a long time to find them. Before finding them, you should think about ensuring their competitiveness. The competitiveness of Armenian products does not always allow to get sales opportunities in other markets. The EU is not an alternative in that sense.

Even after last year it was decided to subsidize customs duties for the supply of Armenian goods to EU countries, it did not have a significant impact on export volumes. If before that, supplies to EU countries amounted to 611 million dollars, after the subsidy they increased by only 55 million dollars. Almost as much as the provided subsidy.

At this rate, it will take tens of years to compensate for the possible losses of the EAEU markets.

Only the export of Armenian products to the Russian market fluctuates around 1.5 billion dollars per year. In the event that supplies to the EU markets do not even reach 700 million dollars. Last year, even after the subsidy from the state budget in terms of customs duties, they amounted to barely 666 million dollars.

At least twice less than the supplies of the Russian market alone.

By the way, in recent years, when the political government adopted the policy of EU integration, the supplies of Armenian goods to the markets of the European Union countries have even been reduced. 2018 More Armenian goods were exported from Armenia to the EU than now, 7 years later. In seven years, there has been no absolute movement, one thing has also been recorded, the volume of export of Armenian goods has decreased.

According to official data, 666 million dollars of goods were supplied to the markets of EU countries last year. In the event that in 2018 supplies amounted to 683 million dollars, 23 million dollars more than after 7 years.

Even in 2017 Almost as many goods were exported from Armenia as are exported now.

At one time, the share of exports to EU countries reached up to 27-28 percent, now it is barely 7-8 percent.

This is how economic relations with EU countries have been deepened.

Given the current opportunities and capabilities of the Armenian economy, the EU cannot be a substitute for the EAEU market. This may not concern Nikol Pashinyan and members of the CP, but all those businesses that are connected with the EATM sales markets cannot help but be concerned. That is why they are forced to think seriously about the future of their business before the upcoming elections.

No matter how Nikol Pashinyan declares that there are no problems with EAEU and especially with Russia, everyone understands that this is not the case. Those problems are already visible today, and they will deepen. It is obvious that if this continues, the issue of staying or not in EAEU will not depend on the decision of the Armenian authorities, as Nikol Pashinyan says, but will be sold independently of us. What the current rulers of Armenia are doing will accelerate these processes. And before it’s too late, we haven’t reached the point of irreversibility, business is forced to make a choice.

HAKOB KOCHARYAN

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Artak Zakaryan writes: “Before the next parliamentary elections, a unique situation has been created in Armenia.

On the one hand, Nikol Pashinyan and CP, with the “earned” defeats, losses, internal divisions, failed plans and attempts to package all of this as “Peace” during their years of power.

On the other side, there are the opposition forces based on the national agenda, equipped with a new generation, plans for the future, a vision of dignified, strong and safe Armenia, the prospect of the rise of Armenian statehood and the restoration of international positions, as well as an irreconcilable struggle against the created destructive process.

There is practically no other choice.

The citizen of Armenia must either choose self-deception and in the next five years witness how his once developing state is turned into a weak, worn out and depopulated country living under the fear of war.

Or he should choose the hope of changes and in the next five-year period witness the change of the situation, security guarantees, stable peace based on strength and dignity, national unity and the strengthening of the external positions of the state.

Recently, they were studying the data of several public opinion polls, and I was sincerely happy with the following fact. It is also seen in ordinary human interactions.

The majority of the youth of our country do not accept the formula proposed by Nikol Pashinyan and CP. In addition to the painful territorial and security losses inflicted on the state, they are not satisfied with the asphalt of a distant village, colorful renovations and cosmetic “innovations” in this or that field. They do not want to forget their national dignity and spiritual awakening, and they do not want to be deceived by the government’s superficial and show-case policy.

They need a strong country that guarantees the stable development of young people for the next 20-30 years, a safe and dignified life, a strong economy built on internal and external investments, and real opportunities for free self-expression at different stages of life. They need all the components of preservation of spiritual and cultural values ​​and national identity characteristic of the national state to be guaranteed in their country. They really want to be the master of their country, not to arrange their lives within the framework of the “ideas” and demands of the neighboring Azerbaijanis or Turks.

The approach of the youth assures me that the Republic of Armenia has a future, has chances to recover and strengthen, has an internal drive to strengthen statehood and sovereignty, has a mindset based on national values ​​and interests. And most importantly, the majority of youth are pragmatic and do not give in to manipulative propaganda slogans and lies.”

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More than once, Nikol Pashinyan and his associates have stated that not only the issue of Artsakh is closed for them, but also the issue of the return of Artsakh Armenians. Nikol Pashinyan always says that “Artsakh Armenians should forget about returning to Artsakh and settle in Armenia.”

Today, during the NA briefings, Taguhi Ghazaryan, member of the CP, announced that they “do not discuss the issue of refugees with Azerbaijan, therefore, those forcibly displaced from Artsakh should take advantage of the programs offered by the RA government and stay in Armenia.”

Artsvik Sargsyan, the mayor of the city of Shushi occupied by Azerbaijan says that he has been hearing such statements from the Armenian authorities for more than 2 years, but this does not mean that they should give up exercising their right to return to Artsakh.

“Azerbaijan has been saying for 30 years that one day we will “liberate” Artsakh, they said, but they did not imagine, now that the RA government says that the issue of Artsakh is closed, they do not imagine that the day will come, and the people of Artsakh will return to their homeland.

Of course, this refusal policy of the Armenian authorities does not have any logic, the Artsakh Armenians were forcibly displaced from their homeland, under the threat of physical extermination, therefore, they must return to their homes. The Armenians of Artsakh would have been genocided if they had stayed in Artsakh, that’s why they left their homes, but the day of solving this issue must surely come.” 168.amArtsvik Sargsyan said in a conversation with

The mayor of occupied Shushi believes that one day justice will be restored and the world will accept that Artsakh is an Armenian territory. In this context, he again reminded Azerbaijan’s policy: for 30 years, Azerbaijan’s goal has been to occupy Artsakh, while the RA government adopted the policy of denying Artsakh after the loss of Artsakh.

“We did not lose Artsakh because Azerbaijan won the war, but we lost it as a result of an organized defeat.

We have left everything in Artsakh: sanctuaries, graves, the fate of which we do not know anything about, although Azerbaijan builds roads on some graves and receives God’s punishment, those roads are being destroyed indiscriminately,” emphasized Artsvik Sargsyan.

At the same time, our interlocutor mentioned that the issue of the return of Artsakh and Artsakh Armenians should be resolved “freshly”, that is, we should not wait for decades to pass, then raise the issue, we should always talk about the issue, talk until it receives its positive solution.

“The solution of the issue should be in the near future so that it is easy.

If the RA leader did not recognize Artsakh as a part of Azerbaijan, it would not have happened like this, Aliyev would not have taken the opportunity and said: “It’s mine, I’ll do as I want, Armenians shouldn’t live here either.”

This was the reason why the Armenians of Artsakh were deported in September 2023, but this was not an escape, but a rescue, because I already said that if the Armenians of Artsakh had stayed, they would have been massacred. It is not pleasant for anyone to leave his home and go out, to leave his home and live in such a status today. We left our homes crying, especially the adults, how many unfortunate incidents happened on the way of migration.

After all this, the person who gave up the goal of returning to Artsakh from Artsakh is not an Artsakh citizen, that’s all I can say,” stressed Artsvik Sargsyan.

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It is impossible to erase from the memory of our people or to separate from its essence the bright spots, the awakening that we had in the course of history, for example, the Artsakh movement. This group rebels against all our values, they say that our problems come from Mesrop Mashtots. I mean, in the near future, you will force us to give up the Mesro alphabet, to switch to the Latin alphabet? If they stay in power, they will do that. They are trying to remove us from all our values, and they consider national awakening as an adventure. 168TVof « expressed such an opinion during the program poet Husik Aran.

“If independence was automatically given to other Soviet peoples, our independence was restored with the Artsakh liberation war. They are trying to blacken, erase, put a cross on one of the brilliant pages of our nation’s history. Only the enemy can do this. You cry when you see that in your independent state there is such persecution against your values, identity, symbols, history, when they say: let’s erase it, write a new one. Nicole, we don’t have as much Armenia as the brooch you gave. According to your confession, 240 sq. “KM is occupied, so cut that brooch with scissors,” said the artist.

“Nikol Pashinya, your policy is finally leading us to genocide. Erdogan and Aliyev seem to have broken our ideological foundations, and with this regime, they are trying to destroy and pulverize everything, but they will not succeed. Our people are irreconcilable with it, they cannot remove neither the Armenian Apostolic Church, nor the memory and condemnation of the Genocide, nor the desire to pursue historical justice, nor Mount Ararat and our other symbols. Today, they are turning us from genocidal to genocidal. “How is it that we allegedly committed genocide against you, Turks, but the entire territory remained for you,” the poet noted.

According to Husik Ara, in 2021, Erdogan supported Nikol to be elected and stay, and now they are supporting him to give Syunik, Gegharkunik, Yerevan and finish it.

“After that, there will be no Nikol, no Armenians here, and there will be no question of staying or not. In 2021, we said that if CP remained with its leader, we will lose Artsakh. Now we are saying to keep Syunik and Gegharkunik, soon it will be a problem to keep Yerevan. If they were reproduced again, Armenia will become Artsakh-2. The same fate awaits Armenia as Artsakh. Artsakh is a fresh example, it’s in front of my eyes, it’s not 100 years away, it happened yesterday, and today the same thing threatens us.”

“Will Armenia become “West Azerbaijan”? Will it be called peace? Should we believe a man who has brought at least three big wars during the eight years of his rule? How can he who brings war bring peace? Peace is built with strength and dignity. June 7, yes, is a day of fateful choice. This is our last chance to be or not,” said Husik Ara.

Details in the video

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