Settlement Of Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict Not In Next 2 Years: Analyst

12:30 ~U 11.12.09

It appears from statements made by Azerbaijan’s leadership that
they are experiencing a sort of fatigue that the negotiations are
proceeding so slowly, while perhaps there isn’t any progress, said
Director of Russia’s International Institute for Political Expertise
Evgeny Minchenko to Azerbaijani news source

According to Minchenko, there is no peaceful settlement to the
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, while settling the conflict via military
means is not a solution. "Truthfully, I assume that the settlement
of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict will not take place in the coming
two years. The meetings between Erdogan and Obama are neither key
nor strategic. As I’ve already said, there exists an issue of the
security of strategic objectives, including those objectives which
interest the U.S.: that is, Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan [pipeline]. Today that
issue of the security of objectives, in the case of military conflict,
becomes a certain suppressed element against that circumstance when
military operations begin," noted the analyst.

Minchenko believes that in the case of conflict, Russia will attempt
to employ all its efforts, so as not to allow military development.

"Russia is an important, but not central, element. One cannot
overestimate Russia’s abilities in the question of the influence
it has over Armenia’s position. First, Armenia’s and Azerbaijan’s
leaderships and people must settle that conflict. That, in the first
case, is their will, while even the influence of such serious players
as Russia, U.S., [and] Turkey are secondary," concluded Minchenko.