“Armenia-Russia relations are at a dangerous stage. migraines are possible

Davit Ananyan, a member of the management board of the “Wings of Unity” party, former chairman of the SRC, wrote:

“It is no longer a secret for anyone that Armenia-Russia relations have entered a dangerous stage. In the near future, not only the expansion of restrictions on Armenian products, but also the tightening of migration administration, revision of gas supply conditions, logistical problems and strengthening of political pressure on Armenia within the EAEU framework are possible.

No one claims that all these developments will inevitably happen. However, the responsible state is obliged to prepare not only for the desired developments, but also for any unfavorable scenario.

Meanwhile, the current government has brought the country to strategic uncertainty. On the one hand, it announces European integration without having an EU membership proposal, official bid or economic transition plan, on the other hand it claims that it wants to stay in the EAEU. This is no longer just an unbalanced foreign policy, but a dangerous and irresponsible gravity.

Today, Armenia needs:

* a full calculation of the impact of export restrictions and a protection plan for affected producers,

* A management system for the legalization of the status of RA citizens in Russia and their possible return,

* scenarios of diversification of gas and energy supplies and management of possible price shocks,

* a practical plan for access to new markets and real diversification of exports,

* A public assessment of the economic, social and security consequences of a possible EU-EEU dilemma.

Armenia should not make an election either under the influence of external pressure or propaganda slogans of the government. However, to run a sovereign policy, state capacity, professional calculation and responsibility are necessary.

The behavior of the current government so far has shown their absence. And the citizens of Armenia and the economy will pay the price for that political incompetence.”

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