According to a new survey, after the June elections, Nikol Pashinyan no longer

March: 9, 2026

The data of the last survey conducted before and after February 12 show that Samvel Karapetyan is considered the leading candidate to replace Nikol Pashinyan as the Prime Minister. He writes about this news.amthe

According to a survey conducted by the Empirica research and consulting company, after the launch of the “Strong Armenia” party, when people were asked which of these two candidates should be the next prime minister, 35% of respondents at the national level chose Samvel Karapetyan, and 34% chose Nikol Pashinyan, and the results in Yerevan are more pronounced: 49% of respondents here chose Samvel Karapetyan, and only 24% chose Nikol Pashinyan.

In the comparison of prime ministerial candidates, Samvel Karapetyan has an 18% advantage over Nikol Pashinyan among young people aged 18-29, by 4% among 30-49-year-olds, while Nikol Pashinyan is leading only in the group of voters over 50. Among men, their support is equal, and among women, Samvel Karapetyan is ahead by 2%.

The data on the suitability for the post of Prime Minister is also reflected in the picture of the parliamentary vote, where the “Civil Pact” party gets only 28%, while the opposition forces together have 47%. According to these results, Samvel Karapetyan is considered the leading candidate to become the prime minister as the leader of the opposition party.

Nikol Pashinyan steadily lost and continues to lose the support of voters. The fall of public trust has been contributed by the failure to fulfill promises, the non-serious attitude towards security issues, the problems related to the supply of drinking water, the increase in prices and the deepening of the threat of war. Most of the disappointed voters relied on the new party led by Samvel Karapetyan. The support of the party has increased significantly in recent months. it increased from 4% to 13% from November 2025 to January 2026. The launch of the “Strong Armenia” party gave an additional significant boost to that growth, and the voting intention index reached 24%.

In Yerevan, the support of the “Strong Armenia” party is even higher, almost doubling that of the “Civil Pact”. If the parliamentary elections were held now, 35% of voters in Yerevan would vote for “Strong Armenia”, while “Civil Pact” would receive only 17%.

The “Armenia” alliance would collect 11%, and the rest of the opposition forces – 16%. In addition, since the share of undecided voters is only 8%, there are not enough voters left that Nikol Pashinyan and the “Civil Pact” can win over. This means that Pashinyan has already lost the elections in Yerevan.

People are losing confidence in Nikol Pashinyan both in Yerevan and throughout Armenia. In Yerevan, only 24% are satisfied with his work as the prime minister, while 75% are dissatisfied. The situation at the national level is also not favorable for Pashinyan. 37% are satisfied with his work, and 61% are dissatisfied.

People are losing confidence in Nikol Pashinyan, because they are afraid of the resumption of war and think that the peace established by him is only temporary.

They realize that under a weak prime minister like Nikol Pashinyan, peace is just a dream and war can start again at any time, as it happened in 2020 during his administration. 64% of respondents in Yerevan stated that they are “very worried” about the possibility of resumption of war by Azerbaijan, and another 24% are “somewhat worried”.

Only 11% stated that they are “not that worried” or “not worried at all”. The fear of war is also very high at the national level. 53% are “very worried”, 32% are “somewhat worried”, and only 14% are “not so worried” or “not worried at all”.

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Disclaimer: This article was contributed and translated into English by Emil Lazarian. While we strive for quality, the views and accuracy of the content remain the responsibility of the contributor. Please verify all facts independently before reposting or citing.

Direct link to this article: https://www.armenianclub.com/2026/03/13/according-to-a-new-survey-after-the-june-elections-nikol-pashinyan-no-longer/

Emil Lazarian

“I should like to see any power of the world destroy this race, this small tribe of unimportant people, whose wars have all been fought and lost, whose structures have crumbled, literature is unread, music is unheard, and prayers are no more answered. Go ahead, destroy Armenia . See if you can do it. Send them into the desert without bread or water. Burn their homes and churches. Then see if they will not laugh, sing and pray again. For when two of them meet anywhere in the world, see if they will not create a New Armenia.” - WS

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