Probability Of Riots High In Azerbaijan, Expert Says

PROBABILITY OF RIOTS HIGH IN AZERBAIJAN, EXPERT SAYS

PanARMENIAN.Net
March 3, 2011 – 16:40 AMT 12:40 GMT

Unless external forces interfere, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev
will be able to retain power, according to the director of the
Institute of Oriental Studies at Armenian National Academy of Sciences.

Commenting on the list of potential hot spots published by the Wall
Street Journal, Ruben Safrastyan noted that there’s a major probability
of riots in Azerbaijan.

“The situation is conditioned by several factors. The power in
Azerbaijan was transferred from father to son, which is negatively
perceived by the society. Besides, activation of religious radical
groups has been observed in the country over the last years,” the
expert stated.

The Wall Street Journal has published recently a list of countries
likely to be hit by anti-government revolts in the future. The top
10 potential hot spots are led by Kenya and Cameroon and include
Pakistan, Nigeria, Indonesia, Morocco, Jordan and Azerbaijan. Libya,
Egypt, Algeria and Tunisia are in the next 10, together with Vietnam,
India and Uzbekistan. The top 30 is then made up of countries including
Colombia, South Africa, Iran, Venezuela, Belarus, China, Kazakhstan
and Brazil. Saudi Arabia is 39 out of the 85, Russia is 40 and Kuwait
is 51. The highest-ranked European Union country is Romania at 37.

Bottom ranked is Sweden followed by Austria, Canada, Denmark and
Germany. In terms of oil producers, Norway, Qatar and the United Arab
Emirates look pretty safe.

Armenia is not on the list.

From: A. Papazian

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