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168: If in 2020 Pashinyan could not have predicted the war that would begin

March: 20, 2026

Former RA Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanyan writes on his Facebook page. “Yesterday, Pashinyan again resorted to his already predictable behavior, turning the threat of war into a crude political tool rather than a matter of responsibility. This time he went further, actually warning, or rather, blackmailing the Armenian people, that if he loses the upcoming elections, war will be inevitable.

One could think that after the wars, years of failures, losses and disappointment under Pashinyan, such statements would at least be presented with some seriousness or restraint.

Instead, they sound increasingly desperate, almost mechanical, as if repeating the same thought can restore long-lost confidence.

Ironically, the more he tries to advance this narrative, the more it works against him. There is no need to remind the Armenian society about the war. they experienced it, suffered its pain, paid the price for it. And every time he brings up the subject, it doesn’t instill fear of an uncertain future. it brings back very specific memories from his years in power.

Wars during his time were not hypothetical, they were real, devastating and with severe consequences. So when he talks about war, people can’t imagine what it would be like without him. they remember what happened during his reign.

It is therefore not surprising that this argument sounds increasingly hollow. A leader who has failed in the fields of foreign policy and security is now trying to present himself as the only guarantor of peace. This might seem ironic if it were not so serious. The facts speak for themselves.

Opportunities were missed, warnings were ignored, and proposals, such as the 2019 version of the Minsk Group, were not only rejected, but also hidden from the public.

But perhaps the most troubling aspect of this rhetoric is not its cynicism, but its sheer absurdity. Pashinyan speaks as if he has a unique ability to predict the time of war, as if geopolitical realities are adapted to the election results. However, the reality shows something else.

On September 21, 2020, just six days before the start of the 44-day war, he presented his vision “Armenia 2050” in the hall of Matenadaran, full of great ambitions and unrealistic optimism. Not a word, not a hint, not a sign that the country is on the brink of one of the most destructive wars in modern history.

So the question remains. if he could not predict the war that would start in a few days, then on what basis is he now trying to predict a war in the fall?

These constant reminders of the war speak more not about the dangers facing Armenia, but about the incompetence and failures of the person making these statements.

They reflect not strategic perception but political insanity, not leadership but improvisation. And perhaps most tellingly, this approach underestimates the very people it is trying to influence, assuming that they will forget or ignore what they have already experienced. This is perhaps the clearest proof of how detached he is from reality.”

The connection of power systems of Armenia and Turkey means one thing

March: 20, 2026

The authorities are still talking about the prospect of connecting the electricity systems of Armenia and Turkey. They even started discussing investment issues with the Turkish government. They say: “We are ready to start the day before!”

In other circumstances, the given initiative could perhaps be welcomed. For example: 2009-2010. During “football diplomacy”, when there was a serious lack of electricity in Turkey, Armenia was ready to close a part of it. After all, both the economic and security environments in that period were fundamentally different from the current realities.

Today the situation has changed qualitatively.

Turkey is not only overcoming the electricity deficit at a dynamic pace, but has also adopted a strategy to boost exports, including the South Caucasus markets, in the coming years. The prerequisites for the latter are present, especially considering

Continued growth of generating capacity in Turkey: Akkuyu NPP, new nuclear projects in Sinop and Thrace, more than 750 hydropower plants, etc.

In these conditions, the connection of the electricity systems of Armenia and Turkey means one thing: turning Armenia into a net importer.

This trend is additionally deepened by several intra-systemic processes.

The first of these is Yerevan’s choice in favor of a small modular reactor, which in the long run will replace the current base nuclear capacity model, reducing the system’s level of self-sufficiency.

The second is the rapid and chaotic development of solar energy, which, with limited export potential and high seasonal dependence, cannot provide stable coverage of base demand.

The third is the liberalization of the market, which creates all the conditions for importing electricity from foreign markets and actually increasing Armenia’s external dependence.

The EU also acts as a financial supporter of all this, expressing readiness to provide the necessary funds for the purpose of “de-Russification” of Armenia’s energy sector. Naturally, in the form of loans.

Expected results: increase in public debt, sharp decrease in energy self-sufficiency, new security risks.

Vahe Davtyan, doctor of political sciences, professor




22 million drams to silence the voice of the Mother See, and Pashinyan’s family defect

March: 20, 2026

“Staff of the Council of the Public Broadcaster” PA provided money under the name of a grant to the “Spiritual-Cultural Public Television Company” CJSC, “Shogakat” in order to organize the liquidation process. The parties signed the contract yesterday, the price of the contract was 22 million drams.

Within this amount, CJSC’s obligations must be repaid, salaries and severance benefits must be paid, and other expenses must be carried out. 2026 According to the state budget, 221 million drams were allocated for “Shogakat” TV station, and 22 million drams will be allocated from this amount for liquidation.

They say that the other part of the money will be transferred to the Council of the Public Broadcaster for the purpose of technical re-equipment in Public Television and Radio.

Let’s remind that the RA government’s 2025 According to the decision of December 25, “Shoghakat” TV company “Shoghakat” CJSC was dissolved on January 1 of this year.

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  • Who are you to call the Catholicos that? Is Nicole the law? Zhanna Aleksanyan to the director of the NSS

In parallel with the campaign of the Catholicos, the authorities hastily decided to close “Shogakat”. CP deputies regularly generated this idea.

“Shogakat” is a spiritual and cultural TV station. The founder is the Armenian Apostolic Holy Church. It was broadcast 18 hours a day on the spiritual-cultural public TV channel and the H1 satellite TV channel.

In 1995, a TV studio was founded in the Ararat Patriarchal Diocese. The initiator and founder was the presbyterial vicar, Archbishop Garegin Nersisyan. Five years later, it was already operating in the Holy Mother See of Etchmiatsin and was registered as “Shogakat” TV station.

2002 “Shogakat” received a broadcasting license and since November it has been operating as a TV station with 18 hours of air time a day. In addition to traditional church programs, educational and cultural programs were also broadcast. According to the contract signed with the Armenian public television in 2004. “Shogakat” television programs began to be broadcast on H1 satellite TV as well.

In fact, during the reign of all previous governments, this TV station was not closed for spreading content, and the bastion of democracy in Armenia was closed. The TV company belonging to the Mother See was made a thing of the past, and Pashinyan’s family newspaper continues the propaganda.

“I should not have raised the issue that there would be a reaction from the Ministry of Internal Affairs. The woman’s child in the incident

March: 20, 2026

A few days ago, lawyer Roman Yeritsyan warned that the sister of a fallen soldier from Artsakh, the mother of five children, was arrested in front of her children by several policemen from her residence in Nor Hachn and transferred to the investigative department of Dilijan, just because she called for violence against Nikol Pashinyan in her comments on the Facebook platform.

Minister of Internal Affairs Arpine Sargsyan in a briefing with journalists today in the parliament said, that “he is aware of that incident, it is worrying, they will talk to the woman, and there will be an appropriate reaction from the Ministry”.

Today 168.am from Roman Yeritsyan I wondered if the Ministry of Internal Affairs had already spoken with the woman from Artsakh, what equivalent reaction does he expect from the Ministry of Internal Affairs?

“At least as of this moment, no one has spoken to that woman, I should not have mentioned all this in order for there to be a reaction from the Ministry of Internal Affairs. It’s just that the police should have been guided by the law and apart from the law, by conscience and inner conviction, which seems to be lacking in the police,” said the lawyer.

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He reminded that the police went to the woman’s house at night, in the presence of a young child, without clarifying anything, without providing any information, which is a constitutional violation of criminal procedure, they deprived the woman of her freedom and transferred her to Dilijan police station.

“What will be the reaction of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs? Will it be a formal demonstration or will it give a reaction, but the conclusion of that reaction is already understandable for all of us?”

I assure you that this is not the way the police work, but it was an act of intimidation, they knew very well that this woman would cover everything. The only goal is not to target the government on Facebook and other public platforms, that’s why the police thought that if they scare someone, it won’t happen again. But if you noticed, even under my post, people were not afraid and expressed themselves.

The woman’s child is in a serious psychological condition after that incident, the woman too, she is a person who lost her home and place, whose brother was killed. They break into a man’s house in the middle of the night for a post he made just a year ago, and take him to the police.

Of course, the psychological condition of an Artsakh citizen is strong, he has gone through many things, but these situations have an effect,” emphasized Roman Yeritsyan.

The Ministry of Internal Affairs urgently assigns 160 million drams of canteen management to one person

March: 20, 2026

Recently, the Ministry of Internal Affairs made a large purchase from “Art Lunch” in a non-competitive, urgent one-person procurement procedure. The legal name of the company is “Ready-Steady”.

More than once written: The affairs of “Artlanchi” completely “went right” under these authorities. this LLC was entrusted with the food supply of several prisons, military units of the Ministry of Defense. Let’s note, however, that they have already managed to record the most serious problems related to the company. back in 2021, the Chamber of Accounts noted: “Ready-Steady LLC prepared food for the convicts at the expense of the funds of the prisons.”

Anyway. On March 18, the Ministry of Internal Affairs bought 160 million drams worth of canteen management services from Ready-Steady under the HMA procedure. The delivery date is from March 7 to December 29 inclusive. By the way, according to the e-procurement platform, this is the first major cooperation of the Ministry of Internal Affairs with this LLC.

“Ready-Steady” LLC, “Art Lunch”, was registered since 2002, and appeared in state procurement since 2017, and since 2018, it has started hyperactivity in state procurement: hundreds of contracts worth 100 million drams with various state departments, including non-competitive procurement.

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100 percent share of this company belongs to Bakur Melkonyan’s wife, Gayane Margaryan.

Who are you to call the Catholicos that? Is Nicole the law? Zhanna Aleksanyan

March: 20, 2026

“Ktrich Nersisyan’s brother was an agent of the KGB of the Soviet Union, and the National Security Service made that fact public,” he told journalists briefly today. responded Director of NSS Andranik Simonyan.

Journalists were not surprised by the statement about the leaked information, but by the address of the director of the NSS to His Holiness. to the question, how does the director of the NSS, who is not a politician, use the “Ktrich Nersisyan formulation” when talking about Vehapar, he responded: “As I used.”

168 around this short Q&Aam listened to the assessment of human rights defender Zhanna Aleksanyan.

Zhanna Aleksanyan responded to the observation that today in the National Assembly the young director of the NSS addressed the Catholicos of All Armenians in the name of the basin, and to the question: why in the state, in fact, there is no necessary division, for example, between the position of a politician and a non-political structure, the director of the NSS: “I think that Nikol Pashinyan is forcing them to say ‘Ktrich Nersisyan’, but if he doesn’t even force it, and they go to it voluntarily, then what should I think about the head of the NSS?”

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Who are you to call the Catholicos that, what do you represent, who are you, by what right? Only Nikol is the law. Nicole is the law. In other words, that’s how I see this readiness for any illegality.

The head of the NSS has 0 importance for me, if he addresses the Catholicos like that, he has 0 value. And that atmosphere is clearly created by Nikol Pashinyan and he is very happy that he has such subjects who tirelessly serve and repeat any of his illegal manifestations.”

By the way, the document was made public, as Andranik Simonyan noted, through a leak on the KP website, civic.am. at the end of 2025, the website of the ruling power published a document received from the National Security Service, claiming that Archbishop Ezras Nersisyan, the brother of the Catholicos of All Armenians, was recruited by the Soviet KGB in the 80s.

In any case, Mikayel Hambardzumyan, who held the position of former director of the National Security Service under Nikol Pashinyan, drew attention to the fact that the declassified document did not have the signature of Ezras or any data proving that fact.

“Judging by the document, I cannot say that this document really proves that Ezras Srbazan or anyone else about whom such a document may have been drawn up, that this person cooperated with the special services, had a code name, etc., because I repeat, I did not see the signature of that person there. Such a document can be drawn up on anyone,” he said in a conversation with one of the media.

Baku’s hybrid “strike” did not bypass Pashinyan, is Aliyev “a malicious actor”?

March: 20, 2026

After the government meeting on March 19, Nikol Pashinyan spoke again about the hybrid war in a briefing with journalists: noting.

“Hybrid war is when with paid tools, including the use of artificial intelligence, it is written that I have a house in Dubai, I have a house in France, that my family members have apartments, businesses in different countries, they have businesses in Armenia, they have millions in Swiss banks, that we sell organs, that we use tools for the sexual exploitation of minors. It’s all hybrid warfare.”

In this regard, the RA authorities cooperate with all those partners who have the tools to fight against hybrid warfare and, in particular, disinformation.

At the same time, European Union Enlargement Commissioner Martha Kos in Yerevan stated that they will support Armenia in the fight against hybrid threats.

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  • The EU is here to support Armenia in the fight against hybrid threats. Martha Kos in Yerevan

“We see how ‘malicious actors’ are trying to disrupt democratic processes through cyber attacks, disinformation and other interventions. Europe is here to support, we will support Armenia in the fight against hybrid threats and misinformation, so that RA citizens can vote in free and fair conditions and independently decide the future of their country”.

It should be noted that last December first from Brussels had reported that are being prepared Provide 12 million euros of support to Yerevan to help “counter Russian disinformation before the elections”.

Later, the Foreign Minister of the European Union Kalas announced that it was Yerevan that requested support.

The opposition political forces in Armenia considered the European Union’s intention to deploy a hybrid rapid response group as interference in the internal political life of Armenia, which, of course, the government does not agree with, arguing that it is support to fight against threats.

RA government There is no interference in the internal affairs of Armenia consider even similar direct and indirect statements from Turkey and Azerbaijan.

Moreover, the relevant bodies of RA, in particular, the Foreign Intelligence Service, do not notice or see any danger in the dangerous games and hybrid plans of Baku before the NA elections, as recently we have touched on.

And the fact that Pashinyan, possibly seeing hints against his opponents, remained silent, which is also dangerous, the other day Azerbaijan took a hybrid step against Nikol Pashinyan and his government.

In particular, on March 17, the Azerbaijani “Hakkinaz” was translated in detail and presented under the name vtforeignpolicy.com website:The “investigation” against Armenia and the RA authorities, where serious accusations are made against a number of current and former government officials of the Republic of Armenia, allegedly related to the organization of trafficking and the sale of organs: Nikol Pashinyan, Anahit Avanesyan, Edward Asryan and others.

Later, the RA Ministry of Health reacted to the publication of vtforeignpolicy.com, which we would not have known about if the Azerbaijani media had not presented it thoroughly.

“This time, the disinformation platform attributed to the authorities of Armenia lies about being a participant in the sale of human organs.

Considering the trajectory of foreign disinformation attacks against Armenia, we consider it necessary to announce that “Pashinyan’s black market for organs How the Prime Minister of Armenia “sells” his citizens to France for transplants” is completely misinformation.

The field of organ transplantation in the Republic of Armenia is regulated by law and is under appropriate state control.

Such baseless claims have nothing to do with reality and should be considered solely as another attempt to spread misinformation.” it is mentioned in the message of the RA Ministry of Health.

This was followed by the denial of Pashinyan’s spokesperson, which states:

“The website called VT Foreign Policy and Lucas Leiroz, who is presented as the author, have published another fake material, where serious and obviously groundless accusations are made against the Prime Minister of the Republic of Armenia and a number of government officials, allegedly regarding the organization of trafficking and the sale of organs.

It is clear that the publication exploits extremely sensitive and emotional topics for the public, such as human health, organ transplantation and alleged trafficking, in an attempt to create a shocking and discrediting information background. Such a methodology is one of the common tools of information manipulation, when topics with high public sensitivity are used to create distrust towards state institutions and officials.

The dynamics of material diffusion is also remarkable. It was first shared on social media, including on Platform X by the author himself, and then quickly spread through botnets. reproduced in several Azerbaijani media, and today it has already been taken over by some political circles and interested actors in the internal political information field of Armenia. This sequence is typical of the disinformation dissemination mechanisms that are often encountered in the regional information environment.

It is important to note that the claims presented in this publication have no factual basis. S:yes publication misinformation is and: need is d:be considered as another manifestation of informational-hybrid influence actions”.

There was no response from the Ministry of Defense of the Republic of Armenia, although the name of the Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Armenia was also mentioned.

However, it should be noted that the Ministry of Health did not even mention Azerbaijan, and Pashinyan’s spokesperson, even if he did mention it, by and large, it practically does not change anything. On the other hand, it confirms our concerns that the target of the fight against hybrid threats should not be the political opponents, but Azerbaijan, which promised peace.

And the fact that Azerbaijani propaganda media cannot publish hybrid materials against Armenia without Aliyev’s consent is obvious.

Moreover, 2 days after the above-mentioned publication, Azerbaijani media published the following the information«President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev approved the Council of Europe Convention on Combating Trafficking in Human Organs.

Wasn’t there an element of hybrid or information warfare here? It should be noted that according to the circulating information, Armenia in January 2018 signed The Convention on Combating Trafficking in Human Organs is another question: has it ratified it?

But the fact that on different occasions the Azerbaijani propaganda machine goes on “hybrid attacks” against the same Nikol Pashinyan and his family is indisputable, and against RA all the time, it is another question how seriously it is taken in practice.

Let’s remind that back in 2020, Nikol Pashinyan himself announced that he possesses confidential information, the disclosure of which could seriously destabilize the internal political situation of Azerbaijan.

Why Pashinyan did not use this in the case of political and negotiation blackmail in Baku is a separate topic for discussion. Perhaps, at this moment, Aliyev is not a “malicious actor” because he is ready to help Pashinyan win the upcoming elections.