168: Trump announced a five-day moratorium on deploying Marines

168TVof “Trigger” the guest of the program Expert of “APRI-Armenia” scientific research center, candidate of historical sciences, internationalist, Israelologist Sergey Melkonyann is

During the conversation, the main aspects of the escalating conflict in the Middle East, its possible escalation from regional to global, as well as Iran’s ability to control the level of tension in the background of ongoing hostilities were touched upon.

Particular attention was paid to the conflicting impulses surrounding possible negotiations between the United States and Iran, including Washington’s attempts to reach out to Tehran through third countries.

Tools to pressure Iran, including informational and psychological, as well as leaks about contacts with individual representatives of the Iranian elite and risks of internal destabilization, including possible contradictions within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), were discussed.

The expansion of the geography of the conflict, including events in the Caspian Sea region, Iran’s influence on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and related risks to the global energy market were also at the center of the conversation.

Reference was made to the dissemination of information about possible terrorist attacks and the use of chemical weapons as an element of the information background, as well as the possible role of the EU.

The consequences of the already observed disruptions in logistics and the increase in energy prices for the South Caucasus and Armenia were considered, including the Iran factor as a possible deterrent in the regional security system.

In addition, the position of the world’s key players, Russia and China, and the conditions under which they can strengthen their participation, as well as the factors that can turn the current conflict into a large-scale global crisis, were discussed.

 Hayk Derzyan

—