March: 15, 2026
“At the moment, all sociological indicators show that Pashinyan will not be re-elected in any way.”– 168TVof “Zara has a question” he mentioned during the program Aram Orbelyan, manager-partner of “Concern Dialog” law office, specialist in international law, lawyer.
In this context, he did not comment in great detail on a number of Nikol Pashinyan’s statements, including the Declaration of Independence, considering that changes to the Constitution will not take place with the logic that is being tried to be presented today, and if there is a need for any constitutional changes, then after June 7, the people will discuss and understand.
“They want to remove the reference to the declaration of independence only at the request of Azerbaijan”,- he remarked.
According to him, the Constitution can always be improved, but its greatest value is stability.
“What do we have since 2018, when the Constitution came into force?” They changed the Constitution in order to capture the Constitutional Court in 2020, the rating system was removed, the Constitution has very clear guarantees that were clearly violated, and if we come to the point that we need to change the text so that this violation does not happen, it will become that we are saying that they did well that they are violating it.
The Constitution guarantees the apolitical nature of the Chief of the General Staff, he was elected by the National Assembly. What did they do? They said, “No, how will it be? I am the commander-in-chief. I cannot change the Chief of the General Staff. They changed the law and made him a deputy minister. Then the Constitutional Court instead said, “You know, there is a problem of separation of powers. What are you poking your nose at?” He said, “How can I not do it?” What happened to the NSS, a body subordinate to the Prime Minister? What is happening with the budget…” he added.
The international law specialist responded to the observation that the CC has recently been very synchronous with the authorities, and that the latest decision was made a few days ago, by which, in fact, the Constitutional Court decided that the laws adopted in an urgent manner regarding the ERC correspond to the Constitution, and to the question of whether there is a possibility to challenge it in some way, to return to this:
“For the sake of justice, we must claim that the Constitutional Court historically has not opposed the current authorities very clearly, which is logical. the problem here is not only political. in any case, the powers of the Constitutional Court, as a balancer, are somewhat restricted by the existing political-social situation.
There are several extremely obvious problematic issues in the HEC episode, at least a fundamental issue that concerns the return, that is, before the laws are changed, after the license is revoked, they apply and get a license again, the conditions may be a little different, a different investment program is discussed, etc. They said, “No, you can’t, you have to sell.”
What fate awaits HEC, we asked the interlocutor, reminding us that the interim manager, who entered HEC for the sake of the Republic of Armenia, announced that the process of nationalization of 100% of shares of HEC has entered the stage of regulation of recognition of public overriding interest.
“The biggest problem is that it is not his job, his job is (if we look at it from the point of view of the law) that the law should have ensured that the HEC successfully overcomes this crisis, if there was a crisis and the goal was to overcome the crisis.
In my opinion, some decisions will be made regarding the National Economic and Social Committee in a short time, these decisions will not have any consequences, because, as I mentioned, we will have a different reality on the 8th of the month.”
In his observations about TRIPP, the specialist is skeptical, taking into account the regional reality and the inconsistency of the statements.
“The investment is very good, do it, but it is very important that this investment does not suddenly turn out tomorrow that the translator made a wrong translation and it was not about the investment, but the expenses. we saw on Public Television how the wording “Armenia will receive something worth 9 billion from America” turned into that America will invest 9 billion in Armenia,” said Orbelyan.
According to him, today there is a real agenda, and we see discussions with a real agenda. those discussions will lead to the fact that there must be a change on the 8th of the month, otherwise we can go to a deep dictatorship.
When going to a deeper dictatorship, the people who will help in this matter should think that those who did it in the previous 7-8 years are facing criminal responsibility today: high-ranking police officers, high-ranking officials of the Ministry of Defense. Some of the officials of Artsakh, who brought people to his rallies, left him alone in captivity in Azerbaijan and forbade them to speak. We are talking about Araik Harutyunyan.
I expect, by the way, that there will be a different result of the elections on the 7th, and I expect that on the 8th or 9th, a significant number of KP deputies will understand that they should express no confidence. It does not mean that we should underestimate the elections, we should consider the importance of the elections. the voter is the people, the people should vote, but on the 8th of the month there should be distrust.”
In other words, is the impeachment agenda realistic, we asked Aram Orbelyan, he answered: “It is not only realistic, but also mandatory, even more important if the elections are successful is.
CP deputies should understand that they will be destroyed. It will just destroy. his formulation “if I am not the prime minister, Armenia will not have a prime minister” is fixed for him, it always remains so.
What will happen before the 8th, what wrongdoing will happen, how will the criminal justice system be used to achieve this, we will see, but I expect that the people will not let their vote be taken away from them this time.»։
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