‘Trips to this part of the world have been enjoyable’ – Irish football fans face lengthy journey to Armenia

May 31 2022
by Tom Byrne

31 May 2022 4:33 PM

The Republic of Ireland are gearing up to play their UEFA Nations League opener against Armenia on Saturday. The Boys in Green face four Nations League fixtures in the space of 10 days, which includes two away trips – Yerevan in Armenia and Lodz in Poland to play Ukraine.

Stephen Kenny’s side, along with the most dedicated of Irish supporters, will travel over 4,000 kilometres to the Armenian capital to support their country this weekend. The Irish fans are regarded as some of the most passionate international football supporters worldwide and this Saturday will be no different when they descend on a scorching Armenia – with temperatures potentially hitting as high as 34°C.

There have been protests in Yerevan in recent weeks due to their government’s approach to their relationship with Azerbaijan, which appears unresolved since the six-week war in 2020. The Armenian police clashed with protesters in the city on Monday which prompted the FAI to send a security delegation to Armenia ahead of the Irish team travelling east on Wednesday.

The recent protests have caught the attention of Irish supporters travelling to the game but it won’t put a stop to those who booked the lengthy trip.

The Hegarty family, who are part of the Wexford Republic of Ireland Soccer Supporters Club, are looking forward to the journey across Europe albeit having a bit of bother rebooking and rescheduling cancelled flights.

Irish fan Robbie Hegarty, who lives in Enniscorthy, explained that he had to rebook different flights a few times due to complications and cancelled flights with airline Wizz Air.

Now sorted, the Hegarty family will fly from Dublin to Poznan, Poland on Wednesday and spend a night in the Polish city. They will then travel to the Polish capital Warsaw on Thursday before they fly to Yerevan that night. After a three and half hour journey, they will arrive in Yerevan in the early hours of Friday morning.

“I am going for a 2-0 win for the Boys in Green on Saturday!” Robbie said ahead of his flight to Poznan.

Another Irish supporter, Ronan Coleman from Galway city, said: “I am travelling to Yerevan via Warsaw with four other supporters from Galway, Donegal and Limerick.

“At the moment, the leg of the journey I am most worried about is getting through security at Dublin Airport!

“This will be my fifth Ireland away match in the Caucasus region, previously I have visited Georgia three times and also Azerbaijan in October 2021.

“My trips to this part of the world have been enjoyable, and the people were very friendly to us. Armenia and Azerbaijan have effectively been at war for over thirty years. Anyone with an Azeri stamp on their passports, as many of us have, will expect an interrogation at Yerevan airport.”

He added: “High temperatures are anticipated, and the media tell us there are anti-government demonstrations in Yerevan. The priority will be to get in and out safely, hopefully with three points. I expect a small travelling support, maybe 200-300.

“Onwards and upwards to Lodz then!”

Armenian MP departs for Kazakhstan within frames of CSTO PA observer mission

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 12:56, 4 June 2022

YEREVAN, JUNE 4, ARMENPRESS. Member of Parliament of Armenia Hovik Aghazaryan, who is also a member of the Armenian parliamentary delegation to the CSTO Parliamentary Assembly, departed for Nur-Sultan on the sidelines of the CSTO PA observer mission for the June 5 referendum on constitutional amendments in Kazakhstan, the Armenian Parliament’s press service said.

Meetings were held with the leadership of the Senate and the Mazhilis, the representatives of the defense ministry and the central election commission.

Issus relating to the CSTO PA observer mission and the processes of holding the referendum were discussed.

Meetings with other officials are also planned.

Armenia amended agreement with US in field of biological safety

ARMINFO
Armenia – June 3 2022
Naira Badalian

ArmInfo.rmenia has amended the agreement with the United States in the field of biological safety. On June 2, the Government of the Republic of Armenia approved the  signing of the protocol to the agreement “On cooperation in the  prevention of the dissemination of technologies, pathogens and  knowledge that can be used in the development of biological weapons”,  signed in September 2010.

, the document says.  It is noted  that, given the forthcoming adoption of the Comprehensive Law on  Biosafety and Biosecurity, which regulates the field of biological  safety and clearly establishes the absence of any obligations on the  state to transfer pathogen samples to any country, and also based on  the need to ensure a balanced policy with partners in the field of  biological security, it is proposed to amend paragraph 5 of Article  IV accordingly. “It should be noted that this is in line with the  foreign policy of the Republic of Armenia and the international  obligations assumed,” the conclusion says. 

Greek Deputy Defense Minister visits National Defense Research University in Yerevan

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 17:36, 3 June 2022

YEREVAN, JUNE 3, ARMENPRESS. The delegation led by Deputy Minister of National Defense of Greece Nikos Chardalias visited today the Armenian Defense Ministry’s National Defense Research University, the ministry said in a news release.

The guests were introduced on the history of the foundation of the University, its main activity directions and educational programs.

Head of the National Defense Research University, Major-General Genadi Tavaratsyan and the Greek Deputy Defense Minister highlighted the development of the Armenian-Greek friendly ties and mutual partnership, including in the field of military education.

AW: Dr. Sharon Chekijian collaborates with AUA to develop Armenia’s emergency response systems

Dr. Sharon Chekijian

Dr. Sharon Anoush Chekijian is an esteemed medical doctor, director and assistant professor of emergency medicine at the Yale School of Medicine who recently joined the exclusive group of ChangeMakers of the American University of Armenia (AUA). With a strong belief in the power of education to take Armenia towards a brighter future, she is committed to extending her personal and professional expertise to the next generation of forward-thinkers and leaders.  

Dr. Chekijian has partnered with AUA in the past, contributing to the growth of the university and student success in different ways. Her philanthropic comportment was imparted to her by her family — her father Yervant Chekijian and late uncle Samuel Chekijian, both AUA Pillars. “Our family has always believed in the power of education to change lives, countries and destinies. I believe that is because we have experienced the power of education firsthand,” said Dr. Chekijian.

Born to an Armenian family from Jerusalem with ancestral roots in Zeytoun and Marash, Dr. Chekijian was raised in the Boston area of Massachusetts and currently resides in Connecticut. The granddaughter of genocide survivors Mary (née Zümrüt Norashkharian) and Youhanna Chekijian, she reflects on how this heritage has colored her worldview, strengthening her desire to work hard and aspire to success in honor of the invincible will and strength of her grandparents. “As children and grandchildren of genocide survivors, we know everything can be taken away from you, but not your education. We also know that the future of a brilliant and prosperous Armenia lies in the education of those who will continue to grow and transform the country.”

Dr. Chekijian remembers her first trip to Armenia during the First Artsakh War. She spent the summer with a special educational exemption through the AGBU/University of Michigan summer language program — a trip that preceded a critical time for the nation and served as a catalyst for her dedication to the Armenian cause. “On our return flight on Aeroflot via Paris, we learned that the Soviet Union had collapsed while we were in the air. This heralded a lifelong fascination with the birth and subsequent shaping of the newly independent Republic of Armenia,” she says.  

Though AUA was founded soon after her return home, she was first introduced to the university while in medical school. Upon applying for funding to work on a project titled, “Legal, Professional, Public and Policy Barriers to the Development of Organ Donation and Transplantation Programs in the Republic of Armenia” — which later served as the basis of her thesis — she met Dr. Varduhi Petrosyan, current dean of the AUA Turpanjian College of Health Sciences (CHS)

“Dr. Petrosyan was one of the researchers in this project at the start of my career. The work I did that summer introduced me to people who have become lifelong collaborators. Since then, AUA has been a home away from home for all of my work and projects in Armenia that focus on emergency medical systems, cardio-pulmonary resuscitation, traffic safety, and stroke care,” she explains, adding that she is currently working on a grant that combines many of these areas of interest.

In 2020, Dr. Chekijian became a Fulbright Scholar, continuing her work with CHS. “AUA was a natural partner and home for me, and the Fulbright Program allows me to advance my work in emergency care program development in Armenia.” Dr. Chekijian is working to optimize emergency systems and establish a novel emergency medicine residency program in cooperation with the Armenian Ministry of Health’s National Institute of Health. She is collaborating with colleagues at AUA on the research component of this initiative.

Dr. Chekijian emphasizes the value of developing emergency systems and disaster preparedness, something she thinks has been grossly undervalued, both in Armenia and globally. She had submitted her proposal right before March 2020, after which Armenia was drawn into the ravages of both COVID-19 and the 2020 Artsakh War, overwhelming the nation and its healthcare system. The timing of the Fulbright grant she was awarded perfectly lined up with her intent. 

Further underlining the importance of a functional emergency care system, she cites global statistics that suggest Armenian citizens are at an unusually high risk for disaster in multiple ways, 2020 standing as an unfortunate example of being caught unaware and unprepared for the danger that ensued. She explains, “Emergency response relies on a functional emergency care system. The global burden of disease has recently shifted toward trauma and non-communicable diseases. The World Bank estimates that, in low- and middle-income countries, more than 50-percent of deaths and 40-percent of the disease burden could be alleviated with adequate emergency medical care.” She elaborated that the silver lining in all this is that we recognize the amplified value that emergency response systems would bring and are aware of the work we have to do in Armenia to strengthen these systems.

Through the AUA Open Centers of Excellence, such as the Open Center for Transformative Health Solutions, students and faculty are able to collaborate with private and public stakeholders to develop processes that will address areas lacking within the national framework. “The development of emergency care systems can multiply the functioning of the health system overall and improve outcomes for all other disease processes,” Dr. Chekijian notes. “Weak delivery systems are especially dangerous when pushed to their limit, potentially due to a pandemic, a foreign attack, or a natural disaster resulting in mass casualties. Some cite cost as a reason not to strengthen emergency care and response, but globally, the development of emergency systems has proven to be an extremely efficient way to provide care across many different conditions. Surprisingly, emergency care is among the most cost-effective public health interventions.” 

As an AUA ChangeMaker, Dr. Chekijian is happy to see that AUA students have already been introduced to these concepts, resulting in heightened interest in the subjects. “Our current students will lead the charge to right these wrongs and shore up our safety in the future. It’s my hope that AUA will become a regional center of excellence in the areas of disaster preparedness and injury prevention across the region and especially across Central Asia, where very few people are working in this field,” she urges.

In conclusion, she paraphrases Luke 12:48: “To whom much is given, much will be required.” AUA is grateful for the longtime support of the Chekijian family and highly values the commitment of Dr. Chekijian as a ChangeMaker for the University.




Turkish press: Opening of Zangezur corridor ‘great political achievement’: Envoy

A view from an event to mark Azerbaijan’s national day, Erzurum, Turkey, . (DHA)

The provision regarding the opening of the Zangezur corridor, one of the main provisions of the Tripartite Declaration signed on Nov. 10, 2020, between the presidents of Azerbaijan and Russia and Armenia’s prime minister, is a “great political achievement, a historic victory,” Azerbaijan’s ambassador to Turkey told Anadolu Agency (AA) in an exclusive interview.

“I can say that the Zangezur corridor will create new transport opportunities not only for Azerbaijan but also for the whole region. This corridor will provide the shortest road link between China and Europe and will promote closer integration between Europe and Asia,” said Rashad Mammadov, adding the realization of the corridor will ensure the establishment of direct land connections of the main part of Azerbaijan with both the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic and Turkey.

Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev on May 23 said that Baku agreed with Yerevan on the opening of the Zangezur corridor, including the construction of both railways and highways.

“As President Ilham Aliyev said, the Zangezur corridor is already a reality. The whole world has accepted this,” Mammadov said.

“Although Armenia has long tried to prevent the construction of this corridor under various pretexts, there is already progress in this direction. During the meeting between the president of Azerbaijan and the prime minister of Armenia in Brussels a few days ago, it was agreed, among other issues, to open the Zangezur corridor, including the construction of both roads and railways,” he stressed.

Mammadov emphasized his country believes the soonest implementation of the project will also contribute to “lasting peace and development in the region.”

He underlined that the corridor will play an “important role” in connecting East-West and North-South international transport corridors and diversifying transport lines.

“One of the most important aspects of the Zangezur corridor is that it will connect the Turkic world. Thus, the geography of the torn Turkic world will be connected with transport and logistics projects,” he added.

Mammadov also recalled that the presidents of Azerbaijan and Turkey laid the foundation of the Zangezur corridor – the Horadiz-Jabrayil-Zangilan-Agband highway – on Oct. 26 last year, noting that the construction of the 123.6-kilometer (76.8-mile) highway is underway.

Zangezur was part of Azerbaijan, but in the 1920s, the Soviets gave the region to Armenia. After this move, Azerbaijan lost its direct overland route with Nakhchivan.

Azerbaijan has focused on projects in the Zangezur corridor that will include motorways and rail lines. Baku and Moscow will also negotiate for the construction of a 43-kilometer railway in the region. Russia has railway properties in Armenia.

Following the completion of the railway, Azerbaijan will be able to reach Iran, Armenia and Nakhchivan uninterruptedly by train. The railway will also link Turkey with Russia through Azerbaijan.

Relations between the two former Soviet countries of Azerbaijan and Armenia have been tense since 1991 when the Armenian military illegally occupied Nagorno-Karabakh, a territory internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan, and seven adjacent regions.

New clashes erupted on Sept. 27, 2020, and the 44-day conflict saw Azerbaijan liberate several cities and over 300 settlements and villages that were occupied by Armenia for almost three decades.

A tripartite agreement was brokered by Russia to bring an end to the war in November 2020. Turkey was a key backer of Azerbaijan during the 44-day war.

“After 44 days of the Patriotic War, the first task of our state was to prepare for the great return, to restore our cities and villages that were plundered and destroyed under the enemy occupation for 30 years,” Mammadov said.

The ambassador pointed out that the “great victory” has given the internally displaced compatriots a “chance to return to their native lands,” adding that this, however, also takes some time.

“During the occupation, Armenia destroyed more than 900 towns and villages. There was not a single healthy residential building or infrastructure in most of the area. Agdam, once one of the most beautiful and developed cities in the South Caucasus, has been compared to Hiroshima after the occupation. More than 150,000 houses, more than 9,000 administrative buildings and over 700 school buildings were completely destroyed in the liberated areas,” he said.

Mammadov went on to say that not only Azerbaijan’s settlements but also its historical and cultural monuments have been “destroyed and looted.”

“The most brutal victims were Islamic religious monuments. Of the 67 official mosques in Karabakh, 63 were completely destroyed and four were partially destroyed,” he said.

Mammadov said most of the liberated area is mined, and following the end of the war, lots of Azerbaijani military personnel and civilians were killed or wounded by land mines.

“Unfortunately, Armenia refuses to give mine maps to Azerbaijan, grossly violating all norms of international humanitarian law,” he said.

In order to create a “healthy and safe living environment” for the people, Mammadov said the Azerbaijani government carries out demining activities in these areas using the latest technology, where “as always, brotherly Turkey supports” the country in this task.

“Given that mines pose a serious risk to the population, demining activities are carried out intensively in parallel with rehabilitation and reconstruction work,” he said.

The envoy underlined that “important work” is being done to ensure the “great return” to the liberated territories, such as the restoration and reconstruction of cities and villages and restoration of electricity, natural gas, water and communications lines as well as the construction of roads along with the establishment of education, health, culture, housing and communal services, and the construction of houses and other necessary infrastructure work.

Currently, “huge infrastructure projects” are being implemented and the necessary measures are being taken to ensure the “comfortable settlement” of people in those areas, he said, adding plans are in the works for three airports to operate in the region, including Fuzuli airport, constructed last year, Zangilan airport, which is under construction and scheduled to open this year, and Lachin airport set to be constructed in 2024.

“Taking into account that the energy factor plays a decisive role in the restoration and development of the territories, work is underway to apply green technologies and smart systems in the region. It is planned to turn the Karabakh region into a green energy zone,” he said.

Mammadov said the return of the first internally displaced persons (IDPs) is expected to begin in Zangilan, where one of the main projects in the region – a smart village – is set to be implemented with the cooperation of Turkish companies.

“We hope that the work done to restore the region will be completed soon and our compatriots who have been displaced for more than 30 years will return to their lands,” he said.

The roots of relations between Azerbaijan and Turkey – “the children of the same father” -– run deep in history with a common language, religion, culture and other interconnectedness that bring people closer to each other, the ambassador said.

“There are no other countries in the world as close as Azerbaijan and Turkey, which always support each other unconditionally,” he added.

Recalling that Turkey was the first country to recognize Azerbaijan’s independence reestablished in 1991, Mammadov said diplomatic relations were established between the two states on Jan. 14, 1992, which marked its 30th anniversary this year.

“Relations between Azerbaijan and Turkey are currently at the highest stage of development. These relations are based on the mutual respect and love of both states and peoples,” he said.

Mammadov also hailed Turkey’s moral and political support of Azerbaijan in the 44-day Patriotic War, which helped Azerbaijan’s voice to be heard on all international platforms, which “once again demonstrated the unshakable brotherhood to the world.”

He highlighted that the Shusha Declaration signed between the two countries on June 15, 2021, in the city of Shusha, the cultural capital of Azerbaijan, raised these relations to the “level of an alliance.”

The Shusha Declaration focuses on defense cooperation and establishing new transportation routes, affirming the two armies’ joint efforts in the face of foreign threats, and the restructuring and modernization of their armed forces.

Speaking on economic ties, Mammadov said mutual investments serve to strengthen the economic power of both countries.

“Turkish companies are currently closely involved with Azerbaijani companies in the reconstruction of the liberated Karabakh region,” he said.

The energy projects implemented jointly by Azerbaijan and Turkey are becoming increasingly important for Europe’s energy security, Mammadov said.

“In general, Azerbaijani-Turkish relations, established on the basis of the far-sighted policy of our heads of state, create new opportunities not only for these two countries but for the entire region and play a special role in prosperity, development, long-term peace and stability in the region,” he concluded.

Armenia calls for finalizing Iran-EAEU free trade agreement

TEHRAN  TIMES
– 16:20

TEHRAN – Armenian Prime minister Nikol Pashinyan has said Yerevan welcomes the finalization of a free trade agreement between Iran and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), IRNA reported.

Pashinyan made the remarks at the first meeting of the Supreme Eurasian Economic Council which was held in Bishkek on Friday.

“I consider it important to draw attention to Armenia’s interest in concluding a full-fledged free trade agreement between Iran and the EAEU. The experience of the functioning of the interim agreement with Tehran clearly shows the attractiveness of the Iranian market and the prospects for further deepening cooperation… We also want to start negotiations on concluding an agreement between the Union and Indonesia,” Pashinyan said.

The official noted that the union attaches importance to utilizing international treaties in order to minimize the challenges and menaces of unprecedented economic crises, which happened in recent months.

After several years of negotiations, Iran and EAEU finally reached a preferential trade agreement in 2018 based on which about 862 commodity items are subject to preferential tariffs. The PTA came into effect on October 27, 2019.

Iran and the EAEU have listed 862 types of commodities in their three-year provisional trade agreement. As per the deal, Iran will enjoy easier export terms and lower customs duties on 502 items, and the same go for 360 items from the EAEU member countries.

Since the preferential trade agreement is to expire in October this year, the two sides are negotiating to upgrade the preferential trade agreement to a free trade agreement by the end of 2022.

EF/MG

Armenian satellite will remain in the orbit of the planet Earth for at least 4 years

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 17:57,

YEREVAN, MAY 26, ARMENPRESS. The launch of the first space satellite of the Republic of Armenia into the orbit of the planet Earth is an important infrastructure for the development of the sphere in the country, ARMENPRESS reports Deputy Minister of High-Tech Industry Davit Sahakyan mentioned told the journalists.

“This process started a long time ago, but was most active in 2022. It is a powerful infrastructure for building a space ecosystem in the country. During the Soviet years, Armenian scientists made great achievements in this field, now, taking into account the previous experience, we try to restore the success of the past. The ecosystem is multi-layered, it involves the production of space equipment, software development, etc. Armenia has that potential,” said the Deputy Minister, adding that the goal is to promote the activation and development of enterprises operating in the sphere.

An important component in the development of the sector is the establishment of a satellite control center and receiving station. The Deputy Minister noted that numerous events are planned in a number of directions for the activation and development of the sphere in Armenia. There are already companies in the field that have registered results in terms of attracting tangible financial resources. They are successful not only in the Armenian market but also abroad.

The Deputy Minister did not provide details on the process of launching the first space satellite of the Republic of Armenia into orbit, taking into account confidentiality. He only mentioned that the satellite will remain in the orbit of the planet for at least 4 years.

AW: Pashinyan and Aliyev meet in Brussels again: What next

Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, European Council President Charles Michel, and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan meet in Brussels (Charles Michel, Twitter, )

On May 22, 2022, Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Aliyev met in Brussels. The meeting was facilitated by the President of the European Council Charles Michel. For many observers, the May 22 trilateral meeting created a feeling of déjà vu. The same leaders were in Brussels less than two months ago. On April 6, 2022, Michel organized another meeting between Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders with the same sequence and results. Michel met separately with two leaders, then they held hours-long trilateral discussions, and late in the night, he published a statement summarizing the results. On April 6, participants discussed the same issues as on May 22 – the restoration of communications, the start of the border delimitation and demarcation process, and the launch of negotiations to sign a bilateral Armenia-Azerbaijan treaty. 

These three issues are also being discussed in Moscow during meetings mediated by Russia. After and before April 6, Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders spoke with Russian President Putin. On May 12, Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian ministers of foreign affairs met in Dushanbe. The establishment of two parallel negotiation platforms resulted from the de facto collapse of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairmanshipthe only body with an international mandate to mediate the settlement of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict. The co-chairmanship found itself in an intensive care unit after the 2020 Karabakh war and lost its last functional features after the start of Russia’s “special military operation” in Ukraine. The co-chairmanship embodied the joint Russia-West involvement in the Karabakh conflict. When Russia-West relations became ruined entirely after February 24, the mediation process was split into two separate tracks. 

On April 6, 2022, Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed to establish a border demarcation commission until the end of April. The sides reached the principal agreement on this issue back in November 2021 during a trilateral meeting in Sochi. As both sides failed to keep the agreed timetable, this issue was brought up again during the May 22 meeting, and finally, Armenia and Azerbaijan published the personal composition of commissions on May 23. On May 24, the first meeting between heads of the commissions took place on the Armenia-Azerbaijan border. This process may take years or even decades. Azerbaijan and Armenia disagree on the legal framework of the process and maps to be used. Given the sensitivity of these issues, any quick solutions are improbable. Armenia has not finalized its border demarcation even with friendly Georgia.

The restoration of communications is another tricky issue. The work started in early 2021, as Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia established a trilateral commission led by deputy prime ministers. Again, all agreed timetables were breached, and no commission meeting took place after December 2021. The sides presumably agreed on the railroad route – Azerbaijan-Armenia (Syunik)-Nakhichevan, Armenia-Nakhichevan-Iran, Armenia-Azerbaijan-Russia. During several meetings held in Brussels and Moscow, statements have been made that the sides also agreed on border control, customs fee, transit procedures and other issues. 

However, immediately after every meeting, Armenia and Azerbaijan interpreted the results differently. Azerbaijan speaks about the agreement to open the “Zangezur corridor,” meaning no Armenian border and customs control for Azerbaijani persons and goods passing through Syunik. Otherwise, Azerbaijan demands establishing border and customs control in the Lachin corridor, which connects Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh and is currently controlled by Russian peacekeepers. Armenia rejects these ideas and claims that the Azerbaijan-Nakhichevan connection via Armenia has nothing to do with the Lachin corridor and that Armenia will implement border and customs control. The same contradictions also appeared after the May 22 meeting. President Aliyev told President Erdogan that an agreement was reached in Brussels to establish the “Zangezur corridor.” At the same time, the secretary of the Armenian security council stated that Armenia never discussed anything within corridor logic.

Armenia has yet to start any work to restore the railway in the Syunik region along the Araks river, arguing that a separate agreement should be signed with Azerbaijan before starting the work. Azerbaijan recently signed agreements with Iran to create a transport corridor to Nakhichevan via Iran by constructing highway and railway bridges that would connect Azerbaijan with Iran and Iran with Nakhichevan. Thus, despite optimistic statements after each meeting, much is unclear in this track. 

However, the most significant issue is the final status of Nagorno Karabakh, which should be fixed in the Armenia-Azerbaijan bilateral treaty. The status of Nagorno Karabakh is the core issue of the conflict, and no conflict settlement is possible without addressing it. Here we have some interesting developments. Since February 1988, Armenia, Nagorno Karabakh and Azerbaijan have had apparent positions. Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh have been claiming that NK cannot be part of Azerbaijan, while Baku has argued that Karabakh should be part of Azerbaijan with or without autonomy. 

However, it seems that the Armenian government has changed its position and is ready to recognize NK as part of Azerbaijan if Azerbaijan protects the rights of the Armenian population. The Armenian Prime Minister hinted at this during his press conferences in December 2021 and January 2022 and during his speech in Parliament on April 13, 2022. The Western partners welcomed this change of attitude of the Armenian government, viewing it as a possibility to finally settle the Karabakh conflict and bring long-term stability to the region. The quest for peace and stability is not the only motive behind the West’s positive attitude toward the change in the Armenian government’s approach. The West believes that if Armenia and Azerbaijan agree on the status of Nagorno Karabakh, Azerbaijan may demand the withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers from Karabakh after November 2025. 

The withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers from Karabakh will decrease the Russian influence in Azerbaijan and the South Caucasus. It is entirely in line with the Russia containment strategy pursued by the West. Meanwhile, Russia has a strategic goal to have a permanent military presence in Nagorno Karabakh. Russia understands that military presence is possible only if Armenians continue to live in Nagorno Karabakh. The Kremlin also believes that the Armenia-Azerbaijan agreement on NK status may pave the way for Azerbaijan’s and the West’s demands to withdraw Russian troops from NK. As for Armenians in Karabakh, their position is very straightforward: Nagorno Karabakh will never be part of Azerbaijan under any circumstances. Thus, Russia is interested in launching Armenia-Azerbaijan negotiations over the bilateral treaty and does not want to see Armenia signing a document that will declare NK as part of Azerbaijan. In this context, if the Armenian government proceeds toward legally recognizing NK as part of Azerbaijan, it will jeopardize the vital national interests of Armenia and antagonize Russia. By legally recognizing NK as part of Azerbaijan in the future Armenia-Azerbaijan treaty, the Armenian government will contribute to Western efforts to decrease Russian influence in the South Caucasus. However, as the majority of the politically active part of the Armenian society rejects this option, and as Russia does not want to see being pushed out of the region, the likelihood of the Armenian government’s recognition of NK as part of Azerbaijan is little. In the coming months and years, we will probably see the slow advancement on all three Armenia-Azerbaijan tracks, but any real breakthroughs are unlikely.

Dr. Benyamin Poghosyan is the founder and chairman of the Center for Political and Economic Strategic Studies. He was the former vice president for research – head of the Institute for National Strategic Studies at the National Defense Research University in Armenia. In March 2009, he joined the Institute for National Strategic Studies as a research Fellow and was appointed as INSS Deputy Director for research in November 2010. Dr. Poghosyan has prepared and managed the elaboration of more than 100 policy papers which were presented to the political-military leadership of Armenia, including the president, the prime minister and the Minister of Foreign Affairs. Dr. Poghosyan has participated in more than 50 international conferences and workshops on regional and international security dynamics. His research focuses on the geopolitics of the South Caucasus and the Middle East, US – Russian relations and their implications for the region, as well as the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative. He is the author of more than 200 academic papers and articles in different leading Armenian and international journals. In 2013, Dr. Poghosyan was a Distinguished Research Fellow at the US National Defense University College of International Security Affairs. He is a graduate from the US State Department Study of the US Institutes for Scholars 2012 Program on US National Security Policy Making. He holds a PhD in history and is a graduate from the 2006 Tavitian Program on International Relations at Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy.


Cenbank says growth could be higher than 1,6% projection

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 16:08,

YEREVAN, MAY 24, ARMENPRESS. The Armenian Central Bank could revise the 1,6% growth projection.

Cenbank Governor Martin Galstyan said it is a “rather possible scenario”. However, inflation can also grow.

Lawmaker Gevorg Papoyan (Civil Contract) asked Galstyan whether or not the cenbank’s raising of the refinancing rate by 1,25% was appropriate given that the developments unfolded positively.

“The positive direction of the developments will contribute to stronger inflation background,” Galstyan answered. He said that the economy could grow in higher paces compared to the 1,6%.

“This is a rather possible scenario, at this moment looking at the preliminary figures we have a picture that compared to 1,6% we could have higher economic growth. And, if this higher economic growth will have the spending made by international visitors in its base, which create additional demand, the inflation background will not weaken – which would allow us to lower the rate – but it will actually get stronger, coupled with inflation pressures from the foreign sector, as well as the risks. In this case a certain revision of growth could happen,” he said.

He said the increase of the refinancing rate by 1,25% in March wasn’t only proportionate, but also mild.