Armenia and Armenians worldwide will not tolerate another genocide! – Ambassador Mkrtchyan’s article

Armenia and Armenians worldwide will not tolerate another genocide! – Ambassador Mkrtchyan’s article

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 13:17, 3 August, 2020

YEREVAN, AUGUST 3, ARMENPRESS. The Latvian major internet portal DELFI has published the article by Armenian Ambassador to Latvia Tigran Mkrtchyan titled “Armenia and Armenians worldwide will not tolerate another genocide!”

Below is the English-version of the article.

“Victim blaming, or placing the responsibility of a crime upon its victim, is a common practice. It is essential to bullying and oppression. It has been used on a broad international scale. During the Holocaust, there were Nazis who used all possible means to shift the blame for the horrible genocide on the Jews themselves. Holocaust deniers have been known to do the same thing. Victim blaming was widely used by the Young Turks as they planned and executed the Armenian genocide. Victim blaming is still being used, today and now!

On July 12, Azerbaijan initiated an act of aggression against the sovereign territory of Armenia in the Tavush region, 150 km away from Nagorno-Karabakh. Its aim was to improve the Azerbaijani military positions, at the expense of the Armenian people’s, in those places where aggression was least expected. Azerbaijan’s armed forces also targeted the villages of Movses, Aygepar, Chinari, and Nerkin Karmiraghbyur in the Tavush region of Armenia with artillery fire and drones, causing significant damage to both the civilian infrastructure and residential houses.

 

There is evidence that Azerbaijan’s armed forces deployed artillery and armored vehicles in the courtyards and between residential houses in the village of Aghdam, which faces Armenia’s Chinari village. It is from these positions that the Azeris targeted Armenian villages, in order to make it look like Armenia retaliated against Azerbaijani civilian targets. Armenian Armed Forces did what any other state must do in similar situations: protect the sovereign territory of the homeland. And they did that successfully, once again confirming that money cannot always and everywhere buy an effective army, an axiom which the greatest strategic thinker of modern times Carl von Clausewitz would have advised at the beginning of 19th century.

 

Soon after the start of this failed aggression on Armenia, and the complete failure to improve Azerbaijan’s military positions, the President of that country – Ilham Aliyev – became despondent. Shortly after appointing the new Foreign Minister, Mr. Jeyhun Bayramov, the Azerbaijani President made a startling statement: “(…) some diplomats have betrayed the state, committed treason and do not conceal it. They are controlled by the secret services of the countries they live in. We have sufficient information.” Apparently, this mood swing in Baku has made some of its diplomats abroad very nervous and has even led them to become provocative.

Provocations “prove their patriotism” to their capital, where victim-blaming has long been the main feature of their “Armenian narrative.” In some capitals, including Riga, and in clear breach of local laws, anti-Armenian rallies laden with provocative statements were organized. This aggressive behavior led to clashes between Azerbaijani and Armenian communities in Moscow, Brussels, Warsaw, London, in various parts of the USA and other places. They also led to the desecration and intentional damage of Armenian property in the diaspora.

Three decades of Azerbaijan’s dehumanizing Armenians and Armenia within its borders have resulted in irrational hatred, which is now being exported abroad and is raising eyebrows everywhere. The July 14 pro-war rally in Baku, with its chants of “death to Armenians,” were sadly reminiscent of the Sumgait 1988 and Baku 1990 brutal pogroms of Armenians. When the English thinker Thomas Hobbes articulated his theory, that mankind is in a state of “war of all against all,” he was describing human life as it existed before civil society. When the German political theorist Carl Schmitt claimed that “the willingness to kill others for the simple reason that they are members of a hostile group” is the “ultimate degree of dissociation” in politics, he knew firsthand what he was talking about. He had lived through World War I. If we want to search for the roots of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, we must emphasize that this region has never been a part of the Republic of Azerbaijan. It was not within Azerbaijan when the latter declared its independence in 1991. Nagorno-Karabakh was not a part of Azerbaijan when it was first created in 1918.

How is that possible, you may wonder? The answer is quite simple. After the Sovietization of the region in 1920, Nagorno-Karabakh, against the will of its people, was included within the borders of Bolshevik Azerbaijan as an autonomous region, in accordance with the 1921 decision of the Caucasian Bureau of the Communist Party of Russia, led by Joseph Stalin. What is more, neither the above-said Bureau nor Stalin had the legal authority to make such a decision. Therefore, it is closest to the fact to claim that for 70 years the region of Karabakh was annexed to Soviet Azerbaijan. It is worth mentioning that in 1988, October during the 1st congress of the Latvian Popular Front, eminent Armenian writer Silva Kaputikyan said that the goal of the Armenian popular movement is to free Karabakh of its administrative subordination to Azerbaijan. The congress delegates expressed their support by unanimous applause․ (http://85.254.250.16/raksti/724770).

Now I would like to draw the reader’s attention to a few misleading points raised and used by Azerbaijan. The representatives of Azerbaijan are repeating ad nauseam that it was Armenia that “initiated the attacks” in order to “threaten the normal functioning of energy and transport lines, as Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway, Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline” etc. hinting that Armenia is “threatening Europe’s energy independence.” I know that readers of such claims do not need to be informed about RMA (revolution in military affairs): the changes in the nature of warfare brought about by the innovative application of new technologies. Nor do they need to be reminded that in today’s world, an advanced military does not need to physically see a target in order to destroy it. Armenia, Nagorno-Karabakh Republic and Azerbaijan each have the capacity to target key infrastructures in each other’s territory. None of these countries needs to invade its neighbor or use ground troops in order to destroy a specific target.

What we must focus on is the difference between capacities and goals. Armenia’s main task is to ensure our sovereignty, our borders, the security of our country and people, and to promote global security. Armenian officials do not think – let alone speak – about attacking civilian infrastructures inside Azerbaijan. Yet quite recently, the world was shocked to learn that the Defense Ministry of Azerbaijan officially did not rule out the possibility that his country would launch a missile attack on the Metsamor nuclear power plant in Armenia. This unprecedented statement clearly shows genocidal intent and state-sponsored nuclear terrorism.

The President of Azerbaijan is preaching that Armenian leadership wishes by this conflict “to distract attention from internal problems.” Well, I think that we should not forget that one of the most important differences between Armenia and Azerbaijan is that the former is building a democratic state, while the latter is further falling into authoritarianism. The opposition forces in Armenia during the Azerbaijani aggression stood behind the Armenian Army, which was defending our country. In Azerbaijan, however, the clashes of protesters with the police were used as another pretext to silence “the internal enemy.” The Washington Post’s conclusion was to the point in this regard.  “Mr. Aliyev’s use of the iron fist to destroy his critics is the opposite of democracy and why everyone should worry about this intemperate tyrant.” (https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/azerbaijans-president-aims-to-finish-off-the-political-opposition/2020/07/29/db4ca91c-d0f0-11ea-8c55-61e7fa5e82ab_story.html?)

Here again we come to the most important point. What can be done from now on to de-escalate the situation with effective short-term results?

The OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs (the USA, Russia, and France) have offered to establish an international mechanism of reliable ceasefire monitoring not only on the Line of Contact between Azerbaijan and the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic but also between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The mediators noted that “without such a mechanism, the sides will continue to blame each other for initiating deadly attacks on the Line of Contact and Armenia-Azerbaijan border” (https://www.osce.org/mg/185746). The Armenian sides have accepted this offer and continue to express support for its urgent introduction. Moreover, since the establishment of the ceasefire on July 16, the Azerbaijanis have on a number of cases violated the arrangements on cessation of hostilities. And, as they did in the 1990s, they are prone to attack and then blame the other side.

Secondly, Armenia has welcomed and reiterated its support for the UN General Secretary’s appeal for the establishment of a “global ceasefire.” Azerbaijan is silent on this account too.

Third, the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs have urged and continue to urge the sides to refrain from inflammatory rhetoric. Unfortunately, we have witnessed a further exacerbation of Armenophobia in Azerbaijan and reckless hate speech. This must stop immediately! It is necessary for the authorities of Azerbaijan to publicly renounce the use (and threats of use) of force. Azerbaijani leadership should recognize that there is no alternative to peace talks.

Fourth, the entire international society needs to unwaveringly support the de-escalation of the situation, urge all sides to refrain from any action that might further escalate the situation. In this regard, Azerbaijan’s senior ally Turkey has been anything but constructive. An unprecedented level of threats against Armenia have been part of the Turkish reaction. Evidence of this are the joint Turkish-Azerbaijani military drills on July 29 to August. 5, which include mortars, armed vehicles, and cannons striking simulated targets as well as helicopters and warplanes in Baku, Nakhijevan, Ganja, Kurdamir, and Yevlakh (i.e. on the western and eastern borders of Armenia and not far from Nagorno-Karabakh). Clearly, these are not exercises of a defensive nature. The expanded geography of aggression against Armenia has been Azerbaijani strategy from day one of the conflict of Nagorno-Karabakh, when in addition to the war against Artsakh, Azerbaijan attacked Armenian borders from all its borders and imposed blockade together with Turkey, which continues to this very day.

The language of threats needs to stop! Armenia and Armenians worldwide will not tolerate another genocide!”

Homeless former convict placed in nursing home with support of Artsakh Ombudsman

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 10:53,

YEREVAN, JULY 28, ARMENPRESS. A former convict applied to the Artsakh Human Rights Ombudsman, noting that he had been homeless for days after his release from the penitentiary and asked for the Ombudsman’s assistance in resolving the issue, the Ombudsman’s Office told Armenpress.

As a result of the effective cooperation between the Ombudsman’s staff and the Ministry of Labor, Social and Housing Affairs, the relevant documents of the citizen were quickly prepared and he settled in the nursing home of Stepanakert.

With the Human Rights Ombudsman’s intervention, the payment of the person’s pension was also resumed, which was suspended for several months due to procedural issues.

Central Bank of Armenia: exchange rates and prices of precious metals – 27-07-20

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 17:30,

YEREVAN, 27 JULY, ARMENPRESS. The Central Bank of Armenia informs “Armenpress” that today, 27 July, USD exchange rate down by 0.32 drams to 484.97 drams. EUR exchange rate up by 4.92 drams to 567.71 drams. Russian Ruble exchange rate down by 0.02 drams to 6.78 drams. GBP exchange rate up by 4.92 drams to 622.99 drams.

The Central Bank has set the following prices for precious metals.

Gold price up by 351.77 drams to 29657.82 drams. Silver price down by 6.24 drams to 350.43 drams. Platinum price up by 286.93 drams to 14422.74 drams.

RFE/RL Armenian Report – 07/27/2020

                                        Monday, 
Armenian Government’s Pick For Constitutional Court Criticized
        • Anush Mkrtchian
Armenia - Vahram Avetisian, Yerevan, July 23, 2020.
Relatives of protesters killed during the 2008 post-election unrest in Yerevan 
and supporters of former President Levon Ter-Petrosian have deplored the 
Armenian government’s choice of a candidate to replace one of the three 
Constitutional Court judges controversially dismissed last month.
The government formally nominated Vahram Avetisian, a senior law professor at 
Yerevan State University (YSU), to the court last week and expects the Armenian 
parliament to confirm him in the coming weeks. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian’s 
My Step bloc enjoys a comfortable majority in the National Assembly.
Eight relatives of the unrest victims and 50 current and former activists 
imprisoned during the 2008 crackdown on the Ter-Petrosian-led opposition issued 
at the weekend a joint petition urging the government to withdraw Avetisian’s 
nomination.
In particular, the signatories, among them several senior members of 
Ter-Petrosian’s Armenian National Congress (HAK) party, argued that his father, 
Davit Avetisian, upheld prison sentences handed to opposition members and 
supporters when he served as a senior Court of Cassation judge from 2008-2016.
They said that Vahram Avetisian cannot act independently and impartially also 
because he has never publicly condemned Armenia’s former ruling regime and its 
use of force against protesters who challenged the official results of the 
February 2008 presidential election in which Ter-Petrosian was the main 
opposition candidate.
One of the signatories, Grigor Voskerchian, is a member of the HAK’s governing 
board who was arrested in 2008 and spent 18 months in prison. “My personal 
interest is to see an independent person elected to the Constitutional Court,” 
he said.
“If [Avetisian] is appointed a Constitutional Court judge he will definitely 
deal with some issues related to his father,” Voskerchian told RFE/RL’s Armenian 
service on Monday. “If he doesn’t want to bear responsibility for [decisions 
made by] his father he should make a statement.”
Avetisian dismissed the objections to his candidacy on Sunday, saying that they 
are fuelled by individuals motivated by their “parochial and factional 
interests.” In a Facebook post, the nominee said he finds it “pointless” to 
argue with them.
Responding to the criticism, Pashinian’s press secretary, Mane Gevorgian, said 
the government’s decision to pick Avetisian was based on his professional 
background and track record. “Mr. Avetisian’s candidacy will be discussed in the 
National Assembly, and deputies will have a chance to ask all questions 
preoccupying the public and receive answers to them from Mr. Avetisian,” said 
Gevorgian.
Lilit Makunts, My Step’s parliamentary leader, said she and other pro-government 
lawmakers will likely meet Avetisian next week and ask him to set the record 
straight. Makunts stressed at the same time that Avetisian has “no direct 
connection” with any of the politically motivated court verdicts stemming from 
the 2008 bloodshed and arrests.
Pashinian played a key role in Ter-Petrosian’s 2007-2008 opposition movement and 
was among the ex-president’s political allies imprisoned in the post-election 
crackdown. He fell out with Ter-Petrosian after being released from jail in 2011.
President Armen Sarkissian and an assembly of Armenia’s judges are due to name 
two other nominees for the Constitutional Court.
The parliament approved last month constitutional amendments calling the gradual 
resignation of seven of the court’s nine members installed before April 2018. 
Three of them are to resign with immediate effect. Also, Hrayr Tovmasian must 
quit as court chairman but remain a judge.
Tovmasian and the ousted judges have refused to step down, saying that their 
removal is illegal. They have appealed to the European Court of Human Rights 
(ECHR) to have them reinstated.
Azerbaijan, Turkey To Hold Joint War Games
        • Emil Danielyan
Azerbaijan -- Azerbaijani and Turkish troops hold a joint military exercise, May 
1, 2019.
The armed forces of Azerbaijan and Turkey will start joint exercises on 
Wednesday two weeks after deadly hostilities on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border 
which led Ankara to promise more military assistance to Baku.
The Azerbaijani Defense Ministry announced on Monday that the “large-scale” 
exercises will involve warplanes and artillery and air-defense systems. It did 
not specify the number of soldiers that will take part in them.
A ministry statement cited by Azerbaijani news agencies said ground forces of 
the two states will simulate joint operations in Baku and Azerbaijan’s 
Nakhichevan exclave from August 1-5. It said separate drills involving the 
Turkish and Azerbaijani air forces will be held in these and three other 
locations from July 29 through August 10.
The ministry also said that the war games will take place in accordance with a 
Turkish-Azerbaijani defense treaty and an annual plan of bilateral military 
cooperation. It did not link them with the July 12 outbreak of heavy fighting at 
a western section of Azerbaijan’s border with Armenia which lasted for several 
days and left at least 17 soldiers dead.
Turkey - Turkish and Azerbaijani flags displayed during joint exercises held by 
the air forces of the two countries near Konya, 3Ma32015.
The Armenian Foreign Ministry expressed concern over the drills. A ministry 
spokeswoman said they are part of Baku’s “provocative actions” aimed at 
obstructing international mediators’ efforts to de-escalate the situation at the 
border and kick-start Armenian-Azerbaijani peace talks.
Turkey has blamed Armenia for the flare-up and reaffirmed its full support for 
Azerbaijan in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Yerevan has decried the Turkish 
reaction, accusing Ankara of trying to destabilize the region, undercutting 
international efforts to resolve the conflict and posing a serious security 
threat to Armenia.
Immediately after the border clashes, a high-level Azerbaijani army delegation 
flew to Ankara for talks with Turkey’s top military and defense industry 
officials. Turkish Defense Minister Hulusi Akar told it that the Armenians “will 
certainly pay for what they have done” to his country’s main regional ally. 
Another Turkish official expressed readiness to supply Turkish-made military 
drones and missiles to the Azerbaijani army.
Such statements fuelled speculation about a direct Turkish intervention in the 
Karabakh conflict. Successive Armenian governments have relied on a military 
alliance with Russia and, in particular, the presence of a Russian military base 
in Armenia to prevent such a scenario. The base has up to 5,000 soldiers mostly 
deployed along the closed Armenian-Turkish border.
Analysts believe Moscow would strongly oppose Turkish military presence in a 
region regarded by it as a zone of Russian geopolitical influence. Russian 
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov urged Ankara to exercise restraint in its 
reaction to the upsurge in Armenian-Azerbaijani tensions when he spoke with his 
Turkish counterpart Mevlut Cavusoglu by phone on July 23.
Armenia - Armenian and Russian troops hold joint military exercises.
The Turkish and Azerbaijani militaries have held joint exercises on an annual 
basis for the last several years. They will apparently combine ground troop 
maneuvers with air force drills for the first time.
Russian-Armenian exercises are also held regularly. A military official in 
Yerevan said last week that an Armenian army regiment and the Russian troops in 
Armenia will take part in Russia’s Caucasus-2020 war games scheduled for 
September.
In preparation for these drills, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered on 
July 17 a snap "combat readiness check" of some 150,000 troops deployed in 
Russia’s southern and western military districts bordering. Azerbaijani Defense 
Minister Zakir Hasanov telephoned his Russian counterpart Sergei Shoygu the 
following day to discuss the military event. Shoygu reportedly assured him that 
it is not connected with the latest escalation in the Karabakh conflict zone.
Armenia, Azerbaijan Urged To Restart Peace Talks
Armenia -- Armenian soldiers hold a military exercise in Tavush province 
bordering Azerbaijan, July 21, 2020.
U.S., Russian and French mediators have urged Armenia and Azerbaijan to gear up 
for “serious substantive negotiations” on resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh 
conflict after recent deadly clashes on their border.
In a weekend statement, the three co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group also 
welcomed the current “relative stability” along a section of the border where 
heavy fighting broke out on July 12 and left at least 17 soldiers from both 
sides dead.
The hostilities largely stopped on July 16. The conflicting parties have since 
reported sporadic ceasefire violations mainly involving small arms.
An Armenian army soldier, Ashot Mikaelian, was shot dead at the volatile border 
section early on Monday in what the Defense Ministry in Yerevan described as 
Azerbaijani sniper fire.
“The Co-Chairs appeal to the sides to take advantage of the current reduction in 
active hostilities to prepare for serious substantive negotiations to find a 
comprehensive solution to the conflict,” read the statement. “The Co-Chairs 
stress once more that refraining from provocative statements and actions, 
including threats or perceived threats to civilians or to critical 
infrastructure, is essential during this delicate period.”
“The Co-Chairs note that recent public statements criticizing the joint efforts 
of the co-chairing countries, and/or seeking unilaterally to establish new 
“conditions” or changes to the settlement process format are not conducive to 
resuming a constructive dialogue,” it said.
Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev lambasted the mediators and threatened to 
withdraw from further peace talks just days before the flare-up on the border 
between Armenia’s northern Tavush province and Azerbaijan’s Tovuz district. 
Aliyev specifically blasted their regular assertions that the Karabakh conflict 
cannot be solved militarily.
Armenia - Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian meets with OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs, 
Yerevan,27May,2019
For his part, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian said last Thursday that 
Karabakh must become a “full-fledged party to negotiations” mediated by the 
Minsk Group co-chairs. The remark led Azerbaijan to claim that Armenia is 
seeking to change the format of peace talks. Baku has long refused to directly 
negotiate with the disputed territory’s ethnic Armenian leadership.
In their latest statement, the mediators -- Andrew Schofer, Igor Popov and 
Stephane Visconti -- expressed readiness to meet soon with Aliyev and Pashinian 
“or their designees.” Since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, they have not 
visited the conflict zone or met Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders elsewhere, 
organizing instead two video conferences with the foreign ministers of the two 
warring nations.
The American, Russian and French envoys also emphasized that they continue to 
stand for a Karabakh settlement the key elements of which they had laid out in a 
March 2019 statement.
In that statement they said that “any fair and lasting settlement” must involve 
“return of the territories surrounding Nagorno-Karabakh to Azerbaijani control; 
an interim status for Nagorno-Karabakh providing guarantees for security and 
self-governance; a corridor linking Armenia to Nagorno-Karabakh; future 
determination of the final legal status of Nagorno-Karabakh through a legally 
binding expression of will.”
Reprinted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL
Copyright (c) 2020 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc.
1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.
 

ARMENIAN-AZERBAIJANI BORDER CLASHES RISK A MAJOR REGIONAL WAR OR NUCLEAR DISASTER: WHERE IS THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY?

International Institute for Peace
 
 
 
 
 
 

The ongoing clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan started on July 12th in Tavush Province in Armenia and across the border of Tovuz District in Azerbaijan. Within four days of the outbreak of the conflict, both sides were already using heavy artillery, tanks, and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). Russia, the EU, the US and the OSCE Minsk Group have called for both sides to cease fighting and start negotiations. Russia also stated that it is ready to play the role of mediator if need be. In turn, the Turkish government and President Erdogan announced their support for Azerbaijan and issued threats against Armenia. Some Turkish sources have reported that Turkey sent its F-16 fighters to fly near the Turkish-Armenian border. The Armenian Ministry of Foreign Affairs answered in a strict way, stating: “With its approaches, Turkey is a security threat for Armenia and the region, and broad regional and international cooperation is needed to counter it. It is noteworthy that in 21st century, Turkey builds its policy in our region on the traditions of kinship, justification of the Armenian Genocide and the impunity of that crime.” Armenian SU-30 SM fighters started intensively patrolling Armenian skies and S-300 anti-aircraft missile system launchers were placed near the Turkish border.

Meanwhile, Azerbaijani military troops are trying to gain new positions in Tavush Province by attacking Armenian military positions, which were modernized after the 2016 war. As a result of these operations, the Azerbaijani side reported heavy casualties. General Major Polad Gashimov, Colonel Ilgar Mirzoyev, and 13 military servicemen from the Azerbaijani army were killed. Armenia has also had heavy loses, as Major Garush Hambarzumyan, Capitan Sos Elbakyan, and junior sergeants Smbat Gabrielyan and Grisha Matevosyan were killed in armed clashes on the border. The military equipment loses of Azerbaijan up to the evening of July 16th were 1 tank, 14 UAVs, and an artillery system. Azerbaijan announced that it could down an Armenian UAV, which was not confirmed by Armenia. Having so many casualties without territorial gains, the Ministry of Defence of Azerbaijan threatened to launch a missile strike on the Armenian Metsamor nuclear power plant. An additional interesting moment was that before this announcement, Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov resigned from his post. These kind of developments are ongoing in the South Caucasus, and in this article we will try to introduce possible scenarios and make recommendations for finding ways for peace.

13th century, Haghartsin monastery, Tavush Province, Armenia

Possible Scenarios 

Scenario I:

If Turkey tries to involve its military in the war against Armenia in support of Azerbaijan, Armenia can ask for military help from its close ally Russia, especially as the 102nd Russian military base is deployed in Armenia. It could withstand a long-term regional war that could involve other powers and also threaten the peace and security of the entire world. 

Scenario II: 

If Azerbaijan tries to implement its threat to strike the Armenian nuclear plant located in Metsamor, it would instigate the beginning of a nuclear disaster that would have significantly negative impacts on Armenia and neighboring states. In fact, it would be similar to a nuclear war, and Armenia will have to strike back with its Iskander ballistic missiles, which will ruin Azerbaijani infrastructure.

Scenario III:

The international community decisively pushes both sides to commence negotiations and condemns any attempt to strike the nuclear plants of either side, stipulating that this kind of threat can be described as nuclear terrorism and as such will not be accepted. The UNSC adopts a resolution that will put an end to the military clashes and impose an arms embargo on both sides. Peacekeeping units are deployed to the borders of both sides as well as in Artsakh (Nagorno Karabakh) until both sides find a way to resolve border disputes in a peaceful manner. A special mechanism must be invented and enforced through which any side that initiates military action will be punished by UNSC sanctions.

It is true that democratic states do not go to war against each other. The EU must continue its constructive role through which it is helping to implement the democratic transformation of the states of the South Caucasus, aided by the help of the two democratic states in the region.

It has also been very interesting to follow the protests that were taking place in the center of Baku on July 15. At first, thousands of protestors called for President Aliyev to continue a war against Armenia and not stop the military offensive started by Azerbaijan in the previous days, but when protestors started to speak about social and economic problems and issues related to the outbreak of Covid-19, police began to use force to diffuse the masses. In fact, this kind of protest could provide a good starting point for the transformation of the movement into a pro-democracy campaign, which could bring about changes in the country. As a result, if all countries in the region are democratic, it will be easier to solve ongoing problems without war or violent conflict.

Conclusion

All the above scenarios are possible if we take into consideration the fact that the current world order is changing and the South Caucasus have the potential to serve as a battlefield between Russia and Turkey, which are both competing to increase their influence in the Middle East and the South Caucasus. Turkey might seek to escalate the situation in the region by challenging Russian positions and, as a result, forcing Russia to chose between Armenia and Azerbaijan. For this reason, perhaps it would not fight against Armenia in an open way, but it might still send weapons to Azerbaijan and relocate its troops under the Azerbaijani flag and uniform, as happened in the 1990s war between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

A new total war between Armenia and Azerbaijan in the time of the Covid-19 outbreak would be a disaster for both nations, and here the question arises: do we have a responsible international community or not? If yes, it must immediately take following actions. First, there must be firm opposition and a concrete condemnation of threats to strike nuclear plants, which could lead to catastrophic consequences. Second, the international community must take into consideration the steps that are recommended in Scenario III of this article, which means preventing military conflict and deploying peacekeeping units in order to help build peace and security in the South Caucasus.

https://www.iipvienna.com/new-blog/2020/7/20/armenian-azerbaijani-border-clashes-risk-a-major-regional-war-or-nuclear-disaster-where-is-the-international-community?fbclid=IwAR165YNQ50q6SHkBsiCLEsK2UQhv2lc6xdT8ZzTnktSmXDUX6IKuZ6tyWZ4


Dr. Mher Sahakyan is Director of the”China-Eurasia” Council For Political and Strategic Research, Armenia; AsiaGlobal Fellow 2020/2021, Asia Global Institute, University of Hong Kong, China; and Advisory Board member of the International Institute for Peace, Vienna, Austria.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Turkish press: Emerging power vacuums and Turkey’s new activism

The French weekly magazine Le Point was the latest publication to join the chorus. A photograph of Erdoğan aboard the TCG Kınalıada, an anti-submarine warfare (ASW) corvette, was placed on its cover, which read: “Hagia Sophia, Syria, Libya, the Mediterranean … Erdoğan, war at our gates.”

Le Point’s editorial board appears to have translated French President Emmanuel Macron, who has been bewildered by Turkey’s Libya initiative, into text. By the “war at our gates,” they meant French interests being placed at risk in North Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean. The magazine aimed to portray Erdoğan as “destructive, belligerent and imperial” – as one of their 2019 covers suggested.

Their topics of choice – Hagia Sophia, Syria, Libya and the Mediterranean – were not coincidental either. Those were the sites of Turkey’s post-July 15 foreign policy moves – along with Hagia Sophia. All those issues reflect Turkey’s claim of independence and active agency in the international system over the last four years. Western media outlets have been calling Erdoğan an Islamist, a neo-Ottomanist, an authoritarian and a “sultan” since the Davos moment in 2009. Those labels became more commonly used after 2013, and reached a whole new level after 2016.

Erdoğan’s critics account for his emergence as an active leader in the international system through his rhetoric and new initiatives, with a “yearning for empire.” They sometimes talk about Turkey, once a secular, democratic and Western nation, turning into an Islamist, authoritarian and Oriental country. Other times, they attempt to fuel ideological polarization by referring to revanchism against the Republic and Mustafa Kemal Atatürk. All of those labels are merely intended to sentence Turkey’s newfound agency. After all, European governments must watch what Turkey is saying and doing with regard to various issues now. The European Union’s members are appalled by this new Turkey. They cannot terminate Turkey’s membership talks, threaten sanctions or offer the Turks more money.

Anti-Turkish groups within the EU nowadays fuel an Ottoman fear, which we imagined to be an exclusively Greek obsession, and threaten to punish Turkey. People like Josep Borrell, the EU’s minister for foreign affairs, who are still in touch with reality, highlight shared strategic interests by ruling out fresh crusades. There are many areas where Europe could cooperate with Turkey by redefining this ever-meaningless alliance: refugees, counterterrorism, energy, Syria, Libya, the Eastern Mediterranean, North Africa, NATO, Russia, etc.

It is unfair to describe the Justice and Development Party’s (AK Party) 18-year-old government and the People’s Alliance’s four-year history as a yearning for an empire. The age of empires is long gone. This is the time of strong nation-states rising. Global and regional turbulence clearly force Turkey to embrace fresh military activism. For the record, Turkey was the last country to become militarily involved in Syria, Iraq, the Eastern Mediterranean and Libya. The country has no expansionist or imperial agenda in any of those places. It merely seeks to protect its national security interests proactively. In response to military impositions to undermine diplomacy, Turkey resorts to hard power for negotiation purposes.

So what are the reasons behind Turkey’s new activism? The emerging power vacuum in the Middle East and North Africa due to the U.S.’ withdrawal. Turkey’s Western allies abandoning Ankara and forcing it to work with Russia in the Syrian theater. Washington’s decision to arm the terrorist organization YPG/PKK, and the EU surrendering to Greece and France’s maximalist objectives.

There is no shortage of regional players turning to activism to fill that power vacuum. Notwithstanding Iran’s 40-year-old policy of ideological expansionism, Russia has been at the forefront in recent years. The Kremlin is preparing to set foot in Libya, after Syria, to dominate North Africa. At the same time, with the Armenian attack on Azerbaijan, it adds a new link to the chain between Syria, the Eastern Mediterranean and Libya. Meanwhile, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) plays a destabilizing role in Yemen, Libya, Tunisia, Morocco, Mauritania and Somalia – as dictated by Israel’s Middle East policy.

Either way, the strong nation-state promises to be our neighborhood’s top reality for a long time.

Kim Kardashian Urges Followers to Support Small Business in Armenia

July 6, 2020

Kim Kardashian West during her WCIT presentation on Oct. 8, 2019

Television personality and recently-minter billionaire Kim Kardashian has called on millions of her social media followers to support the development of small businesses in Armenia by donating to the Armenia Support Fund.

“Consider donating to Armenia Support Fund help provide COVID-19 aid to struggling small businesses in Armenia,” Kardashian tweeted.

In response to COVID-19, the Armenia Support Fund has partnered with The Paros Foundation to launch the Armenia COVID-19 Small Business Support Initiative.

Since 2006, The Paros Foundation  and it’s donors have partnered to implement humanitarian, educational, cultural and development projects. In their almost 15 years of service, Paros has completed more than 200 successful projects in Armenia and has raised over $7 million.

Azerbaijan Reports Clashes at Border With Armenia, Says Both Sides Suffer Losses

Sputnik
 
 
 
© AFP 2020 / KAREN MINASYAN
 
BAKU (Sputnik) – Armenian military opened fire at the border with Azerbaijan on Sunday, provoking clashes that resulted in losses on both sides, the Azerbaijani Defence Ministry said on Sunday.
 
“Starting from the afternoon on 12 July, units of the Armenian armed forces, grossly violating the ceasefire on the direction of the Tovuz region of the Azerbaijani-Armenian state border, subjected to fire … our positions using artillery mounts. There are losses on both sides”, the ministry said in a press release, published on its official website.
 
Separately, the press service said that two Azerbaijani servicemen have been killed, and five others have sustained injuries.
 
“As a result of adequate measures, the enemy suffered losses and retreated”, the press service added.
 
The conflict between Baku and Yerevan over Nagorno-Karabakh began in February 1988, when the Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Region announced its secession from Azerbaijan. During the 1992-1994 armed conflict, Azerbaijan lost control of Nagorno-Karabakh and seven surrounding areas. Since 1992, negotiations have been ongoing for a peaceful resolution to the conflict within the framework of the OSCE Minsk Group, led by co-chairs Russia, the United States, and France.

COVID-19: Armenia reports 489 new cases, 710 recoveries in one day

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 11:06,

YEREVAN, JULY 11, ARMENPRESS. 489 new cases of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) have been registered in Armenia in the past 24 hours, bringing the total number of confirmed cases to 31,392, the National Center for Disease Control and Prevention said today.

710 more patients have recovered. The total number of recoveries has reached 19,419.

13 people have died in one day, raising the death toll to 559.

The number of active cases stands at 11,234.

The number of people who had a coronavirus but died from other disease has reached 180 (3 new such cases).

So far, 133,104 people have passed COVID-19 testing.

Reporting by Norayr Shoghikyan; Editing and Translating by Aneta Harutyunyan