In the evening, the Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, Ghalibaf, made the most remarkable statement of the day, with signs of caution and warning at the same time.

“According to some information, Iran’s enemies are planning to occupy one of the Iranian islands with the support of one of the regional states. All enemy movements are under full control of our armed forces.

If they cross that line, all the vital infrastructure of that regional state, without exception, will become the target of relentless attacks.”

Ghalibaf is actually one of the most influential figures in Iran. They say that he coordinates the actions of the IHPK. And what he said should be taken seriously. This can also be a tactical lie or a threat, but it should not be ignored. Accordingly, a few points about this.

First, about the islands. according to their functional significance in the context of the conflict, they can be divided into 2-3 groups (the third is conditional “others”).

The islands in the Strait of Hormuz are the most important for military operations. These allow Iran to have full control over the strait.

From here, both rockets/UAVs can be launched, and sea mines can be deployed. It is thanks to them that the strait is limited, because control from land alone would not be as effective.

According to the functional division, the second is Kharg Island, which is one of the most important centers of oil production in Iran, if not the most important. It is in the north of the Persian Gulf, away from the strait.

If the islands of the strait are for attack, then defense is a priority here, because the island itself can be a target for the USA and Israel.

The mysterious regional state can be either the UAE or Saudi Arabia. The first received the most missiles from Iran during the current war.

But more importantly, the UAE has claims to three of the strait islands under Iranian control (Abu Musa, Great Tunb, Little Tunb). These islands were occupied by the Iranian army in 1971, when the British forces were withdrawing from the region.

This pretension could create a pretext for the US to occupy those islands, plant the UAE flag there, and establish itself there under that country’s flag.

The other version of the mysterious regional state could be Saudi Arabia, which is one of Iran’s main competitors in the region. The two countries have recently come to terms with each other through the mediation of China.

The participation of other Arab states is less likely. In the case of Qatar and Bahrain, the geography does not allow it, because the American soldiers have to pass through the territory of at least one more state.

Oman remained neutral and was the mediator of the US-Iran negotiations. In the case of Iraq and Kuwait, the danger from Iran is much greater than in the case of other states.

 Western specialists have been talking about the option of seizing the Iranian islands for at least two weeks. Both Kharg and the islands near the strait are observed.

In the first case, by capturing Kharg, the USA and Israel can deprive Iran of its oil supply, suffocate it from the energy-economic side and force it to make concessions.

In the second case, by capturing the islands of the strait, they can stop at least the spreading of sea mines from those islands and make those islands a springboard for further operations. It is unlikely that the strait will be opened, but during the passage of the ships, air defense will have more time to react to Iranian missiles.

But the capture of the islands is the first difficult operation, and after that will come the second, more difficult one, to fortify and hold them. The territory of the islands is much closer to the territory of Iran, therefore targeting them is much easier and accessible for Iran.

And even if these difficulties are overcome, there is the next problem. the capture of the islands can further aggravate the situation (the threat of Ghalibaf is a witness) and lead to a longer war or at least the formation of a similar expectation.

And it will be disastrous for the oil/energy market. Now the market still hopes that the war will eventually come to a stage where passage through the strait will become possible and oil and gas will flow again.

And if the war moves to the stage of ground operations, the appearance of American soldiers on the territory of Iran, the expected duration of the war will certainly be extended several times, and the expectations will go in the direction of price increases.

 By the way, the issue of fertilizers is also related to this. Last week I was in a lecture (on a different topic) and some of the students whose families are involved in farming confirmed that the price of fertilizer has gone up.

And yes, it is also related to the situation in the Strait of Hormuz.

Fertilizer production is energy-intensive, and fuel is subsidized in Iran. Therefore, the production of fertilizer is cheap and can be exported (also to Armenia).

But when the Strait of Hormuz is closed, the energy needed for fertilizers increases in price, the production in other countries increases, the supply of fertilizers produced by Iran has also stopped, the prices of fertilizers in the world have generally increased.

Of course, Russia, which is also a fertilizer exporter, takes advantage of the opportunity. But in the conditions of general scarcity, Russian fertilizer has also become more expensive.

Iran today Telegram channel

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On March 11, the person who usurped the seat of the RA Prime Minister in the European Parliament, overthrew the constitutional order, bombarded his own people and subjected them to political, spiritual and moral repression, caused the deprivation of hundreds of thousands of compatriots, ethnic cleansing, and the suffering of our brothers in Baku prisons, also referred to me, Archbishop Bagrat. Galstanyanis and the Armenian Church in general with lies and deceit specific to him.

I will not refer to him in this writing, because everything with him is more than clear.

My speech is addressed to the members of the European Parliament, who stood and applauded lies and lies. Frankly, the years and events have documented your double standards, how you can violate human rights, individual and national, morality, justice and truth, driven by your own vested interests, out of your geopolitical expediency, and at the same time, shout the loudest about it all.

With all this, let me turn to the speech as a phenomenon. Perhaps, it is a unique or unprecedented case in world history and civilization, when the head of the country complains or, more precisely, gossips about his opponents and those who do not share his views from such a high international platform.

On the contrary, we have seen that this role was assumed by the opponents of the government of the day and/or those who were subjected to political persecution, trying to draw attention to the problems and illegalities in their country.

You also participated in this transformation.

I am sure that many of you represent peoples with rich historical experience, peoples who faced occupation, partition and injustice. It is hard to imagine that you would applaud those who caused such pages in your own history.

I’m sure you applauded with admiration Archbishop Makarios, Dietrich Bonhoeffer, Archbishop Desmond Tutu, Karol Wojtyla, aka Pope John Paul II, clerics who fought for justice and the freedom and rights of their people.

Let me note that neither I nor my brothers have the ambition to be compared to the above-mentioned clerics, but my struggle was and remains for truth, justice, freedom and reconciliation, defending the rights of my deprived people against lies, falsehood, hatred, violence and extradition, for a sovereign and independent state against dependence and external pressures and dictates.

Why did our movement start?

2024 On March 18, the person occupying the seat of the RA Prime Minister, meeting the local population in the villages of Voskepar and Kirants, threatened the people with the language of blackmail and terror, stating that if they oppose the so-called demarcation and demarcation, they will become the cause of war in a week or ten days, putting actual people under heavy responsibility.

The man who was officially called to protect the security of his people was actually threatening that security himself. Meanwhile, 3 years before that, in 2021, the same person assured the same people that there is no question of handing over villages or territories, and if such a question arises, he will cut off his hand, but he will not hand it over.

This (2021) was an election cycle with obvious vote-rigging.

By the way, there is nothing said about demarcation and demarcation in the KP election campaign program. And after only 3 years, the vote beggar was terrorizing his voters.

What was our position?

The issue of the so-called demarcation and demarcation process has two layers: legal and moral.

Legal. Demarcation and demarcation should be carried out exclusively in accordance with RA internal and international laws and principles and not under the threat of force.

Moral. the head of the country cannot lie, deceive, threaten and terrorize his people and the delimitation must be established according to the principle of justice.

Therefore:

a. Delimitation and border demarcation should be carried out with a general peace package, that is, if it is aimed at establishing peace, then it should be just one component of a comprehensive peace process or document with respect for all legal standards, the establishment of the principle of justice, bilateral compromise, the withdrawal of Azerbaijan from the territories occupied by Armenia, the right of return of the people of Artsakh, the freedom of Armenian prisoners and hostages, and the presence or involvement of mediators and guarantors.

b. Start demarcation and demarcation not from Tavush, the “disputed” territories of the 1990s, but from the RA territories occupied by Azerbaijan in the period 2021-24.

c. Delimitation and demarcation cannot happen unilaterally (it was promised that 900 hectares of land belonging to the village of Berkaber, which is under the control of Azerbaijan, will be returned to Armenia. However, this did not happen and will not happen).

d. Border demarcation is a matter of the entire nation and the state, as well as an interstate issue, and not just the responsibility of the residents of two or three villages, therefore, it is a crime to put all the responsibility on the residents of these villages.

Is demanding all these now misinformation or a clear human and civil demand?

I should also add that the person (the Prime Minister of RA), who claimed in 2022 that the internationally recognized borders of RA (I note that such a thing does not exist) is 29,800 square kilometers, suddenly decided in 2023 that the borders of RA are 29,743 square kilometers. In fact, the “internationally recognized borders” of RA changed in just one year. on what basis, by what principle, by what document or map? Can such an approach inspire confidence in the justice of demarcation? And maybe a little later it will turn out that the borders of RA are 29,800 square kilometers according to the newly discovered international recognition?

 What was the government’s response?

First, an informational attack by the fake factory called “fake SNOC” created by them, through their own media, with curses and slanders that insult human dignity, spreading hate speech and threats, brutal police pressure and illegal arrests.

And on June 12, 2024, in the center of Yerevan, peaceful demonstrators were bombed with banned Zarya-3 bombs, not sparing women and children. Hundreds of people were injured in various degrees, subjected to beatings and violence, persecution and threats of losing their jobs, which continues to this day.

And all this happened with your tacit consent, because you were convinced, both in writing and verbally, that this was a “Russian program”. And you are also righteous people and you have been quietly convinced, although even if you were not convinced, you would have convinced or self-convinced, because it requires your geopolitical position and interest and never truth or justice.

What was your reaction?

Yes, you remained silent and continue to remain silent when there was a war in Artsakh, when the people were fighting for their right to live freely. I think you are the “bearer and encourager” of such ideas. Or do these people have no right to have rights?

You remained silent and continue to remain silent when the people of Artsakh were subjected to ethnic cleansing from their cradle, their leaders ended up in the prisons of your beloved and economically beneficial dictator of Baku, subjected to inhumane tortures with enforced justice.

You are silent about the natural right of the Artsakh people to return to their homeland, about the destruction of the cultural heritage of the Artsakh Armenians, but you applaud the co-author of all this.

You must have heard “Woe to you, hypocrites…blind leaders, because you strain out gnats but swallow camels” (Matt. 23:23-24)

Next would be detention

As of June 25, 2025, I and 17 of my supporters, after almost a year of “wiretapping”, stalking, pressure and persecution, are in detention on patently false charges and fraudulent, falsified so-called “evidence”.

The Armenian Church, the Patriarch of All Armenians, high-ranking clergymen, the national benefactor and all those people who disagreed with the whims of your PEOPLE and spoke about justice and rights, truth, protecting their own identity and values, are being subjected to unprecedented repression in the style of the Soviet dictatorship. Among these are MPs, businessmen, politicians, bloggers, youths, women, etc., who are under arrest and restricted by various false criminal proceedings.

And all this again with your tacit consent.

For almost nine months now, the so-called trial theater has been going on, for nine months it has been accompanied by violations of the presumption of innocence by officials of various levels, Public Television has become an exclusive tool for spreading hatred and slander, the Prosecutor General and the head of the Investigative Committee are spreading obvious slander and falsehood, the Anti-Corruption Committee does not accept the report on the crime of official forgery, that is, the entire legal and law enforcement the system operates solely at the behest and coercion of one person, and that one person is your loved one, whom you will unfortunately sacrifice and sell tomorrow, because no more will become obsolete as a useless tool.

And yes, this is all with your tacit consent.

Last word

Nevertheless, I am ready to be in prison, to undergo all this as much as it will take for the liberation of my country, Armenia, my world. I have no doubt that sooner or later my country will be freed from these shackles, humiliations and humiliations, will regain its life and integrity, and then you will silently but applaud your shame.

And our VICTORY HAS NO OTHER CHOICE…

Long live free, just and God-fearing Armenia

Long live the liberated Artsakh

Prisoner of homeland, prisoner of conscience

Prince Bagrat Galstanyan

22.03.2026

Advent Sunday

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The idea of ​​Guaranteed Peace is widely spread in the public domain, which obviously collapses the toxicosis of the government’s “peace or war” program.

The official hysteria is due to this. Even 2.5 months before the elections, the main thesis collapses.

The task of our collective opposition is to calmly present to the public the vital necessity and substantive meaning of “Guaranteed Peace”.

We need guaranteed peace.

1. That our lives do not depend on Aliyev’s mood and individual decisions,

2. That way the broken balance of forces will be compensated.

3. So that they don’t tell us that if you don’t change the constitution, there will be a war.

4. So that they don’t say that 300,000 Azerbaijanis must “return”, otherwise there will be a war.

5. So that they don’t say that Sevan is “Goycha”, otherwise there will be an epithet.

6. So that no other demand of Aliyev should be made every day, “otherwise there will be an epithet.”

It is not difficult to explain this to the public, but it is necessary to work purposefully and unitedly.

In order to prevent the continuation of the scenario of official speculation, it is necessary to explain to people that the guaranteed peace.

a.  does not imply peacekeepers

b.   Does not imply the guarantee of only one country

Guaranteed peace is a system of agreements established by international legal mechanisms, provided with clear instruments of control and responsibility.

It includes both external and internal, political and economic security components at the same time.

It includes the launch of alternative roads and communications, the parallel implementation of new major economic and infrastructural projects.

It also implies tranquility and internal stability of public life, exclusion of internal enmity, restoration of justice system and other important aspects.

Vahe Hovhannisyan
Alternative projects group

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During a briefing with Nikol Pashinyan after the government session, journalists asked him a question about the Azerbaijani military operations aimed at the depopulation of Artsakh on September 19-20, 2023, and whether the people of Artsakh would fight or not.

“After the events of 2023, there was a meeting of the RA Security Council, where the results of the combat operations that took place were analyzed. I, not being able to reveal much, want to record that the claims about fighting and so on are, to put it mildly, untrue, because according to the data of our intelligence and not only intelligence, the lion’s share of the available weapons and ammunition, it could be 80 percent, it could be … percent, remained untouched. Before that, we had created an opportunity for a political process to take place, and some representatives of the ruling circle of Karabakh not only prevented it, but also implemented it. change of power in Karabakh, RA NA congratulated each other. And just a week after those congratulations, the events that happened happened. I warned the representatives of Karabakh at that time, I said: if you leave, know that there will be no chance to return.”

In this context, Pashinyan did not agree with the claims that Azerbaijan carried out genocidal acts in Artsakh.

“It is enough to feed our people with information about the new genocide. And, in general, the race of these genocides should be stopped. In our region, everyone accuses everyone else of genocides. With talk about genocides, by the way, it is hard to say which one happened after, we get talk about genocides, with talk about return we get talk about return.

And those myths: they fought to the end, etc., by the way, if necessary, we will declassify those data. I am sure, this dough will carry a lot of water, we will wait for it to do well, to publish the documents of the Nagorno Karabakh negotiation process at the right time, it is a lie, nothing like that happened, they ran away, they looted,” he insisted.

Details in the video

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Two days ago, Levon Barseghyan, chairman of the board of trustees of Shirak State University (SSU), founder and head of Gyumri’s “Asparez” club, Levon Barseghyan, appeared on the public about a meeting with the participation of “pro-Westerners” and young people. asparez.am on the website with the caption “Armenian-Azerbaijani dialogue and Armenia after 2018”.

The composition of the participants was impressive and predictable. Head of Globalization and Regional Cooperation Analytical Center Stepan Grigoryan, founder of “Alikmedia” Arsen Kharatyan, Levon Barseghyan… And young people…

Judging from the publication, the topic of the meeting should have been peace, lustration, corruption, especially the systemic type of which, according to Levon Barseghyan, has completely disappeared in Armenia, state capture and, of course, Armenian-Azbek “friendship”.

There was nothing interesting here, what was interesting was the participation of young people in that meeting or discussion, and 168.amtried to understand who they were.

It turned out that the students of the history department of Shirak State University (SSU) have been listening to the polls of Levon Barseghyan and other Sorosists for a long time. Moreover, one of the students accompanying the students is Levon Martirosyan, the dean of the Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics of USU, who previously had close ties with the ARF members, was proud of those ties, but since 2018 he has been a supporter, bearer and spreader of CP ideas and became the dean of the faculty just for that “earning”.  It is noteworthy that he is known for his anti-church publications and continuous targeting of the Catholicos of All Armenians for years.

Levon Martirosyan’s sister’s son, Vardan Srtashyan, also has political ambitions, he is the tenant of the “Araks” hotel in Gyumri, and we are also interested in his activities in the recent past. we have touched on on time. In this family, the public expression of various political views is normal, because the calculation is made on the well-known thesis “so that the situation changes”.

Մեր թեթև հետաքննությունը պարզեց, որ ուսանողների «վերբովկան» տեղի է ունենում հետևյալ սխեմայով՝ ՇՊՀ հոգաբարձուների խորհրդի նախագահ Լևոն Բարսեղյանը, փաստորեն, իր քաղաքական հայացքները ԲՈՒՀ-ի ուսանողների շրջանում տարածելու համար օգտագործում է իր պաշտոնեական դիրքը, ռեկտոր Երվանդ Սերոբյանին նամակ է գրում, ով էլ այն մակագրում է Պատմության ֆակուլտետի համապատասխան պատասխանատուին: Ամեն դեպքում մեզ հավաստիացրեցին՝ ֆակուլտետի դեկան, ռուսաց լեզվի մասնագետ Աիդա Գարեգինյանը տեղյակ է, որ ուսանողներին նման հանդիպումների են տանում պարբերաբար:

By the way, according to our information, the same rector Yervand Serobyan, through one of the deans of SSU, failed the seminar-discussion to be held on the territory of the 102nd Russian military base regarding the next anniversary of the Turkmencha Treaty, the information about which later appeared in one of the telegram channels connected to the government and was presented as a successful case. In fact, Shirak State University has become a favorite propaganda ground of anti-Russian, so-called pro-Westernism and Turkish-Azerbaijani tandem.

Let’s remind that until 2022 USU had a chair of Russian language, which was closed due to the active efforts of the Syrians of the university. 168.am in detail referred to.

It is noteworthy that Aida Gareginyan, the head of the department combined with foreign languages, according to the students, has never tried to organize an event on Armenian-Russian cultural ties, even formally, which is an unspeakable thing in itself, but since she is also a member of the board of trustees of the State University of Ukraine, perhaps she does not want to anger or upset Levon Barseghyan, with whom she has warm relations.

Moreover, Arshavir Gasparyan, the head of the History and Jurisprudence Chair, personally takes various students of the History Department to these meetings. By the way, the latter’s brother, Henry Gasparyan, is the chief architect of Gyumri.

In fact, students provide “massovka”, create the impression of a crowd, trying to “recruit” with their hands. maybe it will work.

To the honor of the students of SSU, it should be said that they are not the ones who share and support those ideas, they just don’t reject the head of the department, far from trouble. Here a question arises: although the students are, of course, adults and capable of making their own decisions, it is interesting whether their parents are aware that their children participate in the discussions organized by Levon Barseghyan.

We were told that the professors of the Faculty of History do not take part in such meetings, especially those who can embarrass the so-called Soros propagandists.

According to our information, in the last months, if there are events at the State University, and they are related to Russian culture, they are boycotted, instead, similar events are encouraged.

For example, one of the students of USU told us that one of the employees of the Faculty organized an event dedicated to Russian culture, wanted to invite students and professors, but only 1-1.5 months ago they made sure that the event would not take place.

But, for example, it was organized with great solemnity in the same SSU EU expansion with questions commissioner Martha Kosi and: RA:–to whom EU ambassador Vasilis Maragosi  the meeting of the ASU sessions in the hall students and: employees with: By the way, posts about that meeting are on the Facebook page of USU and the same “Aparez” club.

   

Returning to the students’ meeting with Levon Barseghyan and various anti-Russians, we notice a remarkable circumstance. And what are the official responsibilities of Levon Barseghyan as the chairman of the board of trustees of USU to organize similar meetings with the participation of students?

In other words, it is an ideal situation in terms of management at the University, and Levon Barseghyan has no other occupation than to satisfy his geopolitical interests through students. And that it is an unmanageable complex in SSU, the numerous publications of 168.am are a vivid example of this.

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Vahe Davtyan writes: “The state debt per capita in Armenia has reached 4,700 US dollars, compared to 4,200 US dollars last year.

Debt is growing in an economy with an increasingly eroded industrial base and declining demographic dynamics (albeit with immigration touted. I’ll get to that separately).

The main problem is that the debt does not turn into an economic result.

There is no qualitative economic change. There is no increase in productivity. There is no development of value-added industries. You don’t have to go far – open the economic statistics of the last years.

And where does that money go?

Mainly, capital expenditures, the results of which are obvious. asphalt crumbling before our eyes every day, rapidly decaying infrastructures, showy and unviable projects.

This is simply a waste of funds with no return.

As a result, the debt becomes not a development resource, but a political tool to close the budget holes, fulfill the social function of the state, and show short-term “results”.

Yes, the debt-to-GDP ratio still does not cross the red line: 47.3%, under the conditions of the 50% target index.

But this is the surface. Deep down lies the real risk: the burden of debt is shifted onto businesses, households and future taxpayers without a corresponding economic return.

The longer this pattern continues, the more expensive the consequences will be.”

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The topic of US-Iran negotiations on stopping the war against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the immediate vicinity of the Republic of Armenia remains uncertain. Parallel to Trump’s statements that the USA and Iran are negotiating and there are results, the Western mass media began to write that the USA presented a 15-point proposal to Iran. However, the Iranian media, in turn, published the conditions for ending the conflict, while rejecting the settlement plan proposed by the United States.

Tehran demands a complete cessation of “aggression”, guarantees of non-resumption of war, payment of reparations and cessation of hostilities on all fronts, including resistance forces. International recognition of Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz is also among the conditions.

At the same time, according to “Al Mayadeen” data, Iran has informed Pakistan that it cannot accept the American 15-point program. The document provided for the dismantling of three key nuclear facilities, complete abandonment of uranium enrichment, halting of the missile program, limitation of support to proxy groups and opening of the Strait of Hormuz.

“Iran will end the war when it decides and when its conditions are met,” Press TV quoted a high-ranking source as saying. According to him, the USA conducts negotiations through various channels, but offers conditions that Tehran considers exaggerated and unrealistic.

US President Donald Trump also wrote in his latest post on Truth Social that the Iranian negotiators are very strange. “They are begging us to come to an agreement, which they should have done because they have been destroyed militarily, but they are publicly saying that they are only considering their proposal. Before it’s too late, they better get serious,” Trump wrote.

And while the parties present ultimatums to each other in the form of proposals, the war continues, the Hormuz Corridor is blocked, US allies in the Persian Gulf and Israel are targeted. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced today that Iran attacked US military bases in Bahrain, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia during the 82nd wave of retaliatory strikes.

Russian military analyst Alexander Khramchikhin said that Iran’s demands may seem superstitious, but they have a clear logic. In his opinion, Iran is not ready to accept the US ultimatums, the war did not stop Iran from such an imperative.

“Tehran considers the points proposed by the USA as “capitulation”. Without missiles and nuclear levers, Iran feels vulnerable. Iran seeks to maintain the axis of resistance in the region, the economic levers, because the demand for full control over the Strait of Hormuz is Iran’s “playing card” against the global energy market. This is a message that any large-scale war will paralyze the world economy.

The negotiation proposals of the American side are regarded with distrust in Iran and it is unlikely that they will be able to accept this proposal easily after so many developments, when Iran was also able to show resistance, suffering serious losses. Therefore, there will be no easy negotiations, acceptance of proposals, and the US leader, in turn, is trying to show that he is in control of the situation, that the US is negotiating, that everything is going according to its own scenario, but this is not the case.” 168.amthe analyst mentioned in a conversation with

Khramchikhin believes that the increase in tension between Iran and the West is directly projected on the South Caucasus.

“For Iran, the road passing through Armenia is becoming a vital corridor. The more Iran isolates itself or is oppressed by the West, the more sensitive it becomes regarding changes related to Armenia. Tehran is interested in not allowing its connection with Armenia to be cut. Iran’s tough stance also means greater vigilance towards Azerbaijan. Tehran is afraid that Israel can use the territory of Azerbaijan to attack Iran.

This leads to an increase in tension, which, of course, all parties avoid. If Iran gets involved in a big war, an imbalance of power may be created in the region. Turkey and Azerbaijan are getting stronger,” the analyst said, continuing that the created situation means an extremely narrow field of maneuver for Armenia.

“On the one hand, Iran is an important security factor, on the other hand, sanctions against Iran, military operations close one of the main economic arteries, which should be a significant factor in the case of Armenia’s two closed borders,” said Khramchikhin.

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