Foreign leaders commemorate centenary of Deng Xiaoping’s birth

Xinhua, China
Aug 23 2004

Foreign leaders commemorate centenary of Deng Xiaoping’s birth

BEIJING, Aug. 23 (Xinhuanet) — Top leaders of Armenia,
Turkmenistan, Tajikistan and Moldova have paid homage to late Chinese
leader Deng Xiaoping on the occasion of his 100th birthday.

In separate telegraphs sent to Chinese President Hu Jintao,
Armenian President Robert Kocharyan, Turkman President Saparmurat
Niyazov, Tajik President Emomali Rakhmonov and Moldovan President
Vladimir Voronin said what Deng had done significantly contributedto
China’s rise in the international arena.

The leaders highly valued Deng’s “one country, two systems”
policy and China’s reform and opening up drive which kicked off
China’s battle for modernization.

China’s rise provided a model for other countries and its
experience was rated as a treasure for the entire world, they said.

The leaders also expected more achievements to be made by Chinese
people who are striving to put Deng Xiaoping’s theory intofurther
practice.

Internet in Armenia

Reporters without borders, France
Aug 23 2004

Armenia

Population : 3,072,000
Internet users : 60,000 (2002)
Average charge for 20 hours of connection : 35 euros
DAI* : 0.30
Situation** : middling

Armenia is one of the few countries in the sub-region where the
Internet is not censored. But the government is slow to develop
Internet activity and not many people have access. A law to regulate
it has been passed that broadly respects freedom of expression
despite several inconsistencies.

With only 60,000 users and about 3,500 websites registered under an
“.am” domain-name, the Internet is not yet important in Armenia. The
high price of connection is the main obstacle to its growth, with a
private line costing nearly 50 euros a month. Line quality is also
poor, slowing access to webpages.

The 15-year telecom monopoly granted to the Greek firm OTE in 1998
also slows progress because the company has not made the investment
needed to improve access. Its charges to customers are unduly high
and it demands an exorbitant price for renting access to other ISPs.
Internet users pay the price for this lack of commercial competition.
Access is also largely confined to the capital, where most cybercafés
are.

Online media prevented from covering elections

No online media were accredited by the central elections commission
to cover the presidential and parliamentary elections between
February and May 2003. The commission decreed on 22 August 2002 that
only media duly registered with the justice ministry could be
accredited. Since websites were not at the time legally classed as
media, none could register and thus qualify.

Legal situation

A media law passed on 13 December 2003 by parliament gave websites
media status. The measure, more liberal than previous legislation,
defined media very broadly, with even posters included as such. The
Internet was exempted however from some requirements made of the
traditional media, such as registering with the government.

The law seems similar at first sight to those passed in the
sub-region’s more repressive countries, such as Belarus and
Kazakhstan, but is not such a threat to freedom of expression.
However it does contain some inconsistencies that might harm the
growth of the Internet, including a requirement that online
publications must provide the government with details of income and
expenditure. This is seen locally as completely impractical and a
heavy burden on website editors.

An online journalist threatened

John Hughes, editor of the online weekly Armenianow, informed
military prosecutor Gagik Jhangirian in a 4 November 2003 letter that
one of his journalists, Janna Alexanian, had received phone threats
from the father of two soldiers murdered on 6 August in Vanadzor and
about whom the journalist had written an article on 15 August. Their
father accused her of defending the killers. Hughes said the
complaint was in fact triggered by Alexanian writing that the
soldiers’ family was involved in petrol racketeering. The threats
stopped soon after the letter was sent.

Links

The Global Internet Policy Initiative (GIPI) site about Armenia
?i6

* The DAI (Digital Access Index) has been devised by the
International Telecommunications Union to measure the access of a
country’s inhabitants to information and communication technology. It
ranges from 0 (none at all) to 1 (complete access).

** Assessment of the situation in each country (good, middling,
difficult, serious) is based on murders, imprisonment or harassment
of cyber-dissidents or journalists, censorship of news sites,
existence of independent news sites, existence of independent ISPs
and deliberately high connection charges.
From: Baghdasarian

www.gipi.am/

Armenians Fear Government Abuses, Electoral Fraud

Centre for Public Opinion and Democracy, Canada
Aug 23 2004

Armenians Fear Government Abuses, Electoral Fraud

(CPOD) Aug. 23, 2004 – Some residents of Armenia are worried about
potential government abuses and electoral fraud, according to a poll
by the Armenian Center for National and International Studies
(ACNIS). 21.8 per cent of respondents believe a confrontation between
authorities and the people would be the main political danger in the
country, while 20.7 per cent mention the falsification of election
results.

According to a Human Rights Watch report, hundreds of demonstrators
were detained in April and May during a series of protests against
the government. The offices of at least three opposition political
parties were raided.

President Robert Kocharyan was re-elected to a new four-year term in
March 2003 in an election marred by fraud allegations.

Political tension provoked by the opposition, a possible attempt of
revolt and the limitation of political and civil rights are also
cited as key concerns.

Polling Data

What is the major political danger that will threaten Armenia in the
next five years?

Confrontations between authorities and the people
21.8%

Falsification of election results
20.7%

Provocation of political tension by the opposition
14.2%

Possible attempt of revolt
11.6%

Limitation of political and civil rights
9.8%

Political terrorism
6.5%

Restriction of Armenia’s sovereignty
4.0%

Armenia’s absence from regional programs
2.9%

There is no political danger
6.8%

Other
1.4%

Source: Armenian Center for National and International Studies
(ACNIS)
Methodology: Interviews with 2,021 Armenian adults, conducted from
Jul. 15 to Aug. 2, 2004. No margin of error was provided.

Firebird Global Master Fund, Ltd. Invests in Indusmin

Business Wire (press release), CA
Aug 23 2004

Firebird Global Master Fund, Ltd. Invests in Indusmin

VANCOUVER, British Columbia–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Aug. 23, 2004–Indusmin
Energy Corp.. (TSX Venture:IDM) announces that further to its news
release dated July 27, 2004, related to a proposed private placement,
the Corporation is pleased to announce that the Corporation has
received $ 1,000,000.00 from Firebird Global Master Fund, Ltd.
() Firebird Global Master Fund, Ltd. is a contrarian
portfolio equity fund that invests in exotic markets and sectors
around the world. Firebird Global Master Fund, Ltd. is associated
with Firebird, which manages approximately $625 million in six funds
dedicated primarily to equity investment in Russia, Eastern Europe
and Central Asia. A total of 3,333,333 units will be issued to
Firebird Global Master Fund, Ltd each unit will consist of one (1)
common share and one (1) share purchase warrant. each share purchase
warrant will entitle the holder thereof to purchase one (1) common
share of the Corporation at a purchase price of $0.30 per common
share in year one and $ 0.40 in year two from the date of issuance of
the share purchase warrants.

The proceeds of the private placement will be used for exploration
and development of the newly acquired licenses in the Republic of
Armenia and further development of the Kerch project in Ukraine. For
information on these projects please visit our website
.

The TSX Venture Exchange has not reviewed and does not accept
responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

www.fbird.com
www.indusminenergy.ca

US troop redeployment sparks speculation on Azerbaijani base

Eurasianet Organization
Aug 23 2004

US TROOP REDEPLOYMENT SPARKS SPECULATION ON AZERBAIJANI BASE
Fariz Ismailzade: 8/23/04

News that the United States plans a massive redeployment of its armed
forces has Azerbaijanis wondering whether their country will soon
host US troops. Azerbaijani officials are coy on the base question,
prompting some local political analysts to say Baku is trying to
leverage the issue to achieve a breakthrough on the stalled talks on
a Nagorno-Karabakh peace settlement.

Speculation over whether the United States would establish a military
base in Azerbaijan began almost immediately after US leaders
announced August 16 that up 70,000 US troops in Europe and East Asia
would be redeployed. Most US soldiers appear headed back to the
United States, but some will staff new facilities, in keeping with
the Pentagon’s desire to create a more mobile armed forces. [For
additional information see the Eurasia Insight archive].

A few days before the announcement, US Secretary of Defense Donald
Rumsfeld visited Baku for hastily arranged talks. [For background see
the Eurasia Insight archive]. The Azerbaijani government provided
only a vague description about the discussions. However, Zerkalo, an
independent daily newspaper, claimed that a tentative base deal had
been reached. “Moreover, the USA is interested in modernizing …
military airfields in Azerbaijan,” Zerkalo reported on August 17,
without citing a source.

Azerbaijani media have also seized on recent comments attributed to
Gen. Charles Wald, the deputy commander for US forces in Europe, who
reportedly indicated that US defense officials were considering
Azerbaijan, Uganda and the island state of Sao Tome as potential host
sites for US rapid deployment forces. According to the Azerbaijani
reports, the United States is seeking a base in Azerbaijan to ensure
the security of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline and to monitor
developments in Iran, which Washington believes is working hard to
develop nuclear weapons. [For additional information see the Eurasia
Insight archive].

While some Azerbaijani media outlets are treating an American base as
a fait accompli, the only public statements on the issue by
Azerbaijani officials have been non-committal. Foreign Minister Eldar
Mammadyarov has acknowledged that talks are on-going, but he stressed
on August 19 that “it is naive to think that military bases can be
set up overnight.”

Some analysts say it wasn’t coincidental that Mammadyarov made the
statement in Moscow. Russia is on record as opposing any US
redeployment that would place American troops in the formerly
Communist sphere, and a few observers believe the potential American
base is at the center of a geopolitical game being played by Baku.
The objective, from Baku’s viewpoint, is to secure increased
political support for a Karabakh peace settlement that is to
Azerbaijan’s liking. Azerbaijan has insisted that any settlement
leave the region under Baku’s jurisdiction. Azerbaijani officials
have grown restless in recent months over the lack of progress in the
peace talks. [For additional information see the Eurasia Insight
archive].

Mammadyarov said in an August 19 television interview that the
Karabakh question topped his agenda during talks with Russian leaders
in Moscow. Some in Baku believe Russia, given Moscow’s close
strategic relationship with Armenia, is the key to achieving the
desired breakthrough on Karabakh. A trade-off involving Azerbaijan’s
rejection of an American base, effectively in return for greater
Russian support for Baku in the Karabakh peace process, could
possibly pressure Armenia into softening its Karabakh negotiating
position. [For additional information see the Eurasia Insight
archive].

Some pundits say Mammadyarov’s attempt to use the base issue as a
diplomatic bargaining chip has so far failed. They note that both
Russia and the United States have given no public indication of
shifting their existing positions on the Karabakh peace process.
Given the apparent failure of what some in Baku describe as
Azerbaijan’s base “bluff,” officials are now left to weigh the
potential merits and liabilities of playing host to American troops.

Political analyst Rauf Mirqadirov, writing in an analysis published
August 19 analysis by Zerkalo, examined the pros and cons of the base
issue. On the plus side, Mirqadirov said the presence of US forces
would facilitate rapid economic development in the region. He also
downplayed the possibility of Russian retaliation, arguing that
Moscow “is not ready for global confrontation with the United
States.”

Mirqadirov, however, envisioned several potential negatives arising
out of a possible basing arrangement. An American presence, for
example, could make Azerbaijan a target of Islamic militant action.
It could also potentially limit Azerbaijan’s options in striving to
achieve its Karabakh settlement objectives.

In addition, Mirqadirov voiced concern about the possibility of
Azerbaijan becoming embroiled in the long-running feud between the
United States and Iran. “The Americans do not rule out that Iran is
their future target,” Mirqadirov said. “If all these statements are
made in order to frighten Tehran – then that’s one thing. But if the
Americans start another mess – moreover, one along our border – then
Azerbaijan, irrespective of its wishes, will be dragged into this
conflict.”

Azerbaijanis interviewed at random on the streets of Baku offered a
mixed view on the base issue. “We need to see, first, what is our
benefit from these bases. Will they help us in the war with Armenia?”
said Nargiz, a university student. Niyazi, an employee at a trading
house, suggested an American troop presence would “only bring us
trouble with Iran.” Others, however, said US troops would help defend
against potential encroachment by Iran or Russia against Azerbaijan’s
sovereignty.

Editor’s Note: Fariz Ismailzade is a freelance writer on Caucasus
politics and economics. He has obtained his masters degree from the
Washington University in St. Louis and is currently based in Baku.

From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress

New Stepanakert mayor elected

RIA Novosti, Russia
Aug 23 2004

NEW STEPANAKERT MAYOR ELECTED

YEREVAN, August 23 (RIA Novosti) – According to preliminary data,
Eduard Agabekyan, chairman of the permanent social commission of the
Nagorny Karabakh National Assembly, leader of the Movement-88
political organization, was elected mayor of Stepanakert, capital of
the unrecognized Nagorny Karabakh Republic.

Mr. Agabekyan collected 53.3% of votes in the second round of
elections yesterday, the press service of the Nagorny Karabakh
Foreign Ministry quoted the local Central Election Commission as
saying.

About 38.8% of voters supported former Vice Mayor of Stepanakert
Pavel Nadzharyan.

As compared to the first round, the voting activity grew by 10% and
totaled 51%, the election commission reported.

Azerbaijan’s Foreign Ministry resolutely condemned the elections in
Nagorny Karabakh. According to the ministry, the elections to the
local self-government bodies cannot be considered legal as they
contradict the Azeri and international laws.

However, the Nagorny Karabakh Foreign Ministry regards the appeal to
Azerbaijan’s legislation “absolutely groundless”.

Secretary General of the Council of Europe Walter Schwimmer also
criticized the elections. He claimed the inadmissibility of local
elections in Nagorny Karabakh and recollected the previous appeal of
the Council of Europe to abstain from unilateral elections.
“Unilateral actions are counter-productive,” Mr. Schwimmer said.

Stepanakert officials said that his statement is far from modern
realia. “Nagorny Karabakh is a sovereign state, which has nothing to
do with Azerbaijan, and lives an independent life in the territory,
which has always belonged to Armenians,” the Nagorny Karabakh Foreign
Ministry stressed.

The Nagorny Karabakh authorities believe that the municipal elections
fully meet international laws implying the right of free elections.

Olympics: Boxing Quarterfinals: 48kg; 60kg; 81kg

Athens 2004, Olympics Official Website
Aug 23 2004

Quarterfinals: 48kg; 60kg; 81kg.

ATHENS, 23 August – Fighters in the Light Fly Weight (48kg), Light
Weight (60kg) and Light Heavy Weight (81kg) categories are into the
quarterfinal stage on Tuesday, 24 August.

Teenage sensation Amir KHAN (GBR) will be fighting for a place in the
semifinals on the evening of Tuesday, 24 August, against Korean, BAIK
Jong Sub in the Light Weight division.

The world junior champion outclassed his first opponent, and then
demoralized Dimitar STILIANOV (BUL) in the round of 16, and is highly
fancied to reach the gold medal decider.

The first of the Light Weight (60kg) quarterfinals features two
boxers who had a bye in the preliminary round, Domenico VALENTINO
(ITA) and Serik YELEUOV (KAZ), with YELEUOV favoured to progress.

In the Light Fly Weight, southpaw Sergey KAZAKOV (RUS) should have
little trouble against Joseph JERMIA (NAM).

JERMIA was a late replacement in the Olympic Games tournament, while
KAZAKOV is the World Champion and three times European Champion.

Italian Alfonso PINTO meets Atagun YALCINKAYA (TUR) in the second
quarterfinal, with the Turkish boxer expected to be too strong for
PINTO.

World Championship silver medallist ZOU Shiming (CHN) has an awkward,
yet effective style and he face Armenian Aleksan NALBANDYAN in the
third quarterfinal, who eliminated Najah ALI (IRQ) in the round of
16, while ZOU accounted for Ethiopian Endalkachew KEBEDE.

In the last of the Light Fly Weight quarterfinals, HONG Moo Won (KOR)
does battle with Yan BHARTELEMY VARELA (CUB), with the Cuban expected
to win and qualify for the semifinals.

Mario Cesar KINDELAN MESA (CUB), then clashes with Rovshan HUSEYNOV
(AZE) in the third quarterfinal with the triple World Champion
expected to face a tough challenge from HUSEYNOV.

The last of the Light Weight quarterfinals features Ugandan Sam
RUKUNDO against Murat KRACHEV (RUS), with KRACHEV expected to reach
the semifinals.

The Light Heavy Weight (81kg) quarterfinals will bring the Greek
crowds to their feet, with the appearance of Elias PAVLIDIS (GRE)
against Ahmed ISMAIL (EGY), with PAVLIDIS seeking to become the first
Greek boxer to win an Olympic Games boxing medal.

The man expected to win gold in the Light Heavy Weight category,
Evgeney MAKARENKO (RUS) will clash with American Andre WARD, with the
vast experience and long reach of the Russian expected to see him
through to the semifinals.

The last of the Light Heavy Weight quarterfinals pits Yuping LEI
(CHN) against Magomed ARIPGADJIEV (BLR).

LEI upset the highly fancied Andriy FEDCHUK (UKR) in the round of 16,
while the boxer from Belarus scored a comfortable victory against
Edgar Ramon MUNOZ MATA (VEN).

From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress

Guinea juzga a seis armenios, ocho sudafricanos y seis guineanos …

El Mundo, España
Lunes, 23 de Agosto 2004

Guinea juzga a seis armenios, ocho sudafricanos y seis guineanos por
intento de golpe de estado

EFE

MADRID.- El juicio contra los 20 mercenarios acusados de planear un
golpe de estado contra el presidente de Guinea Ecuatorial, Teodoro
Obiang Nguema, ha comenzado este lunes en Malabo. En la vista serán
juzgados, además de seis armenios y ocho sudafricanos, detenidos el
pasado marzo en Malabo, otros seis guineanos, entre ellos el opositor
Severo Moto, en rebeldía.

Según informó la radio estatal de Guinea Ecuatorial, las autoridades
han elegido el palacio de Banapá como sede del proceso por tener
capacidad para unas 1.000 personas, observadores internacionales
incluidos.

Un inusitado despliegue de seguridad ha sido montado en Malabo, cuyas
calles han sido tomadas por los militares con el apoyo de un
helicóptero.

El tribunal está dirigido por el presidente del Tribunal de Apelación
de Malabo, Salvador Ondo Nkumu, mientras que el fiscal general del
Estado, José Oló, interviene como acusador.

Los armenios Samuel Davrinian, Ashot Karapetyan, Samuel Matshkalian,
Razmik Khachatryan, Suren Muradyan y Ashot Simonyan están acusados de
utilizar con fines desestabilizadores un avión Antonov 12, aunque su
defensor asegura que se trata de una acusación “vaga” carente de
fundamento.

Al estrado de Banapá también subirán los sudafricanos Nick du Toit,
presunto cabecilla del grupo; Mark Anthony Schmidt, Marius Gerardes
Bonzaire, Georgio Fernando Patricio Cardoso, Américo Joao Pimentel
Riveiro, Abel Augusto, José Passocas Domingos y George Olimpic Nunez
Allerson.

Los guineanos Antonio Javier Nguema Nchama y Agustín Massoko Abegue
están acusados de ofrecer como tapadera sus actividades ( calificadas
de “terroristas”) en la empresa Triple Options, que supuestamente
trababa con el surafricano Nick du Toit.

A los guineanos Coldo Martínez Nsang, Anacleto Oyono Nchama y Crispín
Ntutumu Owono se les acusa de “cooperación necesaria” con los
mercenarios para que conociesen la ciudad de Malabo, sus alrededores,
y algunas de las personas que supuestamente colaboraron con ellos.

Fuentes opositoras han asegurado que en el sumario ha desaparecido
cualquier referencia al ciudadano alemán Gerard Eugen Merz, muerto en
la prisión de Black Beach, y titular de la empresa en la que
trabajaban los seis armenios.

En el sumario figuran, además de Severo Moto, máximo dirigente del
Partido del Progreso, Elie Calil, Greg Wales, David Hurt y Simon
Mann, este último un conocido “soldado de fortuna” que se encuentra
entre los 64 detenidos en Harare cuando fue interceptado un avión con
el que supuestamente pretendían trasladar a Guinea Ecuatorial al
resto de los presuntos mercenarios el pasado marzo.

From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress

BAKU: Azeri Daily Says Us Troops May Be Stationed in Karabakh

AZERI DAILY SAYS US TROOPS MAY BE STATIONED IN KARABAKH

Yeni Musavat, Baku
23 Aug 04

The USA might help Azerbaijan gain back its Armenian-occupied lands in
return for stationing its troops in Nagornyy Karabakh, Azerbaijani
daily Yeni Musavat has said. This could provide excellent chances to
Washington, which aims to reduce Russia’s role in the region and is
about to launch its plans vis-a-vis Iran, since Nagornyy Karabakh
borders both on Iran and on Armenia which hosts Russian military
bases, the report said. I do not believe that US troops will come here
only to protect the Baku-Ceyhan oil pipeline, the deputy chairman of
the opposition Musavat Party told Yeni Musavat. The US forces to be
deployed in the country will be “multipurpose”, the party official
said. For his part, the spokesman of the Azerbaijani Defence Ministry
denied that deployment of US troop had been discussed during the
latest visit by the US defence secretary to Baku. However, the
spokesman said, military units of countries involved in the
construction of Baku-Ceyhan might take part in the protection of the
pipeline. The following is an excerpt from Elsad Pasasoy’s report by
Yeni Musavat on 23 August headlined “US bases in Karabakh” and
subheaded “Can Baku make such an appeal to the USA?” and “Sulhaddin
Akbar: Personal and power interests should be set aside”; subheadings
have been inserted editorially:

Reports that US troops will be stationed in Azerbaijan have caused
serious concern in Russia. In its comments on Pentagon chief Donald
Rumsfeld’s unexpected visit to Azerbaijan, Russia’s Nezavisimaya
Gazeta reported that the issue of military bases had been discussed
and agreement in principle had been reached.

There have been discussions for a long time about the possibility of
setting up NATO or US military bases in Azerbaijan. Although
Washington officials have so far firmly denied the existence of this
plan, this intention is being more openly expressed now. The deputy
commander of US European Command, Charles Wald, has also unveiled
Washington’s intention to deploy mobile forces in the region to ensure
the security of the (Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan) oil pipeline.

US troops in Azerbaijan to be multipurpose

Commenting on the issue, the deputy chairman of the Musavat Party,
Sulhaddin Akbar, said that the discussions of this issue had started
long before and negotiations were under way. “But the discussions have
not finished yet. Some technical preparations are being made. However,
the resolution of the issue on an official legal level is being
delayed because Azerbaijan has not given its official consent.”

Akbar says that the factor that keeps the Azerbaijani authorities in
hesitation is Russia’s and Iran’s positions. He thinks that the bases
that will be set up in Azerbaijan might not be conventional military
bases. “As is known, the notion of military bases implies the
long-term deployment of armed forces of one foreign country in another
country based on a legal document. It might be envisaged that some
mobile forces will be temporarily deployed. In the first place I mean
air bases.”

(Passage omitted: known details)

Akbar says that if US troops are deployed temporarily, they will be
multipurpose. “In other words, they will be used both within the
framework of the Caspian security programme, to ensure the security of
oil reserves and oil transportation to international markets and for
the Iranian issue. A new function might appear in the future. In other
words, I do not believe that they will be here only to protect the oil
pipeline.”

Undoubtedly, this plan will be implemented in accordance with the US
interests. The deployment of troops in Azerbaijan could be an event of
serious significance to Washington from the viewpoint of minimizing
Russia’s role in the region and implementing the Iranian plan. Since
the USA explains the deployment of troops by the fight against terror,
the interests of Azerbaijan, which has been subjected to terror,
should also be satisfied.

US troops may be stationed in Karabakh

One may wonder if the Azerbaijani side can dare to propose that our
occupied lands be liberated and in return US military forces be
stationed in Karabakh. By the way, in the occupied lands Azerbaijan
borders Iran and Armenia, which hosts Russia’s military bases. So, it
would promise a more beneficial prospect for the USA to set up
military bases in Nagornyy Karabakh. But can the Azerbaijani
authorities raise this issue with Washington?

Akbar (says): “For this condition to be put forward, private and power
interests should be set aside and the national interests should come
to the fore. Of course, this is possible if the national interests
come first. This issue was touched upon in a meeting between
(Azerbaijani Defence Minister) Safar Abiyev and Donald Rumsfeld. It is
desirable to have these issues raised. They include restoration of
Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity and sovereignty, increased border
security, Caspian security and assistance in the resolution of
Azerbaijan’s numerous problems and army building. If Azerbaijan is
interested, it may raise many issues as part of bilateral cooperation
and within the framework of NATO.”

Akbar said he did not expect the presence of US military forces in
Azerbaijan to directly influence the resolution of the Nagornyy
Karabakh dispute. “It may simply have a certain effect in terms of
preventing the conflict from expanding. Namely, if US armed forces are
deployed in Azerbaijan, this will naturally play a role in
strengthening stability in the region from the geopolitical and
geostrategic viewpoint. Or the reverse could be true. Say, if the
Iranian issue comes to the agenda, it could play an opposite
role. This should also be taken into account.” (Asked if) this will
nullify Azerbaijan’s chance to start military operations, Akbar (said
that) “Azerbaijan does not have such an intention, desire and power.”

Tension to grow between Russia and USA

What will be Russia’s reaction to Washington’s military plans? Will
Moscow pull back its military bases from Georgia and Azerbaijan, or
will it continue showing more resistance?

The expert says that strategic disagreement is already increasing. “It
is hard to predict any understanding in this direction soon. The
situations both in Ukraine and Georgia and in Azerbaijan show that the
disagreement is growing. I think this tension will continue growing at
least till the end of the year. If (US President George W.) Bush is
re-elected and if perhaps understanding is reached with Russia from
the geopolitical and geostrategic viewpoint, Moscow could withdraw
from here. But this understanding is not expected to be reached at
least this year.”

Azeri defence official denies talks on US troop deployment

Expressing an attitude to press reports on the prospect of deployment
of US military forces in Azerbaijan, the head of the press service of
the (Azerbaijani) Defence Ministry, Col Ramiz Malikov, said that no
discussion had been held at the ministry to this effect. Reminding
that the Defence Ministry is not a political organization, the colonel
thinks that it is up to politicians to discuss this issue. Also, he
played down the reports that during his sudden visit to Azerbaijan
last week (on 12 August) US Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld had had
discussions with his Azerbaijani counterpart on the deployment of (US)
troops. “I personally took part in the meeting that was held at Heydar
Aliyev international airport. A broad exchange of views was held with
our minister. However, the setting up of military bases was not the
subject of the discussions.”

Besides refuting reports circulated in the Russian media, Malikov
wanted the reality to be heeded, too. Judging by what he said, the
disseminated information was not by far unsubstantiated. “Today, the
eyes of the whole world are on Azerbaijan. A total of 60m dollars have
been invested in the Baku-Tb ilisi-Ceyhan pipeline and the countries
concerned want to have the security of this pipeline ensured. Certain
circles, countries concerned and their military units might take part
in the protection of this pipeline. A unit from Azerbaijan might also
join this process.” Nevertheless, the Defence Ministry spokesman
reiterated that the discussions of this type had not been held. “The
Defence Ministry is just an executive body.”

Malikov’s reaction to Russia’s concerns at the setting up of US
military bases in Azerbaijan on the pretext of protecting the oil
pipeline was brief and clear-cut: “Has Russia ever been unconcerned?”
(Asked if) the military forces that will be stationed in Azerbaijan
may in any way contribute to the (resolution of) the Nagornyy Karabakh
dispute, Malikov said: “How can they help? These units will just
protect the pipeline. Now, you see (US Co-Chairman of the OSCE Minsk
Group) Steven Mann, on the one hand, and the Russian foreign minister,
on the other, shouting. We have to resolve the Nagornyy Karabakh
dispute ourselves.”