US ANALYST ON NAGORNO-KARABAKH CONFLICT
tert.am
18.06.12
Alex Jackson, an analyst at the London-based political consultancy
and analyses center Menas Associate, considers that the chances for
settling the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict very limited for this year.
In an interview with News.az, the expert said that the poor
relationship between Tehran and Baku are unlikely to change the
regional situation much.
“Azerbaijan has recently expressed its frustrations with the West’s
failure to assist it over Nagorno-Karabakh, despite Azerbaijan’s
pro-western orientation which has created tensions with Iran. But
although Baku threatened to change its pro-Western orientation over
this, in reality it has few other choices. Aligning with Iran or Russia
would not solve Azerbaijan’s problems or deliver it the international
respect and foreign investment it needs.
So although the tension between Baku and Tehran reflects Azerbaijan’s
geopolitical alignment with the West, it is unlikely to change much.
Azerbaijan has few other reliable options,” he siad
The regional implications of a poor relationship between Tehran and
Baku are actually quite limited. Although Iran is likely to reinforce
its support for Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh, Iran has been doing
this for twenty years anyway.
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