HOW RUSSIA INTENDS TO DIVIDE ARMENIA
Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
Published: 16:09:24 – 19/04/2012
New circumstances and intentions of Russia and other states in the
region are being revealed. Now there is no doubt that Russia builds
up its relationship with Armenia on the establishment of relations
with Azerbaijan and Turkey.
More and more distinct are Russia’s plans on the Karabakh issue,
which includes the following – complete withdrawal of the Armenian
forces from Karabakh, return of five, later all the seven regions
to Azerbaijan, return of the so-called Azeri refugees, deployment
of Russian peacekeepers in the conflict area, in fact in Karabakh,
and absolute disregard for the issue of status are put off for ten
and more years.
This is clearly another division of Armenia between the partners. In
the 20s and 40s Russia tried to attract Turkey to its side, enjoying
the anti-imperialist moods in Anatolia but always got a poke on the
nose instead of better access to the Black Sea channels.
So will be now but not immediately, of course, though there is always
enough time for experiments to destroy Armenia again. Interestingly,
as at other times, the excited Armenians will expect Russia to handle
their destiny. During the visit of Dmitri Medvedev to Yerevan tens
of thousands of Armenians, holding posters and Russian flags, went
on the so-called square of Russia and expressed their loyalty to the
Russian president who wants to suffocate their homeland, reduce it
to the level of mockery of the world.
Russia was waiting and planning the use of the Karabakh resource in
its policy. According to more advanced Russian political scientists
integrated with the government agencies, Russia received nothing
from the cooperation with Armenia, and further cooperation in such
a bilateral mode is meaningless. It is openly told to their Armenian
colleagues whom they have known for many years.
The leading specialists of the Russian Institute of Strategic Studies,
the Institute of CIS, experts immediately advising the Russian
president administration keep to this opinion in one form or another.
As to Medvedev, he is considered as a leader of the Azerbaijani lobby
in Russia. The Russian president’s relations and interests are close
enough to insist on this.
In Russia, too many high-ranking officials are identified as
Azerbaijani lobbyists, and later on as people who hold one government
post or another. There are too many “oilmen” and “gasmen” in the
Russian government. Here are the political views.
Along with strategic and tactical interests of Russia which involve
the plans on the Karabakh issue, purely commercial interests indeed
have an important role, of large-scale character, of course. Russia
is an important supplier of weapon to Azerbaijan, and the Americans
and Turks are not indifferent to it. This is a complicated game, and
beyond Russia’s power which though tries to establish new relationships
in the world remains isolated and blocked by states.
In the region a lot seems confused and uncertain, new scenarios might
be expected which one cannot even doubt about. For the time being,
though, certain circles in Moscow are making efforts for cardinal
review of allies and partners of Russia in different regions, and
Armenia may not notice the crucial moment in this politics after
which the situation will be irreversible.
In any case, the ethnic lobbies as such are too insignificant to doubt
they have a serious role. It is only partly known who is involved in
the fulfillment of these interests. Currently a number of American
and British journalists in Moscow are intensively developing this
scenario. One day it will float, one day.
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