Tehran to host Iran-Azerbaijan-Turkey foreign ministerial meeting

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 13:44,

YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 23, ARMENPRESS. The foreign ministers of Iran, Azerbaijan and Turkey will hold a meeting in Tehran, according to Tasnim news agency.

According to the report the agreement to hold the meeting in Tehran was reached during Turkish FM Mevult Cavusoglu and Iranian FM Hossein Amir-Abdollahian’s recent meeting at the 76th session of the United Nations General Assembly.

The Iranian FM said at the meeting that the new developments taking place in the region require regular consultations between the countries.

Editing and Translating by Stepan Kocharyan

Zakharova: Russia has told Baku about its position on the Turkish-Azerbaijani joint military exercises

News.am, Armenia
Sept 16 2021

Russia has told Baku about its position on the Turkish-Azerbaijani military exercises. This is what Spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Maria Zakharova said during her weekly briefing.

According to her, the Azerbaijani side has accepted the position with understanding.

Zakharova added that she will refrain from making comments, but clarified that the Russian MFA is always in contact with its Azerbaijani colleagues and is closely following the situation in certain sectors of the border between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

Ankara and Baku recently held three joint military exercises, and servicemen of Pakistan’s armed forces participated in one of them, that is, the “Three Brothers-2021” military exercises.


Is it time for the US to leave Incirlik airbase in Turkey?

The Greek Current Podcast
Sept 2021

Michael Rubin joins The Greek Current to discuss his op-ed titled “The one foreign base Biden should abandon”, and explains why it’s time for the US to end its military presence in Turkey. We also look at what impact the US withdrawal from Afghanistan and the broader region will have on the Middle East, as countries in the region begin to adjust to this new reality.

Prospects of Armenia-Turkey Rapprochement

Germany – Sept 10 2021

Potential Armenia-Turkey rapprochement could have a major influence on South Caucasus geopolitics. The opening of the border would allow Turkey to have a better connection with Azerbaijan beyond the link it already has with the Nakhchivan exclave. Moscow will not be entirely happy with the development as it would allow Yerevan to diversify its foreign policy and decrease dependence on Russia in economy. The process nevertheless is fraught with troubles as mutual distrust and the influence of the third parties could complicate the nascent rapprochement.

Over the past month Armenian and Turkish officials exchanged positive statements which signaled potential rapprochement between the two historical foes. For instance, the Armenian PM Nikol Pashinyan said that he was ready for reconciliation with Turkey “without preconditions.” “Getting back to the agenda of establishing peace in the region, I must say that we have received some positive public signals from Turkey. We will assess these signals, and we will respond to positive signals with positive signals,” the PM stated. Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said Ankara could work towards gradual normalization if Yerevan “declared its readiness to move in this direction.”

On a more concrete level Armenia has recently allowed Turkish Airlines to fly to Baku directly over Armenia. More significantly, Armenia’s recently unveiled five-year government action plan, approved by Armenia’s legislature, states that “Armenia is ready to make efforts to normalize relations with Turkey.” Normalization, if implemented in full, would probably take the form of establishing full-scale diplomatic relations. More importantly, the five-year plan stresses that Armenia will approach the normalization process “without preconditions” and says that establishing relations with Turkey is in “the interests of stability, security, and the economic development of the region.”

So far it has been just an exchange of positive statements, but the frequency nevertheless indicates that a certain trend is emerging. This could lead to intensive talks and possibly to improvement of bilateral ties. The timing is interesting. The results of the second Nagorno-Karabakh war served as a catalyzer. Though heavily defeated by Azerbaijan, Armenia sees the need to act beyond the historical grievances it holds against Turkey and be generally more pragmatic in foreign ties. In Yerevan’s calculation, the improvement of relations with Ankara could deprive Baku of some advantages. Surely, Azerbaijan-Turkey alliance will remain untouched, but the momentum behind it could decrease if Armenia establishes better relations with Turkey. The latter might not be as strongly inclined to push against Armenia as it has done so far, and specifically during the second Nagorno-Karabakh war. The willingness to improve the bilateral relations has been persistently expressed by Ankara over the past years. Perhaps the biggest effort was made in 2009 when the Zurich Protocols were signed leading to a brief thaw in bilateral relations. Though eventually unsuccessful (on March 1, 2018, Armenia announced the cancellation of the protocols), Ankara has often stressed the need of improvement of ties with Yerevan without demanding preconditions.

Beyond the potential establishment of diplomatic relations, the reopening of the two countries’ border, closed from early 1990s because of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and Turkey’s solidarity with and military and economic support for Azerbaijan, could also be a part of the arrangement. The opening of the 300 km border running along the Armenian regions of Shirak, Aragatsotn, Armavir, and Ararat could be a game-changer. The opening up of the border is essentially an opening of the entire South Caucasus region. The move would provide Armenia with a new market for its products and businesses. In the longer term it would allow the country to diversify its economy, lessen dependence on Russia and the fragile route which goes through Georgia. The reliance on the Georgian territory could be partially substituted by Azerbaijan-Armenia-Turkey route, though it should be also stressed that the Armenia transit would need considerable time to become fully operational.

Economic and connectivity diversification equals the diminution of Russian influence in the South Caucasus. In other words, the closed borders have always constituted the basis of Russian power in the region as most roads and railways have a northward direction. For Turkey an open border with Armenia is also beneficial as it would allow a freer connection with Azerbaijan. Improving the regional links is a cornerstone of Turkey’s position in the South Caucasus. In a way, the country has acted as a major disruptor. Through its military and active economic presence Turkey opens new railways and roads, thus steadily decreasing Russian geopolitical leverage over the South Caucasus.

As mentioned, both Ankara and Yerevan will benefit from potential rapprochement. It is natural to suggest that the potential improvement between Turkey and Armenia, Russia’s trustful ally, would not be possible without Moscow’s blessing. Russia expressed readiness to help Armenia and Turkey normalize their relations, saying that would boost peace and stability in the region. “Now too we are ready to assist in a rapprochement between the two neighboring states based on mutual respect and consideration of each other’s interests,” the Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman, Maria Zakharova, said. Yet, it is not entirely clear how the normalization would suit Russia’s interests. One possibility is that the Armenia-Turkey connection would allow Russia to have a direct land link with Turkey via Azerbaijan and Armenia. However, here too the benefits are doubtful. The route is long and will likely remain unreliable. For Russia trade with Turkey via the Black Sea will remain a primary route.

Presenting a positive picture in the South Caucasus could however be a misrepresentation of real developments on the ground. The Armenian-Turkish rapprochement is far from being guaranteed because of ingrained distrust between the two sides. Moreover, there is also the Azerbaijani factor. Baku will try to influence Ankara’s thinking lest the rapprochement goes against Azerbaijan’s interests. Moreover, as argued above, Russia too might not be entirely interested in the border opening. This makes the potential process of normalization fraught with numerous problems which could continuously undermine rapport improvement.

Thus, realism drives Turkish policy toward Armenia. Ankara needs better connections to the South Caucasus. Reliance on the Georgian transit route is critical, but diversification is no less important. The results of the Second Nagorno-Karabakh war present Turkey and Armenia with an opportunity to pursue the improvement of bilateral ties. Yet, the normalization could be under pressure from external players and deep running mutual distrust. Moreover, the two sides will need to walk a tightrope as a potential blowback from nationalist forces in Turkey and Armenia can complicate the process.

Emil Avdaliani is a professor at European University and the Director of Middle East Studies at Georgian think-tank, Geocase.


https://caucasuswatch.de/news/4072.html
The above also appears at
https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2021/09/10/prospects-of-armenia-turkey-rapprochement/

CSUN Lecturer Documents Stories From the Last Armenia/Azerbaijan Conflict


Sept 7 2021


CSUN criminology and justice studies lecturer Megan Mangassarian, front right, 
with a group of displaced children at a refugee hotel in Armenia. Photo courtesy of Megan Mangassarian.

They are stories California State University, Northridge criminology and justice studies lecturer Megan Mangassarian will never forget: Women and children fleeing bombings and drone attacks in the middle of the night, with no time to grab shoes or jackets. The young mother who still doesn’t know if her husband is dead or a prisoner of war after he volunteered to fight against the latest incursion by Azerbaijan forces.

Mangassarian is part of a team of lawyers in the United States and Armenia who founded the nonprofit Center for Truth and Justice earlier this year to document the stories of Armenian civilians caught in the latest conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

“When the war started, everyone in the U.S. Armenian community wanted to help,” Mangassarian said. “Everyone tried to figure out what their skillset was and in what way they could use those skills to help those being impacted by the war. We decided, as a group, that we were going to preserve testimonials and evidence of the war so that these stories never get lost.”

Megan Mangassarian shopping for underwear for displaced women in Armenia. Photo courtesy of Megan Mangassarian.

A tenuous ceasefire negotiated by Russia last November halted a 44-day war over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh, known as Artsakh by Armenians. Who has control over Nagorno-Karabakh has been the subject of often violent clashes between the two countries since the early 20th century. At least 6,500 people were killed, including dozens of civilians, in the latest conflict, which has forced thousands from their homes and led to the destruction of churches and other historical sites that date as far back as the fifth century.

Mangassarian and her colleagues at the Center for Truth and Justice are drawing on their professional expertise in collecting evidence and interviewing witnesses to preserve the accounts of the Armenian civilians caught in the middle of the latest conflict, for possible future court cases and to memorialize what has happened.

“There really is pressure to make sure that we are doing everything the right way, making sure we are following all the legal requirements and that we conduct ourselves with dignity and integrity, and with respect for what these people have gone through,” she said.

Mangassarian, who earned her bachelor’s degree in sociology, with an emphasis in criminology and criminal justice, from CSUN in 2012, teaches victimology — the study of the psychological effects on victims, relationships between victims and offenders, and the interactions between victims and the criminal justice system — as well as ethics in the criminal justice system, at CSUN. As a lawyer, she specializes in working with women and children who have been the victims of violence and sexual assault. She drew on those experiences for her work with the center.

Megan Mangassarian at the Armenian Noravank Monastery, built in the 13th century. Photo courtesy of Megan Mangassarian.

She traveled to Armenia last winter to see firsthand what survivors of the conflict were going through. She returned shortly thereafter to set up the Center for Truth and Justice as the country director for the organization.

During one of those trips, Mangassarian visited a hotel that was hosting more than 100 refugees from the conflict.

“While the hotel could give them a place to stay for free, it couldn’t give them everything they needed,” she said. “There were mostly women and children who fled their homes with practically nothing but the clothes on their backs. Some didn’t even have a chance to stop for shoes or jackets, or any form of identification.”

While Mangassarian was bringing clothes for the families, women would ask her if she had any underwear she could give them.

“My mind was blown,” she said. “It’s winter and we think we need to get them shoes and jackets so they don’t freeze. But they needed more than that. They needed the basic necessities — underwear, feminine hygiene products, diapers. They were displaced families, wives and mothers who had no idea where their sons and husbands were.”

Recognizing the need, Mangassarian, outside of her work with the center, spent time connecting the refugees with agencies and individuals who provided them with the goods they needed.

“I did my own fundraising for jackets and shoes and then specific items like underwear — and delivered them myself in various regions,” she said. “I also did a photoshoot for all of the kids and used that to create a sponsorship program to connect these families with U.S. families. Each family in Armenia was assigned a U.S. family as a sponsor to continue to help meet their needs.”

Mangassarian said CSUN’s virtual-learning environment, due to the pandemic, provided her the opportunity to continue teaching her classes while she was in Armenia.

“I would share with them where I was and what I was doing,” she said. “One of the subjects I teach is victimology, and I was able to use what I was doing in Armenia to give them a first-hand look at the importance of understanding and respecting the needs of the victims of violent crimes, and how to advocate on their behalf.”

They were lessons she also shared with the Armenian law students working with the center to document the stories of civilians impacted by the conflict.

“It’s a rare opportunity for law students to train with attorneys from another country, to expand their understanding of law and gain another country’s perspective of how law works, particularly in the relatively new field of victimology,” Mangassarian said. “I feel honored that I was able to do that, not just with the Armenian students I was working with, but also to share what I was doing with the students in my classes at CSUN.”


Renewed efforts necessary to fulfil unconditional release of Armenian POWs – EPP

Panorama, Armenia
Sept 7 2021

The European People’s Party (EPP) Political Assembly (PA) met in a hybrid format in Brussels on 6 and 7 September to update on political developments across member states, adopt a position paper on Afghanistan with a focus on Afghan women and discuss the situation in Belarus and Armenia, EPP said in a statement.

“EPP Political Assembly was informed about the current situation with Armenian prisoners of war in Azerbaijan, who are still detained in violation of the Trilateral Statement of November 9 and international humanitarian law. The necessity for renewed efforts from the European institutions to fulfil the proper and unconditional release of Prisoners of War was stressed,” reads the statement.

The EPP delegates were updated on the preparations for the next Congress taking place on 17 and 18 November in Rotterdam.

Armenia is to pay 11,600 euros to the country’s Ambassador to Sweden, European Court rules

Public Radio of Armenia
Aug 31 2021


The European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) has ruled that the Republic of Armenia is to pay 9,000 euros in non-pecuniary damage and 2,600 euros in respect of costs and expenses to Alexander Arzumanyan, who currently serves as the country’s Ambassador to Sweden.  

 The case concerns the applicant’s conviction for his involvement in the protest movement that followed the disputed presidential election of 19 February 2008 and raises issues under Articles 10, 11 and 14 of the Convention.

On 19 February 2008 a presidential election was held in Armenia. The main contenders were the then Prime Minister, Mr Serzh Sargsyan, representing the ruling party, and the main opposition candidate, Mr Levon Ter-Petrosyan.

 Immediately after the announcement of the preliminary results of the election, Mr Ter-Petrosyan called on his supporters to gather at Freedom Square in central Yerevan in order to protest against the irregularities which had allegedly occurred in the election process, announcing that the election had not been free and fair. From 20 February 2008 onwards, nationwide daily protest rallies were held by Mr Ter-Petrosyan’s supporters, their main meeting place being Freedom Square and the surrounding park. It appears that the rallies at Freedom Square attracted at times tens of thousands of people, while several hundred demonstrators stayed in that area around the clock, having set up a camp.

 The applicant, who was a known political figure and a former minister of foreign affairs, acted as the head of Mr Ter-Petrosyan’s pre-election campaign and was actively involved in the post-election protests, regularly attending the demonstrations held at Freedom Square and giving speeches.

On 10 March 2008 the applicant was arrested by officers of the National Security Service on suspicion of usurpation of State power.  On the same day he was questioned as a suspect. He refused to testify and stated that his prosecution was politically motivated.

On 12 March 2008 the applicant was charged under Articles 225 § 3 and 300 § 1 (usurpation of State power) of the CC. This decision stated that, after the presidential election of 19 February 2008, the applicant joined the group of supporters of Levon Ter-Petrosyan and, having conspired with them to usurp State power in violation of the constitutional order, actively participated in carrying out activities for that purpose, including discrediting the pre-election process and the conduct of the election, instilling distrust towards the results among large segments of the population, creating illusions of public discontent and revolt, thereby organizing and holding unlawful demonstrations aimed at destabilizing the internal political situation.

On 22 June 2009 the Kentron and Nork-Marash District Court of Yerevan found the applicant guilty under Article 225 § 1 of the CC of organizing mass disorder, sentencing him to five years in prison, at the same time applying an amnesty and freeing the applicant.

The court has declared the complaints concerning the interference with the applicant’s right to freedom of _expression_ and freedom of peaceful assembly, as well as the applicant’s alleged discrimination on the basis of his political opinion admissible.

The Court holds:

(a) that the respondent State is to pay the applicant, within three months, the following amounts:

(i) EUR 9,000 (nine thousand euros), plus any tax that may be chargeable, in respect of non-pecuniary damage, to be converted into the currency of the respondent State at the rate applicable at the date of settlement;

(ii) EUR 2,600 (two thousand six hundred euros), plus any tax that may be chargeable to the applicant, in respect of costs and expenses, to be converted into GBP at the rate applicable on the date of settlement and to be paid into the applicant’s representatives’ bank account in the United Kingdom;

(b) that from the expiry of the above-mentioned three months until settlement simple interest shall be payable on the above amounts at a rate equal to the marginal lending rate of the European Central Bank during the default period plus three percentage points;

Newspaper: 44-day war’s satellite footage to end up in Armenia opposition’s hands?

News.am, Armenia
Sept 3 2021

YEREVAN. – Hraparak daily of Armenia writes: According to our information, the representatives of one of the countries that has an artificial satellite in space have contacted some circles of Armenia’s opposition, and offered them to provide some footage at their disposal—and which are related to Armenia.

Among them is especially the 44-day war’s whole footage, by viewing of which one can get a clear idea of what tactics Azerbaijan carried out during those 44 days [last fall], and how Armenia lost.

We could not find out what they [i.e., the aforesaid circles of Armenia’s opposition] responded to them.

Armenia need strong support from international partners to ensure return of POWs – Minister of Justice

Public Radio of Armenia
Sept 3 2021


Armenia needs strong support from international partners to ensure the return of Armenian prisoners of war and civilians held in Azerbaijan, Minister of Justice Karen Andreasyan said during the meeting with the head of delegation of the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) in Armenia Thierry Ribo.

The Minister praised the ICRC mission during after the 44-day war unleashed by Azerbaijan by visiting Armenian prisoners of war and civilians held in Azerbaijan and ensuring their contacts with the families.

The head of the ICRC delegation presented the activities carried out by the organization in the post-war period and touched upon other issues of mutual interest.

At the request of the guest, Karen Andreasyan referred to the reform agenda of the Ministry of Justice, highlighted the program of rehabilitation of the penitentiary system aimed at protecting the rights of persons held in penitentiaries and improving the management system.

During the meeting, the interlocutors stressed their readiness to further deepen the existing cooperation between the two institutions.