Where there is no prepared mass, an incident occurs. Hrant Mikayelyan: Pashiny

Nikol Pashinyan’s pre-election campaign, contrary to the logic of his songs and heartthrobs, is not going smoothly. Perhaps, Pashinyan’s nervous outbursts during the question-and-answer session with the citizens testify to this.

Do the scenes of citizens’ uprising suggest to Pashinyan that his positions have weakened, and that is why he pays tribute to aggressive rhetoric after the heart-song mise-en-scenes: 168․amwas interested political scientist Hrant Mikayelyanfrom

In response, the political scientist mentioned: “Definitely, he sees it, definitely understands that he has serious problems, and this became clear not only to him, but also to everyone. the same shots of him getting off the subway, and no one wants to take the brooch-map he offers, or interact with him, etc.

It is impossible not to see this. And where there is no prepared mass, there is an incident everywhere. In other words, he isolates himself. By the way, this situation is not completely new, and it is an incomprehensible situation for them. they have to decide how to take the next steps, because the previous tactic that he goes among the people, the people start to support him and advance his agenda, has failed.”

In other words, under the name of democracy, foreign aid might not play a role in the upcoming elections, Hrant Mikayelyan responded to our clarifying question, in any case, in that case, the various technologies introduced will work in favor of the current government.

“For example, if they specifically target Kocharian’s bloc, the Armenia bloc, the Armenia bloc may not pass, and in that case it will be almost impossible to form an opposition coalition, because it is clear that the government has the leverage to at least gather more votes than the others, but not have a majority.”

The most likely scenario is the Gyumri scenario, and in the case of the Gyumri scenario, a lot depends on whether smaller opposition entities, in this case, for example, the “Wings of Unity” and the “Armenia” alliance, will pass or not.

It is clear that “Strong Armenia” takes the 2nd place, but this force, taking into account Pashinyan’s administrative resources and other circumstances, will not be able to form a majority on its own, and, accordingly, must work with other opposition forces.

So, these technologies can work well, because this election in Armenia is not only a referendum on Pashinyan’s support. It may turn out that he will not get support, but will be elected. I will cite a not-so-distant example: the example of the Yerevan elections, where his party is completely defeated, gathering only 32.6 percent in the case of very low participation, or 9.4% of the total number of voters, but one, thanks to various manipulations, their candidate becomes the mayor,” he reminded.

According to the political scientist, there are many risks in this regard. political manipulations will be very important in this situation.

“There will be specialists from abroad, or the threats of Aliyev, Erdogan and Pashinyan, or the EU summit… I will not rule out the release of prisoners in order to strengthen Pashinyan’s position in the pre-election phase, which was done in 2021.

It is an uncertain situation, because, yes, he has lost the support of the people, but he has not lost the administrative resource,” the specialist concluded.

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