UNKNOWN OF POWER
The political developments preceding the presidential elections in
Armenia, at least in terms of the behavior of the main political
subjects, gradually come out of the influence of internal issues and
appear within the influence of fight of foreign centers for Armenia.
But, even in this case, home issues are still the basis of key
importance for political developments which are in the field of
foreign influence.
The point is that the foreign political centers can’t but take
into account the Armenian reality the key issue of which is the
social-psychological situation and its aftermaths – emigration,
social apathy, depression, mistrust, disappointment towards almost
all the members of the political system.
In order to overcome this situation, Armenia needs large financial
investments. The West will have the necessary ground, i.e. active and
modern society, for the long-term partnership relations with Armenia
only the help of financial resources.
In this context, though, it is surprising that the conference of
donors for Armenia was postponed which would provide investments of
at least several millions. While Russia benefits from the lack of
investments and the social-psychological hard situation in the result
and the social apathy.
So why did the West delay the conference? The point is that the
West will give money to Armenia only in case it is sure that it will
serve for reforms and withdrawal of Armenia from under the Russian
destructive supremacy. While, there are no precedents in Armenia for
such a future, or all the precedents are not worth several million
or billion investments.
Perhaps this is the reason why the West in crisis avoids investing
big money in Armenia if they are possible to serve Russia that the
West itself.
No accident, parallel to the statement on the delay of the conference
of donors, EU high ranking officials recalled to Serzh Sargsyan
about the necessity of reforms and corruption fight. In other words,
Serzh Sargsyan was reminded that until the power issue is not solved
in Armenia and until it is in several points, Armenia can’t expect
big money from the West since the latter does not want to throw away
its money.
The power issue in Armenia is open to such an extent that if an air
blew it could sweep all the money away.
Serzh Sargsyan is unable to solve this issue. He only manages to make
sure no other force, in particular the PAP and Robert Kocharyan solve
that issue. They are currently the main rivals of Serzh Sargsyan.
Sargsyan solved the issue in the Armenian National Congress, though
Robert Kocharyan and the Prosperous Armenia are intensively trying
to restore the political influence of Congress, controlling it at
the same time in order to be more influential against Serzh Sargsyan.
In this governmental fight, Serzh Sargsyan will have to think out
systemic changes not because the Western community demands it,
which is the actual sponsor of Serzh Sargsyan’s de jure power, but
also because it is time to demand systemic changes since the acting
system has exhausted itself in material and resource terms.
These changes suppose for the violation of rights of the
criminal-oligarchic field, at least in terms of individuals. But,
this means that those who remain offended may join the circle of
supporters of Robert Kocharyan and PAP. Serzh Sargsyan can’t but be
worry about this, which is expressed in the formed of the process of
elimination of individual members of the oligarchic system.
This makes the power issue insolvable and a closed circuit involving
everyone comes up around neck of the state.
The solution seems to be this: either everyone leaves leaving the
solution of the power issue to the new generation, or everyone decides
to review their deeds and to come out of the closed circuit.
But, judging by the quality of the political system of Armenia and
its traditions and stereotypes, the second version is impossible. In
terms of the same thinking, world vision, psychology and values,
it is almost impossible also the first version.
Apparently, the most possible is the third version – the decision of
the young generation to broaden the process of power realization and
to increase dynamics and its implementation. It already exists and
it is express in the form of different initiatives. But time demands
broadening and intensification of these activities.
Realization of the power does not mean coming to power. Here, there
is a delicate instinctive limit which defines the decisions and the
actions because the citizen of Armenia has no issue of coming to power
in accordance with the Constitution because it already belongs to the
citizen, and second, the young generation has the power a priori:
the concept of youth if psychologically healthy and complete is a
synonym to the power, it is just necessary to realize the power.
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