168: Pashinyan handed over Armenia to Azerbaijan. this is the scenario of the European elite

In the “Pressing” program Satik Seyranyan the guest political analyst Hakob Badalyan is

The main theses of the interview are below.

• This is the traditional campaign style for Pashinyan, and Prime Minister Pashinyan did not want and could not leave the opposition Pashinyan’s campaign style. The consumer of that content is his electorate, and he sells his style to them. This is his traditional way of doing things, but he switched from the original quiet tone to the traditional one because he realized that his peace is not for sale. He is solving the problem of maximum mobilization of the electorate, because he understands that his rating is such that he is far not only from the constitutional majority, but also from the numbers of 50% 1.

• Pashinyan is deliberately sharpening the Artsakh-Armenians thesis. During the metro incident, Pashinyan aggravated the situation when he realized that the person in front of him was a woman from Artsakh. He knows that he is not able to bring new votes for himself, so he does everything to keep his electorate, because he knows his electorate best.

• Nikol Pashinyan destroys moral layers. In the case of the soldier’s mother, who was burned in the free military shelter, we saw how the eyewitnesses of the incident treated her – zero sympathy. Such an immoral attitude is staged and encouraged:

• The Moldovan scenario was first used in Romania, which US Vice President Vance spoke about. This is the scenario of the European elite. Today, Europe’s relations with Georgia are quite complicated, because Georgia conducts its own national policy, Azerbaijan treats Europe as an equal, and in this case, Europe’s hope remains in Armenia, where it is possible to make political progress, taking advantage of the fact that Armenia now has a government for which staying in power has become a matter of life and death. Now, once again, Pashinyan is launching the robbery scenario, but it is already on the people the effect does not work. The role of Samvel Karapetyan is great here, he cannot be called a robber in any way. The application of the thesis of agents and spies under the European command remained. This is like a lifeline for Nikol Pashinyan:

• 2020 after the war, the architecture of state security collapsed in Armenia, and Armenia turned into a free zone, where players representing all geopolitical interests operate.

• Europe’s task today is to put itself in a position to be taken into account. The main discussions are taking place in the Russia-USA-China axis, and the fate of Europe will be decided in that triangle. 

• The price of pleasing Europe is the Middle Corridor. Europe wants its share from Armenia. The main problem is that Armenia agrees to all the demands of Turkey and Azerbaijan and as soon as possible. Europe is now doing everything to make Armenia agree to receive its share of the Middle Corridor from Turkey and Azerbaijan.

• Practically everyone accepted that Armenia was handed over to Azerbaijan, and Nikol Pashinyan himself agreed to it, giving up Artsakh and meeting other demands of Azerbaijan. We can get out of this situation only if the government changes, because even if the current government decides to change something, not only it, but also Armenia will be hit hard, and Nikol Pashinyan cannot get out of it. Therefore, these are lucky elections, and if the government does not change, it is not known what will happen to Armenia in the next election cycle. When you’re ready to close an account, and the price of anything in the world is only going up, you can’t afford that price close, even with your indulgent politics. It is necessary to get out of the mindset that if you talk about your right, object to another state, then it is adventure, war and revanchism. This is sick thinking. This psychological terror of the society is also destroying the state, because if the society with that psychology even has a de jure state, then it is just a sign.:

• I strongly doubt that Pashinyan’s electorate is interested in bringing hundreds of thousands of Azerbaijanis to Armenia. And the authorities of Armenia will not talk about it, because they have given up the policy of opposing Aliyev in general.

• Let me remind you that even the declaration that Armenia agreed to the content of the text of the “Peace Treaty” was not made jointly by the two countries. Azerbaijan announced it first. After that, Armenia unilaterally agreed to dissolve the Minsk Group before signing the treaty. Azerbaijan Academy of Sciences is assigned to develop theses about “Western Azerbaijan”. A few days ago, Pashinyan announced that not only Armenians lived in Armenia. This is the adaptation roadmap:

To remind: During the campaign, Nikol Pashinyan often deliberately throws out wrong information. For example, a few days ago he announced in Spitak. “If we have to return to some place, we provoke that place so that they say: we are also returning here. Because it is a fact, we cannot say․․․ In the Republic of Armenia, 90 percent are Armenians. Never before were 90 percent Armenians. We should understand how happy we are with today’s situation, with today’s status quo,” Pashinyan said. 

During the last census conducted in the USSR, in 1989, the number of Armenians living in the territory of the ASSR was more than the figure he said – 93.3 percent.

• The fact that Nikol Pashinyan considers not the simple majority necessary, but the constitutional majority is not just a matter of appetite. There are issues that, in his opinion, should be resolved by the constitutional majority. I do not rule out that Azerbaijan’s demand, the Declaration of Independence, will also be tried to be removed from the Constitution in that way, rather than through a referendum, which is an extremely difficult way.

• If Azerbaijan gets the enclaves, it will be a breakthrough in the territory of Armenia to get more later. If we add to this the demand to bring Azerbaijanis here, this is another breakthrough, because other demands will arise from it: positions for Azerbaijanis, a faction in the parliament, and other privileges with the consequences arising from them. Recently, one of the Azerbaijani experts in Yerevan announced that there was an Azerbaijani community in Armenia and it should have political rights. In the sense of the mechanisms, Azerbaijan will try to get guarantees for decades, so that any subsequent government will not be able to ignore these realities. Now Azerbaijan is thickening the trunk of the tree it planted, and if the government does not change, the processes will be irreversible. 

• Any vote that will go to this government means taking responsibility not only for what will happen in the event of the resumption of the CP, but also for what happened before. Moreover, if people do not go to the polls, then they are passively voting for the situation not to change and taking responsibility for what has been in these 8 years and what will happen in the future. It is necessary to understand that Armenia is not faced with the task of changing the political system, but the task of not allowing the tree planted by Azerbaijan to grow so thick that you don’t know what will fall on your head from the leaves. I see the solution of the problem through the 4 leading opposition forces. It is not fair to say that this there is no political force to your liking in the election campaign.

• Unfortunately, in these years, a large layer of consumer society has formed among us, and this consumer psychology is widely used by the existing government. Armenia is simply turning into a household government. If big business thinks that if Armenia is annexed by Azerbaijan, there will be big business in Armenia, they are terribly mistaken. In this sense, the Armenian capital all over the world also has a commitment, and the role of Samvel Karapetyan is very symbolic and significant today, that he took such a heavy responsibility upon himself. 

• When the government and quasi-authoritarian forces have made the foreign agency a daily topic, for some reason they refuse to adopt the “Foreign Agents” law, because then they can no longer manipulate the public.

• The society-opposition work regime should not be replaced by the opposition-government conflict regime. This is what Nikol Pashinyan wants. The opposition must not fall into traps. In any scenario, the opposition must continue to work with the public.

• Against the background of Russian President Putin’s visit to China, Nikol Pashinyan suddenly shows respect for Putin during the campaign. This aptly describes the state of affairs. In Astana, the topic of Armenia will be more of an occasion to discuss intra-Eurasian topics. I think both Russia and Pashinyan understand very well that Armenia has not and will not apply for membership in the European Union. There are no naive people at that level. I think that in principle, Russia has no problem with Pashinyan and does not see it. It is another matter that Pashinyan will be asked to pay a much higher price for re-election now, and Pashinyan will not be the one to pay. but the Armenian people. If on May 29 in Astana Nikol Pashinyan is asked to withdraw from the EAEU, that is the price that the Armenian people will pay for Pashinyan’s re-election.:

Details in the video.

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