WHAT IS THE ARMENIAN PROBLEM?
by Sedat Laciner
Journal of Turkish Weekly, Turkey
June 19 2006
Although it seems as if it was a domestic problem of the Ottoman
Empire, since the time it first emerged, the Armenian problem has
always been closely related to foreign affairs and always more than
one countries were involved in the matter. Armenians have been one
of the significant ethnic groups of the Ottoman Empire and for many
decades during which they did not claim any separatist-nationalist
demands, benefited from vast religious and social freedoms given
within the national classification of the empire.3 Since the empire
has lost strength during the 19th century, foreign powers, especially
the Russian Tsardom, took Armenians under their influence. Within the
scope of a strategy requiring Slavic-Orthodox brotherhood in Balkans,
Russia managed to drive the Ottomans back from the North and Northwest
Black Sea Coasts and played an active role in independence movements
of countries like Serbia and Bulgaria in the Balkans.
According to the general policy of Russia, Armenians were also
performing a similar role. The main purpose of Russians who anounced
themselves as protectors of Armenians by claiming to have the same
faith, was to establish an Armenian-dominant region in the Caucasia
and to form a barrier between Turkey and Caucasia and Mid-Asia and
to invade the Eastern part of Turkey as much as they could. What
is more, in compliance to their policies requiring “the elimination
of the Ottoman Empire which they used to call ‘the Eastern Problem’
without causing any instability in the international era”, the USA and
the European forces encouraged the nationalist-separatist movements
in the Ottoman Empire and they acted as a kind of guarantor who
fulfilled the desires of the ethnic-religious minorities. Having then
more intense trade relations with the Ottoman Empire, Western states
could more easily collaborate with the minorities, especially with the
Armenians. By means of missionaries and diplomatic representatives and
by also using religious feelings which were the most effective subject
at the time, these states tried to exert influence upon the minorities
and tried to more easily control the Ottoman Empire. While France
was trying to convert Armenians into Katholic belief on one hand,
on the other, while Russians enforced Orthodox-oriented policies,
England and USA imposed Protestant-oriented policies. Thus, each
country desired that Armenians, the last Christian minority within
the Ottoman territory who did not yet gain independence, to remain
under their own control, and they were all considering Armenians
who settled nearly in every town of Anatolia as mediators to protect
their economical and political interests in the Ottoman Empire.
Armenians renounced their first serious demand to seek independence
from the Ottoman Empire was after the Ottoman-Russian War broke out
between 1877 and 1878. Nerses Varjabedyani, the Armenian Patriarch,
visited the Russian military base which was then reached until
Yeþilkoy, and begged from the Russian Tsar not to leave the eastern
Anatolia and to establish an Armenian state in the area.4 Patriarch
also expressed that in case the independence is not achieved, they
wanted some reforms in favour of Armenians to be carried out.
Although the request of the Patriarch was in compliance to Russian
policies, it was too early yet to establish an independent Armenian
state. Moreover, thinking of the political balance in the Middle East,
the UK and other countries were disturbed by the crushing triumph that
Russia gained against the Ottoman State. However, the reformation
demand of the Patriarch Varjabedyani was accepted. Upon this, an
obligatory reformation in areas where Armenians lived in Eastern
Anatolia was laid as down as a condition (the 16th Article) in the
Act of Ayastephanos signed in 1878. This condition is significant
in showing for a foreign state to interfere in the internal affairs
of the Ottoman State and to take on protective role for a group of
minority.5 Another obligation in reforming the areas where Armenians
lived was conditioned by England in the 61st Article of the Act
signed in Berlin. These decisions have encouraged the Armenians and
invigorated their activities in Europe.6
Armenians desired to establish a Van-centred state called “the Old
Armenian Kingdom” covering the whole of Eastern Anatolia incuding
Adana, and North-East Black Sea Coast. What is more, they were longing
this state would spread until the inlands of Caucasia and this state
would have coasts in both Mediterrenean, Black Sea and the Caspian
Sea. Although matching to their plans of blocking the paths of Turks,
under the fear of loosing control over such an Armenian State and
what is worse, in case of such a state to go under the control of
the British, Russians acted with deliberation and spent effort to
establish an Orthodox, Caucasian-centred Armenian state which would
stay under the influence of the Russian Tsar. The sample-case of
Bulgaria which occasionally act free from the Russian influence has
great effect upon Russians to act like this. Russia did not want a
power and population as big as that of Bulgaria to be accumulated
in one state whose control would be difficult. Therefore, Russia
tried on one hand to unite all Armenians to form a barrier between
the Ottoman and Russia, and on the other hand tried their best for
a big and homogeneous Armenian state not to emerge.
By the establishment of “associations” like the Hinchak, Tashnak etc.
Armenians have began to incline more to have an armed struggle. While
the European-based Hinchak association was triggering revolts in
the Ottoman territory, in Europe at the same time, they showed these
revolts as massacres committed against Armenians, just as they did
in Erzurum revolt (1890) and Kumkapi events (1894). Whereas Sasun
Rebellion in 1894 proved explicitly how threatening the Armenian
activities have become for the Ottoman poise. What is more, the
Sasun Rebellion was the first and the most outraging attempt of
Armenians to carry the problem to the international era. Armed
Armenian activists provoked the local people and caused bitter rows
in the region and the events have been able to be settled down only
by Hamidiyya Regiments. However, al these events were reflected to
Europe as a massacre of 20,000 Armenians, but not as quelling of a
rebellion. In these circumstances England has played a major role.
The Armenian problem had become so international that an American was
also indicated as a member for the commission that was constituted by
Sultan Abdulhameed II for investigating the Sasun Rebellion. Although
the USA did not accept this request, England, France and Russia each
sent one envoy. According to the commission, the events were initiated
by the Armenians and the English ambassador stated that the number
of Armenians who died during the turmoil was not over 900.7 However,
what’s happened happened and a widespread public opinion was formed in
England and Europe convincing them that a great Armenian massacre had
occurred. Moreover, in April 1895, with the initiative of England,
the ambassadors of France, England and Russia came together and
discussed whether the reformations previously requested were realised
or not. What they desired was new arrangements to be fulfilled in six
cities determined by themselves and some priviledges to be granted for
Armenians. What realy proposed to the Ottoman State was a diplomatic
warning which was a very rare practice in the history. When the
Ottoman State replied as to carry out a widespread reform in all of
the territory of the State, England and other countries were not happy
with this. However, the obliterate dispute between Russia and England
was giving to the Ottoman State a power to resist. Whereas Armenians
continued their activities in order not to fall outside the agenda
of major states. They organised marches and inflictive repels in the
most sensitive period of times. Nonetheless, it is not clear whether
Armenians have organised such activities, just as the Bab-i Ali March
on 30 September 1895, according to their own plans or incited to do so
by these states. After the Bab-i Ali March, France, England and Russia
continued to discuss the Armenian problem and at the end of their
negotiations, they declared the Islahat Nizamnamesi (Regulation for
Reformation). According to this Regulation, Christian minority would
be able to, relatively to their population in the area, represent
themselves in civil and security services and they would be able to
have representatives also in the local administrative authorities.8
Fate of the Armenian problem was affected by Salisbury who came into
power in England. After Salisbury, English policies concentrated
more upon the Middle Eastern territories of the Ottoman State and
set their heart on having Egypt, Cyprus, Iraq and South East Anatolia.
They were planning to control the security of Straits (Bosporus and
Dardanelle) by constituting an English Security Region which was
supposed to start from the Dardaneles and surroundings. Moreover,
with the intention of putting pressure upon the Ottoman Sultan about
carrying out reformations about the Armenian problem, England attempted
to send a fleet to Istanbul and suggested other European countries to
join this fleet with one ship.9 However, quite openly, these British
policies were conflicting with those of Russia who claim themselves
as the guardian of Armenians.
The problem which was grown with the foreign support, has become
bloodier and more complex by the establishment of Tashnaks who
reckoned activities of Hinchaks as inefficient. The 1896 Van
rebel and the attack to the Ottoman Bank were assaults committed
by this establishment. Furthermore, the English initiative excited
the Armenians and the Armenian Patriarch Izmirliyan spread a news
amongst the Armenians telling that a European fleet is about to reach
Istanbul.10 Armenians who raided the bank in Istanbul had used the
same tactic of involving the European countries into the problem.
Raiders demanded from European ambassadors to ensure the application of
the revolution. Events caused a tension occurred between the security
forces and Armenians dwelling in Istanbul. Armenian komitadjis (members
of revolutionary organisation) attacked the local people with bombs
in some parts of the city, however none of the responsibles were
put under arrest. After attaining the guaranty they wanted, rebels
were boarded on the yacht of Sir Edward Vincent, the director of the
bank, and were allowed to leave the country completely scot-free.11
Although all these events were severely disapproved by the British
public, the English press depicted these rebels as heros and the
Ottoman Sultan who was trying to keep the peace in his territory as
“a blood-thirsty monster”.12 Not only the English press, but the
whole Europe was regarding the case as removing of a Christian
minority. Even Germany who was the closest alliance of Ottomans,
looked at the event from the same perspective and by a telegraph
sent to the German Emperor, they even added their comment saying that
“the Sultan should be dethroned”.13
Under the effect of all these progresses, Armenian events encouraged
England to develop a new policy putting a pressure upon Ottoman
State to carry new reforms. Despite the reform demand of England
was approved by nearly all states, mainly Russia and France were
clearly anxious about the future of the Ottoman Empire. Using the
Armenian problem as an excuse, England tried their best to benefit
most from the distruction of the Ottoman Empire and all these plans
were not dismissed by Russians who were even more impatient to get a
share. On the other hand, France did not want the Ottoman State to be
potioned out between England and Russia. That is, the Armenian problem
was only a camouflage against all of their desires. Nevertheless,
thanks to the competition among these countries, Ottoman State has
been able to resist longer against the Armenian problem. However,
Armenian guerillas unceasingly continued their attacks. They even
dared to assasinate the Sultan Abdulhameed II in 1905.
With the Western support, nearly all ethnic groups that were
departed from the Ottomans gained their independence until that
time when only Armenians were the non-Muslim ethnic group who could
not achieve their independence. That is why, it was very normal for
Armenians to seek support from Western countries. From this respect,
the Armenian problem was a typical separatist movement.14 The only
problem was that Armenians, being scattered all around the Empire,
did not constitute any majority in any city or region.
However, after the Declaration of the Constitutional Monarchy this
scenery was completely changed. All powers who struggled against the
Sultan Abdulhameed II were unified. The most significant unification
among them is the closeness established between the Ittihad Terakki
(Party of Union and Progress) and some Armenians. The Armenians who
were uneasy about or thinking differently from the royal policies
have moved together with the Ittihad Terakki and sometimes provided
thefinance for this party. In this period of time, many Russian
Armenians also came to Istanbul and Armenian societies had a level of
freedom of movement which they never attained before. Many Armenian
schools, unions, libraries were opened all around the country,
while many Armenians were appointed to high official positions in the
government. Even the highest rank officials of the Ottoman government
joined the meetings and openings held by Armenians.15 Despite having
very good realtions with the government, a group of Armenian komitadjis
chose an active armed struggle and tried again to involve the Western
countries into the matter. All these developments broke out the 1909
Adana events. Adana was an important centre for Armenians to realive
their old Armenian Kingdom. In another time, Russia had incited
Armenians to establish a state in Klickia (the region covers the
South East Anatolia and a part of Eastern Mediterrenean Coast of
Anatolia)16 and France had supported the separatist movements in
the area. Another reason for this region to be attractive for those
states was that it was close to rail lines and ports, and was having
a strategical significance in the Middle East. All these events broke
out at a time when the Ottoman State was experiencing difficulties in
international era. Being busy by fighting against the internal rebels,
the government was also engaged in conflicts with Austria, Serbia
and Bulgaria. An uprising had erupted in Crete and other countries
began to interfere into the Ottoman affairs even more intensely. What
they targeted was to establish an independent Armenian State with the
provided external support. They impelled more Armenians from all other
regions to accumulate in this area. Armenians were motivated to attain
more weapons. And they even formed trained armed units. The events
broke out when two Turks were killed by armed Armenians and spread
to street fights. At the end of the events more Turks than Armenians
were executed and even some governors took to support armed Armenians
against Turks. Because, according to these governors the events are
related to 31st March events and Armenians were regarded as forces
supporting the Constitutional Monarchy. All these events show that
Ittihad Terakki has never had any “racist” inclination to extinguish
completely the Armenians. Despite all that, it was reflected to Europe
as 30,000 Armenians were killed. According to the Patriarchate this
number was 21,330 whereas the Turkish officials give between 1,000
and 10,000, including the killed Muslims.17
Prior to the First World War, the Armenian problem had not remained
as an internal matter of Ottoman State and always influenced its
foreign relations. There were two sides of the matter: Firstly, the
problem was used by other countries against the Ottomans as a kind
of threatening tool. By this tool, various countries, mainly Russia,
England, France and USA, tried to actualise their interests upon the
Ottoman heritage. Secondly, this interest which was initially started
out of national interests, has transformed into an anti-Ottoman,
anti-Turkish public opinion in Europe which continued for over a
century. In other words, in timer, an artificial state interest has
developed into a deeply rooted social matter. In Western press, the
Ottoman State was used as the synonymous of the new concept of “Turkey”
and in the news, the Monarch of the Ottoman State was mentioned as
“the Sultan of Turkey”. This, of course, caused the problem to be
transferred nearly as the same to the new Republic of Turkey. That
is why, it is impossible to abstract the events happened during the
Republic time from those occurred during the period of Ottoman rule.
Before the First World War, Western opinion of the Ottomans was
completely based upon religious and racist prejudices. All of the
Western public press reflected the events from the perspective
of Christian-Muslim separation. Hence, reacting in a unity of
religious solidarity, Western public thought and acted according
to that their brothers in faith were killed at the hands of cruel
infidels. In those days, the independence struggles of Bulgarians
and Greeks, and other conflicts between the Ottoman State and its
other Christian subjects were the most popular matters printed in
the Western and American press. In all of these news, Turks were
depicted as inhumane or even as brute beings. Thus, in all aspects,
the environment in Europe was ready for negatively reverberating
the news about Armenians. As a consequence, even at a small case of
a rebel, it was very common to see headings as “Turks v. Christian
Armenians”.18 Events have been spread to the world mostly from London
by American missionaries and Armenians.19 In those news Turks were
launched as “not keeping their words, barbarians and beasts who can
heartlessly slaughter people”.19 All these directing news naturally
affected the Western public, but carried on for decades because
of the single-sided informing of the lobby of Christian-Armenian
missionaries and because the Ottomans could spend little effort for
raising public awareness.20 During this political process, it was
intensely emphasized that poor Armenians could only be saved by the
English and American forces and many aid campaigns were organised for
their sake. Most of these campaigns were started by the Armenian and
missionary societies, while on the other hand lobby activities that
were very close to governments and parliaments were coordinated.21
This type of campaigns and organisations inevitably affected the
Ottoman policies of Western countries. It can be stated that in this
period of time, there was no favour at all for the Ottomans and the
matter was dealt in a completely biased way, and the decisions that
are seem to be impartially taken were generated merely because of
national concerns. As will be discussed further in our study, these
have been heavily reflected upon the Republic term.
The First World War and Relocation Decision
At the beginning of the First World War, the situation was even more
dangerous for the Ottoman State. Being engaged in a war in nearly
every front, the Ottoman also had to strive against the armed attacks
of Armenians and the information bureaus were warning for new rebels
from other ethnic minorities. Nearly all of the European countries
(especially Russia, France and England) were counting themselves as
parties of the case. In other words, the case did not remain as a
matter between a state and its subjects, on the contrary, it became
even more complicated with the involvement of interests of other
countries. For many Armenians start fighting on the side of Russians
was another pain in the East part of the country. Experiencing great
military and financial difficulties, the Ottoman government was not
at a situation to follow a policy based upon loyalty of Armenians. In
these conditions, relocation was regarded as an inevitable policy to
be applied.22 Actually resettlement has always been a common method
applied quite often by both the Ottoman Empire and other states
and it was not peculiar practice applied only to Armenians. In the
Ottoman history, including Turks, ethnic groups that are troublesome
or needed somewhere else were resettled in different areas when it’s
necessary. The same policy was continued to be partly applied during
the Republic time. Moreover, as mentioned earlier, the method of
relocation was neither first nor solely employed by Turks. Throughout
the history, all states changed locations of populations due to
economical, political, social or security concerns. This method
has been used mainly for changing demographical balances and for
reinforcing security. The most known relocation in the recent history
is when Americans forced Japanese minority to move from the region
where Pearl Harbour is, to Missisippi Valley, just the other side
of the country. Unfortunately, due to the pitiful conditions of the
time has turned the relocation into a tragedy and many Armenians have
lost their lives on the way. According to Armenian historians, Ottoman
administrators intentionally forced Armenians to that journey, knowing
that they would die. At first glance, this may seem a reasonable claim,
because Ottoman Empire was not even at a situation to supply its
people’s daily needs, let alone providing all the facilities to for
hundreds of people to safely arrive to their defined destination. In
those days, even major cities where many gangs appeared were lacking of
security and justice. In short, it was obvious that Istanbul would not
be able to complete such a relocation successfully and that serious
problems would occur. However, it is debatable whether the Istanbul
government was aware of this or not.
When legal and administrative measures prepared for the relocation are
taken into consideration, it can be seen that, the Ottoman government
“theoretically” took every precaution in order to protect the relocated
Armenians. According to these laws, even the train tickets of migrants
would have to be supplied. They were allowed to sell their goods and
many articles were written explaining details of how to settle back
their lands when they come back. Even workshop tools were provided
for them to work in the place they will settle.
In spite of idealistically prepared law and official correspondence,
it can be said that the relocation had to be employed hastily before
all the preparations were completed. However, one should ask at this
point that is it any different in today’s Turkish Republic? According
to written legal codes, we live in a perfect country. However in
practice, thousands of people are killed or injured either by murders
or road accidents. From this respect, it seems that modern Turkish
officials who allowed the construction of such fragile buildings
(as we witnessed during the Izmit eartquake) are much less reliable
than Ottoman officials who applied the relocation decision. That is,
it is not adequate just to find the responsibles or just cogitate. In
such cases, the intention and purposes of administrators should be
the main concern.
It is very clear that the intention of Ottoman officials were nothing
to do with genocide or racism. Such a judgement would be totally
opposite to the Ottoman administrative rules and customs. What is
more, since they were engaged in a military attack, Russian troops
killed many migrating Armenians as well as the Armenian gangs. Here it
can be stated that, it was Armenian gangs themselves who induced the
relocation with their destroying activities in the Eastern Anatolia
and caused local Muslim population to migrate especially from Van
towards the West part of the country. Although not generally mentioned,
during these migratory movements, many Muslim have lost their homes,
lands and even their lives. The most crucial result of these attacks
was to initiate an active fights between the ethnic and religious
sects living in the area. Thus, when all negative conditions of the
war and the region and the weakness of the Ottoman Empire were added
by these ethnic and religious conflicts, administrative executives
of ottomans fell in even more troublesome situation which caused them
to experience serious problems during the relocation of Armenians.
According to Turkish historians, the number of Armenians who died
during the relocation changes between 10 thousand to 350 thousand,
Armenian historians amplified this number to 1,5 million even to
2 million. They even increased this number to 2,5 million during
a discussion held in Wales. As it is known that the population
of Armenians living within the Ottoman boundaries was not even
1,5 million and as a large number of Armenians have safely reached
their destination, we can see how emotional and how exaggerating the
Armenian historians behave. In the same way, the Turkish historians
who inclined to show the number of deaths as too low are also acting
in a reactive manner. In conditions where epidemic was widespread,
famine was considered as normal, health services were very poor,
weather conditions were very cold and bitter and upon all that while
the ethnic group under our consideration was engaged in a rebellious
act, the number of deaths would not stay at few thousand. However
not all of these deaths were occurred because of the relocation. All
death occurances well before the relocation and after have also
been included in the 1915 cases. Yet, some Armenian researchers
are spending great effort to show even the deaths or losts occurred
during the war as a result of relocation. They list all Armenians who
died during the collapse of Ottoman Empire and depict them as if they
were victims of a single act. What is more, hundreds of Armenians who
previously migrated from the Ottoman territory are shown as died or
lost. Those who record the lost ones in the Ottoman lands, do not
record their migration to Europe, Russia, Armenia, Middle East or
North America. They display the first part of the account but not the
next. If we would make the same account for the Muslim population, we
could easily reach a judgement proving a massacre of over 10 million
Turkish and other Muslim subjects of the Ottoman State. Moreover,
during the last period of Ottoman Empire, the number of Turks and
Muslims who were killed in Balkans and Caucasia was over 5,5 million.
Yusuf Halacoðlu, head of the Institution of Turkish History, explains
that about 10,000 people died because of the attacks happened during
the relocation:
“According to Ottoman archives, about 500,000 people were forced to
relocate and around 500,000 were migrated to Caucasia on their own
consent. The relocation process carried on for nine mounths. Talat
Pasha thought of Konya first. But afterwards they have been
resettled in Syria. Nobody is definitely sure about the number of
died Armenians. There are people claiming 800,000, or 1 million or
even 1.5 million. These are all false. Before 1915, we know that
there were 1.5 million Armenians according to the Patriarchate. If
you compare those who returned in 1919 and those who didn’t, you can
calculate the highest possible number of Armenians who died on the
way. There is a report written by the Halep ambassador of the USA
stating that they provided aid for 486 thousand Armenian migrants
all registered with their names. All these official documents deny
the assertions of 1 million death cases… In 1921, as stated by the
British consulate in Istanbul, the whole population of Armenians in
the world was defined. This was done by the UN to determine the budget
to be appropriated for Armenians. They recorded that 827 thousand
of relocated Armenians were Turkish citizens. They also claim that
“95 thousand Armenians were forced to change their religion to Islam,
during the period of Kemalist Turkish Republic”.
When you add the 150 thousand who live in Istanbul, only then you get
a number just over a million. The number of those who died from illnes
was about 100 thousand and those who were killed during attacks were
10 thousand.” 23
Number are a great nuisance in claims related to Armenians, but the
real important problem is that if those death cases were murders
or not. According to Armenian blames, the Ottoman administrators
are Turkists and intended to eliminate the Armenians under racist
motives. According to their allegations, just as the “genocide” crime
that was committed by Germans against Jews in the Second World War,
Turks did the same for Armenians. Some Armenian writer go eve further
and assert that the Ittihad Terakki leaders had actually been planning
this for a long time and they found the war environment as a good
opportunity to actuate their plans. Since 1915, all developments
that paralised and terminate all Turk-Armenian relations are all
based upon these allegations. In other words, according to Armenians,
Turks “have committed the first genocide experienced in the history”
and they have even been an inspiration for Hitler.
When one considers fairly that, at the same period of time, 90,000
Turkish soldiers froze to death in Sarýkamish, Caucasia, and ten
thousands of local people died from epidemics, can understand much
better all these tragic events. Hundred thousands of loss was not
a case only happened in the Ottoman territory. In 1919, more than
200,000 Armenians died from starvation and epidemics in Erivan,
a region which was ruled by Armenian Tashnaks. Richard Hovanisian
describes thr first independent Armenian state as a “death country”.24
However, the same author cannot believe that the same number of
Armenians also died of the very same natural causes like famine,
starvation and epidemics during the rule of Ottomans and only thinks of
“genocide”. A newspaper was reflecting the events of the day as such:
“People were satisfying their hunger with cats and dogs. There have
been even cases that starved mothers who had to eat the inner organs
of their dead babies.” 25
In short, it was very possible for many thousands of Turks, Kurds or
Armenians to died out of natural causes and that was what happened.
Even so, when such cases are politically considered with hidden intent,
or in other words, when political strategies are formed over corpses,
even such deaths can be seen as “genocide”.
As another dimension of the matter, events occurred after the First
World War have proved that how correct was the relocation decision
even if it would have taken for security concerns. In South East,
Armenians formed alliance with the French and attacked and killed
their neoighbours with whom they had lived peacefully for hundreds of
years. The bloody rebel that broke out in Van and Armenians supplied
all supports to Russian invadors and all other armed attacks done by
Armenians are all proves that they were ready to use weapons against
the local people. That is, it is impossible to depict the scene as
elimination of disarmed Armenian people by armed Ottoman forces and we
can easily say that if a Western country would encounter with a similar
situation, they would take much more serious measures to protect their
security. The Armenian leaders officially announced that they were
engaged in a military war anyway. During the negotiations in Sevres,
Armenians requested to be accepted as a “combatant part of the war”, a
declaration of their own which clearly proves that Armenians, just like
Germans, Russians etc. were one of the actors of the First World War.
It is quite clear that the problem is much more complicated than the
allegations of both sides and there are defective and ill-intentioned
people in either sides. Nevertheless, if not serving to a political
purpose, to present the event as a “genocide” or “ethnic clensing”
is at least simplifying the matter. However, clashes are shown
in the history in a single-sided way. All events are reflected
to the world public only in the way dramatized by Armenians and
Western countries. Thus, just as happened for the Greek and Bulgarian
independence wars, Armenian events also portrayed as a typical sample
of “Turkish barbarism”. Surely the war physocology has contributed a
lot to this emotional reactive diagnosis. Especially England has used
the events as a tool for negative propaganda to push the Ottoman-German
alliance into a very difficult platform. The British spent extra effort
to use the Armenian problem against the Ottoman in order to persuade
the USA to enter the war. According to McCarthy, by picturing the
events as a great genocide, the English politicians were trying to
persuade Americans to defend Western values and Christianity against
an inhumane front.26 However, in a very short time, everybody believed
these hyperbolised propaganda materials and 1915 events carved into
memories as “a dark stain in the history.”
Organised Armenians living in Europe and North America have played
a major role in presenting the 1915 events just from the views
of Armenian partisans. In addition to public pressure, Armenian
businessmen and persons who have arms in the media manipulated the
European and American press and appropriated their own emotional and
reactive perceptions for the whole Western public. Secondly, at this
time of period, all news about the Ottomans were flowing to the West
through the minorities. News sources of many newspapers and magazines
were English, American, French, Armenian, Greek agents who were
working with Armenians and as expected all the news were very biased.
Our researches that we conducted in the archives of The Times,
Washington Post and New York Times show that all news related to
the Ottoman lands were merely emphasizing a concept of religious
conflict. A significant amount of news tell stories about the
oppression of Muslim government applied upon Christian subjects. In
most of the news, Armenians especially named as “Christian Armenians.”
Another factor that influenced the events to be launched as a big
massacre, even as a genocide, is the propagandas spread by Armenians
who settled in European countries after the relocation. On the contrary
to their claims, sych a number of Armenians achieved to reach their
destinations alive that a highly considerable Armenian diaspora
was formed in Lebanon, Cyprus, France and America. The 1915 events,
now became a kind of legend, have been used by some institutions and
groups to continue a vendetta between Armenians and Turks and to form
and survive an Armenian identity in the diaspora.
As a result of all these attempts, a generation raised who adopted the
Armenian claims as their missionary action and turning the Armenian
problem into the most significant factor of their existence, Armenians,
sometimes violently, expressed their allegation very often in countries
where they live. Began with mainly humane and religious memories,
this process continued to be overstated with cinema films, written
works, demonstrations, meetings etc. and in time, these efforts have
become the only source feeding the West about the Armenian problem.27
Deeply believing all these allegations related to the 1915 events,
Bedros Afeyan lists the Armenian accusations claimed to be committed
by the Turks as below:
1. They closed down all Armenian associations and organisations,
exiled their members to out of cities and wipped them on the way.
2. They collected all weapons.
3. They provoked Muslim population especially in places like Van
where revolutionist activities occurred and they organised crimes
against Armenians.
4. They, appearently, charged military forces with a duty of protecting
Armenians, but they actually played roles in massacres.
5. All men under 50, religious officials and teachers were killed,
girls left alive for use of ……
6. All families isolated and kept away from food and drinking water.
7. All Armenians working as government officials were either executed
or fired.
8. Armenian members of Turkish Army were killed.
9. All these activities started off in every place at the same time
and Armenians were not given enough time to defend themselves.
10. All these actions were commanded and executed in a determined way,
and all what has been done were denied. 28
All these allegations show how harsh and insensitive belief Armenians
have about Turks. We say “belief”, because there is neither an evident
truth that can be reasonably discussed, or something persuasive, but
there is a legendary notion which turned into a mere belief. Although
everybody accepts the tragedy occurred at the time, to deny the
allegations of Afeyan, it would more than adequate to read only the
Armenian books. Books explaining the history of Tashnaks and Hinchaks
are full of photos of heavily armed Armenian rebels. Van, the city
mentioned by them was invaded by Armenians….
However, as we mentioned earlier, beliefs can never be discussed. If
you attempt to discuss people’s beliefs, they will take it as the most
humiliating insult. Just as, Armenians regard the normal discussions
about the so-called Armenian genocide as “denial” and label such
discussions as a great crime. In this process one should definitely
note the responsibility of Turkey as well. In other parts we referred
to this side of the matter.
Summarising the international connections of Armenian problem during
the Ottoman rule, wa see that the Armenian problem did not remain as
an internal matter and it became a substantial factor effected nearly
all international relations of Ottoman Empire. This was the outcome of
Armenian efforts to involve many foreign states into the problem and
also of the fact that those countries saw the Armenian problem as a
means of control over the Ottoman state. The only factor that can be
regarded as a “favor” to the Ottomans was the conflicting interests
of the big powers and the Armenians not constituting a majority in
any region.
England was closely related with the all regions in its then colony
India. Since 1840, England was acting as a protector for Protestants.
Especially after Salisbury came into power, England changed strategy
and did not tolerate Russia to play the only and the most important
role in the Armenian problem. Because Russians could do the same
in Caucasia and the Middle East, what they did in Balkans and could
blockade England. For these concerns, the Englishmen “tried to form
their own type of Armenians” and supported Armenian revolts in the
direction of their own plans. English government also used the excuse
of defending the Ottoman state against Russia by claiming that Ottomans
could not resist on their own, and benefited from the Armenian problem,
captured some of Ottoman territories like Cyprus.
However these British plans caused fear in Russia. Russians were
wanting to establish an Armenian state, but they were worried that
this state would enter under the influence of England. For this,
bringing all Russian-advocator Armenians together in Caucasia, Russia
was pursuing to constitute a power land which would stretch until
Adana in the South Anatolia. Whereas France, on the other hand, was
following a policy over Katholic Armenians. They were trying their best
to capture the biggest share from the collapse of the Ottoman Empire
and were regarding the Armenian problem as a very usefull means for
this purpose. The French military activities in the Klichia region
during the First World War and during the Independence War distinctly
depict this intention of theirs. Armenians who went to France and
Lebanon after the events, showed a sign that they will play the major
role to continue the problem. Another actor of the problem during the
Ottoma rule was the USA. The interest of the USA was appeared first
as economical concerns. As America was only engaged with Armenians
in trade relations, this caused them to receive only single-sided
and biased news about Ottomans. Moreover the USA, trying to spread
Protestanism through their missionaries, have been an inseparable
part of the problem when many Armenian migrants settled in America
after the events.
In conclusion, the Armenian problem was more than being a problem
between Muslims and Armenians, but was a factor which was used to form
international balances against the Ottoman Empire. In time elapsed,
both Ottomans and Armenians had great losses while European powers
and America increased their territories and influence.
A Genocide, A Massacre or A Defense?
Since all of later debates are correlated with the relocation desicion
and the 1915 events have been denoted as genocide, to evaluate the
aspects of this genocide before analysing the Republic period would be
elucidating. Earlier in our study, we saw that Armenian policies of
the government during the Ottoman rule were full of troubles. This
must not be found peculiar, because as the administrative system
of the state got weakened and as inner and outer enemies got more
organised than the state itself, the relations of the state with non
of its ethnic minorities could be continued as before. Problems lead
in time other problems to arise and this vicious circle carried on
until the collapse of the Empire. Although it was being able to rule
over its ethnic minorities very peacefully and facilitatively before,
now stricken with panic, Istanbul government started to apply some
violence to both Muslim and non-Muslim minorities who acted disloyally
to the empire. The discovery of nationalism which first appeared
as Ottomanism and then as Turkism had definitely a negative effect
on this process. The immature nationalist actions of the Ittihad
Terakki accelerated the destruction of peace rather than providing
it. It is known that Ittihad Terakki members who came into power
by force after dethroning the Sultan Abdulhameed Khan II were more
inclined to violence and military action, and were cold to dialogue
and democratical solutions. In this atmosphere, problems which could
be solved very easily became even more complicated and this was most
strongly perceived for the Armenian problem. The government of the
time most of members of which were military officials reacted the
Armenian and other rebels by only using military weapons and tools
and nearly comletely neglected the social and political dimensions
of the problem. The last ring of this chain of mistakes was the 1915
relocation. As a result of these mistakes, the Armenian nationalism
very easily turned into a separatism and Armenian seaparatists started
to gain advocators even in rural areas. As mentioned earlier, before,
Armenian separatists could not have any supporters within the Armenian
bourgeois and rural areas and their activities were restricted into
a small group of people. However, as the problem began to appear
as a kind of ethnic war between Muslims and Christian Armenians, the
Armenian separatist actions changed in time, into a mass movement. This
was just what armed activists like the Tashnaks and Hinchaks wanted
and the Ottoman state was deceived by its own policies. Especially
the application of the 1915 decision for relocation strengthened the
consciusness of Armenians having a separate identity. The inadequecy
of the government and the immaturity of the administrators were
clearly indicating that such a mass movement of people would end
in a calamity. Just as, various officials within the government
warned the responsibles for not giving and not applying such a
decision. Nevertheless, the decision was put into practice and
warned concerns occurred and many people have died on the way from
either illnesses, hunger or cold. Some other deaths occurred during
the relocation, because some officials, local leaders or local groups
either attacked or did not perform their responsibilities for Armenians
due to their hatred grown with murders committed by Armenian komitadjis
in their areas. In short, in 1915 a great tragedy was experienced,
thousands of Armenians had to leave their homes, families separated,
people lost their beloved ones. This migration flared up the hatred
between Armenians and Turks and being remained in the midst of such
an hostility, Armenians who do not have anything to do with any
political conflict also felt that they are oblidged to take the side
of Armenians.
Until this point, it is impossible not to acknowledge the Armenians to
be right. One major duty of a government is to differentiate between
those who are righteous and those who are wrongful. The state is
oblidged to protect its citizens. The state can take decisions like
relocation, but the lives, properties and honours of migrants are under
the security of the government and it is responsible for protecting
these values. The Ottoman State has set a bad examination in this
matter. It should have been guessed that many people could die or
encounter with attacks on the way to their destination. When looked
from this point of view, it is obvious that the Ittihad Terakki
and the Ottoman State which was ruled by them owe an apology to
Armenians who were Ottoman citizens. However this apology can never
be a apology for neither “genocide” nor “massacre”. The truth of
the matter is, that apology was partly fulfilled and many Ottoman
officials who were faulty in applying the relocation were either
executed or punished. They have even gone so far in punishment that
they sentenced much more men to death than Nurenberg Courts. Amongst
the punished ones, there were also those who did not have anything
to do with the events or who did not deserve such punishments.
“Should the Turkish Republic officially apologise for these events?”
If it is ecessary, there is no problem in doing so. Because the state
which is the continuation of the Ottoman Empire is Turkey. This is
perceived as this by both the whole world and Turkish citizens.
Turkish Republic should accept the faulty pages of the history as
they claim to be the owner of a glorious, highly honoured pages of
their history. The noble behaviour that uplifts nations and states
is to be able to admit their sins as well as their good deeds. Such
an attitude will never humiliate neither Turkey nor Turks. On one
side of the coin, there are the sufferings of Armenians and Ottomans
exceedingly served the sentence for this. While Armenians living many
hardships on one hand, on the other, partly because of wrong policies
of Ittihad Terakki, an Empire has melted away like a piece of ice.
Similar mistakes costed lives of ten thousands of Ottoman soldiers
in Sarikamish and Ottomans lost all their well-educated people in
every front. Nonetheless we must again say that genocide is a matter
of cultural and social level. 1, even 2,5 million people cannot be
massacred by one or two persons decision as it is claimed. Yes,
may be Ottoman officials did make a mistake, but definitely this
mistake cannot be named as “genocide” or “massacre”. It can be at
most a negligence and there are no states on earth which do not have
such mistakes.
However, there is another side to the coin:
Did the Armenians not Exhibit any Blameworthy Act and Weren’t They
Responsible at all?
While Turks owe an apology, are Armenains innocent and completely
free from guilt?
Unfortunately not…
First of all, the most important factor that triggered the events
in 1915 was the Armenian revolts and their terorist movements. The
number of Muslims who were killed by armed Armenians was over
500.000. Furthermore, at the beginning of the events, many Armenian
Ottoman citizens have also been victims of Armenian terror. Besides,
Jewish Ottomans were also affected by the Armenian raids and a
great number of Jewish people had to leave their homes in the
Eastern Anatolia and some of them were killed. Until the First
World War, especially in the Eastern Anatolia, ten-thousands of
Armenians secretly passed into Russian nationality and started to
carry Russian passports. Arsenals that were built by Armenians and
fromts they fought against the Ottoman State are not a secret and
all these perfidious activities are still presented as something
honourable by Tashnaks and Hinchaks. In other words, as a state has
some duties and resposibilities, citizens also carry some duties and
responsibilities and foremost of them is loyalty. On account of this,
Turkish officials expression of “the Armenians have not been loyal, on
the contrary betrayed the Ottoman State” is neither merely emotional,
nor a meaningless expression. There are mutual responsibilities in
the relationship between a state and its citizens and the essence of
this relationship is loyalty. In some sectors, the Armenian society
could not show this loyalty, contrarily have been involved in every
distructive activity against the state. They openly pronounced their
intention of establishing a separate state and organised within
themselves for this cause. They designed separate flag and composed
their own anthem, they formed armed military detachments, prepared
weapons and munitions, set military and diplomatic alliances with
other countries, terror attacks became their daily practice, with
every activity, they openly expressed that they do not recognise the
Ottoman authority, they dared to attempt to assasinate the President
(Sultan) of the Ottoman Empire, raided Muslim villages and killed many
people civilians, occupied one of the major cities of the country
(Van) and by the start of the First World War, they acted together
with Russian military forces.
In summary, these events can never be connected with and seen similar
as the events experienced by Jews in Hitler’s Germany in the Second
World War. Here, there is not a case that some innocent unarmed
people to be subjected to some cruel practices applied just out of
racist incentives. The event is mainly a suppression of a rebellion
and practices of defense of one nation in a war situation. When the
matter is justly considered from this respect, we see that Armenians
have been very fortunate and highly tolerated: If they would activate
such a big rebel and terorist action in the USA, France or in any
other country, even today, the punishment they would get definitely
would not be relocation. Even today’s USA would apply such harsh
precautions and punishments that could not be compared with the
measurements taken by the Ottomans. The applications of Americans
involving the genocide of Indians, the relocation of the Japaneese,
brutal practices in Guantanamo and Abu-Ghurayb are all examples that
they would reply such actions much more severely.
Another point to be clarified in the “genocide” accusation claimed
by Armenian groups is the close relationship between racism and
genocide. Genocide is a product of racist thoughts and motives and
implies effrots of elimination of a group (religious, ethnic, etc.)
just because they belong to that group. From this respect, genocide can
be evaluated as the invention of the West. When the Jewish genocide
is taken under consideration, we can see that the massacre was done
for no evident reason. According to German racists, Jews were bad just
because they are Jews and although they were not engaged in any armed
attempt against Germany, they were tried to be wiped out merely because
they were Jews. Whereas, the Turkish Nationalism that were blamed by
committing Armenian genocide, do not carry hatred incentives at all. On
the contrary, Ittihad Terakki members, the first Turkish nationalists,
who were accused of being racists came into power with the support
of Armenians and some other ethnic minorities. Nearly every member of
Ittihad Terakki had one Armenian friend or neighbour and even during
the time the 1915 events happened, they continued their friendship
and even some of the members took shelter in homes of the Armenian
neighbours at the time they were inquired after for badly treating
the Armenians.29 Most of the relocated people turned back either to
their original homes or to Istanbul either on the way or because they
did not like the place they were sent. Obviously, if there would be
a genocide occurred, if Armenians would be killed wherever they were
seen just because they were Armenians, such scenes could never be
seen. Another example is this; in the days when so called “genocide”
events were happening, some Armenians were admitted into the Ottoman
army additionally to high ranks and this decision was signed by the
foremost characters of the Ittihad Terakki. Another example showing
that Armenians were occupying some important positions in the Ittihad
Terakki government can be given with Jamal Pasha who was one of
those who were accused of maltreating Armenians. When he started
his official duty in the Maritime Ministry, Jamal Pasha helped the
Armenian parliament member Hallachyan Afandi to be assigned as the
Law Consultant of the Ministry.30
There innumerable evidences showing that the Ottoman society
was nothing to do with racism and that racism is a very improbable
case for the Ottomans. Nevertheless, the most striking one of these
evidences is the 1915 Chanakkale (Dardanelles) War. Interestingly
coincided with the Armenian rebel and relocation, this war is may be
“the purest the most virtous war” of the history. This is not stated
only by the Turks but also expressed by those who came to Dardanelles
for fighting. After fighting for ours, the very humane treatment of
Turkish soldiers to their captives of war and the way they preferred
their captives to themselves and shared their water and drink with
them, the way they ate old bread while they gave the fresh ones to
the captives, all show that Turkish soldiers did not hate even their
enemies. What is more, most of the Ottoman soldiers who were fighting
in the Dardanelles were from Anatolians and their offsprings who were
claimed to massacre the Armenians. In this period of time, old or
young all men were either at other fronts or in Dardanelles. That is,
nearly only women were remained back in dwelling areas. In this case,
is the genocide was practiced by women? At a time when the Empire
give its all effort and struggle into defending itself, did these
unarmed people, mostly women, killed their of 1 million or as claimed
by others, 2,5 million Armenian neighbours? We must also remind here
that in the Dardanelle front, there were also Armenians at the side
of the Turks defending Dardanelles and they contributed a lot for
sinking an armor-plated warship at a critical situation. Again during
the relocation term, there were Armenians who joined the Ottoman Army
and performed their duties as captains. Namely, the Ottoman society
in 1915 was completely away from being racist. It is impossible to
mention any racist trend against especially Armenians at that time.
Lastly, all these examples show that, to present the events happened at
a time when the word “genocide” was not even invented as “genocide”
is not right at all. It is true that there were some defects and
negligence in the Ottoman employment of the relocation decision. We
know that there were also some administrators who knowingly caused some
death cases. But these were not the results of an official elimination
policy, but were the results of the weakness of the Ottoman Empire in
which it fell during its collapse. Decisions and applications of this
state which could not even protect its own citizes in big cities,
should be considered from the respect of these conditions. While
making evaluations and comments about these events, one should also
take the war and the incessant Armenian raids under consideration. It
is possible to weep for Armenian losses, to commemorate them in grief
and even officially apologise from the Armenians. But how about the
Turks and Muslim losses that have never been commemorated? Hundreds
of thousands of people who were not even carrying any guns were
killed just because they were seen as hindrance before the dream of
establishment of an independent Armenia and solely and only because
they were different; Isn’t it humanly necessary to feel also sorrow
for them?
Consequently, it is obvious that both sides owe a sincere apology
to each other. To perceive the events from a single side, and above
all, accusing one side of committing genocide will never contribute
anything to restore the faults occurred in the history and even more,
will incite feelings to re-practice similar faults in the future.
Could the Ottomans be Racist? Could They Commit Genocide?
After hundreds of years, the Ottoman Empire has collapsed slowly
but with a loud noise. Under this distruction people were greatly
suffered. Istanbul governments displayed great mistakes, too. If they
would not do all those mistakes anyhow, such a grand Empire would not
collapse so suddenly. However, both due to the state ideology, and
because of the concept of “Turk” has developed differently than the
Darwinist processes in the West, it is well proven that a genocide
is completely out of the question during the Ottoman rule. Turks’
character is not suitable at all for to be racist or committing
genocide. This definition must not be taken as a nationalist or a
chouvinist slogan. It is true that the Ottoman Empire was ‘mainly’
consisted of Turkish citizens. From their language to their race,
Turks were the original owner of the Empire. However, to be an
Ottoman, it was not at all essential to belong to the Turkish race
and the Empire was closely connected with thousands of tribes and
nations. When the administrative staff are taken into consideration,
iy can be seen that the managerial boards of the Ottoman Empire has
always been much more colourful than that of Roman Empire. In such an
empire, racism would mean self-denial. The religious and political
ideology of the Ottoman Empire did not allow them to carry out any
racist or discriminative action. From this respect, a dutifull,
virtuous Muslim tribe would be much more important and priviledged
than any disobedient, improper Turk. Just as when the Ottoman history
is examined, it will be seen that, during the domestic conflicts,
Ottoman Sultans straggled mostly against Turks and Muslims rather than
fighting against non-Muslims and non-Turks. Turkish losses in civil
wars are uncomparably more than the losses of any other ethnic groups.
For the Ottomans to be racist is impossible also from perspective of
actual balances. For a state whose economical, administrative and
social life are dependent upon facilitating many faiths and ethnic
groups to live together, to give preference to only one ethnic group
and to try to eliminate the others would be fatal and inconceivable.
Completely opposite to what is assumed, even at the time when the
Ottoman Empire collapsed, it was based upon the unity of many ethnic
and religious groups and one the most significant of those groups
were Armenians.
Under the light of all these evaluations, we can state that everybody
who knows even slightly about the Ottoman history and who have a
little knowledge of Ottoman civilisation will definitely confess that
the Ottoman Empire has always been an antidote for racism, let alone
to be racist.
Assoc. prof. Dr. sedat laciner: Director of ISRO – USAK
–Boundary_(ID_ZbFCWx0FCemUC47gyAx/cQ)–
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress

PRESIDENTIAL CHIEF ECONOMIC ADVISOR’S STATEMENT AT WB-IMF CONSTITUENCY MEETING IN YEREVAN
Arka News Agency, Armenia
June 19 2006
Statement by Vahram Nercissiantz
Chief Economic Advisor to the President of Armenia
at
IMF/WB Dutch Constituency Meeting
(Yerevan, June 18, 2006)
Ladies and Gentlemen,
On behalf of the President’s office, I wish to welcome our
distinguished guests and colleagues to Armenia for the IMF-World
Bank Dutch Constituency Meeting. We hope you will have a memorable
stay in our small Republic, and will share with us your experiences
in economic management and development.
Experience has shown that economic development requires growth and
growth requires stability. Experience has also shown that whilst
stability is necessary for growth, it is not sufficient. Ultimately,
private and public investments generate growth, and poverty reduction
is best achieved through growth by investing in people, and promoting
a free and competitive business environment so that investments are
made and jobs created. Fiscal policy, therefore, must have a long-term
growth strategy without impairing macroeconomic stability.
This requires increasing efficiency in public expenditure, and
efficient revenue enhancement, particularly in tax administration,
and efficient use of external aid. This, in a nutshell, is President
Kocharian’s strategy for country economic management.
The results are clear. The economy has been stable as the annual
inflation rates since 1998, when President Kocharian was elected,
have been around low single digits, and the national currency, Dram,
has been the most stable currency in the Region for several years.
The economy has been growing steadily from 1994 to 2000 around 5.5%
annually; and then since 2001 the economy has been growing around 12%
annually; and last year the economy grew at 14%. We expect another
double digit growth rate also for this year. And most important of all:
poverty has declined from 56% in 1998 to around 25% and it continues
to decline rapidly.
Looking into the fiscal space, we see increasing efficiency in public
expenditures through privatization of public utilities, and parastatal
enterprises, and dramatic reduction and targeting of subsidies. Today,
over 80% of the economy is private, and growing, both in terms of GDP
and employment. The remaining public sector, mainly physical and social
infrastructure, is top priority and is developing rapidly through
IDA assisted projects, where Armenia’s performance, in both progress
of reforms and implementation of project portfolio, is ranked number
one amongst all IDA countries. We are told that this IDA score is a
composite of many factors, including institutional development, fiscal
management and social development. Clearly, government’s expenditure
program is the poverty reduction strategy, endorsed by all donors,
underpinned by a medium term expenditure framework, and, of course,
annual budgets debated and approved by the Parliament. Looking forward,
the Administration is strengthening public expenditure management,
strengthening social safety net, and increasing public investment to
support private sector growth. And these objectives will be integrated
further when we update the PRSP later this year.
With respect to efficient revenue enhancement measures, particularly
taxes, the picture is not as strong. Annual tax collections have been
only around 14.5% of GDP (or around 17.5% of GDP if social security
payments are included) mainly due to tax evasion. Mobilization
of private sector savings by the commercial banks have also been
rather low as loan assets of the entire banking sector comprise only
around 8% of GDP. There are several reasons for this, including lack
of confidence by depositors, and then lack of borrowing interest by
creditworthy enterprises, that finance working capital, and sometimes
capital investments, through internal cash that they accumulate by
evading taxes. Moreover, equity markets have not yet developed mainly
because of closed family driven and opaque corporate governance.
Greed and vanity have sometimes induced deviations from economic
policy causing waste and misallocation of scarce resources. Simply
said, abuse of both power and freedom during this rapid economic
transition has at times obstructed implementation of otherwise sound
economic policies. If unchecked, such deviations will distort the
markets, undermine economic performance and create serious economic
and social problems. Clearly, country economic management must be
driven by policy and not transactions.
President Kocharyan’s Administration, therefore, has undertook
decisive measures to improve governance to enhance efficient resource
mobilization in both public and private sectors. For efficient
mobilization and allocation of public resources, the strategy now
calls overhaul of the government machinery through a comprehensive
civil service reform program so as to substantially reduce waste and
corruption, and to reform administration of taxes and customs. In fact,
the 2004-2006 Tax and Customs Reform Plan has already yielded some
modest improvements in revenue mobilization, but we recognize more must
be done. For mobilization of private resources, the strategy calls for
an extensive and coordinated set of measures to simplify administrative
procedures and remove obstacles to trade and investment, and encourage
development of the enterprise sector through open and transparent
corporate governance and thus enhance confidence that is necessary for
the financial sector to mobilize savings into investment. In short, the
strategy here is to substantially reduce the cost of doing business,
so as to enhance Armenia’s competitiveness in the global economy.
Clearly, reforms in Armenia require a great deal of personal
sacrifice and behavioral modification by all of us during transition,
and benefits of the reforms are not immediately available to all
segments of the population at this stage. We are determined, however,
to continue to implement the reforms through democratic processes of
open debate and due process of law. We believe reforms implemented
through democratic institutions are more stable and sustainable, and
enhance public confidence. By improving the business and investment
climate through reform of public and corporate governance, and with
additional foreign and domestic private investment, we expect to
maintain our high economic growth rates for this decade and with
progressive distribution of the yields of that growth, the benefits
of the reforms will be appreciably felt by the entire population
through gradual improvements in quality of life.
Thank you for your attention.

PALESTINIANS MUST PREVENT CIVIL WAR: ISLAMIC CONFERENCE
Tehran Times, Iran
June 19 2006
BAKU (AFP) — Palestinian factions must fight a slide into civil
war which is being exploited by Israel, Islamic diplomats said at a
pan-Muslim conference in Azerbaijan on Monday.
“Palestinian forces should not allow a civil war to take place,” the
foreign minister of Malaysia, Syed Hamid Albar, said at the opening
of an Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC) meeting in Baku.
Yemen’s foreign minister, Abu Bakr al-Kurbi, said the victory of the
Palestinian Hamas faction at parliamentary elections in January was
being exploited by Israel.
“The victory of Hamas is a trump card in the hands of Israel, which
does not want dialogue with the Palestinian government,” he said.
He also called on international donors to resume the aid to the
Palestinians that was cut by Western governments after the Hamas win.
“Today there are threats to blockade the Palestinian people. We demand
donor countries aid Palestine,” Kurbi said.
Foreign ministers of Islamic nations have gathered in Baku
for a meeting expected to be dominated by developments in the
Palestinian-Israeli conflict and in Iraq as well as the crisis over
Iran’s nuclear program.
“We support UN calls for the Persian Gulf to be free of nuclear
weapons. At the same time Israel must also sign the nuclear
non-proliferation agreement,” Kurbi said.
Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev also called for reforms to the
UN Security Council, which he said has “no effective mechanism for
implementing decisions.
“If a decision is made it must be executed. If a country does not
execute a decision, sanctions should be used against it,” Aliyev said
in a veiled jab at Azerbaijan’s foe Armenia which Baku believes has
not complied with UN resolutions over the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh
enclave.

CSTO WILL DEFEND PIPELINE
by: Igor Plugatarev
Source: Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 16, 2006, p. 8
Agency WPS
DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
June 19, 2006 Monday
NEW WEAPONS WILL BE TESTED DURING SHIELD OF THE UNION-2006; Presidents
Vladimir Putin (Russia), Alexander Lukashenko (Belarus), Nursultan
Nazarbayev (Kazakhstan), Robert Kocharyan (Armenia), Imomali Rakhmonov
(Tajikistan) and Kurmanbek Bakiyev (Kyrgyzstan) will observe the
Shield of the Union-2006 exercise.
The Shield of the Union-2006 exercise will begin in Belarus on
June 17 within the framework of the Collective security treaty
organization. The leaders of six member nations of the Organization
will observe the final phase of the exercise in a week. Presidents
Vladimir Putin (Russia), Alexander Lukashenko (Belarus), Nursultan
Nazarbayev (Kazakhstan), Robert Kocharyan (Armenia), Imomali Rakhmonov
(Tajikistan) and Kurmanbek Bakiyev (Kyrgyzstan) will arrive in Belarus.
Shield of the Union-2006 can be compared with Peace Mission-2005
(Russia-China) regarding the number of servicemen and military hardware
(8,800 servicemen, including 1,800 from Russia). Hundreds of armored
vehicles, artillery complexes, warplanes, helicopters and the Tu-1600
and Tu-95 strategic bombers will be involved.
General of the Army Vladimir Mikhailov, Russian Commander of the Air
Force, said that Shield of the Union-2006 will involve the system of
speechless data transmission system to pilots. Two Mi-28N helicopters
will be involved in the exercise. Sources say that Belarus seeks to
buy new helicopters, and considers the Mi-28N as a candidate.
The scenario of the exercise is based on a military threat to a
member of the Organization and military aid from other members of
organization. Russian and Belarusian ground, anti-aircraft and air
units will cooperate during the exercise. In addition, Russia and
Belarus will work on the creation of the joint anti-aircraft system.
Sources in the Belarusian Defense Ministry state that Shield of the
Union-2006 exercise is also aimed at solving problems of economic
interests of the Russian-Belarusian Union. Russian and Belarusian
units will ensure the security of the most important communications
because oil and gas pipelines cross Belarus. The Collective security
treaty organization focuses on the security of all strategic pipelines
located in member-nations of the organization.

RUSSIA AND IRAN TO ESTABLISH A JOINT VENTURE IN OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION
Source: Vzglyad, June 15, 2006
Agency WPS
The Russian Oil and Gas Report (Russia)
June 19, 2006 Monday
Presidents of Russia and Iran Vladimir Putin and Mahmud Ahmadinezhad
reached an agreement on establishment of a joint venture in the oil
and gas sector. Analysts consider economic expedience of the project
disputable.
At his meeting with Ahmadinezhad Putin said, “Our companies are
negotiating on pooling of efforts in the oil and gas sector including
establishment of a joint venture. We will support these initiatives
of our Iranian partners.” The President of Iran is prepared for
broadening of economic cooperation with Russia. Ahmadinezhad remarked,
“As to the energy sector, if we cooperate efficiently we will be able
to receive much bigger results, for example, in gas industry. We can
cooperate closely both from the standpoint of gas pricing and from
the standpoint of determination of the main transportation flows.”
Leaders of the two countries do not disclose the details of
negotiations on establishment of an oil and gas joint venture.
Analysts presume that cooperation between Russia and Iran can
be promising in transportation. Andrei Zorin, leading analyst of
investment company Barrels, comments, “Iran has a problem with gas
pipelines and Russia can help Iran in this aspect. Iran has very big
gas reserves and Russia has possibilities for gas delivery.”
Iran owns 16% of global natural gas reserves. The main fields are
located on the seabed of the Persian Gulf and in the northeast of
the country. By 2010, Iran plans to increase annual output to 290
billion cubic meters a year. Full-scale gas export will begin by the
same time. For increase of supplies Iran may try to restore the gas
pipelines chain IGAT: IGAT-1 with capacity of 9.6 billion cubic meters
a year built in 1970 for gas export to Armenia and Azerbaijan and
IGAT-2 with capacity of 27 billion cubic meters a year construction
of which has not been accomplished because of the Islamic revolution
of 1979 in Iran.
Both pipelines require reengineering. Their putting into operation
may enable Iran to supply gas to Europe via Ukraine. Extension of the
existing gas pipeline from Iran to Turkey to Greece is considered as
an alternative option.
Oil reserves of Iran are very big too. In 2005, the country had proven
reserves of 132 billion barrels (about 10% of global reserves). In
2005, Iran produced 4.2 million barrels per day and exported about
2.7 million barrels of this quantity. In 2005, Iran was the fourth
largest oil exporter of the world.
Iranian constitution prohibits sale of shares of national oil
producing enterprises to foreign companies or granting of oil
production concessions to foreigners. Oil fields in the country are
being developed by Iranian National Oil Company. However, at the end
of the 1990s some foreign investors came to Iranian oil industry.
These are French companies Total and Elf Aquitaine, Malaysian Petronas,
Italian Eni and Chinese CNPC that receive a part of produced oil
under “compensation contracts” and after expiry of a contract hand
the fields over to the Iranian state-run company.
Zorin presumes that with assistance of Russian companies Iran can
develop the Iran-Armenia gas pipeline. The expert explains, “Russia
has enough gas of its own, that is why the countries can negotiate
on re-export to Europe. Russia is not admitted to European markets
eagerly. Along with this, the country has a possibility to establish
interaction with Iran in setting of sufficiently high gas prices. Now
the end buyers in Europe receive gas fivefold more expensive in
comparison to the price at which gas is sold by Gazprom.”
Economic cooperation between Russia and Iran may trigger critique
of Moscow on the part of the US. The Administration of George Bush
does not wish to compromise with Ahmadinezhad. America insists on
stopping of the Iranian nuclear program. According to unofficial
information, the US Administration is considering a possibility of
military resolving of the conflict with the regime of Ahmadinezhad.
Operations in Iran will be connected with certain risks for Russian
companies. Alexander Razuvaev, director of the analytical department
of financial company Megatrustoil, comments, “It is necessary to pay
the due to the policy of President Putin. Russia has its own interests
and it is necessary to defend them. From this standpoint it is useful
to play on the contradictions between the West and Iran.”
Zorin presumes, “Iranian gas fields are at the stage of development
and it is in the interests of Russia to participate in Iranian gas
projects. Conversations of Americans about human rights and Iranian
nuclear program represent only a pretext for establishment of control
over oil and gas of this country in case of war. That is why Russian
expansion is necessary. Of course, the US will be discontent. It is
possible that Russia will be reproached like in case of the nuclear
program of Iran.”
According to experts, not only state-run companies but also large
private corporations will be able to implement Russian foreign policy
in the Middle East.
Zorin says, “Many companies, first of all, Gazprom and LUKoil and
possibly Rosneft are interested in such cooperation.” Razuvaev says,
“Of course, if a political decision is made Gazprom will be the company
that starts cooperation with Iran. If this is oil industry, this will
possibly be Rosneft. In the past, Tatneft tried to enter Iran. It is
possible to understand them because they have a poor resource base.”
Analysts are convinced that decision to broaden cooperation with Iran
in the oil and gas sector is dictated by political reasons.
Razuvaev concludes, “From the standpoint of business, Iranian President
is such a partner that it is better not to have because reputation
risks are high. Probability of beginning of a war against Iran is
high now. If the US wins the new authorities will invalidate the
contracts signed by the government of Ahmadinezhad.”

IMF RECOMMENDS THAT ARMENIA EXPAND TAX BASE
Interfax News Agency
Russia & CIS Business and Financial Newswire
June 19, 2006 Monday 1:56 PM MSK
The International Monetary Fund (IMF)
is recommending that Armenia expand its tax base and improve tax
collection, Rodrigo de Rato, IMF managing director, told reporters
in Yerevan.
The relationship between budget tax revenue and GDP in Armenia is the
lowest in the region, he said. This figure improved slightly to 14.3%
of GDP in 2005, however the government needs to work on this, he said.
De Rato also underscored the important of transparency and improving
budget spending. Special attention should be paid to improving social
infrastructures in rural area, including in education and healthcare,
he said.

AZERBAIJAN READY TO GRANT BROAD AUTONOMY TO KARABAKH – MINISTER
Interfax News Agency
Russia & CIS Military Newswire
June 19, 2006 Monday 10:41 AM MSK
Azerbaijan is ready to grant broad autonomy to the predominantly
ethnic Armenian enclave of Nagorno- Karabakh, Azeri Foreign Minister
Elmar Mammadyarov told journalists on Sunday.
“I am speaking about the highest level of autonomy for Nagorno-
Karabakh. There is such a precedent in the world. For instance,
Trieste, or Tatarstan in the neighboring Russian Federation,” he said.
Tatarstan’s Constitution envisions broad powers, including the
republic’s right to set up its own representative offices abroad,
the minister said. “There is no point in searching for any new key
to the Karabakh problem,” he said.
“All these issues should be dealt with after the Azeri population
returns to Nagorno-Karabakh. Nobody can blackmail Azeri refugees,
denying them any opportunity to return to their homeland currently
under Armenia’s occupation,” Mammadyarov said.

KOCHARIAN AND HARASZTI DISCUSSED FREE MEDIA DEVELOPMENT
PanARMENIAN.Net
19.06.2006 17:11 GMT+04:00
/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Today Armenian President Robert Kocharian received
OSCE Representative on Freedom of the Media Miklos Haraszti. Giving a
positive estimate to the cooperation with the OSCE is various fields
Robert Kocharian noted the importance of freedom of media and stressed
that its mission includes maintenance of public order and covering
of real life of the country. At that the Armenian President remarked
that the freedom of media should be regulated in order to protect human
rights. The parties also exchanged views of the free media development,
obstacles impeding the process and the necessity of state media. In
Robert Kocharian’s words, Armenia is still in transition period and
phenomena peculiar to this period can be observed in the republic.
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress

PRECISE DATE OF CAUCASIAN FOUR PARLIAMENT HEADS MEETING NOT DETERMINED YET
PanARMENIAN.Net
19.06.2006 17:26 GMT+04:00
/PanARMENIAN.Net/ The precise date of the meeting of the heads of
parliament of the Caucasian Four has not been fixed yet,” Georgian
Parliament Speaker Nino Burjanadze said. “I hope that the Speaker of
the Russian Federation Council as well as his counterparts from Armenia
and Azerbaijan will arrive to Tbilisi, however the precise date of the
meeting has not been determined yet,” she said. When touching upon
the Georgian-Russian parliamentary contacts, Burjanadze said “there
is wish to cooperate.” “We are glad to invite other members of the
federation Council and leadership of the RF State Duma to Tbilisi,”
she said, reported RIA Novosti.

UNRECOGNIZED REPUBLIC OF NORTHERN CYPRUS SUPPORTS BAKU IN KARABAKH ISSUE
PanARMENIAN.Net
19.06.2006 17:36 GMT+04:00
/PanARMENIAN.Net/ The Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) “will
always support Azerbaijan’s fair position on Nagorno Karabakh,” TRNC
Minister of Economy and Tourism Dervish Kemal Deniz stated in Baku June
19 during the 33rd session of Foreign Ministers of the Organization
of Islamic Conference. “The leadership and people of Azerbaijan have
always supported us in our fair struggle,” he underscored.
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress