Turkey and Azerbaijan. Hiding differences between “allies” increasingly d

Once upon a time undivided considered Baku and: Ankara more and more are disagreement of Armenia and: Israel with their external political connections around: For decades, the slogan “one nation, two states” has characterized Turkish-Azerbaijani relations, closely related to ethnic brotherhood, energy interdependence and military alliance.

Most recently, all this was “raised on the shield, during the Nagorno-Karabakh war in 2020, and Turkey provided unwavering support to the official Baku not only in words, but also in deeds. And? now Pan-Turkist of rhetoric following appears are of Armenia with of relations regulation, «israeli» and: «iranian» the questions:

What is it about? in Ankara Azerbaijan the ambassador recently to announce was, that turkish–Armenian the border will open In Armenia June from elections after, h:personal in the law changes to perform about referendum with results, which completely flatten is Mountainous Karabakh about any mention: June 7-in: in the elections prime minister Nicole: Pashinyan and: «Civil: contract» party of success case like the prospect the most than real is seems:

Remarkable is, that foreign the ambassador publicly to announce is Turkey sovereign marginal policy implementation deadlines and conditions: This demand illustrates a trend noted by Gönul Toll of the Washington-based Near East Institute. Over the past year, Turkish diplomats have increasingly complained about how “complicated” the situation in Azerbaijan has become, especially as Baku tries to dictate terms to Ankara.

The ambassador’s public statement brings the situation to a new level.   Former diplomat Fatih Ceylan says: “At a time when official Ankara carefully avoids statements against Baku due to Azerbaijan’s strategic and military ties with Israel, the Azerbaijani ambassador’s comment on the normalization of relations between Turkey and Armenia is at least unsuccessful. More precisely, this is a case of not knowing one’s place,” Ceylan said, adding that he expects “an imminent harsh condemnation from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.”

A sharp condemnation never happened, but the contacts are real. This a reminder is 2009 the date, when Turkey and: Armenia: signed Zurich the records of relations regulation regarding, sbut Azerbaijan political and: diplomatic pressure implemented` forcing Unspeakable back off: Baku mass media–the and: some experts to criticize are In Armenia of Ankara ambassador Serdar To Kilic it thing for, that he to dare is to say, or «himself felt՝ how at home» recently Yerevan done visit time: For power analyst Farhad Mamedov to criticize is to him as if «Baku red the lines to ignore» for:

But 2026 the date 2009 the date not: Today Ankara Baku to yield more little reasons has: «Karabakh the question» closed is, Azerbaijan her territorial goals reached is Turkey with the help of: of Ankara own strategic calculations to change are. of Armenia with of relations discharge able is reduce russian effect South In the Caucasus (օրինակ՝ Er:and:doing can are raise From Gyumri 102-th base withdrawal the question)՝ opening straight to:and:gave way to: Central Asia and: strengthening Rejep Erdogan of the government authority Do?and:at the entrance.

Turkic allies between more and more deep split are cause also Israel attitude and: Near in the east his driven by policy regarding disagreements. Ilham Aliyev once said that Azerbaijani-Israeli relations are like an iceberg, 9/10 of which is hidden under water, and that is not just a nice expression. It is no secret that Baku and West Jerusalem, without attracting too much noise, have formed one of the strongest military-intelligence partnerships in the post-Soviet space.

Israeli drone flying the devices and: barrier ammunition crucial role are played 2020 in the year Armenian protection breakthrough in action. Today israeli to the weapon department is falling Azerbaijan modern of armaments of import almost 70 percent: Փոխարենը՝ Baku “sionist mode» supply is raw of oil approx 40 percent, which vital resource is don’t country for, which this or it degree intensity permanent war is thrust almost her neighbors with:

But here Baku for there is don’t important problem. Israel and: his supporters in Washington more and more often are Turkey ներկայացնում՝ as «new Iran»:  Opposition leader Naftali Bennett has warned about the “emerging Turkish threat”. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu accused Turkish President Recep Erdogan of oppressing the Kurds, violating Ankara’s “red lines”.

Years continuously Azerbaijan and: Turkey the presidents with success overcome are that cultural and: political the gap` concentrating general turkish of identity, safety and: economic of interdependence on: But 2020 year Mountainous Karabakh of war success conceit is to give birth In Baku. Aliyev anymore himself no տեսնում՝ as younger partner, thatn “senior brother’s» by what?–that sponsorship need has: More and more confident getting involved regional hegemon role inna, as if, obviously expect is appropriate understanding in Ankara: Similar attitude annoying is turkish officials, which ones remembermakes are, or how are provide drone flying devices:, military advisors and: diplomatic cover, which possible made the victory in Karabakh:

Iran against Israel the war email more revealed turkish ambitious allies views the discrepancy։ If: let’s believe CNN to the TV channel՝ «Israel last of war during actions is implemented Iran against` using In Azerbaijan forces deployment»: Israel’s special military and intelligence units (including Special Forces fighters, a search and rescue helicopter unit and Mossad operatives) allegedly operated in several areas along the border with Iran, including just 96 km from Tabriz.

Preparations for the operation began several weeks before the start of the war. The Israelis planted eavesdropping devices and intelligence equipment, setting the stage for further action. While in Azerbaijan, the Netanyahu regime gathered intelligence on Iranian movements and military facilities, including to provide early warning data on Iranian missile launches.

From Azerbaijan Israel by implemented main from actions one of war first per week IRPC exploratory agency boss Rahman Moghadami the murder was. Thus, Tehran suspects Baku of secretly helping Israel, even using the Caspian country’s airspace to strike Iran in June 2025. When Iranian drones landed in Nakhijevan in March 2026, hitting the airport and injuring four civilians, Aliyev called it “terrorism” and vowed revenge. However, the incident was quickly covered up, and Baku even sent humanitarian aid to Iran for Navruz.

According to Altai Geyushov of the Baku Research Institute, this turn of events was, at least in part, the result of Turkey’s non-public pressure on Aliyev to de-escalate. It case, when Azerbaijan strategic benefit is see Iran azerbaijani regions her positions reinforcement in, Turkey for Iran ethnic based on to divide any program unacceptable is, how many that he fear has, that like the adventure will promote also turkish of unity for strictly dangerous Kurdish separatism:

Her in turn, Israel Azerbaijan to maneuver diplomatic area is providing, that seems` valuable connections of Washington with: This especially valuable is, how many that Baku aspiration is finally eliminate 1992 year of freedom of support about of the law 907-th correction, which prohibition is Azerbaijan directly american military support get:

Probably so much email a lot grounds there are none to assume, that Turkey and: Azerbaijan between of trust the dialog visible in perspective will resume: Baku and: of Ankara between the contradictions multiplying are and: early or late of water face out will come to the crowd and «to the friendly ones» to entertain for:

Yuri Mavashev

vpoanalytics.com

Translation by Zhanna Avetisyan

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