Are the interests of Ankara and Baku in conflict with the settlement of Armenian-Turkish relations?

“One nation, two states” is not a license to interfere in internal affairs and foreign relations. Little brother’s advice to big brother’ in the article we referred to the Baku-Ankara emotional dispute against the background of the ban on wearing hijab in Azerbaijani schools, but during which real episodes of disagreements are brought forward in the foreign political context.

For example, as we mentioned in our article, Azerbaijan once again reminded Turkey that based on its own state interests, it will maintain diplomatic and strategic relations with Israel, although it supports the settlement of the Palestinian issue.

Moreover, Baku reminded Ankara that he consistently supports the territorial integrity of Ukraine, provides assistance to it, including military, but at the same time does not break diplomatic relations with Russia the relationship and: maintains broad commercial and economic ties with it.

Later, Farhad Mammadov, a political scientist close to Aliyev, on Facebook note: did, where he alludes to the fact that the alliance of Azerbaijan and Turkey is passing another examination, and singled out three episodes.

■ The issue of relations between Azerbaijan and Israel is raised in Turkey.

■ In Turkey, they raise the issue of the rules for wearing school uniforms in Azerbaijan or the ban on wearing hijab.

■ The issue of Turkey-Armenia relations is being raised in Azerbaijan.

“Many people in Turkey asked the question: why does Turkey coordinate its policy towards Armenia with Azerbaijan, while Azerbaijan does not coordinate its policy towards Israel with Turkey?” Everything is very simple. Armenia has “occupied” the territories of Azerbaijan (quotation marks: M.P.), and Israel has not occupied anything from the territories of Turkey. Azerbaijan plays a role in the process of normalization of relations between Turkey and Israel. In addition, the trade between Turkey and Israel continues normally, – the Azerbaijani political scientist wrote and went further, stating – during the presidency of Recep Tayyip Erdogan, a foreign policy determined by ideology was formed in Turkey, so to speak, and this is not new for Baku. All this time, Azerbaijan is trying to place relations within the framework of pragmatism, not neglecting the emotional component.

Alliance with Azerbaijan is Turkey’s success story in the region. Azerbaijan supports it with its organizational, financial, energy and all available resources, both in the region and far beyond its borders.”

At the same time, the Azerbaijani day.az, a supporter of the government’s discourse and theses, “One thing with words, another with deeds. How far is Turkish diplomacy ready to go? article: published, where it is clearly stated that the main question for Azerbaijan is what place Ankara allocates to the interests of its closest ally when building relations with Yerevan.

In the article, they recalled the last telephone conversation between Ararat Mirzoyan and Hakan Fida, after which the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Armenia announced that the process of opening the Armenian-Turkish border has matured, “it is possible that we will wake up tomorrow morning and see the following headline in the news: “Armenia-Turkey border is open”. In other words, according to Mirzoyan, the Armenian-Turkish border may be opened before a new envoy is appointed.

“For Baku, the information background formed around the rapprochement is important. Presenting Azerbaijan as an obstacle to regional peace can weaken the support of Turkish society towards that country.

The formation of such an impression contributes to the promotion of the idea that Ankara should take less into account the interests of its ally in order to develop relations with Yerevan. The price of this political line is measured by confidence. The leadership of Turkey has emphasized the special nature of relations with Azerbaijan for years, and these statements have created quite certain expectations. “Baku has the right to evaluate Ankara’s actions in the context of its own promises,” the day.az article states.

The same the claims minval.az also did its “Ghost of Zurich. The reason for the conflict between Azerbaijan and Turkey” in the analysis.

“Hakan Fidan publicly announced on June 8 that the regulation of relations with Armenia is carried out in close coordination with Azerbaijan. He expressed a similar position during his visit to Baku in September. However, serious disagreements are hidden behind the official statements about the agreed policy.

And this is where we should remember the popular “football diplomacy” and the negotiations that took place in Zurich, Switzerland in 2008-2010,” the media wrote, referring to its sources, stating that the Turkish Foreign Ministry is dissatisfied with the excessive dependence of the negotiation process on Azerbaijan’s position and demands a “stop”, and that this line is being personally promoted by Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan.

Can it be assumed that Turkey understands that the final peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia will not be signed in the near future, no matter how much Nikol Pashinyan insists that all efforts should be focused on it? But the same Pashinyan announced today that he has set himself the task of signing and ratifying the peace agreement by 2031.

And Aliyev, in turn, noted that although they have been living in peace with Armenia for more than a year, that “peace is still fragile, it must be protected and strengthened.”

Let’s remind that one of the main conditions for Baku to sign the peace treaty is the removal of the Declaration of Independence from the RA constitution, which Pashinyan’s government has problems with its implementation, and the border adjustment process has not yet been completed, and not only that.

In other words, Turkey has reasons to hurry…

By the way, Hakan Fidan is in Baku, and the Azerbaijani side can ask him the questions that concern him and dispel his doubts.