Baku doesn’t rule out possibility of Russian arms sales to Yerevan

Agency WPS
DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
August 10, 2007 Friday

OFFICIAL BAKU DOESN’T RULE OUT POSSIBILITY OF RUSSIAN ARMS SALES TO
YEREVAN

According to Azerbaijani Deputy Foreign Minister Araz Azimov, Baku
does not rule out the possibility of Russian arms export to Armenia.
Commenting on the possibility, Azimov said Armenia and Russia were
military allies – with all this state of affairs implied. The
diplomat said Russia and Armenia could be promoting some coordinated
policy indeed, and that included the sphere of armament. Azimov said
that the information was being run down and that Russia should be
aware of the negative consequences in case it was corroborated. The
situation in the region is such that the warring sides in the
conflict had better continue the talks. "If Armenia is arming itself,
Azerbaijan cannot afford to ignore it," the diplomat said and added
that Azerbaijan had already persuaded practically all countries not
to sell weapons to Armenia. "There are practically no more countries
or companies in Europe who would sell weapons to Armenia," Azimov
said. "Russia should make its choice – stop selling arms to Armenia
and give peaceful settlement a chance or proceed with its policy and
thus foment a new crisis."

Source: Ekho (Baku), August 4, 2007, EV

Translated by A. Ignatkin

ANKARA: Armenia-Turkey: Opportunities for economic cooperation

Armenia-Turkey: Opportunities for economic cooperation Print

Friday , 10 August 2007

* View by HOVHANNES NIKOGHOSYAN*

When thinking over the opportunities for economic cooperation and
interaction between Armenia and Turkey in the event that the border is
opened, we need to pay special attention to the export structures of both
countries.

>From economic theory it is known that when a small and a big market
cooperate, preference is given to the former and it gains more. This is
called "the advantage of being small." Nevertheless it is obvious that,
though the reopening of the border is more profitable for Armenia in the
economic sense, Turkey will gain much more revenue in a political sense. Let’s
first study the economic issues.

The agricultural sector holds a firm place in Turkey’s export structure.
After the opening of the Turkish-Armenian border, the same sector of the
Armenian economy will also redirect to export on a much higher scale. But
these exports from Armenia will be in different denominations because they
will not be able to compete with Turkey when it comes to price (labor costs
are cheaper in Turkey). On the other hand, mainly because of the closed
border, Turkey’s boundary regions are busy with small agricultural farms and
local crafts. In this area, for example, agricultural products from Armenia
will have a qualitative advantage.

In recent years Turkey’s exports have included various electric devices
(including those from the IT sector) and a chemical industry, things that
have only been imported by Armenia on a small scale. In the event the border
is opened, the scale of this export will rise instantly because of the lower
prices. Armenian alcohol and tobacco production will find a market in
Turkey, and also through it to the European markets for a lower cost. This
"intervention" will create a competitive, "market" atmosphere in Turkey and
vice versa. Turkey’s building materials industry is also highly developed
and will find Armenia ready to import. Despite popular opinion, there is no
fear in Armenia that an opening of the border will harm the local sector;
there will be a competitive environment between the two markets. For
example, during the early 1990s when Iranian markets "attacked" Armenia, the
latter competed with Iran shortly afterward.

The most important point is the opportunity for trade of power/energy
resources between Armenia and Turkey. In the event the Turkish-Armenian
border is opened, there will be an opportunity for Armenia to sell its
abundant electrical energy to Turkey. Armenia is currently capable of
producing over 1,000 MW more than its domestic need. Exporting this surplus
will bring the country around $190 million, according to current electricity
costs. It already sells to Georgia and Iran, but Turkey’s eastern provinces
also have a need for electricity. It might also be possible in the future to
design some cooperative enterprises in which, for example, electricity comes
from Armenia and raw materials from Turkey.

For the Turkish economy, especially for the development of human resources
and increased income for people in the eastern regions (mainly populated
with those of Kurdish origin), there will be a flood of tourists from
Armenia and the diaspora.

There are a few steps that would be necessary to for the normalization of
economic relations and, more importantly, for creating the necessary trust
for those relations at any level. First, it is crucial to create a "special
economic zone" in the border areas for trade between the two countries for a
certain amount of time (such rumors stirred in late March but never came to
pass). It is assumed that such a measure would create the necessary basis
for a favorable atmosphere within the publics of the two nations. It is
necessary to mention that, since 1996 when communication between Yerevan and
Ankara was opened, the base for such an atmosphere has been created.

Another difficult question has to deal with the border regions of Armenia
and Turkey. In Turkey’s eastern regions (Ardahan, Kars, etc.) there lives a
large Kurdish population, and undoubtedly the level of unemployment is
higher than in Armenia’s border regions. However the living standards in
both areas are much lower than those provided by the average income of their
country’s centers. Both countries have seen the populations of these regions
move to big cities in search of better lives and, more often than not, they
never return. To prevent the fatal influence of a probable large-scale
immigration of Turkish labor to Armenia’s labor market (and vice versa), it
seems necessary to come up with some bilateral quota agreement on labor
migrants.

Indeed, such methods would lead to real normalization of bilateral relations
and would create a confidence that would serve as the basis for
intercultural dialogue. As far as economic benefits go, much seems possible
after the opening of the border. In the political sense, such a move would
reflect positively particularly when it comes to Turkey’s international
image, including negotiations with EU and "strange" relations with Turkey’s
ally the United States. And it is obvious that such benefits will work to
counterbalance short-term negative histories in relations with other states.
Thus this was? fair point of view from Yerevan and I hope for dialogue with
Turkey. After all we are neighbors and cannot afford to be strangers any
longer.

—————————————- –
* Managing editor of the Actual Policy journal
08.08.2007

Originally published in TZ

http://www.turkishweekly.net/news.php?id=47421

Outside View: Nuclear Plant Assessments

OUTSIDE VIEW: NUCLEAR PLANT ASSESSMENTS
By Tatyana Sinitsyna, UPI Outside View Commentator

United Press International
Aug 3 2007

MOSCOW, Aug. 3 (UPI) — An earthquake hit the city of Kashiwazaki,
Japan, last week, causing an estimated $33.3 billion worth of damage.

The Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear plant, one of Japan’s largest, was in
the earthquake zone. Radioactive substance leakage was reported.

Japanese authorities and the public are attacking the Tokyo Electric
Power Co. after it refused to give information on the danger. The
alarm was sounded at the other end of the world, in the headquarters of
the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna. Mohamed ElBaradei,
its director general, says he hopes TEPCO will not withhold any facts
from investigation.

Alexei Lopanchuk, an expert on nuclear plants’ environmental effects
at the Russian Federal Atomic Energy Agency, commented on the situation
for RIA Novosti:

"I saw a burning transformer on the television. It was no shock to
a specialist — a tank transformer can catch fire with the slightest
spark. Every project envisages safety measures. Transformers are set
apart from each other, so fire cannot spread to cause a leak.

Radioactive water could have leaked from the reactor containment sump
— but I don’t think it could get out of the circuit and pollute the
environment, whatever the press might be saying. As for polluted sea,
I think that’s a paranoid allegation."

The expert dismisses speculation that seismic danger was
underestimated when the plant site was chosen: "The Japanese are
top-notch professionals, and exacting and pragmatic to the utmost
degree in choosing plant sites. It was a mere accident, I think."

The Kashiwazaki drama makes us wonder whether Russian nuclear plants
are immune to natural disasters. They face very little risk from
earthquakes on the seismically docile East European Plain.

Nonetheless, safety measures have been steadily tightened since 2000,
when Russia placed a new emphasis on atomic energy. A nationwide
blueprint for updating and enhancing safety procedures has been
adopted.

All present-day projects are designed to withstand earthquakes with
a minimum magnitude of 7 on the Richter scale. Russian specialists
proceed from the same stringent safety standards when they build
plants abroad.

"We design nuclear plants taking account for everything nature can
throw at us — tornadoes, glaze frost, blizzards, torrential rain,
earthquakes, tsunamis, landslides and mud volcano eruptions. We also
consider every possible manmade risk — for instance, air routes and
railroads in the vicinity of plants," Lopanchuk said.

Russian-designed projects have proved reliable in the past. The
premises and infrastructure of the Kudankulam plant in India stood
unscathed in the Sumatran tsunami of 2004. The Armenian plant withstood
the magnitude 9 during the 1988 quake, which wiped the town of Spitak
off the face of the Earth, though the plant was designed to withstand
a force no greater than 5. Designed and built by Soviet specialists,
the Kozlodui plant in Bulgaria survived a sequence of quakes with
the epicenter in neighboring Romania. Now, Russia is designing a
new Bulgarian nuclear project in Belena, also within the Vrancea
seismic zone.

The alarmed Japanese public insists on shutting down not only
Kashiwazaki, but also Shizuoka and another 15 nuclear power plants
out of a total of 55. But this could be expensive. It takes at least
a year to cool a reactor in a process that occasionally costs more
than plant construction. Furthermore, with no resources comparable
to nuclear energy, a shutdown may plunge Japan into an energy crisis.

"I don’t know how accidents are generally estimated. I, for my part,
am no alarmist. Japan is accustomed to quakes, and is very serious
about them. The damaged units will be re-commissioned after thorough
investigation, I am sure," Lopanchuk said.

Serge Sargsyan Visits Lori And Tavush

SERGE SARGSYAN VISITS LORI AND TAVUSH

armradio.am
03.08.2007 13:57

RA Prime Minister Serge Sargsyan today left for Aragatsotn, Lori and
Tavush marzes for a three-day working visit. The Prime Minister’s
working program is rather rich in all three marzes.

In Aragatsotn, Lori and Tavush Serge Sargsyan will get acquainted
with the agricultural, gasification and construction works. He will
meet with the population and heads of a number of communities, will
visit "Vanadzor-Chimprom" CJSC, and will hold consultations with the
leadership of this reconstructed chemical complex.

In the framework of the visit the Prime Minister will visit also
Bagratashen checkpoint and the anti-hail system in Artashavan village.

On August 5 in Tavush marz Serge Sargsyan will participate in the
celebrations of the day of Koti establishment.

Armenian Government Makes Addition To Licensing Order Of Organizing

ARMENIAN GOVERNMENT MAKES ADDITION TO LICENSING ORDER OF ORGANIZING PASSENGER TRANSPORTATION BY TAXI

Noyan Tapan
Aug 2, 2007

YEREVAN, AUGUST 2, NOYAN TAPAN. Before discussing the issues on the
agenda of the RA government’s August 2 sitting, the prime minister
Serge Sargsian instructed those responsible for preparation of issues
to be discussed at a governmental sitting to henceforth indicate
the purpose of making the decision, as well as expected results and
possible complications in the reference-substantiation of the given
document so that the government will take all this into consideration
when making a decision.

Not accepting the practice of submitting hasty and not comprehensively
examined draft decisions to the government for discussion, the prime
minister cited as example the RA government’s decision No 655 of March
22, 2007 on Licensing Order of Organization of Passenger Transportation
by Taxi in the RA and on Approval of License Forms, as a result of
which several thousand people now cannot engage in this activity any
more. According to S. Sargsian, when making decisions, especially those
related to economy and business, it is necessary to follow the logic
that in case of changing the rules of the game, all participants of
the given process must be informed beforehand and given some time –
just as in case of changing tax rates, which is also stipulated by law.

NT was informed from the RA Government Information and PR Department
that at the sitting, an addition was made to decision No 655 on
Licensing Order of Organization of Passenger Transportation by Taxi in
the RA and on Approval of License Forms. Based on it, by April 1, 2008,
all legal entities and private businessmen engaged in organization of
passenger transportation by taxi in Armenia have to receive licenses
and inserts in accordance with the order approved by the indicated
decision.

Iraq: Minorities Suffer Persecution

IRAQ: MINORITIES SUFFER PERSECUTION

UNPO, Netherlands
Aug 2 2007

Ethnic minorities in Iraq face oblivion and persecution and it is
believed that among the 2m Iraqi refugees the number of minority
group members is disproportionately high.

Below is an article written by Patrick Jackson and published by BBC

Crushing Iraq’s human mosaic

Caught in a triangle of religious, ethnic and criminal violence,
communities which once made up as much as 14% of the country’s
population get little state protection, said Hunain Qaddo, chairman
of the Iraqi Minorities Council, a Baghdad-based non-governmental
organisation.

The marketplace bomb attack on a Shia Turkmen village near Kirkuk
on 7 July marked a new spiral of horror, according to Dr Qaddo, who
believes 210 civilians, mostly women and children, died and about
400 were injured. Police reported 130 deaths at the time.

He says that his own community, the Shabaks of the Nineveh Plains,
face oblivion as a people, targeted physically by al-Qaeda militants
because they are mainly Shia, and politically by Kurdish separatists
with claims on their land.

Dr Qaddo is in London as part of a campaign by the UK-based advocacy
group Minority Rights Group International to raise awareness of the
crisis gripping Iraq’s lesser-known peoples while the big three –
the Shia and Sunni Arabs and the Kurds – pursue their own interests.

Iraq’s minorities range from large communities like Turkmens and
Christians to small groups of Armenians, many of them descended from
refugees from the Ottoman Empire nearly a century ago, and Palestinians
given sanctuary by Saddam Hussein.

Between Arab and Kurd

The problems of the Shabaks, a community of up to 400,000 with their
own language and cultural traditions, are rarely reported by foreign
media, in contrast to those of Iraqi Christians, for example.

Communities at risk

"They have no communities in Western countries," Dr Qaddo points out.

Some 1,000 Shabak civilians, he says, have been killed in the
Mosul area since the 2003 invasion in terrifying attacks, including
beheadings, by Sunni Arab militants.

A further 4,000 Shabaks have been driven out of their homes, adds
the MP, whose own house was burnt down in the city.

And Shabaks, whom Saddam once attempted to "arabise", are also under
pressure from Kurdish political parties seeking to "kurdify" them in
a drive to assert wider control over the ethnically divided north.

"They are really facing a genocide," says Dr Qaddo.

It is hard to assess the scale of the problems facing the Shabaks
and other ethnic minorities independently during the current conflict
in Iraq, Charles Tripp of the London School of Oriental and African
Studies points out.

Estimates for population size, he told the BBC News website, are often
exaggerated in a country where parliamentary seats, resources and
recognition are based on a community’s percentage of the population.

Prize targets

Nonetheless, the number of minority group members among the 2m refugees
from Iraq is believed to be disproportionately high.

Mandaeans who fled to Syria told the BBC earlier this year harrowing
stories of forced conversion, rape and murder by Islamists.

A Minority Rights Group International report published in February
notes that Mandaeans, who follow a religion which pre-dates both
Islam and Christianity, are also targeted by criminals because they
traditionally work as goldsmiths and jewellers.

They have often been kidnapped for ransom in Baghdad and the south
of Iraq, says Hunain Qaddo.

Christians have found themselves in a similar dilemma: targeted by
Sunni extremists because of their religion and by kidnappers – who are
often Shia Arab militants or rogue members of the security forces –
because of their wealth.

The common problem of most of Iraq’s minorities, says Dr Qaddo,
is that they lack any militias of their own to protect them.

Iraq’s loss

Iraqi police are too weak or corrupt to help, he adds, while the
US-led coalition, fighting insurgents and seeking good relations with
the main communities, offers no special protection for minorities.

The chairman of the Iraqi Minorities Council accepts that minorities
always suffer during a civil conflict and he is not advocating safe
havens for minorities or calling on other countries to take in more
refugees.

Instead, he wants Western states involved in Iraq to do more to help
train up the new Iraqi army so that it can restore the rule of law
across the country, put pressure on the Kurds to respect minority
rights, and back the creation of a defence force recruited from the
minorities in the north.

"That would be the best solution for all Iraqis including the refugees,
many of whom are willing to return if security is established,"
he says.

"I feel very sad when I hear that Christians or other minorities are
leaving Iraq because we are going to lose the value and the culture
of these people who have enriched our society through their hard work
and their skill."

Construction Of New Stadiums Underway In Ninotsminda

CONSTRUCTION OF NEW STADIUMS UNDERWAY IN NINOTSMINDA

Noyan Tapan
Aug 1, 2007

NINOTSMINDA, AUGUST 1, NOYAN TAPAN – ARMENIANS TODAY. Construction of
three stadiums is underway in Ninotsminda. According to "Javakhk-Info",
two stadiums are being built in the villages of Dilif and Gandza,
while the third one is being constructed in Norashen district of the
city of Ninotsminda.

4,000 laris has been allocated for the construction from the local
budget.

It is envisaged competing the construction work within a month.

Three Centers For University Studies To Be Established In Yerevan

THREE CENTERS FOR UNIVERSITY STUDIES TO BE ESTABLISHED IN YEREVAN

arminfo
2007-07-30 15:15:00

Three Centers for University Studies will shortly be established
under the Yerevan State University, Armenian President’s Adviser Sergo
Yeritsyan said at a conference dedicated to the 10th anniversary of
the Armenian National Foundation of Science and Advanced Technologies
(NFSAT), Monday.

According to him, about 100 thsd USD will be spent on up-to-date
equipment for the Centers. The younger generation of scientific
workers and students will also be allowed to make use of the Centers’
services. Over the past 10 years NFSAT has been implementing
independent research works based on the principles of objectivity
and transparency, scientific approach and correct financing. These
principle are applied in all developed countries of the world. In
this connection, S.Yeritsyan pointed out the necessity of extending
the Foundation’s activity, including international cooperation.

Particularly, NFSAT is actively cooperating with the United States
that is the main donor of the Foundation. US Embassy Public Affairs
Officer Thomas Mittnacht positively estimated the Foundation’s work
done within10 years.

To note, the Foundation started its official activity in Armenia on
July 4, 1997. The Foundation’s activity is financially supported by the
US Civilian Research and Development Foundation under the program of
the US Department of State. At the moment, NFSAT is rated very highly
and found side by side with such authoritative organizations as the
American Association for the Advancement of Science, the National
Science Foundation, etc.

Gabriel Sargsyan The Second In The "Politiken" Chess Cup

GABRIEL SARGSYAN THE SECOND IN THE "POLITIKEN" CHESS CUP

armradio.am
27.07.2007 11:04

Armenian Grand Master Gabriel Sargsyan played a draw with Grand Master
Nick de Firmian of the US in the seventh round of the chess cup of
"Politiken" newspaper underway in Copenhagen. Currently he occupies
the second position with six points. Another four sportsmen have
achieved six points.

After seven rounds Russian Grand Master Mikhail Krasenkov is leading
with 6.5 points.

Head Of AAC Diocese In Baghdad Fears For Armenian Community Of Iraq

HEAD OF AAC DIOCESE IN BAGHDAD FEARS FOR ARMENIAN COMMUNITY OF IRAQ

PanARMENIAN.Net
27.07.2007 15:24 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ An Iraqi bishop addressing an anti-Israel
ecumenical jamboree in Amman, Jordan declined to demand an immediate
U.S. evacuation from Iraq.

"Is it going to bring about peace or play into the hands of
terrorists?" asked Archbishop Avak Asadourian, the Primate of the
Iraqi diocese of the Armenian Apostolic Church, who was responding to
a question about U.S. church groups that are demanding an expeditious
time-table for U.S. troops to quit Iraq.

Asadourian spoke at the "Churches Together for Peace and Justice in the
Middle East," organized by the Geneva-based World Council of Churches
(WCC). Speaking to 130 church officials from the WCC’s affiliates
around the world, the Armenian Archbishop of Baghdad was representing
the Council of Christian Church Leaders in the Iraqi capital.

Asadourian called the calls for a U.S. military withdrawal time-table a
"two-edged sword." He expressed hope that the U.S. military presence
would "eventually" end but showed even more interest in U.S.-led
security forces reducing the violence in Iraq. "The occupying powers
have to enforce the Geneva conventions and guarantee the security of
the country," the archbishop said. "If they were able to bring about
security, a lot of problems would be solved."

"Security is needed to make democracy viable," Asadourian said.

"Every day terrorist attacks are targeting people who could be the
cornerstone of a new Iraq: professionals, physicians, and engineers,"
Asadourian told a WCC interviewer. "And this is resulting in an
across-the-board brain drain, which is a shame since it takes decades
to train qualified people."

Asadourian referenced the recent murders of two Christian priests in
Iraq and noted that 27 members of his church have died, while another
23 have been kidnapped. The Christian population has dropped from
7-8 percent of Iraq to 3-4 percent. Some Christians are also moving
"north within the country," which is relatively safer, the archbishop
said. He recounted that his own church has declined from 600-700
worshipers to 100-150.

Some have left Baghdad, some fear going out, while others just lack
fuel for their cars. "My message to my flock is: do not be afraid,
but be careful," he said, reports FrontPage magazine.com, CA.