168: The government revealed its fears. For Pashinyan, it is unclear what he is against

After coming to power, the opposition must first of all stop the war and only after that try to achieve a decent peace, because Azerbaijan continues to wage war against Armenia by hybrid and other means. Expressed this opinion 168TVof Revue on the air of the program civil technologist Vigen Hakobyanspeaking about the June 7 parliamentary elections in Armenia.

“We are now in the hybrid phase of the Armenian-Azerbaijani war, we are not in the phase of peace, but in the phase of a hybrid war, that is, the “hot phase” of the war has now simply been replaced by a hybrid one, which, unfortunately, can be replaced at any time, and at the request of Azerbaijan, by the “hot phase” with which Nikol Pashinyan is now scaring us all. Therefore, the main goal of the opposition should be to come to power and first of all to stop the war between Azerbaijan and Armenia, that is, to establish peace, not to talk about bringing an alternative, dignified and different peace. Now a real war is going on between Azerbaijan and Armenia. We must understand that there is no peace, there is war, there are just different forms of war,” Vigen Hakobyan thinks.

According to the political scientist, at the moment we are witnessing the formation of four opposition formats in the political field: “Strong Armenia” led by Samvel Karapetyan, “Armenia” alliance led by the second president of RA, “Proposal to Armenia” initiated by Tsarukyan and the union of “Unity Wings”, “HayaVote” and “Shant” alliance. So far, it is not known whether the Republican Party will participate.

“When talking about these four, it is very important that, tactically, being separate associations, they can be perceived by the public as forces strategically hitting the same goal and hitting the same nail.

In other words, the main goal should be to deprive the current government of its power. The opposition voter, regardless of who he prefers, should understand that as a result of all this, a single opposition pole can be formed, which will be able to deprive the “Civil Pact” of power with joint efforts.

And as for the question in which case the opposition can win, I think that the opposition has quite a good chance to solve its main problem this time,” commented Vigen Hakobyan.

He evaluates the current realities in the following way, that in the case of Pashinyan’s team, in their own perception, keeping the power is an ontological problem in all aspects, and they use every effort and resource to keep the power, and if changing the power is also an ontological problem for the collective opposition, then there will be good opportunities to achieve victory.

“For both the government and the opposition, these elections should be of an ontological nature, that is, no one should have any illusions that if there is a mere mandate struggle, what happened in the last 5 years will continue,” Vigen Hakobyan believes.

According to the civil technologist, the possible “Gyumri 2” scenario of post-election developments, which was given that name by the light hand of the government of the day, reveals their concerns or just fears.

“Many who did not even consider this possibility, did not believe, began to believe, because they saw that the government was quite concerned about such a prospect, moreover, it revealed its fears. Of course, they wanted to solve a different problem, trying to connect everyone with the well-known narratives about the “formers”, says the civil technologist.

According to Vigen Hakobyan, scaring people with a new “September war” is a psychological trick by Pashinyan, because, as we remember, there was a war in September, the 44-day war started in 2020. on September 27.

“From the point of view of political technologies, Nikol Pashinyan does not do anything unexpected, because it was clear from the beginning that one of the main theses of Nikol Pashinyan’s pre-election campaign will be “peace or war?”, that is, he will try to convince that “if I am in power, there will be peace, as they have not fired in the last year and a half.”

In other words, he will try to sell the illusion of peace and in contrast to that, he will say that all the others are “war parties” and his target will be mainly Armenian mothers and families. It is another war blackmail that Nikol Pashinyan has been using in all his propaganda narratives since 2020. A significant part of the 2021 campaign was spent under that mood. Now the hot phase of the pre-election campaign is starting, and it is just more emphatically manipulating it and trying to use the statements that the opposition did not make to support this thesis.

In general, the “September War” is a psychological trick, because there was a war in September, that is, when he says “September War”, associations immediately arise, and many people think that if he says that there will be a war in September, then he definitely knows something. He could even say the date as a political-technological trick to sound more convincing. It is just an artificial statement. It could have been said with the same success in October, it’s just that September is associated with war, just as the month of May was associated with victories for decades,” explained the expert.

According to the geotechnical expert, Nikol Pashinyan’s nervous behavior is also due to the fact that he underestimates what external resources are there to support him, and all his analyzes show that he can only rely on Azerbaijan and Turkey. According to the geotechnical expert, what annoys Pashinyan the most is that for him “it is very uncertain what he is capable of and what tactics Russia will choose in relation to these elections”.

Full interview in the video.

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