View from Moscow: Pashinyan will more benefit if Artsakh has a president with legitimacy problems rather than a president with 90% support

Arminfo, Armenia

ArmInfo.According to the results of the second round of elections, the political transit of power – the change of key political persons in Artsakh can be considered  successfully completed, leading researcher at the Center for  Euro-Atlantic Security of the Institute for International Studies at  Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MSIIR) Sergey  Markedonov, expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

“At the same time, the new president Arayik Harutyunyan for pragmatic  reasons will try to distance himself from his predecessor, from the  outgoing management team regarding which the people of Artsakh have  accumulated discontent and a certain tiredness. Accordingly, having  multifaceted problems with legitimacy, the new government will need  to separate itself from the mistakes of the past. Only 44.9% of  voters came to the polls in the second round, while Harutyunyan’s  faction will have opponents in parliament. There will also be certain  political activity outside of parliament, “he remarked.

In this light, according to the analyst’s forecasts, Harutyunyan will  have to not only gain political distance from his predecessors, but,  playing ahead of the curve, incorporate some moderate opponents into  the new government. Thus, the President of Artsakh will face a  situation similar to the one faced in 2008 by Serzh Sargsyan in  Armenia. The latter also had to prove to the opposition and society  his own independence from Robert Kocharyan.

According to Markedonov’s estimates, with coming to power in Armenia,  Nikol Pashinyan chose a course to strengthen Yerevan’s presence in  Stepanakert and develop his own “Karabakh capital”. At the same time,  Yerevan tried to demonstrate detachment from internal dynamics during  the elections in Artsakh. And judging from the lack of desire to  cancel or postpone the elections due to the threat of the  coronavirus, apparently, the Armenian leadership sought to close the  election page in Artsakh as soon as possible.

“It seems that such a position of Yerevan is due to the fact that  Pashinyan will more benefit if Artsakh has a President with problems  with legitimacy rather than the president with 90% support. And in  this light, Masis Mayilian’s typological proximity to the new  Armenian leadership takes a backseat to a more important factor. The  President of Artsakh, who has any problems with legitimacy, will not  undertake a confrontation in relations with Yerevan as soon as he  comes to power. Since the support of colleagues from Armenia is  extreme importance for him. It seems that the distancing of Yerevan  from the electoral processes in Artsakh was based on this  calculation, ” Markedonov said.

Following the results of the second round of presidential elections  in Artsakh on April 14, according to preliminary information from the  CEC, Arayik Harutyunyan, the leader of the Free Homeland party, won  with 39,860 or 88% of the vote. 5428 or 12% of voters voted for  Foreign Minister Masis Mayilyan who was calling on the Artsakhians to  boycott the elections. 1876 ballots were recognized invalid. In the  second round, 47,165 or 44.9% of the total number of voters took  part. According to the results of the first round, Harutyunyan scored  – 49.6%, Masis Mayilyan – 26.7% of the vote. The March 31  parliamentary elections ended with the passage of five political  forces in the Artsakh National Assembly. These are the parties “Free  Homeland”, “United Civil Alliance” – 40.4%, “United Homeland” –  23.63%, “Justice” – 7.9%, ARF “Dashnaktsutyun” – 6.4% and “Democratic  Party Artsakh “- 5.81%.

In memory of victims of Armenian Genocide bells will ring in all churches of AAC

Arminfo, Armenia

ArmInfo. On April 24, a series  of events dedicated to the 105th anniversary of the Armenian Genocide  in the Ottoman Empire will be held in the Mother See of Etchmiadzin.

So, according to the Chancellery of the Mother See, in memory of the  holy martyrs of the Armenian Genocide on April 24 at 10:30 local  time, Holy Divine Liturgy will be held in Holy Etchmiadzin and in all  the churches of the AAC. It will pass behind closed doors without  parishioners.  On the same day, at 12:00, bells will ring in all the  churches of the AAC in memory of the victims of the Armenian  Genocide.

It should be noted that this year in connection with the coronavirus  pandemic, mourning events on the occasion of the 105th anniversary of  the Armenian Genocide were canceled. 

Samtskhe-Javakheti reports first coronavirus case

Panorama, Armenia

Samtskhe-Javakheti, a region in southern Georgia, reported its first coronavirus case in a young man from the village of Akhaldaba, Jnews reported, citing Rustavi-2 TV.

The man in his 30s is a customs officer and has supposedly been in contact with a person infected with COVID-19.

He had visited his parents from Tbilisi several days before being diagnosed with the disease, the source said.

The man has been taken to the quarantine location in Bakuriani. The circle of his contacts is being identified, the media outlet said.

His family members, as well as six people who have had contact with him have been quarantined, acting Borjomi Mayor Davit Zaalishvili said, adding one of the infected man’s family members was taken to the Borjomi center for fever patients on 15 April, but tested negative for the virus.

Georgia confirmed 336 cases of coronavirus on Thursday. 74 of the 336 patients have recovered, while three others have died from the disease. 

Parliamentary inquiry committee chair presented Serzh Sargsyan’s answers incompletely, office says

Panorama, Armenia

During a briefing with reporters after Thursday’s meeting of the Armenian National Assembly inquiry committee for examining the circumstances of the military operations in April 2016, chairman of the committee Andranik Kocharyan presented some details from the committee members’ question and answer session with third President Serzh Sargsyan within the framework of the meeting.

News.am asked Sargsyan’s office to what extent Kocharyan’s statements are true. In response to the question, Meri Harutyunyan, the head of the office, said as follows: “As a result of the parliamentary inquiry committee chairman’s segmental representation of the views expressed by the third Armenian president at the meeting, they did not fully and accurately reflect the wording made directly by President Sargsyan at the meeting, and therefore, they do not fully represent the whole reality. (…).

According to the third president of Armenia, the meeting was held in a completely constructive atmosphere, but the committee’s final conclusion at the end of the work is important.

As President Sargsyan stated yesterday at the parliament, at the press conference to be held immediately after the end of the [current] state of emergency, he will reflect in detail on all the issues related to this and the April war topic, which will be of interest to the media representatives.”

The trial in the case of Robert Kocharian is scheduled for May 8

Arminfo, Armenia

ArmInfo. The court hearing on the  case of the second president of Armenia Robert Kocharian and others  is scheduled for May 8. The lawyer of ex-head of state Aram  Vardevanyan wrote about this on his Facebook page.

Meanwhile, the lawyer expressed his dissatisfaction with this fact,  since the petition, according to him, is subject to immediate  consideration, especially taking into account the current  epidemiological situation.  Recall that the request to change the  measure of restraint of the ex-president from arrest to personal  surety should have been submitted on March 17, however, on March 13,  judge Anna Danibekyan presented a document on temporary disability,  and therefore the court session did not take place. The defense has  previously criticized the fact that no other judge was appointed to  consider the application. We also add that former Prime Ministers of  Armenia Vazgen Manukyan, Khosrov Harutyunyan, Karen Karapetyan and  ex- Prime Minister of Artsakh Anushavan Danielyan are ready to make a  guarantee. Robert Kocharian is being accused in the March 1, 2008  case. The charges were brought under Article 300.1 of the RA Criminal  Code (Overthrow of the Constitutional System).

Divine Liturgy in commemoration of the victims of the Armenian Genocide to be held behind the closed doors

Panorama, Armenia
Society 19:35 17/04/2020Armenia

Special Divine Liturgies will be celebrated in the Mother See of Holy Etchmiadzin and all churches of the Armenian Apostolic Church on April 24, the annual commemoration day of the Armenian Genocide.

The Liturgies will be held behind the closed doors, the Information Department at the Mother See said in a statement. Following the Liturgy a special Repose of Souls service will offered in memory of the 1.5 million victims of the Genocide.

On the same day, at 12.00, the bells of all Churches will ring in memory of the 1.5 million victims of the Genocide, said the source.

CIVILNET.No lockdowns and a flattened curve. How did South Korea do it, and what can we learn?

CIVILNET.AM

20:08 

While surfing the vast realms of the Covid19-internet and different countries’ response to the pandemic, I came across this internet “wisdom” that went a little like this: “The world is living in 2020 while South Korea is somewhere in 2030.” This may seem far-fetched, but… is it?

Zara Poghosyan 

YEREVAN – On a Wednesday morning in early March, as we gathered in our sun-lit office where the staff holds the daily CivilNet editorial meetings, I received a message from one of the editors at Korea.net, the portal that “represents the voice of the Korean government and promotes Korea online,” effectively notifying me that I had been selected as a Korea.net Honorary Reporter. 

I was thrilled to know it entailed a possible visit to the country, having long been fascinated by its history, culture and above all, the phenomenon of robust technological and economic growth that seemed to be, as some mildly put it, on steroids.

This was an odd time because the world was caught by surprise by the novel coronavirus – Covid-19. But South Korea? Not so much. 

This is partly because South Korea has been down this road before , having battled a similar outbreak of yet another coronavirus, the far more deadly MERS, back in 2015.

In its fascinating way that Koreans achieve things, the country has managed to flatten the curve that initially had a very steep incline, and has been able to avoid the Chinese model of harsh lockdowns the world has also had to implement (apart from Sweden, causing a huge blow to the world economy and markets.  South Korea, however, seems to have managed to escape the demise: the country hasn’t even closed its border, although all arrivals must enter a two week quarantine. Incheon International Airport, the primary airport serving the Seoul Capital Area, is ranked the 16th busiest airport in the world with 68,350,784 people traveling through it in 2019. More than 50% of annual tourists consist of travelers from which country? You guessed it, China, the cradle of the virus.

So what is behind Korea’s efficient containment of the virus that is ravaging the rest of the world? 

Someone on the internet jokingly said, “The world is living in 2020 while S. Korea is somewhere in 2030.” This may seem far-stretched, but… is it though?

As the spring is in full bloom on the beautifully paved streets of Seoul, – equal parts futuristic and historical, – people are out and about their business, some even leisurely picnicking on the banks of the Han river. To me, who has been in lockdown for about a month, with a similarly non-exciting month lying ahead, this seems pretty utopian.                        

 Some call South Korea’s strategy the 4T strategy – Test, Triage, Trace and Treat. But there are two other Ts – people’s Trust in their government and  government’s Transparency. South Korea saw the number spike in late February because of its massive testing capabilities and accurate data recording.

The country immediately started mass production of test-kits, establishing drive-thru and walk-in free test centers with results coming in as soon as 24 hours. By early March, South Korea was conducting 20,000 tests a day, the most anywhere in the world. Anyone who tested positive was immediately isolated. Infected individuals also had to download an app that alerts authorities when they go out, and people in the vicinity of an infected person receive phone alerts from the authorities. 

If you think that South Korea is able to do this because of its smaller size, consider this: Seoul Metropolitan city is the world’s 2nd largest with a population of 25.6 million people, with its population density almost twice that of New York City and eight times greater than Rome. 

South Koreans are used to wearing masks on a daily basis because of fine dust that by the way, partly come from China and Mongolian deserts with prevailing winds. 

However, apart from being a health protection measure, masks are a fashion statement in South Korea. Anyone familiar with the KPOP culture and the Korean entertainment industry, would know. By the way, Koreans didn’t line up their supermarkets to empty the shelves of toilet paper and alcogel in what was called panic buying that swept across the USA and some of Europe. The only mild shortage has ever been that of the face masks. 

COVID-19 surveillance can be deeply intrusive. In South Korea, where a democratic country flattened the rate of the outbreak’s growth, authorities retraced the physical steps of those who tested positive. They enlisted credit card records for purchase patterns, GPS data for travel patterns, and security-camera footage for verification. Surveillance in data-dystopian countries like China was far more extensive. 

At first glance, South Korea’s experience shows that countries around the world can learn much from it, especially when considering that a second-wave of the virus is still likely. Lockdowns are not a long-term solution, although they have proven to be effective in temporarily stopping the uncontrollable spread of this virus. 

The South Korean government has access to private GPS data to use only during national emergencies. At the same time, many around the world express concerns that the government’s GPS surveillance of its citizens poses a risk to privacy and information security. But aren’t we already sending GPS information to Google right now without any knowledge about where all that data might end up? I’m no tech expert but even I would know that as long as you have a smartphone, your location info is always provided to some company or institution, regardless of which country you reside in. It’s just a difference of whether the government can use that data to save lives or not.

This topic has also sparked a heated debate in Armenia, where the country’s parliament voted in favor of adopting the controversial data-collecting law “to limit the spread of the coronavirus,” while those opposing it expressed their concerns about the state’s interference with the citizens’ personal data. 

To scratch the surface of understanding South Korea’s phenomenon, let’s take a short dive into its most recent history.

Following the Korean War of 1950-1953, South Korea remained one of the poorest countries in the world for over a decade. Fast-forward to now, and we have a country that has the 4th largest economy in Asia and the 12th largest in the world. Today, it is the world’s 6th largest car-manufacturer, largest ship builder, largest manufacturer of memory chips, and the list goes on and on. 

The fact that Korea was able to do so in about 50 years is remarkable. This economic growth is described as the Miracle on the Han River. The term was coined after the phrase “Miracle on the Rhine” that was used to refer to the economic rebirth of West Germany after World War II. South Korea’s growth has brought the country to the ranks of countries in the OECD and the G-20. 

In the book The Future is Asian, Parag Khanna argues that the world is becoming more multipolar. However, he also predicts that the 21st century will be the “Asian Century.” Will it, though?

With an emphasis on mostly economic trends, Khanna argues that, “In the 19th century, the world was Europeanized. In the 20th century, it was Americanized. Now, in the 21st century, the world is being Asianized.” He does have a point when we consider  the Asian ‘tigers’ – Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan and South Korea, the newer, booming economies of South-east Asia, and look further to the new economic superpowers of China and India.

While there are many things in this book I disagree with, including ideas like “Democracy guarantees neither that good ideas will emerge nor that they will be implemented,” I have to agree that there are undoubtedly many truths in his book, among them this quote, “There is no more important region of the world for us to better understand than Asia – and thus we cannot afford to keep getting Asia so wrong.” 

I still haven’t finished the book. I have all the time in the world to do so, or so it seems.

Much has been said about the way this virus will,and already is, altering our reality , the reality that was once perceived as the “old normal.” What we need to do now is start thinking about the possibility of a “new normal,” where sanitary precautions and social distancing will not be extra and stigmatized, but instead, an inseparable part of our daily routine. 

And in the hopefully near future, when the vaccine is out and we’re out of our caves, with obvious deficiencies of vitamin D but a tiny bit wiser and a whole lot paranoid about viruses; with a newfound obsession for washing hands and carrying around alcogels, ready for extra amounts of human interaction (and several urgent visits to beauty salons, gyms and whatnot), we can revert back to Old Normal, looking back at this from the height of someone who overcame, survived and learnt. And then…

There won’t be much time to sit back and relax. While trying to salvage what is left of the economy, (both worldwide and in my country) this will also be the appropriate time to consider that the South Korean approach may be a good one to consider, if this virus is here to stay.

South Koreans are generally humble people. They believe they’re just doing their jobs in fighting the pandemic. As a South Korean acquaintance told me during one of our insightful conversations on Kakao Talk (something like Korea’s Whatsapp and China’s WeChat), they were not expecting all this attention from international media, nor are they advocating that “their way is the best way.” 

In one thing, he is certain – whichever model the world chooses in order to deal with this pandemic, it will be better than nothing. 

Meanwhile, we’re still in this, together. While the increasing tendency of this outbreak has been for the nation-states to shut-down and try to contain the virus from within, we all need to come together across borders and nationalities and implement global disease prevention and control measures. Together, we will ultimately win.

Zara Poghosyan is the Communications Manager at CivilNet Studio in Yerevan and an Armenia producer for Al Jazeera English.                                                                                                                                  

Cover photo ‘Seoul’s daily life’, ‘서울의 일상’  by 박종화 

Fisherman near the Han river, ‘한강의 여유-2’, photo by 박종화 

Strange Times, photo by aaaallday 
 

CIVILNET.Catholicos Calls for Release of Ex-President Kocharyan

CIVILNET.AM

21:58 
Former Prime Minister Arayik Harutyunyan has been elected as Nagorno-Karabakh’s fourth president. Head of the Armenian Church, Catholicos Karekin II, has called for jailed former president Robert Kocharyan to be released. 44 more cases of coronavirus have been confirmed in Armenia. And the IMF releases report and economic forecasts for Armenia 
 

Azerbaijani press: Rob Sobhani: So-called elections in Nagorno-Karabakh may hurt peace process

Wed 15 Apr 2020 16:15 GMT | 20:15 Local Time

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With the entire world facing the crisis of the coronavirus, it is both strange and unfortunate that so-called “elections” have taken place in Nagorno-Karabakh, US expert, CEO of Caspian Group Holdings Rob Sobhani told Trend.

“This, of course, does not help in any way further the cause of peace and may even hurt the peace process. The International community responsible for conflict resolution will not be happy with these so-called “elections” because the mood across the world is to promote cooperation and peace,” he said.

Sobhani pointed out that the three co-chairs US, Russia, and France may now renew their efforts to solve the conflict.

“In fact, the global pandemic has created a situation across the world that shows world leaders must cooperate to solve problems such as the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan. More broadly speaking, the recent intense talks between Russian and US presidents on the global oil price collapse may pose a new opportunity for world leaders to cooperate on the resolution of the conflict,” he concluded.

The conflict between the two South Caucasus countries began in 1988 when Armenia made territorial claims against Azerbaijan. As a result of the ensuing war, Armenian armed forces occupied 20 percent of Azerbaijan, including the Nagorno-Karabakh region and seven surrounding districts.

The 1994 ceasefire agreement was followed by peace negotiations. Armenia has not yet implemented four UN Security Council resolutions on the withdrawal of its armed forces from Nagorno Karabakh and the surrounding districts.

Nearly 960 million AMD donated to anti-coronavirus efforts of Armenia

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 18:37, 14 April, 2020

YEREVAN, APRIL 14, ARMENPRESS.  The Ministry of Finance informs that a total of 959 million and 997 thousand drams has been donated to the Armenian government for its anti-coronavirus efforts, ARMENPRESS reports the government said.

The treasury account (900005001947) was opened on March 17th for citizens and organizations willing to make donations.

The government said a total of 3678 payments were made since.

Edited and translated by Tigran Sirekanyan