This government is losing before everyone’s eyes. In Yerevan, Gyumri, Vanadzor, all marzes, villages. The government does not have the support of any social class. Even the effect of pre-election health insurance is weakening.
The government has nothing to offer the people, the society, the voters. No plan, no project. It is only a threat and an insult. Armenia has never had such unspeakable power. Even in 2021, they were still saying something: de-occupation of Artsakh, self-determination, etc., although later they did the complete opposite. In 2021, at least they cheated on love, now they don’t even have the desire to do so.
Lies are the only program thesis, Aliyev’s support is the only supporter.
In just the first week of the campaign, this picture becomes obvious. In the 2-3 weeks, this situation will become more visible to everyone, and the “neutral-observer” voter will take the side of the 3-4 transitory forces of the opposition.
The opposition has several simple problems. increase the targeted dialogue with different layers of society, explain the risks and present their own plans to neutralize them. And of course, one should not make obvious gross mistakes.
The government does not have the resources to strengthen itself. Objectively, it does not have. He can insult harder, threaten harder, but it is not clear at what expense he can strengthen his position. If he goes to gross violations or prohibitions against any of the forces, it will make the situation worse. Of course, he still has the Moldovan, Romanian, or Nicolaian scenario in mind.
Everyone is preparing for a good change
The mechanism of election fraud and abuse of administrative and power resources is still working with great momentum, creating the technical conditions for falsifying the elections in front of everyone. Schools swept away by rallies, tired employees of state and community structures, small-scale public servants devoted to the propaganda of the authorities with all their might, “favors” done to voters at the expense of the state budget and state debt. In the next 1-2 weeks, the news and atmosphere of the changes will also reach them. The collective opposition will contribute to this inevitable process with its restraint and confidence.
The last temptation of the power that sees its defeat can be the unbridled use of the force component. And that is where it is important for the officials of the power structures to understand that they will personally pay the price for such expensive services rendered to the outgoing authorities, spoiling the precious years of their lives. And it is worth thinking carefully before making illegal orders, because they will be the last orders of these authorities.
At the last stage, of course, the security forces will also see that the process of formation of a new solid government is taking place in Armenia at the most peaceful, most legal and most important moment.
Vahe Hovhannisyan
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