Iran’s adversary will resort to complex and multi-level scenarios, including the South

Ali Larijani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, who was killed as a result of American-Israeli missile strikes, was bid farewell in Tehran.

Israel Defense Minister Israel Katz announced the other day about his murder, which took place during the attack on Tehran. Larijani was responsible for negotiations on key national security issues, including Iran’s nuclear program.

Ali Larijani was one of the most influential figures of the last decades of the Islamic Republic of Iran, thanks to whom the work of the state apparatus was preserved in the most critical stages for Iran. Perhaps this was also the reason why Israel targeted Larijani as well, thereby trying to turn the tide of the war. In an interview with Al Jazeera, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that the assassination of the Secretary of the Security Council of Iran, Ali Larijani, will not deal a fatal blow to the leadership of the Islamic Republic.

He added that the United States and Israel have not yet realized that the Iranian government does not rely on one individual. “I don’t know why Americans and Israelis haven’t understood this point yet. The Islamic Republic of Iran has a strong political structure with established political, economic and social institutions. The presence or absence of one individual does not affect this structure. Of course, individuals are influential, and each person plays a role; Some are better, some are worse, some are less, but the important thing is that the political system of Iran is a very strong structure,” he said. The loss of Larijani is great for Iran, but the Iranian system does not depend on one person and his decisions. It is also this belief Iranian analyst, journalist Khayal Muazzin.

168.amIn a conversation with , Muazin said that the war between Iran, the USA and the Zionist regime is entering a new phase day by day. In his opinion, the course of the conflict is largely determined and controlled by Iran.

“The Zionist regime and the USA, acting in a state of panic, are trying to get out of the situation in a chaotic way, but day by day they are sinking deeper into the strategic impasse. Moreover, we have not yet passed the key stage of the conflict.

This war is gradually gaining a regional character and will determine the fate of the entire region, so the most significant events are yet to come. Iranian society, on the contrary, is coming together. people unite around the state, go to the squares, showing their support. Even the Iranian women brought their gold jewelry, transferring it to the needs of the army, to ensure the continuation of the resistance until the final breakthrough of the situation.

Thus, it can be said that the initial calculation of a quick resolution was not justified, and the protracted nature of the conflict favors the side that has greater internal stability and strategic depth,” the analyst said.

Khayal Muazin believes that the ceasefire has no meaning without achieving a breakthrough and forcing the enemy to recognize the reality. According to him, until the enemy understands that the language of threats and pressure against Iran does not work, and the factor of war is not completely removed from the agenda, the conflict will continue.

“Regardless of the USA’s desire to stop hostilities, a ceasefire is unlikely at this stage. “Political and diplomatic channels are practically exhausted, and now the situation is determined not by the statements of diplomats, but by actions on the battlefield. In this logic, the military factor becomes the key tool of influence and restraint,” he said.

Referring to the impact of the conflict on the countries of the South Caucasus, Muazin said that Iran’s opponent will inevitably resort to complex and multi-level scenarios.

“One such tool can be provocations and attempts to draw additional countries into the conflict through destabilization and creating artificial crises.

Iran has already repeatedly officially warned neighboring states about the risks of such scenarios and called on them not to become part of these plans. Ignoring such warnings, as the experience of a number of Arab countries has shown, leads to serious consequences.

In this regard, the countries of the region should show maximum caution and strategic restraint. The South Caucasus remains a sensitive area, and any involvement in the conflict could lead to prolonged instability. Balance and neutrality become the main security factors here,” said Muazzin. By the way, let’s remind that the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi had a telephone conversation with the Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Jeyhun Bayramov hours ago. According to the message spread by the Iranian side, the head of Iran’s foreign political department stated that Tehran has the right to attack any country that provides the USA and Israel with space for aggression against it.

In a conversation with his Azerbaijani counterpart, Araghchi emphasized that according to international law, no state has the right to provide its territory and facilities to other countries for aggressive actions.

Khayal Muazin also referred to the humanitarian needs of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova, spoke about during her briefing the other day, stating that Iran has appealed to partner countries for humanitarian aid.

“We express our gratitude to the neighboring countries, Russia and Azerbaijan, as well as Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, which have joined in providing assistance. It shows a responsible attitude towards regional stability and humanitarian situation.

At the same time, it is unfortunate that against the background of the happening events, Armenia has not yet formed a clear and balanced position at the state level. An impression is created that the risks occurring in the immediate vicinity are underestimated.

Such an approach cannot be considered strategically justified. Regional processes inevitably involve all participants, and timely decision-making plays a key role. There is hope that the appropriate position will be formed before the situation becomes more complicated and requires urgent steps,” said the analyst, assessing the passive position of the Armenian authorities regarding the issue of sending humanitarian aid to Iran.

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