VLADIMIR ZAKHAROV: IN SOUTH CAUCASUS HILLARY CLINTON IS TO STUDY OUT SERIOUS ISSUES THAT EVEN CANNOT BE PUT IN CHARGE OF ENVOYS
by David Stepanyan
arminfo
Monday, June 4, 15:00
Interview with Director of the Institute of Political Studies of the
Black Sea and Caspian region Vladimir Zakharov
U.S. Secretary of Hillary Clinton is visiting Armenia on June 4.
Let’s talk of the goals of her visit in the context of the situation
in Syria and Iran.
The visit of the U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to the South
Caucasus is a significant event. She is not traveling to the region
just on a fact-finding visit. She is to study out serious issues that
cannot even be put in charge of envoys to avoid publicity. WikiLeaks
cables showed that there is noting in the world that remains in
secrecy forever. Secrets come to light ahead of time spoiling many
arrangements. That is why Madam Clinton’s talks will be vis-a-vis.
Even if one of the presidents is not good at English, the translator
will be from the USA. Afterwards mass media will be provided with
quite different information on the given negotiations. Fairy tales
will occur in the press while the topic of the negotiations will
remain a deep secret. One of the key topics on agenda of Clinton’s
meetings with the three countries’ presidents will be the stance of the
three countries in the region on the upcoming war of the USA against
Iran, though it was reported beforehand that the given issue may be
discussed slightly. There are many analysts in Russia and Armenia
who cast doubt on possibility of such war. However, they are either
incompetent people or those who work for foreign forces against Iran
and Russia, those who openly disseminate lie.
The USA has already set the approximate date of launching aggression.
The USA will probably use others, at least Israel, to do that.
Provocation with murder of civilians in Khula by Saudi onhangers
of America, the following breach of diplomatic relations with the
key countries in the West before studying out the actual situation,
all this shows that attack on Syria is finally decided. It will be
made by a coalition of Western countries like it happened in Lybia,
not just by one country. Liquidation Asad’s ‘regime’ is extremely
necessary for the West in order to avoid an adequate Iranian response
by means of Syria in case Israel launches war against Iran. Asad has
Russian and Iranian weapons, which will allow making a severe blow
on Israel and it is not a secret. Therefore, the USA that uses Israel
against Iran has suddenly began to worry. Chilton has already declared
in Oslo that she is concerned over reports on regular delivery of
Russian weapons to Syria. In this light, Clinton will, undoubtedly,
discuss Armenia’s attitude towards the Syrian problem with President
of Armenia Serzh Sargsyan. Cooperation of Russia and Armenia, and
first of all, in the military sphere, will be the key topic of the
meeting. Madam Clinton is very likely to demand liquidation of the
Russian military base in Gyumri.
What about the visit to Georgia and Azerbaijan?
Clinton will probably express desire to meet with the opposition in
Georgia and Azerbaijan. It is not known yet if she will be allowed
to do that or not. They may organize meetings with a group of
oppositionists with certain pro-governmental persons among them. All
this is, however, a scenario behind the scenes. Such steps are taken
to keep USA’s image in the fight for false values which they call
‘democratic.’
War of the West against Iran is what the meetings with the leaders will
be focused on. Unlike Mikhail Sahakashvili and even Ilham Aliyev,
who has already taken the U.S. path and will soon declare that
Azerbaijan is ready to join NATO, USA has still certain problems
with Armenia. I do not even suppose what arguments Madam Clinton
will use to persuade or even demand Serzh Sargsyan to support the
USA in the aggression against Iran, but I think that she has prepared
quite tangible facts. Armenia’s neutral stance will not be in favor
of America. In the given situation the responsibility will fully lay
on your president. I will not answer on behalf of Mr. Sargsyan if he
will manage to insist on neutrality in the upcoming nightmare, this
is how I imagine the future war that will become a terrible disaster
for the entire world, and not only the South Caucasus. Anyway, the
upcoming meeting will be uneasy for him.
Do you think that the Karabakh conflict may turn into a serious
argument in the hands of the USA?
It has been reported already that Clinton will touch upon that issue.
She may persuade Serzh Sargsyan to go on some concessions. I hope
will not do that, however. Karabakh, specifically the territory of
Karabakh, is extremely necessary for the USA in the upcoming war
against Iran. After Ahmadinejad’s decisive statements addressed to
the leaderships of Georgia and Azerbaijan in 2010 and repeatedly made
afterwards, the USA has decided to set aside Azerbaijan. Ahmadinejad
warned Georgia and Azerbaijan that they will receive an adequate
blow if a single military aircraft flies over Iran. There is already
significant number of U.S. militaries in Azerbaijan and a huge quantity
of arms. I’d risk suppose the following scenario of developments:
if Baku unleashes large-scale war against Karabakh, it will mean that
war against Iran will start soon after. USA will deploy the so-called
‘peacemakers’ in Karabakh without any mandate, especially that they
have already been concentrated in Georgia and Azerbaijan. It will
take a couple of hours to deploy them in Karabakh.
It will be done under the pretext of stopping the war. However, the
USA needs the “peacemakers” to deploy its military contingents on the
territory of Nagorno Karabakh Republic, the closest neighbor to Iran.
That is, the negotiations of the U.S. Secretary of State will be
around Iran…
Yes, of course. I am surprised whether the USA does not understand
that the war will involve not only the neighbor states. In America
they think that they are too far from the place of future tragic
incidents, but Iran will get them, anyway. It is strange that the
neighbor states hope they will avoid war. Neither Azerbaijan nor
Georgia will avoid it. Internet is flooded with statements by Western
politicians who alarm of the necessity of punishing the obstinate
country Iran. Georgia does not conceal that it has opened a big number
of hospitals in its territory for future wounded soldiers of USA. The
runway under pretence of Tbilisi-Kutaisi autobahn with the necessary
infrastructures was put into service in late 2011. The situation is
getting out of control. Russia hardly manages to insist on peaceful
resolution of the Iranian conflict. A well-organized hysteria may
lead to a hasty attempt to attack Iran at any moment, which will
result in destabilization in a large region that will affect Armenia,
Russia and many other countries.
Syria, Iran, what is Russia’s place in the USA’s conception?
America has been recently creating discontent with the Russia, our
government, president, in the neighbor-countries. The situation around
Gabala station is the bright example of the USA’s “work”. How could
friendly Azerbaijan and Ilham Aliyev make such anti-Russian demands
for extension of the treaty on Gabala. If there is anyone who does
not remember how all the situation began, I will remind. First, a
graduated student from MGIMO, certain Leyla Aliyeva, declared boldly
that Gabala damages the environment in the region. It is evident that
without permit of her father, the prudent daughter would never made
such statement. This is how the Azerbaijani leadership works. They
no longer respect Russia. Our leadership should revise its relations
with Azerbaijan and will make sure that Azerbaijan is not a friend
but a snake in the grass.
The United States actively create Russia’s negative image by means of
the biased NGOs, mass Media and certain public and political figures.
USA has already led Georgia out of Russia’s influence. Azerbaijan is
getting out of it. It is Armenia’s turn. Washington is doing all this
to implement its project “Big Caucasus” as soon as possible. Although
it is an old idea that originated yet under George Bush-junior, its
major goal is to strengthen the positions in the region and promote
USA’s interests, which is being successfully enforced now.