May 15, 2026
The existence of the “Civil Contract” party and Nikol Pashinyan in the status of power is an anomaly. It happened once in 2018. and has been going on for eight years, threatening not to stop the state’s destruction even after June 7.
The society is aware of this anomaly, if not completely, then at least in qualitative layers. At the same time, the same society is almost out of touch with political processes, including today’s pre-election campaign, and responds inadequately to alarms about the threats facing the state and calls for the need to remove the government to prevent them. As a rule, it is qualified by the callers as latent pro-government, as a behavior of not openly supporting the CP.
However, in reality, if not completely, then to a large extent, the unconnected layers are indifferent not because they secretly want to support Nikol Pashinyan, but they do not give in to the aggressive slogans of the opposition and when they think about it, they often do not find the answer to the question of what will happen if it is possible to remove KP from power.
In mathematical language, removal of KP and Nikol Pashinyan from power is a necessary but not sufficient condition. On the one hand, it means that without the removal of the CP, Armenia has virtually no chance of being saved from destruction. But on the other hand, the removal of CP and Pashinyan does not automatically imply the appearance of a chance and the salvation of the state only due to the removal of the destroyers.
People want to know what will happen after June 7, if we finally manage to have an Armenia without CP through united forces. Blaming people for this desire is at least not honest, because with this desire, simple people show much more serious statism than all those who blindly see the salvation of everything only in the change of government, considering what needs to be done after that as secondary.
Armenia has found itself in this tragic situation, among other factors, also, and perhaps first of all, because in 2018, people just blindly threw themselves into the squares, and many of them were thrown into the squares just for the sake of a change of power, which was declared at that time not as a means to serve some high goal, but as an overarching goal.
All those who today are suspicious of the calls with only a change of power, but not with a clear vision of the future, do not want to repeat the mistake of eight years ago, do not want to participate a second time in a process that can complete the last element of the destruction of the state.
The election is exactly three weeks away. On the one hand, it is hopelessly little, but on the other hand, if it works effectively, it is at least enough for the opposition forces to be able to not only inform people directly, but also to explain with faith-inducing depth what will happen after the change of power.
Today, Armenia is faced not with good or best solutions, but with the imperative to avoid the worst. All thinking people can certainly become supporters and voters of the opposition if they are presented with the “sufficient” component after the “necessary” one.
Harutyun Avetisyan
—
Disclaimer: This article was contributed and translated into English by Ara Felekian. While we strive for quality, the views and accuracy of the content remain the responsibility of the contributor. Please verify all facts independently before reposting or citing.
Direct link to this article: https://www.armenianclub.com/2026/05/16/168-problem-of-enough-the-opposition-can-win-if/