We Promised And Americans Became Optimistic

WE PROMISED AND AMERICANS BECAME OPTIMISTIC

Lragir, Armenia
Dec 12 2006

The Millennium Challenge Corporation has provided the first tranche
of 882 thousand dollars and will provide another 507 thousand out
of 236 million dollars by the end of this year. On December 12 the
leadership of the Millennium Challenge Account Armenia State Non-Profit
Organization and the representatives of the Armenian party held a news
conference to congratulate the Armenian government and people. The
speakers started and finished their speeches with congratulations
but more interesting things were stated between these congratulations.

For instance, Anthony Godfry, the U.S. Charge d’Affaires to Armenia
stated that this project with a total value of 236 million dollars
will continue if the elections in 2007 and 2008 are free and fair.

Like six month ago, the American party fears that Armenia still has
problems with fair governance, political rights, civil freedoms and
corruption, but the Americans are optimistic that these problems will
be settled. They are optimistic because the Armenian government has
assumed obligations, and has promised to honor these obligations.

Anthony Godfry stated that hopefully the Armenian public will help
honor these obligations, while the international community is already
giving practical assistance. We tried to find out that if it is
possible to consider free and fair processes in a country where the
media are controlled by the president. Anthony Godfry only said that
they will rely on the evaluations of the World Bank with regard to
fair governance.

The speakers declined to say how and with whose help the MCA is going
to evaluate he state of political and civil freedoms, fair governance
and transparency in elections, but they noted that the press will have
importance, and international observers will be observing the elections
in Armenia. It was not clear whose evaluation of the elections will
shape the opinion of the MCA. For its part, MCA Armenia guarantees
that thee will be no corruption. Alex Russin, the director of the MCC
Program for Armenia stated that this is an investment in the future of
Armenia, and they are interested in the right use of these funds. He
believes that transparency will be helpful for entitled spending of
these funds.

Meanwhile, Ara Hovsepyan, the chief executive of the MCA Armenia
advised not to focus on political problems. "The country may do
well in political matters, but the MCA program may be uneffective
and pointless."

Armenia Should Use Iran-Armenia Alternative Pipeline Fully

ARMENIA SHOULD USE IRAN-ARMENIA ALTERNATIVE PIPELINE FULLY

Lragir, Armenia
Dec 12 2006

Michael Weinstein, head of the EBRD’s Resident Office in Yerevan,
stated December 12 that Armenia should use the advantage of the
alternative gas pipeline fully. He stated that the geographical
position of Armenia is favorable because it has an alternative supply
of gas, which separates Armenia from other countries which depend on
the Russian gas supply. Mr. Weinstein stated that Armenia should use
its favorable geographical position to have an alternative route of
gas supply.

He also stated that this circumstance makes Armenia more attractive
in terms of investments.

Where Are The Europeans Pushing Karabakh?

WHERE ARE THE EUROPEANS PUSHING KARABAKH?
Naira Hayrumyan

Lragir, Armenia
Dec 12 2006

The international community stated through the leaders of the
European organizations that it does not recognize the outcome of
the constitutional referendum in NKR. Even Latvia or Lithuania
has announced that they do not recognize. The parade of rejection
is fabulously covered in the Azerbaijani press. In addition, the
statements by the Eurofunctionaries are cited in accordance with the
Azerbaijani law – with the word referendum in inverted commas.

However, even a superficial study shows that in these statements the
negotiations are said to be the only way of resolving the problem of
status of Karabakh, and there is no emphasis on a particular status.

It is only mentioned that until the resolution of the Karabakh conflict
the international community recognizes the borders of Azerbaijan
accepted internationally.

However, even in this case it is difficult to understand what the
same Eurofunctionaries are offering to Karabakh. Whose power if not
the power of people? Maybe the power of the military junta?

For instance, Lord Russell Jonston, chair of the PACE Commission
on Karabakh, stated in Baku that the referendum in Karabakh will be
possible if the proportional pattern of the population is restored.

It is not clear what the British member of the European parliament
means, the population before 1988 or other. Who decides this proportion
and who is going to guarantee this proportion?

It is possible to forgive Russell Jonston because he has not visited
Karabakh and he knows what the Azerbaijani propaganda machine
presents. How about Terry Davis? He has visited Karabakh, in Shushi
he has met with the Armenian refugees displaced from Azerbaijan. And
the refugees have told Terry Davis they are reluctant to return to
Baku, because they know how coexistence with Azerbaijanis under the
Azerbaijani government is like.

Where are the Europeans pushing Karabakh? Maybe towards a new war?

NKR President Arkady Ghukasyan finds that it is not worthwhile to
take the reaction of the international community seriously because
he said most of them may have to behave coquettely under Azerbaijani
pressure. And there is no need to treat them seriously, the president
says, because the untimate goal of the international community is
peace in the region. And we may only hope that this peace will not be
achieved through the notorious theory, when a nation will exterminate
the other.

From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress

Revaluation Of Dram Threatens Economy

REVALUATION OF DRAM THREATENS ECONOMY

Lragir, Armenia
Dec 12 2006

On December 12 the expert of the European Bank for Reconstruction and
Development Alexander Kirmichu stated that the absence of competition
in the Armenian economy is the greatest obstacle to its development,
and the revaluation of the dram threatens the country’s economy in
general, reports ARKA News Agency.

The expert mentioned that the revaluation of the dram will lead to
dramatic consequences if the growth of production stops. By the way,
according to the National Statistics Service, the rate of production
in Armenia has dropped.

Alexander Kirmichu also said that Armenia has carried out the first
stage of economic reforms, i.e. privatization, meanwhile Armenia
is behind of the other CIS states in implementing the second stage
of reforms. Nevertheless, the EBRD forecasts a 8.5 percent economic
growth in 2006.

USA Puts Pressure On Baku To Settle Karabakh Conflict – Armenian Pap

USA PUTS PRESSURE ON BAKU TO SETTLE KARABAKH CONFLICT – ARMENIAN PAPER
by Artak Grigoryan

Hayots Askhkhar, Armenia
Nov 30 2006

"Minsk will be continued"

The mysterious silence surrounding the results of the [28 November]
Minsk meeting between [Armenian President Robert] Kocharyan and
[his Azerbaijani opposite number Ilham] Aliyev gives grounds for
controversial predictions and comments. Moscow-based Kommersant
newspaper, for one, says that [Russian president] Vladimir Putin
will invite the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents to Moscow soon
but before that in Minsk " the three presidents look set to decide
to arrange a new meeting in Moscow in the same format".

Naturally, the two parties were trying to specify their positions and
prepare themselves for that important meeting. It is also clear that
in such conditions the presidents abstained from making statements
about the forthcoming meeting. Let us try to understand what is the
reason behind shifting the "window of opportunities" of 2006 from
Minsk to Moscow.

We believe this game is a complicated one and neither the parties to
the conflict, nor even Russia play the main part. Russia has been
chosen because the international community and especially the USA
want the Russian president to be the person who observes that there
is a "gap" in the positions of the sides to the Nagornyy Karabakh
conflict. That is to say, they are trying to "fight fire with fire".

In order to make this happen they temporarily postponed the NATO
expansion programme and Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili did
not see the "green light" for his country in Riga and was not received
by the Russian president in Minsk.

The USA and its partners focus their attention on the Karabakh
issue and are trying to act on two levels: jointly with Russia and
directly. Incidentally, at the first level they engage in a complicated
bargain with Russia. At the second level they exert pressure on the
sides in the conflict, especially on Azerbaijan.

There are three main reasons for that. First, accepting the frame
agreement which is being discussed now is bound to be more painful
for Azerbaijan. Second, the USA has more levers to influence
Azerbaijan. Finally, Washington believes that Russia can influence
Armenia in the most effective way.

We believe that the main "intrigue" at the present stage of the talks
is that the USA forces Azerbaijan on various levels to settle the
conflict. For this reason, the Americans repeatedly emphasize that
only peaceful settlement of the Karabakh issue is acceptable. In
Baku Jonathan Henick, public affairs officer at the US embassy in
Azerbaijan, is in charge of this job. In the USA, an expert of the
American Foreign Policy Council, Wayne Merry, is doing this at the
level of experts.

The American co-chair of the OSCE Minsk Group, Matthew Bryza, met
Arkadiy Gukasyan, the president of Nagornyy Karabakh, and discussed
settlement of the Nagornyy Karabakh conflict. Gukasyan thus tried to
find out more about Azerbaijan’s ambitions. It turned out that the
USA continues the process of breaking the courage of the Azerbaijan
and at the same time is seeking a closer involvement of Russian in
resolution of the conflict. This suggests that the peace talks will
receive a new boost over the next two months. How effective they will
be is up to Russia’s response to the Karabakh policy of the USA. The
ultimate agreement will be reached simultaneously between the USA
and Russia, as well as between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

News Digest: New York Life Pays Up

NEWS DIGEST: NEW YORK LIFE PAYS UP

Life Insurance International
December 11, 2006

It was a long wait, but descendants and heirs of some of the 1.5
million Armenians killed during the Ottoman Turkish rule of Armenia
in 1915 are to share in a $7.95 million settlement agreed to by New
York Life (NYL). The agreement follows a class action brought against
NYL for unpaid life insurance benefits. In addition, NYL has already
distributed $3 million to various Armenian charitable organisations.

NYL said it had reviewed thousands of claims and found that 2,515
claims could be traced to Armenians who had purchased life insurance
policies from NYL prior to 1915. In all, Armenians in 26 countries
will receive compensation. Armenians in Armenia will receive the most
($3.4 million) followed by those in the US ($2.6 million) and in France
($656,413).

The pay-out by NYL follows a similar settlement reached between
aggrieved Armenians and French insurer Axa in October 2005. This
resulted in Axa paying out $17 million in restitution.

Armenia Fully Dependent On Situation Inside South Caucasus

ARMENIA FULLY DEPENDENT ON SITUATION INSIDE SOUTH CAUCASUS

By Karina Manukyan, ArmInfo, December 7, 2006

An interview with Director of National Research Center for Caucasian
Studies and Middle East Problems of the Russian-Armenia University
(RAU), Doctor of History, Professor Rosalia Gabrielyan.

Ms. Gabrielyan, what would you forecast regarding the
parliamentary elections of 2007 in Armenia? If the election result
is predictable? What do you think of the forecasts of many analysts
that the pre-election fight and the final result of the voting will
turn into a real "show of falsifications?"

I think the parliamentary elections in our country play no role in the
change of the political situation. The present parliamentary majority
will just ‘reproduce’ its presence (maybe by 2-4 people less than now),
as well as the presence of its satellites, who cooperate with this
majority. So, the parliamentary elections will change nothing in the
state of affairs in the country’s political field. This means that
the Republican Party of Armenia and the new pro-governmental party
"Prospering Armenia" will sweep the elections together with small easy
manageable parties comprising 10-12 people. As a result, we shall have
the same National Assembly as in 1995 i.e. a parliamentary majority
"a bit flavored with opposition."

Has the opposition any part in the country’s political life or it is
a manageable structure?

Fundamentally, there is no opposition now. Our people is very
pragmatic. It understood yet long ago that the opposition plays
no role, and that no one listens to it and takes into account its
opinion. That is why, I am not surprised when the opposition receives
too small number of votes at elections. It is not because the people
does not like the opposition. The people just understands that the
opposition decides nothing, especially in the case with our opposition,
which is rather personalized than ideological. On the other hand,
it does not mean that electors fully trust in the present ruling
forces. The people is just well aware who is in power today.

And what about the presidential election of 2008?

The situation in a country like our can radically change within the
remaining half and a year. Given the rapid changes in the political
situation in the region, we can probably have a nonstandard situation
before the presidential election. I do not rule out that the real
candidate for presidency will emerge later, maybe immediately on the
eve of the election. Alongside with this, if we do not normalize
our relations with the neighbor states more actively, it will be
absolutely senseless who will be the next president.

Is it possible to imagine a situation when Robert Kocharyan
unexpectedly sends in his resignation and the chances of Defense
Minister Serge Sargsyan to win the election sharply increase? After
all, no other political figure will have enough time to make himself
known.

Robert Kocharyan is not among those who send in their resignation. In
addition, to lose such a scenario means to cast shadow on the image
of our country.

It is not favorable either to the incumbent or to the future
president of Armenia as the opinion of such leaders is neglected in
the international arena.

The president of Byelorussia, A. Lukashenko, is a bright example of
the aforementioned.

Ms. Gabrielyan, don’t you think that Nagorny Karabakh problem hinders
the development of democracy in the country?

I think the leadership of our country takes advantage of the situation
when this problem is up in the air as it is a powerful and working
factor in the settlement of political tasks. That is why, I think that
nothing will change in this situation at least within 10-15 years. It
is paradoxical but a fact that Azerbaijan also benefits by this forever
national problem irrespective of its desire to get back the disputable
territories. Half a year before elections, an anti-Armenian hysteria
starts and the people who live in misery despite the oil dollars start
demanding the return of Karabakh instead of a solution to their social
problems. Hereby, the people turn into a broad mass of manageable
"protesting" electorate. However, despite the numerous statements by
Azerbaijan regarding the readiness to resume Karabakh war, I think
it impossible as the "oil" interests of the West come forward. This
means that Europe will not allow Azerbaijan to resume the military
actions. All this shows that Azerbaijan is well integrated into Europe
at the same time being dependent on it.

What will be the final role of Russia, USA and EU in the settlement
of Karabakh conflict?

During the last 50 years, Europe has worked out its mechanisms of
settlement of conflict issues. That is why, it seems to EU that we
should also act like they in Europe. At the same time, I think that
the situation inside the EU is critical i.e. the suspension of the
adoption of a single constitution of the European Union testifies to
disintegration processes in this structure.

As regards the USA, during the last 15 years, due to formation of
the monopolar world, it has got used to solve all the issues by force
methods. The bombing of Afghanistan, Yugoslavia, Iraq… Two months
of strong bombing and then democracy starts, which has never been a
success in the poor and ruined countries. One could state that the
U.S. Government does not learn lessons from the situation, but there
is also the back of the medal i.e. one bombs, the other builds. As
you see, EU has one principle, the USA another. So, we have nothing
to do but to choose the lesser of two evils.

What do you think of the situation when Armenia, figuratively speaking,
does not hinder the clash of the interests of EU, USA and Russia in
its territory?

At least, there are no big investments in Armenia’s economy either by
the USA, or by EU or Russia. After all, speaking of "investments,"
we must suppose the aspiration of an investor to gain profit. Now
we deal only with "political investments." It is the very reason of
Russia’s investments in telecommunications and especially in energy.

The Armenian Government seemed to have taken all the measure to
make Armenia attractive for investors. All the necessary laws have
been adopted and tax privileges have been introduced. However,
there are still no big investments as the geopolitical risks are
too strong i.e. the political and economic situation inside Armenia
fully depends on the whole region of the South Caucasus, as well as
on Russia-Georgia, Russia-Azerbaijan, Russia-Turkey relations. It is
our biggest problem.

Ms. Gabrielyan, the sociological poll conducted by your center showed
that Russia’s influence on Armenia decreased from 71% in July to 63%
in October.

What do you connect this with? Do you think that Russia will further
lose its authority in Armenia or the stabilization of the two
countries’ relations is possible?

Russia like any other country makes investments where it thinks it
will not lose anything. Russia is currently engaged in purchasing of
all the strategic facilities that can be bought. At the same time,
the industrial enterprises it has already acquired under the project
"Assets for Debt" do not operate. In the present situation if our
atomic power plant is closed down after the expiry of its resources,
we will occur in a full dependence on Russia. After all, it was clear
from the very beginning that Iran will never sell gas directly to
Armenia as no one would risk the big politics for our small country.

And what do you propose in exchange?

At present, Armenia needs to specify its foreign political objectives
and start negotiating with its neighbors. The poll we conducted in
July 2006 testifies that Armenia has disputable issues with Azerbaijan
(94%), Turkey (90%), Georgia (70%), Russia (48%), and Iran (14%). The
figures are terrifying! They show that the Armenian Government has
not tried to settle these issues for long years as these issues
are not new. We have an unsettled conflict over Nagorny-Karabakh
with Azerbaijan. We can not sit at a negotiating table with Turkey
as we demand recognition of Armenian Genocide. As regards Russia,
it has closed the only transit road via Georgia "Upper Lars" without
notification.

This has made our country fully dependent on the further development
of Russian-Georgian relations. All the aforementioned shows that
too little has been done during the 15 years of independence in
order to become a really independent state whose interests are at
least respected.

US Government’s Millennium Challenge Corporation Approves Initial Di

US GOVERNMENT’S MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORPORATION APPROVES INITIAL DISBURSEMENT OF USD 1.4 MILLION TO MCA-ARMENIA PROGRAM

Yerevan, December 12. ArmInfo. Millennium Challenge Account-Armenia
(MCA-Armenia) has successfully completed the requirements necessary
to receive the Initial Disbursement of approximately USD 1.4 million.

The Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC), on behalf of the United
States Government, has transferred USD 882,000 to Armenia.

The second transfer of USD 507,000 is scheduled for later this month.

The funds for Armenia’s Millennium Challenge Compact (the Compact),
expected to total USD 236 million over a five year period, are not
disbursed as a lump sum to Armenia. They are approved quarterly by
the MCC and disbursed monthly into MCA-Armenia’s bank account at
Cascade Bank in accordance with Armenia’s demonstrated progress in
the Millennium Challenge Account program.

At the event announcing the Initial Disbursement, U.S. Charge
d’Affaires Anthony F. Godfrey said, "I congratulate the people
of Armenia on developing a program that will help to reduce rural
poverty and increase annual incomes. The Compact represents a terrific
opportunity for the people of Armenia. However, in order for Armenia
to continue to receive this funding, the Armenian government must
maintain a high level of performance in ruling justly, investing in
people and promoting economic freedom. Only by continuing to institute
democratic reforms, including ensuring a free and fair process in
the run-up to the 2007 and 2008 elections, can Armenia make sure that
its people can continue to benefit from this $236 million program."

The Compact, signed on March 27, 2006 with Entry into Force
on September 29, 2006, aims to reduce rural poverty through a
sustainable increase in the economic performance of the agricultural
sector. Armenia plans to achieve this goal through a five-year program
of strategic investments in rural roads, irrigation infrastructure
and technical and financial assistance to improve the supply of water
and to support farmers and agribusinesses. The program will directly
impact approximately 750,000 people, or an estimated 75 percent of
the rural population, and is expected to reduce the rural poverty
rate and boost annual incomes.

The Compact includes a USD 67 million project to rehabilitate up to
943 kilometers of rural roads, more than a third of Armenia’s proposed
"Lifeline Road Network." When complete, the road network will ensure
that every rural community has road access to markets, services, and
the main road network. Under the Compact, the Government of Armenia
will be required to commit additional resources for maintenance of the
road network. The Compact also includes a USD 146 million project to
increase the productivity of approximately 250,000 farm households (34%
of which are headed by women) through improved water supply, higher
yields, higher-value crops, and a more competitive agricultural sector.

Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC), a U.S. government corporation
designed to work with some of the poorest countries in the world, is
based on the principle that aid is most effective when it reinforces
good governance, economic freedom, and investments in people that
promote economic growth and elimination of extreme poverty.

Millennium Challenge Account-Armenia (MCA-Armenia), a State Non
Commercial Organization established by the Government of Armenia,
is responsible for overseeing the transparent implementation of the
Compact signed between the Millennium Challenge Corporation and the
Government of Armenia.
From: Baghdasarian

How Secular Turkey Walks The Tightrope

HOW SECULAR TURKEY WALKS THE TIGHTROPE
Sandro Contenta, Toronto Star

The Toronto Star
December 10, 2006 Sunday

At the entrance to Marmara University, young Muslim women stream into
a booth for a compulsory costume change that strikes at their sense
of identity.

The transformation is simple – the removal of headscarves – but for the
Turkish state and many of the students involved, the act is profound.

"It makes me feel suppressed," says student Fatma Saglam, 20, moments
before disappearing into the booth.

The law banning headscarves in government offices and universities
is jealously guarded by powerful elites as a pillar of Turkey’s
officially secular status. It forces some women to sacrifice their
education rather than compromise their Islamic beliefs. Others emerge
from the booth with wigs or uncovered hair.

"In Turkey, secular means you have to live according to how they
want you to live. You have to throw your religion away," says Hacer
Akgunler, an English-language student who replaced her headscarf with
a hood.

The headscarf ban has been around for years. What’s new is the decision
by the ruling Justice and Development party to avoid a showdown over
the law, despite the party’s Islamist political roots and promise to
remove the ban when swept to power four years ago.

Political survival is a strong incentive: Turkey’s military has deposed
past governments it considered too Islamic and recent grumblings from
generals have raised fears of another coup.

But the party’s tentative approach on the headscarf issue also
illustrates Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s pragmatic approach,
one some observers consider a model for eventually reconciling Islam
and democracy.

Past Islamist parties have tested the tolerance of generals by
pressing to make the state more religious. Erdogan, whose wife wears
a headscarf, focuses instead on increasing individual and religious
freedoms by making Turkey more democratic.

MP Egeman Bagis, Erdogan’s foreign policy adviser, puts it this way:
"I defend a woman’s right to wear a headscarf as much as I defend a
woman’s right to wear a miniskirt."

The approach seems to coincide with recent poll findings. They indicate
that Islam plays a significant role in Turkish lives, but most see
it as a matter of personal choice, not legislation.

The percentage of Turks who define their identity primarily as Muslims
has increased to 46 per cent from 36 per cent seven years ago.

But sentiment in favour of imposing Islamic sharia law has declined
to 9 per cent from 21 per cent, according to the poll by the respected
Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation.

And while the number of women wearing headscarves has been declining,
more than two-thirds of those questioned said the ban in universities
and government offices should be lifted.

Conditions set by the European Union for Turkey’s possible entry into
the EU have helped Erdogan pursue his agenda and implement significant
reforms, but this nation of 70 million people remains a volatile work
in progress.

As a NATO member long considered a strategic bridge between East and
West, Turkey’s stability could depend on how deftly Erdogan manoeuvres
toward next year’s parliamentary and presidential elections.

Next spring, MPs will select a president to replace staunch secularist
Ahmet Necdet Sezer, whose veto power and control of top appointments
gives the job considerable political clout.

Erdogan hasn’t ruled out seeking the post, and with his comfortable
majority in parliament, it’s his for the taking.

The possibility of an Islamist-rooted party controlling both the
executive and legislative branches has increased military anxieties
and fuelled nationalist suspicions of a "hidden agenda."

The new head of Turkey’s military, hawkish Gen. Yasar Buyukanit,
recently warned of Islamists who reject the separation of state
and religion.

"There is a reactionary threat in Turkey," Buyukanit said in an
October address at the Istanbul War Academy, calling for "every kind
of measure" to stop it.

The military earlier backed a protest that saw tens of thousands of
pro-secular Turks calling on the government to resign.

The demonstration was sparked when a gunman burst into the country’s
top administrative court in May and shot its judges – killing one
and wounding four – because they upheld the headscarf ban.

"It’s a dangerous time," says Murat Belge, a leading Turkish scholar
and social critic.

"There may be another military intervention."

The military’s self-appointed role as defender of secularism dates
back to the founding of modern Turkey in 1923 by Mustafa Kemal
Ataturk. After the defeat of the Ottoman Empire in World War I,
Ataturk considered Islam incompatible with the goal of developing a
modern European state.

He ended the Islamic caliphate, got rid of religious courts,
secularized schools, gave women the vote and replaced the Arabic
writing system with Latin script. He also spawned an enduring
personality cult that upholds Western ways even through his ubiquitous
portraits, which usually show him in a tuxedo and bow tie.

Multi-party politics were introduced in 1947 and the first Islamist
party came on the scene 23 years later. Initially known as the
National Order, led by Necmettin Erbakan, it became an influential
member of coalition governments despite being repeatedly banned and
reincarnated under different names over the next three decades.

The military intervened to remove governments four times during the
past 50 years, most recently in 1997, after an Erbakan-led government
was deemed too Islamist.

As an Erbakan disciple, Erdogan needs no reminders of the sensitivities
involved. In 1997, after serving a term as Istanbul’s first Islamist
mayor, he was jailed for reciting an Islamist poem at a rally and
proclaiming Islam as his guide.

Four years later, he split from yet another of Erbakan’s party to form
Justice and Development with other reform-minded Islamists. Soon after,
the party capitalized on public outrage over government corruption
and won an almost two-thirds majority in the 550-seat parliament in
November 2002 elections.

Erdogan has since treaded carefully, reining in the party’s hard-line
religious faction in an attempt to develop the Islamic equivalent of
Christian Democratic parties across Europe. In 2004, when a proposed
law criminalizing adultery seemed to confirm the worst fears of
secular nationalists, Erdogan quietly abandoned it.

His political agility extends to juggling Turkey’s strong alliance
with the United States and Israel while forging stronger ties with
Iran and Syria.

To the annoyance of some Arab states, Turkey has long had a "special
relationship" with Israel, including a 1996 deal for Israeli fighter
pilots to train in Turkish airspace and bilateral trade of $2 billion
(U.S.) a year.

Erdogan travelled to the United States specifically to meet Jewish
American leaders, key allies in lobbying against repeated attempts
by some U.S. lawmakers to label the 1915 Ottoman Turk massacre of
Armenians a genocide.

Things took a turn for the worse in 2004, when Erdogan accused Israel
of "state terrorism" against the Palestinians in Gaza.

By then, Turkey’s relations with the U.S. had reached an all-time
low after Erdogan’s party blocked a U.S. request to launch a northern
invasion of Iraq from Turkish soil in 2003.

Ankara was increasingly anxious about Kurdish rebel groups waging
attacks on Turkey from bases in northern Iraq and wanted U.S. troops
there to put an end to them. Erdogan asked for a meeting with President
George W. Bush but was refused.

A leading power broker in Turkey advised Erdogan to first patch up
his relationship with Israel’s then-prime minister, Ariel Sharon.

"I told him he had to go to Jerusalem, shake hands with Sharon and
once that picture was published in the American press, Bush would
invite him. That’s exactly what happened," said the power broker,
who negotiated Erdogan’s meeting with Sharon in May 2005 and spoke
on condition of anonymity.

Pragmatic resolve also saw the Turkish government meet some tough
conditions for European Union entry talks to begin. It ended the
military’s control of powerful public agencies, placed the defence
budget under parliamentary scrutiny, abolished the death penalty, and
allowed instruction and broadcast in languages other than Turkish –
a move aimed at improving the rights of its Kurdish minority.

Officially, the military supports Turkey’s EU entry bid as the logical
result of Ataturk’s Westernizing vision. Privately, analysts say the
generals are divided by a basic formula: more democracy, less power
for them.

EU entry talks have bogged down in the decades-old dispute between
Turkey and Greece over Cyprus. More serious still is growing resistance
in Europe to a Muslim country joining the club.

Some European leaders have made Turkey’s entry far more uncertain
by promising voters a referendum on the matter. The Turkish response
has been a significant drop in support for joining the EU and a more
difficult political environment for reforms.

The continent Erdogan was looking to for support may instead be
throwing the generals a lifeline.

GRAPHIC: MURAD SEZER ap file photo The official Justice and Development
party formed in 2001 by Recep Tayyip Erdogan and other reform-minded
Islamists was swept to power in November 2002 elections, winning
almost two-thirds of the 550 seats in the Turkish parliament. The
election posters above feature Erdogan’s picture and the messages:
"Everything for Istanbul" and "Everything for Turkey."

Municipality Of Yerevan Decided To Interrupt "Nushikyan" Association

MUNICIPALITY OF YEREVAN DECIDED TO INTERRUPT "NUSHIKYAN" ASSOCIATION’S CONSTRUCTION WORKS IN CENTER OF YEREVAN

Yerevan, December 12. ArmInfo. The Municipality of Yerevan which
had licensed the "Nushikyan" Association’s construction works made
a decision on interrupting the works under the pressure of the
"Population Rights Protection Group" and MP Khachatur Sukiasyan. The
construction works were to result in cutting down 20 trees, the
"Population Rights Protection Group" told the ArmInfo news agency.

The members of the Group also appealed to the Prosecutor-General’s
Office to suppress the corrupted activity of some high ranking
officials of the Yerevan Municipality and protect the legal rights
of the organization’s members.