As Campaign Ends, Ter-Petrosian Claims Victory

EurasiaNet, NY
Feb 17 2008

As Campaign Ends, Ter-Petrosian Claims Victory
Gayane Abrahamyan: 02/17/08

As thousands of supporters yelled "Victory!," former President Levon
Ter-Petrosian wrapped up his election campaign on February 16 with a
massive rally in downtown Yerevan that was rich with parting jibes at
the current government, yet indicative of ongoing divisions within
the opposition itself.

Police estimated that about 30,000 people took part in the rally
outside the Armenian capital’s Opera House, although organizers
insist that the turnout exceeded 250,000. Police presence was
minimal, with a handful of senior officers and plainclothes
detectives surveying the scene or following a march through the city
center.

Yerevan onlookers responded with raised fists of support (an image
also seen on Ter-Petrosian campaign flyers), amused smiles or looks
of blank indifference as thousands of Ter-Petrosian supporters,
chanting slogans, subsequently paraded through the capital, badly
snarling traffic.

While the campaign’s anger at Prime Minister Serzh Sarkisian still
held center stage – Ter-Petrosian supporters erupted in a chorus of
boos and whistles as their march passed under a large campaign
billboard for the premier – feuding within the opposition camp itself
produced the biggest surprise of the event.

Speaking to the crowd, a man who introduced himself as a member of
rival opposition candidate Artur Baghdasarian’s Orinats Yerkir
(Country of Law) Party, claimed that 1,000 Baghdasarian supporters
have switched camps and signed on with Ter-Petrosian.

"Baghdasarian will call this treason, but the true treason would be
the decision not to join this powerful popular movement," declared
the man, who gave his name as Armen Ghazarian.

Ter-Petrosian has charged that Baghdasarian, a former parliamentary
speaker with whom he failed to build a campaign alliance, has
committed "treason" and covertly collaborated with Prime Minister
Sarkisian on the campaign. The Baghdasarian camp has dismissed the
charges as ridiculous.

In an interview with EurasiaNet, Baghdasarian himself, however,
called the rally speaker’s claim a lie, and asserted that he does not
know an Armen Ghazarian. No Orinats Yerkir supporters have gone over
to the Ter-Petrosian camp, he insisted.

"We have prepared a statement, have appealed to the prosecutor
general’s office to bring that Armen Ghazarian to responsibility for
disseminating false information," Baghdasarian said.

While Ter-Petrosian’s feud with Baghdasarian shows no sign of
quieting down, protestors also maintain that the government is taking
steps to block their rallies.

Demonstrators from the provinces interviewed by EurasiaNet complained
that regular buses and minibuses had been banned from traveling to
Yerevan. As a result, they said, they had been forced to find private
cars or taxis to come to the former president’s rally.

One protestor from Abovyan, a small town close to Yerevan where
Sarkisian was scheduled to hold a rally on February 16, argued that
the alleged absence of public transportation was no accident. "This
was done on purpose not only to reduce the flow of the people to this
rally, but also to increase the number of participants in Serzh
Sarkisian’s rally," commented Artur Avtandilian.

A gaggle of men from Ijevan, a town 137 kilometers from Yerevan,
repeated the claim, adding that traffic police wrote down the license
plate numbers and names of drivers of all cars entering the city.
"They stopped us every time, they threatened us, "one man said.

A Yerevan bus terminal employee said that snowy weather accounted for
the cancellation of some bus routes, but said that privately owned
mini-bus operators make their own decisions. Similar claims were made
by opposition supporters during the 2007 parliamentary elections.

The alleged traffic hindrances, however, did little to dampen
Ter-Petrosian’s apparent certainty of victory at the polls on
February 19. He began his speech by congratulating the crowd gathered
in front of Yerevan’s Opera House with a vote already won.

"This is a friendly talk before the victory," he said. "The
kleptocracy [referring to Prime Minister Sarkisian and outgoing
President Robert Kocharian] has already been defeated and the people
have won."

A range of opposition figures — 2003 presidential candidate Stepan
Demirchian of the People’s Party of Armenia, former Prime Minister
Aram Sarkisian of the Republic Party, Heritage Party Deputy Chairman
Vardan Khachatrian and parliamentary member Sasun Mikayelian, who
recently left the ruling Republican Party to join Ter-Petrosian’s
campaign — also spoke at the two-hour-long rally.

The presence of renowned actor Yervand Manarian, opera singers and
conservatory professors underlined the connections between Armenia’s
intellectual community and the former president, a scholar of
Armenian and Middle Eastern history.

Speaking in the modulated tones that have contributed to his public
reputation as a skilled orator, the former president termed the
general election campaign efficiently run," although it did not
develop the way I’d like."

"I wish the campaign was more civilized. But we were forced to give
harsh assessments to these authorities," he said in reference to
Prime Minister Sarkisian and President Kocharian, who served as
defense/interior minister and prime minister, respectively, under
Ter-Petrosian’s 1991-1998 presidency.

"The authorities’ panic has increased so much that they go to
extremes," he claimed.

The comment was taken as a reference to the distribution of four DVDs
in Yerevan over the past week that claim, among other things, that
Ter-Petrosian is of Turkish descent and that he is a member of the
Masons.

One video reviews controversial murders under Ter-Petrosian’s
administration, and implies connections between the ex-president and
the 1999 parliamentary assassinations. The film also reviews the
story of former Interior Minister Vano Siradeghian, a Ter-Petrosian
cabinet member who fled Armenia in 2000 after being charged with
murder.

The film focusing on the 1999 shootings has been shown on H2 TV
channel, with the voiceover that it will show "what a moral person
the first president is and what are his goals for Armenia."

Ter-Petrosian campaign spokesperson Arman Musinian has said that the
campaign doesn’t plan to respond to the DVDs. "The contents are so
ungrounded and ridiculous that we are not even going to comment on
that rubbish," Musinian said.

The films’ creators are unknown. Eduard Sharmazanov, spokesperson for
Prime Minister Sarkisian’s Republican Party of Armenia, says the
party has no knowledge about the DVDs.

"We don’t need to shoot any film of this kind, because people know a
lot about the former president and remember the days of his rule,"
Sharmazanov said.

One anecdote reportedly making the rounds in Yerevan urges voters to
buy electricity generators before Ter-Petrosian is elected and their
prices go up – a reference to the massive electricity shortages
Armenia endured in the early 1990s under his presidency. The
candidate himself attributes the problem to the general breakdown of
infrastructure following the collapse of the Soviet Union.

"They’ve forgotten the past, they’ve forgotten what it was like to
live without electricity," said one man from Etchmiadzin, seat of the
Armenian Apostolic Church, in reference to the rally participants.
Other citizens take issue with restrictions on media and opposition
parties that occurred under the former president. Claiming that he is
"[d]angerous for civilization," 30 protestors have been living in
tents outside Ter-Petrosian’s campaign headquarters for the past four
days.

While recent opinion polls show Ter-Petrosian with only a sliver of
the vote (supporters counter that the surveys are biased in favor of
the government), political analysts say that they have difficulty
predicting the vote’s outcome and reaction to the results.

"[T]he first president’s entrance [into the presidential race]
changed the rules of the game, made the situation interesting and
dynamic, and unpredictable at the same time," commented Caucasus
Media Institute Director Alexander Iskandaryan.

What few observers question is that a battle of some sort is in the
making. "He will fight till the end," noted Mikayel Danielian,
chairman of the Helsinki Association of Armenia. "The authorities
will also go all the way, and the people will have to choose whom to
keep."

Editor’s Note: Gayane Abrahamyan is a reporter for the ArmeniaNow.com
weekly in Yerevan. EurasiaNet Caucasus News Editor Elizabeth Owen
added reporting to this story.