PROSPEROUS ARMENIA PROSPECTIVE WINNER – EUROPEAN FRIENDS OF ARMENIA
Tert.am
22.03.12
Today, European Friends of Armenia () publishes
the results of its poll titled “Poll: A Snapshot of Pre-Electoral
Armenia”. The poll was conducted by IPSC and EuFoA, with TNS opinion
providing extensive quality control and supervision.
The fieldwork was conducted between 29 February and 5 March 2012.
One of the questions was: “If the Parliamentary Elections were held
next Sunday, which party would you vote for?” The responses were
as follows:
Prosperous Armenia Party (41%) Republican Party of Armenia (37%) ARF
Dashnaktsutyun (5%) Armenian National Congress (5%) Rule of Law Party
(5%) Heritage Party (4%)
At the beginning of the campaign period, the two largest parties
score results without significant differences (error margin: 2.4%),
but far ahead of any other party. Meanwhile, four smaller parties
are all equally likely to pass the 5% threshold and move into the
National Assembly, or not. “It is stunning that at the beginning of
the campaign period, nobody can say if we will have a parliament made
up of 6, 5, 4, 3, or even just 2 parties! This also means that nobody
can today predict a specific outcome. The only thing we know is that
already today, a very large number of people is already certain to
vote.” comments Dr Michael Kambeck, EuFoA’s Secretary General.
Gagik Tsarukyan is the most popular party leader in Armenia, while
Serzh Sargsyan still has a strong lead when asking for Presidential
preferences. People across the country show dissatisfaction or
distrust in political institutions, and the “perceived” situation in
the country today is rather negative. However, the picture becomes more
positive when the respondents were asked about the real situation of
their own families, and when they evaluate the change of the general
situation in Armenia over the last 5 years.
EuFoA provides this poll as non-Armenian and therefore non-partisan
NGO. To ensure the highest level of independence and quality, this
poll has been entirely supervised by the renowned international
polling company TNS opinion. “We have assessed the methodology and
supervised all steps of this poll. I am happy to say that this poll
absolutely meets international standards and we were very satisfied
with the level of quality” says Dr Steve Schwarzer, Methodology and
Statistics Manager at TNS opinion, Brussels.
The poll involves 1,600 people in Armenia’s capital and regions.