Armenia Self-Sufficient In Energy Sector, Says Parliamentary Speaker

ARMENIA SELF-SUFFICIENT IN ENERGY SECTOR, SAYS PARLIAMENTARY SPEAKER ADVISOR

Tert
Nov 24 2009
Armenia

Advisor to the National Assembly Speaker Tatul Manaseryan thinks that
Armenia, not to mention the entire region and many countries in the
world, is in a difficult situation.

During today’s press conference, Manaseryan stated that it is necessary
to overcome the crisis through joint efforts and in a coordinated
way. In this context, he is also considering Armenia. "It is enough
to look at the goals we set 1-2 years ago and those we set today,
let’s say, in the state budget, and we can see that we are not able
to be consistent in those plans."

Speaking about the role that Armenia will assume in the region,
Manaseryan stated that "it may have serious economic consequences."

The advisor to the National Assembly Speaker recalled the agreement
between Armenia and Turkey in the energy sector and the 4.5 billion
killowat-hour export. According to Manaseryan, this is only part
of Armenia’s possibilities, and "Turkey is only one of our export
markets."

"There are few countries which are self-sufficient and don’t experience
an energy crisis irrespective of the world crisis."

Armenia, according to Manaseryan, is among these very countries.

Russian, Azerbaijani Presidents To Talk Cooperation

RUSSIAN, AZERBAIJANI PRESIDENTS TO TALK COOPERATION

RIA Novosti
November 24
Moscow

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and his Azerbaijani counterpart Ilham
Aliyev will discuss bilateral cooperation and the Nagorny Karabakh
settlement at a meeting in Ulyanovsk in the Volga Region on Tuesday.

Aliyev will pay a working visit to Russia on an invitation from
Medvedev.

"The meeting between Dmitry Medvedev and Ilham Aliyev will become a
continuation of the rich Russian-Azerbaijani political dialogue. This
year, the heads of state have repeatedly met in various formats,"
a Kremlin source said prior to the meeting.

Russian-Azerbaijani trade and economic relations have been developing
successfully, with trade in the first nine months of 2009 reaching
$1.26 billion, and Russian exports exceeding $1 billion.

The source said Aliyev’s visit to Russia in April and Medvedev’s
visit to Azerbaijan in June were important.

Nagorny Karabakh, a region in Azerbaijan with a largely Armenian
population, has been a source of conflict between the former Soviet
republics since the late 1980s. The mountainous province has its own
government and is de facto independent.

Medvedev and Aliyev are also expected to discuss energy issues.

Azerbaijani And Russian Presidents To Discuss Expansion Of Cooperati

AZERBAIJANI AND RUSSIAN PRESIDENTS TO DISCUSS EXPANSION OF COOPERATION IN ENERGY SPHERE

ARMENPRESS
Nov 24, 2009

MOSCOW, NOVEMBER 24, ARMENPRESS: Azerbaijani and Russian presidents
during today’s meeting will discuss expansion of cooperation in energy
sphere and Karabakh conflict regulation issue, a source from Kremlin
reported, reminding that October 14 of the running year a middle-term
contract was signed in Baku about the supply of Azerbaijan gas to
Russia according to which from January 1 2010 the Russian side will
buy 0,5 billion cubic meter of gas on the border of the two countries.

By the way the contract intends opportunity of further increase of
the volume of gas supply.

The two presidents are also expected to exchange thoughts over
regional and international issues, including over Karabakh conflict
regulation issue.

Only NKR May Negotiate Over Territories

ONLY NKR MAY NEGOTIATE OVER TERRITORIES

Lragir.am
24/11/09

The fact that in Munich, Serge Sargsyan and Ilham Aliyev discussed
the question on yielding the territories and only the question on
the Lachin corridor was discussed is unacceptable, said the head of
the Heritage faction Armen Martirosyan. According to him, there will
be progress in the Armenian and Turkish process only if a document
is signed in connection with the Karabakh issue. "We think only the
NKR legal government has the right to negotiate and to decide", said
Armen Martirosyan adding that they are not against the deployment
of peace forces, international guarantees because there have been
precedents of clashes in such cases.

Armenian Forces Kill Azerbaijani Civilian: Reports

ARMENIAN FORCES KILL AZERBAIJANI CIVILIAN: REPORTS

Agence France Presse
Nov 23 2009
France

BAKU — Armenian forces killed an Azerbaijani civilian near the
breakaway region of Nagorny Karabakh, Azerbaijani media reported
on Monday.

ANS television and the Azeri Press Agency said a 41-year-old man was
killed on Sunday when separatist forces opened fire on Azerbaijani
positions in the Goranboy region on the de facto border with Karabakh.

The Nagorny Karabakh administration denied its forces had killed a
civilian and accused Azerbaijani soldiers of repeatedly firing on
its positions over the weekend.

Officials with Azerbaijan’s defence ministry could not be reached
for comment.

Nagorny Karabakh’s armed forces said in a statement that Azerbaijani
soldiers had fired on its positions over the weekend and on Monday,
but called reports of the civilian being killed "propaganda" from Baku.

"This disinformation from Baku in no way conforms to reality," the
statement said.

Backed by Yerevan, ethnic Armenian forces seized control of Nagorny
Karabakh and seven surrounding districts from Azerbaijan in the early
1990s, in a war that claimed an estimated 30,000 lives.

Armenian and Azerbaijani forces are spread across a ceasefire line in
and around Nagorny Karabakh, often facing each other at close range,
and shootings are common.

Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev met with his Armenian counterpart
Serzh Sarkisian in Germany on Sunday for the sixth round of talks
this year on resolving the conflict.

The two former Soviet republics have cut direct economic and transport
links and failed to negotiate a settlement on the region’s status.

Minsk Group Co-Chairs Warn Azerbaijan Against Belligerent Rhetoric

MINSK GROUP CO-CHAIRS WARN AZERBAIJAN AGAINST BELLIGERENT RHETORIC

Yerkir
23.11.2009 12:18

Yerevan (Yerkir) – Following the meeting with Armenian President Serzh
Sargsyan in Munich on November 22, OSCE’s Minsk Grup co-chairs urged
Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev to abstain from making bellicose
statements.

"While speaking to reporters upon completion of the meeting, the
co-chairs have called on President Ilham Aliyev to abstain from
bellicose statements, a source close to the negotiation process in
Munich told Interfax Sunday.

Aliyev had raised the stakes before the talks, warning that the
meeting would be "decisive" and that his army was ready to take back
the region by force.

"Azerbaijan is spending billions on buying new weapons, hardware,
strengthening its position on the line of contact," Aliyev said in
comments broadcast on Saturday. "We have the full right to liberate
our land by military means."

Fassier, in response, said: "Our governments are of the opinion that
war is not an option."

Corruption Is Armenia’s Achilles Heel: Ashotyan

CORRUPTION IS ARMENIA’S ACHILLES HEEL: ASHOTYAN

Tert
Nov 23 2009
Armenia

The problem of corruption is Armenia’s Achilles heel, Republic of
Armenia Minister of Education and Science Armen Ashotyan said while
meeting with Armenian youth in Russia. Ashotyan was responding to a
question posed by Union of Armenians in Russia (UAR) Vice-President
Levon Mukanyan on corruption in the education sector and the option
of having a hotline number to call in cases of corruption.

According to the minister, there is a hotline, "but unfortunately, the
calls of most citizens are anonymous and without any follow-up, and
in that case it’s difficult to differentiate truth from slander. But
the appropriate bodies regularly deal with that."

At the same time, Ashotyan stated that as of today, receiving
education in Armenia is attractive both for Armenian citizens and
for foreigners. "6,500 out of 100,000 students studying at higher
educational institutions, as well as elementary and secondary
vocational educational institutions in Armenia are international
students. Their percentage is quite large according to international
criteria and enriches Armenia’s economy with 25 million USD annually.

It’s already clear that in Armenia the number of international
students will increase, taking into account that not all efforts are
used to attract international students," said Ashotyan, according to
the Union of Armenians in Russia website.

A Morgenthau Legacy

History News Network
Arnold Reisman

A Morgenthau Legacy

Nov 23 2009

Mr. Reisman is listed in Who’s Who in America, and is a Fellow of the
American Association for the Advancement of Science. The the latest
of his six books on modern Turkey’s history is SHOAH: Turkey, the US,
and the UK.

A new exhibit opened at the Museum of Jewish Heritage in New York
City. It is titled: The Morgenthaus: A Legacy of Service and will run
through December 2010. The Morgenthaus are a unique American family
both wealthy and powerful and among them three Morgenthau generations,
Henry Morgenthau, Sr., Henry Morgenthau, Jr., and Robert M.

Morgenthau, have contributed greatly to America’s history. While all
three men were well connected politically, both Henry Morgenthau Sr.

and Henry Morgenthau Jr. were in positions of great influence at
times when the fate of European Jewry hung in the balance. Raised
in Jewish homes, though not particularly observant, both men were
esteemed members of America’s German Jewry1.

As an immigrant himself Henry Morgenthau Sr. was determined to make a
difference as an American. Having achieved success in law and business
by age 55, he was able to devote the remainder of his life to public
service. He became a key player on the world stage during World War
I as Ambassador to the Ottoman Empire, under President Woodrow Wilson.

In the first two years of his post, he witnessed the extreme poverty of
Jewish settlers in Palestine and the plight of the Armenians. He called
international attention to the sufferings of minorities in the Empire,
and helped supply direct aid and relief. His work as Ambassador–and
his service to humanitarian causes–had a profound impact on the
course of history in the first half of the twentieth century.2

Morgenthau Sr., had in fact assimilated into the fabric of America
so much so that he became very close to Woodrow Wilson; hence the
appointment as ambassador. The museum site3 tells us that as Ambassador
to the Ottoman Empire, he became greatly concerned about the dire
poverty in which the Jews of Palestine were living. To help them,
he sent a telegram to Jacob Schiff asking for funds.4

Morgenthau Sr. was in the Ottoman Empire when the massacres of
Armenians occurred and was outraged when he learned the details. That
became a cause he championed for the rest of his life.

His son Henry Morgenthau, Jr. was born into a family deeply committed
to public service. Beginning his career on a farm in Dutchess County,
his life’s work would be defined by his passion for agriculture and
his friendship with neighbor Franklin Delano Roosevelt. As Secretary
of the Treasury, Morgenthau worked to strengthen America’s economy
during the Great Depression, and to prepare the Allies for WWII.

During the Holocaust, he urged President Roosevelt to take
action–leading to the creation of the War Refugee Board in 1944.5

As Secretary of the Treasury from 1934 to 1945 he helped to develop
and institute War Bonds.

The first Series ‘E’ U.S. Savings Bond was sold to President Franklin
D. Roosevelt by Treasury Secretary Henry Morgenthau. The bonds sold at
75 percent of their face value in denominations of $25 up to $10,000,
with some limitations. The war bonds actually were a loan to the
government to help finance the war effort.

The War Finance Committee was in charge of supervising the sale of all
bonds, and the War Advertising Council promoted voluntary compliance
with bond buying. The work of those two organizations produced the
greatest volume of advertising in U.S. history. In the name of defense
of American liberty and democracy, and as safe havens for investment,
the public was continually urged to buy bonds. 6

The Museum of Jewish Heritage, which publicizes itself as "A Living
Memorial to the Holocaust", declares that its mission is to "tell the
story of the Jews before, during and after the Holocaust." While it
has done a masterful job creating a detailed exhibit about this family,
in the case of Henry Sr. and Henry Jr., a great deal has been omitted
about the "role" of both men before and during the Holocaust, a role
that could have saved the majority of the 6,000,000 who perished. A
museum that purports itself to be a memorial to the Holocaust
ought to tell a complete story but perhaps it is understandable
that unflattering information about the Morgenthaus is not part
of this exhibit considering that Robert Morgenthau is listed as the
museum’s Chairman of the Board. The website does provide the following
unexplained insight.

Like his father, Henry Morgenthau, Jr. would be challenged throughout
his career to balance American and Jewish agendas, which often seemed
at odds with each other. 7

Indeed there were many challenges for the Morgenthaus to balance
their American and Jewish agendas. In 1933 E. Finlay Freundlich,
an astronomer and an early collaborator with Albert Einstein,8 was
forced out of his position as Director of the Potsdam, (Germany)
observatory that he had founded, because his wife was Jewish. Soon
thereafter Freundlich was invited to Istanbul to help create Turkey’s
first observatory.9 The Freundlichs had met the Morgenthaus years
earlier and were obviously on friendly terms with the family because
upon their arrival in Istanbul in 1933, Freundlich wrote a three-page
letter to Morgenthau Sr.10 After dispensing with the social niceties,
Freundlich vividly described what was happening to Jewish intellectuals
back home and pleaded for help from his well connected friend in
America. He asked Morgenthau Sr. to become involved not only by
sounding the alarms but by persuading the people in power to act and
do something to help those who were going to be mowed down by the
Nazis. Morgenthau’s reply is disconcerting. See paragraph 2.

A letter dated February 17th 1934 from Henry Morgenthau Sr. to E.

Finlay Freundlich his friend in Istanbul11

Perhaps Freundlich’s pleas presented a challenge to that delicate
"balance between American and Jewish agendas" that is mentioned in the
exhibit. At any rate, it appears that Sr. was not up to the challenge
because he opted out stating in a manner one would call a brush off
that he was just too busy with American matters.

Henry Morgenthau Jr., like other administration officials, was aware
of the plight of European Jews and as a friend of the President’s he
was in a unique position of both influence and assistance. But here
again, the delicate balance between a Jewish agenda and an American
agenda was challenged.

On May 13, 1939 the luxury liner St. Louis left Germany with 900
passengers, most of them German Jews with documents for entry into
their destination, Cuba. When the ship arrived, however, Havana refused
to allow the passengers to disembark. The St. Louis sat in the harbor
for days, running out of fresh food and water for the 900 people who
were terrified that they would be returned to Nazi Germany.

After frantic international negotiations that were meant to allow
all the refugees to disembark, only 29 passengers were permitted to
land in Havana. The ship was then ordered to leave, which it did,
maneuvering slowly and tantalizingly near the coast of Florida hoping
for permission to disembark its passengers somewhere on American soil.

The U.S., led by Secretary of State Hull and President Roosevelt,
ordered the U.S. Coast Guard12 to keep the ship from port. So, it
changed course and sailed for Europe.

In his book, While Six Million Died: A Chronicle of American Apathy,
Arthur D. Morse13 claimed that the U.S. Coast Guard cutter CG-244
"shadowed the St. Louis, with orders to prevent any refugees from
jumping overboard and swimming ashore."

While the Coast Guard has pictures of all of the ships that were
ever in its service and logs of other incidents, all archivists
contacted at the USCG claim to have no logs, nor any other record of
USCG Cutter 244. Nor does the Fort Lauderdale USCG Station have any
archival documents pertaining to the 244, not even a photo, which
would correspond to the transcripts.

Transcripts of two telephone conversations, one initiated at 3:54 PM
on June 6, 1939 by the Secretary of Treasury to Commander Earl G. Rose
at U.S. Coast Guard Headquarters14 followed by another call at 3:59
PM15 show that above all else, Morgenthau wanted to make sure that
"[t]here would be nothing in the papers"16

Morgenthau wanted no publicity about this incident that would make the
United States government appear heartless or unfeeling to the plight
of refugees or cause any backlash among Roosevelt’s Jewish supporters.

Yet according to the New York Times of June 8, 1939,

After extensive negotiations, the St. Louis docked at Antwerp on June
17, 1939: 214 passengers remained in Belgium, 224 went to France and
181 to the Netherlands. Another 288 passengers went ashore in Britain
on June 21.

History tells us that as the years went on and America entered the war,
the United States did nothing to help European Jewry, a fact which
several decades later still boggles the mind. The American Jewish
community, still extremely wary of encouraging widespread anti-Semitic
and anti-alien sentiments, felt their own situations would become more
difficult if a flood of poor, eastern European immigrants came into
their communities. American Jews were ambivalent and timorous when
lobbying for rescue efforts and they were torn by bitter infighting
principally between Zionists and non-Zionists.

Influential and well connected German American Jews consistently
underplayed the perils of their fellow Jews in Europe while wishful
thinking, sloth and business-as-usual attitudes undermined whatever
efforts were made.17

Led by Rabbi Stephen Wise (1874-1949), the American Jewish Congress
encouraged a boycott of German goods in 1933. Later, during the war,
a different group of Jews led by the Warburgs, bankers whose German
branch of the family had helped found the chemical giant I.G. Farben
(makers of Zyklon B gas used in the death camps) in the 1920’s and
members of Roosevelt’s inner circle visited the President and told
him (via German American Jews’ requests) that "things aren’t all that
bad in Germany."18

… "Jews who were close to the President did very little to encourage
rescue action." Samuel Rosenman, Special Counsel to the President and
his principal adviser on Jewish matters, "considered the rescue issue
politically sensitive, so he consistently tried to insulate Roosevelt
from it." Rosenman opposed formation of a rescue agency, deliberately
watered down a war-crimes declaration so as to eliminate what he
considered "excessive emphasis on the Jews" and argued consistently
that "government aid to European Jews might increase anti-Semitism
in the United States."19

As the museum correctly states Morgenthau Jr. "urged President
Roosevelt to take action–leading to the creation of the War Refugee
Board in 1944." Why did this happen at such a late date? Lawyer Josiah
DuBois Jr., a non Jewish junior staffer at Treasury was going through
some State Department documents and happened upon papers that spelled
out virulent anti-Semitic immigration policies including a document
signed by Breckinridge Long, State’s Under Secretary, immigration
Czar and a rabid anti Semite.20

These documents sent to all staff at State and to all US embassies
and consulates gave complete, how-to instructions on keeping Jewish
immigrants out21 especially with such "Catch 22-type" regulations
in place like the "criminal record" prohibition which by definition
considered those who had been released from concentration or labor
camps criminals and therefore excluded them from immigration. The
"LPC" (likely to become a public charge) prohibition excluded many
Jews since they were not allowed to take any wealth with them when
they left Nazi territory and would arrive destitute. Finally the
"contract labor" prohibition cut off those who could not show that
they would become LPC because they did not have a guaranteed job offer
America. There were other rules to obstruct visas. "American consuls
in Germany [were instructed] not to give visas to Germans [Jews]
without passport or without permission to leave the country … not
to issue immigrant visas to anyone without evidence of a booking on a
ship due to sail within four months … have the ability to pay for
passage and affidavits of support from American relatives."22 This
left many Jews stuck in Germany as Hitler rose to power.

Outraged, Du Bois and two of his asssociates wrote their findings in a
report,23 presented it to Morgenthau Jr. and threatened to go public
with the damaging information in an election year unless FDR swiftly
changed matters at the State Department. Within a week FDR issued an
order proclaiming the War Refugee Board mentioned by the Museum.24
Why did it take so long for action? Could this have been yet again
another challenge to the balance between Jewish and American agendas?

Epilogue

About his father’s conversion "to the cause," Henry Morgenthau
III wrote:

In this climate of Jewish evasiveness it is significant that the
initial breakthrough to my father’s conscience [late in 1943] was
achieved by three zealous Christian Treasury lawyers he trusted and
respected. The most senior member of the triumvirate was Randolph
Paul whom my father brought into the Treasury to draft tax reform
legislation. The two junior members were John Pehle, then thirty-five
director of the Foreign Funds Control Board (subsequently director
of the War Refugee Board), and Josiah E. DuBois the thirty-two-year
old assistant to the general Counsel.25

According to the Museum website:

The exhibition explores the fascinating ways in which three generations
of a family raised awareness of tragedy around the world, and in
doing so changed the course of world events, American politics,
and Jewish history.

>From its video transcripts we obtain these insights into the
individuals.

Lazarus Morgenthau (Father of Morgenthau Sr.) was determined to make
it as an American. (narrator.)

Henry Morgenthau Sr. was determined to insure a greater level of
success. (narrator)

And significantly, Joan Morgenthau Hirshborn, daughter of Henry
Morgenthau Jr. stated "My father changed enormously as a result of
what went on during the Holocaust. He got very much interested in
Israel as a sanctuary for Jews. Totally changed our feeling about,
you know, our heritage." (emphasis added) One can understand that
the enormity of the Holocaust would have an impact on Jr. who did
too little much too late. This, too, is part of the Morgenthau Legacy.

1 For at least three generations this community considered itself
at the top of the social strata among American Jews with their own
elite golf clubs and synagogues. Intermarriage with establishment
Protestants was more acceptable than marriage to any east European
Jew no matter how accomplished or wealthy.

2

3 Ibid

4 Ibid

5 Ibid

6

7

8 Anonymous "Einstein to Modify Theory of Relativity As Light Study
Shows Calculations Wrong, Photographic Method Explained."

Special Cable to THE NEW YORK TIMES. June 13, 1931

9 Reisman,A. Turkey’s Modernization: Refugees from Nazism and Ataturk’s
Vision (Washington, DC: New Academia Publishers. 2006) pp191-5 10
Courtesy E. Finlay Freundlich Archives St. Andrews University, St
Andrews Scotland.

11 Courtesy E. Finlay Freundlich archives St. Andrews University, St
Andrews Scotland. For a further explanation see Reisman A. Turkey’s
Modernization: Refugees from Nazism and Ataturk’s Vision (Washington,
DC: New Academia Publishers. 2006) pp 26, 34, 39, 40, 191-7, 227,
232, 233, 235, 266, 284-6, 320, 330, 331, 335-65.

12 The US coast Guard has always been an agency of the Department of
the Treasury.

13 Morse, A.D. While six million died; a chronicle of American apathy
(New York, Random House 1968)

14 Coast Guard History:

15 Ibid

16 Coast Guard History:
an2.asp

17 Sherman, A.J. DOOMED BY THE INDIFFERENCE-AND WORSE, The New York
Times, December 16, 1984.

18 Geidner, Chris "A Question of Integrity: The United States’
Treatment of Jewish Refugees During World War II" 2000,
html

19 Sherman, A.J. DOOMED BY THE INDIFFERENCE-AND WORSE

20 A full transcript of the document appears in Reisman,A. SHOAH:
Turkey, The US and the (Charleston, SC: BookSurge Publishing. 2009),
The actual photocopy of the document will appear in Reisman A.

PERFIDY: Britannia and her all-Jewish army units.

21 There are excellent secondary sources for the reader to consider.

Among them are: Richard Breitman and Alan M. Kraut, American Refugee
Policy. Berenbaum, M. The world must know: the history of the
Holocaust: and Laquer, W. and Baumel, J.T. The Holocaust encyclopedia.

Morse, A.D. While six million died; a chronicle of American apathy;
Feingold, H.L. The politics of rescue; the Roosevelt administration
and the Holocaust, 1938-1945; Gilbert, M. Never again: a history
of the Holocaust; Friedman, S. S. No haven for the oppressed;
United States policy toward Jewish refugees, 1938-1945; Perl,
W. The Holocaust conspiracy: an international policy of genocide;
Wasserstein, B. Britain and the Jews of Europe, 1939-1945; Bolchover,
R. British Jewry and the Holocaust. The list can go on and on.

However, in The Myth of Rescue, William D. Rubenstein provides much
statistical data to support his premise that America and the UK did
do all that could have been done to save Jewish lives, an unorthodox
point of view indeed. Interestingly the word "Turkey" does not appear
in his lengthy and detailed index.

22 Richard Breitman and Alan M. Kraut, American Refugee Policy: p 75

23 Specifically the "Report to the Secretary on the Acquiescence of
this Government in the Murder of the Jews," written by Josiah E.

DuBois, Jr. , (1913-1983) a Treasury Department official, played
a pivotal role in exposing State Department obstruction of efforts
to provide American visa to Jews trying to escape Nazi Europe. In
no uncertain terms the report said that FDR was "guilty not only
of gross procrastination and willful failure to act, but even of
willful attempts to prevent action from being taken to rescue Jews
from Hitler." One of many facts in the report: "By the act of 1924,
we are permitted to admit approximately 150,000 immigrants each
year. During the last fiscal year only 23,725 came as immigrants. Of
these only 4,705 were Jews fleeing Nazi persecution." None of these
facts should surprise the more knowledgeable.

24 For further information on this episode see Reisman, SHOAH: Turkey,
the US and the UK, (BookSurge, 2009)

25 Morgenthau H. III, Mostly Morgenthaus: (New York: Ticknor & Fields,
1991) p 323.

http://hnn.us/articles/120352.html
http://www.mjhnyc.org/morgenthaus/index.html
http://www.u-s-history.com/pages/h1682.html
http://www.mjhnyc.org/morgenthaus/index.html
http://www.uscg.mil/history/faqs/St_Louis.asp
http://www.uscg.mil/history/faqs/HullMorg
http://www.geocities.com/crgeidner/refugees.

Aliev again poses new war threats

Aysor, Armenia
Nov 21 2009

Aliev again poses new war threats

In case of fruitless negotiations between Armenian and Azerbaijani
Presidents to be met today in Munich, the region may again go in war,
said Ilham Aliev, according to some Russian media which quote
Azerbaijani leader.

`If this meeting brings no results, then we will exhaust all hope, so
in this case we will have no choice. We must be ready for such
developing,’ said Aliev keeping in view the military actions against
Armenia.

During the travel to Geranaboysky region of Azerbaijan, Aliev said:
`Of course, all works in military sector have its certain objective.
We spend billions on weapons, enginery, we strengthen our positions on
borders as we never lost sight of this outcome, and never will. We
have full rights to set the territories free through hostilities.’

`The International Law backs these rights of ours,’ he added.

President Aliev stressed that all negotiations which were held before,
had no results, so this upcoming meeting in Munich will become
decisive.

Flexible And Barbarian

FLEXIBLE AND BARBARIAN

168 Zham
Nov 12 2009
Armenia

Yesterday at the meeting of the Armenian National Congress (ANC)
activists, the first president of Armenia, head of the Pan-Armenian
National Movement, Levon Ter-Petrosyan, made a lengthy speech. He
dwelled on domestic political situation in Armenia after the signing
of the Armenian-Turkish protocols and made his predictions about
possible developments.

It seems to me that the following scenario will take place. The
Turkish parliament will delay the ratification of the protocols or
they will ratify them with some reservations tending to promote a
quick settlement to the NK [Nagornyy Karabakh] conflict. The Armenian
parliament will adopt a wait-and-see policy and will get back to the
ratification of the protocols only after Turkey ratifies them.

The international community will consider the NK issue as the main
obstacle to this deadlock and will make efforts to speed up its
settlement which completely coincides with Turkey’s position. Pointing
to confrontation between Armenia and Diaspora over the signing of
the Armenian-Turkish protocols, Serzh Sargsyan will ask the mediators
to hold back the NK conflict settlement for some time explaining to
them that it will be difficult for him to withstand to yet another
confrontation.

The international community will admit Sargsyan’s explanation with
understanding, but they will not miss the opportunity to use his
weakness and therefore, they will reject his request. Moreover, they
will increase pressure on Armenia over the NK. It is quite probable
that the interested forces will also convince Armenia to ratify the
protocols first substantiating that after that it will not be easy
for Turkey to delay the ratification process.

Thus, based on this logic, the developments in the forthcoming months
will head in the direction of the NK conflict settlement rather than
in the direction of the Armenian-Turkish relations because the main
condition of the Armenian-Turkish reconciliation is not the genocide
issue but the Karabakh issue settlement. And despite the beginning of
his speech, L. Ter-Petrosyan had mentioned that it is not intended
to be part of his programme, he raised a lot of issues. The first
president of Armenia finished his speech with a rhetoric question which
would most probably become an issue of discussions and interpretations
quite soon.