A Land Apart

A LAND APART
by Christopher Frey

Walrus Magazine
12 Aug, 2008
Canada

Can Turkey fulfill its promise as a bridge between East and West when
its own peoples stand divided?

WEST

See Carolyn Drake’s photo gallery from the Turkish town of
Hasankeyf.Galip Karayigit was bursting at the seams, both sartorially
and emotionally, as he held on to the statue of Ataturk at the centre
of Istanbul’s Taksim Square. Four more men hung on with him, each
exhorting a separate section of the crowd with the same message:
Turkey’s honour and security are at stake.

Karayigit, a burly, perspiring textile factory manager, leaped down
from the pedestal. Another man supported him, like a fellow soccer
player after a hard-fought match. "I felt very sad when I heard
the news this morning," he said. "I felt like the whole world had
fallen around me." He was referring to an early-morning ambush by the
Kurdistan Workers’ Party (pkk) near Daglica, six kilometres from the
Iraqi border. Twelve Turkish soldiers had been killed, and another
eight were captured. Then, later that day, ten civilians had been
injured when their minivan drove over a land mine believed to have
been laid by the pkk.

Many of the divisions that define modern Turkey appeared to have
dissolved that twenty-first of October, 2007. From Istanbul to
Adana, streets pulsed with rallies demanding action, justice for the
"martyred" soldiers, and a definitive end to the "Kurdish problem." The
most unlikely of allies suddenly discovered a common cause: young
rightists flashed the proto-fascist salute of the nationalist Grey
Wolves next to pious middle-aged Muslim women in head scarves,
old-school communists, and political agnostics. They poured down
major thoroughfares by the tens of thousands, marching beneath the
patriotic red blanket of a supersized Turkish flag. The attack itself
was hardly a rare occurrence — only two weeks earlier, thirteen
soldiers had been killed in a similar ambush. But on this Sunday,
something resembling consensus jigsawed into place.

An endless surge of excitable young men followed Karayigit, clambering
atop Ataturk as though battling for a spot on a raft. Most singled
out Turkey’s allies for blame, soliciting anti-European Union and
anti-American chants and jeers. According to Karayigit, so-called
friends and neighbours were abandoning the country in its time
of need. The French, the Americans, the British, the Russians —
all have had to deal with terrorism or insurgents, yet all were now
counselling restraint and, in some cases, Karayigit believed, providing
outright support to the pkk. "We only want the same power to defend our
country," he said. Word spread that Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan
was holding an emergency meeting of the country’s generals; the Turkish
parliament had passed a resolution that week authorizing the military
to cross into northern Iraq and attack the pkk’s mountain havens.

The Turks were already feeling embattled before this latest pkk
ambush. In early October, an American congressional subcommittee
had recommended that the US government officially acknowledge the
Armenian genocide and Ottoman culpability for it — a subject Turks
are loath to revisit. And accession talks with the European Union were
prompting shots at Turkey’s human rights record and its military’s
habit of meddling in government.

There was perhaps fair reason for Turks to feel, if not slighted, at
least undervalued. As a secular democracy with a population that is
99 percent Muslim, Turkey is uniquely positioned to play a mediating
role between the Islamic world and the West. Despite the country’s
lack of natural resource wealth, its mighty construction and shipping
conglomerates are involved in major infrastructure projects across the
Middle East and Central Asia. And while it has remained mostly loyal
to its traditional allegiances with the United States and Israel,
Turkey has recently worked to repair relations with Iran, Syria, and
Russia — a thaw that could have substantial benefits for the West. For
instance, a pipeline is being proposed that would bring Iranian gas
through Turkey to Europe, and Erdogan was a key figure in secret peace
talks between Israel and Syria earlier this year. Turkey’s strategic
importance has only increased with the demise of the Cold War, and
yet the country has often seemed to serve primarily as the West’s
put-upon sparring partner, taking flak from outsiders while mediating
a diverse population with strong and often polarized perspectives on
their country and its role in the world.

As the sky bruised into evening, demonstrators continued to surge
toward Taksim, where they coalesced with still more mobs. I followed
one of the offshoots as it continued up Cumhuriyet Street. Partway
along, an elderly Kurdish beggar was splayed haplessly in the mob’s
path, cradling a small child in a bright cloth. The chanting and
gesticulating marchers briefly parted around her, oblivious, like
water gushing around a rock, then came together again.

Istanbul seemed stage-directed for the unfolding theatrics. Looming
everywhere over the city, on massive banners and from bunting
suspended above the streets, was the visage of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk,
who founded the Turkish Republic in 1923. His mischievous semi-smile
and upturned eyebrows were often accompanied by one of the Orwellian
dicta for which he was famous — most commonly "How happy is the one
who says, ‘I am a Turk.’" The line, inscribed in the country’s oath of
allegiance, is a sore point for Kurds and other ethnic minorities. A
fifteen-year-old student in the country’s southeast was indicted in
2003 for inciting hatred when he instead recited in front of his class,
"Happy is he who calls himself a Kurd."

Ataturk’s is perhaps the only twentieth-century personality cult
that still plays a decisive role in a country’s politics. His name
is invoked daily by the Kemalist secular nationalists who dominate
Turkey’s judiciary, military, and sections of its civil service, to
beat down those who question the limits placed on religion in public
life, or who challenge the notion of "Turkishness." He remains the
embodiment of the revolution and its highest aspirations.

A believer in scientific positivism and a fan of French civilization,
Ataturk sought to remake his newly independent nation into a modern,
westward-looking state. His first reforms were radical ones, designed
to disestablish Islam from politics and public life: he abolished
the caliphate that had ruled the Turks for some 400 years, moved the
capital from the traditional Ottoman centre of Istanbul to Ankara,
and shut down the country’s religious courts. He also expanded rights
for women, granting them access to education and later the vote,
then enacted a hat law that circumscribed the wearing of religious
headgear such as the fez or head scarf. In 1928, he instituted a
new, Latin-based Turkish alphabet, on the grounds that Arabic was
a vestige of archaic Islamic influence, and ill suited to Turkish
pronunciation anyway.

The concept of Turkishness, however, stands as perhaps Ataturk’s
most dubious and slippery bequest. In Ottoman times, "Turk" was an
epithet, akin to calling someone a rube. Later, during the early
days of the republic, the term referred simply to citizenship and
geography. By the early 1930s, Ataturk had come to believe that the
nation needed to be defined more strongly. His plan was to introduce
a civic religion of sorts — something that could sustain the social
cohesion traditionally provided by Islam.

Influenced by H. G. Wells’s Outline of History, he convened a
historical society to investigate the roots of the Turks, charging
academics with devising a collective narrative of origins. It
was generally understood at the time that the nation’s ancestors
were the invading Oghuz Turkic nomadic tribes of Central Asia, who
arrived in Anatolia around the eleventh century. His people’s status
as somewhat recent arrivals to their homeland became an obsession for
Ataturk. Those Sumerians, Armenians, Kurds, and others who had lived in
and around Turkey for thousands of years, leaving plentiful evidence
of their existence? Well, Ataturk decided, they were actually Turks,
too. (The leader’s undisciplined intellect and fondness for late-night,
raki-fuelled colloquia with friends sometimes led him to strange
theories, including one that posited the Turks as the forebears of
all peoples.) By asserting that these diverse ethnic groups were cut
from the same cloth, Ataturk denied Turkey’s multicultural past and
present, setting it on a fractious path that continues to threaten
both its security and its role as a link between East and West.

In the days following the pkk ambush, the forty-five-year-old Kurdish
journalist Salih Sezgin rarely left his fourth-floor office at the
newspaper Gundem. He felt safer there than at home. From his desk,
he could poke his head out the window to scan the streets for shady
characters, or see who was buzzing in. Occasionally, in the late
afternoon, he would leave for a brisk, head-clearing stroll.

On the fifth day after the soldiers were killed, Sezgin paused
briefly on Istiklal Caddesi, a bustling and very European boulevard
lined with brand name boutiques and restaurants on Istanbul’s western
flank. A small rally was taking place, to demand that Turkey leave
nato. Turning away from the protesters, he shuffled along narrow
side streets, finally taking a seat at a café next to Ali Turgay,
Gundem’s twenty-something publisher. A stout, diminutive man possessing
a gentle, rounded face framed with days-old stubble and a comb-over,
Sezgin had the air of a struggling shopkeeper. "I spent nineteen
years in prison," he joked. "I never look very healthy."

Gundem had recently had its right to publish suspended by Turkish
authorities, who feared that the paper’s pro-Kurdish reporting would
embolden critics. For a few days, the pair had been able to get
stories onto the paper’s website, which had seen its traffic surge
from a daily average of 10,000 hits to 80,000 during the crisis. But
then the government blocked that, too, forcing them to use another
url. Days later, hackers broke into their server, causing it to crash,
and the website was gone again.

Had they been able to publish, Turgay and Sezgin would have
been reporting the growing incidence of attacks against Kurdish
citizens. According to the pro-Kurdish Democratic Society Party (dtp),
its constituency office in Istanbul’s Fatih neighborhood had been
firebombed; other dtp offices across the city had to be protected
by police from angry mobs. In Kadiköy, a Kurdish student was taken
to hospital after an attempted lynching; in other neighbourhoods,
homes belonging to Kurdish families were singled out with derogatory
markings. Some of these events were making it into the mainstream
media, but most were not. Kurds in Istanbul were talking about a return
to the grim days of the 1980s and early ’90s, when skirmishes between
the military and the pkk forced thousands from their villages in the
country’s southeast, destroying the region’s economy and social fabric,
and resulting in more than 35,000 casualties. The armed clashes of
October were hardly on that scale, but rumours and reports of personal
attacks were nevertheless keeping people indoors. "It’s enough just
to have darker skin to get harassed on the street," said Sezgin.

He leaned forward over his tea. "The problem is that everyone sees
the Kurdish problem as an ethnic problem. But we are a part of this
country. We are part owners; we now live all across Turkey; we are
not simply an ethnic minority or immigrants. Turkey’s problem is not
an ethnic problem; it’s an identity problem."

During the War for Independence, Ataturk openly acknowledged that
the Kurds would eventually need their autonomy. He may have done so
for strategic reasons: the war was being fought to regain Turkish
territory and sovereignty lost with the signing of the Treaty of
Sèvres (1920) between Ottoman representatives and governments of the
Allied Forces. For the Kurds, the treaty was ostensibly a good thing
— it included a mandate for a Kurdish state — but they nevertheless
fought alongside Ataturk’s Turkish forces, believing they were acting
as Muslim brothers against Christian occupiers from Britain, France,
Italy, Armenia, and Greece. (They had also participated in the 1915
genocide against ethnic Armenians.) Yet after the republic was founded,
Ataturk never spoke of them in public again.

The autocratic nature of the modern Turkish state is very much a
product of the persistent tension between the two groups. On the same
day the caliphate, whose symbolic religious authority had united the
Turks and Kurds for centuries, was abolished, all Kurd-centric social
organizations were banned, too. The first Kurdish rebellion of 1925,
a response to this suppression and to Ataturk’s attack on Islam,
was the pretext for the Kemalists’ consolidation of power. Martial
law was imposed across Turkey, empowering the government to close
newspapers, persecute journalists, and deny the right of "reactionary"
or "counter-revolutionary" groups to assemble. The rebellion also
hastened the imposition of single-party rule, which lasted until 1950.

Until recently, the state officially denied the existence of the
Kurds as a separate ethnic group, identifying them euphemistically
as "mountain Turks." It banned the recording and performance of
Kurdish-language songs until 1991, and between 1983 and 1991 even
made it illegal to speak Kurdish in public. Elected officials in
the southeast are still prosecuted for slipping Kurdish into the
performance of their public duties.

Reforms introduced as part of the EU accession process have led to
modest progress in recent years: for the first time, some schools
are permitted to teach Kurdish, and the prohibition against
Kurdish-language radio and television broadcasts was lifted in
2002. But the state still zealously monitors pro-Kurdish media such
as Gundem and blocks access to popular websites, notably YouTube and
ones using the blogging platform WordPress.

The idealization of Ataturk, however, and the violence and censorship
it justifies, fly in the face of the pragmatism he preached. "We
do not consider our principles as dogmas contained in books said to
come from heaven," he once told the National Assembly. He feared the
fanaticism inspired not only by religion, but by politics.

One could sense, in the wake of the pkk ambush, something more
existential at stake than just the quarrel between Turks and
Kurds. Militarily, the fight had mostly devolved into a low-grade
regional conflict since the capture of pkk kingpin Abdullah Ocalan
in 1999. Rather, the outrage on the street reflected deep-seated
uncertainty about Turkey’s sense of itself and how it interacts with
a globalizing world.

In May, just prior to the escalation of the pkk conflict, the country
had emerged from a polarizing political crisis. The governing Justice
and Development Party (akp), an organization with Islamic roots,
had put forward Abdullah Gul, a former foreign minister, as its
presidential candidate, prompting Turkey’s military leadership —
enshrined in the constitution as the protector of the state’s secular
character, and the instigator of four coups since 1960 — to contest
Gul’s selection. The brass criticized him for comments he had made in
the early 1990s questioning official secularism, and more symbolically
for the fact that his wife wears the hijab. A constitutional court
blocked Gul’s appointment, prompting new elections in July, but
these returned the akp with an even larger majority, and increased
the party’s share of the popular vote from 34 to 46 percent. The
military boycotted Gul’s swearing-in.

Despite the akp’s Islamist bent, the party has proven itself to be the
most adept and progressive manager of Turkey’s affairs in decades — a
moderate, broad-based organization whose policies more closely resemble
those of the centre-right Christian Democrats in Europe than Hamas or
Hezbollah, and that draws support from across the political and ethnic
spectrums. The akp has successfully wrestled with the chronic inflation
that plagued the economy, dramatically increased foreign investment,
and implemented the strongest steps yet to fight corruption in the
public and private sectors. It also stepped up accession talks with
the European Union and made substantive overtures to the country’s
Kurdish population. In the symbolic debate over the hijab, meanwhile,
it positioned itself as a defender of individual freedoms, overturning
the law that prohibited women from wearing head scarves on university
campuses.

Although Kemalists accuse the akp of secretly harbouring a radical
Islamist agenda, the only evidence of this has been the implementation
of dry zones in a few conservative neighbourhoods by local party
officials, and a quickly rescinded attempt to criminalize adultery
nationwide. Nonetheless, secular nationalists have gone to absurd
extremes in their efforts to discredit the akp. A quartet of
bestselling exposés last year asserted that the party’s leaders
were in fact Zionist Mossad agents. More recently, after a statue of
Ataturk astride a horse was vandalized in Denizli, the town’s mayor
appeared at a press conference, holding up a photograph of the damaged
statue. "As you see, the penis of the horse Ataturk sits on has been
broken," he said. "We think akp cadres have broken the penis."

The pkk attacks, however, united the two sides. Wounded by its recent
loss of face, the military saw an opportunity to reassert itself,
while the akp had to demonstrate that it could handle a terrorist
threat. The rest of the world, though, and particularly the United
States and Europe, urged Turkey to proceed carefully. The Americans,
who had reason to fear that a military incursion into northern
Iraq would destabilize that country’s most secure region, agreed to
provide intelligence about pkk positions there. But the perceived
lack of support from Europe was more aggravating, and it fed into
Turks’ frustration with the EU accession process. Leaders such as
France’s Nicolas Sarkozy had already made alienating comments, while
other officials had expressed fears that if Turkey were granted full
membership it would become the second-largest nation in the EU after
Germany, with 17 percent of the assembly’s vote. The West’s pressuring
of Turkey to acknowledge the Armenian genocide, to improve treatment of
its Kurdish citizens, and to back off from the dispute over Cyprus were
also irksome. Turks have yet to work out these issues for themselves.

Over 70 percent of Turks once supported the bid for EU membership,
but recent surveys indicate that fewer than half are still in
favour. Proponents of EU membership, such as Sedat Laciner, director
of the Ankara-based International Strategic Research Organization,
have grown discouraged by the EU’s inclination to move the goalposts
for admission, and to undercut internal support for accession with
meddlesome and untimely criticism. "The EU so crudely pressures and
humiliates Turkey that the Turkish politicians cannot defend their
pro-EU stances, and the non-democratic forces are emboldened," he
wrote in an op-ed column in the autumn of 2006.

Such critiques, Laciner argued, undermine Turkey’s potential influence
as a moderator between Islam and the West. For instance, the country’s
most popular Islamic movement, Gulen, is expanding into such places
as Nigeria, Indonesia, and Pakistan, where it serves as a moderate
and modern counterpoint to extremist groups. "Turkey’s participation
could have proved that the West is not solely a Christian Club and
that the West could have genuine cooperation with the Muslim world," he
wrote. Instead, the perceived double standard Turkey faces has become
a tool for radical Islamists and secular nationalists alike, each
arguing that Europe will never deal with Muslims and Turks as equals.

A s yet another demonstration-filled day got under way in the
streets below, an odd celebration was taking place in Gundem’s
office. One of the paper’s younger reporters had just been convicted of
"denigrating Turkishness," thanks to a recent article he had written
about Ocalan. "It was decided I will get one year in prison," he told
me. But everyone was smiles and laughter, as though this were merely
another episode in an elaborate running joke. "Every day we publish
a paper, they open another case against us."

It was unlikely that the reporter would serve a day of his sentence;
rather, he would seek refuge outside the country, as many do. Which
is why it felt like a going-away party, or perhaps a rite of
passage. Sezgin, however, wasn’t sharing in the good spirits. "I
don’t wish anyone to go through what I went through," he said.

Sezgin was seventeen years old when he was thrown in Diyarbakir prison,
Turkey’s most notorious penitentiary. It was September 1980. The
National Security Council had just dissolved the government in the hope
of securing a country wracked by factional terrorism. In the aftermath
of the coup, the army instituted a crackdown on Kurdish militants. The
murder of two police officers in Diyarbakir spurred mass arrests that
netted Sezgin as a suspect. On scant evidence, he was convicted of
murder and sentenced to death. Through the intervention of the EU,
his sentence was commuted to twenty years.

Guards at Diyarbakir prison regularly asked new arrivals, "Do you
want a room with television and shower or a regular room?" Sezgin soon
learned that "shower" meant a hole in the ceiling that allowed sewage
to pour constantly into the cell. To amuse themselves, guards sometimes
ordered prisoners to roll around in it. This was the "television" part.

Sezgin estimates that about sixty of his fellow inmates died
from hangings, hunger strikes, suicides, or fatal injuries due to
torture. He wept as he recounted being ordered to clean an area where
guards had stashed a friend’s dead body in the garbage for him to
find. Survival, he said, was paramount. "The sense of belonging to
my people gave me an aim, so that I wanted to live. They forced us
to march to Turkish songs, put pictures of Ataturk in our cells. They
try to make you a Turk, but you remain a Kurd." During his sentence,
Sezgin taught himself to read and write. He wrote a memoir of prison
life, Hanging Nights, published pseudonymously, which eventually
earned him some notoriety and launched his career as a journalist.

By the time he was released, in 1999, the struggle for Kurdish
rights had changed. pkk leader Abdullah Ocalan had been captured and
was trying to fashion himself, unconvincingly, as a Middle Eastern
Nelson Mandela. The exodus of the Kurds from more than 3,000 villages
during the fighting had transformed them from a predominantly rural
to an urban people. Like many Kurdish activists from the 1970s and
’80s, Sezgin considered himself a Marxist and a separatist, but the
collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War shifted his
ideology. "We were sad when the Soviet Union fell, because it was
something we thought we were fighting for," he said. "But then we all
learned more about the kind of oppression the communist countries put
on their people. Within such a society, it would have been no better
for the Kurds."

The pkk kept to its hard-line Marxism, but for moderate Kurds the
ideological vacuum was filled by globalization, which they saw
as an opportunity to build a more equitable society within Turkey
while consolidating a pan-Kurdish identity beyond it. "As Kurds, we
are happy to accept that borders should be less important," Sezgin
said. "We are living in Turkey, Iraq, Syria, Iran. More open borders
should make it easier for us to travel and visit our relatives, and to
work. With technology, too, it should make it easier for us to discuss
the issues that affect us. An open society is what many of us want."

For a people often cited as the world’s largest ethnic group without a
state of its own, scattered across four nations historically hostile to
their interests, the notion of diminished borders still resounds. This
is especially the case with EU accession, given that improvement of
Kurdish civil rights is one of the conditions attached. As one former
prime minister has commented, "Turkey’s road to the European Union
goes through Diyarbakir."

EAST

There were few signs on the city’s streets that it was a national
holiday. A few perfunctory-looking flags flew on Diyarbakir’s office
buildings and mosques, but the genteel morning bustle persisted as
usual, oblivious to the Republic Day celebrations happening across
the country, or the frequent thunder of jets taking off from a nearby
military base — the primary staging point for reconnaissance and
bombing missions into Iraq.

Famous for its imposing ancient basalt walls, Diyarbakir otherwise
unscrolls its long history with only modest fanfare. Today’s city rests
upon what is likely one of the oldest settlements on earth — one that
served as a strategic centre for the Upper Tigris River Valley for as
long as 5,000 years. A cavalcade of empires have ruled it, including
the Romans, Arabs, Persians, Selcuks, Turcomans, and Ottomans. As
recently as the mid-nineteenth century, Diyarbakir’s population was
almost half Christian and home to a polyphony of peoples, including
Assyrians, Armenians, Arabs, Chaldeans, Alevis, and Jews.

With 665,000 residents, this now predominantly Kurdish city is the de
facto capital of the troubled southeast. It was here that the first
Kurdish rebellion of 1925 largely played itself out, and here that
its perpetrators were later tried and hung. During the fighting of
the 1980s and ’90s, it was a hotbed of separatist activity, and in
the Turkish mind it became deeply associated with pkk terrorism —
a reputation it has yet to shake.

There’s a Soviet quality to the newer apartment blocks of Diyarbakir’s
suburbs, west of the city walls, where I located the offices of the
Tigris News Agency (diha). Another jet scrambled the heavens as I sat
in a video editing suite with Veysi Polat, diha’s director. He and his
colleagues were reviewing footage sent to them by the pkk. Onscreen,
about five score pkk fighters were marching in a tranquil, green
mountain valley. The reporters were debating what to do with the tape,
which was clearly propaganda intended to show that morale remained
high despite the tensions.

Journalism has never been easy in the southeast, especially for
members of the Kurdish media. Military checkpoints and restricted areas
make information gathering difficult, and journalists are frequently
prosecuted for publishing stories critical of the military. Four of
diha’s correspondents were serving jail sentences as a result of their
reporting. The agency was also facing a court case for suggesting
that the army had burned an area of forest so it could better survey
the surrounding area.

"It’s difficult to get real news here," Polat said. "We take what the
government says, compare it with what our reporters and contacts in
the villages say, and sift out the reality." I asked if pkk sources
could be trusted. "When you take what the pkk reports about an
incident initially and what is later confirmed to be true, the pkk
often proves to be more reliable than the government. But in the end,
we trust only our own reporters."

In the aftermath of the October ambush, the Turkish media was reporting
that upwards of 100,000 troops had moved into the southeast, but
locals insisted most had already been there, at the behest of Yasar
Buyukanit, the hard-line chief of the Turkish General Staff. Many in
the east believed Buyukanit’s machinations had provoked the pkk.

Electorally, the akp has done well in Kurdish areas, taking almost
half the vote, thanks to the party’s willingness to address cultural
and economic issues here. Many traditionally minded conservative
Kurds also share the akp’s Islamic values. But the akp was risking
alienating its Kurdish con-stituency by allying itself with the
military. Some in Diyarbakir were sympathetic, though, arguing that
the rebels were setting back progress on Kurdish civil rights and the
economy. "The state is like your father," a middle-aged man who had
fled to a Diyarbakir gecekondu (shanty) neighbourhood in the 1990s
told me. "When you turn against him, you are going to have problems."

Despite the mobilization, a tenuous détente prevailed. There were
fewer incidents of Kurds being harassed on the street, and the
city was calm. I asked Polat how he saw the security situation for
Kurds. "In Diyarbakir, we don’t have racist, nationalist attacks like
those in Istanbul and elsewhere," he said, "but it doesn’t mean we’re
safer. There are 100,000 Turkish troops here. You never know what
can happen. We’ve seen too much before."

Intent on visiting the ostensible heartland of the Kurdish resistance,
I rented a taxi and left Diyarbakir, crossing the Tigris, a sluggish
little watercourse bending below the black ramparts of the city. The
two-tone browns of undulating fields consumed much of the horizon,
interrupted only by the foothills in the hazy distance. These fields
are famous for their watermelons — the biggest, sweetest melons in
the world, people bragged to me.

The rural southeast is home to another conflict between the state and
the Kurds, this one over resources. The Southeastern Anatolia Project
(gap), launched in 1980, is a massive dam-building exercise in the
Euphrates and Tigris basin. With many of the project’s twenty-two dams
already completed, including the pharaonic Ataturk Dam, the world’s
ninth largest, the system is improving agricultural irrigation and
dramatically expanding electricity generation capacity throughout
the region. The benefits are thus far most noticeable west of the
Euphrates, where crops are bursting and the city of Gaziantep is
luring manufacturers with the promise of cheaper power. But the
dams have also submerged villages, adding to the thousands of Kurds
previously forced to relocate. Across the southeast, the tips of
old minarets pierce the shimmering surfaces of newly created lakes,
marking the watery graves of abandoned Kurdish settlements.

We drove on for an hour, on patchy, unmarked roads branching off
the main highway, finally pursuing one to the village of Kocaköy,
where I was to meet Sabri Tanrikulu. A nimble man, Tanrikulu scurried
over the rubble of his family’s former home like a mad archaeologist
half his fifty years. "Here was our kitchen," he said, "and this is
where we kept our livestock." The ruin was surrounded by similarly
demolished dwellings. A handful were intact: new domiciles, made
either of poured concrete or mud and stone, with scraps of metal
fastening everything together.

On a December morning in 1992, Tanrikulu was fiddling with the
television antenna on his roof when the Village Guard militiamen
arrived, an army unit not far behind. He thought little of it at first,
since the guard — made up of compliant but sometimes coerced locals,
including Kurds — frequently patrolled the road that cut through
the town of some 100 families. But this time, the cars halted in
a storm of dust outside the school. Guardsmen sprang into action,
firing shots into the air and at random houses. A bullet winged past
Tanrikulu as he fell to the roof.

Women and children fled frantically for open fields and neighbouring
villages as the guards rounded up the men. Tanrikulu was held at
the schoolyard with the others, guns trained on them as they lay on
their stomachs. Limestone dust was laid down throughout the village,
from home to home, stable to coop. Soon it was set alight. The chilly
morning sky blackened. A helicopter spun overhead, whorling up smoke
and dust. Livestock burned alive in their stalls.

Kocaköy was one of more than 3,000 villages in the Kurdish southeast
that stood empty by the mid-1990s. There was rarely ever a warning,
nor any explanation other than that a town was suspected of being
friendly to the pkk. The dispossessed migrated across the country, part
of a million-strong tide that bloated the gecekondu neighbourhoods
of Istanbul, Izmir, Adana, and, closer to home, Diyarbakir and
Batman. It’s a tide that has yet to cease fully, as Kurds continue to
forfeit their lands so they can search for work or because of the gap.

The soldiers and militia fled Tanrikulu’s smouldering town at dusk. He
walked to the next village and located a tractor he had rented to
a friend, then returned home to collect what clothes had escaped
the fire. He then drove his tractor sixty kilometres to Diyarbak?r,
where he reunited with his wife and daughter."

The city was suddenly full of new people," he told me. "My problems
were just like everyone else’s." Accommodations and work were in meagre
supply, but he found space for his family and took jobs wherever he
could. He drove a bus, sometimes as far as northern Iraq, and did
construction in Izmir, living away from home for months at a time.

We broke for lunch with Tanrikulu’s uncle, who had returned four years
ago and built a clean, spacious concrete bungalow for his family,
one of about twenty-five clans that now reside in Kocaköy. We bowed
deeply to the old man out of respect for his having completed the
hajj. Hanging up my coat in the cushion-lined living room, its bare
walls unadorned but for a calendar, I noticed a framed photograph of
a young man in military uniform on a side table. It clearly wasn’t
a Turkish army uniform. I nipped out to wash my hands, and when I
returned the picture was gone.

Over a lunch of cucumber, fresh yogourt, flatbread, and tea, we
discussed the pkk. In the wake of October 21, nationalist politicians
were demanding that the pro-Kurdish dtp publicly denounce the pkk
as terrorists. But as a dtp official in Istanbul told me, this was
impossible; every Kurd, he said, knows someone who has gone off to
fight for the pkk. "How can you denounce your brother or sister,
your sons and daughters?"

Tanrikulu felt the same. "Just calling them terrorists does not
solve the problem," he said. "The suppression of Kurdish identity,
the violence — this is what created the pkk. I have a friend,
a doctor, who joined. Why would he give up the city to live in the
mountains, sacrificing normal life, eating only what’s available? It’s
a hard life. So we have to ask why 3,000 guerillas are hiding in
the mountains."

Like almost every Kurd I spoke with, Tanrikulu had long ago given up on
the idea of statehood. This is no longer even the professed goal of the
pkk, though the Western media often reports otherwise. Still, it is a
favourite bogeyman of Turkey’s nationalists, who argue that recognition
of Kurdish distinctiveness could eventually sever the country. But the
mass migrations of the 1990s rendered partition all but impossible. And
most Kurds don’t even speak Kurdish anymore, thanks to decades of
suppression. "Ask 90 percent of Kurds," insisted Tanrikulu. "They
don’t want to live in a different land. It’s impossible to divide
Turkish and Kurdish anyway. Where are the most Kurds living in one
place? Istanbul. You can’t solve by simply dividing."

s we took one last stroll around the village, we encountered another
elderly couple who had returned to Kocaköy. They wanted to talk
about the commission of Turkish officials that arrived two years
ago to interview the villagers. The pair said they’d been offered
compensation for their hardships. "The commission promised me 7,000
lira [about $5,700]," said the man. "Others here were told 5,000
or 3,000 lira." The small gesture of redress, he argued, was merely
intended to placate European Union observers who were also visiting
Kocaköy. "I accepted the government’s offer and signed a piece of
paper. That was two years ago, and I’m still waiting."

WEST

M y friend Yagmur was circling a quartet of life-sized plaster
statues depicting a Pakistani terrorist and a pretty dame in various
explicit embraces. I was back in Istanbul, taking in the final day of
its tenth biennial. Many of the artworks on display across the city,
presented under the banner "Optimism in the age of global war," were
conceptual, prankish attempts to be topical, riffing on terrorism,
cultural homogeneity, global capitalism, and war. But they seemed to
have little to do with local realities.

Among the few exceptions was the most popular work in the
entire exhibition: a series of eighteen posters, each depicting
a different caricature that played on "How happy is he who says,
‘I am a Turk.’" Beneath a line drawing of a Kurd, for example, it
read "How ______ for the one who says, ‘I am a Kurd.’" The public was
invited to scribble words in the blank space, as well as on the poster
itself. There were prints of an Armenian, a homosexual, a communist,
a longhair, a secularist, a prostitute, and even he who simply says,
"I don’t care." People were scrawling their remarks right off the
posters and onto the temporary wall on which they were mounted.

–Boundary_(ID_ApvRJBqUOtgro5Do8L2aiA)–

From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress

The Amount Of Gas Entering Armenia Is Diminished

THE AMOUNT OF GAS ENTERING ARMENIA IS DIMINISHED

armradio.am
12.08.2008 16:50

Today the Press Secretary of "HayRusgazard" Shushan Sardaryan informed
Mediamax that the amount of gas which is being imported to Armenia
by the territory of Georgia has been contracted.

"Now we are adjusting the reasons of contracting and the right amount
of gas", said Shushan Sardaryan and noted that the amount of gas has
been contracted by 30%.

"At this moment the shortage is being completed by the reserves of
"HayRusgazard". Taking into consideration that now is summer and
the consumption is lessened, the provision must fulfill till the
regulation of introduction", the Press Secretary said.

Think-Tank Offensive

THINK-TANK OFFENSIVE
James Morrison, [email protected]

Washington Times
Tuesday, August 12, 2008
DC

The crisis in the Republic of Georgia opened a new front in Washington,
where foreign-policy analysts rattled the Internet with e-mail
alerts on their solutions to stop Russian aggression against its
tiny neighbor.

>From the Atlantic Council to the Heritage Foundation, the think-tank
offensive roared into action after Georgia confronted pro-Russian
separatists in its breakaway region of South Ossetia last week,
prompting Moscow to invade Georgia.

Some analysts said Georgia gave Russia the excuse it was looking
for to crush Georgia’s pro-western government from seeking NATO
membership. Others suggested Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili
deliberately provoked Moscow to try to internationalize the dispute
and pressure the United States into a more forceful defense of its
strongest ally in the Caucasus region of Europe.

The Atlantic Council urged a four-pronged diplomatic assault against
Russia. It called for suspending Russia from the Group of Eight
industrialized nations, discontinuing partnership and cooperation
talks between Russia and the European Union and appealing to the
International Olympic Committee to review Russia’s qualifications to
host the 2014 Winter Games. The council also called on other nations
to reconsider participating in the Russian Olympics, which would be
held in Sochi, about 35 miles from the Georgian border.

Ariel Cohen, an analyst with the Heritage Foundation, said Russian
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin is pursuing a policy of "regime change"
to remove Mr. Saakashvili and install a pro-Russian president in
Georgia.

"Russia is engaged in a classic combined arms operation," he said in
a e-mail memo Monday. "The [Russian] Black Sea Fleet is blockading
Georgia from the sea and likely preparing a landing, while Russian
ballistic missiles and its air force are attacking Georgian military
bases and cities."

Mr. Cohen argued that Russia "has long-prepared its aggression"
against Georgia’s pro-western government to undermine Mr. Saakashvili
and prevent Georgia from joining NATO.

"Aggression against Georgia also sends a strong signal to Ukraine
and Europe," he said. "Russia is playing a chess game of offense
and intimidation."

Brian Whitmore, in an analysis for Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty,
suspected Mr. Saakashvili’s motives in attacking separatist forces
last week.

"The Georgian leader’s strategy is clear," he wrote on
"[Georgia’s] small army is no match for the Russian
military machine.

"Saakashvili’s only chance of success in his bid to regain control
of the Moscow-backed breakaway region of South Ossetia, therefore,
is to globalize the conflict and turn it into a central front of a
new struggle between Moscow and the West."

OUT OF GEORGIA

The U.S. Embassy in Georgia is evacuating Americans from the war zone
and warning those who chose to stay to keep their heads down.

The embassy Sunday organized a convoy from the Georgian capital,
Tbilisi, to the Armenian capital, Yerevan. Diplomats planned a second
convoy on Monday. The State Department on Saturday authorized the
departure of relatives of American diplomats.

"The [State] Department recommends that American citizens deter
non-essential travel to Georgia and that American citizens remaining
in Georgia review their security situation," the department said in
a warning posted on

It urged Americans who chose to remain in Georgia to monitor the
embassy’s Web site for further information.

Meanwhile in Washington, the phone line to the Georgian Embassy
transferred callers to a voice mailbox that was too full to take
additional messages.

http://georgia.usembassy.gov.
www.rferl.org.

Holiday Turned To Dash From Hell

HOLIDAY TURNED TO DASH FROM HELL
Neil Syson in Tbilisi

The Sun
Aug 12, 2008
UK

A BRITISH family on a horse trekking holiday told yesterday of their
terror as they fled war-torn Georgia.

Chris Wills, wife Melissa and their two teenage girls tried to catch
a flight out but found the airport shut by a bombing raid. Instead
they headed to neighbouring Armenia in a taxi.

Speaking before climbing into the cab in capital Tbilisi’s Freedom
Square — named after Georgia’s breakaway from Soviet masters in 1991
— Melissa said: "It’s a huge relief to get away from this."

Calm before the storm … sisters India and Iona pose happily with
Georgian troops in Tusheti The jewellery designer, 49, brand consultant
Chris, 51, and daughters India, 17, and 15-year-old Iona were due to
spend two weeks in Tusheti, in Georgia’s wild north.

Danger It lies just 20 miles from South Ossetia’s bombarded capital
Tskhinvali.

Chris, of Highbury, North London, said: "Our guide told us a war had
started not far away. We could not believe it.

Click on our slideshow to see more pictures of the war-torn country.

"Our Georgian friends told us in no uncertain terms to leave as soon
as possible.

"We had a four-hour drive back to Tbilisi. You could sense danger in
the air.

"We saw Georgian soldiers in army trucks giving clenched fist salutes
heading out of town.

"It crossed my mind that the Russians could easily advance to where
we were.

"There was no option but to arrange a taxi and head for the Armenian
capital of Yerevan nearly 200 miles away. We have to stay for four
days before we can fly out."

The Foreign Office said there are now fewer than 200 Britons in
Georgia. They were being advised to leave by road into Armenia or
Azerbaijan to the south.

Meanwhile our embassy shut up shop and moved to a safer location
in Tbilisi.

Guards outside the building in Freedom Square said: "Closed today,
we think closed tomorrow — we don’t know when it will be open."

A Briton who did not want to be named said he was turned away.

He added: "I was told staff have moved to safer quarters."

The embassy shares a block with companies including UK airline BMA,
which has suspended daily direct flights to Tbilisi. Its open location
would make an easy target.

Last night a Foreign Office spokesman insisted the embassy "continues
to provide a full service".

Ankara: PKK Leader Expresses Desire To Testify In Ergenekon Case

PKK LEADER EXPRESSES DESIRE TO TESTIFY IN ERGENEKON CASE

Today’s Zaman
12 August 2008, Tuesday
Turkey

The founder and leader of the terrorist Kurdistan Workers’ Party
(PKK) has stated that he would like to testify before the prosecutor
handling the case of the ultranationalist Ergenekon gang, a shady
network that is accused of having plotted to overthrow the government.

The indictment against the suspected Ergenekon members, who include
retired senior army generals, academics, civil society representatives,
journalists and mafia leaders, has drawn links between the PKK and
the Ergenekon network. The indictment presents evidence and witness
accounts clearly suggesting that the members of the organization who
formerly worked in various intelligence units of the state had used the
PKK to shift public opinion in favor of their agenda, which aimed to
eventually trigger a military coup. The Vatan daily yesterday reported
that PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan, who is currently serving a life
sentence as the sole inmate of the prison-island of İmralı in the
Sea of Marmara, expressed his desire to testify to Prosecutor Zekeriya
Oz and provide him with information on the Ergenekon organization.

One of the issues Ocalan said he would like to inform the prosecutor
of is a proposal once made to him to assassinate Tansu Ciller, head of
the True Path Party (DYP) coalition government, which ruled between
1993 and 1995. Ocalan claimed that individuals related to Turkey’s
deep state, or Ergenekon, had once contacted him saying they were
plotting to assassinate Ciller and proposed that the PKK could claim
responsibility. "I rejected this offer," Ocalan said. He also noted
that he would like to share important information on Veli Kucuk, a
retired general currently in jail as a suspected Ergenekon leader, and
on some of the incidents that occurred in Turkey’s Kurdish-dominated
Southeast, where the PKK has been waging a violent separatist campaign
against Turkey’s security forces since the ’80s.

Ocalan also said he would like to respond to some of the allegations
that the PKK was covertly supported by shady elements within
the Turkish state. However, he also noted that he did not expect
the prosecutor to agree to hear his testimony. "They wouldn’t be
positive about my testifying," he said. Ocalan stated that he knew
there were attempts to infiltrate the PKK since the late ’70s, but he
denied allegations that he or the PKK were a project of the National
Intelligence Organization (MİT).

Not just politics, but a lot of money

The indictment lists a number of politically motivated assassinations,
attacks and other activities, such as organizing seemingly civilian
rallies as part of Ergenekon’s ultranationalist social engineering
plans, but the enormous financial resources of the group also qualify
it as a major crime network.

A letter found in the home of Ergenekon suspect Kucuk, which is
addressed to him, informs the former general of a gang formed between
the military, the police and politicians in the southeastern city of
Hatay. This letter has also been made part of the indictment against
Ergenekon. This letter was written in the year 1996, when Kucuk was
still a member of the army and serving in the Southeast.

According to the letter, this gang, which organized the smuggling
of explosives and other goods into Turkey, made $3.5 billion in
their dealings. The gang was allegedly led by Gen. Ethem Erdag, who
retired in 2007, another man named Abdulkadir Eryılmaz and Col. Cengiz
Yıldırım, who was earlier suspected of gang involvement during an
investigation in 1996. Erdag was tried at a military court in 2007.

The letter says once Erdag was promoted to commander of the 3rd
Army Corps in the region, he started "appointing his own men" to
posts in the region. It notes that Capt. Ramazan Turan was promoted
to head of the Gendarmerie intelligence unit in Hatay. Col. Feramuz
Kucuk, another friend of Erdag, was assigned to the Hatay Provincial
Gendarmerie. The gang also had strong economic ties to a local tribe
known as the Zelluhs, the letter says.

The text details the names of colonels, captains and other officers
involved in illegal trade. "Everybody performs his role perfectly. It
is practically impossible for MİT not to be aware of these activities;
however, MİT remains outside of this team."

The names of 11 officers, a deputy police chief in Hatay and even
politicians, including Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) deputy Turan
Cirkin, are cited in the letter as being members of the gang.

Background of Ergenekon probe

The existence of Ergenekon, a behind-the-scenes network attempting
to use social and psychological engineering to shape the country
in accordance with its own ultranationalist ideology, has long been
suspected, but the current investigation into the group began only
in 2007, when a house in İstanbul’s Umraniye district that was being
used as an arms depot was discovered by police.

The investigation was expanded to reveal elements of what in
Turkey is called the deep state, finally proving the existence of
the network, which is currently being accused of trying to incite
chaos and disorder in order to trigger a coup against the Justice
and Development Party (AK Party) government. The indictment, made
public last month, indicates that Ergenekon was behind a series of
political assassinations over the past two decades. The group is also
suspected of being behind the murder of Hrant Dink, a Turkish-Armenian
journalist killed by a teenager in 2007. Eighty-six suspects, 47 of
whom are currently under arrest, are accused of having suspicious
links to the gang. Suspects will start appearing before the court
on Oct. 20 and will face accusations that include "membership in an
armed terrorist group," "attempting to bring down the government,"
"inciting people to rebel against the Republic of Turkey" and other
similar crimes.

–Boundary_(ID_wlOQP+SgFWDj0iyj0uApaQ)–

South Ossetia, Georgia: Journalists Killed, Foreigners Evacuated

SOUTH OSSETIA, GEORGIA: JOURNALISTS KILLED, FOREIGNERS EVACUATED
by Elia Varela Serra

Global Voices Online
August 11th, 2008 @ 20:29 UTC
MA

Yesterday, the Russian radio station Echo Moscow reported that two
Georgian journalists, Alexander Klimchuk and Grigol Chikhladze,
were found dead in a street of Tskhinvali, the capital of the
embattled region of South Ossetia, and that several others had been
wounded. Russophone bloggers wrote about their killing, and Dean
C.K. Cox posted a report from the Russian daily Kommersant on the
LightStalkers forum:

Two journalists were killed and eight wounded in three days of fighting
in South Ossetia.

A group of journalists, including Alexander Klimchuk, the owner of
Georgia’s sole independent photo agency Caucasus Press Images, who
worked under the contract with ITAR-TASS, his colleague Teimuraz
Kikuradze, Grigol Chikhladze from Newsweek Russia, as well as the
U.S. reporter Winston Faderly, had disappeared in South Ossetia’s
capital Tskhinvali far back on Friday. The news on their destiny
emerged only yesterday. Klimchuk and Chikhladze were killed, other
journalists were wounded.

According to Caucasus Press Images, Klimchuk and Chikhladze had been in
South Ossetia even before the start of Georgia’s assault. In time of
street fighting in Tskhinvali, they were in the area first controlled
by the Georgians and then by the Ossetians.

Other journalists are in Tskhinvali and the condition of Faderly is
rather grave.

Russia’s reporters – a film crew of Vesti TV Channel of Alexander
Sladkov, Leonid Losev and Igor Uklein, as well as Komsomolskaya
Pravda reporter Alexander Kots – survived the fire Saturday. They were
moving in column of armored vehicles led by the 58th Army Commander
General-Lieutenant Anatoly Khrulev when attacked by officers of
Georgian riot unit positioned two levels above, at the height of 80
meters and 120 meters.

NTV producer Pyotr Gassiev was also wounded in Tskhinvali, news
agencies reported past night.

Meanwhile, foreigners are being evacuated from Georgia. "Not because
it’s not safe, but because we can’t do very much work at the moment",
wrote Tbilisi-based blogger Wu Wei.

Zygmunt Dzieciolowski, a Polish journalist in Georgia with a grant
from the Pulitzer Center on Crisis Reporting, described his evacuation
at the Untold Stories blog:

This morning foreign embassies began evacuating their citizens from
Georgia, having decided that the situation here is too unpredictable
and that foreign nationals should leave.

Some European countries sent their own aircraft to Tbilisi to retrieve
their citizens but the majority are organizing vehicle convoys to
the Armenian capital of Yerevan, three hours south. The rules are
strict. Only passport holders of those countries which organize convoys
can board their buses: The U.S. embassy takes care of Americans, the
Polish Embassy Poles (and also the citizens of some friendly European
nations represented by Poles in Georgia, like Estonia and Slovakia).

When we came we felt some tension, but the tension is always here. At
the beginning of our trip we had plenty of time for detailed
discussions with politicians, journalists, military and simple
people. Now I am headed home, and hopefully from there on to Moscow,
in the meantime thinking of all that has happened in a few short
days to produce the situation of our departure, in an humanitarian
evacuation convoy.

The Caucasian Knot, quoting Regional Reporters, reported that that
1,200 Armenian tourists vacationing in the Black Sea resorts of Batumi
and Kobuleti have been evacuated from Georgia as well.

Asier Blas, a Spanish political scientist currently in Tbilisi, has
been blogging about the situation he’s experiencing in Georgia. In
his blog Cartas del Este [Spanish] he wrote about last night’s rally
in Tbilisi, describing his fears at the escalating conflict:

Cuando ya dormía, aproximadamente a las 04:30 am nos despertaron
las bombas que cayeron en Tbilisi. Nos agolpamos tres personas en la
terraza, la noche, el susto de despertarse con sonidos de bombas y
el miedo, hicieron que nuestras miradas por un momento se cruzasen
envueltas en pánico. Un minuto mas tarde comenta Nadine que no nos
preocupemos, "es lo mismo que la noche anterior, no es en el centro y
lo único que buscan es crear miedo". Estamos de acuerdo los tres, pero
las guerras se saben como empiezan pero no como acaban. Es urgente que
cese el fuego definitivamente, hoy lunes parece que puede ser posible,
confiemos en ello.

While I was sleeping, approximately at 04:30 am we were woken up by
the bombs falling on Tbilisi. The three of us run to the terrace and
the night, the scare of waking up to the sound of bombs and the fear
made us glance at each other in panic. A minute later Nadine told us
not to worry, "it’s the same as last night, it’s not in the center
and the only thing they’re trying to do is create fear". The three
of us agreed, but wars are something that you know how it starts but
not how it ends. A definite ceasefire is urgent, and today Monday it
seems possible, let’s hope so.

–Boundary_(ID_BSdOOa+OvN5Y8oY9GHh3WQ)–

Conflits =?unknown?q?Gel=C3=A9S_Du?= Caucase Du Sud : AspectsJuridiq

CONFLITS GELES DU CAUCASE DU SUD : ASPECTS JURIDIQUES, DEVELOPPEMENTS RECENTS (ESISC)

UPJF.org
11/08/2008
France

Par le lieutenant-colonel (e.r) Renaud FRANCOIS Chercheur associé
a l’ESISC

La déclaration unilatérale d’indépendance du Kosovo, le 17 février
dernier, immédiatement reconnue par les Ã~Itats-Unis puis par la
France et une trentaine d’autres pays, dont plusieurs Ã~Itats membres
de l’Union européenne, a eu pour conséquence Â" collatérale Â",
le déclenchement d’un inquiétant processus de réchauffement des Â"
conflits gelés Â" sud- caucasiens (Haut-Karabakh, Abkhazie et Ossétie
du sud). En mars dernier, un net regain de tension sur la ligne de
front du Haut-Karabakh s’est soldé par une quinzaine de morts de
part et d’autre. On a pu craindre, un instant, que ces accrochages
meurtriers – les plus violents depuis 1994 – donnent le signal de la
reprise généralisée des combats. Depuis fin juin, la situation ne
cesse de se dégrader en Abkhazie et en Ossétie du sud, en proie a
des violences quasi-quotidiennes et la tension latente entre Russie
et Géorgie semble portée a son paroxysme.

Le Haut-Karabakh, l’Abkhazie et l’Ossétie du sud, trois entités
qui n’ont fait, jusqu’a ce jour, l’objet d’aucune reconnaissance
officielle, tentent néanmoins, depuis le début des années 90,
d’affirmer une existence étatique pleine et entière. Les dirigeants
de ces trois provinces sécessionnistes estiment remplir un certain
nombre de conditions qui, a la lumière du cas kosovar, pourraient
leur permettre d’obtenir leur reconnaissance par la communauté
internationale.

Cette analyse a pour but de faire le point sur les aspects juridiques
de ces conflits, les formes d’organisation étatique et de gouvernement
adoptées, les principaux événements politiques et les médiations
internationales qui ont émaillé les quinze dernières années
d’existence de ces trois Â" non-Ã~Itats Â". Elle a également pour but
de faire le point sur les conséquences directes ou indirectes du Â"
syndrome kosovar Â".

1. Haut-Karabakh

La demande d’indépendance du Haut-Karabakh repose sur la déclaration
de sécession1, non reconnue, sur le référendum qui l’a confirmée
2, sur la Constitution en vigueur et sur la réaffirmation de
l’autonomie obtenue durant la période soviétique. La région a
développé son propre modèle d’Ã~Itat grâce au cessez-le-feu de
1994 qui lui a permis d’assurer une relative continuité politique
et institutionnelle. Officieusement, le Haut-Karabakh a, grâce a
ses propres structures politiques, administratives, judiciaires et
économiques, une existence étatique pleine et entière. Pour ses
autorités, la demande de pleine indépendance est parfaitement
justifiée.

A. Constitution

Le Haut-Karabakh s’est érigé en république, dotée d’un régime
présidentiel. Le préambule de la Constitution réaffirme le principe
d’autodétermination du peuple et rend un vibrant hommage a Â" la
lutte héroïque des générations passées et actuelles qui ont
contribué a la renaissance de la tradition historique de l’Ã~Itat
d’Artsakh3 Â". Avec pour objectif Â" l’unité de tous les arméniens
du monde Â", ce préambule met en avant et sacralise les liens avec
le reste de la communauté arménienne.

Les bases constitutionnelles de l’Ã~Itat sont la démocratie, la
séparation des pouvoirs, l’économie de marché et les libertés
individuelles. En matière religieuse, la Constitution affirme le lien
avec la Sainte Ã~Iglise apostolique d’Arménie, présentée comme Â"
Ã~Iglise nationale ayant une mission spirituelle unique pour la vie
du peuple de l’Artsakh, pour le développement de sa culture nationale
et pour l’affirmation de son identité nationale 4 Â".

En ce qui concerne les droits fondamentaux, la Constitution dresse la
liste des droits politiques et sociaux, individuels et collectifs. Pour
des raisons de sécurité nationale et d’ordre public, d’éventuelles
restrictions a certaines libertés (mouvement, association, parole
et opinion) sont prévues. En référence aux Â" glorieux combats
d’indépendance Â", l’Ã~Itat a un devoir d’assistance Â" envers les
vétérans invalides et les familles des combattants martyrs de la
liberté 5 Â".

Le président de la république est le chef de l’Ã~Itat. Il est le
garant de la Constitution. La procédure de destitution nécessite
le vote d’une motion de défiance, a la majorité des voix plus une
de l’Assemblée nationale, suivi d’un vote identique de la Cour
suprême et d’un deuxième vote de l’Assemblée nationale, cette
fois a la majorité renforcée des 2/3. Le gouvernement est l’organe
exécutif et le Premier ministre est nommé par le président de la
république. L’Assemblée nationale constitue l’organe législatif
du Haut-Karabakh. La législature est de cinq ans et le nombre de
députés est fixé par la loi. L’assemblée vote la confiance au
gouvernement et en cas de censure, ce dernier démissionne. Aucune
motion de censure ne peut être présentée durant l’état de guerre.

Le pouvoir judiciaire s’exerce au travers des Tribunaux de première
instance, des Cours d’appel et de la Cour suprême qui assume
également les fonctions de Conseil constitutionnel. L’indépendance
de la justice et des magistrats est garantie constitutionnellement. Le
procureur général et le médiateur de la république complètent
le cadre judiciaire.

Le budget et les comptes de l’Ã~Itat sont contrôlés par la Cour des
comptes qui vérifie, aussi, l’utilisation des dons et subventions
en provenance d’autres Ã~Itats et organisations, en particulier ceux,
importants et essentiels, en provenance de la Diaspora.

Les deux derniers chapitres sont consacrés a l’administration locale
et aux procédures d’adoption, d’amendement et de référendums
constitutionnels . Le dernier article stipule que Â" jusqu’a la
restauration de l’intégrité territoriale de la république du
Haut-Karabakh et la définition de ses frontières, l’autorité de
l’Ã~Itat s’exerce sur tous les territoires qui se trouvent sous la
juridiction de fait de la république du Haut-Karabakh Â".

B. Le clan des Â" Karabakhtcis 6 Â"

Robert Kotcharian devient le 24 décembre 1994, le premier président
élu du Haut-Karabakh. Il cesse ses fonctions en mars 1997 quand
il rejoint Erevan, capitale de la Â" mère patrie arménienne Â",
pour y assumer les fonctions de Premier ministre avant de devenir,
l’année suivante, président de la République arménienne. Son
successeur actuel a la présidence de la République arménienne, Serge
Sarkissian, est lui aussi originaire du Haut-Karabakh. Une telle Â"
complicité clanique Â" des élites politiques du Haut-Karabakh et
d’Arménie confirme, en l’absence d’une reconnaissance formelle de
la république du Haut-Karabakh par l’Arménie ou d’un réel projet
d’union ou d’annexion, la communauté de pensée et d’action entre
les deux Républiques arméniennes.

C’est Arcady Ghukasian qui, en septembre 1997, succède a Kotcharian,
a Stepanakert7. Réélu en 2002, et ne pouvant constitutionnellement
se représenter pour un troisième mandat, il quitte définitivement
le pouvoir, et la vie politique, le 19 juillet 2007. Son successeur,
Bako Sahakian, tout auréolé d’une réussite certaine au sein des
organes de sécurité de la république8, est élu sur un programme
essentiellement axé sur la reconnaissance internationale du
Haut-Karabakh d’après le modèle kosovar.

L’exemple récent du Kosovo permet aux autorités de Stepanakert
de relancer le débat sur le statut et la reconnaissance de leur
république. Elles font valoir que, contrairement a la république
balkanique, le Haut-Karabakh n’a pas eu besoin, depuis quinze ans,
de forces de maintien de la paix pour assurer sa sécurité. Elles
annoncent, le 12 mars dernier, leur intention de procéder, avec
l’Arménie, a la reconnaissance du Kosovo. Pour l’instant la situation
du Haut-Karabakh reste en dehors des préoccupations des autorités
russes, qui semblent beaucoup plus attachées a se servir des autres
conflits gelés sur le territoire sud caucasien pour contrecarrer
les intentions occidentales et atlantistes de la Géorgie.

C. Les médiations

Les différentes propositions avancées depuis 1994 par les
organisations médiatrices couvrent la palette qui va du modèle Â"
Ã~Itat associé Â" a la variante du modèle Â" andorran Â" en passant
par les modèles Â" Ã~Itat commun Â", Â" tchéchène Â" ou Â" chypriote
Â". Les pourparlers sont conduits sous l’égide de l’Organisation
pour la Sécurité et la Coopération en Europe (OSCE) qui a mis sur
pied un organe ad hoc, le Groupe de Minsk, une troïka composée
des Ã~Itats- Unis, de la France9 et de la Russie. En 2004, après
avoir pris acte du rejet par le nouveau président azerbaïdjanais,
Ilham Aliev, des propositions de Â" solution globale Â" mises sur le
tapis au cours de la décennie précédente, cette troïka lance un
nouveau processus appelé Processus de Prague.

Le 14 mars 2008, alors que l’Arménie vient de proclamer l’état
d’urgence 10, l’Assemblée générale des Nations unies adopte une
nouvelle résolution. Présentée par le représentant azerbaïdjanais,
elle consacre la pleine et entière souveraineté territoriale de
l’Azerbaïdjan et demande le retrait des troupes arméniennes du
Haut-Karabakh et des zones occupées. Similaire aux résolutions de
1993 11, elle recoit le soutien de la Géorgie et de la Moldavie,
toutes deux inquiètes des manÅ"uvres russes sur le front de
l’Abkhazie, de l’Ossétie du sud et de la Transnistrie.

Les pays membres du Groupe de Minsk ont voté contre cette
résolution. Ils la jugent peu propice a un rapprochement des parties
au conflit. Pour les médiateurs du Groupe de Minsk, le statut final
du Haut-Karabakh doit être le fruit de négociations menées, a la
fois, dans un esprit de compromis et dans le respect des principes
légaux internationaux. Les deux présidents, l’Azerbaïdjanais
Ilham Aliev et l’Arménien Serge Sarkissian, se sont entretenus,
en tête a tête, a Saint-Pétersbourg, le 6juin dernier, en marge
du sommet de la Communauté des Ã~Itats indépendants (CEI). Un
signal encourageant. Au cours de cette entrevue, ils sont convenus de
poursuivre les discussions actuelles sur la base des Â" principes de
base Â", connus sous le nom de Propositions de Madrid12, un document
qui détermine le cadre de base pour une solution pacifique et durable
au conflit.

C’est dans ce contexte qui semble favorable a la reprise du dialogue
que le Groupe de Minsk précise ses nouvelles propositions, consistant
en un retour des réfugiés azéris, a la restitution a Bakou des sept
provinces occupées servant de zone tampon entre le Haut-Karabakh et
l’Azerbaïdjan et a la tenue d’un référendum, reconnu par toutes les
parties. Le corridor de Latchine, véritable cordon ombilical entre
l’Arménie et le Haut-Karabakh, serait définitivement attribué au
Haut-Karabakh, tandis que l’Azerbaïdjan se verrait octroyer un passage
vers le Nakhitchevan, province occidentale, enclavée entre Arménie,
Turquie et Iran. Ces propositions doivent maintenant être évaluées
par les différentes parties, mais il est intéressant de noter
qu’elles n’ont pas été rejetées d’emblée par les protagonistes.

2. Abkhazie

Les bases légales de la demande d’indépendance de l’Abkhazie se
fondent sur la déclaration d’indépendance du 23 juillet 1992, non
reconnue, sur la Constitution entrée en vigueur le 26 novembre 1994,
sur le référendum du 3 octobre 1999 et sur la réaffirmation du lien
historique ininterrompu avec la République autonome abkhaze du temps
de l’époque soviétique. Le 18 octobre 2006, l’assemblée populaire de
la république vote une résolution appelant la Fédération de Russie,
les organisations et la communauté internationales a reconnaître
son indépendance.

La région a développé un modèle d’Ã~Itat qui, grâce au
cessez-le-feu imposé en 1994 et garanti par un contingent de force
de maintien de la paix de la CEI a très forte coloration russe,
a permis une relative continuité politique et institutionnelle.

A. Institutions

La république d’Abkhazie possède deux gouvernements Â" parallèles
Â". Un gouvernement Â" de fait Â", installé a Soukhoumi, et un
gouvernement Â" de droit Â" qui, jusqu’au 27 juillet 2007, siégeait
comme gouvernement Â" en exil Â" a Tbilissi avant de venir s’installer
dans la partie du territoire abkhaze sous contrôle des autorités
de Tbilissi (un peu moins de 15% de la totalité du territoire).

1) Le gouvernement Â" de droit Â"

Le bicéphalisme gouvernemental remonte a septembre 1993 quand le
conseil des ministres de la république autonome d’Abkhazie quitte
la capitale, Soukhoumi, après les événements au cours desquels le
président est tué. De 1993 a 2004, le gouvernement Â" en exil Â"
est dirigé par Tamaz Nadareishvili 13, qui n’a de cesse de vouloir
reconquérir par la force la partie de territoire perdue. Suspecté
de liens avec des groupes paramilitaires, il est, après avoir perdu
la confiance du Conseil suprême abkhaze, remplacé en janvier 2004
par Malchaz Akishbaia 14.

Le retour en Abkhazie du gouvernement Â" en exil Â" s’opère en 2006,
lors de la crise de Kodori, haute vallée d’Abkhazie sous contrôle de
la Géorgie et point clé stratégique en termes de transits militaire
et civil. Principalement peuplée de Géorgiens d’ethnie svane, cette
haute vallée se sent plus proche du seigneur de guerre local Emzar
Kviziani 15 que de Tbilissi. Son groupe, qui a combattu aux côtés des
troupes du président géorgien de l’époque, Ã~Idouard Chévardnadzé,
avait été dissous après la Révolution des Roses. Le 22 juillet
2006, Emzar Kviziani entre en dissidence et proclame la résistance
armée contre Tbilissi qui répond par un ultimatum. Un court conflit
de six jours se déclenche et, un instant, l’on a pu craindre que toute
la région s’embrase. Le gouvernement Â" de fait Â" de Soukhoumi voit
en effet d’un très mauvais Å"il l’arrivée de troupes géorgiennes a
proximité du territoire qu’il contrôle. Une telle présence militaire
géorgienne dans la vallée de Kodori viole en effet les dispositions
de l’accord de cessez-le-feu de mai 1998. Emzar Kviziani réussit a
s’enfuir et l’on pense qu’il aurait trouvé refuge a Soukhoumi.

Le gouvernement Â" de droit Â" milite pour une solution de type
fédéral, comme celle qui avait été en son temps présentée par
le président Chévardnadzé et qui prévoyait une fédération
géorgi enne composée de sept entités autonomes dont une serait
l’Abkhazie réunifiée.

2) Gouvernement Â" de fait Â" et Constitution

La Constitution de la république Â" de fait Â" d’Abkhazie 16 comporte
sept chapitres. Le Chapitre I établit les bases fondamentales de
l’ordre constitutionnel. La république d’Abkhazie se fonde sur le
droit historique des peuples a l’autodétermination. Son territoire,
qui comprend les provinces historiques de Sadz, Bzyb, Guma, Dal-Zabal,
Abjua et Samyrakan, est Â" indivisible, inviolable et inaliénable
17 Â". La langue officielle est l’abkhaz, mais la langue russe est
reconnue comme deuxième langue officielle.

Le Chapitre II traite des droits de l’homme et des libertés civiles. Y
sont rappelés les droits de la Déclaration universelle des droits
de l’homme et ceux des autres conventions internationales. Des
restrictions a l’exercice de ces droits sont prévues en cas de
coup de force, d’atteinte a la sécurité intérieure de l’Ã~Itat,
d’insurrection armée et d’incitation a la haine sociale, raciale,
nationale ou religieuse.

Le pouvoir législatif fait l’objet du Chapitre III, dans lequel
sont précisées la composition du Parlement et la durée de la
législature. Les lois sont votées a la majorité simple. L’Abkhazie
est une république qui confère a son président des pouvoirs
étendus. Le vice-président, qui remplit les missions qui lui sont
dévolues par le président et assume l’intérim en son absence, est
élu en même temps que lui. Le conseil des ministres est responsable
devant le président qui détient le pouvoir de nomination.

Le pouvoir judiciaire (Chapitre V) s’exerce au travers des Cours de
première et seconde instance et de la Cour suprême. Le Chapitre VI
détaille le fonctionnement des pouvoirs locaux et le dernier chapitre
est consacré aux procédures de révision constitutionnelle.

a) Ã~Ivénements majeurs depuis la sécession

Les événements politiques qui ont émaillé la période de la
déclaration d’indépendance expliquent le caractère fortement
présidentiel du régime. De 1994 a 2004, les fonctions de président
sont assumées par Vladislav Ardzinba. Il est élu président de la
république par le Parlement abkhaze a l’instauration du cessez-le-feu
et est confirmé a ce poste lors de l’élection présidentielle du 3
octobre 1999. En 2003, sa santé chancelante le contraint a laisser
la direction du gouvernement au Premier ministre Raul Khajimba. Ce
dernier, soutenu par les autorités russes, est proclamé vainqueur
du scrutin présidentiel de 2004.

Cette élection, entachée d’irrégularités et de malversations,
entraîne de nombreuses contestations et manifestations. La Cour
suprême, appelée a trancher, déclare vainqueur Sergei Bagapsh, le
candidat de l’opposition. Le 6 novembre, sous la pression du président
sortant, cette même Cour revient sur sa décision, ce qui déclenche
l’occupation du siège de la télévision par les partisans de Bagapsh,
tandis que les partisans de Khajimba s’emparent du Parlement.

Devant la menace, non voilée, d’intervention directe de Moscou, les
deux rivaux acceptent le 5 décembre de procéder a une nouvelle
élection a la suite d’un accord de partage des pouvoirs qui
attribue a Bagapsh la présidence de la république et a Khajimba,
la vice-présidence. Le 5 janvier 2005, ils obtiennent 91,54% des voix.

Les élections législatives de 2007 donnent 28 sièges aux trois
partis du gouvernement tandis que l’opposition constituée de l’Unité
du peuple abkhaze, du Parti communiste et de l’Union des citoyens
russes en obtient 7.

b) Le syndrome kosovar

Fin 2007, le débat politique est relancé par l’imminence de
la déclaration d’indépendance du Kosovo, présentée comme un
précédent historique préjudiciable au principe de l’intégrité
territoriale des pays. Le net regain de tensions entre Tbilissi et
Moscou est alimenté par les obstacles géorgiens a l’adhésion
de Moscou a l’Organisation mondiale du commerce (OMC) et par
les réactions épidermiques du Kremlin a la volonté géorgienne
d’adhésion a l’OTAN. En rétorsion, le gouvernement russe lève les
sanctions militaires contre l’Abkhazie et invite tous les Ã~Itats
membres de la CEI, y compris la Géorgie, a suivre son exemple et a
signer le document de 199618.

Le 13 mars 2008, la chambre basse de la Douma russe, lors d’une
session spéciale, envisage la reconnaissance de l’Ossétie du sud, de
l’Abkhazie et de la Transnistrie. En marge de cette session où il est
venu exposer son point de vue, le président indépendantiste Sergei
Bagapsh fait devant la presse référence au cas du Kosovo19. Pour lui
la décision concernant l’indépendance du Kosovo est Â" une violation
manifeste du droit international qui nie l’appartenance historique
de cette province, qui n’a jamais été autonome, a la Serbie Â".

Et de rappeler que la République socialiste soviétique autonome
d’Abkhazie a été arbitrairement privée de son autonomie par une
décision de Joseph Staline et de Lavrentii Beria qui l’ont ainsi
rattachée a leur pays d’origine, la Géorgie.

3. Ossétie du sud

Les bases légales de la demande d’indépendance de l’Ossétie du sud
sont similaires a celles du Haut-Karabakh et a celles de l’Abkhazie. A
savoir, la déclaration d’indépendance20, non reconnue, les deux
référendums21 qui l’ont confirmée, la Constitution et la continuité
de l’autonomie accordée a la région du temps de l’empire soviétique.

a) Constitution et institutions

Cette région a développé, elle aussi, son propre modèle d’Ã~Itat
a la faveur du cessez-le-feu de 1992 et grâce a la présence sur son
territoire d’un contingent de troupes de maintien de la paix de la CEI,
a forte coloration russe. Ce qui lui permet, depuis cette date, de
se prévaloir d’une relative continuité politique et institutionnelle.

La nouvelle Constitution entre en vigueur le 23 décembre 1993. Elle
remplace le corpus législatif soviétique22. En 1994, selon les
nouvelles dispositions constitutionnelles, se tient le premier scrutin
présidentiel. Au nombre des candidats, Lyudvig Chibirov, qui en tant
que président du Parlement, assume la charge de président depuis
septembre 1993. Il remporte l’élection et est de nouveau réélu
lors du scrutin de 1996, avec près de 65% des voix. Le Premier
ministre Vladislav Gabaraev, qui se présentait avec un programme
fondé sur la sécession et la réunification avec l’Ossétie du nord
n’obtient que 20% des suffrages. La même année, Lyudvig Chibirov
et son homologue géorgien, Ã~Idouard Chévardnadzé, paraphent le
Â" Mémorandum sur la sécurité et la compréhension réciproque
Â". En 1997, ils signent des accords sur l’aide économique et le
retour des personnes déplacées. Ces différents accords jettent les
bases d’une négociation sur le futur statut de la région. Ã~Idouard
Chévardnadzé propose une solution fédérale mais, soutenu par son
Parlement, Lyudvig Chibirov préfère opter pour la sécession et
l’adhésion a la CEI.

Aux élections législatives de mai 1999, le Parti communiste obtient
39% des voix et, deux ans plus tard, le 13 juin 2001, Dimitri Sanakoyev
succède a Merab Chigoyev, Premier ministre démissionnaire. Ã~Iliminé
dès le premier tour de l’élection présidentielle de 2001 – il a
a peine recueilli 20% des voix – Lyudvig Chibirov cède la place a
Ã~Idouard Kokoity, qui obtient au premier tour 48% des suffrages avant
de s’imposer, le 6 décembre, avec 53% face a Stanislav Kochev, le
challenger qui s’était qualifié pour le deuxième tour. Sa campagne
était organisée et financée par le clan des frères Tedeyev,
Albert et Jambulat, clan qui était entré en conflit avec Lyudvig
Chibirov. Ce groupe mafieux règne sans partage sur les trafics entre
l’Ossétie du sud et la Russie, en particulier sur l’axe autoroutier
qui relie les deux pays. En 2003, le 1er juillet, Ã~Idouard Kokoity,
se souvenant fort a propos du vieil adage attribué a Machiavel – Â"
n’aie point de complices, ou élimine-les après t’en être servi Â",
organise un raid éclair contre ce clan. Il démet les deux frères
de leurs fonctions officielles (l’un était Secrétaire du conseil de
sécurité et l’autre membre du comité pour les droits de l’homme),
il fait procéder au désarmement de leurs services de sécurité
privée et surtout les prive de leurs très lucratives activités
de mainmise sur les services douaniers et de transport de fret. Pour
faire bonne mesure, Ã~Idouard Kokoity limoge également les ministres
de la Défense, de la Sécurité et de la Justice 23.

Une fois consolidé au pouvoir, le président Kokoity poursuit le
projet politique d’une Ossétie du sud unie a sa sÅ"ur du nord,
indépendante de la Géorgie et avec un statut de membre associé de
la Fédération de Russie. A cette fin, il ne cesse de rejeter toute
tentative de médiation, accusant les négociateurs, au premier rang
desquels se trouve l’OSCE, d’être les suppôts de Tbilissi.

b) Deux présidents "de fait" et pas de gouvernement "de droit"

Le 12 novembre 2006, l’imbroglio politique aboutit a un résultat
pour le moins surprenant pour ce minuscule territoire. Il a deux
présidents Â" de fait Â" et ne possède aucun gouvernement Â" de droit
Â". C’est en effet a cette date qu’Ã~Idouard Kokoity et son Premier
ministre Dimitri Sanakoyev se déchirent mutuellement en organisant
simultanément leur propre scrutin présidentiel et référendum. Le
référendum de Kokoity propose l’indépendance, celui de Sanakoyev
propose la reprise des négociations avec Tbilissi. Alors qu’Ã~Idouard
Kokoity obtient 98% des voix de la population uniquement ossète,
Dimitri Sanakoyev recueille 96% des voix d’un électorat mixte,
ossèto-géorgien. Les deux référendums sont adoptés dans des
proportions similaires. Le 1er décembre 2006, Sanakoyev se proclame
élu président de l’Ossétie du sud, s’installe a Kurta dans la
zone sous contrôle géorgien tandis que Kokoity retrouve son bureau
présidentiel de Tskhinvali.

Le 10 mai 2007, le président géorgien Mikhaïl Saakachvili reconnaît
a Dimitri Sanakoyev le titre de Â" chef de l’administration provisoire
de l’Ossétie du sudÂ". Ce dernier prend la parole le lendemain devant
le Parlement géorgien24 et, le 26 juin 2007, il prononce devant le
Parlement européen un discours dans lequel il propose un accord sur
le modèle italien du Haut-Adige / Sud-Tyrol.

Les tendances centripètes du gouvernement de Tbilissi issu de
la Révolution des Roses poussent les autorités géorgiennes a
rechercher par tous les moyens la restauration de l’intégrité
territoriale. Ce qui a pour résultat d’exacerber les tensions entre
les deux communautés. Depuis la création d’une administration
parallèle, la crise est devenue beaucoup plus ouverte et a une
incidence négative sur les travaux de la Commission de contrôle
qui réunit en son sein l’Ossétie du sud, la Géorgie et la Russie.

En mars 2008, Tbilissi propose, sous peine de retrait, le changement du
format de cette commission de contrôle en l’ouvrant aux représentants
de l’UE, de l’OSCE ainsi qu’aux représentants de l’administration
provisoire de l’Ossétie du sud. Face aux menaces géorgiennes
de retrait pur et simple de la commission de contrôle, le chef
des négociateurs russes, Yuri Popov, remarque que pour pouvoir le
faire, la Géorgie aurait dÃ", dans un premier temps, se conformer aux
accords de Sotchi, signés en 1992 par Tbilissi et Moscou. Ces accords
prévoyaient la signature d’un traité qui engage les signataires
sur la voie de l’interdiction du recours a la force pour résoudre la
question du statut de l’Abkhazie et de l’Ossétie du sud. Le 17 juillet
dernier, le président Saakachvili refuse encore une fois un tel
traité en le déclarant Â" inutile parce que la Géorgie ne prépare
aucune invasion25 Â". De plus, il n’est absolument pas disposé a
reconnaître comme représentants légitimes les gouvernements Â"
de fait Â" des deux territoires sécessionnistes. Accepter leurs
signatures constituerait, a ses yeux, un dangereux précédent.

4. Conclusion

En dépit du fait que les autorités arméniennes, azerbaïdjanaises
et géorgiennes ont claironné que la déclaration d’indépendance
du Kosovo ne pouvait constituer un cas d’école pour la résolution
des conflits sud-caucasiens, elles ont, par la suite, adopté une
attitude différente. Si l’indépendance du Kosovo ne constitue pas
un Â" précédent Â", chacune des trois nations sud-caucasiennes
y trouve cependant son compte et tire de cet événement ce qui
l’intéresse et sert ses intérêts. Avec pour résultat une attitude
a l’opposé des fidèles soutiens et alliés. Haut- Karabakh oblige,
l’Azerbaïdjan refuse de reconnaître l’indépendance du Kosovo
alors que son principal soutien, la Turquie, l’a reconnue. Idem pour
Tbilissi, tandis que Washington, son mentor occidental, a été le
premier pays a la reconnaître, dans les minutes qui ont suivi sa
proclamation. A l’inverse de l’Azerbaïdjan, Erevan n’exclut pas la
reconnaissance de cette indépendance, quitte a froisser ses soutiens
russes et iraniens qui y sont farouchement opposés.

Le 4 mars dernier, le Parlement de la république d’Ossétie du sud
en appelle officiellement au Secrétaire général des Nations unies,
au président de la Fédération de Russie, au Conseil de l’assemblée
fédér ale de la fédération russe, a la Douma, aux chefs d’Ã~Itat
de la CEI et aux pays membres de l’UE pour qu’ils reconnaissent son
indépendance sur la base des principes d’autodétermination et sur
l’existence des bases légales pour la création et le développement
d’un Ã~Itat souverain26.

Trois jours plus tard, le Parlement de la République abkhaze adresse
une demande analogue au Secrétaire général des Nations unies,
au président du Conseil de sécurité et aux parlements de tous les
pays du monde27.

Aucun de ces deux appels n’a recu le moindre écho favorable. Bien
au contraire. Le Conseil de l’Europe, l’OSCE, l’UE, l’ONU et les
Ã~Itats-Unis condamnent unanimement le rapprochement en cours entre
la Russie et les deux provinces sécessionnistes. Rapprochement qui
s’apparente a une reconnaissance, si ce n’est politique du moins Â"
de fait Â", et qui avec l’établissement de liens de coopération
privilégiÃ& #xA9;e contribue a renforcer l’emprise de Moscou.

On pourrait redouter que de tels agissements, qui ont pour résultat
immédiat un net regain de tensions, aient le même effet sur le
conflit du Haut-Karabakh. Les encouragements russes envers les
provinces sécessionnistes sont en effet ressentis avec beaucoup
de crainte et d’appréhension a Bakou. Il apparaît cependant peu
probable que le différend arméno­azerbaïdja nais connaisse un
processus analogue. Alors que les provinces rebelles de Géorgie sont
sous le contrôle de forces de maintien de la paix de la CEI, qu’elles
sont majoritairement peuplées de citoyens russes et qu’elles sont
frontalières de la Russie, le Haut-Karabakh est en dehors de la zone
d’influence russe. Le seul garant dont ce territoire peut se prévaloir
est l’Arménie. Une Arménie qui a toujours écarté avec suspicion28
les propositions et tentatives russes, de ces dernières années,
d’incorporer diplomatiquement le Haut-Karabakh dans la problématique
de l’Abkhazie, de l’Ossétie du sud et de la Transnistrie.

La Â" guerre des nerfs Â" a laquelle on assiste depuis quelques
semaines ouvre la porte a un possible Â" dérapage incontrôlé Â"
dans une région au bord de l’explosion. La moindre étincelle,
la plus petite des provocations peut embraser la poudrière
sud-caucasienne. Entre une Russie qui, pour contrecarrer les
aspirations atlantistes de Tbilissi, ne semble avoir que l’option
Â" entretien a feu doux du conflit Â" et une Géorgie qui rêve
secrètement d’une situation où les Occidentaux n’auraient
d’autre choix que l’intervention, l’équilibre est délicat. Si
jusqu’a présent les chancelleries ont réussi a Â" contenir Â" les
protagonistes, on peut craindre, avec les passions qui s’exacerbent,
les coups de mentons virils et belliqueux, les rodomontades
guerrières, l’intensification de la course aux armements et la
montée en puissance des forces, que le point de non retour soit
malheureusement rapidement atteint.

© ESISC 2008-08

——————————–

N otes

1. Votée par le Soviet de la région autonome du Haut-Karabakh,
le 2 février 1988, cette déclaration de sécession envisageait,
a terme, la réunification avec l’Arménie.

2. Boycotté par les citoyens azerbaïdjanais, le référendum du 10
décembre 1991 prévoyait la sécession d’avec l’Azerbaïdjan et la
création d’un Ã~Itat indépendant.

3. Artsakh est l’ancien nom arménien de la région alors que le nom
de Karabakh est d’origine plus récente et turque.

4. Article 10.2.

5. Article 60.3.

6. Terme utilisé pour nommer les Arméniens du Haut-Karabakh.

7. a capitale de la république du Haut-Karabakh. Nommée ainsi par
les Arméniens, elle est appelée Xankändi (ou Khankendi) par les
Azerbaïdjanais

8. Depuis 2001, il était directeur du Département d’Ã~Itat de la
sécurité nationale.

9 A l’origine, la Finlande était le troisième membre du Groupe de
Minsk. Ã~@ la suite de manÅ"uvres diplomatiques arméniennes, elle a
cédé sa place a la France qui, aux yeux des négociateurs d’Erevan,
semble plus favorable a leurs thèses.

10. Pour faire face aux violentes manifestations dues au résultat
de l’élection présidentielle.

11. Résolutions 822, 853, 874 et 884.

12. C’est a Madrid, en novembre 2007, que le Groupe de Minsk présente
aux négociateurs azerbaïdjanais et arméniens leurs nouvelles
propositions.

13. Décédé en 2004, Tamaz Nadareishvili était lié a la dynastie
abkhaze des Chervachidzé. A la chute de l’empire soviétique,
désertant les rangs du Parti communiste, il se rallie au Mouvement
géorgien de libération nationale. Pendant la guerre d’Abkhazie, il
est élu chef du gouvernement en exil, et de 1993 a 1995, il occupe un
siège au Parlement géorgien ainsi qu’un poste ministériel au sein
du gouvernement de Tbilissi. Il affichera une prudente neutralité
au moment de la Révolution des Roses.

14. Ancien ministre géorgien de l’Economie et des Finances
(1999-2001), de la Défense (2004) et membre du conseil national de
défense (2004).

15. Leader du groupe paramilitaire des Â" Chasseurs Â".

16. Consultable sur le site du gouvernement non reconnu
d’Abkhazie.

17. Article 4.

18. Décision du Conseil des chefs d’Ã~Itat du 19 janvier 1996.

19.

20. En date du 20 septembre 1990 avec, en sus, l’expression de la
volonté de rejoindre l’Union soviétique sous le nom de République
soviétique d’Ossétie du sud.

21. Du 19janvier 1992 et du 12 novembre 2006.

22. L’Ossétie du sud est un régime présidentiel. Auparavant,
la fonction de chef de l’Ã~Itat était assurée par le président
du Parlement.

23. ;s=f&o=160302&am p;apcstate=henicrs2003

24.

25.http://w ww.globalsecurity.org/military/library/news/2008/0 7/mil-080717-rianovosti02.htm

26.

27. 20of%20Parlament%20Eng.html

28. Sur les conseils d’Erevan, les représentants de Stepanakert ont
récemment décliné l’invitation qui leur avait été faite de venir
exposer, le 13 mars dernier a Moscou, devant les députés de la Douma,
leur point de vue sur les perspectives de règlement du conflit.

–Boundary_(ID_PVRUxTwqUfDgb/PMBZNf9g)–

http://russiatoday.ru/news/news/22054
http://www.iwpr.net/?p=crs&amp
http://www.cominf.org/2008/03/10/1166476606.html
http://www.mfaabkhazia.org/MFADocuments/Appeal%
www.esisc.org
www.abkhazia.org
www.civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=15101

=?unknown?q?G=C3orgie_Et?= Russie =?unknown?q?R=C3chauffent_La?= Gue

GEORGIE ET RUSSIE ECHAUFFENT LA GUERRE FROIDE
Benito Perez

Le Courrier
le Mardi 12 Aout 2008
Switzerland

La guerre a fait son retour aux confins de l’Europe. Depuis jeudi,
des combats meurtriers entre Géorgiens, Russes et Ossètes rappellent
au monde que, près de deux décennies après la chute de l’empire
soviétique, aucune solution politique durable n’a été trouvée aux
Républiques confettis de la poudrière eurasienne. Tchétchénie,
Ingouchie, Abkhazie, Haut-Karabakh, Transnistrie, Ossétie du Sud,
autant de provinces minoritaires, rebelles a leurs souverains
russes, géorgiens, azerbaïdjanais ou moldaves. Des conflits
ethnico-nationalistes hérités du passé et désormais figés pour
cause de néo-guerre froide. Jusqu’a ce qu’un impulsif dirigeant ne
choisisse a nouveau la pire des solutions, celle des armes…

Instinctivement, on aurait envie d’exprimer de la sympathie pour
la petite Georgie confrontée a l’ogre russe. Mais force est de
reconnaître que le président Mikheïl Saakachvili – mal conseillé
par les faucons de Washington – a bien allumé la mèche. Pour les
régimes autoritaires qui pullulent dans la zone, ces frontières
chaotiques représentent une aubaine lorsqu’il s’agit de mobiliser
les foules a coups de bravades nationalistes. Mis en difficulté
l’an dernier par son opposition, Saakachvili espérait enfiler a
nouveau le costume d’homme fort de la Nation, habit que le président
géorgien avait étrenné en 2004 quand, a peine élu, il avait repris
le contrôle de la République autonome d’Adjarie.

Mais, cette fois, c’est un autre Â"bleuÂ", Dmitri Medvedev, qui devrait
gagner ses galons. L’offensive géorgienne et le sang versé par quinze
soldats russes Â"de maintien de la paixÂ" et des centaines de civils
ossètes lui ont fourni un prétexte en or. La réplique impitoyable
du successeur de Poutine indique jusqu’où peuvent aller les Russes
quand il s’agit de défendre leurs Â"intérêts stratégiquesÂ"
dans une zone convoitée par l’OTAN. Cette réaffirmation de la
Pax Rusia devrait provisoirement décourager d’autres aventures
militaires dans la périphérie de l’ex-Union soviétique. Mais
elle éloigne aussi l’espoir d’une solution politique négociée,
dont la région aurait pourtant besoin. Enclavées, assiégées,
militarisÃ&# xA9;es, abandonnées aux potentats locaux, les Républiques
confettis eurasiennes demeureront otages d’intérêts géostratégiques
et d’opportunités politiques qui les dépassent, tant qu’elles ne
seront pas englobées dans un plan de paix qui concilierait, dans
un esprit de réciprocité et de co-souveraineté, le respect des
minorités, la neutralité militaire et les sensibilités nationales.

Malheureusement, l’initiative d’une telle résolution globale ne
viendra pas de l’Union européenne. En choisissant a nouveau de se
joindre au choeur anti-russe de Washington et Tbilissi, les Européens
ont confirmé leur inexistence politique et leur inféodation a
l’OTAN. Les gesticulations, hier, de Bernard Kouchner au côté de
Saakachvili sont d’autant plus pathétiques que – curieux paradoxe –
l’alignement sur les positions étasuniennes n’empêchera pas l’Union
européenne – dépendante du gaz naturel de Sibérie – d’éviter toute
pression sur Moscou visant a l’amener a la table des négociations…

–Boundary_(ID_v2tSP2R +HPlZ2Zy+bn7Ymw)–

Bush Warns Russia; Medvedev Orders Halt To Action

BUSH WARNS RUSSIA; MEDVEDEV ORDERS HALT TO ACTION
By Matthew Lee

Associated Press
Tuesday August 12 2008

WASHINGTON (AP) – With a crisis of Cold War proportions brewing,
President Bush demanded that Russia withdraw its troops from the
former Soviet republic of Georgia.

Hours later, Russian President Dmitri Medvedev ordered a halt to the
military action, saying it had brought security for civilians and
Russian peacekeepers in the breakaway South Ossetia region.

"The aggressor has been punished and suffered very significant
losses. Its military has been disorganized," Medvedev said Tuesday
in a nationally televised statement.

On Monday, in his strongest comments since the fighting erupted, Bush
told Russia to end a "dramatic and brutal escalation" of violence in
Georgia and accept international mediation to end the crisis.

"Russia has invaded a sovereign neighboring state and threatens
a democratic government elected by its people. Such an action is
unacceptable in the 21st century," Bush said from the White House just
an hour after he returned to Washington from attending the Olympics
in China.

Bush said Russia’s escalation had "raised serious questions about its
intentions in Georgia and the region" and had "substantially damaged
Russia’s standing in the world."

Earlier Tuesday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Georgian
President Mikhail Saakashvili must leave office, and demanded that
Georgian troops stay out of the breakaway South Ossetia region
for good.

A senior U.S. official said Monday that the United States and its
allies suspected Russia had been planning an invasion for some time
and deliberately instigated the conflict through attacks on Georgian
villages by pro-Russian forces in South Ossetia despite outwardly
appealing for calm and promising to rein in the separatists.

The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss internal
Bush administration deliberations, said there were numerous "unpleasant
precedents" for the current situation, including the 1979 Soviet
invasion of Afghanistan and the 1968 Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia.

Despite the tough talk in Washington, there was no specific threat of
any consequences Russia might face if it ignores the warnings. American
officials said they were working with U.S. allies in Europe and
elsewhere, as well as with the Russians, to defuse the crisis.

Earlier Monday, the United States and the world’s six other largest
economic powers issued a call similar to Bush’s for Russia to accept
a truce and agree to mediation as conditions deteriorated and Russian
troops continued their advances into Georgian territory.

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and her colleagues from the Group
of Seven leading industrialized nations pledged their support for a
negotiated solution to the conflict that has been raging since Friday,
the State Department said.

"We want to see the Russians stand down," deputy State Department
spokesman Robert Wood told reporters. "What we’re calling on is for
Russia to stop its aggression."

Rice and the foreign ministers of Britain, Canada, France, Germany,
Italy and Japan spoke in a conference call, during which they noted
that Georgia had agreed to a cease-fire and wanted to see Russia sign
on immediately, Wood said.

The G-7 diplomats called on Russia to respect Georgia’s borders and
expressed deep concern for civilian casualties. rgent consultations
at the United Nations and NATO were expected, according to Wood.

Wood said the United States was hopeful that the U.N. Security Council
would pass a strong resolution on the fighting that called for an
end to attacks on both sides as well as mediation, but prospects for
such a statement were dim given that Russia wields veto power on the
15-member body.

A senior U.S. diplomat, Matthew Bryza, is now in Tbilisi and is working
with Georgian and European officials on ways to calm the situation.

Meanwhile, the State Department said it has evacuated more than
170 American citizens from Georgia. Wood said two convoys carrying
the Americans, along with family members of U.S. diplomats based in
Georgia, left Tbilisi on Sunday and Monday for neighboring Armenia.

The U.S. Embassy in Georgia has distributed an initial contribution
of $250,000 in humanitarian relief to victims of the fighting and
is providing emergency equipment to people in need, although those
supplies would have run out Monday, the department said.

The Pentagon said it had finished flying some 2,000 Georgian troops
back home from Iraq on C-17 aircraft at Georgia’s request.

It said it had informed the Russians about the flights before they
began in order to avoid any mishaps, but Russian Prime Minister
Vladimir Putin harshly criticized the step, saying it would hamper
efforts to resolve the situation by reinforcing Georgian assets in a
"conflict zone."

Wood rejected the criticism, saying, "We’re not assisting in any
conflict."

Defense Department spokesman Bryan Whitman said the U.S. flew the
Georgians out of Iraq as part of a prior agreement that transport
would be provided in case of an emergency.

Pentagon officials said Monday that U.S. military was assessing the
fighting every day to determine whether U.S. trainers, who number
less than 100, should be pulled out of the country.

There had been about 130 trainers, including a few dozen civilian
contractors, but the civilians had been scheduled to rotate out of
the country and did so over the weekend, Whitman said. The remaining
uniformed trainers were moved over the weekend to what officials
believe is a safer location, he said.

Poland Concerned Over Georgia

POLAND CONCERNED OVER GEORGIA

Poland.pl
2008-08-11, 12:24

The armed clash between Georgia and Russia over South Ossetia
has alarmed Polish authorities and public opinion alike. Besides
declarations of sympathy and solidarity with Georgia, Poland and
its people are undertaking concrete steps to defuse the conflict and
render assistance to the victims of the aggression.

Following a series of wide consultations with government and foreign
partners over the weekend Polish president Lech Kaczynski has sent
a special envoy to Tbilisi to present a detailed peace plan he has
discussed with his Lithuanian and Ukrainian opposite numbers. Just
before departure for the Georgian capital Piotr Kownacki, who is
the deputy head of the Presidential Chancellary, told reporters that
the primary intention of this international initiative is bringing
true peacekeeping forces into Georgia: ‘It’s grotesque and ironic
in the present situation that it is the Russian forces which are the
peacekeepers there. In the face of Russian aggression against Georgia
this simply cannot be continued. The plan envisages international
presence under European Union auspices.’

While in Tbilisi, the Polish envoy is to meet with Georgian president
Saakashvili and that country’s foreign minister and possibly with the
French head of diplomacy who has a similar mission both in Tbilisi
and Moscow.

Mariusz Handzlik, another official of the Presidential Chancellary in
Warsaw, added that the presidents of Poland and other Baltic states
have not excluded visiting Georgia should such need arise from the
nearest developments.

Meanwhile, a group of 96 people have been evacuated from conflict
threatened Tbilisi by bus to Erevan in neighboring Armenia and then
transported on board a Polish government plane. Landing in Warsaw
early Monday morning, they told reporters at the airport: ‘Each
person received an SMS with the time and place of evacuation… I
have a French passport, so I went to the French embassy. They told
me to come the next day… Now I’m calm, I’m home… I’m here, but
my family is still there.’

The group comprised mostly Poles, but it also included 8 Czechs
and two other nationals. They all praised the exemplary manner in
which Polish consular services in Tbilisi handled the situation:
‘The Polish embassy did a really fine job. It extended help not only
to Polish citizens, but to all who asked for assistance regardless
whether they were Czech, French, German or other European nationals.’

The Polish government plane is departing on two more evacuation
missions to the region still on Monday.

Polish Red Cross (PCK) representatives were waiting for the evacuees
from Georgia ready to help the tormented people, Marcin Rudnicki told
our Radio Information Agency reporter: ‘The Red Cross in Poland has
considerable experience in such actions, to recall the evacuation
of Polish citizens from Lebanon two years ago. We have pledged all
necessary medical and psychological assistance fro those returning
from Georgia. We are ready to work with state administration services
as well as the interior and foreign ministries in this operation.’

The Polish Humanitarian Organization (PAH) was also quick to react.

Its leader Janina Ochojska says the famous Polish NGO with 7 years
of experience in Chechnya will be targetting – on the spot – all
those who need help in South Ossetia: ‘We are preparing to assist
Georgian citizens and that means Georgians and Ossetians, because
we’re thinking about both sides of the conflict. I’m still hoping
for a stop to the war actions so that the help needed will be limited
to organizing their return home and clearing the destruction. I wish
for that very much. We’ll be following the developments there.’

Not only organizations in Poland have been responding to the tragedy
of the military conflict in Georgia. Individual gestures of sympathy
for the Georgian cause have been manifested by Poles in front of
the Embassy of the Republic of Georgia in Warsaw. Participants of a
rally have written a letter of support and handed it to the diplomatic
officials: ‘We want to encourage Georgians not to surrender. The world
shares their grief. Even if not all politicians have voiced support, or
have given too little of it, we are strongly with the Georgian people.’

In response to the letter of support the Georgian embassy in Warsaw
has stated that the Russian attack is an attempt at punishing the
country for its western oriented and pro-Atlantic aspirations.