3 Out Of 5 Armavia’s Planes Manufactured By Airbus Firm

3 OUT OF 5 ARMAVIA’S PLANES MANUFACTURED BY AIRBUS FIRM

Noyan Tapan
May 05 2006

YEREVAN, MAY 5, NOYAN TAPAN. The Armanian airline Armavia’s A-320
plane that crashed on May 3 was munifactured by Airbus firm in 1995
and was acquired on leasing by Armavia in 2004. To recap, recently
the airline management stated that 90% of its flights are operated by
planes manufactured by Airbus. 3 out of 5 planes of Armavia, including
one A-320 and two A-319, have been manufactured by the Airbus firm. The
134-seat A-319 made in 2004 was leased by the airline only a month
ago. Besides, Armavia has a 350-seat IL-86 and a 120-seat YAK-42. In
2005, Armavia transported 500,100 passengers, 257,100 of whom – from
Armenia to other countries, and 243 thousand passengers – to Armenia.

The first construction works of”Catholicos Karekin II Work Project:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Contact:
Zaruhi Tonapetyan
Resource Development Manager for
Habitat for Humanity Armenia
+ (374-10) 556-1146
[email protected]

On May 3, 2006, in the context of “Catholicos Karekin II Work
Project: An Armenian Building on Faith” project in the Gegharkunik
region Gavar city took place the opening ceremony of building.

” The partnership with HFH Armenia and also being the first to
implement such a great project is much responsible for us, – said
Gurgen Martirosyan, the mayor of Gavar city,- We will do our best in
the mission of eliminating poverty housing in our community”.

The construction of this building was stopped in 1993 because of the
huge grade the country was exposed. Now the city administration gave
the building to the families selected by HFH Armenia to be homeowner.
Twenty four families in housing need in Gavar came together to build
their house, the house of unity, the house symbolizing the great
kindness of human being.

The beginning of building in Gavar city opened with blessing of Very
Rev. father Markos Hovhannesyan Vicar of the Gegharkunik dioceses.
“Let your hearts be filled with love to energize you during the whole
building process, and let this love pass to every generations, that
will live in this building”- said Very Rev. Father during the
blessing.

The first construction works of “Catholicos Karekin II Work Project:
An Armenian Building on Faith Project” were launched.

The annual home-building event will take place in Sept. 5-9, 2006.
Thirty-seven homes will be built with families in need – symbolizing
36 worldwide Dioceses, plus the Holy See, representing the Catholicos
of all Armenians – near the Armenian capital city, Yerevan. Armenian
churches are encouraged to galvanize teams to fundraise and to join
the build.

About Habitat for Humanity International
Habitat for Humanity International, based in Americus, Ga., is an
ecumenical Christian ministry that welcomes to its work all people
dedicated to the cause of eliminating poverty housing. Since 1976,
Habitat has built more than 200,000 houses in nearly 100 countries,
providing simple, decent and affordable shelter for more than one
million people. For more information, visit

For more information about the “Catholicos Karekin II Work Project”,
visit:

Or write:
[email protected]

www.habitat.org.
www.habitateurope.org

We Shall Have New Symbols

WE SHALL HAVE NEW SYMBOLS

A1+
[05:27 pm] 04 May, 2006

The Government passed the draft projects on “the RA Flag” and “RA
State Emblem” which will be presented to the NA. The corresponding
Ministries are to make interpretations on this score and involve them
in the bills.

The RA Government decided to hold a contest for the selection of
the RA hymn and the music. 2 million AMD will be allocated to the
RA Ministry of Culture and Youth in order to hold the contest, to
provide the necessary information and to grant the author of the
words and music. Each of them will be awarded with 700 thousand AMD.

Book: A Syrian Journey

BOOK: A SYRIAN JOURNEY

The source of the speech is:
Alarab online, UK
May 4 2006

“A Syrian journey” is new book about Syria co-authored by the diplomat
Dnayneshwar Mulay and his wife, the economic expert Sadhna Shanker. The
book is launched in attendance of HE Dr. Saad Allah Agha Qalla,
Minister of Tourism, and HE Ambassador of India in Damascus.

The book falls into six chapters, to include the experience of Mr. and
Mrs. Mulay in traveling and visiting the touristic, archaeological,
cultural and economic sites and their interaction with several
communities of the Syrian society all over Syria.

Mr. Ayman Abdel Nour delivered a speech in the occasion of launching
the book. Bellow is the transcript of his speech:

HE Dr. Saad Allah Agha Qalla, Minister of Tourism, HE Ambassador of
India, Ladies and Gentlemen,

I’m standing here today to talk about (Ahlan Wa Sahlan …A Syrian
journey) a book co-authored by the diplomat Dnayneshwar Mulay and his
wife,the economic expert Sadhna Shanker,. I’m standing here today to
talk about a book, whose co-authors’ main objective was not to come
up with a book for promoting Syria, attracting FDI’s into the country,
or a book to be used as a tourist guide.

However, the authors’ job was not to bring out such kind of books.

Moreover, they were not basically required to bring out such books.

But the feelings and sentiments implied in the book, the tales and
stories contained therein on Syria, the humanitarian attitudes
it mentions on the Syrians and the pictures it displays on the
archaeological sites, throw into the heart of the reader a message that
is much more important than all objectives that I previously mentioned.

The book, like any other book, reflects the experience, maturity,
wisdom and style of its authors. A senior career diplomat, who has
published several books of prose and poetry in several languages,
and also an experienced photographer, who has held several solo
exhibitions of his photographs; and also his wife, an economic expert
and a senior officer of the Indian Ministry of Finance, both, Mr. and
Mrs. Mulay, make a harmonious couple with multidimensional experience
in several domains.

Their experience is coated with a subtle human sense, nobility of
character, tolerance, good manners and renunciation of the worldly
pleasures. Thus, what else could we expect from such a couple,
other than a creation that is soaring high in the realm of art and
literature.

The book, which falls in six chapters, depicts the practice and
experience of Mr. and Mrs. Mulay in traveling and visiting the tourist,
archaeological, cultural and economic sites and their interaction
with several communities of the Syrian society all over Syria. Their
expert-eyes have captured images and incidents that we view as ordinary
or natural. But they are not, in the perspective of such a couple,
who have come from another country.

The book starts with describing the mixed feelings of apprehension
and excitement when Syria was identified as Mr. Mulay’s next
destination. They had barely known about Syria when they landed
there. ‘Syria? Is it Sierra Leone or Siberia? Some have warned that
it might be the next target after Iraq. In their news-hungry BBC,
CNN dominated lives, Syria may not make news. And when it does, it is
mostly in the context of US sanctions and Arab-Israeli conflict. When
they had typed ‘Syria’ in the search columns, ‘a desert country’,
stretches of sand’ popped up on the net invariably. When they arrived
in Damascus, they were still under the impression that they were
coming to ‘the Great Syrian Desert’.

The authors conclude by saying that the years they have spent and
lived in Syria, and contrary to all stereotyped images, have unveiled
an enchanting mosaic for a magical landscape, ancient civilization,
stupendous ruins, soothing forests, imposing citadels, mystical
churches, biblical roads and warm hospitable and friendly people.

Ultimately, they come to the conclusion that Syria is a well-kept
secret treasure in the chaotic abyss of our contemporary commercial
world. It allows you to slow down from the pace of New York and
London and grows upon you silently the way civilizations have grown
upon each other from at least the last 5000 years here in Syria.

Syria is unbelievably safe and a tranquil peaceful place to live in,
with the snow, rains, heat, desert, magnificent rivers and seashores,
which offers a mind-boggling diversity.

The authors request anyone who is willing to see Syria and give
his judgment of it, to cross the barriers of his own prejudice and
be prepared to savor in Syria the way Ibn Jubair, the 12th century
Andalusian traveler, savored Damascus: “If paradise be on earth,
it is, without a doubt, Damascus.”

The first chapter sheds the light on simple-assistance incidents the
two authors have received from ordinary people in the street, which
generates in them a deep impression on the nobility and genuineness
of these people. They mention that the ‘smile’ and ‘Ahlan wa Sahlan’
mark spirit of the Syrian people, their history and their daily life.

The second chapter (Land and Its History) demonstrates the diversity
and tradition of Syria, starting with the coastal line through the
eastern desert. They also come to the mention of all civilizations
and peoples that had dwelled this part of the world, its history and
major incidents.

The third chapter talks about the Syrian cities and the competition
between Damascus and Aleppo, be it history-wise or economy-wise. The
authors talk of the capital, its smooth roads and close-to-earth
buildings (fewer tall buildings), and how it, from Qasyoon, lights up
like a crown in the evenings. All the mosque spires sparkle in green.

The buildings and illuminated signboards impart special flavor on
Damascus, which appears like a kaleidoscope, anyway you turn it you
have a different view or vision to offer.

Talking of Aleppo, they describe it as ‘a city that carries on-
it stands there as a proof and promise that life is all about
regeneration’. Talking about Quneitra, he describes how marriages
get solemnized in this remote part of the world, in the so-called
‘Shouting Valley’ on both sides of the Syrian borderline, which is
occupied by Israel. He says that the family whose child has gone
over, look on return as if they had attended a funeral, rather than a
wedding. Then they shift to Homs, which he calls, ‘the city of smiles’,
which gives rise to a host of Syrian jokes that bring a smile to many
faces. Moving to Der ez-Zor, he points out how the city was also home
to many of the Armenians fleeing the genocide of 1915 and how they
were welcomed with open arms.

In the fourth chapter, the authors talk about society and culture and
shed the light on the ethnic, sectarian and religious diversity, which
marks unity of the Syrian society, which is known for its tolerance,
respect of difference and pride in their own cultural heritage, which
substantiates the view that Syria is ‘the cradle of civilization.’ In
their description of the Syrian cuisine, they indicate that what we
know as ‘Kebab Hindi’ is known as ‘Kebab Shami’ in India.

The last chapter touches upon the Indo-Syrian relations and reviews
history of the Silk Road through Mahatma Gandhi, who had advocated
of rights of the Palestinian people. It also talks about the close
relation between Indira Gandhi and late President Hafez al-Assad
and that there are about 200 students from India studying theology
in Sayeeda Zenab, a Shiite Islamic shrine devoted to the great
granddaughter of Prophet Mohammad in Damascus. It also mentions that
3.5 million of followers of the Syrian Christian church live peacefully
in India.

I conclude by saying that the book, in its diversity, constitutes a
major contribution to the Syrian library and a book that is worthy to
be read. Also, it might be worthily recommended to use parts of the
book in the teaching syllabuses of the intermediate schools in Syria.

www.all4syria.org

Antelias: Catholicos Aram I receives the Armenian Genocidecommemorat

Press Release
Catholicosate of Cilicia
Communication and Information Department
Contact: V.Rev.Fr.Krikor Chiftjian, Communications Officer
Tel: (04) 410001, 410003
Fax: (04) 419724
E-mail: [email protected]
Web:

PO Box 70 317
Antelias-Lebanon

Armenian version:

HIS HOLINESS RECEIVES THE COMMITTEE FOR THE
COMMEMORATION OF THE ARMENIAN GENOCIDE

His Holiness Aram I received the Central Committee for the
Commemoration of the Armenian Genocide in Lebanon in his office in
Antelias on May 2.

The committee was formed on the occasion of the 90th anniversary of
the Armenian Genocide. It includes members from the three Armenian
religious sects, three parties and three charity unions. The committee
met His Holiness to thank him for his pontifical support and to listen
to his advice.

The Pontiff highly praised the committee for its unity in functioning
and commended the great public march it organized on the occasion of
the Armenian Genocide’s 91st anniversary.

“The Armenians of Lebanon established and valued themselves with the
highest will and self realization. They showed that the statements
delivered here and there both in internal and external circles about
the Armenians of Lebanon not representing the same situation today
as in the past, about the Armenians of Lebanon not being united,
etc, are not true. In fact, when more than fifty thousand Armenians
walked united on the highway from Antelias to Bourdj Hammoud, they
testified and others witnessed that the Armenians of Lebanon are
strong, organized and united now more than ever,” His Holiness said.

Speaking about the initiatives dedicated to the Armenian Genocide
in general, the Armenian Catholicos said: “I watched with pride as
the children of our nation, young or old, leaders or regular people,
intellectual or worker climbed to Dzidzernagapert as one nation to
express their respect and loyalty to our victims. I watched with pride
as the Armenians of Lebanon demanded their nation’s rights. I watched
with pride as the children of the same Armenian nation all around the
globe renewed their oath to remain loyal to the legacy of our nation’s
martyrs, practically pursuing the violated rights of their nation,”

On the Armenian efforts to pursue the nation’s rights, the
Catholicos advised that these works should be better organized and
systematic. “They should be organized and pursued with a collective
approach. Such initiatives that suit the circumstances of the current
world should be brought under the spotlight.”

His Holiness Aram I explained that these works should have three
directions: “the first, our nation: Collective memory should be
kept alive in the life of our nation and particularly our youth. The
families, churches, schools and clubs have an important role in this
respect. Second, the international community: We should always revert
to media technology to remind people that the Armenian cause remains
unsolved and to point out that the international community should take
appropriate action in this regard. Third, Turkey: It is also important
to always remind Turkey, with the effective methods of a civilized
world, that it can’t deny the truth. Turkey should acknowledge the
Genocide planned and executed by the Ottoman Turkish Empire.”

##

The Armenian Catholicosate of Cilicia is one of the two Catholicosates
of the Armenian Orthodox Church. For detailed information about the
history and mission of the Cilician Catholicosate, you may refer
to the web page of the Catholicosate, The
Cilician Catholicosate, the administrative center of the church is
located in Antelias, Lebanon.

http://www.cathcil.org/
http://www.cathcil.org/v04/doc/Armenian.htm
http://www.cathcil.org/

Armenia Should Support Iran’s Sustainable Policy In Region

ARMENIA SHOULD SUPPORT IRAN’S SUSTAINABLE POLICY IN REGION

PanARMENIAN.Net
01.05.2006 22:07 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ “Iran is our neighbor state and our peoples are
bound by age-old friendship. One should not forget that during the
hard years Iran was the state that helped us,” Armenian Prime Minister
Andranik Margaryan stated in an interview published on the website
of the Republican Party headed by him.”

This was the only road that connected us with the world and rendered
us the possibility to import food and fuel,” he said. In his words,
Iran pursues a sustainable policy in the region and Armenia should
support it.

At the same time the RPA leader remarked that the United States
and Iran always experienced complicated relations. “After Armenia
became independent these relations did not become friendly. There
were periods of alleviation and tension. Presently relations are
rather tensed but I do not think it will come to war.

Settlement of the U.S.-Iran relations is the task of these two states,”
the Armenian Prime Minister stated.

BAKU: U.S. News: “A Big Ally In A Tiny Country”

U.S. NEWS: “A BIG ALLY IN A TINY COUNTRY”
By Bay Fang

Today, Azerbaijan
May 1 2006

President’s Aliyev interview to U.S. News & World Report edition.

The President of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, had a lot to discuss with
President Bush last week. Not only does the small Muslim nation occupy
a strategic location between Russia and Iran at a time when tension
between the United States and Iran is high, but it is also on the verge
of a huge oil boom. This summer, a 1,000-mile pipeline originating in
Azerbaijan will begin pumping oil across three countries to a Turkish
port on the Mediterranean Sea. Aliyev spoke to U.S. News about these
developments and about how he hopes Washington will help resolve the
country’s decade-long conflict with Armenia.

How will the completion of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline affect
world oil and gas markets?

This pipeline means we will be able to produce more oil and deliver
it to world markets. When we started building it five or six years
ago, oil prices were not as high as they are today. Now, it becomes
more and more important for the world’s energy security. It is a new
route that will deliver oil from the Caspian to the Mediterranean,
which has never existed before.

Is it possible to quantify the effect on the markets?

The pipeline will transport at least 1 million barrels of oil a day
in 2008. In the future, the pipeline’s capacity can be expanded;
it will depend on the level of production. It has huge potential.

How do you avoid what some people call the “oil curse”?

We are very determined to use oil wealth to develop a strong economy,
and not to depend on oil and oil prices in the future. To achieve that,
we need to have a high degree of transparency in accumulating and
spending oil wealth. Azerbaijan is a leading country in the Extractive
Industries Transparency Initiative, which has a main goal of having
transparent accounting.

How does Azerbaijan see itself developing as a secular democracy? As
a secular state with a predominantly Shiite population, can it be a
model for Iran?

What we do and what we plan is not aimed at being used as an example.

It is just for the sake of the people of Azerbaijan, for the
development of our country. We are secular not only by constitution
but by our lifestyle. It is a very good example of how representatives
of various nations and allegiances can live together in peace and
autonomy. We have a predominantly Muslim population, but at the same
time we have substantial Christian and Jewish communities.

What other democratic reforms are coming up?

Azerbaijan over the last five years has adjusted most of its
legislation to the standards of European countries. All of the
basic political freedoms are available; political institutions are
becoming stronger. At the same time, they should be accompanied by
strong economic reform. When people are poor, they think not about
democratic development but about day-to-day needs. Last year we had
a GDP growth of 26 percent, the highest in the world.

Was the GDP growth mostly in the oil sector?

It was 12 percent in the non-oil sector, 14 percent in the oil
sector. We are trying now to diversify the economy. Oil will come to
an end sooner or later, so the country’s long-term development should
not depend on oil.

You have said that the United States’ standoff with Iran should be
resolved diplomatically. But if the United States decides to react
militarily to Iran, what will Azerbaijan’s reaction be?

We still hope that it will be resolved in a diplomatic way. The other
option may lead to catastrophe in the region and may damage all the
positive trends and prospects for cooperation and development.

Azerbaijan, for more than a decade, has had part of its territory under
Armenian occupation. And all of the advice in the West is to resolve
it peacefully, despite the fact that 10 years of negotiations led
to no results. Therefore, we also think that in this case a peaceful
solution, patience, diplomatic efforts should be tried until the very
possible end.

Do you have high hopes for the resolution of the Nagorno Karabakh
conflict?

On the one hand, we’ve been in a cease-fire regime for 12 years.

Despite various periods of negotiation, no result. That does not add
optimism. But on the other hand, the latest activity of mediators,
including the U.S. and Russia, creates hopes. But to resolve it,
both sides need to stick to international law and principles:
Occupied territories of Azerbaijan should be returned without any
preconditions. And the millions of Azerbaijanis who suffered from
the policy of ethnic cleansing by the Armenian government have the
right to return to their homeland.

How will Azerbaijan’s role in the war on terrorism change because of
the U.S. loss of the K2 air base in Uzbekistan last year?

We joined the antiterror operation as soon as the United States
invited allies to join. We are still committed to the partnership. We
have our soldiers serving alongside U.S. soldiers in Kosovo, Iraq,
and Afghanistan. This policy has not changed at all. The role of
Azerbaijan as the United States’ ally in the region is significant,
and the significance of this role may change due to circumstances
that develop, but our policy is not changed based on it.

URL:

http://www.today.az/news/politics/25652.html

Defense of Doctoral Theses in the Mother See of Holy Etchmiadzin

AZG Armenian Daily #078, 29/04/2006

Armenian Church

DEFENSE OF DOCTORAL THESES IN THE MOTHER SEE OF HOLY ETCHMIADZIN

Four New Vardapets in the Armenian Church

On April 21, three members of the Brotherhood of Holy Etchmiadzin and
one member of the Brotherhood of the Armenian Patriarchate of
Constantinople defended their doctoral theses before the doctoral
examination committee in the Mother See.

Rev. Fr. Abgar Hovakimian, Vicar of the Diocese of Syunik, defended
his doctoral thesis entitled “St. Dionysius the Areopagite in
Armenian Bibliography”.

Rev. Fr. Mkrtich Proshian, Dean of the Vaskenian Seminary of Lake
Sevan, defended his doctoral thesis entitled “An Analysis of Feminist
Sotierology”.

Rev. Fr. Hovakim Manukian, Office Director of the Department of
Inter-Church Relations, defended his doctoral thesis entitled
“Ecumenism in the Twentieth Century and the Armenian Church”.

Rev. Fr. Sahak Mashalian from the Armenian Patriarchate of
Constantinople defended his doctoral thesis entitled “Faith and
Miracle”.

The examination committee was comprised of His Grace Bishop Yeznik
Petrosian (Chairman); His Grace Bishop Mikayel Ajapahian, Primate of
the Diocese of Shirak; and His Grace Bishop Arshak Khatchatrian,
Chancellor of the Mother See.

Following each candidate’s presentation and question and answer
period, the committee determined that all four presentations were
acceptable and deemed the priests worthy to be granted the rank of
“Vardapet” (Archimandrite).

On Saturday, April 23, in the Church of St. Mesrop Mashtots in
Oshakan, His Grace Bishop Yeznik Petrosian, bestowed the rank of
Vardapet on the three members of the Brotherhood of Holy
Etchmiadzin. The priests recommitted themselves to the service of the
Armenian people and Holy Church by taking an oath near the tomb of the
“Great Teacher” St. Mesrop, whereupon they received their doctoral
staffs.

Rev. Fr. Mashalian will be granted his doctoral staff in the month of
June.

Foreign Weapons, Iranian Threats: Caspian Basin in Iran’s Gunsights

FOREIGN WEAPONS, IRANIAN THREATS: THE CASPIAN BASIN IN IRAN’S GUNSIGHTS

CENTRAL ASIA – CAUCASUS ANALYST
Wednesday / April 19, 2006

By Stephen Blank

As the tension surrounding Iran grows, the possibility of military
action in and around its territory also grows commensurately. While
most attention focuses on conflict scenarios in Iran, the Gulf, or the
Straits of Hormuz because of their strategic significance; a fuller
assessment cannot and should not neglect the Caspian dimension of this
crisis. This is because Iran’s present capabilities and the possible
development of a nuclear weapon are ultimately fungible. Although
today America and Israel are its main enemies and the likely target of
Iranian scenarios, the Iranian strategic calculus, like every other
government’s, is not immutable for all time. Therefore these
capabilities could ultimately be targeted on Central Asian, Caucasian
states, Arab states in and around the Persian Gulf, Russia, or
Turkey. Turkey is already revising its force structures to deal with
the possible consequences of Iranian nuclearization.

BACKGROUND: Although its policies in the Caspian basin have generally
been circumspect, Iran is not necessarily a status quo power in this
region. It attacked Azerbaijani oil platforms in 2001 and subsequently
threatened Kazakh explorations in the Caspian in disputes over who
owns that sea’s waters. Since then, in 2002 the U.S. Central Command
(USCENTCOM) uncovered intelligence showing that elements of Iran’s
clerical army, the Pasdaran, were secretly providing training and
logistic support to the al-Qaeda affiliated Islamic Movement of
Uzbekistan. Iran is also tied to support for radical religious and
separatist movements in Azerbaijan, and in 2005 the London Sunday
Telegraph reported that Pasdaran had begun secretly training Chechen
rebels in sophisticated terror techniques to enable them to carry out
more effective attacks against Russian forces. These examples
illustrate the multifarious nature of the geopolitical threats to
security in this region and Iran’s capability to seriously expand
them. And since the ability of all states and energy producers to
survive and/or produce that energy is tied to the presence or absence
of such shocks, the geostrategic situation here is crucial beyond
Central Asia’s borders.

Iran’s threats include the use of conventional or potentially nuclear
weapons to threaten local governments and to provide what might be
called extended deterrence for insurgent groups among them whom it
already has cultivated and supported. Although Iran’s conventional
arsenal pales relative to those of Moscow and Washington; a nuclear
capability greatly augments its deterrence capability and potentially
frees it as it did Pakistan to conduct guerrilla campaigns against
hostile governments in its neighborhood. In its most recent exercises
conducted in the Straits of Hormuz, named `Holy Prophet’, in the first
week of April 2006, Iran attempted to send Washington a message of its
capability made up of what has also become habitual Iranian boasting
about its new conventional capabilities. While virtually every foreign
analyst dismissed the announcement of new weapons as nothing new or as
being mainly for domestic and local consumption, the fact remains that
even if these weapons are not as potent as Iran claims they are,
possession of them enhances its capabilities in the Caspian Sea as
well as in the Straits of Hormuz. In those exercises Iran claimed to
have tested a new radar-invisible, stealth multiple-head ballistic
missile, Fajr-3 with a range of 1200 Kilometers, the Kowsar land to
sea anti-ship missile. It also claims to have tested the world’s
fastest torpedo, a rocket-propelled torpedo called the Hoot (whale),
from which no ship can escape, evidently based on the Russian Shkval,
and a `super-modern flying boat’, possibly a derivation from a Russian
wing in ground platform (WIG), as well as jets and helicopters.
Although Iran claims to have made all these new missiles itself, again
foreign analysts believe that they largely derive from Russian,
Chinese, or North Korean models or from assistance provided through
the acquisition of Western technology, not domestic ingenuity.

IMPLICATIONS: The address of the recent Iranian saber-rattling is
clear: General Yahya Rahim Safavi, head of the elite Revolutionary
Guards, said on April 5 that the U.S. must recognize Iran as a big
regional power. Since Iran’s capabilities to attack shipping and
energy platforms in the Caspian, threaten neighboring governments with
missiles, and defend against their air attacks are real enough, if
they were buttressed by nuclear weapons Iran’s ability to incite
mischief in the area would grow enormously. Azerbaijan in particular
is already increasingly uneasy about what might happen if the United
States and Iran come to blows. In advance of President Ilham Aliyev’s
U.S. visit in late April, the Azerbaijani media candidly referred to
perceptions of intense U.S. pressure to join an anti-Iranian alliance
despite statements by Deputy Foreign Minister Araz Azimov that
Azerbaijan would not join a coalition against any particular
power. Nonetheless, Azimov did indicate Baku’s concern about Iranian
activities in the disputed sector of the Caspian Sea. He also made
clear that Iran’s nuclear program as well as the Armenian nuclear
power reactor evoke serious apprehensions in Azerbaijan.

At the same time, the Azerbaijani press reports charged that if
Azerbaijan did ally itself with Washington and allow U.S. forces
overflight and even limited basing rights there, Iran would probably
hit it with multiple acts of sabotage and insurgency form within. Iran
could also invade its air space and strike it with its missiles,
including its oil industry. Azerbaijan’s Minister of National
Security, Eldar Makhmudov, also charged that Al-Qaeda was seeking to
recruit local girls to be Shakhids, (martyrs) and carry out suicide
terrorist operations. It is hardly inconceivable that Iran could also
recruit terrorists from within Azerbaijan for such purposes based on
existing or future cells that it develops within the country.

CONCLUSIONS: Even a cursory assessment of Iran’s present capabilities
makes clear that it does have the means to make a great deal of
trouble for many South Caucasian and Central Asian governments and
even for Russia, especially in the North Caucasus. The pressure
generated by Iran’s nuclearization and America’s determination to
prevent it are also narrowing the space for maneuver available to
local governments. But if Iran were to successfully become a nuclear
power, their space for maneuver would narrow even further. It is quite
clear that a nuclear capability, added to Iran’s regionally potent and
growing conventional capability, and its highly developed terrorist
connections constitutes a considerable threat capability directed
against all of its neighbors, and not just in the Gulf. This
development also bears out the old axiom and paradox that nuclear
capability and deterrence actually in some sense heighten the
possibility for conventional wars at smaller scales of the spectrum of
conflict. Iran’s growing capabilities and unmitigated belligerence
highlights the folly of the Russian and Chinese policies of supplying
it lavishly with weapons and technology. As Russian analysts are now
coming to realize more than ever before, the capabilities transferred
to Iran could be used to threaten Moscow’s vital interests and
possibly even Beijing’s as well. Whatever the consequences of Iran’s
nuclearization or of the campaign to stop it might be in the Middle
East and Persian Gulf, they will be no less important insofar as the
Caspian littoral and Greater Central Asia are concerned.

AUTHOR’S BIO: Professor Stephen Blank, Strategic Studies Institute,
U.S. Army War College, Carlisle Barracks, PA. The views expressed here
do not represent those of the U.S. Army, Defense Dept. or the
U.S. Government.

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TBILISI: Abolition Of Road Tax Aimed At Promoting Business Ties With

ABOLITION OF ROAD TAX AIMED AT PROMOTING BUSINESS TIES WITH ARMENIA
By Christina Tashkevich

The Messenger, Georgia
April 26 2006

Georgian and Armenian ministers agree that their countries economic
potential remains unrealized.

Armenian-bound vehicles will soon no longer be required to pay an
entry tax at the border.

All types of transport entering Armenia from Georgia will no longer
have to pay a tax, the countries agreed.

Previously, owners of public and cargo vehicles needed to pay between
USD 200-280, while owners of other cars USD 18-20 to pass from Georgian
territory to Armenia.

The Minister of Economic Development Irakli Chogovadze and the Armenian
Minister of Transport Andranik Manukian signed an agreement Tuesday
abolishing this border tax dubbing it an “impulse” for business
development.

Manukian said that the Armenian government decided to abolish the tax
after Georgia abolished its taxes on transport entering its territory
from every country it borders starting in January 2006.

Minister Chogovadze noted Tuesday that all barriers which exist
for businesses should be eliminated, calling the road tax one such
barrier. “Everything that hinders business is bad, and the elimination
of these barriers will be an impulse for businesses,” he said.

Manukian added that transport communications contribute to the
development of business and the country’s overall economy. “Everyone
was eagerly awaiting this decision and such agreements always lead
to better things,” he said Tuesday.

The agreement will be enforced after the parliaments of both countries
ratify it.

Minister Chogovadze noted that the two countries have a great potential
for economic relations, much of which stands unrealized.

The development of Georgian-Armenian relations will be further
intensified after representatives from the two countries participate
in a business forum this June, Minister Chogovadze said.