France’s Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes region to attempt humanitarian convoy passage into blockaded Nagorno Karabakh

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 12:10,

YEREVAN, MARCH 31, ARMENPRESS. The President of the Regional Council of Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes Laurent Wauquiez has called for practical steps for not allowing Azerbaijan’s violations of international law in Armenia, Artsakh and the Lachin Corridor to be overlooked.

The head of the French region is now visiting Armenia.

On March 31 he met with Nagorno Karabakh’s Foreign Minister Sergey Ghazaryan in Yerevan.

Speaking at a joint press conference, Wauquiez described himself as a longtime friend of Armenia and Artsakh and said that he’s shocked by the current situation.

“In 2019, we met with representatives of Artsakh and signed a cooperation agreement between my region and Artsakh. We’d adopted a political position in my region to confirm Artsakh’s right to independence, which led to serious pressures by Pan-Turkist terrorist organizations against me and my family. Why am I here today? Because I am well aware that the entire international attention is on Ukraine and there is a serious danger for Armenia and Artsakh to be forgotten in all of this. I am here to say that we are not forgetting you, you are not alone, and we shouldn’t allow the violations of international law in Armenia, Artsakh and Lachin Corridor to go unnoticed in silence,” Wauquiez said.

The President of the Regional Council of Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes visited the entrance of the blockaded Lachin Corridor in Syunik to show to his countrymen the violations of international law, that 120,000 people on the other side are deprived of basic human rights.

“I was with the Governor of Syunik the moment he was notified that an advance had taken place the day before where we were located at that time [Tegh village]. I have witnessed and can testify about the violation of international law. I have also seen the Azerbaijani flags hoisted on the heights located in Armenian lands. And I had the chance to speak with displaced persons of Artsakh, whose words were deeply touching. As a politician, it is my duty to take action and be able to help you,” he said.

Wauquiez said that they want to organize a humanitarian convoy jointly with the organizations representing the Armenian community of France and try to deliver humanitarian aid to Artsakh.

“The convoy will be organized with our region’s support and will bear our region’s flag. It will approach the Lachin Corridor and we will demand passage to Artsakh. Either the convoy will pass and we will have a ray of hope, or the convoy will be barred and it will give us the opportunity to present this issue before international and European organizations, that once again the international law is being violated, and that actions must be taken,” Wauquiez added.

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Whoever attacks Syunik will be attacking Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes, says Laurent Wauquiez

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 12:30,

YEREVAN, MARCH 31, ARMENPRESS. Artsakh’s (Nagorno Karabakh) fate is closely linked with Syunik’s fate, while Syunik is the key to Armenia’s integrity, the President of the Regional Council of Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes Laurent Wauquiez said on March 31 in Yerevan.

“That’s why we decided to have a cooperation agreement between our region and Syunik province. The agreement was signed in a very meaningful place, in the Tatev Monastery. Cooperation will relate to healthcare, agriculture and education. I’ve said that whoever attacks Syunik will be attacking my region,” Wauquiez said, repeating his statement made at the signing ceremony earlier.

He called on France and the international community to pay attention to Armenia and Artsakh amid the threats from Azerbaijan.

“This isn’t a dispute between two countries where borders aren’t clarified and it could last forever, this is a total disregard for human rights that are protected under all international conventions, this is a desire to destroy a nation, its culture and history, its memory. This is certainly Armenia’s struggle, Artsakh’s struggle, but this is also a bigger struggle, this is a struggle for all the values that we bear. This is a struggle for civilization and democracy. Protecting you means protecting all these values,” the French politician added.

He called for stronger reaction by the international community and international sanctions against Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev.

“It was decided not to buy Russian gas any more after the occupation of some parts of Ukraine, but is the Azerbaijani gas more acceptable? Why weren’t there any consequences for what happened, why are there no sanctions against the Aliyev regime? I share these questions with you and I am equally angered,” he said.

Wauquiez said that together with his 40-member delegation he visited Syunik province. “All members of my delegation can now say, I have been there, I have seen what’s happening, I know what’s happening. The Azerbaijani troops came and captured the parts from the sovereign territory of Armenia where we went just one day earlier.”

When my family was disarmed: Armenian genocide perpetrated against defenseless populace

The Armenian genocide during World War I was perpetrated against a disarmed populace, whose own government took advantage of a registry of guns to confiscate the weapons from Christian minorities who would use them to defend themselves.

My family hails from the region of present-day Turkey that was ethnically cleansed of nearly all Christian minorities during the First World War. Thankfully, most of my direct ancestors escaped to the United States. But others were not so lucky.

While bigotry, nationalism and other factors contributed to the genocide, the gun registry was one of the most consequential reasons the Turks effectively carried out this barbaric act.

We know from the Ottoman Penal Code that the firearm registry was universal and instituted before the genocide. In addition to a gun registry, there were specific penalties put in place for Christians if they were caught openly bearing arms. Despite these restrictions, I’m proud that people in my ancestors’ village of Tomarza were known to openly carry guns in direct defiance of the tyrannical Turkish government.

Unfortunately, their defiance did not stop the Turks in the long run. My great-grandfather’s brother, an eyewitness, wrote in a letter that after the Turks declared that all registered guns would be confiscated, it resulted in “all weapons, even hunting guns, [being] surrendered to the government.” If anyone refused to do so, they would be put to death.

Recently, another relative uncovered a personal testimony from his father, John Armaganian, a survivor and another eyewitness to the Armenian genocide. In his recounting of events, not only did the Turks seek to confiscate “all military supplies and guns” but also “their knives and revolvers.”

In his testimony, Mr. Armaganian says his own father (my relative’s grandfather) was asked by the police how many guns and rifles he had, and he responded:

“’The ones I had were rusty and I turned them in already, and I haven’t anymore,’ but the officer didn’t believe him. He proceeded to ask about some buried underground. When he denied he had any, he was mercilessly beaten. Twice he was hauled into the police station and both times he was beaten worse than before, preventing him from walking for three weeks. Eventually, he was forced to work in a labor battalion and was never heard from again.”

Most Armenians were sent on death marches through the Syrian desert to die. The stated reason by the Ottoman Empire is because of the war, they needed to move “for their safety” — a common phrase also used as justification by gun control advocates to this day.

This recent historical example cannot paint a clearer picture of the immense danger of a gun registry and how gun confiscation would play out. Even without mass compliance, the authorities would know exactly who to target.

If the existence of a small minority within the Ottoman Empire could elicit such overwhelming violence from the regime, one can only imagine the lengths a modern regime would resort to against an armed minority here in America.

Some would argue that such an action would never happen here, but the groundwork is already being laid. Thanks to extensive Freedom of Information Act requests from Gun Owners of America, we can confirm that the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, the federal agency charged with regulating guns, has amassed nearly 1 billion firearm transaction records into a digitized, searchable database. These records contain several personally identifiable data points, and the compiling of these records, in direct contradiction to federal law, absolutely constitutes a registry of many guns in America today.

Alarmingly, the current administration is actively working to expand the records the ATF collects though both the “frame and receiver” rule, which will add homemade firearms into the registry, and via the zero-tolerance policy, which is aggressively shutting down lawful gun dealers, whose records will then be added to the registry.

Just as was done to my ancestors, our own government right now has the tools to enact a mass gun confiscation. The same excuse will be given: It’s being done in the name of safety or under emergency authority.

My family’s greatest tragedy should be our country’s greatest warning. Do not give the government an inch — not just because it’s a constitutional right, but because gun registration opens the door to unspeakable government-imposed tragedy.

Right now, some in Congress are actively working to destroy the registry. Ultimately, however, it’s up to the people to ensure our government swiftly and wholly destroys these records and erects further barriers to prevent this from ever occurring in the future.

• Alex Madajian is a federal affairs assistant for Gun Owners of America, a nonprofit grassroots lobbying organization with over 2 million members nationwide.


Armenia warns Vladimir Putin he will be arrested for Russian war crimes if he visits him

Armenia’s ruling party has warned that the country will have no choice but to arrest Russian President Vladimir Putin if he comes to Armenia.

The International Criminal Court (ICC) earlier this month issued an arrest warrant for Putin over alleged war crimes in Ukraine, specifically his alleged involvement in the illegal deportation of children from Ukraine. But the ICC does not have the power to enforce its warrants, and since Russia does not recognize the court’s jurisdiction, much of its enforcement will depend on the willingness of other countries to step in if Putin travels.

“If Putin comes to Armenia, he should be arrested… It is better for Putin to stay in his country,” Gagik Melkonyan, deputy of the Armenian National Assembly, said this week, according to a Moscow times Translation of an interview with Factor.am. “If we enter into these agreements, we must fulfill our commitments. Let Russia solve its problems with Ukraine.”

The decision by Armenia’s ruling party, which is part of a Russian-led collective defense organization, stands in stark contrast to other Kremlin allies, who have not shirked loyalty to Moscow. Hungary, which has close ties with Russia, announced last week that it would not execute the International Criminal Court’s arrest warrant for Putin.

Though Armenia is technically a Russian ally — as part of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) — Armenia’s decision is just the latest indication that the country is ready to take matters into its own hands and hold Putin accountable pull. Just last week, Armenia took steps that will pave the way for ratification of the Rome Statute, the treaty that established the International Criminal Court.

“If we enter into these agreements, we must fulfill our obligations,” Melkonyan said.

According to a Russian Foreign Ministry source, the Kremlin has reprimanded Armenia for the idea of joining the Rome Statute.

“Moscow regards official Yerevan’s plans to accede to the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court as totally unacceptable in light of the ICC’s recent illegal and void ‘arrest warrants’ against the Russian leadership,” the source said earlier this week. according to TASS.

The Russian Foreign Ministry warned that if it continues, there would be “extremely negative” consequences for Armenia.

But Armenia is not alone, and other countries are joining forces in plans to arrest Putin. Ireland, Croatia, Austria and Germany have each pledged to enforce the arrest warrant.

The decision in Armenia suggests that more than a year into the conflict, Russia’s allies are becoming more willing by the day to question Moscow’s judgment on the war in Ukraine.

Indian officials have expressed concern about Putin’s war in Ukraine, pushing against conflict and the use of nuclear weapons in the war. Chinese President Xi Jinping was also caught off guard by Putin’s invasion, according to US intelligence, and was dismayed at the way he was carrying it out.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/armenia-warns-vladimir-putin-he-will-be-arrested-for-russian-war-crimes-if-he-visits .

Existential crisis for Iran in South Caucasus


OPINION

The question now is whether diplomacy will be enough to pull all sides back from the brink

Tensions between Azerbaijan and Armenia are threatening to destabilize the South Caucasus, prompting some to worry that Iran could eventually be pulled into a wider regional conflict. But is Iran really prepared to invade its Shia-majority neighbor to protect Armenia, or are recent military moves little more than bluster?

While Azerbaijan’s military continues to capture parts of Nagorno-Karabakh – internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan despite being under Armenian control for three decades – leaders in the energy-rich country accuse the Islamic Republic of amassing troops near its exclave of Nakhchivan, on Iran’s northwestern border.

Tehran hasn’t denied the allegations. On the contrary, the al-Quds Force – one of five branches of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) – has reported that its bases near the Armenia-Azerbaijan border are on high alert for a possible attack.

Heavy logistical movements of the Azerbaijani army raised concerns in Iran that an operation against Armenia was imminent, and IRGC commander Brigadier-General Mohammad Pakpour visited the area last Friday.

There are even reports that IRGC forces in Iran’s provinces of East and West Azerbaijan – where ethnic Azeris make up most of the population – have been ordered to full combat readiness. 

But despite the recent spike in tensions, the current situation in the South Caucasus remains manageable, and Iran’s calculations are more strategic than tactical. At least for now. 

Azerbaijan uses the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict as a way to pressure Armenia to build its section of the Nakhchivan corridor, a land route that would connect mainland Azerbaijan with Nakhchivan via southern Armenia’s province of Syunik. If built under Baku’s terms, the corridor would in effect cut off Iran from Armenia, something that Alireza Monadi, a representative of the Iranian city of Tabriz, said Tehran “will not allow.”

(Indeed, Mohammad-Reza Mirtajodini, Iran’s former vice-president for parliamentary affairs, has even called for Tehran to annex Nakhchivan in response.) 

The IRGC was even more direct. On its official Telegram channels, the Revolutionary Guard posted open threats to Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev over his “hostile actions against Armenia.” Iran seems determined to prevent a potential Azerbaijani attack on southern Armenia, though it remains unclear how far it might go to avert such a scenario.

The reason for Iran’s concern is simple: Azerbaijan’s control over southern Armenia would jeopardize Tehran’s positions in the South Caucasus, and pose an existential threat to the Islamic Republic itself.

In the north, Iran would be completely surrounded by Turkic countries, and Tehran fears that Azerbaijan could eventually allow Israel to use its territory for attacks on the Islamic Republic. Already, Azerbaijan is strengthening its military and intelligence relations with Israel – Iran’s arch-enemy. 

If Tehran turns a blind eye to Azerbaijani-Israeli cooperation, such a move could be interpreted as a sign of weakness. That’s why Tehran is expected to continue flexing its military muscles in the region – aiming to demonstrate that the territorial integrity of Armenia is Iran’s red line.

Time may be on Iran’s side, as the only major incident recently was in Nagorno-Karabakh, where Azerbaijani forces took “urgent measures” to prevent the construction of a road to bypass the Lachin corridor – the only road connecting Armenia with Nagorno-Karabakh.

For now, diplomacy appears to be the desired course of action. On March 11, Azerbaijan’s Foreign Ministry summoned the Iranian ambassador in Baku to protest against the presence of an Iranian warplane over the disputed area. 

Earlier this year, Azerbaijan closed its embassy in Tehran and evacuated staff and their families after a gunman stormed the diplomatic mission, killing the security chief and wounding two guards. Thus diplomatic relations between the two neighbors remain tense, and both sides occasionally add fuel to the fire.

The question now is whether diplomacy will be enough to pull all sides back from the brink. Azerbaijan has considered engaging ethnic Azerbaijanis living in Iran as instruments against the Islamic Republic.

Last November, President Aliyev stressed that Azerbaijan would “do everything to protect the rights, freedoms, and security of Azerbaijanis living abroad, including Azerbaijanis in Iran.” His statement was a direct message to the Islamic Republic, designed to show that Baku has significant leverage in, and over Tehran. 

Iran, for its part, could use the Shia factor as its trump card against Azerbaijan. But this could backfire, given that Baku frequently arrests members of Shiite groups that are allegedly planning to carry out acts of sabotage and disruption under the guise of religion.

If, however, Iran decides to raise the stakes and attack Israeli-backed Azerbaijan under any pretext, it risks an open confrontation with a country that will be strongly supported not only by Israel, but also by NATO member Turkey.

Thus policymakers in Tehran will have to think twice before taking any action in the South Caucasus. Direct confrontation can be avoided, but only if cooler heads prevail.

This article was provided by Syndication Bureau, which holds copyright.


100 days in, even Azerbaijan’s opposition backs Nagorno-Karabakh blockade

Baku speaks with one voice in support of the Aliyev regime’s aggressive campaign – but change may be in the air

Bashir Kitachayev
, 11.20am

More than a hundred days into the blockade of Nagorno-Karabakh by Azerbaijani protesters, it’s hard to escape two facts.

Firstly, the protesters, who claim to be environmental activists concerned about illegal mining in the region, appear to be supported by the Azerbaijani government. And secondly, the country’s opposition appears to largely support President Ilham Aliyev’s aggressive campaign to take control of the disputed region.

The blockaded Lachin corridor is the only road that links Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh, an ethnically Armenian enclave surrounded by Azerbaijani territory. Hundreds of thousands of Azerbaijanis fled the regions surrounding Nagorno-Karabakh during the First Karabakh War in the early 1990s.

The authorities consider the blockade a “civil society” protest, which the government blames on Russian peacekeepers stationed in the region after the Second Karabakh War in 2020. But there are indications that the government planned the road block, which has sparked a humanitarian crisis in Nagorno-Karabakh.

It is significant that there is no opposition to the Karabakh blockade inside Azerbaijan despite years of repression by the Aliyev regime. The prospect of returning Azerbaijani control to Nagorno-Karabakh and the surrounding territory, which is internationally recognised as Azerbaijani, has long preoccupied both the regime and Azerbaijani society.

State propaganda has added to Azerbaijan’s trauma over the two Nagorno-Karabakh wars and ethnic cleansing of the past 30 years. This means new offensives against Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia itself, as well as the current blockade, enjoy significant support from Azerbaijani society.

But while there is little chance the Azerbaijani opposition will seek an end to the blockade of Nagorno-Karabakh right now, there are signs of change. New forces are gathering momentum and they could play a role in ending the war with Armenia in the future.

Strategic alliance

For years, one of the Azerbaijani opposition’s main charges against Aliyev was that he did not dare unleash hostilities against Nagorno-Karabakh. When Aliyev started the so-called ‘Four-Day War’ against Nagorno-Karabakh in 2016, the opposition criticised him for failing to achieve much while sustaining huge losses.

Four years later, when the Azerbaijani military mounted a huge offensive against Nagorno-Karabakh in 2020, Azerbaijani society was practically united in support, due to both the government’s propaganda and the memories of homes and land lost during the 1990s.

The opposition also expressed solidarity with the authorities. Ali Karimli, the head of the Popular Front of Azerbaijan, the country’s largest opposition party, announced that he would not oppose the regime during the war. A strange situation ensued in which Karimli’s rhetoric differed little from the government’s line, even though he is implacably opposed to Aliyev. He was not alone in his support for the regime, with former political prisoner Ilgar Mammadov and his REAL political party also backing Aliyev’s war.

Ali Karimli, head of the Popular Front of Azerbaijan, did not oppose the regime during the second Nagorno-Karabakh war

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Resul Rehimov / Anadolu Agency / Getty Images

The Second Karabakh War ended with Azerbaijan regaining most of the territories it had previously lost, including the historic town of Shusha, inside Nagorno-Karabakh.

But then the opposition’s patriotic euphoria was replaced by resentment that Azerbaijan had not taken complete control of Nagorno-Karabakh and allowed the Russian army into the region to play the role of a peacekeeper. Even so, the opposition hoped to bask in the reflected glory of Aliyev’s post-war political capital by not going against popular opinion on Karabakh.

The only political group to have condemned the blockade of Nagorno-Karabakh outright is the Democracy 1918 movement, known as D18

This support has not waivered as Azerbaijan mounted new, smaller offensives against Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia throughout 2022. In September, when Azerbaijan attacked Armenian territory and captured areas directly on its border, Azerbaijan’s main opposition parties supported the escalation. In fact, REAL’s Mammadov repeated Baku’s official position and accused Armenia of attacking Azerbaijan.

That said, some politicians and bloggers have condemned the 2022 attacks on Armenia despite their previous support for the 2020 Karabakh war and Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity. And some politicians have criticised the heavy losses and small gains.

The only political group to have condemned the blockade of Nagorno-Karabakh outright is the Democracy 1918 movement, known as D18. This centre-left youth organisation highlights social issues and focuses on workers’ rights, solidarity with trade unions and regional peace initiatives. On the second day of the blockade, D18 accused the regime of trying to prolong the Karabakh conflict.

At first glance, most of Azerbaijan’s opposition might appear to benefit the authoritarian government rather than ordinary citizens.

In fact, it serves a vital purpose for Aliyev, who has been in power since 2003. He is able to claim there is freedom of speech in Azerbaijan, which is particularly relevant in light of the mega deal signed by the European Union in July to double gas exports from Azerbaijan by 2027. European officials need not be ashamed to buy fossil fuels from Baku even though they indirectly sponsor the Karabakh conflict and state repression.

It’s another matter that the Azerbaijani opposition fails to offer genuine solutions to the country’s political and socio-economic problems. Generally, it broadcasts the same nationalist rhetoric as the regime, only occasionally diluting this with demands for democracy and freedom of speech and assembly.

Someday Ilham Aliyev will definitely answer to an international court for the crimes committed not only against the Azerbaijani people, but also against the Armenian people – Ahmad Mammadli

In fact, the opposition does not have much of a political presence in Azerbaijan. Some party leaders and independent activists enjoy a degree of popularity, but the vast majority of electoral candidates fielded by the opposition are unfamiliar to voters. In any case, once the election is over, the candidates disappear, until the next date with the ballot box a few years later.

This means that in Azerbaijan, the opposition’s role is reduced to informing people of what is happening in the country. This has some value in a country with little space allowed for independent media, but it does not stop the regime from passing repressive laws that require journalists to engage in the “objective” interpretation of facts and events.

If bad news does manage to filter out despite the authorities’ best efforts, populist measures are taken, such as a full-scale war in Nagorno-Karabakh or escalation of the conflict with Armenia.

Despite everything, Azerbaijan’s opposition does preserve an embryonic political culture. This is key, given the regime’s attempts to depoliticise society as authoritarian regimes don’t need total support, but total indifference.

Since the 2020 war, fledgling movements that capitalise on widespread discontent with falling living standards have been drawing young people and trying to change the political discourse in the country.

With Azerbaijan having retaken its territories and established a foothold deep in the heart of Nagorno-Karabakh, the regime is finding it more difficult to distract people from the country’s internal problems by pointing to an “external enemy”.

Perhaps a sign of this is the rise of D18, which says its anti-war position has made it more, not less popular since 2020. D18’s followers, who oppose war with Armenia and support democratic values, are “anti-system,” according to the group’s chairperson Ahmad Mammadli.

But they’re also paying the price. When D18 youth group’s leader Ahmad Mammadli spoke out strongly last September against Azerbaijan’s attacks on Armenia proper, he was sentenced to 30 days of solitary confinement in prison.

“Someday Ilham Aliyev will definitely answer to an international court for the crimes committed not only against the Azerbaijani people, but also against the Armenian people,” Mammadli said, before he went to jail.

Perhaps this niche political concern of Azerbaijani society will grow as people finally tire of the ‘successes’ Aliyev has delivered in the years since the 2020 war. And Azerbaijan may finally start to count the social and economic cost of those ‘successes’ – dead soldiers and higher prices.

Sofia: Caucasian knot: Ayatollahs supply Putin with drones via Armenia for the war in Ukraine

The drones that bombed Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, leaving the country and neighbouring Moldova without power, may have been imported into the Russian Federation from the Islamic Republic of Iran via the Republic of Armenia, according to a number of analytical reports.

According to Ukrainian online publication Telegraf.ua “the United States has already issued warnings to Armenia regarding its close relations with Iran and Russia”.

During his visit to Yerevan in summer 2022, CIA head William Burns warned Nikol Pashinyan’s government to “stay away” from the close military alliance between Iran and Russia. But Armenia ignored Washington’s warning.

As a result, on September 30 2022, the US Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) included Armenian company Taco LLC in its sanctions list because of its interaction with Russia’s Radioavtomatika. The Russian corporation procured foreign equipment for the military industry by circumventing embargoes through paying Taco to supply spare parts and arrange the procurement process through Armenia, OFAC said.

On November 14 2022, the US Treasury Department turned its attention to Russian company AO PKK Milandr, specialising in microcircuits. In Armenia, Milandr has set up a company, Milur Electronics, with which it circumvents sanctions and “places orders in foreign factories, manufactures integrated microcircuits and carries out sales abroad.”

Military cargo at Armenian airports – transit from Iran to Russia

According to Polish magazine New Eastern Europe, the ayatollahs are supporting Putin in his war against Ukraine. At the same time, the authorities in Yerevan have been assigned the role of obedient transitors of goods and technological cargoes, helping Moscow to circumvent EU, US and UK sanctions. According to operational data cited by the publication, Tehran transports Iranian-made drones and missiles through Armenian international and military airports.

Specifically, the alleged flights were registered on August 21 and 29, and also on September 4 and 5 2022. At the Yerevan – Zvartnots International Airport, Soviet Ilyushin-76MD aircraft were spotted, which were believed to be transporting Iranian drones to the Russian Federation.

Also, Iran Air Cargo, a cargo subsidiary of Iran Air, was detected operating flights through Yerevan airport to and from Moscow. Iran Air Cargo, Iran Air and Safiran Airport Services have already been sanctioned by the US, after intelligence indicated that the companies had delivered Iranian drones to the Russian Federation in transit through Armenian airports.

Moscow has been using Iranian drones and missiles transported through Armenia for its terrorist attacks against Ukrainian energy and water infrastructure for months. On October 30 2022, the Armenian Ministry of Defence admitted that Tehran was transporting drones. In the same month, the Iranians had donated 600 missiles to the Armenian armed forces – just as Yerevan is in a sharp border conflict with Baku over the “blockade” of the unrecognised separatist region of Karabakh.

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Nasser Kanaani claimed in December 2022 that Kyiv’s claims about alleged drone deliveries to Russia were “baseless.” In February 2023, Iran’s Foreign Ministry called Ukraine for negotiations, saying that Kyiv “did not provide a single document for the supply of drones to the Russian Federation“.

Moscow and Tehran shower Yerevan with hundreds of millions in trade

Center for Naval Analysis analyst Samuel Bendett commented to Forbes in November 2022 that Yerevan also expects to receive drones from Iran. According to Bendett, Armenia could be interested in the Shaheed and Ababil and Mojahed drone models, which have been used by Iranian proxies in the Middle East. The Armenian media widely quoted this statement without any denials from the government.

The potential purchase of drones by Yerevan has a broader political and strategic context, Bendett believes: “Armenia seeks to compensate for the strengthening of the Azerbaijani-Turkish military alliance.” According to Bendett, in Yerevan they understand that Moscow “may not be as ready to defend Armenia as it was thought until now” and the country must modernise its military on its own.

The analysis came weeks after November 1 2022, when Pashinyan was on a visit to Tehran – where a Memorandum of Understanding and Cooperation in Energy was signed. Trade between the countries is growing: in 2022, exports from Armenia to Iran amounted to $111.2 million, 70 per cent more than the previous year; Iranian imports to Armenia were worth $599.7 million, growth of 37 per cent compared with 2021, Yerevan boasted at the time.

Against the background of the Kremlin’s aggression against Ukraine, the military partnership along the Moscow-Yerevan axis is increasingly intense: the Minister of Defence of Armenia and the Secretary of the Security Council visited Russia several times. Since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, Pashinyan has visited the Russian Federation five times, met with Russian President Vladimir Putin six times and spokn with him by phone 18 times.

In September 2022, joint military exercises were held, and in December an agreement on military cooperation for 2023 was signed. In February of this year the Defecse and Security Committee of the Parliament of Armenia ratified an agreement on cooperation between the intelligence services of the two countries in the field of cyber security.

What is all this for Yerevan? “Armenia is not only a key centre for the re-export of sanctioned goods for the Russian Federation and a military-technical supply base for the aggression against Ukraine, but it is also a military-logistics base for the Russian-Iranian alliance,” Telegraf.ua said.

The helpfulness of Yerevan to Moscow in the name of another percentage of the re-export of prohibited goods to Russia does not go unnoticed in Brussels. “New supply chains through Armenia were established only a few months after the introduction of sanctions against the Russian Federation,” the February 2023 European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) report said.

The authorities in Yerevan continue to tie themselves more and more politically and economically with the Kremlin – the most likely architect of the new Iran-Armenia pact, in which the latter is mostly assigned the role of a transit-logistics terrain.

Tehran is courting Yerevan, which is silent on the protests in Iran

The day is January 18 2023. In the streets of Tehran, the protests against the discrimination against women caused by the murder of the young Iranian Masha Amini by the dreaded Revolutionary Guard Corps have not yet subsided. For propaganda purposes, the First International Congress for Women of Influence was held in the capital of Iran. Among the guests of honour was the wife of the Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan – Anna Hakobyan.

On February 27, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Iran mentioned Hakobyan’s visit to Tehran in one of its official statements. The scandalous visit of the Armenian Prime Minister is another eloquent confirmation of the attempts of Yerevan, which is barely connecting the two ends, to gain at least something from the large-scale transit of goods and armaments along the Iran-Russia route.

It is not surprising that before reception of Hakobyan, worthy of a monarch, on November 24 2022, Yerevan voted against the Resolution of the Special Commission of the UN General Assembly on Human Rights, entitled “Deterioration of the situation of human rights in the Islamic Republic Iran”. The resolution said that the authorities in Tehran “must be held accountable”.

It is now more understandable why, since the start of the Kremlin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi has at least eight times emphasised the importance of deepening relations with Yerevan. “Iran considers Armenia a close and friendly country,” he said in one such speech on June 2 2022. On October 1 2022, Pashinyan responded, “Armenia intends to develop its relations with Iran as much as possible in all fields“.

“Armenia’s security is also Iran’s security,” declared the Foreign Minister of the Islamic Republic, Hussein Amir Abdullahiyan, on October 20 2022, apparently “throwing a stone” in the “garden” of Ankara and Baku. The next day, his Armenian counterpart Ararat Mirzoyan emphasised that the relations of the two countries are based on “a deep understanding of our common state interests”.

On February 11 2023, the President of Armenia Vahagn Khachaturian said that Yerevan “seeks to expand and deepen mutually beneficial cooperation” with Tehran. Apparently, a year after the outbreak of the war against Ukraine, in which Iranian drones are used, nothing has changed in the philosophy of the authorities in Yerevan. Pashinyan, who entered politics from the street, prefers partnership with aggressive militarist regimes in the name of his own interests, which increasingly distance him from peace with neighbouring Azerbaijan.

(Photo of Nikol Pashinyan and Ebrahim Raisi: Office of the PM of Armenia)

– Partnership Ukraine-Bulgaria

Azerbaijan has taken control of new heights on the border with Armenia. Comments from Baku

  • JAMnews
  • Baku

Entrance to old Lachin corridor closed

The Ministry of Defense of Azerbaijan reports that the army has taken control of several dominant heights, main and auxiliary roads, and various areas on the border with Armenia. This is due to the complete closure of the old Lachin corridor and the launch of a new alternative road.


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According to the Azerbaijani side, there was a redeployment of the armed forces in connection with the closure of the old Lachin corridor. Experts say that the Azerbaijani army is located on the heights from which the traffic on the new road connecting Armenia with Karabakh is easily controlled.

According to the terms of the tripartite statement of November 10, 2020, within three years a new road was supposed to connect Armenia with Karabakh, differing in its route from the old Lachin corridor. The former Lachin corridor passed through the city of Lachin and the settlements of the Lachin region, which returned to Azerbaijan as a result of the second Karabakh war.

On August 1, 2022, Azerbaijan announced the commissioning of a new Lachin road, and the need to evict the Armenian population from the city of Lachin and the villages of Zabukh and Sus. According to official Baku, the Armenian side, in the course of bilateral contacts, asked that the date of commissioning of the new road be postponed until August 25. On the same day, a new road was launched.

The blue line is the old Lachin corridor, the purple line is the new Lachin road, the red line is the section of the border with Armenia where the Azerbaijani Armed Forces were deployed

Despite the fact that the new Lachin road was ready, no new road was built from Armenia to the border with Azerbaijan for the movement of vehicles. Yerevan says the new road will be ready on April 1, 2023.

Today, on March 30, Azerbaijan completely blocked the entrance from Armenia along the old Lachin corridor, and the establishment of border posts began.

According to military expert and retired colonel Shair Ramaldanov, the Azerbaijani Armed Forces periodically strengthen their positions “both on the conditional border with Armenia and on the territory controlled by the Russian peacekeeping contingent”:

“The escalation of tension in Karabakh, as well as the fact that Armenia is avoiding signing a peace treaty in every possible way, is forcing Azerbaijan to take additional steps. Despite numerous signals about the transfer of weapons from Armenia to Karabakh, no measures were taken by the peacekeepers.

For this reason, a special operation was carried out to close the bypass roads through which the Armenians could transport weapons and ammunition. Now all these roads are under the control of the Azerbaijani army.”

Ramaldanov noted that while earlier “5-6,000 Armenian militants were present in Karabakh, now there are no less than 10,000 of them.” “These operations have completely closed the way to provide illegal gangs on the territory of Azerbaijan,” he added.

The road will allow Azerbaijan to take control of the regional center of the Lachin region. The Armenian part of the road is not yet complete

Military expert Alparslan Imamgulu said that the territories that came under the control of Azerbaijan after the last deployment are important for the disarmament of illegal military formations:

“Control over the dominant heights near the villages of Jagazur and Zabuh, as well as nearby roads, is of great importance. This will allow the Azerbaijani army to control almost all territories through which enemy groups could move.”

Another military expert, Adalat Verdiyev, stressed that these operations of the Azerbaijani Armed Forces would lead to “a logical outcome – the creation of checkpoints along the entire border with Armenia”:

“The current redeployment of the army will allow Azerbaijan to control not only all the roads in the Lachin region, but also the border areas of Armenia.”

Aliyev on the preparation of the tripartite statement of November 9, 2020

Former Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Tofig Zulfugarov also expressed his opinion on the ongoing changes in Karabakh and the border areas with Armenia.

“One of the main tasks of any state is to protect its borders. This is the case in all countries. To protect themselves from a wave of migrants from Mexico, the American authorities built an iron wall six meters high,” he said.

According to Zulfugarov, peacekeepers do not guard borders anywhere in the world:

“Peacekeepers are authorized only to protect security. Everything else – entry into the country, exit from the country, border and customs control, sanitary services – is not their job. These functions, as expected, will be performed by representatives of the state structures of Azerbaijan within the framework of the laws of the country.

In this case, the argument of the Armenians about the blockade will automatically disappear. There will simply be control, and those who do not violate the laws will freely pass through the border.

Since then, the Armenians have become accustomed to the fact that this territory does not belong to Azerbaijan, and they can move around as they wish. But this is no longer possible. As President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev stated, they either stay and live according to the laws of Azerbaijan, or leave.

I suppose that at first the exit from the country for the Karabakh Armenians will be in a simplified manner. Everyone who does not want to live under the laws of Azerbaijan will leave.”

https://jam-news.net/entrance-to-old-lachin-corridor-closed/

Lavrov to visit Turkey on Apr. 6-7 to discuss Karabakh

Mehr News Agency
Iran –

TEHRAN, Mar. 30 (MNA) – Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov will visit Turkey on April 6-7 at the invitation of his Turkish counterpart Mevlut Cavusoglu to discuss Azerbaijan-Armenia conflict, Russian spokeswoman said.

Maria Zakharova, the spokeswoman of the Russian foreign ministry announced Lavrov's Turkey visit at Thursday's press briefing, RIA Novosti reported.

According to her, it is planned to discuss a wide range of issues during the visit, and first of all, the perspectives of bilateral cooperation—including trade, energy, and tourism—which are of mutual interest.

"There will be an exchange of views on topical issues of the regional and international agenda, including the current situation in Ukraine, the settlement of Syria and Nagorno-Karabakh, as well as Central Asia and Afghanistan," Zakharova said.

MNA

Newsweek: OPINION We Have the Right Tool to Pressure Azerbaijan Over Nagorno-Karabakh

 Newsweek 
OPINION
SAM BROWNBACK AND PETER BURNS
ON 3/30/23 AT 7:12 AM EDT

Since the 2020 war over Nagorno-Karabakh, it has become apparent that Azerbaijan is set on reconquering the region, also called Artsakh, even at the risk of displacing the 120,000 indigenous ethnic Armenians that live there.

Armenia and Azerbaijan sit at a strategic location at the junction of Iran and Russia, so it is in the United States' national security interest to ensure a satisfactory resolution to this conflict. It is also in keeping with our national commitment to promoting religious freedom that we ensure endangered religious minorities receive protection.

Thankfully, the U.S. has strong relationships with both Armenia and Azerbaijan and we have a tool in the Section 907 waiver to pressure Azerbaijan to stop its aggressive behavior. The waiver allows the president to waive a law that blocks U.S. aid to Azerbaijan. This also provides an opportunity to call on Armenia to reassess its relationships with Russia and Iran.

Azerbaijan bases their claim to Karabakh on borders drawn by dictator Josef Stalin in the early days of the Soviet Union. In general, the international community has not refuted that claim, though there are reasons to think Stalin placed this Armenian mountain enclave within Azerbaijan in order to weaken both states and keep them beholden to the Soviet Union. After the collapse of the USSR, Armenia and Azerbaijan fought over the Karabakh and Armenia won a limited victory, in what eventually became a frozen conflict. Azerbaijan has made no secret that it wishes to reclaim control of the area, increasing its pressure on the inhabitants in recent years.

The current Azerbaijan blockade of the Lachin corridor, the only road for commerce in and out of Karabakh, has created unbearable hardship for the ethnic Armenians living there. Food and medicines are running out and disruptions in the flow of natural gas have been blamed on Azerbaijan. For hospitals and the elderly, the situation is critical.

A cleansing of ethnic Armenians from Azerbaijan is not without precedent. In the lead up to the first Nagorno-Karabakh War, Armenians were driven out of the rest of Azerbaijan, with a similar eradication of Azerbaijanis from Armenia occurring at the same time.

When pressed on the current blockade, the response from Azerbaijani authorities is to dodge responsibility, blaming organically organized environmental protesters and Russian peacekeepers for the road closure. These excuses are not very convincing as the government has directed Azerbaijanis not to enter the disputed territories without being issued a permit to do so. Some violators have been arrested. The protests seem to be coming with government approval and with protesters arriving on charter buses.

Azerbaijan also signed a significant treaty with Russia on the eve of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. President Ilham Aliyev has called it a full alliance between the two countries. Shifting responsibility isn't going to cut it.

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The U.S. State Department and the International Court of Justice have both recognized Azerbaijan's responsibility for the blockade, calling on them to resolve the crisis. Even so, Azerbaijan refuses to do so, displaying confidence the U.S. will not hold them accountable. We should call their bluff.

The U.S. has an important strategic relationship with Azerbaijan that blossomed during the War on Terror. In 2002, Congress provided the U.S. president with the right to waive a law passed in 1992 restricting most types of aid to Azerbaijan (then-Senator Sam Brownback sponsored the amendment to provide the president with this waiver authority). Since then, presidents have consistently applied this waiver and provided a wide range of military aid to Azerbaijan. The Aliyev has been a key partner in containing Iranian ambitions and that should not be disregarded, but the value of the relationship with Azerbaijan does not give them license to strangle an ethnoreligious minority group with impunity.

Instead, our close relationship gives the U.S. the right to call them to account for their actions.

The president should act immediately to revoke the Section 907 waiver he has extended and put any aid on hold until Azerbaijan demonstrates they will work through peaceful means to resolve the conflict.

Revoking the Section 907 waiver would also send a strong message to the State Department that the White House and Congress rely on them to effectively and accurately meet their statutory reporting requirements. A report by the Government Accountability Office found that the State Department was woefully out of compliance with a provision in the Section 907 amendment requiring them to provide insight on whether U.S. aid was impacting the balance of military power between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

We should not miss this opportunity to also call on Armenia to reconsider its regional friendships with Russia and Iran. While there are few good options available to a small landlocked nation like Armenia, looking to Russia and Iran for protection is inviting the fox to guard the hen house. If Armenia is to survive in this rough neighborhood, they must look to expand their network of alliances and partnerships.

The U.S. is well positioned to be an arbiter in this conflict, ending an urgent humanitarian crisis and upholding our commitment to the protection of religious minorities, but to do so we will have to show Baku we mean business. Revoking the Section 907 waiver is the best way to do that.

Sam Brownback is the former U.S. ambassador-at-large for International Religious Freedom and co-chair of the IRF Summit.

Peter Burns (@peterburns_1861) is executive director of the International Religious Freedom Summit.

The views expressed in this article are the writers' own.

https://www.newsweek.com/we-have-right-tool-pressure-azerbaijan-over-nagorno-karabakh-opinion-1790979