Calls Grow for Release of Teenager Arrested on Palm Sunday for ‘Confronting’ P

YEREVAN (Azatutyun.am)—Armenia’s human rights defender appeared to add her voice on Thursday to growing calls for the release of a high school student who was arrested on March 29 after confronting Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan in a church in Yerevan.

The 18-year-old man, Davit Minasyan, remained, meanwhile, in hospital in what his lawyers described as serious condition.

Minasyan was arrested and charged with hooliganism and obstruction of Pashinyan’s “political activities” after an incident that marred a Plam Sunday Mass in St. Anne’s Church. The church was packed with worshippers when Pashinyan unexpectedly arrived there with his bodyguards who cleared the way for his passage. A visibly annoyed Minasyan told them not to push him and said he wants to keep “standing in the middle” of the church.

“Don’t look at me like that,” he then told Pashinyan before stretching a hand toward his shoulder.

Minasyan was punched and knocked down by one of the bodyguards as Pashinyan left the church amid angry cries from other believers. His twin brother Mikael and another man were also detained and indicted afterwards. But they both were freed pending investigation.

Davit Minasyan was rushed to Yerevan’s Nairi Medical Center on April 3 hospital after reportedly passing out at a juvenile institution just north of the Armenian capital. Only his lawyers have been allowed to visit him there. According to them, he was injured in the head and suffered concussion in the church.

“I visited him this morning,” one of the lawyers, Lusine Martirosyan, told reporters. “He complained of headaches. I tried my best not to disturb him. He said he wants to sleep all the time.”

Martirosyan spoke as a group of Minasyan’s sympathizers gathered outside the Office of the Prosecutor-General to demand an urgent meeting with Prosecutor-General Anna Vardapetyan and hand her a letter signed by 150 people demanding the student’s release. Vardapetyan refused to receive them.

A similar petition circulated online earlier has been signed by thousands of other Armenians. Anahit Manasyan, the human rights ombudsman installed by the country’s current leadership, insisted as recently as on Wednesday that she has no legal authority to also call for the student’s release from custody.

In an apparent change of heart, Manasyan said on Thursday: “Taking into account the documents available regarding the suspect’s health condition, issues related to his right to education etc., I myself have also suggested that an alternative measure of deterrence [for the student] be considered.”

Pashinyan and his political allies have defended Minasyan’s arrest, saying that the student assaulted the prime minister. Armenian opposition figures counter, however, that the church incident was the result of what they see as Pashinyan’s provocative behavior. They claim that Pashinyan ordered the arrest in a bid to intimidate disgruntled Armenians ahead of the June 7 parliamentary elections.

Pashinyan has spent the past several weekends touring various parts of the country and talking to people on what looked like election campaign trips. Some of those citizens caused him to lose his temper by openly denouncing his policies or complaining about his government’s track record.

Asbarez: Electoral Code Amendments Ahead of June Elections Disadvantage Countr

Successive Amendments to Electoral Code Appear Politicized and Undermine Public Trust in Democratic Process

YEREVAN — Recent amendments to Armenia’s Electoral Code adopted ahead of the June 2026 parliamentary elections that prohibit the use of personal names appear designed to disadvantage the “Strong Armenia” political opposition party and further undermine a fair and competitive electoral process, said the International Observatory for Democracy in Armenia. IODA urged the government to cancel or delay any apparently politicized amendments at least until after the election of a new government.

“These hasty electoral amendments smack of a naked ploy to disadvantage Armenia’s leading opposition political party, ‘Strong Armenia,’ by effectively requiring them to change the party’s well-known name just months before the elections,” said Sarah Leah Whitson. “The government and the ruling party have once again reached into their bag of tricks to tilt the election in its favor.”

On 7 April, the National Assembly adopted the amendments proposed by three members of the Civil Contract faction: Arusyak Julhakyan, Alkhas Ghazaryan, and Artur Hovhannisyan, restricting the naming of electoral blocs. The passed changes prohibit the use of personal names, as well as names or formulations resembling state and local self-government bodies, in bloc titles. The bill was adopted with 66 votes in favor, 16 against, and no abstentions, with support coming exclusively from members of the ruling Civil Contract faction. While authors presented the amendment as a technical adjustment, the timing and context of the amendment will affect specific political parties, including the “Strong Armenia with Samvel Karapetyan” bloc. In the pre-electoral period, any changes that may be seen as altering the conditions of political competition warrant particular scrutiny.

The government passed other problematic amendments to the Electoral Code on 24 January 2026 authorizing the Central Electoral Commission sole discretion to deny or revoke accreditation for an election observation mission based on a determination that the mission is not “politically neutral.” Although ensuring impartiality in election observation is a legitimate objective, the absence of clearly defined criteria for assessing such neutrality introduces a degree of discretion that may give rise to inconsistent application.

It is also notable that the Assembly adopted these legislative changes through expedited procedures, without broad-based consultation with opposition parties, civil society organizations, or international partners. “The cumulative effect of the government’s changes to the Electoral Code is to undermine public trust in the fairness of the political process, particularly in the context of other controversial measures, including arrests of political actors and clergy, ahead of the elections,” said Kenneth Roth. “The most important thing the ruling party can and should do right now is take its fist off the political scales and ensure the public that Armenia’s democracy is safe from manipulation.”

The amendments to the Electoral Code also contravene the Venice Commission’s Code of Good Practice in Electoral Matters, which underscores the importance of maintaining the stability of electoral legislation, and avoiding amendments for at least a year preceding elections. Changes to key aspects of the electoral framework at a late stage may affect both the perception and the reality of electoral integrity. IODA urged the government to suspend enforcement of any amendments to the Electoral Code until after the election and to ensure adequate time for review, discussion and consultation with civil society.

The IODA previously issued its concerns about the government’s conduct ahead of the elections, highlighting politicized arrests and prosecutions of political opponents and clergy members; unfounded allegations of foreign interference; and reliance on vague and overbroad provisions of the penal code, in a press conference in Yerevan on March 12. The organization plans to carry out a second on-the-ground investigation in Armenia in May and will issue its final conclusions and recommendations ahead of the elections.

168: Real Armenian man against “Real Armenia”

April 9, 2026


There is still no opposition to the idea of ​​”Real Armenia” of the government, which would be able not only to crush that fiction that reduced the measure of existence to the level of gastric juice production, but to make its discussion shameful. Even for CPs. At least those who ever had a brain, nevertheless agreed to the Pashinyan degradation of replacing it with organs in the middle parts of the body.

And meaning is not contradicted, because unlike the government, the oppositions do not create new meanings, but are busy countering the ones invented by the government, that is, they create not meanings, but anti-meanings. The power’s ability to create meanings should not be confused with meaning-making in the substantive sense of the concept. Satanic curses can also, especially with today’s technology, be imposed as meanings, which is what the government does. Or all those who, through the government, are engaged in the new engineering of Armenianness, putting natural the antithesis.

And the oppositions, either due to the inability to create more meanings, or guided by the primitive principle “everything new is the old that is well forgotten”, contrast “Real Armenia” with the stories of the past, both real and pathos-filled texts quoted from legends and toasts, which are exciting only in ethnographic songs, but as a political text, they are roughly similar to the curse addressed to a child in response to the curser’s great-grandfathers. to be late.

The story of “Real Armenia”, with all its cheapness and simplicity, is about today’s Armenia, not the new Armenia, as a country risen from the ashes, as the government represents, but about the former Armenia, the broken country left from the Armenian world, which has a different citizenry, people living in different dimensions, for three years now, also lost from Artsakh.

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Here, the opposition’s semantic response to “Real Armenia” should be not only and not so much (and maybe it should not be) a mechanical reminder of the previous victory, which hurts in the conditions of today’s humiliation, but a message that unites people, of a new person living in a depressed country, who did not become new by his own will, which will be opposed to the march of “Real Armenia”. But it will be opposed not just as a simple reflection, as a reaction, but as a new content, a new meaning, on which a new social and state structure with a chance to return the previous victory can ever touch.

The antidote to “real Armenia” is a real Armenian person, without quotation marks. But the Armenianness of that person, not even a hair’s breadth denying the codes of the past, should still be anchored on new realities, today’s reality. In this battle of ideas and meanings, the time factor is key. The government is selling the dream of “Real Armenia” as today’s project, but more so as tomorrow’s project. Oppositions are contrasted with archetypes from the past. And in the competition between the time dimensions of the past and the future, the past will always lose due to the nature of human beings. He will lose, with all his heroism.

Will the oppositions, individually and collectively, find the algorithm to contrast “Real Armenia” with a real Armenian person in the next two months? This is the most important question of this election cycle, but also of the times to come. Many times more important than the measurements of sociological polls and the decibels of inopportune voices that are presented as political speech, emitted by the self-satisfaction of those being measured.

You, who have never created anything in your life, how could you afford to destroy it?

April 9, 2026

“What did you guys do, what did you do?

You didn’t become human, guys, you didn’t become human.

People from Gyumri in Tasib have a very nice word, they say: “Erik is a man-a-woman man”. You didn’t even become a woman, let alone become a man. In your case, Darwin was wrong, you remained a primate (примат). You did not experience evolution. The great Persian poet Saadi said about you seven hundred years ago:

“You know nothing about being a stupid person.”

You, who have never done anything in life, how could you afford to destroy what those who did did? Like incorrigible gamblers, you squandered the years, sweat and blood of your elders.

How could you deny the existence of Artsakh?

make 120,000 people homeless,

Sterilize 12,000 boys.

kill 5,000 boys

12,000 square kilometers to be given to the enemy.

The entire political and military leadership of Artsakh is in the Azeri prison.

Here in Armenia, you judge the political, military and spiritual leadership.

I am not surprised that your teachers strangled Khoren Vehaphar in the Mother See, imprisoned Nzhdeh, Bakunts and Charents. You will not lag behind them, will you? Who am I to be angry or surprised? I just want to ask a simple question: who gave you the right to turn off our light? Why did you make our sunny country Armenia so dark? I know the answer to my question, I just want to hear your confession.

“Among the vices of the human soul, envy is the unique scourge that remains unconfessed.

Plutarch

What did you guys do? What did you do?

Chairman of Syunyats Spiritual Diocese

Commander of the Sisak detachment

Colonel of the reserve army

Prisoner of “Vardashen” Penitentiary

Ashot Minasyan “Iron”




The list of the first 36 candidates of the electoral list of “Strong Armenia” is known

April 9, 2026

On April 8, the congress of the “Strong Armenia” party was held, the agenda of which included 2026. Questions about participating in the National Assembly elections and approving the list of the first 36 candidates of the electoral list for the upcoming elections.

The party congress made a unanimous decision to participate in the upcoming parliamentary elections in the format of an alliance.

The congress of the party approved the names of the first 36 candidates of the electoral list of the bloc by another decision.

To remind, on February 12, during the official presentation of the “Strong Armenia” party held at the sports concert complex named after Karen Demirchyan, the party announced that the candidate for the prime minister of “Strong Armenia” is the chairman of the party, Samvel Karapetyan.

The entire electoral list of the alliance will be presented on April 11, at 17.00, at the unity rally called by the alliance in Freedom Square.

We present the names of the first 36 candidates of the pre-election list of the alliance below.

1. Narek Karapetyan

2. Aram Vardevanyan

3. Gohar Meloyan

4. Davit Ghazinyan

5. Ruben Mkhitaryan

6. Arega Hovsepyan

7. Mamikon Aslanyan

8. Hayk Farmanyan

9. Marianna Ghahramanyan

10. Hayk Sukiasyan

11. Ashot Farsyan

12. Irina Yolyan

13. Edgar Ghazaryan

14. Tigran Abrahamyan

15. Lena Matevosyan

16. Robert Kadaryan

17. Grisha Tamrazyan

18. Lilia Shushanyan

19. Andranik Gevorgyan

20. Garnik Davtyan

21. Liana Gasparyan

22. Artur Danielyan

23. Vaghinak Vardanov

24. Liana Manukyan

25. Avetis Arakelyan

26. Harutyun Mnatsakanyan

27. Lilit Gharajyan

28. Vruyr Ayvazyan

29. Shiraz Manukyan

30. Anush Mirzoyan

31. Levon Nalbandian

32. Arkady Tamazyan

33. Hasmik Yengoyan

34. Alexander Sargsyan

35. Mher Aghamyan

36. Gohar Osipyan




The first 30 names of the pre-election list of “Hayastan” bloc are known

April 9, 2026

At the final session of the 29th extraordinary Supreme Assembly of the ARF and at the congress of the “Forward” party, the first three dozen of the pre-election list of the alliance of “Armenia” parties were approved. The order of names of the MP candidates is as follows:

1. Robert Kocharyan

2. Prince Saghatelyan

3. Anna Grigoryan

4. Sevak Khachatryan

5. Artur Khachatryan

6. Christine Vardanyan

7. Aghvan Vardanyan

8. Gegham Manukyan

9. Agnesa Khamoyan

10. Levon Kocharyan

11. Artur Sargsyan

12. Lilit Galstyan

13. Mesrop Manukyan

14. Garnik Danielyan

15. Christine Nazaryan

16. Boris Tamoyan

17. Narek Mantashyan

18. Lusine Karamyan

19. Gerasim Vardanyan

20. Karen Simonyan

21. Anush Arakelyan

22. Arman Ghazaryan

23. Artur Ohanyan

24. Armenuhi Kyureghyan

25. Mihrdat Madatyan

26. Igor Sargsyan

27. Rubina Petrosyan

28. Samvel Hakobyan

29. Artsvik Minasyan

30. Anush Brutyan




Iran will not tolerate an increased Israeli presence, nor American efforts

April 9, 2026

168.amis the interlocutor of Iranian political analyst Ehsan Mohavedian.

– The last few hours were quite dramatic in international relations. Against the backdrop of Trump’s threats, Pakistan started mediation efforts between Iran and the US, as a result of which the parties declared a ceasefire for two weeks. Iran announced that it was opening the Strait of Hormuz, and the United States announced that it was considering the ten points offered by Iran as a basis for negotiations. Both sides present what happened as a victory. Such sharp turns in international relations are not a manifestation of good will, but the result of either the balance of power or mutual fear. In the end, which side fell: Washington, due to the economic consequences of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and a major regional war, or Tehran, due to the possible unpredictable and harsh blows of the Trump administration?

– Without a doubt, it is the United States that fears Iran. Trump has acknowledged the fact that Iran has emerged as the world’s fourth superpower. Trump proposed a 15-point program to Iran. Iran rejected it and instead presented its own 10-point plan, and he accepted it. Because he was afraid of the damage caused by the war in America, the increase in gasoline prices, the hundreds of American casualties, the failure of the plot to invade Iran and the inability to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. He’s a professional idiot because he’s now trying to solve a crisis that didn’t even exist before the war: the closing of the Strait of Hormuz, rising oil prices, and global shortages of helium, fertilizers, petrochemicals, and steel.

All the experts and analysts in the American and Israeli media admit the victory of Iran and the defeat of Israel and the United States. The list of these wins and losses is as follows.

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America’s defeats in the war against Iran.

  • A waste of more than $40 billion of American taxpayer dollars.
  • Hundreds of Americans killed and wounded,
  • Doubling of oil prices,
  • Destruction of American bases in the region,
  • The petrodollar is dead.
  • Europe has fallen out of line with global trends and has become hostile to America.
  • NATO has weakened
  • Israel and the US are at loggerheads and mistrust, and Zionists feel humiliated and isolated.

Iran’s victories.

  • Iran’s 400 kg of uranium has been preserved.
  • Sanctions will be lifted.
  • Iran will collect tribute from the Strait of Hormuz and has new financing for reconstruction.
  • Iran’s allies have been preserved and strengthened.
  • The Islamic Republic has been strengthened by new, resilient and rational leaders.
  • The Arab allies of the US and Israel have suffered serious losses.
  • Iran’s missile program will be maintained and strengthened.
  • Trump, who talked about the destruction of Iranian civilization, has been humiliated, discredited and broken, repeatedly changing his positions and accepting the 10-point demands.

In short, Iran has become the world’s fourth rising power. This is the “Art of the Deal” of the incompetent and ignorant Trump.

– What actually happened, what did Washington and Tehran agree on, and to what extent will this ceasefire turn into lasting stability?

– The 10 demands accepted by Iran are:

  • A complete cessation of all aggression against Iran and allied resistance groups, especially Hezbollah in Lebanon.
  • Withdrawal of US combat forces from the region, prohibition of any attack against Iran from military bases.
  • For a period of two weeks, a limited daily passage of ships through the Strait of Hormuz is established, according to the protocol of safe movement, which is subject to special monitoring and regulation carried out by Iran.
  • The lifting of all primary, secondary and UN sanctions, as well as the release of Iranian assets and property.
  • Compensation for the damages suffered by Iran through the creation of an investment and financial fund.
  • Iran’s commitment not to build nuclear weapons.
  • Acceptance of Iran’s right to enrichment by the US and negotiations on the level of enrichment.
  • Iran’s agreement to negotiate bilateral and multilateral peace agreements with regional countries in accordance with its own interests.
  • Extending the principle of non-aggression to all aggressors against all resistance groups.
  • Termination of all resolutions of the Council of Governors and Security Council, and confirmation of all commitments by an official UN resolution.

Considering the advantage it has in the region, Iran will not back down from its terms. It is the United States that is facing problems and constraints with the World Cup, congressional elections, rising gasoline prices, the threat of impeachment against Trump, and the failure to achieve all of his goals against Iran. In this war, Iran used only 30% of the power of its “missile cities”, and the Iranian people supported the Islamic Republic throughout the war, with millions of street demonstrations. The United States and Israel will pay a high price if they violate the ceasefire. But if they respect it, Iran will also respect it. The choice is theirs.

– As you mentioned, the United States accepted the 10 points presented by Iran. In recent weeks, the media have been constantly reporting on Iranian preconditions and proposals. Do you think these last 10 points are revised versions of previous proposals and what are the “red lines” of Iran that are included in these proposals?

– In the presented 10-point program, all “red lines” of Iran were respected. The United States and Israel wanted to destroy Iran or at least change the regime so that Iran’s behavior would change. However, not only those goals did not come true, but Iran stands firm and strong today. A significant part of Iran’s missile and drone potential remains unused. The Iranian people, unlike the depressed and defeated peoples of the USA and Israel, are ready to continue the struggle.

Iran’s enriched uranium is still inside the country. Arab countries and Israel were hit hard and weakened. The forces of resistance have strengthened. The petrodollar has weakened and the United States has no choice but to withdraw from the Middle East and accept Iranian hegemony.

– According to you, there is no concession on the part of Tehran in this process?

– Iran has not made any concessions to the United States. On the contrary, the United States accepted everything that Iran demanded. The United States sought to destroy Iran’s nuclear, missile, and drone capabilities, force Iran into complete capitulation, annihilate Iranian civilization, destroy Iran’s entire infrastructure, and bring about regime change in Iran and its allies. However, none of them happened, and Trump was embarrassed and humiliated. China and Russia will undoubtedly take advantage of this situation in the future. Iran has dealt a heavy blow to the United States and Israel, and America’s decline has accelerated.

– How was the position of the South Caucasus considered in Iran during this war, is it about Azerbaijan or, in particular, Armenia? In your opinion, will the war, the policy of the RA authorities during the war affect the Armenian-Iranian agenda in any way?

– During this war, Baku supported Israel, and many Israeli and American drones entered Iran from the territory of Azerbaijan. Of course, Aliyev expressed sympathy for Iran on the surface, but in practice he hoped for Israel’s success. After Iran’s power and resilience became apparent, Aliyev and the pro-government media changed their hostile tone toward Iran, and Azerbaijani public opinion also began to support Iran. This made it very difficult for Aliyev to carry out malicious actions against Iran. At the same time, everyone in Iran is aware of Aliyev’s true intentions and the Azeri population of Iran about his interest in splitting the regions. The attack on Iran’s military facilities in Bandar Anzali and the attack on Parsabad on the Iran-Azerbaijani border are other questionable incidents that Baku needs to explain.

The good and dear people of Armenia, as well as some political parties of that country, showed great and strong support to Iran, and we in Iran will never forget that support. Although the Armenian government did not condemn the American crimes and only expressed regret, it did provide some assistance to Iran and, fortunately, bilateral trade was not seriously damaged.

However, there was an expectation in Iran that the Armenian government would come out with a clearer position and condemn the brutal aggression of the United States and Israel. If Armenia seeks stable relations with Iran, it must understand that after the last war, Iran will not tolerate the increase of Israeli presence in neighboring countries, nor the American efforts to create the “Trump Route” and the fake “Zangezur Corridor”. “Trump’s route” does not bring any economic benefit to Armenia. it will only surround the country with enemy states and endanger the Iran-Armenia border. Iran is committed to maintaining these borders and countering any attempts to weaken its geopolitical and corridor position, and expects the Armenian government to understand this important issue and strengthen bilateral relations, as in the past, by investing in joint corridor and economic projects.

“We need a united, undivided and stable Iran. it is a restraining factor for Turkey”.

April 9, 2026


“We, as a state, should be interested in ending the war in Iran quickly. “Unfortunately, diplomacy and actual military operations do not always coincide, although a ceasefire was announced, but the shelling related to Lebanon puts the problem into question,” RPA Vice-President Armen Ashotyan said in a conversation with reporters in the court yard, talking about the processes taking place in Iran and the region and Armenia due to it.

Armen Ashotyan emphasizes that all this should be followed in Armenia, according to which, first of all, it is necessary.

“Stable region, united, undivided, strong Iran as a reliable, friendly state.

It is obvious that if Iran does not lose this war, and this seems to be accepted by Western circles, the Turkish factor will not get a chance to expand further, and this is a positive development for us. Otherwise, in the conditions of Russia’s consistent expulsion and Iran’s weakening, Turkey would completely fill the region with itself.”

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  • AN HONORABLE MARTYRHOOD ON A HORSE, BUT NOT A DISHONORABLE DEATH IN THE BUNKER. THE ELECTION OF THE LEADERS OF IRAN. Ruben Melkonyan

Speaking about the consequence, Armen Ashotyan said that it refers to the American security guarantees, which do not work even for the states where the United States has military bases, and to which it has indeed given those security guarantees.

“In the case of Armenia, we know that after last year’s meetings in Washington, as a security factor, they tried to force us to simply be a witness by the US president. And we see that there are countries of the Persian Gulf that are directly under the protection of the US protectorate, but this did not protect them,” added Armen Ashotyan.

In this context, he also added that the last lesson to be learned is to make sure once again that small states do not have the right to become puppets in the hands of geopolitical games of big states, otherwise they will suffer first of all.

Details in the video of 168.am



Davit Minasyan was violently attacked by Pashinyan’s bodyguard

April 9, 2026

18-year-old schoolboy Davit Minasyan’s lawyer Lusine Martirosyan wrote:

“As a result of medical examinations, 18-year-old Davit Minasyan was diagnosed with a closed cranial trauma, concussion… However, on that day, Davit was just participating in the liturgy in the church.”

In fact, the medical examination showed that during the liturgy in Saint Anna church, the school boy Davit Minasyan was physically and psychologically abused by Nikol Pashinyan and his bodyguards.

Iran’s hardening position against the USA and Israel. How will Iran position itself?

April 9, 2026

The recently announced US-Iran two-week cease-fire, before the US-Iran talks expected in Islamabad have yet started, has caused serious disagreements between the parties, casting doubt on the cease-fire and possible future agreements. And all this is because immediately after the Iran-US ceasefire agreement was reached, Israel began to strike Lebanon hard, declaring that Lebanon is not part of the US-Iran agreements. Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf announced that the US had already violated three key points of Iran’s 10-point proposal before the start of negotiations, including violating the ceasefire in Lebanon, using a drone to penetrate Iranian airspace and denying Iran the right to enrich uranium.

“As the US president has clearly stated, Iran’s 10-point proposal is a “workable basis for negotiations” and the fundamental framework of those negotiations. However, until today, three points of this proposal have been violated,” wrote Ghalibaf on the X social network.

According to him, among the violations are the non-fulfillment of the first point of the proposal, which refers to the cease-fire in Lebanon, the intrusion of an unmanned aerial vehicle into the airspace of Iran in the city of Lar, and depriving Iran of the right to enrich uranium. Ghalibaf added that bilateral ceasefire or negotiations are not advisable under such conditions. Obviously, there is some confusion about Iran’s proposals, with several versions circulating, and the parties interpreting them accordingly. Iran insists that the cease-fire also extends to Lebanon, i.e. Iran’s allies, sanctions against Iran must be lifted, Tehran must maintain control over the Strait of Hormuz, and continue enriching uranium. However, the US insists that the ceasefire does not apply to Lebanon.

US President Donald Trump stated that there is no agreement that Iran will be allowed to enrich uranium. The Strait of Hormuz should also be opened and made safe for traffic. US Vice President also confirmed that the USA did not agree to a ceasefire in Lebanon. “We have never made such a promise … we have said that the ceasefire will focus on Iran and America’s allies, both Israel and the Arab states of the Persian Gulf,” US Vice President JD Vance said.

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Seyed Abbas Araghchi, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran published the Pakistani statement on its official X social network page, which states that Lebanon has been officially included in the list of countries where a ceasefire should be implemented immediately, emphasizing: “The terms of the cease-fire between Iran and the United States are clear and simple. America must choose between a ceasefire or continuing the war through Israel. A combination of these two factors is impossible. The world is witnessing the carnage in Lebanon. The ball is now in the court of the United States, and global public opinion is watching whether the country will fulfill its obligations.”

Kaya Kalas, High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Policy announced that the cease-fire reached between the United States of America and Iran should also be extended to Lebanon, adding that the Iranian-backed Lebanese group “Hezbollah” should be disarmed. “Israel’s actions put the US-Iran ceasefire under serious pressure. The agreement reached with Iran should also be extended to Lebanon. As a result of Israeli strikes, hundreds of people were killed last night, which makes it difficult to argue that such harsh actions can be considered self-defense,” Kalas wrote on the X social network.

Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and US Vice President JD Vance were supposed to go to Pakistan’s capital Islamabad today for negotiations, but there is still no clear information whether Iran-US talks will take place in Pakistan or not. According to a number of media reports in the Middle East, Pakistan is actively preparing for its mediation efforts, preparing to host the American and Iranian delegations for global negotiations on the Pakistani platform.

And what is remarkable is that all this is happening in a situation where, according to the authoritative Financial Times, the Trump administration has been secretly pushing for weeks for a ceasefire to be established, seeking to ease the economic burden caused by Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz, Washington hoped to use Pakistan as a mediator. Moreover, according to the newspaper, Pakistan Army Chief of Staff Asim Munir was in contact with Iranian officials, Special Envoy Steve Wittkoff, Vice President J.D. With Vance and Trump himself, even after the president threatened to destroy Iranian civilization on Tuesday.

According to five sources familiar with the diplomatic communications, Trump has requested a cease-fire since March 21, the same day he first threatened to strike Iran’s power plants. However, at the same time, in the public field, the US president used a different rhetoric, threatening constant bombings and the prospect of destruction.

“They are the ones asking for consent, not me. They are the ones asking for an agreement,” Trump said, adding that the Iranians are asking for an agreement.

However, the upcoming US-Iran talks in Pakistan do not seem to promise great results, they will take place in a complex and multi-layered security environment, where multi-layered disagreements limit the possibility of diplomatic success. Israel’s continuation of operations in Lebanon under the formal conditions of a cease-fire creates a situation where Iran appears at the negotiation table not with the logic of concessions, but of resistance and containment, further hardening the position that we can already see from the statements coming from Tehran. A classic situation of “managed tension” was formed, where the parties were interested in negotiating, but not enough to reach real compromises.

Against this backdrop, Pakistan’s mediating role, though important, is more technical than strategic. Islamabad can provide a platform for communication, but it cannot influence the main contradictions, which are not due to bilateral, but regional and even global competition.

Geneticists assess the probability of success as limited, at most partial results. It may be about temporary reduction of tension, maintenance of communication channels or agreements of a humanitarian nature, but few foresee a strategic breakthrough.

The speech of Iranian analysts and diplomats shows that Iran’s toughening stance will inevitably affect the South Caucasus as well. In the run-up to the Iran-US-Israel war, Iran hardened its stance towards Azerbaijan, sending multi-level warnings to Azerbaijan about the consequences of giving Azerbaijani territory to Iran’s enemies.

In recent years, Tehran has already given clear signals that any geopolitical restructuring in the region, which would limit its connection with Armenia or strengthen the Turkish-Azerbaijani tandem, would be considered as a red line.

In the conditions of the current deepening of tensions, this position seems to be becoming more pronounced. However, it is still not clear how this will affect the actual Iranian policy in the South Caucasus. Aggravation of several trends can be expected. It is not excluded that Iran will try to more actively strengthen its economic and infrastructural presence in Armenia as a counterweight to other regional projects, the deepening of security cooperation is also not excluded, and thirdly, Tehran may react more harshly to any initiative related to the US presence in Armenia and TRIPP, considering it to undermine its strategic interests.

These developments are turning the South Caucasus into a zone of greater geopolitical competition, where Iran, amid its global pressures, can act more decisively and at times riskier. This, in turn, complicates Armenia’s foreign political problems.

In conclusion, it should be noted that possible US-Iran negotiations will take place in Pakistan in unfavorable military and political conditions, and their success depends on the dynamics of regional escalations. And Iran’s toughening position will also be reflected in the South Caucasus, increasing the level of tension and competition in the region.