Iran specialist Vardan Voskanyan claims Azerbaijan’s leadership has come to understand the risks of issuing threats toward Iran, arguing that recent conciliatory messaging reflects caution rather than a genuine shift in policy.
Speaking about developments over the past month, Voskanyan noted that Ilham Aliyev, who had previously used strong rhetoric toward Iran, appears to have moderated his tone after recognizing that such actions could carry consequences.
His remarks follow Aliyev’s recent post on social media, where the Azerbaijani president stated that Azerbaijan and Iran “will continue to stand by each other in both good and difficult times.”
Despite the softer language, Voskanyan argued that Azerbaijan’s state-aligned media and messaging channels continue to promote anti-Iranian narratives. He said this indicates there has been no substantive change in Baku’s approach.
“After the end of the war, Iran will remember who its genuine allies and adversaries are,” the analyst added.
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