Iran, Armenia To Form Economic Co-Op Matrix

IRAN, ARMENIA TO FORM ECONOMIC CO-OP MATRIX

Moj News Agency
November 18, 2008 Tuesday
Iran

Elaborating on his visit to Armenian vice president, Mahdi Ghazanfari
said that lack of systematic information processing between the
two countries` private sector is the main obstacle on the way of
trade exchange between Iran and Armenia. Formation of economic
matrix could remove the obstacle, Ghazanfari said. Also head of
Trade Promotion Organization of Iran, he said that the matrix will
undertake realization of MoUs signed between the two countries. Iran
and Armenia are planned to boost cooperation in exports of technical
nd engineering services, he said. Iran and Armenia annual trade
exchange stands at $80 million which should be increased in near
future, he added.

Armenian, Lithuanian Foreign Minister Pleased With Political Dialog

ARMENIAN, LITHUANIAN FOREIGN MINISTER PLEASED WITH POLITICAL DIALOG BETWEEN YEREVAN AND VILNIUS

PanARMENIAN.Net
19.11.2008 15:34 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Currently in Vilnius, Armenian Foreign Minister
Edward Nalbandian met Tuesday with his Lithuanian counterpart Petras
Vaitiekunas to discuss development of Armenia-EU and bilateral
relations, establishment of cultural cooperation and business
contacts between the two states as well as a number of regional
issues, including the Armenian-Turkish reconciliation, the RA MFA
press office reported.

The top diplomats expressed satisfaction with the level of political
dialog which can serve as a firm basis for further development.

The Armenian Minister also briefed on the Nagorno Karabakh conflict
settlement process and stressed the importance to continue talks on
the basis of the Moscow declaration.

Australia Interested In Developing Cooperation With Armenia

AUSTRALIA INTERESTED IN DEVELOPING COOPERATION WITH ARMENIA

armradio.am
18.11.2008 17:02

On November 18 the newly appointed Ambassador of Australia to Armenia
Margaret Tumi (seat in Moscow) presented the copies of her credentials
to the Deputy Foreign Minister of Armenia, Arman Kirakosyan.

Greeting the guest, Deputy Foreign Minister Kirakosyan congratulated
the newly appointed Ambassador on assuming office and wished success
in carrying out her mission.

For her part, Ambassador Tumi noted that Australia has always been
interested in developing trade-economic, cultural and political
cooperation with Armenia on both bilateral level and within
international organizations.

He highly assessed the active role of the Armenian community of
Australia in the economic and cultural life of the country.

During the meeting reference was made to regional and international
issues, as well as the process of settlement of the Artsakh issue.

ANKARA: Dreaming Of A Pure Nation-State

DREAMING OF A PURE NATION-STATE

ldbulletin.net/author_article_detail.php?id=1881
N ov 17 2008
Turkey

With statements he made during the Nov. 10 ceremonies held in memory
of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk in Brussels, where he was attending an EU
defense ministers’ troika meeting, Turkish Defense Minister Vecdi
Gönul became the top item on Turkey’s agenda last week, though he
repeatedly tried to deny his assertions.

Gönul is a former governor who has been in politics for many years and
is one of those whose names are the first to be remembered at times
when somebody is needed for a top position, in terms of relations
between the state (read as establishment) and politics. This quality
of his comes not from him being a person whose never-disclosed ideas
are favored by everyone nor from his ideological stance, but from his
being a person who is so utterly tight-lipped and secretive that no
one has any idea about what he really thinks about a given issue.

Indeed, it is a source of curiosity that he has managed to participate
at all in the ruling Justice and Development Party (AK Party),
which is highly esteemed by the voters for its discourse on change
and reformism, as he is regarded as a figure whose views about the
most controversial issues are not known. Moreover, no able politician
but Gönul could have managed to serve as defense minister for as
long a period as six years without causing even the slightest crisis
in a country where military-civilian relations represent the most
problematic area in terms of democratic reforms. One cannot help but
wonder how he has managed to remain in such a post, a very troublesome
office given the political conditions in Turkey.

We would be very pleased to hear Gönul talk about the secret of
serving as defense minister without any problems, as this represents an
ordeal to every sane politician in a country where one crisis between
the military and civilians follows on the heels of another. But I
know that this desire is impossible to fulfill. So we are justified
in speculating about this secret. For instance, I may suggest a thesis
and assume that Gönul is actually holding a virtual position without
any concrete function. Indeed, to date, we have never had a chance
to see such a ministry or such a minister really exist with respect
to external threats or deadly internal threats, such as terrorism.

Gönul holds such a position that you cannot hear him speaking even
minimally about the memorandum issued by the army, which is supposed
to be subordinated to him, against his government. When terrorists
attack Daglıca or Aktutun or any other military outpost, everyone
says something and heated debates are seen, but you cannot hear the
defense minister or the Defense Ministry make any single comment about
them. Whether the country should conduct cross-border operations is
discussed for months but, all through this time, you don’t witness
any sign of the existence of a defense minister. While all of the
generals from the highest rank to the lowest take the opportunity
to utter remarks about issues that do not concern them in the least,
one cannot hear the voice of the defense minister, who is in charge
of these generals on behalf of the government. Minister Gönul’s post
is such a position that it in reality does not exist. Actually, who
can best be fitted to a position that is deemed not to exist than a
minister who is deemed nonexistent?

One cannot help but think that the taciturn inaction of a politician
whose real power derives from obscurity and insignificance can really
be an advantageous quality. Such a politician makes comments only
rarely, but then what does he say? "Population exchange was utterly
important in Turkey becoming a nation-state. If there were Greeks in
the Aegean and Armenians in most places in Turkey today, would it be
the same nation-state? I don’t know with which words I can explain
the importance of the population exchange, but if you look at the
former state of affairs, its importance will become very clear. We
cannot deny the contribution of those who consider themselves the
victims of this nation-building, especially the forced emigration,
to the struggle in southeastern Anatolia."

If it were only Minister Gönul who was unfortunate enough to be able
to speak with pride today about the dark pages in our history, such
as population exchange or forced migration, built upon tragedies for
both Muslims and non-Muslims due to the conditions prevalent at the
time, and even to present these as the principles of the republic,
we might not give much thought to this issue. But this mentality is
very dangerous and worth being discussed, since it is still popular
among the Turkish military and civilian-bureaucratic circles. It is
because of this discriminatory mentality that the apparatus that we
call as the state in Turkey treats every different idea or lifestyle
as an enemy and attempts to destroy it.

This mentality, which in the past regarded Armenians and Greeks —
who did nothing but enrich these lands with their different cultures
and religions — as enemies is treating pious Muslims, or Kurds or
Alevis, who attempt to enjoy their own cultures, as threats. Who can
save a Turkey where the fanciful idea of creating a pure nation-state
has poisoned even a minister of a political party that has assumed
office despite the obstacles posed by the establishment from the
risk of being dragged to a uniform fanaticism of a so-called "culture
revolution" like that launched by Mao in communist China for the sake
of progressivism?

Meanwhile, I strongly suggest that the opponents of this mentality,
which does not fit with hopes for creating a contemporary, plural,
diverse and democratic Turkey, should look and see what happens in
other countries. The election of a black American whose ancestors
were enslaved in the past as the US president or a Turkish immigrant
becoming co-chairman of the Greens in Germany should tell them
something.

–Boundary_(ID_BT7KJhGaL0+LceBNi2 cpsw)–

http://www.wor
www.worldbulletin.net

ANKARA: Sargsyan Opposes One-Sided Concessions

SARGSYAN OPPOSES ONE-SIDED CONCESSIONS

TRT
Nov 17 2008
Turkey

Armenian president touched on Karabakh issue.

Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan said one-sided concession is out
of question regarding the Karabakh issue with Azerbaijan.

Speaking to Armenian state channel, Sargsyan described the comments
of some political powers in the country as distorting the truth.

The Armenian leader said the issue could only be solved if the Armenian
people in Karabakh are given the right to determine their own future.

Sargsyan further underlined that they will not make any concessions
on the land frontier between Armenia and Upper Karabakh and an
international guarantee over Karabakh people.

Upon a question regarding the agreement signed with Azerbaijani
President İlham Aliyev under the host of Russian President Dimitri
Medvedev on November 2 in Moscow, Sargsyan said this was the only
document in which Azerbaijan undertook some responsibility for the
solution of the issue through political negotiations.

Claiming that the occupier administration in Karabakh should also
be a party in negotiations, Sargsyan said the solution could not be
reached otherwise.

–Boundary_(ID_OzyoEm4abqaj84lC4/Aapw) —

Armenia, Belarus Interested In Developing Interparliamentary Relatio

ARMENIA, BELARUS INTERESTED IN DEVELOPING INTERPARLIAMENTARY RELATIONS

armradio.am
14.11.2008 16:23

On November 14 the President of the National Assembly of Armenia Hovik
Abrahamyan received the newly appointed Ambassador of the Republic
of Belarus to Armenia Stepan Sukhorenko.

The Ambassador conveyed to NA Speaker the congratulatory
messages of the Presidents of the two chambers of the Parliament
of Belarus. Mr. Sukhorenko expressed confidence that the
interparliamentary ties between the two countries will continue
developing more effectively, acquiring new quality.

Speaker Hovik Abrahamyan congratulated the Ambassador on appointment
and wished him success during his tenure in office, noting that he
can always rely upon the support of the parliament. He asked to convey
his congratulations to the newly elected President of the Council of
the Republic of Belarus Boris Batura and the President of the House
of Representatives Vladimir Andreychenko. Stressing the importance
of reciprocal visits for the development of relations, NA Speaker
invited them to pay an official visit to Armenia.

During the meeting both parties emphasized the importance
of development of trade-economic, scientific-educational and
cultural ties, which can greatly contribute to the development of
interparliamentary relations.

Putin Denies Russia’s Joining Opec-Style Gas Cartel

PUTIN DENIES RUSSIA’S JOINING OPEC-STYLE GAS CARTEL

PanARMENIAN.Net
11.11.2008 17:40 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin sought to ease
fears Tuesday over the possibility of Russia joining an Opec-style
cartel of gas exporting countries, he said in talks with his Egyptian
counterpart Ahmed Nazif. "We support this idea. But we know about
apprehensions and even fears voiced by certain energy consumers,"
Putin was quoted by news agency Interfax as saying. "I wish to state
once and for all: there are no grounds for such fears."

He said energy exporting countries should coordinate policy to ensure
"uninterrupted" energy supplies to consumers, but added that Russia
would not forgo its independence to sign a cartel agreement with
other states.

"None of us is going to cede part of our sovereignty in making
decisions," Putin noted. The possibility a gas cartel was previously
discussed among Russia, Qatar and Iran.

Putin met with the Egyptian prime minister, as the latter was paying
a four-day visit to Moscow.

"I regard Egypt as a leading country of the Arab world," Putin told
his counterpart Tuesday.

Experts say there was little substance in modeling a gas cartel on
OPEC because gas contracts are often signed over the long-term and
differ significantly in export-methods from country to country.

"It’s like the Russian fairytale of three very different animals
pulling the cart," said Thane Gustafson, a senior director at
consultancy Cambridge Energy Research Associates.

Russian exports almost exclusively through pipelines, Qatar mostly
deals in liquefied natural gas (LNG), while Iran is not going to be
an exporter at all, Gustafson said.

Major world gas exporters such as Norway and Algeria have so far also
stayed aloof from the planned gas forum.

Putin’s comments came one day after he said the country had to act
to bolster oil prices hit by the global economic crisis. His comments
suggested that Russia was aiming to become a swing producer.

"As one of the major exporters and producers of oil and petroleum
products, Russia cannot sit out from the formulation of global prices
for this natural resource," Putin was quoted by local media as saying
Monday. "We have to develop a full set of measures that will enable
us to actively influence the market," he said, DPA reports.

The Forgotten Soldiers

THE FORGOTTEN SOLDIERS
Khaled Diab

guardian.co.uk
Tuesday November 11 2008

It is time European countries acknowledged the part soldiers from
their former colonies played in the first world war

Ninety years ago, on the 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month,
the Great War that was supposed to end all wars ended, leaving 20
million dead and another 20 million wounded. The horrendousness of the
conflict is well summed up by Wilfred Owen’s Anthem for Doomed Youth.

Rightly, the memory of the "lost generation" who perished so
pointlessly should be kept alive. Sadly, amid the carnage, millions
of soldiers have gone missing in action from the theatre of history,
unmourned and unrecognised in the official narrative.

It is estimated that more than 600,000 soldiers from British and
French colonies fought on the Western Front: 270,000 from the Maghreb
in northern Africa, 153,000 from the Indian subcontinent and 134,000
from western Africa. Colonial soldiers were mobilised throughout the
two empires for the first world war, including a total of more than
1.5 million from the Indian subcontinent.

Add to that the smaller numbers from more than 50 different
cultures who landed in Flanders Fields including American Indians,
Canadian Inuits, New Zealand Maori and a smattering of Aborigines
from Australia, even though they were not officially allowed to
serve. That’s not to mention the enormous and shockingly treated
Chinese Labour Corp.

Of course, we should not overlook the fact that the forces of the
Central Powers were hardly homogenous: Slavs, Danes, Francophones,
Arabs, Kurds, Albanians, Jews and even Armenians were simultaneously
being butchered.

Despite the fascinating multiethnic and multicultural reality of
the trenches, it is still conventional wisdom that the first world
war was largely a European war fought by Europeans, with the aid of
their western allies.

"This Eurocentric view of writing the history of the two world wars
has excluded … colonised peoples as major participants," writes
Driss Maghraoui of the University of California in a study of Moroccan
colonial soldiers.

A recent exhibition at Belgium’s Flanders Fields museum sought to
set the record straight by shining a spotlight on the history and
composition of these unknown and largely forgotten colonial forces.

Looking at some of the photos from the time, it seems almost surreal
to see Sikhs sitting cross-legged praying in a wet and sodden field,
or keffiyeh-clad Algerians mounted on white steeds marching alongside
an old industrial canal.

In addition to the alien surroundings and hardships, soldiers from
the colonies often had to endure massive prejudice. They were largely
recruited from so-called "martial races" – ethnicities believed to
be warrior-like but lacking in intelligence and civilisation. Top of
the heap, in British eyes at least, were the Sikhs.

The upshot of these racist theories was that colonial soldiers,
especially black Africans, often provoked fear and mistrust among local
populations, and this was not helped by bloodthirsty caricatures in
the media.

The Germans took full advantage of this angst in their fear-mongering
propaganda, but it backfired when some of their own fighters started
to flee their positions when they heard that African soldiers were
approaching.

Some saw through this prejudice and propaganda. A Belgian military
doctor, Maurice Duwez, described in 1915 a unit that marched past him:
"Arabs and Jews with bronzed skin … marching as nobly and erectly
as cats."

There was also resistance on racial grounds, with critics fearing that
the mixing of races on the battlefield could lead to the weakening and
even downfall of western civilisation. These concerns eventually led,
in the latter years of the war, to France and Britain deploying most
of their colonial troops outside the European theatre.

Then there was the fear that fighting shoulder to shoulder with their
colonial masters might give "subject races" ideas above their station,
and lead them to revolt against colonial rule. In fact, many colonial
soldiers regarded serving in the army as a good start on their own
quest for independence and national development. Blaise Diagne, the
first black parliamentarian in Europe, was fond of referring to the
"school of the army".

War-ravaged as Europe was, the soldiers’ experiences opened their
minds to possibilities for their own countries. Ranji Lal wrote in
a letter: "When I look at Europe, I lament India’s lot. In Europe,
everyone is educated." He urged his family "to educate the girls as
well as the boys for a better future".

Chanda Singh, a Sikh who fought for the British forces, wrote to his
wife: "Here, it is truly a free land … a man and a woman can go
outside arm in arm and no one will say anything."

Some of Singh and Lal’s words have survived. But little record
remains of the thoughts and lives of other colonial soldiers, who
were conveniently whitewashed out of European history and did not fit
comfortably into the post-independence narrative of their native lands.

Nine decades on, it is time for Europe to acknowledge the many debts
it owes to its colonies, and for immigrant minorities to take pride
in the achievements of their forebears.

Inside A Misunderstood Conflict Zone: Scott Taylor In The Caucasus

INSIDE A MISUNDERSTOOD CONFLICT ZONE: SCOTT TAYLOR IN THE CAUCASUS
by Christopher Deliso

Antiwar.com
?articleid=13733
Nov 7 2008
CA

In this eye-opening interview, Canadian war reporter Scott Taylor
reflects on his recent visit to the Caucasus, where he got an inside
look at the scene of this summer’s Georgian-Russian conflict from its
very epicenter – the breakaway Georgian province of South Ossetia –
while also visiting Nagorno-Karabakh, an Armenian-populated enclave
and 1990’s hotspot claimed by Azerbaijan.

On his two-week trip, Taylor, editor of Canadian military magazine
Esprit de Corps, discovered that the real situation on the ground
is hardly as simple or straightforward as the US and other Western
governments have claimed it to be.

Getting In

Christopher Deliso: Scott, you have reported over the years multiple
times from rough spots in the Balkans, Iraq and Afghanistan. How did
this trip compare to previous ones in terms of access?

Scott Taylor: The complexity of the current situation made even basic
travel planning much more challenging than is usually the case. Even
though the places I wanted to see are all relatively close, political
frictions mean they have to be accessed indirectly. For example, I
started my trip in Ankara, Turkey, but to reach Yerevan, the Armenian
capital, I had to fly via Germany, because the Turkish-Armenian border
has been closed for years.

>From Armenia, I set out for the self-declared, but unrecognized state
of Nagorno-Karabakh; since this Armenian enclave is claimed by the
Azeris, simply having their visa in my passport caused problems for me
when I later got to Baku, Azerbaijan. From there, I flew to Stavropol
in Russia and then drove 12 hours to reach South Ossetia. Because
of the closed Russian-Georgian border, I had to retrace my steps to
Yerevan in order to get to Tbilisi, Georgia, via bus.

CD: What was the toughest place to reach? Tskhinvali?

ST: Correct. Tskhinvali, the capital of South Ossetia, was no doubt
one of the toughest places I’ve ever tried to get to. The city is just
over the internal border of Georgia proper, but access routes from the
latter remain blocked by the security services. And on the northern
(Russian Federation) side, South Ossetia is linked to North Ossetia
by one winding mountain pass.

Before setting out from Stavropol, I had been assured by the Russian
authorities that we would have no problems getting there – though
they apparently forgot to tell the border guards at the South Ossetia
crossing, who stated that foreign journalists weren’t allowed into
the recent conflict zone. Figuring I had come this far already, I
waited it out for three days there at the Russian military mountain
checkpoint. Fortunately, we were finally allowed to go – though it
took a personal phone call from Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s
press secretary to convince the police commander that we were harmless.

CD: Really! How did you manage to get their interest?

ST: The Russian Embassy in Ottawa had been very supportive of my
trip from the outset. They had basically called in a few favors,
and convinced Moscow that I would at least be objective in my
reporting. Once we were stuck at the border, there was a flurry of
frantic phone calls well into the wee hours to try and broker my entry.

CD: That said, given the problems with physical access, did you
encounter any problems making contact with sources? Were you prevented
from speaking with any people you wanted to interview?

ST: Not at all. I had a guide/translator supplied from the news agency
RIA Novosti, but it was his first visit into the area as well. We
were allowed to go everywhere on our own, and we spent hours eating,
and drinking, with the locals.

Background: Little-known Ossetia

CD: As we all know, the Caucasus is both a complex and strategic
region, though one relatively ignored and misunderstood by the
Western media. When the Georgian offensive in South Ossetia began on
August 7, just as the Beijing Olympics were beginning, it seemed to
me that there was this momentary confusion or inability to pinpoint
this conflict, as reflected in the ambivalence of early reports –
though the official State Department line about Russian aggression
and Georgian victimhood soon settled down comfortably enough in the
media. So do you think there was some lack of a precedent or prototype
for packaging this conflict, and that this accounted for this media
ambivalence to some extent?

ST: Indeed. The Western media doesn’t have much of an "institutional
memory" when it comes to these obscure conflict regions in the
Caucasus. Nevertheless, since 1989, ethnic Ossetians and Georgians have
fought on four separate occasions for control of this tiny region,
only about 75 kilometers in length. Ossetians are, like Russians
and Georgians, Orthodox Christians, though they ultimately descend
from the now-vanished nation of the Alans, prominent in the medieval
period. They consider themselves closer to the Russian side than the
Georgian. There are about 25,000 ethnic Ossetians in South Ossetia now,
down from a total of 70,000 in 1989.

When the USSR was falling apart and Moscow’s control over
its hinterlands dissipated, between 1989 and 1991, the three
Caucasus republics of Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia all sought
independence. Yet as with Tito’s Yugoslavia, the Soviet administrative
boundaries did not correspond precisely with the ethnic ones. Ossetia
ended up divided between the newly independent Georgia and the Russian
Federation. And this led to a violent dispute over territory, with
widespread atrocities and ethnic cleansing resulting.

CD: This is the story that’s been told selectively about the former
Yugoslavia, of course.

ST: Well, yes, but for the Western media, the recent wars in the
Caucasus hardly register. From 1992-1994, the entire region became
engulfed in near-simultaneous local conflicts that made the Balkan
wars then going on seem almost simplistic in comparison. Nevertheless,
the latter held the attention of the West – despite that the casualties
and sheer destruction in the Caucasus were relatively greater.

Saakashvili’s Fateful Gambit

CD: The Georgian offensive was unleashed in August, but must have
been planned in advance. Is there any evidence in your view for this
offensive being somewhat of a flamboyant reaction to the April NATO
Summit, on the part of Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili?

ST: America has steadily been increasing its influence over the past
few years in the Caucasus. There’s no question that American-educated
Georgian President Saakashvili, installed following the 2004 "Rose
Revolution," has been keen on maximizing the benefits of that
relationship.

At last April’s NATO summit in Bucharest, the US and Canada forwarded
a motion by which Georgia and Ukraine, both bordering on Russia,
would be invited to join the alliance as full members. European
nations killed the initiative, however, prudently realizing it would
antagonize the Russians.

Since Saakashvili seemed assured of US support, he apparently felt
he could count on American backing when he sought to reconquer South
Ossetia; if it worked, the other Russian-leaning breakaway region,
Abkhazia, would possibly be next. Both were administratively autonomous
in Soviet times, and have violently resisted Georgian control since
1992. However, this gamble proved to be incorrect – even the hawkish
Bush administration was not willing to risk a world war with Russia
for the sake of a tiny patch of contested Georgian territory.

CD: Did you get any sense from any of your interviews as to whether
Saakashvili’s misjudgment owed to either his own incapability, or
rather being misinformed by outside parties? If the latter, are there
any opinions as to who and why being floated?

ST: Everybody on both sides of the conflict line – in fact in the
entire region – questioned the sanity of Saakashvili. However there is
a general consensus that he was essentially a puppet of the US State
Department, and that his military offensive was a test of Russian
resolve. It is now clear to everybody that the Russian Federation
has drawn a line in the sand, and they are prepared to forcefully
respond to any challenge.

CD: I have been following the US-Georgian military training issue
for the last 7 years. There’s no question that the Georgian army
has benefited tremendously from that troops training and especially
American military hardware. Did you find any hard evidence of how
the American training and provisions affected the Georgian fighting
strategies, capacities or execution?

ST: Given the fact that the Georgians collapsed into a panicked mob
almost as soon as the Russians appeared, I would say that the US
training was woefully inept. The equipment used by both the Russians
and Georgians is essentially from the same arsenal, so the difference
in this battle was the leadership and experience of the troops. In
fact, even though they possessed a tremendous numerical superiority
over the South Ossetians, the Georgian tanks were taking a pounding in
the militia’s hit-and-run attacks in the narrow streets of Tskhinvali.

Combat damage and arson in the center of Tskhinvali

The Invasion Revisited

CD: During your trip, were you able to reconstruct anything about
the early days of the Georgian offensive, and what really happened?

ST: Very little has been reported about the initial Georgian attack;
investigating this was the primary focus of my research. When the
Georgian tanks rolled in, there were no independent monitors in South
Ossetia. Initial media reports were sketchy and confused. Ossetian
officials told me that they knew an attack was feared around August 1,
when the Georgian military began massing armored formations along the
border. The small South Ossetian militia was mobilized, and Tskhinvali
hospital added supplies.

However, President Saakashvili went on the radio on the evening of
August 7, assuring citizens that no attack was coming. Nevertheless,
only a few hours later, the Georgians unleashed a sneak attack –
a barrage of Grom missiles that destroyed the Russian peacekeeping
force’s building, killing 150 personnel.

CD: Certainly the Georgians would have known that Russia would
understand this as a declaration of war? How did they follow on this
act of genius?

ST: The Georgian military entered the city with T-72 tanks, in the
process putting down token resistance by the Ossetians. More troops
were deployed to sweep up the outlying villages, and then they took
the ridgeline north of the city. From this vantage point the Georgians
targeted fleeing Ossetian civilians, and were able to provide fire
support for their troops in Tskhinvali. Soon after, ethnic Georgian
villagers north of the city, along the road into Russia, attacked
these Ossetians trying to escape.

However, the Georgian military did fail to blow up a key bridge on the
main road, and did not even try to block the vital seven-kilometer
tunnel linking South Ossetia to Russia. Ossetian commanders told me
that if the Georgians had sealed the tunnel, it would have prevented
Russian reinforcements from arriving and guaranteed a Georgian
victory. And they were never able to completely secure Tskhinvali
itself, as the local militia used its superior knowledge of urban
surroundings to confuse the Georgians.

CD: That’s a strange detail, about the tunnel. Did anyone give
you an explanation as to why the Georgians did not try to bomb or
close it? Could this be one of the "mistakes" President Saakashvili
was referring to when he announced the firing of the country’s top
military commander recently?

ST: Everyone I spoke to, from top commanders to the waitress in
the café was puzzled by the failure of the Georgians to target the
tunnel. And every Ossetian knew that if they had sealed that entry
port, Georgian victory would have been inevitable.

Russian Barracks hit by Grom missiles on the night of August 7

Victims of War

CD: During the fighting, what were the conditions like in the
city? What kind of civilian casualties were incurred?

ST: Numbers are not exact, though it is clear that casualties mounted
quickly – not helped by the fact that the Georgian army kept shelling
the city hospital. I spoke with the head Ossetian surgeon there,
Dr. Nikolai Zagoyev, who told me how he and his staff had to move
the operating room into the basement, where they performed hundreds
of operations, by candlelight, during the first 72 hours.

The basement shelter in the hospital where surgeons performed 700
operations by candlelight

In fact, some 25 of these medics fell victim to the attack. The very
poor conditions and lack of blood supplies meant that doctors had to
donate their own blood to patients before performing surgery. Since
they lacked time even to test for blood types, Dr. Zagoyev told me
it was "a miracle" that so many of his patients actually survived.

CD: Incredible. We also heard reports of civilians attacking other
civilians, is this correct?

ST: Yes, first the ethnic Georgian villagers in South Ossetia targeted
their Ossetian neighbors, after the Georgian army had entered – but
later, after the Russians arrived, many local Georgians fled along
with their army, as the furious Ossetians targeted their erstwhile
persecutors. It was all too typical of such a situation.

CD: Tell us more about the Russian involvement – when it began,
and whether they were in fact the "aggressors" in this instance,
as the Bush administration would have us believe?

ST: On the morning of August 10, Russian armored units, supported
by helicopter gunships, poured in through the tunnel connecting
Tskhinvali with North Ossetia. Simultaneously, Russian troops also
entered Abkhazia, on the Black Sea coast, to forestall any similar
Georgian military adventures. The Georgian soldiers put up only a
minimal fight against the Russians, and quickly withdrew. It was a
moment of total humiliation for Saakashvili, though the result was
not hard to predict.

All in all, the Russian forces drove the Georgian army more than 20
kilometers back into Georgia proper, an alarming turn of events for
the West. And then the State Department and its allies began voicing
support for President Saakashvili, and criticizing the so-called
"Russian aggression."

CD: What does the near future hold for civilians in the affected
parts of Georgia and South Ossetia, in your view?

ST: Well, a massive Russian-sponsored reconstruction program has begun,
but it has a long way to go. Winter is coming, utilities have yet to
be restored, infrastructure is devastated and outside of Tskhinvali
there are very few habitable buildings remaining. Despite the Russian
government’s hopes for the Ossetians to remain in their homes, it
was clear that people were seeking to relocate north to Russia as
soon as they could do so.

Georgian tanks destroyed during their retreat out of South Ossetia

CD: Following the August crisis, Russia recognized the independence of
South Ossetia and Abkhazia – clear retaliation for the Western-backed
independence of Kosovo, which Russia had opposed. Did people you
spoke with articulate this relationship?

ST: It certainly came up in conversation. However it is one of those
conundrums wherein traditional allies find themselves on opposite sides
of this equation. For instance, Russia is one of Serbia’s strongest
supporters in denying Kosovo independent status. However much Serbia
would want to recognize South Ossetia’s declaration of independence,
they cannot do so without undermining their own claim over Kosovo. It
is the same for the Azeris, who one would think would be supportive
of their fellow Muslims in Kosovo, but they refuse to recognize it
as independent for fear of weakening their own claim to the region
of Nagorno-Karabakh.

CD: Scott, speaking of the Azeris, you reported last year from
Azerbaijan, and noted that booming oil wealth there has been reflected
in major increases in military spending – with possible room for
application in attempting to retake Nagorno-Karabakh. What is the story
now? Did you get any information on whether a new conflict is looming?

ST: What was very interesting is that I was told Russian military
intelligence actually expected the Azeris to attack Nagorno-Karabakh,
before any move by Georgia against South Ossetia. However once Russia
demonstrated their willingness to intervene militarily, the Azeris
realized that retaking Nagorno Karabakh by force is no longer a
viable option.

CD: On the other hand, Russia has now come forward with an initiative
to help broker peace between the Armenians and Azeris. Obviously such a
move, if it succeeded, would help the Russians refute the ‘aggressors’
image cast on them by the West. Did you hear anything about this?

ST: This was something I found out about while I was still in
Turkey. Of course Ankara has a strong position in all of this as well,
and the first movements were made when President Abdullah Gul visited
Yerevan last September. This was ostensibly to watch a football match,
but it clearly marked a dramatic shift in relations between Armenia
and Turkey. I was advised by a senior diplomatic source that President
Medvedev would be holding a summit meeting shortly after Ilham Aliyev
got reelected in Azerbaijan.

Those South Ossetians who remain, live among the battle damage

CD: What is the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh, from an on the ground
point of view? Do people believe a conflict is coming, or do they
generally go about their daily lives and have normal services?

ST: Many Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh are real hard-liners. You
do not refer to the captured regions as ‘occupied,’ they insist
on calling them ‘liberated,’ even though that liberation involved
the expulsion of more than one million Azeris from their homes. In
the seven occupied provinces, the abandoned villages are completely
destroyed, and this entire territory is like a giant, empty, military
buffer zone around Nagorno-Karabakh proper.

This is referred to as the Security Zone by the locals, and they have
vowed to never return it to the Azeris. For the Armenians living in
Nagorno-Karabakh, it is indeed business as usual. There has been
a tremendous amount of money pumped in through donations from the
Diaspora, which has created a sort of false economy. However, they
offer cash incentives for couples to marry, and even larger cash
bonuses for these newlyweds to create offspring. So basically there
is a major effort underway to create babies.

CD: Armenia represents Nagorno-Karabakh’s interests at the diplomatic
discussion tables. Are the interests of Yerevan always in lockstep
with Stepanakert’s?

ST: That is a great question, and of course the answer is no. Yerevan
has its own interests, and is anxious to begin normalizing relations
with both Ankara and Baku. At present, landlocked Armenia has only
two unclosed borders – with Georgia and Iran.

After the crisis between Russia and Georgia last August, Armenia’s
close ties and dependency on Russia served to illustrate just how
isolated they are in the region. It is estimated that financially
Armenia suffered the biggest setback in the wake of that five-day
war. All in all, this is a very complex and dangerous powder keg. The
Caucasus is like ten gangsters in an elevator each holding a gun to
someone else’s head. All it will take is for one to sneeze to set off
a violent chain reaction. On August 7th President Saakashvili started
to sneeze, but the Russians quickly put a finger under his nose.

CD: Scott, many thanks for your time, and hope to hear more from
exclusive info from you again soon on the Caucasus.

ST: Thank you, Chris.

–Boundary_(ID_5jhh7ptSVYoXKlSceArcwQ)–

http://www.antiwar.com/deliso/

BAKU: Azerbaijani, Armenian, Turkish Presidents To Meet In Istanbul

AZERBAIJANI, ARMENIAN, TURKISH PRESIDENTS TO MEET IN ISTANBUL

Trend News Agency
Nov 7 2008
Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan, Baku, 7 November/ Trend News/ President of Turkey
Abdullah Gul has initiated to hold trilateral meeting of Presidents
of Azerbaijan, Armenia and Turkey in Istanbul, Turkish ZAMAN newspaper
reported.

The trilateral meeting of Presidents was discussed by the Presidents
Gul and Ilham Aliyev during Azerbaijani Presidents official visit
to Turkey.

Azerbaijani President agreed to hold trilateral meeting in
Istanbul. The venue and date of the trilateral meeting will be
announced after talks with Armenian President Serzh Sarkisyan,
ZAMAN reported.

The conflict between the two countries of the South Caucasus began in
1988 due to Armenian territorial claims against Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan
lost the Nagorno-Karabakh, except of Shusha and Khojali, in December
1991. In 1992-93, Armenian Armed Forces occupied Shusha, Khojali and
Nagorno-Karabakh’s seven surrounding regions. In 1994, Azerbaijan
and Armenia signed a ceasefire agreement at which time the active
hostilities ended. The Co-Chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group (Russia,
France, and the US) are currently holding peaceful, but fruitless
negotiations.