Turkey’s Islamist-Rooted Ruling Party Wins Local Elections

TURKEY’S ISLAMIST-ROOTED RULING PARTY WINS LOCAL ELECTIONS

PanARMENIAN.Net
30.03.2009 11:20 GMT+04:00

Turkey’s Islamist-rooted ruling party appeared headed for victory
Sunday in local elections marred by violence that were widely seen
as a test of popularity for the party.

Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party
(AKP) had 41.3 percent of the vote after nearly 12 percent of ballots
had been counted nationwide, according to partial results reported
by Turkish television.

The main opposition Republican People’s Party was second with 18.3
percent, followed by the Nationalist Action Party with 14.7 percent.

Voting was marked by clashes, mainly in the Kurdish-majority east and
southeast of the country, that left four dead and more than 90 injured.

Gunfights in Sanliurfa and Kars provinces and near the city of
Diyarbakir saw three people shot dead, local security forces said. One
person was stabbed to death in Van province. Ninety-three people
sustained injuries in fighting spread over 10 provinces. A candidate
vying to run the administration of a suburb in Diyarbakir also died
of a heart attack during an argument with voters.

Recent polls had predicted Erdogan’s AKP would win Sunday’s race
despite the severe economic downturn gripping the country.

Some 48 million people were eligible to vote to elect about 93,000
local representatives in Turkey’s 81 provinces.

The AKP is expected to retain control of Istanbul and the capital,
Ankara, but fail in its bid to wrest key cities from the opposition.

Observers are closely watching the size of the AKP’s victory as an
indicator of what the government plans to do on pressing issues such
as the worsening economy and troubled talks with the European Union.

If it gets close to the 46.6 percent it garnered in the 2007 general
election, it will have fresh energy to focus on priorities such as
EU-related reforms and a deal with the International Monetary Fund,
said Wolfango Piccoli of London-based political risk consultancy the
Eurasia group.

The AKP has been holding out on an IMF deal, to the disappointment
of markets, despite worsening economic indicators. Unemployment hit a
record high of 13.6 percent in December and industrial output slumped
by 21.3 percent in January.

If the AKP gets more than 50 percent of the vote, it could become
emboldened to take controversial steps that raise the risk of a
confrontation with secularist opponents which suspect the party of
having a hidden Islamist agenda, Piccoli underlined.

"A triumphal AKP may give in to the temptation to indulge its more
ideological impulses and reward its hard-core Islamist base for its
strong support in the election," he said.

Erdogan was forced to call early general elections in 2007 after a
bitter struggle with secularists suspicious of the party’s choice of
a former Islamist for president.

Once the party secured its position, it tried to amend the constitution
to allow university students to wear headscarves on campus, which
sparked a bid to ban the party.

The constitutional court ruled against banning the AKP, but punished
it with financial sanctions for abusing religion.

Erdogan has already said that after local polls, his government will
work on constitutional amendments, which risks new controversy.

In the least likely scenario, the AKP would get less than 40 percent of
the votes, decreasing the chances of an IMF deal and renewed reforms
to ease Turkey’s entry into the block.

"The opposition would call for early general elections claiming that
the ruling party has lost much of its legitimacy," Piccoli said,
AFP reported.