Benefactor Aris Stambolian Sponsors New Projects at Chamlian School

Benefactor Aris Stambolian visits a classroom at Chamlian on Jun. 4


Long-time benefactor Aris Stambolian visited Western Prelate Archbishop Kegham Khacherian at the Prelacy on June 4.

Western Prelate Arch. Kegham Khacherian pins the “Cilician Eagle” Medal on Aris Stambolian

The visit came in response to a proposal made by the prelate encouraging donors to support projects that contribute to the advancement and development of Prelacy Armenian.

In this spirit, Stambolian expressed his desire to support Vahan and Anoush Chamlian Armenian School through a new donation designated for projects aimed at the school’s enhancement and continued development.

Archbishop Khacherian expressed his profound appreciation for all benefactions directed toward the Armenian Church and Armenian schools and, in particular, highlighted Stambolian’s longstanding generosity and dedication to the advancement of the Armenian community and its institutions. In recognition of his exemplary compassion and generosity, the Prelate presented him with the “Cilician Eagle” Medal.

Following their meeting, Archbishop Khacherian and Stambolian visited the Vahan and Anoush Chamlian Armenian School, where they were welcomed by Head of School Dr. Talin Kargodorian and School Board Chairman Artin Ghazarian.

The guests toured the preschool and middle school facilities.

At the conclusion of the visit, Archbishop Khacherian and Stambolian attended a special student presentation prepared especially for their visit.

In his remarks, the Prelate once again expressed his appreciation to Stambolian for his generous support of Armenian education and the community. The Prelate concluded by offering his fatherly encouragement and blessings to the entire Chamlian School family, its students, benefactors, faculty, staff, and all members of the community.

Asbarez: Erdogan Congratulates Pashinyan

A smiling Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan accepts a gift President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey after their meeting in New York on Sep. 24, 2024


President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey on Thursday sent a note to Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan congratulating him on his Civil Contract Party’s lead in the June 7 elections.

“On behalf of my people and personally, I sincerely congratulate you on the success of the Civil Contract party you led in the parliamentary elections held in the Republic of Armenia on June 7, 2026, and wish you success in forming a government for the third time,” Erdogan said in the note.

“I am fully confident that your strategic vision for establishing long-term peace and stability in the region and ensuring the necessary cooperation in that direction will be successfully completed,” the Turkish president added.

Erdogan’s message comes days after the Turkish Foreign Ministry welcomed what it called “the peaceful completion” of the election.

“We welcome that the parliamentary elections held in Armenia on 7 June 2026 were concluded in a peaceful and calm atmosphere,” the Turkish Foreign Ministry said in a statement on Monday.

The ministry said Turkey hopes Armenia will take “bolder steps” toward peace and normalization in the region in the post-election period.

“Turkey will continue to contribute to regional stability and prosperity, as it has done to date, based on the common interests of the countries of the region,” the statement added.

168: Strikes against Iran have begun (updated)

June: 11, 2026

 

  • Yemen has warned the USA. “We will not remain silent if the attacks on Iran continue.”

 

  • The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced that it detected an F-16 fighter jet that had violated Iran’s airspace and fired surface-to-air missiles at it, forcing it to retreat.

 

  • Commenting on the situation, the former US chief negotiator Robert Melli stated. “If [the Trump administration] really thinks that Iran’s position will change through an attack, then this situation is typical of someone who is desperate because of not getting what he wants, so he takes irregular steps and attacks. They confuse military escalation with the leverage of pressure, just to make sure once again that pressure will not change Iran’s attitude.”

 

  • Israeli Channel 11 reports. “Israel is not involved in the strikes against Iran at this stage.”

 

  • The attack continues. American officials say it will last for hours.

 

  • The target map of US strikes against Iran has been presented.
    US forces strike along the southern coast of Iran, near the Strait of Hormuz. Asaluye, Bandar Abbas, Qeshm, Hengam Island, Minab, Kargan and Sirik.

  • Prospects for diplomatic progress in negotiations between the United States and Iran have become even more hazy after the Qatari mediation delegation left Tehran on Wednesday evening without making any progress in the talks, reports The New York Times.

 

  • Sources monitoring the movement of military aviation report that two units of the US Air Force “KC-135R Stratotanker” air refueling aircraft are currently conducting refueling maneuvers in the south of Hormozgan province, west of the Strait of Hormuz. These stratotankers took off from the Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia.

 

  • According to IRIB and their Iraqi sources, the American military base “Al-Harir” in Erbil, in the north of Iraq, was targeted by an Iranian missile. Iraqi Al-Ma’uluma media also reported that Iran destroyed an American radar in Erbil.

 

  • According to Arab news sources, Iran did not make any concessions to the United States during the negotiations, which probably led to the current stage of the military conflict.

 

  • Israeli Yedioth Ahronoth periodical. “One of the American warships was seriously injured during the night clash today.”

 

  • Fox News, referring to a high-ranking US official, reports that several new waves of attack are planned for Iran tonight.

 

  • Information is being spread about the intensive activity of American fighter jets in the north of Iraq.

 

  • Sources following the movement of military aviation report that a large number of American aerial refueling planes have taken off from Israel to support the ongoing operations.

 

  • At this moment, fighters of the Air Force of the Islamic Republic of Iran are flying over Tehran.

 

  • Israel’s Channel 12 reports that the Israeli army is preparing to join the United States in a new campaign against Iran.

 

  • The US armed forces, by order of the Commander-in-Chief, have started to strike additional targets in Iran, announced CENTCOM (Central Command of the US Armed Forces).

 

  • A US representative told Axios that all the targeted facilities are located in the south of Iran. According to him, among them are air defense systems, radars, as well as command and control points for unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).

 

  • These strikes are being carried out to put pressure on Tehran to sign the agreement, but they could lead to an escalation of the military conflict, writes Axios.

 

  • Explosions have just been heard in Bandar Abbas, Iran’s state IRIB agency reports.

 

  • Iran launched missile attacks on American targets in northern Iraq

 

  • According to Iraqi sources, the American military base “Al-Harir” located in the north of Iraq (Erbil) was subjected to rocket attacks launched from the territory of Iran.

 

  • The Iraqi “Al-Maluma” website reports that an American radar system was destroyed in Erbil, the center of Iraqi Kurdistan, as a result of Iranian strikes.

 

  • The USA will strike Iran hard tonight, Pentagon chief Hegsett said earlier, and added that bombings will be carried out in the direction of key infrastructures.

 

  • Due to military operations, US President Donald Trump will not attend the opening game of the FIFA World Cup, which was scheduled to take place on Friday in Los Angeles between the US and Paraguay national teams. This is reported by “Politico” magazine, referring to its informed sources.

 

  • Iranian radio and television and “Tasnim” news agency report that loud explosions are heard in the port city of Bandar Abbas. In addition, the petrochemical plant belonging to the “South Pars” gas complex located in the city of Asaluye was bombed. According to the circulating information, the Kargan naval base was also targeted once again.

The journalist of Axios, referring to a high-ranking American official, reported a while ago that the strikes on Iran have begun.




The fakeness should be very obvious to everyone. I don’t rule it out if there is enough

June: 11, 2026


On June 12, the recalculation of the voting results of 555 precinct election commissions will be completed, and the CEC will publish the final results of the parliamentary elections on June 14.

Various public and political circles warn that the elections were held with violations and were accompanied by repressions, therefore, their legality should be disputed in general. By the way, the “Armenia” bloc has already announced that it will appeal to the Constitutional Court to challenge the results of the elections.

What to expect from the Constitutional Court? 168.amclarified From Aram Orbelyan, manager-partner of “Concern Dialog” law office, specialist in international law, lawyer.

In response, Aram Orbelyan elaborated: “There are 3 circumstances. the first, the evidence base, which at the moment, according to the records we are familiar with according to the publications of mass media and social networks, is quite large. And if it is completed and coordinated, it becomes obvious that these elections cannot be fair and transparent, because the volume of these violations is such that it affected the results. The mere fact that, as a result of all recalculations, problems were found, already proves the minimum: organizational problems and the quality of organization.

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The second, which refers to the expectation from the Constitutional Court. the minimum expectation is that it will be possible to directly show these falsehoods through a court hearing, so that the people will not only be informed about it from political talk, but will clearly see that there is a problem. I do not rule out that, if there is sufficient political and civil activity at that time, the Constitutional Court will also make a different decision with everything it has.

Another decision, this is the 3rd point, can be from a limited criticizing decision that, for example, the election was not fair, to ending with declaring the election invalid.

The lawyer added that he considers the possibility of the latter to be very small, but does not rule it out. And the small probability, according to him, is due not to the problems of the evidence field, but to the problems of the structure of the Constitutional Court.

“Now we have exclusively 1 judges appointed by the government,” he remarked.

Aram Orbelyan, however, emphasized that the expectations should not only be from the Constitutional Court, but also from ourselves, from the civil active circle, from the NGOs, from the parties, so that the process is not a discussion of a standard application, but becomes a constitutional process.

“The most typical example of this was the process taking place within the framework of pension reforms, where both the law was discussed in the Constitutional Court, and in parallel with it, civil society activity and activity took place,” explained the specialist.

Aram Orbelyan responded to the observation that the decision of the Supreme Court will be followed by the decision of the political forces on whether to take mandates or not, and to the question: which decision does he consider to be the right one at the moment?

“In this case, I have a clear idea that not taking mandates is not an option, but with one “but”. this implies that before that there should be the process I mentioned, the falsity should be very obvious for everyone, and if it was possible to show the falsity very obviously for everyone, then the discussion will not be about taking a mandate or not. The problem is not the instrument of taking a mandate, but the instrument of not going to a quiet parliament. In other words, receiving that mandate does not prevent them from admitting that the process is falsified, and political activity, political activism within it will continue, because any political process that will take place, unless the decision of the Constitutional Court is invalid and will mean new elections, a new vote, accordingly implies that there must be some other process: it can be either a resignation or a confidence process, but for all those processes, it must be in the parliament. representation”.

Marukyan did not decide whose door he serves. Shiraz Khachatryan: Ed

June: 11, 2026

Shiraz Khachatryan, an expert of “Henaket” analytical center, writes: “I was watching the last Facebook live of Edmon Marukyan… what can I say, it is hard to find a more pathetic scene than putting one’s own political bankruptcy in the pocket of the “formers”. The figure who experienced a complete fiasco and ended up in a dead end, instead of admitting his own incompetence, went back to the old craft of trying to blame all his failures and mistakes on the RPA and Serzh Sargsyan.

The irony is that just yesterday these same entities were publicly thanking the RPA for the correct decision not to participate in the elections and not to pollute the field. And today, when they stand in front of the broken trough, they are again ordering the culprits. A more absolute sign of political immorality is hard to find.

Even so, Marukyan did not decide whose door he serves or whose ambassador he pretends to be on “special assignments”.

Put an end to this primitivism and pettiness. Even cheap shows should have a limit. Just play away…”

Edmon, don’t get between the finger and the ring. You are a political trap, just like you

June: 11, 2026

Today, the chairman of the “Enlightened Armenia” party, Nikol Pashinyan, former ambassador with special assignments, Edmon Marukyan once again targeted the leader of the RPA, the 3rd president of the Republic of Armenia, Serzh Sargsyan, calling him “Nikol Pashinyan’s lawyer”.

Eduard Sharmazanov, member of the RPA Executive Body, former vice-chairman of the National Assembly, published a video in response to Edmon Marukyan.

“For 7-8 years, the society, my close friends and colleagues asked me a question, they said: have you communicated with Edmon Marukyan, have you worked with him? Is he Nikol Pashinyan’s political trap, the political six, is he Nikol Pashinyan’s six and a mine in the opposition field. I have refrained, given the full range of circumstances. But today Edmon crossed all the red lines. No more, no less, like others, he says: Nikol Pashinyan’s lawyer is Serzh Sargsyan.

Are you talking about Nikol Pashinyan’s advocacy… You, who were Nikol’s special ambassador, and there was no hole that you did not defend, because you justified the handover of Lachin, Susi, Aghavno…

Didn’t you say, Edmond, there is no negotiation? We had coffee with Nikol Pashinyan, he convinced me.

Whenever Serzh Sargsyan’s team, led by Serzh Sargsyan, did not come home from the streets and fight, was caught, detained, you received bonuses from Nikol Pashinyan, do it. And you are not ashamed, are you talking like this now?

You behave like a political trap. At that time, Nikol was using you as a political trap, and now others? At that time, you received instructions from Nikol, and now from others? You are a mine in the opposition.

And one thing… don’t get between Armen Ashotyan and Serzh Sargsyan, please, don’t get between the finger and the ring to try to assert yourself now with your little mutilation. We will be crushed politically. If you are considered a political triad, act like a political triad,” said Eduard Sharmazanov.

Details in the video.




The Azerbaijani side is satisfied with the success of its candidate Pashinyan. Pashinyan himself

June: 11, 2026

Azerbaijanologist Tatevik Hayrapetyan writes: “Pashinyan’s victory became possible thanks to Ilham Aliyev’s strategic vision,” Azai Guliyev, a deputy from Azerbaijan, said two days ago.

He noted that “the result of the elections should be considered first of all as a new success and victory of Ilham Aliyev’s political line and his strategic vision regarding the future of the South Caucasus…”.
He added:

“However, the Armenian society and the authorities are facing another important challenge: to amend the constitutional provisions containing territorial claims against Azerbaijan in order to remove the last remaining legal obstacles on the way to sustainable peace and the signing of a peace agreement.

The results of yesterday’s elections show that the Armenian society today is more ready than before to take steps in this direction and realizes that there is no alternative to it.”

What does this show? The Azerbaijani side is satisfied with the success of its candidate Pashinyan, because Pashinyan is their main tool against the Armenian state, and the tool should be used to the maximum. Therefore, in the near future, he will be forced to organize the referendum of Aliyev, the text of the constitution will be dictated from Baku. This is Aliyev’s political plan to humiliate the Armenian community as much as possible, which will never lead to the signing of the contract, instead it aims to finally break the Armenian community and simply nullify the sovereignty. This is exactly what Aliyev’s candidate will do in the near future. At the same time, I think this is entirely preventable, and it requires a broad public consolidation.”

This is a message that the issue of prisoners should be negotiated only between Armenia and Azerbaijan

June: 11, 2026

A bipartisan resolution was presented in the US Congress calling on Azerbaijan to immediately release Armenian prisoners of war and civilians held in Baku. This is reported by the American Armenian Dat office.

Should we build expectations around this resolution and in which case is the return of Armenian prisoners possible? 168amaddressed these questions Siranush Sahakyan, representative and lawyer of Armenian prisoners at the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR).in։

First, he noted that although we are dealing with discussions in the Foreign Relations Committee of the House of Representatives, it has not yet passed the necessary stages of becoming a law and it is still unclear what will happen.

“I should note that during the previous discussions, these initiatives did not reach their logical end, that is, they did not become a law, with the difference of a few votes. On the other hand, I would like to note that in order to become a law, the threshold must first be overcome, it must be discussed in the plenary session, and the House of Representatives must discuss it, after which a discussion and vote must take place in the Senate.

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We do not rule out revising the wording here either, and most importantly, after acceptance, it must be signed by the president, and only after passing those thresholds can it become a law.

In my opinion, this is mostly a political position, and not an initiative aimed at establishing legally binding behavior for the authorities of Azerbaijan. It is also not a punitive step, because the draft does not contain a procedure for providing sanctions in case of non-compliance, and in many cases in America it is combined with threats of sanctions, and here, for example, it is defined a limitation of some aid, sanctions against officials, obligation to submit regular reports, etc.

Along with this, the issue is important because the agenda is being set at the Congress level. This is a message that the issue of prisoners is not only a closed negotiation topic between Armenia and Azerbaijan, it is an issue subject to international political pressure,” explained the human rights defender.

He also emphasized bipartisan support, noting that overcoming vote thresholds in single-party initiatives is quite difficult. in this case, the situation is already encouraging.

“And if it does not directly lead to the release of prisoners, for example, it is accepted, but Azerbaijan evades its implementation, it still remains as a diplomatic lever, and US officials can always refer to the position of the Congress in meetings with Azerbaijan and emphasize the implementation of the provisions of those resolutions in bilateral relations, as well as the adoption by America.

I think this may pave the way for the adoption of similar bills in other countries pursuing policies compatible with the American policy, for example, it may be Australia, the United Kingdom, Canada, etc., which seem to adopt common foreign policy courses,” added the representative of the Armenian prisoners.

Speaking in general about the possibility of the return of prisoners in the context of Trump’s policy adopted in our region, if this issue was not included in the so-called Peace Agreement, Siranush Sahakyan elaborated: “I think two parallel processes are going on. Although this clause is missing in the peace agreement, the American administration also reaffirms its involvement in the solution of the problem in this way, which will increase the credibility of the peace process.

If this element is ignored, which is ignored in the formal text, I think that the promise of peace will be difficult to implement, viable. It will mostly remain at the level of a wish, a dream, but in the context of the coexistence of peoples, the results of peace will not be tangible. That’s why I see that it seems like a parallel policy is being conducted.”

By the way, it is noted that the resolution was presented in the US Congress by Brad Sherman (Democrat, California), the vice-chairman of the Armenian Affairs Committee of the Congress, and was discussed in the Foreign Relations Committee of the House of Representatives. and now it is expected to be voted on in the committee.

The resolution states that Azerbaijan should immediately and unconditionally release all Armenian prisoners of war and political prisoners.

“Given the documented executions of Armenian POWs by Azerbaijani forces, including several executions that have been recorded and shared on social media, as documented by Human Rights Watch, it is vitally important that the United States unequivocally advocates for the immediate and unconditional release of all Armenian POWs,” Brad Sherman said during the committee hearing.

It is reported that Representative Sherman also described the release of hostages as a direct part of US President Donald Trump’s peace efforts in the South Caucasus.

“As President Trump continues his efforts to ensure lasting peace in the South Caucasus, the release of Armenian prisoners of war and political prisoners will be a significant step towards this achievement,” he noted.

Azerbaijan continues to illegally hold 19 Armenian prisoners, including representatives of the former military and political leadership of Karabakh. Imprisonment sentences were passed against them on false charges.

Between two chairs. What to expect from the noisy Armenian-Russian relations?

June: 11, 2026


After the noisy elections that took place in Armenia and inflamed internal political passions, the clarification of the country’s foreign political vector remains one of the most urgent problems. In this context, the future vision of relations with Russia and the prospects of revising the strategic alliance or terminating RA membership in EAEU continue to be the key and foremost topic of public and political science discussions.

At the press conference held immediately after the noisy parliamentary elections held in Armenia, where Pashinyan declared himself the winner after processing only 10% of the votes, Pashinyan also spoke about the so-called EAEU-EU elections.

He noted that Armenia will continue the course of rapprochement with the European Union, but will also continue its participation and membership in the Eurasian Economic Union, will continue to develop relations with Russia and other member countries of the Eurasian Economic Union.

“We will continue the course of rapprochement with the European Union, but we will also continue participation and membership in the Eurasian Economic Union, we will continue to develop relations with Russia and other member countries of the Eurasian Economic Union. Of course, we will contribute to the strengthening of ties within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Union,” Pashinyan said.

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His statement towards Russia had a softer tone, but it did not help Russia to congratulate Pashinyan immediately after the elections, as a number of Western partners did.

That tone of Pashinyan also did not prevent Russia from addressing the elections held in Armenia in rather sharp terms, noting that unprecedented repressions and pressures against the opposition were recorded.

According to his assessment, the elections in Armenia took place under conditions of unprecedented pressure on the opposition and interference from the West. Viktor Vodolatsky, the first vice-chairman of the State Duma Committee on CIS Affairs, Eurasian Integration and Relations with Compatriots, also said that vote falsification during the elections in Armenia led to the loss of at least 20% of voters’ votes by the opposition parties.

Still during the pre-election campaign, during the pre-election meeting with the residents of the town of Martuni, Gegharkunik region, referring to the topic of strained relations with Russia and the EU-EAEU election, Pashinyan said that after the elections, he would go to Russia to meet with Putin.

“The President of Russia called me on June 1 to congratulate me on my birthday, but we also had business talks, and we agreed that after the elections I will leave again, we will have a meeting and resolve all current issues,” Pashinyan said.

Although Dmitry Peskov, the press spokesman of the Russian President, announced hours ago that there is no clear agreement regarding the meeting, most likely such a meeting will be planned after the publication of the official results of the elections.  Peskov also said that relevant decisions will be made depending on the end of the electoral process.

“You know that an announcement about the results of the elections is expected on June 14. You know that many participants of the elections there are going to appeal, there will be a recount, etc., that is, it is quite complicated and long,” he added.

Before the possible meeting, although the electoral passions in Armenia have not weakened yet, the situation around Armenia in EAEU continues to be actively discussed. The Russian officials, who during the entire pre-election campaign in RA made rather sharp statements, do not reduce the level of tension. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov announced on June 10 that the question of Armenia’s membership in the EAEU is very serious, and it is necessary to take an urgent decision.

“They announce in Yerevan that for now there is no question of leaving the Eurasian Economic Union, because we (Armenia’s leadership – A.M.) have not joined the European Union yet. You know, a law on EU membership has already been adopted in Armenia, that’s why the issue is already very serious… Here, of course, we will have to take an active approach,” Lavrov said.

The Russian Foreign Minister recalled the words of the Russian President Vladimir Putin and members of the Russian government that “we will have to deal with the issue of Armenia’s membership quite promptly”.

“Not because we do not respect the choice of the Armenian people. We want to know exactly that choice. Otherwise, it is impossible to implement Armenia’s law on joining the European Union and at the same time remain a member of the Eurasian Economic Union, because the norms by which these two associations operate are mutually exclusive,” Lavrov emphasized.

In parallel, the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova, touched on the topic, noting that Moscow will not tolerate the status of Yerevan’s guardian in the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU). He noted that the statements from Yerevan about EAEU and the EU are similar to weather theory. one like this, one like that.

168.amin a conversation with Russian analyst Victor Nadein-Raevsky tried to predict what to expect from Armenian-Russian contacts in the near future, including at a high level.

According to him, it is unlikely that there will be a turning point in Armenian-Russian relations.

According to him, Russia has already raised the issue in such a way, moved the problem, including to the EAEU leaders, that it is unlikely that the process will stop at some point. However, on the other hand, in his opinion, the RA authorities will try to ease the situation or try to find edges of mutual understanding at the upcoming meeting, if it takes place.

“It is difficult to say how this will be achieved, because there is an EAEU whose agenda is incompatible with the EU, so at the moment the question is clearly posed by Russia and other partners. The situation would be different if Armenia refused the EU membership course, but this is not possible considering the depth of relations between Armenia and European officials. The whole problem of this situation is that the European future of Armenia is not visible, but this invisible, intangible goal creates problems for Armenia in the EAEU. Perhaps it would be correct if a referendum was held, as proposed by the EAEU, the decision-maker is Armenia, or the decision will be made by the government or the people through a referendum. However, I think that the EAEU has shown realistic results to people, since Armenia does not have a common border with the EAEU countries, it has been economically well integrated, it receives benefits from economic integration and trade and economic privileges in the EAEU territory. This is the reason why the RA authorities have frozen CSTO membership, but they want to continue working in EAEU,” said Victor Nadein-Raevsky.

According to him, if a meeting is held in the near future after the official confirmation of the election results, it will be a key conversation and many issues will become clear.

“It is obvious that the EU will also become more active, they will try to make Armenia’s European future irreversible, there will also be visits to Armenia, so after the end of the electoral processes, there will be a dynamic phase that will perhaps give answers to certain questions,” he said.

The “second wave” of the Middle East crisis. From the Hormuz Confrontation to the South

June: 11, 2026

The last ten days in the Middle East were marked by the degradation of the fragile April ceasefire and a new, more dangerous phase of military escalation.

Closed-door talks between Washington and Tehran, which have included tough American demands for a freeze on uranium enrichment and stockpile depletion, have been essentially deadlocked for several months, with the sides unable to reach an agreement. In recent days, the diplomatic crisis has once again moved to the military stage. On June 4, clashes between the US Navy and Iran began in the Strait of Hormuz, which culminated on June 8, when an Iranian attack drone shot down a US Army AH-64 Apache attack helicopter off the coast of Oman.

In this regard, the Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, stated that Iran should combine military operations and diplomacy in order to turn it into political and economic achievements.

In response to the downing of the helicopter, US President Donald Trump ordered “self-defense strikes”, but Israel took tougher measures, striking Iran’s most important petrochemical complex in Mahshahr on June 9.

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According to Axios leaks, Donald Trump has warned Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to “be careful” not to end the ceasefire. However, on June 10, Trump confirmed in an interview with Fox News that he may continue to strike energy facilities because Iranian negotiators are delaying the process. Although Qatari mediators continue to work, mutual missile strikes in the Persian Gulf maintain a high risk of a full-scale resumption of war.

This great geopolitical earthquake is directly projected on the South Caucasus, where the discussions regarding Azerbaijan’s possible support to Israel have become active again. The American CNN recently made a sensational publication, according to which, during the war against Iran, Israel deployed secret troops, special military and intelligence units in Azerbaijan in several positions adjacent to the northern border of Iran, the closest of which is only about 100 kilometers from the Iranian city of Tabriz. Israeli forces, including special forces, military helicopters and Mossad personnel, carried out reconnaissance, drone operations from the territory of Azerbaijan, and planted eavesdropping devices in the northern settlements of Iran. One of the main operations carried out from the territory of Azerbaijan was the killing of Rahman Moghaddam, the head of the intelligence special operations unit of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps on March 4.

Baku responded to this leak with a strong denial, calling the news “completely baseless” and asserting that it will not allow its territory to be used against third countries. Nevertheless, the deep strategic and energy ties between Baku and Tel Aviv remain a primary threat to Tehran. Abolfazl Zohrevand, a member of the Iranian Parliament, a member of the National Security Committee, stated that Baku does not know that it can be wiped off the face of the earth in 3-4 hours, and this is not an exaggeration. Zohrevand noted that most of the Israeli attacks on Iran were carried out from the territory of Azerbaijan.

“Now both Turkey and Israel have deployed their military forces in Nagorno Karabakh. The military airport in the north of Baku was given to them, and no one can be within a few kilometers of it. They constantly bring troops, equipment, and do works there. Of course, we know this, but the government is not responding. I mean, this is a war against Zionism. Aliyev also has the same profile that Ben Zayed has. if not worse, definitely not better than Ben Zayed. They are in agreement with the Zionists, and we must understand who we are dealing with. We knew that the Emirates is the second Israel, but until they attacked us, we did nothing against them. We knew Kuwait, we know Azerbaijan too,” said the Iranian deputy.

He clarified that Iran’s principle is based on moderation and rationality, but if they strike, Iran will respond in such a way that they will not come to their senses.

The consequences of this conflict for the South Caucasus can be catastrophic. If Tehran is finally convinced that Azerbaijan supports Israel, the infrastructures of Azerbaijan may also be targeted by Iranian attacks, which will affect Armenia as well. In addition, analysts note that the protracted war in Iran is drastically reducing the logistics potential of the region, jeopardizing international trade programs passing through Syunik and Western investments, including the US-Armenia TRIPP project.

Iranian analyst Khayal Muazzin 168.amin a conversation with , he said that any war has a way to expand and worsen, as well as a more optimistic way out.

According to him, Iran controls the situation, trying to maintain its negotiation positions in parallel.

According to the analyst’s assessment, no matter how difficult the situation is, Iran succeeds in it well, Iran shows strength and resistance to its opponents, thus encouraging them to soften their positions. Otherwise, according to his conviction, negotiations with Iran in the ultimatum language are not the best option.

Khayal Muazin also believes that such a war in the neighborhood of the region can have both indirect and direct consequences, taking into account the significant strengthening of the West and Israel in the region. “Besides, the previous strict divisions of the regions do not work today in some cases, we are also talking about the South Caucasus, which as a result of the geopolitical developments of the last years has significantly “approached” the Middle Eastern region, that is, the connectivity has significantly increased.

“Therefore, for the South Caucasus, there is an internal regional agenda in Yerevan-Baku relations, as well as an external component related to the relations between Russia, Iran, and the West. This is already a rather difficult environment, and I think it will continue. As for Azerbaijan, Iran has constantly warned Azerbaijan about the consequences, on the other hand, it is known to everyone that Iran pursues a cautious policy and is not in favor of escalation without a reason,” said Khayal Muazin.