Secretary’s Remarks: Remarks With Armenian President Serzh Sargsian

SECRETARY’S REMARKS: REMARKS WITH ARMENIAN PRESIDENT SERZH SARGSIAN BEFORE THEIR MEETING

State Department Documents and Publications
September 24, 2008

Secretary Condoleezza Rice
Trump International Hotel and Tower
New York City
September 24, 2008

PRESIDENT SARGSIAN: (Via interpreter.) I would like to once again thank
the Government of the United States of America for all the assistance
it has employed that the Republic of Armenia (inaudible) accepts, both
financial assistance and non-financial help. They are both important.

SECRETARY RICE: Well, thank you. Well, we want to be a good partner
for Armenia and its (inaudible) mission as it makes healing reforms
(inaudible). We believe that you have made some good steps to address
this, and so I’m here to build on that and to move forward.

QUESTION: Madame Secretary, how do you assess U.S.-Armenia
relationship?

SECRETARY RICE: I just said how I assess them. (Laughter.)

QUESTION: Okay, thank you.

Book Review: The Duty To Rescue

THE DUTY TO RESCUE
by Michael Ignatieff

The New Republic
September 24, 2008

Freedom’s Battle: The Origins of Humanitarian Intervention By Gary
J. Bass (Knopf, 528 pp., $35)

Gary J. Bass has written a wonderfully intelligent and sardonic history
of the moral causes celebres of the nineteenth and early twentieth
centuries: Byron and Greek independence in 1825, the European campaign
to save the Maronite Christians of Syria and Lebanon in 1860, Gladstone
and the Bulgarian atrocities in 1876, Henry Morgenthau and the Armenian
genocide of 1915. Bass resurrects these forgotten causes to remind
us that humanitarian intervention did not begin in the 1990s. For
nearly two hundred years, the impulse to save strangers from massacre
has rivaled raison d’etat as a driver of European statecraft. As we
respond–or do not respond–to the Rwandas and Darfurs of the future,
we can still learn from this forgotten history.

Bass expertly brings to life a rich panoply of characters: Byron,
Gladstone, Disraeli, Metternich, and Hugo, to name just a few. The
stock villain of the piece is none other than the knavishly devious
Count Ignatiev, chief advocate of Russian expansion into southern
Europe in the 1860s and 1870s. He makes an excellent villain, oozing
charm from every pore, lying his way through the chancelleries of
Europe, inciting the suppressed nationalities of the Ottoman Empire
to revolt and then seeking to subject them to the none-too-tender
mercies of the czar. He happens to have been my great-grandfather,
and alas, Bass gets him just right.

Freedom’s Battle is full of fascinating and ironic incident:
Byron giving his life for Greek independence but confessing that
he could not stand the Greeks; Metternich raging that humanitarian
intervention was nothing more than a "villainous game which takes
religion and humanity for a pretext in order to upset all regular
order of things"; Disraeli dismissing the calls to save the Bulgarians
as "coffee-house babble brought by an anonymous Bulgarian," only
to find himself overwhelmed by the tidal wave of Gladstone’s moral
indignation. Bass avoids the Whiggish temptation to turn the history of
humanitarian intervention into the triumph of conscience over imperial
cynicism. Each intervention presented a genuine dilemma. Realists such
as Metternich and Disraeli thought intervention would destroy the order
of Europe, and the humanitarians–or "atrocitarians," as Bass somewhat
inelegantly calls them–believed that the conscience of Europe must
not be sacrificed on the altar of order. Unlike the interventions of
the recent past, the full consequences of which are still unfolding
in Kosovo, Bosnia, and East Timor, the cases studied by Bass allow
us to observe just how deeply conscience shook the order of states.

The campaign around Turkish atrocities against Bulgarian Christians
is a stirring case in point. Had an American journalist not filed his
sensational report on these atrocities in 1876, Gladstone might not
have supplanted Disraeli, Russia might not have gone to war against the
Turks in 1877, the Austro-Hungarians might not have occupied Bosnia
in 1878, and the chain of consequences that led Gavrilo Princip to
assassinate the archduke in Sarajevo in 1914 might not have been
set in motion. One clear message for the humanitarians of today is
that they cannot allow themselves the luxury of indifference to the
strategic consequences of their own moralism. Before they call for
action, they must, as best they can, examine–or game out, as we now
say–how the dominoes are likely to fall.

The realists of the time, Disraeli and Metternich, foresaw these
consequences more clearly than the humanitarians. They believed
that it was necessary to keep the Ottoman Empire afloat if the
combustible nationalisms of Eastern Europe were to be contained and
the long imperial peace maintained. And so it came to pass: once
the liberal interventionists started intervening on the side of the
peoples groaning under the Turkish yoke–first the Greeks, then the
Bulgarians, finally the Armenians–the long slide into world war began.

If the realists anticipated these consequences more clearly than
the interventionists, the realists certainly failed to understand
that maintaining the Ottoman Empire by massacre was itself not a
viable option. Nationalist revolts against Ottoman domination were
inevitable, and the imperial order that the realists defended was
steadily weakening and was finally bound to collapse. The atrocitarians
saw this more clearly than the realists. The real Eastern Question
was not whether the Ottoman Empire could be saved, but who would
benefit from its collapse–Russia or the Western powers, and the
various nationalisms that each promoted.

Bass argues at length that while Western intervention in the Ottoman
Empire was driven by both imperial and humanitarian motives, the
two impulses were distinct. Many humanitarians–Jeremy Bentham, for
example–were vehement opponents of their own empires. Byron did not
die for the British Empire. He died for the Greeks, and of course
for his own glory. Despite these examples, it is possible that Bass
works too hard to persuade us that humanitarianism is unclouded by
imperial impulse. Imperial racism toward Muslims in general and Turks
in particular played a recurring role in propelling the European
conscience to action. Gladstone’s famous pamphlet Bulgarian Horrors
and the Question of the East–one of the Magna Carta documents of the
modern human rights movement–was, as Bass rightly notes, a mixture of
over-the-top moralizing and raw anti-Turkish bigotry. Gladstone knew
exactly nothing about Islam, the Turks, or the Ottoman Empire. But
this did not stop him from characterizing the Turks as "the great
anti-human specimen of humanity."

Humanitarians may be as racist as realists. The same condescension
that prompts realists to stay out of the quarrels of little peoples can
prompt humanitarians to plunge in to save them. If humanitarians–then
and now–often underestimate the costs of intervention, it may be
because they condescend to the capabilities of the butchers they are
out to defeat. If they overestimate the gratitude of the people on
whose behalf they intervene, it may be because they are too much in
love with the fantasy of helpless and thankful victims.

Bass argues strenuously that these nineteenth-century interventions
reveal a conspicuously modern human rights consciousness, secular and
universal in character. It is less clear to me that the humanitarians
drew a distinction between saving fellow Christians and saving fellow
human beings. This is not to say that abstract moral universalism was
not available to the humanitarians of the nineteenth century. Since
Grotius in the 1620s, philosophers of law had argued that the moral
duty to protect and to save extends to human beings per se and not
simply to co-religionists or fellow subjects. Enlightenment figures
such as Adam Smith had castigated the moral partiality of religious
sectarians. It is also true that unbelievers such as Byron went to
Greece to save the Greeks, not fellow Christians. Still, the fact
that the enemy was Muslim and the victims were Christian seems to have
shaped the moral partialities of a devout Christian such as Gladstone.

While Bass does make the case for an independent self-subsisting moral
universalism in Western culture, in the instances of intervention
that he discusses Christian solidarities seem more salient as motives
than the human solidarity of the modern human rights variety. But
these are minor quibbles about a book that is a spirited and elegant
contribution to the moral history of humanitarian emotions and their
tangled relation to imperial interest and religious faith.

In the grim present, humanitarian intervention feels like an idea whose
time has come and gone. The reasons for this are worth exploring. For
ten years after the end of the Cold War, stopping ethnic cleansing and
massacre in other countries became the cause celebre of every liberal
internationalist. Some of the political leaders who took up the cause
were even aware that humanitarian intervention had a lineage that they
could use to justify their actions. Tony Blair explicitly placed the
mantle of the Gladstonian heritage on his own shoulders in defending
the Kosovo intervention in 1999. By early 2000, the idea that all
states have a "responsibility to protect" civilians at risk of ethnic
cleansing or massacre in other states appeared to carry all before
it–it became something approaching a principle of international law.

In this moment of apparent triumph, it was easy to forget that this
idea became possible simply because intervention ceased to carry
the risk of armaggedon. Conscience could trump caution so long as
the military risks were low. The interventions in Kosovo and Bosnia
were possible for the West because the Russians, however much they
backed the losing Serbs, were unable and unwilling to stop NATO
and the Americans. The East Timor intervention was possible because
Indonesia lacked a protector powerful enough to forbid the creation
of a free Timor. No intervention occurred to stop the Russian carnage
in Chechnya because the Russians would not allow it.

And now the current crisis in Georgia reminds us that we are no longer
living in an era of Russian strategic weakness. The parenthesis that
allowed humanitarian interventions to occur has come to an end. In the
case of Georgia, the humanitarian impulse has collided with raw, vast,
and unyielding power. The United States can intervene to keep Georgia
from disappearing, but it cannot re-instate its sovereignty. Russia
has gone ahead and declared the independence of Abkhazia and South
Ossetia. This is an obvious riposte to Kosovo’s independence, and
therefore a warning that further humanitarian interventions of that
type will not be tolerated in Russia’s zone of influence.

China has delivered similar messages about Darfur. It grudgingly
acquiesces in a failing U.N. military presence in the Sahara, but it
will certainly stand against any political dismemberment of Sudan that
would allow the Darfurians to break free of the regime in Khartoum. The
combined resurgence of the Russians and Chinese makes it unlikely that
the Security Council will authorize humanitarian interventions again,
at least in regions vital to their interests.

But this is not the only factor, or even the main one, that threatens
to consign humanitarian intervention to yesterday. The U.N. report that
advocated the new doctrine of the "responsibility to protect" was sent
to the printers in late August 2001. It was the high-water mark of the
humanitarian faith. When it appeared in late September 2001, as the
ruins of the World Trade Center were still smoldering, it was already
irrelevant to American and European policymakers. Their overriding
concern had shifted from protecting other country’s civilians
to protecting their own. And homeland security, not humanitarian
intervention, has remained the policy imperative ever since.

Humanitarian intervention in the 1990s always required an American
military component, or at least American strategic assistance. But the
operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have swallowed up all available
military capacity and policy attention in Washington. Humanitarian
intervention is no longer in the frame for any Western state. It
is not merely that no one wants to go in anymore. It is also that
no one believes that, once you do, you can succeed and then come
home. Fixing broken states once looked possible. In Afghanistan and
Iraq, everyone has learned how difficult it is to stay this course,
especially for impatient societies such as our own.

This is why, for the moment at least, world-weary realism
rules. Metternich and Disraeli are back in the saddle again. It
is not that the need for intervention has disappeared. The case
for intervention of some kind–to compel Mugabe to leave Zimbabwe,
to compel Burma to allow relief workers to help cyclone victims,
to protect Darfurians being murdered by the Janjaweed–remains as
forceful as ever. The demand for humanitarian intervention is high,
but the supply has dried up. The need to do something remains, but the
moral conviction, together with the political will and the material
resources to do it, has dwindled or disappeared.

And there is still another consideration that reinforces the idea
that interventions are an impulse of Christian empires. It is that
post-colonial countries are reluctant to shoulder the interventionist
burden once taken by European states. The solution to the unfolding
nightmare in Zimbabwe begins in South Africa, doesn’t it? But
African statecraft in general remains allergic to this sort
of intervention. Imperialists thought big, and took on faraway
responsibilities, for better and for worse; but post-imperial
nation-states rarely think or act beyond their own immediate
interests. The solidarity of oppressed peoples often disappears with
their oppression.

>>From all this we might draw the wrong conclusion, namely that
humanitarian intervention was a hectic but fleeting moral fashion of
the 1990s–an opportunity for the West to display its insufferable
moral superiority at low cost, and for liberal intellectuals to
wear their consciences on their sleeves. Bass helps us to see our
own moral history in a more serene and clear-eyed light. There
was more to the interventions that saved the Bosnians, Kosovars,
and East Timorese than moral vanity. The philosophical beliefs that
drove those foreign campaigns had a history going back to Byron and
the Greeks. Thanks to Bass’s fine book, we can uncover the lineage of
some enduring intuitions about the duties that people owe each other
across borders. These moral intuitions may be in retreat right now,
with great power politics in the ascendant; but it would be foolish
to pronounce their demise. The impulse to save and protect others
will survive this parenthesis of retreat. We are not done with evil,
and so we are not done with humanitarian intervention. Its time will
come again; or it had better come, if we are to continue to respect
ourselves.

Michael Ignatieff is a Canadian member of parliament and a former
member of the International Commission on Intervention and State
Sovereignty.

The Problematic Pages

THE PROBLEMATIC PAGES
by Leon Aron

The New Republic
September 24, 2008

To understand Vladimir Putin, we must understand his view of Russian
history.

In memory of Alexander Solzhenitsyn

I.

On June 18, 2007, a national conference of high school historians and
teachers of social sciences was convened in Moscow. The agenda called
for the discussion of "the acute problems in the teaching of modern
Russian history," and for "the development of the state standards
of education." It soon became clear that the real purpose of the
gathering was to present to the delegates–or, more precisely, to
impress upon them–two recently finished "manuals for teachers." One
of them, to be published in a pilot print run of ten thousand, was
called Noveyshaya Istoriya Rossii, 1945-2006 GG: Kniga Dlya Uchitelya,
or The Modern History of Russia, 1945-2006: A Teacher’s Handbook. It
was the work of a certain A.V. Filippov, and it was designed to
become the standard Russian high school textbook of Russian history,
scheduled to be introduced into classrooms this month.

Unusually heavy artillery was deployed in the textbook’s
support. Speaking at the conference were Andrey Fursenko, the minister
of education and science, and Vladislav Surkov, the Kremlin chief
ideologist and first deputy chief of staff. Surkov is the inventor of
the concept of "sovereign democracy," which became the centerpiece
of the Putin regime’s worldview, justifying authoritarianism in
politics, re-centralization in economics, and anti-Western truculence
in foreign policy. (As Russian wits like to say, "sovereign democracy"
and "democracy" are as different as "electric chair" and "chair.")

The project’s origin and the author’s provenance were soon disclosed
by liberal websites, which these days are looking more and more like
a kind of cyber samizdat. The textbook’s editor, Alexandr Filippov,
who is listed as the sole author on the cover, is a deputy director of
the "National Laboratory of Foreign Policy," which, in his own words,
"assists the state organs, including the presidential administration,
in the development and implementation of foreign policy decisions." He
later confirmed the rumor that it was the presidential administration,
along with the ministry of education, that had "invited" him to
assemble the manuscript, making the textbook nothing less than an
expression of Vladimir Putin’s view of Soviet history.

The author of one of the chapters turned out to be Pavel Danilin,
the editorin-chief of the Kremlin.org website and deputy director of
the Effective Politics Foundation, which is headed by the top Kremlin
propagandist Gleb Pavlovsky. Danilin–who is also affiliated with
the "Young Guard of the United Russia," the Komsomol-like helper of
the United Russia "ruling" party–was quoted as saying that "our
goal is to make the first textbook in which Russian history will
look not as a depressing sequence of misfortunes and mistakes but as
something to instill pride in one’s country. It is in precisely this
way that teachers must teach history and not smear the Motherland
with mud." Addressing on his blog teachers and scholars who might be
less than enthusiastic about such an approach, Danilin, who is thirty
years old and is not known to have ever taught anything, wrote:

You may ooze bile but you will teach the children by those books
that you will be given and in the way that is needed by Russia. And
as to the noble nonsense that you carry in your misshapen goateed
heads, either it will be ventilated out of them or you yourself
will be ventilated out of teaching…. It is impossible to let some
Russophobe shit-stinker (govnyuk), or just any amoral type, teach
Russian history. It is necessary to clear the filth, and if it does
not work, then clear it by force.

The official promotion of the history textbook resumed after
the summer vacation, when the ministry of education and science
scheduled teachers’ conferences in seven Russian regions, at which
the authors and the government functionaries were to be joined by the
"representatives of the president’s administration" and those local
governments. To show how it should be done, a meeting took place last
September at the Academic Educational Association for the Humanities,
with Moscow’s top education functionaries, university presidents,
and directors of research institutes on hand, including the director
of the Institute of General History and the rector of Moscow State
University. Representing the Kremlin was Dzhokhan Pollyeva, secretary
of the Presidential Council for Science, Technologies, and Education,
who called on historians and education administrators to wish the
textbook’s authors a great success, and assured the audience that
there would be sufficient funding for all the seminars and courses
required for the training of teachers to support the curriculum.

In fact, the clearest expression of the Kremlin’s goodwill toward
the textbook came two months earlier, with an invitation to the
conference participants to visit President Putin at his residence
in Novo-Ogaryovo, outside Moscow. In a long introduction to the
discussion that ensued, Putin complained that there was "mishmash"
(kasha) in the heads of teachers of history and social sciences, and
that this dire situation in the teaching of Russian history needed
to be corrected by the introduction of "common standards." (Four days
later, a new law, introduced in the Duma and passed with record speed
in eleven days, authorized the ministry of education and science to
determine which textbooks be "recommended" for school use and to
determine which publishers would print them.) There followed some
instructive exchanges:

A conference participant: In 1990-1991 we disarmed ideologically. [We
adopted] a very uncertain, abstract ideology of all-human values…. It
is as if we were back in school, or even kindergarten. We were told
[by the West]: you have rejected communism and are building democracy,
and we will judge when and how you have done…. In exchange for
our disarming ideologically we have received this abstract recipe:
you become democrats and capitalists and we will control you.

Putin: Your remark about someone who assumes the posture of teacher
and begins to lecture us is of course absolutely correct. But I
would like to add that this, undoubtedly, is also an instrument of
influencing our country. This is a tried and true trick. If someone
from the outside is getting ready to grade us, this means that he
arrogates the right to manage [us] and is keen to continue to do so.

Participant: In the past two decades, our youth have been subjected
to a torrent of the most diverse information about our historical
past. This information [contains] different conceptual approaches,
interpretations, or value judgments, and even chronologies. In such
circumstances, the teacher is likely to …

Putin (interrupting): Oh, they will write, all right. You see, many
textbooks are written by those who are paid in foreign grants. And
naturally they are dancing the polka ordered by those who pay them. Do
you understand? And unfortunately [such textbooks] find their way to
schools and colleges.

And later, concluding the session, Putin declared:

As to some problematic pages in our history–yes, we’ve had them. But
what state hasn’t? And we’ve had fewer of such pages than some other
[states]. And ours were not as horrible as those of some others. Yes,
we have had some terrible pages: let us remember the events beginning
in 1937, let us not forget about them. But other countries have had
no less, and even more. In any case, we did not pour chemicals over
thousands of kilometers or drop on a small country seven times more
bombs than during the entire World War II, as it was in Vietnam,
for instance. Nor did we have other black pages, such as Nazism,
for instance. All sorts of things happen in the history of every
state. And we cannot allow ourselves to be saddled with guilt–they’d
better think of themselves.

II.

Since a great deal is at stake in the understanding of history
in Russia today, a few things need to be said about the Russian
president’s view of Russia’s past. For Vladimir Putin’s reading of
the Soviet Union’s record represents nothing less than a repeal of
glasnost and its accomplishments in the cause of truth. "Fewer," he
says; and "not as horrible"; and others are "even more" terrible. And
also that there was no terror before 1937. So the old version, the
Soviet version, of the "repressions" perpetrated by the Soviet regime,
according to which they were confined to the slaughter of the party
nobility, the top military commanders, and the intelligentsia during
the "Great Terror" of 1937-1938, has now been officially reinstated.

In 1988, the Marxist historian and Soviet dissident Roy Medvedev
attempted to add up the number of those "repressed" (that is,
arrested) prior to 1937. His estimate was seventeen million to eighteen
million people, of which "no less than" ten million perished. Oleg
Khlevnyuk’s definitive study of the OGPU-NKVD-KGB archives, in The
History of Gulag: From Collectivization to the Great Terror, puts the
number of people convicted between 1930 and 1936 at twelve million
(or one-eighth of the adult population of the Soviet Union, based on
the January 1937 census). This is far more than the estimated 8.6
million that were convicted in the Great Terror and its aftermath
in 1937-1940. Medvedev could have added that the first "special
designation" (osobogo naznacheniya) extermination camp was set up on
the Solovki Islands in the White Sea in 1923. One of the methods of
execution there was to tie the doomed victims to a log and push it
down "a long and steep staircase." Half a minute later, witnesses
remembered, a "shapeless bloody mass" reached the foot of the steps.

The defendants in the first show trials in 1928-1930 were not former
party leaders, but the "wreckers" from among mining engineers,
economists, historians, agronomists, and veterinarians. A third of a
million people were arrested in 1930, of whom 20,000 were shot and
100,000 sent to camps, where their chances of surviving a ten-year
sentence were very slim. (When we were college students together
in Moscow in the mid-1970s, I heard Khrushchev’s grandson, Lyosha
Adzhubei, tell his grandfather’s story of a German delegation that came
to Russia in the 1930s to learn about the organization of the Gulag.)

And in another deviation from the official Putinist myth, of the five
to seven million arrested in the "Great Terror" of 1937-1938–by
Medvedev’s estimate, at least one million were shot–three to five
million were "ordinary people," not Party members. At Kuropaty,
near Minsk, one of the hundreds and perhaps thousands of Soviet
mass execution sites, people were shot daily from 1937 to 1941. The
exhumation of unmarked (and carefully hidden) mass graves by local
activists in 1987-1988 revealed holes in the skulls made by handgun
bullets shot point-blank into the back of the head. Judging by the
things found around the site– wallets, shopping bags–and by the
clothes and shoes found on the bodies, many appeared not to have
spent any time in prison, which means that they had not been given
any judicial proceeding but were taken to the forest directly from
their homes. Altogether, 510 mass graves were found with an average
of 200 bodies in each: 102,000 people. That is probably more than
all the people in the top layers of the Party.

When they were suddenly allowed to be heard in 1987-1988, the voices of
victims and, occasionally, of their tormentors filled the Soviet media
and meeting halls. Sometimes, according to witnesses’ testimony, the
victims were made to stand on the edge of the ditch, their hands tied
and mouths gagged, while the executioners aimed more powerful rifles at
the sides of the heads of those on either end of the row, attempting
to kill at least two people with one bullet. "They were saving ammo,"
a witness explained, and also "showing their professionalism." Were
they still remembered, they, too, could add precision to Putin’s
"no less-even more" moral calculus.

It is true that there was no "Nazism" in the Soviet Union, and
no Auschwitz. But six weeks in the Kolyma camps, in northeastern
Siberia–with temperatures reaching negative 50º Celsius, and
sixteen-hour workdays of chipping off gold ore with pickaxes or
hauling it in wooden wheelbarrows on four hours of sleep, and 400
grams of bread (for those meeting sadistic daily work quotas that
even two men working together could not always achieve), and the tepid
greasy water passed as soup, and a sliver of salty herring–all this,
Mr. President, turned a healthy adult man into a walking skeleton,
dying of dystrophia, wracked by the bloody diarrhea of pellagra, and
oozing pus and blood from frostbitten fingers and toes. (The great
Russian writer Varlaam Shalamov, who miraculously survived Kolyma,
tells the story in his beautiful and unbearable Kolyma Tales.) Hundreds
of thousands more perished from overwork, disease, starvation,
and accidents at the various "canalization" and "industrialization"
sites of the first Five-Year Plans. To recall Solzhenitsyn’s grim
refrain in The Gulag Archipelago: we did not have the gas chambers,
very true, we did not….

During the "collectivization" of 1929-1932, an estimated one million
peasant households were herded into boxcars, driven for days often
with little food or water (the dead, mostly babies and the elderly,
were thrown off the moving trains), and then unloaded to "special
settlements" (spetsposeleniya) in the frozen tundra, the swamps of
the Russian Northeast, the Urals, or the bare Kazakh steppes. Most
peasants–between six and eight million–died in what may well
have been the greatest demographic catastrophe to hit Europe since
the Middle Ages: the man-made famine of 1932-1933, following the
"requisition" by the state of all grain, including seed. The precise
number of the collectivization’s victims may never be known, with
estimates ranging from the very conservative seven million to eleven
million villagers, mostly in Ukraine, Kazakhstan, southern Russia,
and the North Caucasus. (Ten years later Stalin would tell Churchill
that ten million had died.) In 1988, the leading Kazakh writer Olzhas
Suleymenov told a party conference that out of six million of his
compatriots before the collectivization, three million remained. (This
year Ukraine officially commemorated the seventy-fifth anniversary of
the "Hlodomor," or "death from hunger," designated as genocide. How
long will it be before Kazakhstan does the same?)

For the survivors, there was the edict of August 7, 1932, personally
drafted by Stalin, which meted out "the highest measure of social
defense"–that is, shooting–with the confiscation of all property
or, in "extenuating circumstances," ten years of camp, for "theft
of kolkhoz property." The decree became known as "the law on five
ears of wheat," because its most conspicuous victims were starving
peasant children and their mothers, who ate or tucked into their
pockets a few grains while collecting wheat or rye left on kolkhoz
fields after reaping. (Grain found in mouse burrows was to be counted
kolkhoz property as well.) To make sure that peasant children (and
those of the "enemies of the people") did not get away with anything,
another decree in 1932 lowered the legal age of defendants to twelve
years. The children were to be tried as adults and to be "subject to
the entire range of sentencing." When the comrades in the provinces
asked for clarification, the Politburo affirmed that "entire range"
included execution.

And–right you are, Mr. President–no bombs were dropped in 1939-1941
on western Ukraine, western Belorussia, Bessarabia, northern Bukovina,
Latvia, Estonia, or Lithuania, which were all deeded to the Soviet
Union in 1939 under the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, or in 1944-1945,
when they were re-conquered, or "liberated." Instead there was a
"knock on the door" at two in the morning, to recall the title of a
fine novella about the arrests and deportations in formerly Romanian
Bessarabia. The total number of people arrested and deported (again,
an estimate) was at least two million in 1939-1940 and two to three
million in 1944-1945. How many were executed or died in camps? Two
hundred thousand? Three hundred thousand? Half a million?

There were also no bombings of the Volga German Republic in 1941,
nor of Chechnya, Ingushetia, or the Tatar villages in the Crimea in
1944. Like the "kulaks" ten years before, all these victims were
arrested and deported–again, as with the "kulaks," to the last
pregnant woman and suckling baby–and dumped in the wilderness. The
total of the "re-settled" is estimated at three million, of which as
many as a million may have died in the first few years of exposure,
starvation, and disease. Of the entire Chechen nation of 489,000,
an estimated 200,000 perished.

Scoring points in his obsessive and never-ending debate with
the United States was not the sole goal of Putin’s declaration
at Novo-Ogaryovo. His remarks were also designed to establish
guidelines for the new Russian historiography embodied in the
textbook. The first axiom appears to be this: although there were
"mistakes" and "dark spots," what mattered was the survival and
strengthening of the state–by whatever means necessary. And, by that
standard, the Soviet Union was a glittering success, and the costs
were justified–especially, as we have already seen, since the main
victims of Stalinism were the elite, not the ordinary people. The
second axiom of modern Russian history according to Putin is that
the Soviet Union was a "besieged fortress," forever under threat
of attack by the West, and that the machinations of the West were
responsible not only for Soviet foreign policy but also for a great
deal of domestic misfortune. Finally, and most importantly, the
overarching aim of this and all future historical narratives is the
"normalization" of the monstrosity of Soviet totalitarianism, the
manufacture of justifications and excuses for its crimes.

While pages and pages of The Modern History of Russia overflow with
official statistics attesting to the dazzling achievements of Soviet
economy–the production of mineral fertilizers grew six-fold; of
electricity, five-fold; of steel, double–or with positively loving
recitations of the quality and quantity of Soviet military hardware,
the Gulag is mentioned by name once. And this sole mention is by way of
cautioning the reader against the "exaggeration" of its "contribution"
to the economy: after all, there were only 2.6 million prisoners
(in 1950), compared with 40.4 million in the country’s workforce
outside the barbed wire.

Among the many eyewitness accounts inserted into the textbook’s
narrative under the rubric "How It Was" (Kak eto bylo), there is not a
single one from the flood of memoirs published in the late 1980s about
the hell of the camps or "investigative prisons," where "testimony"
was beaten out of the arrested; not a single quotation from Kolyma
Tales, or Solzhenitsyn’s A Day in the Life of Ivan Denisovich, or
The Department of the Useless Things by Yuri Dombrovsky (another
splendid Russian writer who miraculously survived three stints,
amounting to a quarter of a century, in the Gulag), or from the
brilliantly imagined prison and camp chapters in the greatest Russian
novel of the twentieth century, Vassily Grossman’s Life and Fate. The
"Doctors’ Plot" of 1953 merits a paragraph–but not the next step,
which only Stalin’s death thwarted: the planned public hangings of
traitorous Jews on Red Square and a countrywide pogrom to be followed
by the exile of more than two million Soviet Jews to the Far East.

And, speaking of pogroms, the textbook has this to say about
inter-ethnic relations under Brezhnev: "The degree of consolidation
of Soviet nationalities and their yearning for mutual closeness were
especially pronounced in comparison with other multi-ethnic states. In
the USA, for instance, Ku Klux Klan-like organizations were operating
almost openly [and] every now and then bloody mass confrontations
occurred on racial or national grounds." This, about a society in which
one’s ethnicity was the defining characteristic of the individual in
his relations with others; in which the Azeri hated the Armenians,
and the Abkhaz hated the Georgians, and the Uzbeks hated the Kirgiz
(and would start killing one another as soon as the totalitarian
controls were relaxed, while others, such as Moldovans, Lithuanians,
Latvians, Estonians, and Georgians, bolted out of the happy union
even before it collapsed); in which ethnic Russian "masses" seem to
despise all other nationalities and commonly use slurs and derogatory
terms for the Ukrainians, the Armenians, the peoples of Central Asia
and the Caucasus. There is also not a word about state antiSemitism
under Brezhnev and anti-Jewish discrimination in employment, travel
abroad, and university admissions; or about the internal passports
in which "nationality" followed name and address; or about Moscow
State University’s admissions policies in the second half of the
1970s, when the applicants had to put down not only the last names of
their parents but also those of their grandparents, so as to help the
university detect the Jews. Those with only one Jewish grandparent,
it was widely believed, had a chance.

III.

The sections on foreign policy in The Modern History of Russia could
have come directly from Soviet textbooks. The origins of the Cold
War are covered in three sentences. The United States was bent on
"world domination." The Soviet Union’s might was in America’s way. A
"serious confrontation ensued." Churchill’s Fulton speech on March
5, 1946, the "Iron Curtain" speech, was a declaration of war, and
the reliable Stalin is cited at length from a Pravda interview to
that effect. Since there is no analysis, no alternative view, and
certainly no refutation of Stalin’s words, the Russian schoolchildren
are supposed to accept what he said at face value:

Pravda: May Mr. Churchill’s speech be considered as damaging the
cause of peace and security?

Stalin: Undoubtedly so. In essence, Mr. Churchill has taken the
position of a warmonger…. It must be noted that in this regard
Mr. Churchill and his friends are remarkably like Hitler and his
friends…. Undoubtedly that Mr. Churchill’s viewpoint is a viewpoint
of war, a call for a war with the USSR.

Nor did the planning of war against the Soviet Union stop at
"concepts." Russian high schoolers will learn from this textbook
that already in May 1945 Churchill was reviewing a war plan against
the Soviet Union, and by November 1945 the targets for the nuclear
attack on the Soviet Union had been selected. (Why, then–one hopes a
bright Russian girl or boy will ask–was the Soviet Union not bombed
by the bloodthirsty warmongers, given that it would not explode its
own nuclear charge until four years later? )

The text does not dwell on what might have made its "former allies"
suspicious of Moscow’s intentions in Soviet-occupied Eastern Europe
and thus shaped what became known as the "Cold War mentality": the
arrest and trial (on charges of "sabotaging the Red Army") of the
sixteen leaders of the Polish anti-Nazi underground, loyal to the
London-based government-in-exile, after they were promised immunity
and presented themselves to the Soviet headquarters; the squeezing out
of non-communists from the governments of Eastern Europe; the rigged
election in Poland, in direct contravention of the Soviet Union’s
pledge in Yalta that there would be a free election there in which
all "anti-Nazi and democratic forces could participate"; the later
installation of murderous totalitarian satrapies in Eastern Europe, and
the arrests of hundreds of thousands of "members of the bourgeoisie,"
the intelligentsia, and local political notables (firstly of the
non-communist left), and the show trials and the executions, after
horrible torture, of local communist leaders such as Traicho Kostov in
Bulgaria, Laszlo Rajk in Hungary, and Rudolf Slansky in Czechoslovakia.

Instead, Russian students will learn how regimes of "people’s
democracy" were established "with assistance of the Soviet military
administration" in Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Romania, and
Bulgaria, and how, as a result, "the communists came to power," and
how "overall, the population, which wanted social reforms, supported
the communists’ coming to power." The Sovietization of Eastern Europe
is explained by the need to defend vital and perfectly legitimate
national security interests:

It was impossible to sacrifice the security of the USSR. No Russian
government could have afforded to do so. Stalin could not possibly
agree to U.S.-British demands for the return of the pre-war governments
to Poland, Czechoslovakia, or Yugoslavia. For such a return would have
restored the cordon sanitaire [a stretch of pro-Western, "bourgeois"
"buffer" states along Bolshevik Russia’s western borders] erected
against the USSR in those lands. Stalin wanted to create a broad band
of communist-led states, which was to stretch between the Soviet Union
and Western Europe. The "Polish gate" cost the USSR huge sacrifices,
and the Soviet government could not simply hand over the key to it
to Washington.

>From the beginning, then, the Cold War was a one-sided affair: the West
attacking, the Soviet Union defending itself as best it could. Among
the main lines of this gratuitous assault on Russia was ideological
warfare: "having failed to dislodge the Soviet regime by force,"
The Modern History of Russia explains, the United States "unleashed
an ideological war" whose "main tool" was Radio Free Europe/Radio
Liberty. (And yet Radio Moscow had broadcast in every language under
the sun for decades before and after the war, not to mention the
thousands of pro-Soviet–and often Soviet-funded–newspapers and
magazines around the world, and the incessant "peace" "congresses,"
"conferences," "movements," and "appeals" of the 1940s and early
1950s.) A few pages later the textbook acknowledges the ruling Soviet
doctrine of the "impossibility of peaceful co-existence between of the
socialist and bourgeois ideology," that is, the permanent ideological
war on the West until the bitter end–without recognizing, of course,
the implications of this admission.

The Cold War–and, by a very short extension, the United States–was to
blame even for the reversal of the very mild "liberalization" allowed
by Stalin during the Great Patriotic War. For, as far as the textbook’s
authors are concerned, it goes without saying that no "democratization
of the domestic regime" could be allowed by Stalin. The "conditions
of hostile encirclement," the reconstruction of the economy, and "the
forging of military capability necessary to resist the U.S. and its
allies" required the "ideological consolidation of the population"
and thus the "strengthening of the state’s ideological control over
society."

And whatever problems the Cold War may have caused along the way,
the Soviet Union–until Gorbachev, of course–marched from victory
to victory in world affairs. Even the withdrawal of nuclear-tipped
missiles from Cuba in 1962 ended in a "defeat" for the United
States. Another victory was won in the Vietnam war, which had been
caused by the "U.S. aggression against North Vietnam" aimed at the
"liquidation of the communist regime in North Vietnam." In its capacity
as "the guarantor of world stability," the Soviet Union had no choice
but to "state its readiness to render North Vietnam the assistance
necessary to repulse the aggression."

The account of the Soviet role in the Arab-Israeli conflict in
The Modern History of Russia has nothing about the Soviet Union’s
massive shipments of armaments and material to Egypt and Syria in
1966-1967; and not a word about the Egyptians’ massing troops in
Sinai, and Syria doing the same on the Golan Heights, in May 1967;
or about the blockade of the Gulf of Aqaba by Egypt; or of the Soviet
representative at the United Nations blocking any possibility of the
Security Council’s addressing Israel’s grave concerns (and thus the
resolution of the crisis by peaceful means). Instead, the textbook
repeats the canard of Israel’s imminent attack on Syria–the same
lie that Moscow communicated at the time to Egypt and Syria, thus
pushing Egypt still closer to war.

The Six Day War segment of the story concludes with Israel condemned
as "aggressor" by "Resolution 247 of the Security Council" and,
peace-loving to the core and unwilling to keep company with warmongers
of any kind, the Soviet Union’s breaking diplomatic relations
with the Jewish state. In fact–but how could any Russian high
school student know this?–U.N. Security Council Resolution 247,
adopted in March 1968, re-authorized the U.N. peacekeeping force
in Cyprus. The textbook’s authors must have meant Resolution 237,
of June 14, 1967–except that there was nothing in that resolution
about Israel’s being an "aggressor." And the Yom Kippur War of 1973,
when Soviet-armed Egypt attacked Israel, is not mentioned at all.

The nuclear arms race was also America’s fault. No mention is made
of the Soviet Union’s annual churning out of more tanks than the
rest of the world combined, to add to the tens of thousands that
were already deployed in Eastern Europe. There is nothing about the
deployment of the mobile intermediate missiles SS-20 armed with three
nuclear warheads and targeted at western Europe; and nothing about
the shooting down of Korean Airlines Flight 007, with 269 passengers
and crew, by the Soviet Air Force on September 1, 1983.

When all is said and done, the "rigorously centralized character
of the political and economic system of government of the Soviet
era"–the word "totalitarian," which became virtually inseparable from
the definition of the Soviet regime during the glasnost revolution
of the late 1980s, and made its way into Gorbachev’s and Yeltsin’s
speeches, is not used once in the Putinist textbook–is not to be
understood as a product of the deadly ideology of a "utopia in power,"
to recall the marvelous title of an "alternative" Soviet history by two
expatriate Russian scholars in the 1980s. Nor were the "psychological
peculiarities of Stalin’s personality," as the authors coyly phrase it,
among the primary causes. No, the responsibility for the bestial regime
rests with "objective conditions": historical, social, economic. The
Russian national tradition is that of "centralization" in the service
of "modernization," and Stalinism was no different, except that the
constant threat of invasion necessitated that "modernization" be
especially speedy, which had the consequence of making the regime
"tougher." Nothing unusual about that. Stalin was no more "tough
and merciless" than Bismarck, who united the German lands by "iron
and blood." Why, even such allegedly "soft" and "flexible" political
systems as that of the United States–the quotation marks are in the
original–tend to evolve toward "hard forms of political organization"
under threat, as happened after September 11.

As for the "measures of coercion"–the word "terror," like
"totalitarianism," also does not seem to be in the authors’
vocabulary–the "expedited modernization" called for a "corresponding
system of power" and an apparatus capable of the "realization of the
course." Producing such an "apparatus" and making it "effective" were
tasks that may be accomplished "by a variety of means, which included
political repression." The pursuit of the "maximal effectiveness of the
governing apparatus" explained the fact that, "according to Russian
and foreign historians," the "primary victim" of the "repressions"
between 1930 and 1950 was the ruling class.

In the "plus" column of its "on-the-one-hand, on-the-other-hand"
assessment of Stalin, the textbook declares him "the most
successful leader of the USSR," responsible for industrialization,
the "cultural revolution," the world’s best "system of education,"
the "elimination of unemployment," and also for the ultra-effective
"machinery of power." Conversely, Brezhnev’s inability to forge an
equally "effective" elite management–notwithstanding his achieving
nuclear parity with the United States, the feat that forever secures
his place in the pantheon of greatest Russian leaders and the nation’s
undying gratitude–"played a fatal role" in the Soviet Union’s demise.

IV.

There is nothing new, of course, in these distortions of Russian
history, or in the czar acting as historian-in-chief. "Like Providence
in reverse, the Russian government seeks to arrange for the better not
the future, but the past," wrote Alexander Herzen, Russia’s first true
(and still rather lonely) liberal. Count Alexander von Benchendorff,
the first head of the infamous Third Department of His Majesty’s
Chancery–the secret political police, or the Gendarmes, set up by
Nicholas I in 1826–gave this instruction to Russian historians:
"Russia’s past was wonderful, its present is more than superlative,
and when it comes to her future, it is above anything that the
most daring imagination could conjure. This is the point of view
from which Russia’s history must be viewed and written." (Putin has
added a portrait of Nicholas I to the busts and portraits of Peter
the Great, Catherine the Great, and Alexander II in the antechamber
of the president’s office in the Kremlin.)

Stalin began, in 1934, with question marks and exclamation points in
the margins of a high school history textbook, and four years later
produced extensive editorial notes and insertions into the drafts of
the Short Course History of the VKP(b)–the acronym stands for the
Russian equivalent of the All-Union Communist Party (the Bolsheviks)–
which established the guidelines for the writing of Soviet history
for the next fifty years. (Stalin’s notes and interpolations, in small
but perfectly legible round letters in black pen, may soon be viewed
on the site of Yale University’s "Cold War Archives" project, led by
the indefatigable Jonathan Brent.) A comparison between Stalin’s and
Putin’s interventions in Russian historiography seems obvious. The
first time as tragedy, the second time as farce? But there is nothing
farcical about the new round of mendacity in the narrative of Russia’s
past. The stakes are too high.

The important point about Putin’s reactionary revisionism is that this
time the lies are appearing after the rehabilitation of the truth. With
the advent of glasnost–a genuinely moral revolution, and a fearless
society-wide soul-searching, and an outburst of decency and courage,
and an explosion of journalistic and intellectual excellence, which
almost redeemed the previous seven decades of cruelty and lies–an
accurate account of Russia’s history was established as a condition
of Russia’s revival. The previously taught version of the country’s
history was found to be so "monstrously distorted," in Izvestia’s
phrase, that the national high school examination in history, required
for graduation and the diploma, was abolished in 1988. The exam was
restored the following year, but the old textbooks remained invalid
and new ones were being readied for the ninth and tenth grades.

First and foremost, in the great glasnost moment, it was deemed
imperative to create the political and social mechanisms that "would
firmly block any tilt toward [our] self-exterminating past," as the
leading literary magazine Znamya put it in the fall of 1987. Such
mechanisms would not work without moral and cultural reform, which
would consist in unflinching self-reckoning and selfdiscovery. Above
all, the renewal of Russia required a sober and remorseless burning
away (vyzhiganie) of any self-delusion. What we conceal and what
we fear is one and the same, wrote a contributor to perhaps the
finest collection of glasnost essays, Inogo ne dano, or There Is
No Other Way, in 1988. If hiding the truth is a sign of fear, then
the revelation of truth is a sign of the conquest of fear. The road
toward a society in which the free individual flourishes, suggested
a literary historian, lies "only through truth, through really honest
self-learning (samopoznanie) and self-awareness (samosoznanie)." Could
it be that all our misfortunes–including, of course, the horrors of
Stalinism–are "because we have not learned to respect the truth, the
truth of our history?" asked a leading political philosopher. If so,
"we must stop deceiving ourselves…. We can no longer evade truth,
engage in myth-creation. We must trust the truth."

The passionate quest for such a history began with the recovery of
the true dimensions of the devastation wrought by Stalinism. This
national act of acknowledgment and commemoration was thought to be
more than a tribute to the dead. The horrors that Stalinism visited
on Russia had to be recognized in shame and remorse, shuddered and
wailed over, and, most importantly, redeemed by the creation of a
state and a society that would never again allow the country to be
ruled by terror. One must be "horrified to become brave enough" to
condemn and forever break with the past in which most of one’s life
was lived, declared a letter to the flagship of glasnost, the weekly
newspaper Moskovskie novosti, in 1988.

It was not too long ago, then, that what Anatoly Rybakov, the
author of the immensely popular anti-Stalinist saga Deti Arbata,
or The Children of Arbat, called "moral cleansing" was the order
of the day. Confronting Stalinism was a matter of the "spiritual
health of the country," its "spiritual hygiene." The troubadours
of glasnost seemed confident that Russia would emerge from this
merciless self-examination as if from a banya, a sauna: bleary-eyed
and with red marks left by the birch twigs, but–at last!–clean,
light, sober, serious, and ready for hard and honest work. The time
"of societal penitence and moral cleansing is come," declared one
of the Soviet Union’s most beloved film actors, Georgy Zhzhyonov,
himself a former prisoner in Stalin’s camps. "What a wonderful,
capacious word is ‘repentance’!" seconded Russia’s finest eye surgeon,
Svyatoslav Fyodorov, whose innovative techniques returned sight to
thousands of Russians (and whose father, too, perished in Stalin’s
purges). "How fitting it is for our times! To repent, to tell all
without holding anything back in order to begin a better life!"

The full tale of the nightmare had to be recovered and retold not
only as credible and accurate history, but also as a parable to be
read anew by every man and woman, every boy and girl. The memoirs of
survivors, which schoolteachers were instructed to read to students,
were thought by a literary critic at Ogonyok magazine, that other
engine of glasnost, to be the moral equivalent of "inoculations against
cholera, smallpox, or plague." Insofar as Stalinism justified violence
in pursuit of an ideal society, and offered absolution of guilt in
exchange for blind faith, or complicity, or acquiescence, in terror and
lies, de-Stalinization heralded the end of Soviet history’s exclusion
from ethical judgment, the end of an "extra-moral" (vnemoral’noe)
attitude to history, as a young woman instructor in the humanities
put it. De-Stalinization meant a re-moralization of Soviet history
and a return to normal historiography, which, in turn, promised to
return to the Soviet people their country’s true history. And so the
eventual publication of the first honest textbook of Russian history,
a veteran schoolteacher wrote in Izvestia in July 1987, would be an
event of national significance.

As usual in the greatest Russian debates, the classics were deployed
to excellent effect. One of Russia’s finest poets, Fyodor Tyutchev,
was invoked: "For society, as well as for an individual, self-knowledge
is the first condition of any progress." And then the uncannily wise
Chekhov, by way of Trofimov’s soliloquy in Act II of The Cherry
Orchard: "We don’t have a definite attitude toward the past. We
only philosophize, complain of ennui, or drink vodka. But it is so
abundantly clear that to begin living in the present we must first
redeem our past and be done with it, and we can redeem it only by
pain and by an extraordinary and constant labor." And Tolstoy, in a
magnificent essay on the sadistic punishment of soldiers in the reign
of Nicholas I and the moral imperative of remembrance:

We are saying: why remember? Why remember the past? It is no longer
here, is it? Why should we remember it? Why disturb the people? What
do you mean: why remember? If I was gravely ill and I was cured, I
will always remember [the deliverance] with joy. Only then will I not
want to remember, when I am still ill, in the same way or even more
seriously, and I wish to deceive myself…. Why remember that which
has passed? Passed? What has passed? How could it have passed–that
which we not only have not started to eradicate and heal but are even
afraid to call by its name? How could a brutal illness be cured only
by our saying that it is gone? And it is not going away and will not
and cannot go away until we admit that we are ill. In order to cure
an illness one must first admit that one has it.

And now, to turn all this back, to reverse this great movement
of honesty, to dash this splendid hope and retard this amazing
transformation, comes the cynicism and the corruption of the past
eight years–and this wretched war in Georgia, in which, for the first
time, post-Soviet Russia appears determined to resurrect invasion and
occupation as tools of its foreign policy. When Russia’s historians
come to compose their indictment against Putinism, as they surely will,
the charges will prominently include Vladimir Putin’s unforgivable
interruption of his country’s renaissance and the subversion of its
attainment to moral maturity.

Leon Aron, a resident scholar and director of Russian studies at
the American Enterprise Institute, is the author, most recently,
of Russia’s Revolution: Essays 1989-2006.

–Boundary_(ID_7JDX6nJ7V1FrLVhXqsWuWw) —

It’s (Still) Foreign Policy, Stupid

IT’S (STILL) FOREIGN POLICY, STUPID
by By Daniel McGroarty

The Monitor (McAllen, Texas)
Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune News Service
September 24, 2008 Wednesday

With Wall Street in meltdown and Main Street bracing for the bailout
bill, pundits have hammered out a new conventional wisdom: the 2008
race for the White House will be all about the economy. James Carville,
mastermind of the Clinton campaign _ Bill’s ’92 victory, not Hillary’s
’08 flame-out _ must regret not trademarking his famous phrase:
"It’s the economy, stupid."

And the organizers of the presidential debates _ with the first
coming Friday night in Mississippi _ must be kicking themselves for
flip-flopping this year’s topics, swapping "foreign policy" for Debate
No. 1 and pushing "the economy" to the third and final matchup in
mid-October. That decision, announced without fanfare in the third
week of August, was a reaction to Russia’s invasion of Georgia. Now
that the credit crisis has pushed Georgia out of the news cycle,
the change of topics is looking oddly out of sync.

But Sens. Obama and McCain needn’t worry they’ll have nothing to talk
about. Iraq, Afghanistan and al-Qaeda are the givens. The challenge
is that the larger global dynamic is changing by the day.

Consider the flashpoints _ some known, others new and rising:

Resurgent Russia. Judging by the TV news and daily headlines,
Georgia seems to be an old story. The real question, however,
is whether Georgia was merely Act I in the reclaiming of Russia’s
empire, with a lively regional game of "Who’s Next?" being fed by
both Russian rhetoric and actions. In the Moscow media, Russian
analysts speculate about a "new iron curtain" cutting Ukraine
in two; President Dmitry Medvedev presents a new doctrine that
includes protection for Russian ethnics _ perking ears in Estonia
(25 percent ethnic Russian), Latvia (30 percent ethnic Russian) and
in Ukraine (10 million ethnic Russians). Russia warns the Poles and
Czechs that signing on as hosts for a U.S. missile defense system _
aimed at the not-so-distant threat of missiles launched from Iran
_ will result in Prague and Warsaw becoming targets for Russian
nuclear weapons. Russia’s warning notwithstanding, Romania floats
the possibility of joining the U.S. missile defense network. How
to shore up Georgia, and backstop Russia’s nervous neighbors from,
well … Stettin in the Baltics to Bucharest and the Black Sea.

Farther north, speculation now focuses on the possibility of bringing
Finland into NATO, with traditionally neutral Sweden taking note. In
the Cold War, once the worry was the "Finlandization" of Europe;
now that we’re discussing the "NATOization" of Finland, what might
Russia do? For now, that’s an open _ and ominous _ question.

Southern Exposure? Forget Charlie Gibson and Gov. Sarah Palin’s set-to
about the Bush Doctrine. Remember the Monroe Doctrine, declaring
the Americas to be thenceforth free from European meddling back in
1823? Now, with Russian bombers landing in Venezuela, Bolivia inking a
multi-billion dollar energy deal with Russia’s Gazprom, and Nicaragua
rushing to recognize Russia’s annexation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia
_ can it be long until Daniel Ortega names Tskhinvali as Managua’s
sister city? _ the United States has to factor for Russian intelligence
operatives fomenting anti-yanqui sentiment on America’s southern flank.

Friendly fire? Even potentially positive international trends strain
our ability to embrace new realities. Take Turkey, for instance, made
all the more critical in the wake of Russia’s Georgian grab. Long
a member of NATO, Turkey remains an outsider to the European Union,
as members of the EU club have been happy to foot-drag on admitting
a Moslem-majority nation projected to reach 100 million by 2050. Now,
in the wake of Georgia, Turkey has new leverage as a bulwark against
Russia hegemony.

But a more prominent Turkey triggers its own new concerns. The Kurds
in northern Iraq _ easily the United States’ strongest Iraqi ally
in that nation’s most stable region _ stoke Turkish fears that a
rising Kurdistan will fuel calls by Turkey’s Kurdish minority for
autonomy or even independence. Will the United States find itself in
the middle of Turkish-Kurdish conflict? Meanwhile, fear of Russia has
sparked Turkey’s interest in strengthening its link to resource-rich
Azerbaijan _ but in between lies Armenia, where memories of Turkey’s
1915 slaughter remain raw _ even as the Armenians and Azeris face off
on the status of ethnic-Armenians in central Azerbaijan. Is there a
possibility for deft U.S. leadership to bring Turks, Kurds, Azeris
and Armenians under one big tent? Only if a new commander in chief
has the policy-bandwidth to make it a priority.

Spin the globe from country to country, and it’s enough to induce a
bad case of foreign policy vertigo: a kaleidoscope of 19 countries and
four continents in this article alone _ and we haven’t even ventured
east of the Ural Mountains or south to Islamabad, scene of the terror
attack on the Marriott hotel.

Yes, health insurance and home mortgages, the credit crisis, the
state of our cities, our schools, our bridges and borders: they all
matter. But beyond America’s borders is a world of change that simply
won’t wait. We’re engaged in a great geo-political game of Risk,
unfolding real-time.

So as we ready ourselves for Friday night at the fights, maybe the
debate organizers got it right after all: "It’s (still) foreign
policy, stupid."

___

ABOUT THE WRITER

Daniel McGroarty, a former White House speechwriter, is principal
of Carmot Strategic Group, an international business consultancy in
Washington. Readers may write to him at Carmot, 1701 Pennsylvania
Avenue NW, Suite 300, Washington, D.C. 20006.

EU/Turkey: Opposition CHP Accuses Ankara Of Violating Press Freedom

EU/TURKEY: OPPOSITION CHP ACCUSES ANKARA OF VIOLATING PRESS FREEDOM

European Report
September 24, 2008

Just a few weeks ahead of the scheduled publication of the European
Commission’s annual report on Turkey’s progress towards EU accession,
leading members of Turkey’s main opposition Republican People’s Party
(CHP) voiced, on 23 September, concern about the Ankara government’s
"anti-European approach towards freedom of speech and press in the
country".

Speaking to reporters in Brussels, Onur Oymen and Sukru Elekdag,
the vice-presidents of the CHP and members of the EU-Turkey Joint
Parliamentary Committee, pointed to several cases where the freedom of
press has been recently violated by the ruling Justice and Development
Party (AKP). They especially criticised the AKP’s leader, Prime
Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, for his fierce attack on the Dogan
Media Group newspapers, which he accused of conducting a campaign of
defamation against him and his party. The group has been reporting on a
charity fraud lawsuit in Germany against a Turkish Islamic foundation
named Deniz Feneri, which allegedly transferred some of its funds to
Erdogan’s government.

In view of Turkey’s EU accession talks, "we should upgrade our
democratic standards, relating in particular to freedom of speech and
press," Oymen said, openly criticising Erdogan for his attack on the
opposition media.

The annual report to be published by the Commission at the beginning
of November is expected to closely examine whether human rights,
such as freedom of speech and press, are respected in Turkey. The
criticism expressed by the CHP leaders is likely to add to the EU’s
disappointment with the Turkish government’s slow pace in implementing
reforms in these areas. Since the start of accession talks in October
2005, the EU has been refusing to open the chapter on judiciary and
fundamental rights for talks with Ankara.

The CHP leaders underlined, however, that their party strongly
supports Erdogan’s pro-European drive. "Accession to the EU is the
CHP’s main objective. We will support the government in its pro-EU
efforts," Elekdag said, dismissing claims about a lack of cross-party
consensus on EU membership in Turkey. "We have been supporting the
government very strongly in the past. Eight reform packages and three
constitutional amendments have been adopted with the support of the
CHP," Elekdag explained.

According to CHP leaders, the recent positive developments in Turkey’s
relations with Armenia will not ultimately lead to a resolution of the
frozen Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan due to
an absence of a constructive attitude on the part of Russia. Turkey
closed its border with Armenia in 1993 in a show of solidarity with
Azerbaijan, a Turkic-speaking ally, and in protest against Armenia’s
occupation of Nagorno-Karabakh. Turkey and Armenia have both said that
they want to improve their relations and together with Azerbaijan solve
the Nagorno-Karabakh problem. "Armenia occupies Nagorno-Karabakh with
the support of Russia. It is not in Russia’s interest to solve this
frozen conflict," Elekdag explained.

ANKARA: Armenian President Denies Territorial Claims Against Turkey

ARMENIAN PRESIDENT DENIES TERRITORIAL CLAIMS AGAINST TURKEY

Milliyet
21 Sep 2008
Turkey

[Interview with President Serzh Sarksyan by Cenk Baslamis in Yerevan;
date not given: "Yerevan: We Do Not Have Territorial Claims."

[Baslamis] Does Armenia have territorial claims against Turkey?

[Sarksyan] I am surprised by the claims that Armenia demands a part of
Turkey’s territory. Somehow, that is a widespread conviction. However,
have you heard any Armenian official say that Armenia demands a part
of Turkey’s territory? A statement has definitely not been made to
that effect. But, there are those who link the question of genocide
with territorial claims. I do not know why that is done.

Serzh Sarksyan Cenk Baslamis

[1] 21 September2008

[Baslamis] You have disclosed that you would not object to Turkey and
Armenia setting up a committee of historians to carry out a research
on the Armenian genocide claims. Considering that you are not opposed
to the establishment of such a committee, would you be prepared to
accept the outcome of its work?

[Sarksyan] I said that I am generally not opposed to the establishment
of committees between the two countries. I also said that the
two countries establishing diplomatic relations before they set up
committees will be more useful. First, let us open our common border
and establish diplomatic relations. We can then move to establish
committees and subcommittee on every issue. You asked whether or
not we would accept the decision to be made by the committee of
historians. That is a rather strange question because a group of
historians will decide on the matter in the end. Sarksyan is in
power in Armenia at the present time. Let us say that I accepted the
committee’s decision. What will happen if the person who will replace
me says "I do not accept the decision?" In other words, the decision to
be made by the committee cannot be a determining factor. It can only
be a recommendation for those who make decisions. It can only be a
recommendation for the government. You might recall the establishment
of a similar committee as a result of US initiatives in the past. It
concluded that an act of genocide was committed. What happened? Did
it change anything? Was it accepted by anyone? No, it was not. No
one accepted its decision.

[Baslamis] You will visit Turkey to watch the return match between
the Turkish and Armenian national football teams. Do you plan to hold
talks with Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan when you are in Turkey
or at a later date?

[Sarksyan] I will be happy to find an opportunity to meet esteemed
Erdogan.

Recognition of Karabag [Nagorno-Karabakh] is the Last Alternative

[Baslamis] Can you comment on the situation that has been created
by Georgia’s attack on South Ossetia? Why have you not recognized
Karabag’s independence after Russia recognized South Ossetia?

[Sarksyan] The developments showed how dangerous an effort to solve
an ethnic problem through the use of arms can be. Recognizing the
independence of Karabag is not on our agenda at the present time
because talks are being held on the problem. The recognition of
Karabag is the last alternative we have. However, I must note that
the Armenians will move out of Karabag if the area is miraculously
placed under Azerbaijan’s rule.

A Question That Made Sarksyan Laugh

[Baslamis] Were you able to discuss issues other than political
problems when you held talks with President Abdullah Gul? For example,
did Gul inform you on his impressions in Yerevan? Did he utter a word
in Armenian or did you say something to him in Turkish?

[Sarksyan] (After laughing for some time) No, we did not find an
opportunity to discuss other matters with His Excellency Abdullah
Gul. I believe that esteemed Gul does not know Armenian. I am said to
be able to speak Azeri. Yes, I was able to speak Azeri in a simple
way in the past. I know that the Turkish and Azeri languages are
close. But, I have not spoken Azeri for 20 years now. That is to say, I
am not able construct a logical sentence at the present time. Regarding
esteemed Gul, my impressions are very positive. He is a very nice
person. We discussed what we can do to bring prosperity to our people.

www.milliyet.com.tr

EBRD Says Armenia Supports Turkey Bid

EBRD SAYS ARMENIA SUPPORTS TURKEY BID

Agence France Presse
September 24, 2008 Wednesday 4:55 PM GMT

Armenia has voiced its support for plans within the European Bank for
Reconstruction and Development to invest in Turkey, a bank spokesman
told AFP on Wednesday.

The EBRD’s board of directors voted overwhelmingly to support Ankara’s
request that its status within the bank be changed to a country of
operations from a shareholder state.

A source close to the bank, who declined to be identified, told AFP
that the sole dissenting vote was that of Armenia.

But according to an EBRD spokesman, Armenia "made clear" on Wednesday
that it backed Turkey’s bid.

Turkey has been a shareholder of the EBRD since its inception in 1991,
when it was created to encourage former Soviet countries to adopt
market economies. Ankara asked in April that its status within the
bank be changed.

Its application for the change said the EBRD could contribute to
market-promoting initiatives that would be "immensely beneficial for
the Bank as well as for Turkey."

The EBRD board, which represents the bank’s 63 governors, reached its
decision after a "strategic review of the implications of investment
in Turkey" and the issue will now go before the bank’s governors at
the end of next month.

The London-based bank has shareholders comprising 61 national
governments, including the United States and Turkey, as well as the
European Community and European Investment Bank.

The bank currently invests in 28 countries in central and eastern
Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).

Turkey has refused to establish diplomatic ties with Armenia because
of its international campaign for the recognition of the mass killings
of Armenians under the Ottoman Empire during World War I as genocide.

Turkish President Abdullah Gul became the first Turkish head of state
to visit Armenia when he travelled to Yerevan this month to watch a
World Cup qualifying football match between the two countries on an
invitation by Armenian President Serzh Sarkisian.

RA Prime Minister Awarded Baroness Caroline Cox

RA PRIME MINISTER AWARDED BARONESS CAROLINE COX

RIA OREANDA
Economic News
September 26, 2008 Friday
Russia

Yerevan. ">OREANDA-NEWS . September 26, 2008. In accordance with
a decree signed today by RA Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan, for
outstanding contribution to the strengthening and development of
Armenian-British relations and for friendly ties maintained with
the people of Armenia, chairwoman of the British-Armenian all-party
parliamentary group, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern
Ireland House of Lords Vice-Speaker, Baroness Caroline Cox was awarded
RA Prime Minister’s commemorative medal. The medal was presented to the
Baroness during a meeting held at the Office of Government later today.

In the course of her planned visit to the NKR and Armenia, Baroness
Cox was accompanied by a numerous delegation of people interested
in Armenia and Artsakh the members of which, in Baroness’s words,
are supposed to become the best friends of Armenia.

Greeting the guests, Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan conveyed his
gratitude to Caroline Cox by noting that she is well-known in both
Armenia and Artsakh for her many missions carried out in these parts.

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland House of Lords
Vice-Speaker, Baroness Caroline Cox advised the head of the Armenian
government that she has arrived in our country to attend jubilee
celebrations for a rehabilitation center established in Artsakh over
a decade ago owing to her efforts which is now deemed to be among
the best ones in the South Caucasian region.

Baroness Cox thanked the Prime Minister for the decoration and his
kind remarks. She asked Tigran Sargsyan about the impact that may
have on the Karabakh peace process Abkhazia’s and South Ossetia’s
declaration of independence, the current status of the Armenian-Turkish
relationship and the approaches of the Armenian authorities following
the Turkish President’s recent visit to Armenia.

The Prime Minister gave the Baroness a detailed account of our
country’s official standpoint which has already been made public on
several occasions.

ANKARA: Gul Urges "Positive Climate" With Armenia

TURKISH PRESIDENT URGES "POSITIVE CLIMATE" WITH ARMENIA

Anatolia News Agency
Sept 25 2008
Turkey

New York, 26 September: The Turkish president said on Thursday that
his aim was to create a positive climate between Turkey and Armenia.

Turkey’s President Abdullah Gul said that he wanted that climate to
eliminate problems between the two countries.

"I am very hopeful about this," he said in a meeting organized by
the American-Turkish Society in New York.

Gul said that Turkey and Armenia did not have diplomatic relations,
and their borders were closed although Turkey was one of the first
countries recognizing Armenia’s independence.

"However, two countries have had humanitarian activities," Gul said
and gave Turkey’s wheat assistance to Armenia in 1990s as an example.

Gul said thousands of Armenian citizens were working in Turkey due to
economic reasons, there were flights and cultural activities between
the two countries.

"My recent visit (to Armenia) was for a soccer game, but I did not only
watch the game with Mr [Serzh] Sargsyan (the Armenian President). We
had the opportunity to discuss bilateral relations, Caucasus and
Azerbaijan," he said.

Gul underlined necessity of solving regional problems through dialogue,
and expressed his hope that everything would normalize in the end.

President Gul also said that one of indicators that relations would
normalize one ay was the trilateral meeting the foreign ministers of
Turkey, Azerbaijan and Armenia would hold in New York on Friday.

"What leaders should do is to eliminate problems, not to feed
enmities," Gul also said.

Gul said that many projects could be carried out between Turkey and
Armenia, like establishing industrial zones at the border, after
problems were solved.

Fresno Priest Gathers Genocide Survivors’ Memoirs

FRESNO PRIEST GATHERS GENOCIDE SURVIVORS’ MEMOIRS
by Ron Orozco

Fresno Bee
September 27, 2008 Saturday
California

A pastor of a large Armenian Orthodox congregation in Fresno has
compiled the spiritual writings of survivors and victims of the
Armenian genocide.

The Rev. Arshen Aivazian, pastor of St. Paul Armenian Church, spent
20 years gathering the homilies, essays and poetry before organizing
them into "Echoes of Faith" (St. Nersess Press, $14.95). The book is
available in English and Aivazian’s translation in Armenian.

The book will be released Oct. 26 at the St. Paul Armenian Parish
banquet, 3767 N. First St.

Other special gatherings to promote the book will be Oct. 28 at the
Western Diocese of the Armenian Church of North America in Burbank
and Nov. 19 at St. Nersess Armenian Seminary in New Rochelle, N.Y.

In the book’s preface, Aivazian, 62, explains how he became inspired
reading the writings. He researched the authors and organized their
writings. It features 28 writings by authors who lived between
1862-1996.

Among them is "I Thirst," written by Nersess V. Danielian. Danielian
writes on the words of Jesus on the cross.

"I get teary-eyed every time I read it," says Aivazian, whose father,
Artine Aivazian, was a survivor of the genocide, and whose paternal
grandfather, Hovhannes Aivazian, was a victim of it. Artine Aivazian
died in 1992 at age 86.

"Under the most trying circumstances, in life, these people went to
their faith and they were triumphant," Arshen Aivazian says. The book
will be available at the St. Paul Armenian Church bookstore.