Khudatyan meets Iranian vice president in Tehran

Politics17:19, 25 July 2026

1 minute read

Armenian Minister of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure Davit Khudatyan met with Seyed Hamid Pourmohammadi, Vice President of the Islamic Republic of Iran, during his working visit to Tehran.

Khudatyan shared a video of the meeting on his Facebook page.

Khudatyan is on a working visit to Iran from July 24 to 27. During the visit, he has already held talks with Iranian Oil Minister Mohsen Paknejad.



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Armenpress: Pashinyan and Macron hold phone conversation

Politics23:58, 25 July 2026
Read the article in: FrançaisՀայերենRussian

Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan held a phone conversation with President of the French Republic Emmanuel Macron.

According to the Prime Minister’s Office, President Macron once again congratulated Prime Minister Pashinyan on his victory in the parliamentary elections and wished him success in his future work.

The two leaders discussed issues related to the Armenia-France strategic partnership agenda, reaffirming their mutual readiness to consistently develop bilateral relations and expand cooperation.

Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan thanked President Macron for France’s continued support for Armenia’s democratic reform agenda.

The Prime Minister also underscored the importance of deepening bilateral trade and economic cooperation and expanding Armenia’s export opportunities.

The sides also discussed the process of deepening the Armenia-European Union partnership, as well as regional and international issues.

The peace process between Armenia and Azerbaijan was also discussed. Both sides underscored the importance of establishing lasting and sustainable peace in the South Caucasus.

Read the article in: FrançaisՀայերենRussian

Published by Armenpress, original at 
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Verelq: The Armenian community of Iran stands by Gagik Tsarukyan

The Armenian community of Iran stands by Gagik Tsarukyan. Iveta Tonoyan, spokesperson for the leader of the “Prosperous Armenia” party, wrote about this.


“Representatives of the spiritual, cultural, media and public spheres of the Armenian community of Iran made statements of support and solidarity to Gagik Tsarukyan.

They emphasize that the situation created around two fraudulent businessmen who are citizens of Iran should not overshadow the centuries-old Armenian-Iranian friendship, mutual trust and the special relations formed between the two peoples.

“According to the representatives of the Armenian community of Iran, the actions of individuals cannot endanger the strong ties that have been formed between Armenia and Iran over the centuries, both at the political, economic, cultural and human levels,” he wrote.

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Armenia’s labour market trends: Social media replaces employment agencies as j

JAM News
July 24, 2026
  • Gayane Asryan
  • Yerevan

Armenia‘s unemployment rate fell only slightly in 2025, declining to 11.8% from 13.3% in 2024. At the same time, according to the country’s Statistical Committee, wages continued to rise, with the average monthly salary increasing by 5.6% over the same period to 303,140 drams ($828).

Compared with 2021, the average nominal monthly salary has increased by 48.6%, the number of employees has grown by 22.4%, and the unemployment rate has fallen by 2.7 percentage points.

Employment remains highest in the wholesale and retail trade sectors, as well as in education and manufacturing. By contrast, employment is lower in the arts and culture, scientific research, and real estate sectors.

An analysis of online job platforms shows that employers are currently seeking couriers, waiters, accountants, assistants, sales and marketing specialists, and fundraising professionals.

At the same time, job seekers are increasingly drawn to international, foreign, and joint ventures, attracted by both higher salaries and better working environments.


  • ‘Parent hour’ and flexible schedules: Armenia changes labour code
  • Work-life balance for women in Armenia: how to create family-friendly working conditions
  • Armenia to support employers who hire people in need
  • Yerevan youth leave city to work in village schools

“The labour market has become more coordinated”

Until 2016, Naira Piloyan ran an employment agency that helped many people find jobs and earned a reputation as a reliable partner for local organisations. Over the past decade, however, she says the labour market has changed. Employers now search for candidates through online platforms, using their own social media pages and job websites. As a result, she had to close her agency. She now works as a human resources specialist at a pharmaceutical company.

She says every medium-sized and large company in Armenia now employs HR specialists. They use online platforms and professional networks to find qualified candidates.

“I closely follow developments in the labour market. From my own experience, I can say that local professionals have become much better at presenting themselves during the hiring process. Employers have also become more selective when recruiting staff. The whole process is now far more streamlined and coordinated,” she says.

At the same time, she notes that personal connections and recommendations from friends or acquaintances still influence hiring decisions.

However, serious companies have realised that hiring unqualified staff creates a “time bomb” for their future development.

Instead, they rely on candidates’ experience, references from previous employers and personal interviews.

“Over the past few years, salaries at our company have increased by around 30% on average. Higher levels of professionalism among staff have largely driven that increase. Every employee takes professional development courses or retrains in a new field. As people gain knowledge and experience, they expect higher pay. If they don’t receive the salary they believe they deserve, they start looking for another job. That staff turnover has become a major challenge for large companies,” the HR specialist explains.

She says employers have also started investing more in their employees’ skills. Many companies now pay for foreign language courses, mainly English, as well as training abroad in manufacturing, technology and other fields.

She believes this growing coordination has improved the quality of Armenia’s labour market. When someone from another company applies for a job with her employer, she can now openly discuss the candidate’s abilities and professional qualities with HR managers at their previous workplace.

“In the past, asking someone for an opinion about a job applicant felt awkward. Now I simply send an email and receive a reply within a few days. The only real difficulty today is finding highly specialised professionals and technical staff. Problems usually arise when we urgently need to hire someone like a driver, security guard or cleaner. Candidates for these jobs tend to be very conservative. For example, if they need to stay just 10 minutes beyond the end of their shift, they often show little flexibility. Some may even leave work during the day without informing anyone.”

According to her, wages for these positions have risen by a larger percentage than salaries for many higher-skilled professions, including finance specialists and translators.

Working conditions are more attractive at foreign companies

Ilona Khachatryan is a logistics specialist. She now works for an American company and earns four times more than she did two years ago in the same role at a local firm. But salary is only part of the reason she left. She says unhealthy relations with management at her former company also played a major role. More broadly, she is critical of hiring practices and personnel management at many local organisations.

“At the company where I worked, it was extremely difficult to receive the bonuses that management itself had promised. To avoid paying them, they would even falsify hourly timesheets.

I applied for jobs at other local companies as well. I attended interviews and then waited for months without hearing back. Even if they decide not to hire you, shouldn’t they at least tell you? After all, you invest your time and effort preparing for those interviews. Foreign companies treat candidates much more fairly. They make transparent hiring decisions. If they decide not to hire someone, they explain in detail why they cannot move forward with the candidate.”

Ilona says her current employer hired her after the first interview. The company immediately explained the salary, holiday entitlement, employment rights and job responsibilities.

“Hearing the words ‘thank you for your work’ genuinely motivates me. It gives me energy and makes me work with greater enthusiasm and commitment. And when your employer also recognises your achievements, you realise just how undervalued professionals are in the local labour market.”

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World Bank: Armenia’s Economic Pulse

July 24, 2026

A Series of Country Economic Updates

Armenia’s Economic Pulse is the World Bank Group’s biannual country economic update for Armenia. Each edition tracks recent economic developments, examines the macroeconomic outlook, and explores the opportunities and risks influencing growth, jobs, and welfare. The series is designed to provide regular, concise analysis of socioeconomic developments, the economic outlook, and structural challenges requiring policy attention.

What’s inside:

  • The economy now: Key trends in growth, inflation, trade, investment, public finances, labor markets, and poverty.
  • The road ahead: Macroeconomic projections, outlook scenarios, and the domestic and external risks that could reshape them.
  • A special focus: A key theme in every edition on a critical development issue—from competitiveness and jobs to resilience, inclusion, and productivity.
  • Insights for action: Clear, evidence-based analysis of the policy choices that can help Armenia build a more dynamic, resilient, and inclusive economy.

Armenia has demonstrated remarkable resilience, but sustaining inclusive growth requires navigating evolving regional conditions, strengthening competitiveness, and unlocking private-sector potential. Armenia’s Economic Pulse brings these issues into focus—turning economic evidence into timely insight for action.

Follow the pulse. Understand the outlook. Contribute to Armenia’s economic future.

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SUMMER 2026 EDITION

The special focus chapter in this edition, “Armenia’s Poverty, Distributional Impacts and Fiscal Policy Constraints” examines poverty in Armenia, the role of fiscal policy in reducing it, and the factors limiting its effectiveness.

Download the report here.

The report finds that the challenge is increasingly not a lack of jobs, but the quality of jobs. While employment levels in Armenia still have room to improve, many Armenians currently at work, are engaged in low-productivity, low-paying, or informal activities that do not provide stable incomes or ensure pathways out of poverty. At the same time, social protection, and particularly pensions, plays an important role in reducing poverty today, highlighting the importance of ensuring its wide coverage and long-term sustainability as Armenia’s pension system continues to evolve.

Looking ahead, the report argues that accelerating poverty reduction will require a two-track approach: creating more productive, better-paid, and formal jobs through investments in skills and productivity, while strengthening the effectiveness and sustainability of social protection. Together, these measures can help ensure that economic growth translates into greater economic opportunities, higher living standards, and more resilient livelihoods across Armenia.

Key highlights

  • Poverty has declined, but many households are concentrated just above the poverty line and remain only one economic shock away from falling back into poverty.
  • The main challenge is job quality, not simply job creation. Many among poor are employed but work in low-productivity, low-paying, and informal jobs.
  • Agriculture employs about one in four workers but accounts for one in three employed poor people, highlighting the need to raise productivity and incomes in the sector.
  • Pensions are Armenia’s strongest fiscal instrument for reducing poverty, but their long-term effectiveness will depend on expanding formal employment and ensuring sufficient contributions.
  • The report recommends a two-track approach: strengthening social protection while creating more productive, better-paid, and formal jobs through investments in skills and productivity.

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See all past Editions of Armenia’s Economic Pulse here:

 

Fall 2025 

DOWNLOAD THE REPORT

English|Armenian

Delivering on the Government’s ambitions—outlined in the 2021–2026 Five-Year Action Plan and the 2025–2030 Export Strategy—requires a more competitive business environment. Wholesale and retail trade remains central: it contributed about 25% to GDP growth in 2017–2024, accounted for 12% of employment in 2018–2023, and has large consumer relevance, with food representing about 40% of the consumption basket. Yet concentration is high: in food retail, the probability that the four largest firms remain dominant over the next three years is 90% (vs. 60% in peers), indicating weak market dynamism and lagging labor productivity.

Strengthening competition—particularly in wholesale and retail—is therefore critical. Priority actions include: (1) expanding CCPC capacity and digital enforcement tools; (2) enforcing rules to curb unfair retailer–supplier practices and deploying digital-enabled systems to monitor wholesale markets; and (3) refining targeted aspects of the competition framework to support strategic, risk-based enforcement. These measures will improve contestability, support fair pricing, and strengthen equity for low-income households.

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Diversification does not work: the degree of discontent is growing in Armenia

Eurasia Daily
July 25, 2026
July 24th, 2026
22:00

The reaction in Armenia to the deterioration of economic relations with Russia is monitored by the telegram channel “Sector of Mountains”. The government is already introducing measures to support exporters, but there are signs of discontent among local producers.

“The first case is tomato producers. On July 20, farmers blocked the Yerevan —Yeraskh highway due to the fact that processing plants do not buy crops. One of the participants of the action reported that 60 tons of tomatoes remained in the field. The problem has systemic reasons: in the first half of 2025, Armenia exported 6.3 thousand tons of tomatoes, of which 99.9% went to Russia. After the introduction of Russian restrictions, the authorities announced the first shipments of vegetables sent to the EU and other countries, but specific destinations were not named. At the same time, only 200 tons of tomatoes were exported in June. The second case is fish farmers. On July 21, they went to the government building and announced problems with the sale of about 15 thousand tons of live fish and fish products. Some of the goods have already been returned from Russia. In 2025, Armenia exported fish for about $ 79.8 million, of which $78.4 million accounted for Russia. Formally, on July 16, the government approved the requirements for entering the EU market, but the fish farmers themselves claim that it is impossible to quickly replace the Russian market,”the report says.

These are the first signals that the policy of export diversification does not give a systemic result, the authors of the channel note.

“It’s too early to talk about its failure: the protests of manufacturers remain local and have not acquired a mass character. However, the lack of convincing results of a large-scale reorientation of exports can increase discontent. So far, mostly single deliveries and purchases within the framework of support measures are publicly visible, in which the diaspora plays a significant role. This helps individual producers, but does not replace a stable market with understandable volumes, prices, routes and payment terms,” said Sector Mountains.

More details: https://eadaily.com/en/news/2026/07/24/diversification-does-not-work-the-degree-of-discontent-is-growing-in-armenia

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Armenian police see rise in domestic violence reports: Data and analysis

JAM News
July 25 2026

In the first half of 2026, Armenia‘s police received 1,375 reports of domestic and family violence. That is 78 more cases than during the same period last year.

Police say that for many years incidents of domestic violence went unreported because families kept them hidden. Now, however, many victims are choosing to contact the police. Law enforcement officials attribute this to people’s growing confidence that “their voices will be heard and their safety and rights will be protected.”

Representatives of civil society have also noticed a change in people’s behaviour. Nare Hayrapetyan, head of the Kotayk regional NGO Women’s Empowerment Resource Centre, describes it as a “victory” that even people who previously categorically rejected the idea are now turning to law enforcement for help.

“Trust in both the state and the institutions responsible for providing protection has increased,” she says.


  • Armenia redefines concept of masculinity
  • Get tested for STIs,’ Armenian ruling party MP tells opposition politician
  • 16-day campaign against gender-based violence kicks off in Yerevan

Police register 1,155 perpetrators

In the first six months of 2026, Armenian police registered 1,155 people who committed violence against family members, up from 1,011 during the same period last year.

In response to the identified cases of domestic violence, police took the following measures:

  • 325 perpetrators received an official warning (compared with 304 last year);
  • 961 emergency intervention orders were issued (up from 833 last year).

In Armenia, mediation becomes mandatory before taking family disputes to court

This applies in particular to divorces, child visitation disputes, and alimony cases. The matter will be referred to court only if no agreement is reached through mediation.

Civil society’s role in preventing domestic violence

The Interior Ministry says cooperation between civil society organisations and the police is key to preventing domestic violence. To strengthen that cooperation, regular meetings are held in Yerevan and the regions to assess the effectiveness of joint efforts and identify existing challenges.

“Our cooperation with the police is at a very high level,” says Anahit Abgaryan, head of the NGO Talin-Huys.

According to her, many more people are now turning to the police, which she also sees as a result of growing trust in the system.

“In the past, we encouraged victims to go to the police. We explained that we could not guarantee their safety in the same way the police could. But they refused,” Abgaryan says.

Protecting victims is the priority

According to Georgy Khachatryan, head of the Police Department for Professional Methodological Support, police respond promptly to every report of domestic violence.

“For a police officer working in the community, protecting victims of violence is the priority,” he says.

He outlined the police’s main responsibilities:

  • identifying and preventing all forms of violence;
  • protecting every person subjected to violence;
  • taking the necessary measures to reduce the risk of repeat violence.

Khachatryan argues that the increase in domestic violence reports should not be viewed as a negative indicator.

“Domestic violence is, in fact, a hidden crime. Therefore, the increase in detected cases does not necessarily mean there are more incidents of violence. Rather, these crimes are now coming to the attention of law enforcement authorities,” he says.

To improve the speed of emergency responses, the SAFE YOU app has been operating since 2025 as part of a partnership between the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) and the Armenian police.

“When an alert is triggered, it ensures the simultaneous involvement of all relevant state agencies. This is crucial both for a rapid response and for organising protection measures,” Khachatryan said.

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Iran, Armenia agree to form joint energy task force

IRNA, Iran
July 25, 2026

Tehran, IRNA – Iran and Armenia have agreed to establish a specialized joint task force to expand cooperation in the energy sector, following high-level talks in Tehran on Saturday.

Iranian Oil Minister Mohsen Paknejad on Saturday described Armenia as “one of the very good neighbors” of the Islamic Republic, emphasizing that the two countries possess numerous capacities for collaboration, particularly in energy, which must be further developed.

“Armenia has helped Iran during difficult days, and we also seek to help this friendly country,” Paknejad told reporters after he met with Armenian Minister of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure Davit Khudatyan.

The discussions covered cooperation in energy, trade in petroleum products, export of technical and engineering services, and the construction of refineries.

Paknejad noted that they exchanged views on Armenia’s needs in the petroleum products sector.

Khudatyan confirmed the agreement to form a joint specialized task force, stating that the two ministers discussed existing cooperation capacities within their ministries’ purviews.

Agreements were reached regarding the formation of a joint specialized task force, and it was decided that within the framework of this task force’s activities, we will expand cooperation in all areas related to our ministries, he told journalists on the sidelines of the meeting.

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Iran, Armenia chart a new roadmap for energy cooperation

TEHRAN TIMES, Iran
July 25, 2026

Iran, Armenia chart a new roadmap for energy cooperation

  1. Economy
July 25, 2026 – 18:8

TEHRAN- Iran’s oil minister announced the agreement between Iran and Armenia to form a joint specialized working group in the energy sector and said: Tehran has proposed that, by defining a new model for gas trade, the grounds for developing energy cooperation with Yerevan and even exporting gas through Armenia to other markets be examined.

According to Shana, Mohsen Paknejad made the remarks on Saturday in a meeting with Davit Khudatyan, Armenia’s Minister of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure, stating that Yerevan has stood by Tehran during difficult days, adding: Iran is ready to assist the friendly country of Armenia within the framework of its capabilities and to develop cooperation.

Referring to the negotiations between the two sides, he said: In this meeting, the areas of cooperation in the energy sector, including trade, export of technical and engineering services, construction of a refinery, and meeting Armenia’s needs in the field of petroleum products, were reviewed.

The Oil Minister, referring to the friendly relations between Tehran and Yerevan, considered Armenia one of Iran’s important neighbors and emphasized: There are suitable capacities and grounds for developing bilateral cooperation, especially in the energy sector, between the two countries.

Paknejad announced the agreement to form a joint specialized working group and stated: It was proposed to the Minister of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure of Armenia that this working group start its activities as soon as possible so that the results and achievements of the follow-ups can be reviewed at the next meeting.

Referring to the current cooperation between the two countries in the energy sector, he stated: The current model of cooperation between Iran and Armenia is based on gas-for-electricity barter, but the clear proposal of Iran is to define a new commercial model for gas exports.

The Oil Minister emphasized: Implementing this proposal requires examining the existing infrastructure and the possibility of expanding gas trade, even beyond Armenia’s market and through its territory.

Paknejad, stating that this model has technical and commercial complexities, said: Examining the various dimensions of this plan requires forming a joint specialized working group and conducting expert studies to prepare the ground for its implementation.

Armenia’s Minister of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure announced the agreement between Tehran and Yerevan to form a joint specialized working group in the energy sector and said: The two countries are determined to expand bilateral cooperation across all relevant areas with the start of this working group’s activities.

After his meeting with Paknejad, Davit Khudatyan said: In this meeting, we reviewed the areas of cooperation between Iran and Armenia and reached an agreement on forming a joint specialized working group.

He added: It was decided that this working group would be formed and start its activities in the shortest possible time to expand the cooperation between Iran and Armenia in all areas related to the duties of the two ministries.

Armenia’s Minister of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure, referring to the current cooperation between the two countries in the energy sector, said: Armenia currently cooperates with Iran in the field of petroleum products and uses Iranian bitumen for road construction projects.

Khudatyan, stating that energy cooperation between the two countries is based on gas and electricity exchange, specified: Armenia receives and consumes gas in exchange for sending electricity to Iran and is interested in increasing the volume of these exchanges and bilateral cooperation more than ever.

Back in mid-June, a specialized meeting between the Head of Iran’s Road Maintenance and Transportation Organization and the Deputy Minister of Economy of the Republic of Armenia was held at the Ministry of Economy in Yerevan, focusing on facilitating trade and transit and reducing international transportation barriers between the two countries.

During this meeting, the Head of the organization, referring to Iran’s strategic position in the North-South and East-West international corridors, emphasized the need for the full activation of transit and logistics capacities on both sides.

Reza Akbari stated: The Islamic Republic of Iran, as one of the region’s main transit routes, has always welcomed the development of transportation cooperation with its neighbors, and Armenia, due to its special geographical location and cultural and historical ties, is considered a key partner on these routes.

The Deputy Minister of Economy of Armenia, while appreciating the active presence of the Iranian delegation and the accompaniment of the Ambassador of the Islamic Republic of Iran and diplomatic representatives, announced that his country is determined to remove road transportation barriers and reduce transit costs.

Emphasizing that Armenia is seeking mechanisms to make the movement of transport fleets between the two countries smoother and more economical, he added: Adjusting border tolls and coordinating customs procedures are among our main priorities.

The Deputy Minister of Economy of Armenia added: The presence of senior customs and transit officials from both sides in this meeting demonstrates a serious determination to implement the agreements.

In this meeting, five main axes were discussed and exchanged with an operational approach and the active participation of the Iranian and Armenian delegation members.

The two sides agreed on reducing border tolls, deciding to form a joint working group under the direct supervision of customs managers to review the cost structure of crossing shared borders and plan for their gradual reduction.

The expansion of truck and cargo fleet traffic was also placed on the agenda, and it was decided that, in addition to increasing the traffic quota, smart systems for reserving crossing times and controlling traffic at the borders should be launched to prevent the formation of long queues.

Activating transit and logistics capacities was another important axis of this meeting, based on which both sides emphasized the full utilization of logistics terminals on both sides of the border and the creation of joint centers with private sector cooperation.

Also, the development of border crossing infrastructure and access routes, including improving roads leading to common border crossings and examining the construction of a new bridge at the zero border point, was prioritized in the joint commission.

Reducing international transportation barriers was also raised as another axis, and in this regard, eliminating unnecessary bureaucratic formalities, standardizing transit permit documents, and coordinating the implementation of international transport conventions were welcomed by both sides.

The Director General of the Organizational Commercialization Office of the Road Maintenance Organization emphasized the need to facilitate trade procedures and coordinate with relevant bodies.

The Ambassador of the Islamic Republic of Iran to Armenia, while welcoming the positive atmosphere of the negotiations, emphasized full support for implementing these agreements within the framework of economic diplomacy.

At the end of this meeting, both sides emphasized their determination to become regional transit hubs and make maximum use of the communication corridors between Asia and Europe, and it was decided that the next meeting would be held as soon as possible to finalize the executive details of the agreements.

MA

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Israel’s move to recognise Armenian genocide stalls under regional pressure

RFI, France
July 25, 2026
International report

By:Dorian Jones

The Israeli parliament’s decision to postpone a vote on recognising the Armenian genocide by Ottoman Turkey is being seen as a triumph for regional diplomacy, as Azerbaijan in particular seeks to avert a further escalation in tensions between its close allies.

The Israeli government gave no official reason for postponing the vote to formally recognise the Armenian genocide by Ottoman Turkey during World War I, which would have ratified a motion approved by the cabinet last month. 

Ankara strongly denies the deaths of hundreds of thousands of Armenians constitute genocide.

While the motion’s architect, Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar, called recognition a “moral duty”, critics say the move took aim at Turkey amidst rising tensions.

Based in Tbilisi, Israeli defence and security expert Eugene Kogan claims Israel badly miscalculated. “Foreign Minister Sa’ar could have waited and not just dropped a bomb that led to different repercussions coming from different sides,” he said.

Armenia, which is seeking to normalise ties with Turkey, reacted coolly, with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan saying he saw no need to comment. Meanwhile, Israel’s close ally Azerbaijan reportedly lobbied Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to drop the motion.

“At the end of the day, it might be either dropped or dismissed, and it will not come again to the new parliament agenda,” predicted Kogan.

The Knesset dissolved on 17 July and won’t reconvene until after elections scheduled for 27 October.

Israel’s recognition of the Armenian genocide unsettles Turkey and Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan’s influence

The Israeli newspaper Haaretz reported that pressure from Azerbaijan tipped the scales, though officials deny it.

Azerbaijan supplies nearly 40 percent of Israel’s oil and is a major customer for Israeli arms. The two countries’ partnership involves frequent Israeli ministerial visits and strong military cooperation, especially crucial for Israel given Azerbaijan’s border with Iran.

Baku also maintains a deep alliance with Ankara, summed up in the phrase “one nation, two states”. As Israeli-Turkish tensions flare over the Gaza conflict and Ankara’s support for Hamas, Azerbaijan is walking a diplomatic tightrope.

Zaur Gasimov, a Caucasus expert at Istanbul’s Turkish-German University, believes Baku viewed the Israeli genocide motion as a direct threat to its difficult balancing act.

“I can imagine that there were negotiations and talks on various levels between political elites of both countries,” he said. “For Israel, Azerbaijan is still of paramount importance. I would even say it’s much more significant than it used to be with regard to the situation in and around Iran. So Baku was and is maybe the key intermediary between Israel and the Republic of Turkey.”

In what may be a calculated move to turn up the heat on Israel, Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev welcomed Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad Mustafa this month. It was the first visit by a Palestinian leader since 2011.

“They [Israel] perceive it with a great sense of caution,” claimed analyst Kogan. “They don’t know exactly what came out of this particular meeting between Aliyev and the Palestinian prime minister. And so there is a lot of guessing games right now taking place in both Tel Aviv and Jerusalem about the outcome.”

Such ambiguity over Baku’s intentions could strengthen its diplomatic hand, he suggested: “If Aliyev is involved in this Palestinian issue directly and no longer indirectly, it makes the situation very different for the Israelis.”

Turkey warns it could be Israel’s ‘next enemy’ as tensions escalate

Syrian precedent

Baku is already leveraging its strong relationships with both Israel and Turkey to cool tempers.

“We have organised meetings between Turkey and Israel in Baku, specifically at the very beginning of the change of the Assad regime in Syria, where both parties had their own legitimate concerns,” said Hikmet Hajiyev, chief foreign policy adviser to the Azerbaijani president.

Syria is viewed as a potential flashpoint, with Israel and Turkey having a military presence. One tangible outcome of Azeri-brokered talks was the establishment last year of a military hotline in Syria, providing a rare glimmer of hope as tensions continue to mount.

“It’s not unavoidable that Israel and Turkey will reach confrontation. I think we can stop this process,” argued Gallia Lindenstrauss, a specialist in Turkish foreign policy at Tel Aviv University’s Institute for National Security Studies.

“They have a hotline between the Israeli Air Force and the Turkish Air Force, making sure that we will not have a collision in the skies of Syria, because we know both air forces are operating there. And the hotline has managed to keep the situation quiet. If I’m trying to find some anchor of reassurance that Turkish-Israeli relations can be controlled, it’s Syria.”

As Israel approaches elections, a temporary lull in Turkish-Israeli tensions is anticipated. Still, since the main opposition shares the government’s concerns over Turkey, relations are set to remain fraught.

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