Finance Minister presents 2024 defense expenditures

 10:53, 6 December 2023

YEREVAN, DECEMBER 6, ARMENPRESS. The Armenian government has envisaged 554 billion drams for defense expenditures under the 2024 budget, finance minister Vahe Hovhannisyan has said.

“The Ministry of Defense expenditures in 2024 amount to 554 billion drams. This will be a seven percent increase compared to the 2023 defense spending, and as a result the 2024 defense spending will amount to 5,3% of GDP, decreasing by 0,3 percentage point compared to 2023,” he said in parliament during debates of the 2024 state budget.

Asked to elaborate on the decrease against the GDP, the minister said, ” When we say it has decreased 0,3 percent, it doesn’t mean that the money has decreased, it’s just that our revenues are growing faster than the expenditures that we have decided to allocate for the defense sector.”

Russia still hasn’t delivered armaments Armenia has paid for

 14:57, 4 December 2023

YEREVAN, DECEMBER 4, ARMENPRESS. Russia still hasn’t delivered any armaments to Armenia for which Yerevan has paid, Deputy Defense Minister Hrachya Sargsyan has said.

“I know that at the moment no deliveries have been made,” Sargsyan said when asked whether any supplies have been made and whether Armenia considers taking Russia to international courts to resolve the matter.

“I think the matter won’t reach the [courts] and the issue will be resolved in a collegial atmosphere,” Sargsyan said.

Asked whether Armenia has any expectations to eventually receive the armaments from Russia, Sargsyan said, “There’s always hope.”

Armenia ordered armaments from Russia in 2021. According to unconfirmed reports, Armenia paid $400,000,000 for the weapons, which Russia has failed to deliver.

Armenian and Bulgarian Presidents have a short private conversation

 19:06, 1 December 2023

YEREVAN, DECEMBER 1, ARMENPRESS. On the margins of the 28th UN Climate Change Conference in Dubai, the President of the Republic of Armenia Vahagn Khachaturyan visited Bulgaria's pavilion.

Vahagn Khachaturyan toured the pavilion accompanied by the President of the Republic of Bulgaria Rumen Radev.

After the tour, the presidents of the two countries had a short private conversation. 

The UN Climate Change Conference is being held in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, from 30 November until 12 December 2023. More than 70,000 delegates participate at COP28, including the member states (or Parties) of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Business leaders, young people, climate scientists, Indigenous Peoples, journalists, and various other experts and stakeholders are also among the participants.

The President of the Republic of Armenia made a speech within the framework of the forum, emphasizing that climate change remains a topping global issue.




Central Bank of Armenia: exchange rates and prices of precious metals – 27-11-23

 16:55,

YEREVAN, 27 NOVEMBER, ARMENPRESS. The Central Bank of Armenia informs “Armenpress” that today, 27 November, USD exchange rate up by 0.13 drams to 402.31 drams. EUR exchange rate up by 1.99 drams to 440.73 drams. Russian Ruble exchange rate up by 0.01 drams to 4.53 drams. GBP exchange rate up by 2.50 drams to 507.84 drams.

The Central Bank has set the following prices for precious metals.

Gold price up by 111.81 drams to 25880.13 drams. Silver price up by 0.74 drams to 306.61 drams.

‘We won’t leave’: Armenians in Jerusalem push back against armed settlers

Nov 24 2023

A controversial real estate project threatens the world’s oldest Armenian diaspora community. But they refuse to move.

Old City, occupied East Jerusalem – After learning that settlers had returned to bulldoze in an area of the parking lot near his house in the Armenian Quarter, 80-year-old Garo Nalbandian, a professional photographer, joined a community sit-in in the area known as the Cows’ Garden with, of course, his trusty camera.

“We won’t leave,” a determined Nalbandian said gruffly in between snapping photos of Armenians on one side of the makeshift barricade and Israeli police and hired security on the other.

On October 26, the leader of the Armenian Patriarchate of Jerusalem announced it would cancel a once-secret 2021 land lease deal with a real estate company that has alleged links to settler interests.

Since then, representatives from the company, Xana Gardens, have sent contractors, armed settlers and bulldozers to seize the land – which, along with the parking lot, includes Armenian Church property and the homes of Nalbandian and four other families.

The 1,600-year-old Armenian community is concentrated in the confines of the Armenian Quarter, occupying 14 percent of the Old City of Jerusalem at its southwestern corner.

“You know all your neighbours. If I don’t have milk at 1am, I just knock on their door. If I don’t have bread, I call my friend,” said Setrag Balian, 26, one of the leaders of the current movement to reverse the land deal.

“We take care of each other’s kids, of our families.”

This Armenian community – the oldest Armenian diaspora in the world – has seen its population decline from some 27,000 people a century ago to about 1,000 today.

Yet, with each attempted demolition, the community flocks in numbers at a moment’s notice, standing in the way of bulldozers while withstanding threats of arrest and armed intimidation.

Nalbandian’s family risks losing the home they’ve lived in since 1969, under the deal. Garo’s wife, Hrout, whose family has been in Jerusalem as far back as the 8th or 9th century, describes her sweet memories of the decades of getting engaged, married and raising kids in their modest one-storey home.

“Wherever we walk, it’s like we are in Armenia,” she said. “We have like a big family for the Armenians. After so many years … to become homeless, this is very hard.”

Garo’s studio in Wadi al-Joz is adorned with breathtaking photos he has taken of streets and cities around the world, from Athens to Alexandria. “But our beautiful Armenian Quarter is like nowhere else,” Garo remarked. “We must protect it.”

The community’s suspicions of Israeli settler aspirations in the Cows’ Garden started in 2019 when an Israeli company began construction on that same parking lot. At the time, the patriarchate told the community the aim was to renovate the lot, nothing more, but the parking lot’s April 2021 inauguration was curiously attended by Moshe Lion, the mayor of Jerusalem, and bedecked with enough Israeli flags to raise eyebrows.

The Armenian Patriarchate of Jerusalem – the community’s spiritual leadership, biggest employer and de facto landlord – struck a deal in July that year with Xana Gardens, a company incorporated that same month and led by the Australian Israeli investor Danny Rothman.

For two years, church leaders kept the community in the dark about the terms or even existence of the deal, despite persistent rumours. On April 1 this year, witnesses say, Rothman – also known in documents as Danny Rubenstein and Danny Kaufman – came to the Cows’ Garden parking lot with security, breaking security cameras and dismissing patriarchate guards, claiming he was taking over.

As years of rumours and suspicions about the deal spilled into the open, Setrag Balian and Hagop Djernazian, 23, led the younger generation of Armenians in fighting the land takeover. Balian, who works for his family’s ceramics business, joined Djernazian, a student at Hebrew University, for months of protests near Armenian Patriarch Nourhan Manougian’s offices.

“I see myself creating my future here,” said Djernazian, who also leads the Armenian Scouts. “I study here, I work here, I live here. And this is my plan to continue living here. The deal threatens our continued existence here.”

A report in July this year by an international team of Armenian lawyers finally exposed the deal publicly.

In it, the patriarchate agreed to give Xana Gardens a 49-year lease – with an option to renew another 49 – of the Cows’ Garden to build a luxury hotel.

Only Xana Gardens could cancel the agreement, which was for at least 11,500 square metres (123,785 square feet), but Xana could include “adjacent properties in the project”.

A plan submitted by Danny Rothman to the Jerusalem Municipality in May sought 14,500sq metres – not 11,500 – for the hotel, with a “target area” of 16,000sq metres (172,222sq feet), according to the report on the deal. Such an area would encompass 13 percent of the entire Armenian Quarter.

For this large swath of prized land on contested Mount Zion, Xana Gardens would pay only $300,000 in yearly rent.

Miran Krikorian, 40, a restaurant owner born and raised in the Armenian Quarter, says he pays nearly a quarter of that amount for only 30 square metres (323 square feet) he rents nearby for his small restaurant in the Christian Quarter.

“Either somebody got money under the table to pass this deal, or it’s just our people are so dumb that they don’t know the prices in this country,” said Krikorian.

For months, newly installed security guards from Xana Gardens threatened to ban community members from using the parking lot if they attended the protests, adding to threats church officials allegedly made towards individuals who protested. But the community refused to relent.

Pressure on the church to cancel the deal increased when Jordan and the Palestinian Authority withdrew their recognition of Patriarch Manougian in May, as they saw the deal threatening the status quo in the Old City, and amid concerns that stakeholders had not been consulted. The PA, Jordan and Israel are the three political authorities that endow recognition to the patriarchs in Jerusalem. The patriarchate did not respond to a request for comments.

“A lot of the younger generation had to learn through this ordeal why it’s important to stay in Jerusalem and why presence matters,” said Kegham Balian, Setrag’s brother who has written on the issue for Armenian news outlets.

Manougian’s decision to cancel the deal on October 26 put to rest the Armenian community’s internal divide on the issue. Later that same day, however, Israeli heavy machinery arrived at the disputed site to try to begin demolition.

Armenians rushed to the Cows’ Garden, standing in front of machinery that was tearing up a pavement and a wall separating the patriarchate parking lot from the community parking lot.

Ten days later, on November 5, representatives from Xana Gardens, including Rothman, returned. This time, they brought about 15 settlers with them, several of them armed and leading leashed dogs.

“This is our land,” they reportedly told local Armenians. “Leave now.”

But the Armenians refused to leave. A tense standoff ensued for hours, with more settlers arriving and yet more Armenians joining, eventually overwhelming the armed settlers.

Some of the settlers attempted to provoke community members, residents said. “You’re all goys, and when the Messiah comes, you will die,” one of them told them.

“I will get you, one by one!” George Warwar, a Christian Arab from Jaffa who had been the face of Xana Gardens on the ground in the months leading up to the encounter, reportedly shouted.

This was the first time most in the community had encountered Rothman, who, when approached by journalists, has refused to speak to the media. According to Setrag Balian, Rothman, who normally lives overseas, told police during the standoff the community wanted to cancel the deal because he is Jewish.

“It’s because now you’re bringing armed settlers and showing the true face of your company,” Setrag Balian recalled telling Rothman that day. “It’s because this deal is not a good deal for the patriarchate.

“We’ve lived with our Jewish Quarter neighbours for 50 years without any major incidents,” he continued.

The act of peaceful defiance forced Rothman and his group to withdraw after several hours.

“Just by the look on Danny Rothman’s face,” said Kegham Balian, “you could tell he wasn’t expecting the events to unfold like they did that day.”

Negotiations are under way for the church to provide greater transparency regarding the administration of community lands and affairs, a key demand from protesters.

With the internal divide on the land agreement now set aside – and the war in Gaza drawing the world’s attention – Armenian residents say Xana Gardens’ tactics are shifting to outright armed confrontation.

“They thought it would scare us,” said Setrag Balian of the armed threats. “But it didn’t scare us – it empowered us. We are more united than ever.”

Manougian, often criticised by Armenians for an absence in leadership, has been present during standoffs this month. A November 16 communique by the Armenian Patriarchate described the situation as “possibly the greatest existential threat of its 16-century history”, condemning the 2021 contract as “tainted with false representation, undue influence, and unlawful benefits”.

Armenians fear their small, tight-knit community won’t survive if they lose the Cows’ Garden, which comprises much of the Armenian Quarter outside the Armenian Convent – a private area originally intended for clergy, but now housing many Armenians who moved there about a century ago in the aftermath of the Armenian Genocide.

The prized land is seen as pivotal to Israeli settler plans, as a long-term lease would complete a path for Jewish worshippers to cross the Old City from Jaffa Gate to the Jewish Quarter without crossing Christian properties, following previous purchases of the New Imperial Hotel and Petra Hotel along that route.

Since the first armed confrontation by Rothman and settlers, Armenians have been taking shifts at the Cows’ Garden, where two bulldozers are parked.

Contractors hired by Xana Gardens attempted to bulldoze the area early in the morning on November 12 and 13. Both times, the community sprang into action, putting up a metal barricade on the 12 and, on the 13, standing in a bulldozer’s path.

The community has remained nonviolent throughout the confrontations, at the behest of movement leaders like Balian and Djernazian.

As demolition attempts by the company continue – including an incident on November 15 in which Palestinians hired by Xana Gardens to dismantle the barricade left when they realised they had been hired by settlers – the community remains resolute.

During the standoffs, police threatened to arrest Armenians, and several have been arrested for transgressions like shouting, according to community members. They were released the same day, but banned by police from returning to the area.

Police have attempted to enforce the bulldozing efforts – although they have failed so far with Xana Gardens unable to present the required permits – before the land deal finds its way to court to be adjudicated, as stakeholders expect to happen.

A rotating group of Armenians now sleeps in the Cows’ Garden at night, and community members provide volunteers with food, tea, couches and even a tent for 24/7 surveillance.

“This has to do with the future of my kid,” said Krikorian of his four-year-old boy, his eyes welling with tears.

“If I think about all those things that my kid is going to lose, like this community, like being with his friends … I grew up in that, and I want him to have the same experiences.

“If I don’t do anything now, I’m going to lose it for him in the future.”

 

Interim status implied the elimination of the state order of Nagorno-Karabakh and the formation of a new system: PM

 20:56,

YEREVAN, NOVEMBER 24, ARMENPRESS. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan during a press conference broadcast online Friday, clarified the meaning behind granting Nagorno- Karabakh an interm status, and touched upon  the thesis of some opposition circles that the Russian Federation is punishing the Armenian authorities for certain actions. 

Nikol Pashinyan said that a thesis is being actively circulated, that, allegedly, the Russian Federation punished the Armenian authorities with the 44-Day War.

"First of all, I would not like to make the Russian Federation a subject of discussion in this context, but let's discuss this thesis seriously.

In that case, who punished whom and for what during the Four-Day War of 2016? The circulated thesis implies that there was a revolution, the revolution was not desirable for our partners, as if this government was pro-Western, and that’s why it was punished.

"In this case what was the purpose of the Four-Day War in 2016? What can be said about the events of 2013 when Armenia engaged in negotiations to sign the Association Agreement with the Western world but canceled the decision overnight, instead becoming a member of the Eurasian Economic Union? Furthermore, why did Russia sign a multibillion-dollar arms contract with Azerbaijan in 2011?"

I haven't said everything about Karabakh. A lot can be said about the Karabakh issue.  What was Serzh Sargsyan's statement about in April 2018? What was he referring to when he expressed that, for a considerable period, there was little hope that Azerbaijan would abandon its military approach to resolving the Karabakh issue, and the negotiation process had reached a deadlock?''  Pashinyan inquired.

The Prime Minister has provided some details about the negotiation situation related to the Nagorno- Karabakh issue as of 2018.

“The UN General Assembly planned a resolution on ways and means of organizing Nagorno-Karabakh's own life, which was to be adopted by the UN Security Council at the proposal of the UN Secretary General, which was to be discussed with Azerbaijan, the co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group and the Republic of Armenia. What did this interim status imply? This meant the abolition of the existing state order in Nagorno-Karabakh and the formation of a new system.

I am talking about the negotiation situation and the content of the negotiations as of 2018. So in the UN Security Council, according to these documents, Nagorno-Karabakh should have received a decision on organizing its life, which was supposed to be the status of Nagorno- Karabakh until the final settlement of the issue.

What is hidden under these sentences? The status that existed from that moment in Nagorno-Karabakh with some of its features had to be reduced to nothing and the new one should be created with the understanding that within the framework of the Madrid principles, Nagorno-Karabakh is an entity made up of Armenians and Azerbaijanis. And both the Armenians  and Azerbaijanis were to participate participate in the administration of Nagorno-Karabakh.

No matter how the previous government tries to deny it, for a person who knows a little diplomacy, this is an axiom, and these documents exist. This is a proven and indisputable thing," said Nikol Pashinyan.




Armenian Christian Quarter in Jerusalem Faces ‘Existential Territorial Threat’

Nov 20 2023
on 

CV NEWS FEED // The historic Armenian Christian Quarter of Jerusalem now faces an “existential territorial threat” from foreign developers seeking to build a luxury hotel over the region, according to the Armenian Patriarchate of Jerusalem.

The patriarchate issued a statement last week after Jerusalem police began ordering local Armenians to evacuate the area in order for construction to begin.

“The Armenian Patriarchate of Jerusalem is under possibly the greatest existential threat of its 16-century history,” according to the statement. “This existential territorial threat fully extends to all the Christian communities of Jerusalem.”

According to the Patriarchate, the developer, Xana Gardens Ltd. has begun its “vast destruction and removal of asphalt on the grounds of the Armenian Quarter” without proper legal permits from the municipality. 

In a letter to the developer on October 26, the Armenian Patriarchate canceled the land deal, which it described as “tainted with false representation, undue influence, and unlawful benefits.” 

The controversy began in July 2021 after the director of the Armenian Patriarchate real estate department, former priest Khachik Yeretzian, leased a large portion of the Armenian Quarter to Danny Rubenstein, a Jewish businessman from Australia and head of Xana Gardens Ltd. 

Rubenstein planned to build a luxury hotel during the 98 year period of his lease, after which the land and hotel would be returned to the Patriarchate. The land in question is approximately 8 acres, which is about 14% of Jerusalem’s Old City.

However, the patriarchate claims the lease was finalized without ratification from the Synod and the General Assembly. 

Yeretzian claims he signed the lease with the patriarchate’s full support and was being condemned “for an act that the patriarchate signed and now I am being accused.” 

On May 6, 2022, the Synod unanimously voted to defrock Yeretzian, “for his disloyalty and especially the series of frauds and deceptions he committed regarding” the lease of the Armenian Quarter. 

The Armenian Patriarchate’s statement continued:

Instead of providing a lawful response to the cancellation, the developers attempting to build on the Cow’s Garden have completely disregarded the legal posture of the Patriarchate towards this issue, and instead have elected for provocation, aggression, and other harassing, incendiary tactics including destruction of property, the hiring of heavily armed provocateurs, and other instigation.

The Armenian Quarter of Jerusalem was established in 301 AD, when Armenia officially declared itself a Christian nation. 

“We plead with the entirety of the Christian communities of Jerusalem to stand with the Armenian Patriarchate in these unprecedented times as this is another clear step taken toward the endangerment of the Christian presence in Jerusalem and the Holy Land,” the Patriarchate concluded. 

https://catholicvote.org/armenian-quarter-territorial-attack/

The patriarchate iss

ued a statement last week after Jerusalem police began ordering local Armenians to evacuate the area in order for construction to begin.

Valley Children’s Hospital Partnership Sends Fresno Doctors, Nurses to Armenia

Nov 4 2023
Edward Smith

A partnership between Valley Children’s Hospital and an Armenian hospital will advance the level of care provided to women and children in that country.

Valley Children’s CEO Todd Suntrapak Thursday signed an agreement with the CEO of Wigmore Women’s & Children’s Hospital, Dr. Zaven Koloyan, for an ongoing exchange of medical professionals.

The union will bring doctors from Armenia to the Valley’s biggest pediatric hospital to train and send local doctors, nurses, and medical staff to Armenia to help develop operations in Yerevan, Armenia’s capital.

“The ultimate goal of this collaboration is for Wigmore Hospital to become the standard of care within Armenia and potentially other countries in that region,” said Dr. Varoujan Altebarmakian, retired Fresno physician and program advisor for Wigmore Hospital.

In 2016, when Koloyan was doing his residency in what is considered one of Yerevan’s best hospitals, he witnessed “Soviet-style management, poor infrastructure, poor economics and very low level of education.”

“But the main trouble for me is there was no other place to go because it was the best hospital,” Koloyan said.

Koloyan decided to start a new hospital to provide pediatric care.

Founders reached out to Altebarmakian to take on an advisory role at the hospital which he was told would “change the culture of health care delivery systems in that country.”

Wigmore Hospital opened in December 2022. But to advance care, Altebarmakian said they needed a partner in the U.S. That’s when they turned to Valley Children’s Hospital.

“After a few years of working on the organizational structure and the leadership roles, we realized that we needed a partner outside Armenia to train the leaders and also the physicians in Armenia,” Altebarmakian said.

https://gvwire.com/2023/11/03/valley-childrens-hospital-partnership-sends-fresno-doctors-nurses-to-armenia/

Avoiding another war in the former Soviet Union

POLITICO
Oct 31 2023

GEOPOLITICAL TANGLE — For weeks now, there have been warnings that yet another bloody war could break out on the edge of Europe — pushing the U.S. and E.U. further into a geopolitical tangle with Russia. Now, all eyes are on the South Caucasus to see whether a decades-old conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan can be averted, or if it will be added to the growing list of geopolitical hotspots that require attention from the West.

While the standoff has flown below the radar amid growing tensions between Serbia and Kosovo; as well as war between Russia and Ukraine and Hamas and Israel, the space sandwiched between Russia and Iran has become increasingly tense. Washington and Brussels have laid out clear red lines that have since been crossed. And there’s a growing suspicion that peace isn’t in Moscow’s best interests.

Last month, Azerbaijan launched an offensive to take control of the breakaway region of Nagorno-Karabakh, with thousands of troops and tanks pushing forward under the cover of heavy artillery fire. Within 24 hours, taking heavy casualties on the front lines, the ethnic Armenian authorities had surrendered, effectively ending thirty years of de facto independence since a war that followed the fall of the Soviet Union.

More than 100,000 people were forced to flee their homes with what few possessions they could pack into cars, buses and even open-topped construction trucks. Few think they’ll ever be able to return, despite Azerbaijan’s promises of “reintegration.” And the Armenian government has accused Azerbaijan of carrying out ethnic cleansing in the region, with concerns of more aggression to come.

While the U.S. and E.U. have condemned the use of force, they’ve been unwilling or unable to take a tougher stance. Azerbaijan is a close partner of both critical NATO ally Turkey and of Israel, and has also stepped up exports of natural gas to Europe as part of efforts to wean the continent off Russian fossil fuels. On top of that, Azerbaijan maintains it was only acting to take control of its internationally-recognized territories, and insists that makes it an entirely internal issue.

But concerns have been growing that Azerbaijan could be planning an invasion of Armenia itself to seize a strategically important transport route that would link it up with Turkey — known as the Zangezur Corridor. Armenia’s new ambassador to the E.U, Tigran Balayan has said his country expects the attack “within weeks.”

Now though, both Azerbaijan and Armenia are saying a long-awaited peace deal could be done over the next few months instead. Speaking to POLITICO, Azerbaijani foreign policy chief Hikmet Hajiyev insisted there was no plan for a confrontation and that the corridor project “has lost its attractiveness for us” because of alternative routes through neighboring Iran.

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, meanwhile, said last week that a final ceasefire could be signed soon — and unveiled a “Crossroads for Peace” project designed to bolster transport links with Azerbaijan and Turkey.

The move would be a major blow to Russia, which still has troops patrolling Armenia’s closed borders — once the frontier between the Soviet Union and NATO. With talk of peace in our time, Pashinyan has even hinted it might be time to tell Moscow’s military to leave once and for all.

The efforts to secure a diplomatic settlement would also be touted as a win in Washington and Brussels, despite the mass exodus and shattered lives as a result of last month’s war. Behind the scenes, Western diplomats have been fighting to avoid a repeat of the violence and prevent the worst case scenario from coming about.

And, at a time when Russia is reportedly seeking to stretch the West thin between conflicts in the Balkans, the Middle East and in Africa, it would be a rare moment where calmer heads prevailed and chaos could be averted. Only time will tell if that’s the case — but both Armenia and Azerbaijan are, for the moment, optimistic.

After Nagorno-Karabakh, Armenia is prepared for anything

Actual News Magazine, UK
Oct 30 2023

While more than 100,000 refugees from Nagorno-Karabakh are resettled as best they can in Armenia, many want at all costs to go to the north, near the capital, Yerevan, considered safer than the south, where the fear of Azerbaijan’s imminent invasion is growing due to skirmishes near the border and military tests between the country and its Turkish ally.

After about forty minutes traveling the increasingly mountainous roads north of the Armenian capital, Yerevan, the truck filled with donations from the diaspora finally stopped at the gates of the village of Nor Hachn.

In an abandoned and ruined building, which appears to be a former primary school, Armenian volunteers from all over the world display shoes, clothes, blankets and hygiene products for the fifty refugee families from Nagorno-Karabakh settled there. in vacant housing in the small municipality.

Far from the hubbub of children trying on pants and sweaters, Nela Danielyan, standing in a corner of the large room, is lost in her torment. She, who has experienced all the conflicts in Nagorno-Karabakh since 1991, resettled for the first time far from the southern Armenian borders.

“This time it’s different,” she said to Duty. Before, I always had hope of returning home. But there, it won’t be possible and I feel safer in the north with all the provocations [des dernières semaines] in border regions. »

Even though Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev has pledged to respect the rights of Nagorno-Karabakh Armenians and offer amnesty to the fighters, fears of “ethnic cleansing” persist. Especially since after several decades of conflict, neither party has confidence in the other.

Visiting Armenia a few days ago for the opening of the Canadian embassy in Yerevan, the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mélanie Joly, announced that she will increase humanitarian aid to $3.9 million. to “save the lives of civilians” like Nela Danielyan. According to the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, more than 100,000 Armenians have fled Nagorno-Karabakh.

Of this number, more than half are now in the north of the country. Several refugees are found in the surrounding regions of the capital, such as in Nor Hachn, but a very large majority have come to join family in Yerevan.

“Azerbaijan cannot be trusted. They say there will be peace, but those are just nice words,” says Vladimir Khachatryan, 67, who came to pick up a box of food offered by the Armenian Red Cross at a service point in the capital.

“We feel safer here. If we stayed in the border areas, we couldn’t be sure that something else wouldn’t happen and that we would have to relive the same traumas again,” adds his wife, Nargiz Khachatryan, in her sixties.

While any aid to refugees is welcome, it does not respond to their growing fear of an invasion of the country by Azerbaijan.

In fact, another territorial conflict is looming on the horizon. President Aliyev has always wanted to recreate a corridor crossing Armenia to connect Azerbaijan to its exclave of Nakhchivan, which would allow road traffic to bypass Iran and provide land continuity with its Turkish ally. And Ilham Aliyev has said in the past that he was ready to take it by force if necessary.

“Azerbaijan is trying to draw an equivalence between the Lachin corridor and this future Zanguezour corridor. And this equivalence advances Azerbaijan’s objectives [notamment de la guerre de 2020] which are not reasonable with regard to the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Armenia”, explains Taline Papazian, lecturer and lecturer at Science Po Aix-en-Provence and member of the NGO Armenia Peace Initiative .

Armenia also recognizes Azerbaijan’s right to have a road linking its territory to Nakhichevan. Since the end of the 2020 war, Yerevan has always said that a transit right could be discussed in cooperation with Baku. However, it is unthinkable for Armenia that an extraterritorial corridor would be created over which the country would have no say and would receive no compensation.

“The Armenians’ fear is that Azerbaijan will do as it pleases, as it has become accustomed to doing for three years. Never punished. Never sanctioned. Nothing ever happens, so why not continue a strategy that, so far, has proven particularly successful? And Azerbaijan clearly has the means to do it [sans être sanctionné] », adds Mme Papazian.

This fear was recently confirmed by US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, who warned that Azerbaijan could soon invade Armenia. In addition, Azerbaijan and Turkey began joint military exercises last week in Nagorno-Karabakh, but also in Nakhchivan.

Probably too busy in Ukraine, the former Russian ally seems to have completely abandoned Armenia in its conflict against Azerbaijan. He who was supposed to ensure the maintenance of peace in Nagorno-Karabakh has visibly failed in the task and Armenia seems to find itself more alone than ever.

There are obviously some Western capitals trying to get closer to Armenia, such as Washington or Paris, with whom Yerevan organized military exercises for the first and whose capital received promises of arms deliveries from the second. But would these countries come to the aid of Armenia if it were attacked by its neighbor, richer, better armed and supported by Turkey? Nothing is less sure.

“I think everyone understands the challenges perfectly. But beyond the declarations in the case of an invasion of southern Armenia, will there be anything else? Will Armenia receive diplomatic support? Will Armenia receive military support? Personally, I think not, or very little,” analyzes Taline Papazian.

Even in Armenia, which did not send its army to Nagorno-Karabakh during the Azerbaijani offensive of September 19, there does not appear to be any appetite for a military confrontation that could spill the conflict across the entire region. territory. Even if the opposition is having a field day against the Prime Minister, Nikol Pashinyan, who is accused of being a traitor for having abandoned Nagorno-Karabakh.

In this context, peace, even with a bitter taste, seems the only possible outcome to protect Armenian sovereignty.

“When you are in a situation where your adversaries are determined and more powerful than you, you have no allies and you are not sure what military support you might have [en cas d’invasion], peace therefore becomes absolutely necessary. And this is what the Armenian government is trying,” explains M.me Papazian.

Peace negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan, however, are currently at a standstill.

Still looking deep in her torment, Nela Danielyan takes a moment before responding. “I just hope that no matter what happens, I can stay Armenian,” she finally says, a tremor in her voice, as she leaves the donation center with a mountain of blankets for herself and her family. .

https://actualnewsmagazine.com/english/after-nagorno-karabakh-armenia-is-prepared-for-anything/