Emerging Europe Sovereigns Dashboard: War Spillovers in Georgia and Armenia

Fitch Rating
Aug 17 2022

Emerging Europe Sovereigns Dashboard: 
War Spillovers in Georgia and Armenia

Wed 17 Aug, 2022 – 11:25 AM ET

Fitch Ratings had considered Armenia and Georgia as among the sovereigns most vulnerable to the spillover from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but so far, the macro impact has been positive. This reflects the inflow of skilled nationals from the war-affected countries. Up to 90,000 Russian, Belarussian and Ukrainian nationals have entered Georgia since the invasion of Ukraine. The number of visitors to Armenia nearly doubled to 130,000 in June, from February levels, although a breakdown by nationality is not available. Surge in Money Transfers: Money transfers from Russia to these countries have surged. Russian money transfers into Georgia rose by 306% yoy in 1H22. In Armenia, money transfers through banks nearly doubled in the same period (although data by country of origin are not yet available). Boost to External Positions: The large secondary and primary income flows (as Russians relocate but continue to work for their Russia-based employers), combined with ongoing tourism recoveries and higher prices for export commodities, are narrowing current account deficits in both countries and strengthening FX reserves. The inflows have prevented the rise in dollarisation that can occur in both at times of shocks, and have strengthened exchange rates. The latter is supportive for government debt given the high weight of FX-denominated debt in total debt.

ACCESS REPORT
 

“Moscow awaits reply from Armenia’s MFA”

Armenia – Aug 18 2022

“The Russian Embassy in Yerevan made a corresponding statement. Today Russian Charge d’Affaires had a constructive conversation with the Armenian Foreign Ministry leadership. We are waiting for a response,” Nechaev said during a briefing in Moscow.

 

On August 17 Russian Embassy in Armenia stated that it sent a note of protest to the Armenian Ministry of Foreign Affairs expressing its indignation regarding the accusations against the Russian structures of the tragedy that happened at Surmalu trade center in Yerevan.

 

“We are outraged by the cynical information circulating in the local media, containing blasphemous and false accusations against Russian structures of their involvement in the tragedy that took place on the territory of Surmalu trade center on August 14.

 

We consider this as a direct provocation by the political forces behind such hints. The purpose of all this is to undermine Russian-Armenian allied relations. We expect the Armenian authorities to take steps to suppress such unfriendly manifestations, including the necessary public comments,” the Russian Embassy said in a statement.

Russian embassy upset by reports about Russia organizations’ participation in Yerevan market tragedy

NEWS.am
Armenia – Aug 17 2022

We are outraged by the cynical reports circulating in the local information space, which contain blasphemous and false accusations against Russian organizations regarding their involvement in the tragedy that took place in the area of the Surmalu shopping center [in Yerevan] on August 14 of this year. This is stated in a message posted on the Facebook page of the Russian embassy in the Republic of Armenia (RA).

“We consider it a direct provocation by the political forces that are behind such slanderous statements, whose objective is to undermine Russian-Armenian allied relations. We expect steps from the Armenian authorities, including necessary public comments, aimed at preventing such unfriendly manifestations. The corresponding letter has been sent by the embassy to RA Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

It should be noted that the Russian side, in the form of the Russian-Armenian Humanitarian Response Center, is engaged in the work toward the elimination of the consequences of the tragedy from the very first minutes,” the message of the Russian embassy also states.

https://news.am/eng/news/716370.html

Spain office of Enterprise Armenia to present investment climate and business advantages

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 09:44,

YEREVAN, AUGUST 15, ARMENPRESS. The office of Enterprise Armenia in Spain will use all opportunities to promote and facilitate foreign investment in Armenia and position Enterprise Armenia as a one-stop shop for investors, Enterprise Armenia Representative in Spain Levon Grigorian said in an interview with ARMENPRESS.

Mr. Grigorián, You have been appointed the representative of Enterprise Armenia in Spain, it is planned to open an office in Spain, when will it officially start its activities?

It has been an honour to be appointed as representative of Enterprise Armenia in Spain. Since the appointment in end-June, the entire Enterprise Armenia team in Spain is already assisting Spanish companies interested in the Armenian market.

The office’s opening to the public will be on September 1st, which will be seated in the iconic building of “Casa Comalat” -Avenida Diagonal 442, 3-2, 08037 in Barcelona-. So, from September, we welcome and await with open arms the visit of any foreign enterprise or entrepreneur interested in the Armenian market or companies willing to expand their activities abroad.

How do you imagine the office’s activities to attract investments from Spain to Armenia? How are you going to promote that investment, how are you going to help investors?

Economic diplomacy is becoming increasingly important in foreign policy and a political priority for the Armenian Government. Strengthening the internationalisation of Armenian companies and attracting productive foreign investment to the country will increase the competitiveness of the Armenian economy and build up our diplomatic relations with third countries.

The office in Spain will have two vectors of work: to promote and facilitate foreign investment in Armenia and position Enterprise Armenia as a one-stop shop for investors.

As a representative office of a national authority for investment promotion in Armenia, we will focus on raising awareness in Spain of Armenia’s investment and business opportunities and contributing to Armenia’s positioning on the investment map for Latin-American and Spanish companies.

We will play a pivotal role in developing institutional cooperation between the Spanish and Armenian authorities, partner organisations, BSOs, business circles and international companies. For such purposes, from September, we will organise monthly business events to attract new investments, promote exports, expand the business network in Spain, and introducing Armenia’s investment climate and the advantages of doing business in Armenia.  In addition, at least once per year, we will organise a business trip for the Spanish companies interested in Armenia.

Once the investors are interested in the Armenian market, we will consult them on Armenia’s investment legislation, regulations, government incentives, and potential investment partners.

In addition, the Enterprise Armenian team provides aftercare services to existing foreign investors in Armenia.

To invest in Armenia, which sector might be of particular interest to Spanish businessmen? What potential do you see in Armenia?

The main sectors of interest to the Spanish companies are renewable energies, construction, IT, science, bio-agriculture, textile, tourism and hospitality, luxury goods, pharmaceutical, and winemaking.

Armenia has a unique geostrategic position that can serve as a bridge between east and west, EEU and EU. Therefore, we need to work towards such a goal to show that Armenia can be a natural hub for regional international companies, as it has access to large export markets under preferential conditions.

In addition, Armenia has skilled, well-educated, and cost-efficient talent and low business costs, which are difficult to find in Europe. Besides, we must highlight the comprehensive fiscal and financial incentives system, macroeconomic stability, reliable financial sector, and open-door policy towards foreign investors.

One of the organisation’s goals is to help Armenian exporters enter new markets. In this regard, what opportunity do You see in Spain, how could you help Armenian exporters position Armenian products in the Spanish market?

Although the promotion of export and import is beyond the scope of Enterprise Armenia, we aim to foster the presence of Armenian businesses abroad.

Therefore, we will organise business delegations to accompany them on visits to Spain and help them through our business partners to organise institutional capacity building, networking, or business-to-business events.

Such services will be provided not only to large companies but also to medium-sized and small companies to strengthen their presence abroad.

The main opportunities of the Armenian companies are related to the IT sector and the export of bio-agricultural, pharmaceutical, and cosmetic products and raw materials to Spain. However, we will help analyse Armenian companies, case by case, the business opportunities in Spain.

And finally, what else would You like to say about the office and Your work?

As a diasporan Armenian, I realised the importance of engaging more actively to strengthen the country’s economy.

In this regard, I hope that my knowledge of the political, economic, and commercial situation in Spain will play a vital role in developing the country’s economy through the investment of foreign companies and the internationalisation of Armenian companies.

As an international business lawyer, I finished an LLM in International Legal Studies at Georgetown Law in Washington, D.C. Since 2012, I have worked in one of the best law firms in the Iberian market in cities such as New York, London, Sao Paulo, Barcelona, and Madrid. Nowadays, I am the managing partner of GK Group Legal, an international law firm and consulting company based in Barcelona, which will open its Erevan offices soon. Therefore, I am strongly decided to apply all the skills acquired throughout my career to the economic growth of Armenia.




RFE/RL Armenian Report – 08/16/2022

                                        Tuesday, 
Leaving Aghavno, Returning To Zabux: Hopes And Fears As Armenia Hands Over 
Village To Azerbaijan
 14:10 GMT
        • By RFE/RL's Armenian Service
RFE/RL's Azerbaijani Service
Azerbaijanis fled Zabux during the first war in the 1990s, when it came under 
control of Armenian forces along with the rest of the surrounding Lachin 
district and was renamed Aghavno.
AGHAVNO/ZABUX, Azerbaijan -- Posters and children's drawings are peeled off 
walls and packed away. Books and other objects are boxed.
All the school material is to be shipped out from the village in a strategic 
strip of land adjacent to breakaway Nagorno-Karabakh. That deemed not worth 
salvaging is burned.
Under terms of a cease-fire deal that ended the short war in and around 
Nagorno-Karabakh in 2020 between Azerbaijani soldiers and ethnic Armenian 
forces, Armenians are due to hand control of the village they call Aghavno, but 
Azerbaijanis name Zabux, over to Azerbaijani forces.
The village is located along the Lachin corridor, a strip of land that connects 
what Azerbaijanis call simply Karabakh to Armenia and which is now under control 
of Russian troops deployed to the region in the wake of the conflict two years 
ago.
Now, Azerbaijan has built a new roadway -- just south of the old one -- that 
will allow them to retake control of ethnic Armenian villages within the strip.
The lack of such an alternative road in 2020 delayed the transfer of Lachin. And 
with the new road now largely in place, the transfer is expected to go ahead 
although there has been no official announcement from Baku.
However, people living in the region have been urged to vacate their homes 
before August 25 by the de facto local ethnic Armenian authorities, although 
Baku has not issued any calls for them to leave.
Ethnic Azeris fled villages in the Lachin region in 1992, when ethnic Armenian 
fighters occupied it. Even 30 years later, some still hope to return to their 
homes. But many ethnic Armenians in the village they call Aghavno are defiant, 
some saying they will remain until forced out.
"We are thinking of taking the children out, but we adults will stay until the 
last day, until the last hour, we will see how they will carry out the purchase 
and sale, or whatever else you call it," Anush Arakelian recently told RFE/RL's 
Armenian Service.
WATCH: Thirty years after being displaced amid conflict from their native 
village, some Azerbaijanis still dream of returning to Zabux.
Displaced Azerbaijanis Dream Of Returning To Their Native Village
The town's current fate is linked to the conflict in 2020, when more than 6,500 
people were killed in 44 days of fighting. It ended with a Russian-brokered deal 
under which Armenian forces withdrew from swathes of territory they had occupied 
since 1992-93.
Moscow has sent some 2,000 troops to the region, deployed to the areas of 
breakaway Nagorno-Karabakh still held by ethnic Armenians after their forces 
withdrew.
Part of that force was deployed along the Lachin corridor. Once the new road 
opens, that force is supposed to move there too, ostensibly to guard it.
The terms of the cease-fire stipulated that a plan to build a new road to 
replace the current corridor be presented within three years, bypassing Lachin 
city, Zabux, and Sus, as they are called by the Azerbaijanis.
However, Azerbaijan is far ahead of that schedule, announcing on August 11 that 
it had completed its estimated 20-kilometer stretch of a 32-kilometer road.
There is some question over when the road will be officially opened, as Armenia 
has just started construction on its several-kilometer section of the new road, 
it was reported on August 11.
Whatever the date, Mariam Hakobain told RFE/RL that she will stay to the very 
last day, when the Russian troops leave. "We as a nation stood up and committed 
suicide," she said, adding that only nine families wanted to stay elsewhere in 
Nagorno-Karabakh.
"We are crushed," Hakobian said.
Anush Arakelian, an Armenian-language and literature teacher, says it's become a 
virtual ghost town with what activity there is, largely cars driving in and 
shipping out personal effects.
Lida Smbatian can't imagine abandoning her home, especially the strawberries, 
vegetables, and flowers she has tended in her garden since moving there in 1994. 
"All my joy was in my strawberries, in my strawberry field, in the grapes. See, 
the tomatoes are ripe now," she lamented in comments to RFE/RL's Armenian 
Service.
To help them find new homes, the Armenian government has promised each family 10 
million drams (around $24,700), a sum many say won't buy much in Armenia. That 
financial aid is supposed to come in the form of a voucher.
Ethnic Armenians in the region, however, have said they've been told they will 
only get that voucher if they leave their homes as is. That is, with no visible 
damage, as happened in late 2020 when several homes were damaged by their 
homeowners before being vacated in the Kalbacar district ahead of a deadline 
dictated by the Russian-brokered cease-fire.
Footage has emerged showing what appears to be an ethnic Armenian in Aghavno 
setting alight his own house, a video that has gone viral on YouTube. A series 
of fires have also been reported along the road in Lachin in recent days. 
Although it is unclear what caused the blazes, Azerbaijanis have been quick to 
blame fleeing Armenians for them.
While the deadline has stirred dread among the ethnic Armenians living there, it 
has rekindled hope for the ethnic Azerbaijanis who were displaced 30 years ago, 
some now hoping to return to Zabux. "We escaped under dire circumstances. We 
couldn't find a car. We got into one car, then another. Without clothes. 
Everything was left to the Armenians," said Sitara Mammadova, now 90 years old. 
"We couldn't take anything. We came here and somehow coped," explained 
Mammadova, who now lives in a former boarding house outside Baku, adding that 
she still hopes to return to Zabux.
Aghavno/Zabux
The conflict over the region erupted in the late 1980s in the waning days of the 
Soviet Union. All-out war ended in 1994, with more than 30,000 people killed and 
more than 1 million people displaced, mainly ethnic Azeris.
At the end of the fighting in 1994, ethnic Armenian forces were in full control 
or partial control of Nagorno-Karabakh and seven adjacent districts. In the 2020 
fighting, Baku took back the seven districts as well as part of the Karabakh 
territory.
Isaq Mamishov is another displaced Azerbaijani yearning to return. "There are 
some [Azerbaijanis] who lost their entire family [in the 1990s conflict]," he 
told RFE/RL's Azerbaijani Service in July.
"How can their children live side by side with Armenians again? Yes, it is true 
that we are a peace-loving nation.... And if our president gives an order, our 
nation will go for it. Even if it's hard, we will accept that, because we all 
love our president. We will follow what he says. But it won't work," Mamishov 
added pessimistically.
Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, whose popularity was boosted by the 2020 
conflict to levels he has rarely enjoyed during his nearly two decades of 
authoritarian rule, has suggested those remaining in villages in Lachin were 
"war criminals."
"We hear news coming from there that someone says they will stay and will not 
leave. It is their business, but they are war criminals. They should not test 
our patience. Let them leave by their own will, we don't care where they go," 
Aliyev was quoted as saying by Azerbaijani media on August 12.
Azerbaijanis fled Zabux during the first war in the 1990s, when it came under 
control of Armenian forces along with the rest of the surrounding Lachin 
district. Renamed Aghavno it was rebuilt with financial backing from Armenian 
diaspora organizations and populated by Armenians, some from Armenia and others 
from Armenian communities in Syria and Lebanon.
As the handover looms, tensions have been building on the two countries' shared 
border since May 2021, when Armenia protested what it described as an incursion 
by Azerbaijani troops into its territory. Azerbaijan has insisted that its 
soldiers were deployed in areas where the border has yet to be demarcated.
A loaded truck leaves Aghavno on August 10.
Sporadic clashes have taken place in the last year, the latest coming on August 
3. De facto ethnic Armenian military leaders said drone attacks carried out by 
Azerbaijani forces killed two of their troops and wounded another 19.
Russia accused Baku of violating the shaky truce, while the United States and 
the European Union urged an "immediate" cessation of hostilities.
Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, its military mission to the region has faced 
even greater challenges than before, with criticism coming from both sides. In 
an apparent bid to improve its image, the Russian mission's head invited several 
local activists and politicians for a rare meeting on August 4 to discuss the 
recent incidents, the International Crisis Group noted.
Despite the uptick in tensions, back in her village, Smbatian expresses hope 
that her garden -- and its harvest -- can be a token of friendship to its new 
occupants. Vegetables from the garden should be ripe for picking sometime in the 
fall, and the home will likely be occupied by Azerbaijanis, Smbatian explained.
"I don't know who will eat it or whether they will be cursing or blessing us."
Written by Tony Wesolowsky based on reporting by RFE/RL's Armenian and 
Azerbaijani services
Armenia Declares Two Days Of Mourning For Market Blast Victims
Armenia - Rescue workers continue to remove the rubble at the site of a major 
explosion and fire in the Surmalu shopping center in Yerevan. .
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian has signed a decree declaring two days 
of national mourning on August 17-18 for the victims of a massive fire at a 
Yerevan market caused by a powerful explosion at a fireworks warehouse last 
Sunday.
Armenian authorities said at least 16 people, including a child and a pregnant 
woman, were killed in the explosion at the Surmalu shopping center, with another 
three persons still being unaccounted for as of Tuesday evening.
A total of 61 people were injured in the incident in which officials see no 
evidence of terrorism.
The Ministry of Emergency Situations said earlier on August 16 that the fire at 
the sprawling market just off the capital’s center had been contained, but 
rescuers continued to look for survivors or victims under the rubble of a 
partially collapsed three-story warehouse building that authorities say is shaky.
Earlier, it was reported that investigators are looking into a possible breach 
of fire-safety regulations, which the market’s manager denied in a brief 
telephone interview with RFE/RL’s Armenian Service today.
The Investigative Committee said that interrogations of survivors and 
eyewitnesses were underway, but said there were no suspects or accused at the 
moment as part of the criminal probe launched in connection with the incident.
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian visited the scene of the 
search-and-rescue operations on Monday, but made no public statements 
immediately.
A number of Pashinian’s political allies, however, have advocated a ban on the 
sale of fireworks in Armenia in the aftermath of the tragedy.
Russian, Armenian Defense Chiefs Discuss Moscow’s Peacekeeping Mission In 
Karabakh
Armenian and Russian defense ministers, Suren Papikian and Sergei Shoigu (file 
photo).
Armenian Defense Minister Suren Papikian discussed with his Russian counterpart 
Sergei Shoigu the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh and the activities of Russian 
peacekeepers in the region as they held talks on the sidelines of a Moscow 
conference on Tuesday.
The Russian Defense Ministry quoted Shoigu as saying during his meeting with 
Papikian that “we have things to discuss, there are traditional issues related 
to our military-technical and military cooperation.”
“And, of course, it is issues related to the activities of our peacekeeping 
contingent, which performs tasks in Nagorno-Karabakh. We continue to believe 
just as you do that the main stabilizing factor is the ceasefire along the 
entire line of contact,” the Russian defense minister said.
Shoigu also reportedly thanked his Armenian counterpart for attending the 
opening of the International Army Games and the Army-2022 International 
Military-Technical Forum, as well as for participating in the Moscow Conference 
on International Security.
Papikian, as quoted by Russia’s Defense Ministry, noted, for his part, “the high 
level of bilateral Armenian-Russian allied cooperation” that he said was 
evidenced by his second meeting with Shoigu since the beginning of this year.
“This meeting is very important for us. We highly appreciate the achieved level 
of Armenian-Russian cooperation, as well as the role of the Russian presence in 
the South Caucasus,” the Armenian defense minister said.
During an August 4 weekly cabinet meeting in Yerevan, Armenian Prime Minister 
Nikol Pashinian criticized the Russian peacekeeping operation in 
Nagorno-Karabakh following the most serious fighting along the line of contact 
that left two Armenian and one Azerbaijani soldiers dead.
Pashinian urged Russia to do more to prevent further ceasefire violations, 
charging that Baku has been stepping up such violations despite the presence of 
Russian peacekeeping troops in the region.
The Armenian prime minister held a phone call with Russian President Vladimir 
Putin several days later. The readout of the call released by Pashinian’s office 
did not specifically mention the issue of peacekeepers as being discussed by the 
two leaders. It only said that “issues related to the situation around 
Nagorno-Karabakh, as well as ensuring security on the Armenian-Azerbaijani 
border were discussed.”
During a news briefing in Moscow on August 11, Ivan Nechayev, a spokesperson for 
the Russian Foreign Ministry, rejected what he described as “separate criticism” 
of Russia’s peacekeeping operation in Nagorno-Karabakh, stressing that “Russian 
peacekeepers continue to be engaged in active work, taking necessary efforts for 
stabilization on the ground.”
Moscow has deployed about 2,000 peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh since November 
2020 after brokering a ceasefire between Armenia and Azerbaijan that put an end 
to a deadly six-week war over the region.
Russian servicemen, in particular, control a five-kilometer-wide strip of land 
known as the Lachin corridor linking Nagorno-Karabakh with Armenia that is to 
change its route in the weeks to come when Azerbaijan is expected to take 
control of several villages along the current road.
Yerevan Market Director Denies Breach Of Fire-Safety Regulations
        • Naira Bulghadarian
Armenia - Rescue workers sift through the rubble searching for possible 
survivors and recovering bodies at the site of a Yerevan shopping center where a 
fireworks warehouse exploded on August 14, triggering a massive fire.
The director of a Yerevan market where an apparent fireworks warehouse explosion 
last Sunday killed more than a dozen people has denied any breach of fire-safety 
regulations.
A fire inspection body, however, insisted after the incident at Surmalu, a 
sprawling shopping center just off downtown Yerevan where at least 16 people 
were killed and 61 injured in a massive fire triggered by the blast, that two 
dozen violations identified during an inspection conducted in the spring of 2021 
had not been eliminated by the market’s administration.
Talking to RFE/RL’s Armenian Service briefly on the phone on Tuesday, Irina 
Madatova, the manager of Surmalu, asserted that they did eliminate the 
violations. She did not elaborate.
The fire inspection body said it gave Surmalu until the end of last year to 
comply with city planning norms and fire-safety rules at an area of ​more than 
3,000 square meters. After that, no new inspection was carried out, it added.
Vardan Tadevosian, a spokesperson for Armenia’s Investigative Committee, said 
that about two dozen people, most of them survivors of the fire, have been 
questioned so far. He did not say why no one from the managers of Surmalu or the 
owner of the market have been interrogated. According to the official, there are 
still no suspects or accused in the criminal investigation launched after the 
explosion.
Vardan Tadevosian
“Most of the interrogated are tenants who themselves suffered in this incident. 
The identities of owners of pavilions operating in the territory of the shopping 
center are being clarified,” Tadevosian said.
Investigators together with experts are also examining the scene of the 
explosion and fire, he added.
“I don’t think that investigators can report information so quickly about what 
caused the explosions, as search and rescue work is still ongoing on the scene,” 
the spokesman for the Investigation Committee said.
While it is still unclear what exactly caused fireworks at Surmalu’s warehouse 
to detonate, Armenia’s Minister of Emergency Situations Armen Pambukhchian told 
reporters on Monday that authorities “practically ruled out” terrorism as a 
cause of the incident.
“Watching the footage of the explosion, we almost rule out such a theory [that a 
bomb had been planted], because first there was smoke, then fire covering some 
small area, then came an explosion,” he said. “Quite a large amount of explosive 
materials was stored there.”
Razmik Zakharian, an 86-year-old businessman and former politician who owns 
Surmalu, was not available for contact immediately.
Reposted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL
Copyright (c) 2022 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc.
1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.
 

Bomb alert at metro stations, important civilian and military facilities in Yerevan

Public Radio of Armenia
Aug 14 2022

On August 14, at 4:46 pm the National Center for Crisis Management received information about explosive devices installed in all metro stations, important military and civilian facilities, in all shopping malls, in the zoo, at Baghramyan 19, in St. Grigor Lusavorich Church.

The canine and rescue teams of the Ministry of Emergency Situations have been dispatched to the scenes.

Minister of sports awards gold medals to Armenian chess team for Olympiad success

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 17:09,

YEREVAN, AUGUST 11, ARMENPRESS. The Minister of Education, Science, Culture and Sports Vahram Dumanyan awarded gold medals to the Armenian men’s team for winning silver medal at the 44th FIDE Chess Olympiad.

“I am proud of your victory and I want you to be sure that we are ready to help with whatever we can to develop and advance the sector. I wish you new achievements. We thank everyone who had contribution in this victory,” Dumanyan said.

Dumanyan’s deputy Karen Giloyan said that before going into the tournament they thought that even finishing in the top five would be a good result, whereas the team captured 2nd place.

Congressional alarms ringing amid renewed Azerbaijani attacks

Public Radio of Armenia
Aug 10 2022

In the wake of renewed Azerbaijani attacks – on the eve of Aliyev’s most recent bid to ethnically-cleanse Artsakh and sever its links to Armenia – Members of Congress are demanding that the Biden Administration confront Baku’s belligerence by cutting off U.S. military aid to Azerbaijan, reported the Armenian National Committee of America (ANCA).

“The Biden Administration – using our American tax dollars – is today materially contributing to the Azerbaijan military’s ethnic-cleansing of Artsakh, morally emboldening dictator Ilham Aliyev as he seeks to strangle Artsakh by cutting off the Lachin Corridor,” said ANCA Executive Director Aram Hamparian.  “We thank each Senator and Representative who has raised alarms about Azerbaijan’s actions and join with them in demanding an end to American complicity in Azerbaijan’s genocidal drive to rid Armenians from their ancestral, indigenous Artsakh homeland.”

Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chair Bob Menendez (D-NJ) called for the withdrawal of Azerbaijan troops, tweeting “Azerbaijan’s deadly attacks in Nagorno-Karabakh are not only in violation of the ceasefire but also an unacceptable continuation of its recent pattern of aggression. Azerbaijani forces must withdraw from the region & end hostilities against the people of Nagorno-Karabakh.”

Senate Foreign Relations Committee Republican Marco Rubio concurred, noting “Troubling violence is escalating in the ethnic Armenian Nagorno-Karabakh region. #Azerbaijan must immediately put a stop to this conflict and work with #Armenia to reach a peaceful end to this dispute.”

Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Jack Reed (D-RI), called Azerbaijan’s public relations campaign rejoicing in the killing of two Artsakh servicemen “reprehensible.”  In his tweet, Sen. Reed stated, “I am deeply troubled by reports of a return to violence in Nagorno-Karabakh, especially the loss of life. For the Azerbaijani Ministry of Defense to release footage of their air strike, as though it is something to be proud of, is reprehensible.”

Joining Congressional Armenian Caucus Co-Chairs Frank Pallone (D-NJ) and Jackie Speier in condemning Azerbaijan’s attacks last week are House Intelligence Committee Chair Adam Schiff (D-CA), and Representatives Katherine Clark (D-MA), Anna Eshoo (D-CA), Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-IL), Brenda Lawrence (D-MI), Linda Sanchez (D-CA), Jan Schakowsky (D-IL), Brad Sherman (D-CA), and Lori Trahan (D-MA).

Rep. Clark tweeted, “Yet again, Azerbaijan is shamelessly violating the ceasefire agreement with Armenia. The State Department must hold the Aliyev regime accountable for its attacks on Artsakh. It is vital that we stand up for the innocent lives at risk, the sovereignty of Armenia, & secure peace.”

Rep. Eshoo noted, “Azerbaijan’s deadly drone strikes against Artsakh are a blatant violation of the 2020 ceasefire. I strongly condemn Azerbaijan’s aggression & urge
@StateDept to use every diplomatic tool available to prevent further escalation, including suspending U.S. military aid to Azerbaijan.”

Rep. Krishnamoorthi emphasized that “There is no place for the violent attacks that we are seeing from Azerbaijan. I urge the Aliyev regime to cease all attacks on Artsakh, and to return to the negotiating table to find a peaceful settlement for all parties.”

Rep. Lawrence urged the State Department to “use every diplomatic tool at our disposal to prevent further atrocities like this attack.”

Rep. Sanchez was disturbed by news of the attacks and condemned Azerbaijan’s unprovoked actions, tweeting, “I am disturbed by reports that Azerbaijan has violated its ceasefire agreement & launched an unprovoked attack on the people of Artsakh. I strongly condemn Azerbaijan’s aggression, & I join the international community in calling for an immediate end to hostilities in the region.”

Rep. Schakowsky demanded Azerbaijani accountability “for yet again violating its ceasefire agreement with Armenia. I urge the State Department to use all of its diplomatic tools to hold the Aliyev regime accountable for its attacks on Artsakh and to prevent future atrocities.”

Rep. Schiff issued a statement on the Azerbaijani attacks, noting, in part, “In this year’s national defense funding legislation and for years past, I have repeatedly called for the immediate release of all Armenian prisoners of war and captured civilians, tens of millions in humanitarian aid and economic assistance for Artsakh, a full prohibition on U.S. security assistance to Azerbaijan, and renewed American engagement through the OSCE Minsk Group to reinvigorate the peace process. Each of these actions is critical to defending the Armenian people, and sending a resolute message that America can and will defend democracy around the world.”

Rep. Sherman was emphatic about the disastrous effects of closing the Lachin corridor, tweeting, “Allowing Azerbaijan to cut off the Lachin corridor would jeopardize the security & freedom of ethnic Armenians living in #Artsakh. It is not enough to just condemn this ongoing aggression – the United States must model its values by ending U.S. military aid to Azerbaijan.”

Responding to constituent concerns, Rep. Trahan tweeted, “I’ve heard from many Armenian Americans in #MA3 who are rightly outraged by Azerbaijan’s latest violent attack that has led to tragic and unnecessary loss of life. The U.S. and our allies must condemn this violence and work diplomatically to prevent future escalation.”

Congressional concerns come in the wake of Azerbaijan’s demand that Armenian residents of Aghavno and Berdzor – located in the strategic Lachin corridor connecting Armenia and Artsakh – leave their homes by August 25th.  This is the latest in President Aliyev’s efforts to ethnically cleanse Artsakh’s Armenian population.  The Lachin corridor is Artsakh’s lifeline to Armenia and the world, serving as the primary artery for travel as well as communication, trade, and energy.  Aliyev’s proposed route from Armenia to Artsakh traverses primarily Azerbaijani-occupied territory, making travel unsafe for Armenians and impeding normal trade and communication.  

Mayor of Berdzor: People are packing, but so far no family has left Berdzor

NEWS.am
Armenia – Aug 8 2022

The residents of Aghavno and Berdzor settlements of Artsakh, who were given time by the Artsakh authorities to leave their homes by August 25, are packing their belongings these days, but so far no family has left the settlements.

Many have not yet decided where they will move, whether they will move to Artsakh or settle in Armenia. A total of 204 residents will be evacuated from Aghavno; 174 remain in Berdzor, where 2,000 residents lived before the war. Sus village will also come under Azerbaijani control, but there are no residents there now. The residents of Berdzor and Aghavno cannot reconcile themselves to the idea of leaving their homes built by their own hands to the enemy.

“The intention to move to Armenia or to move to Artsakh is mixed, at the moment people do not know what to do, any decision can be changed. The situation is unresolved like everyone else, I haven’t thought about it yet, I don’t have time, I will make a decision in a calmer state,” Berdzor Mayor Narek Aleksanyan told NEWS.am.

A few days ago, Artsakh’s Minister of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure Hayk Khanumyan informed residents that they must liberate Aghavno and Berdzor by August 25. According to the minister, residents will be resettled in housing before they can buy an apartment in Artsakh and Armenia.

“If they are resettled, they will receive a certificate to buy a house, and before receiving the certificate, they will receive rent reimbursement,” the minister said.

According to the Berdzor mayor, the Armenian government allocates up to 8 million drams to buy an apartment in Yerevan, 10 million drams in the marzes and 12 million drams in Artsakh.

Chess Olympiad: Armenia stays in the lead as the US drops out of contention

Aug 7 2022

But it’s the young Indian starlets who are stealing the show.

Armenia drew with the United States and won against India to maintain their grip on first place. The US team went on to lose against India’s second side as Gukesh continued his incredible hot streak, scoring a full 8 points out of 8.

One of the most notable storylines of this Olympiad is just how strong the Armenian team turned out to be even after their strongest player, Levon Aronian, swapped federations and moved over to the United States. They are no strangers to strong results at this event, with three different gold medals in the country’s cabinet in past Olympiads, but this one would perhaps be the biggest surprise.

Armenia’s win over India in Round 8 came courtesy of Gabriel Sargissian’s win on the top board with three other draws in the match. No wonder he cracked a little smile when the game was over: had they drawn the match, it would have been a three-way tie between Armenia, Uzbekistan, and India-2 with just three rounds to go. It was a tense affair with mutual time trouble, and it was this endgame position where his opponent, Pentala Harikrishna, went wrong with the Black pieces on the 96th move with Nb4:

The point is that Black cannot protect the c5 pawn, the pride and joy of his position, and its loss is catastrophic in the position as White just gobbles up everything else. The computer’s only suggested continuation is the counter-intuitive a5, which offers Black a crucial extra tempo to run his king up the board and blockade the c5 square, with the knight covering b4. Since the bishop is on the wrong color, there would have been no way forward for the Armenian player. This, of course, came after their draw with the United States, a match that was essentially decided by Sam Shankland’s catastrophic error.

In a difficult but potentially holdable endgame, he anticipated Qh1+ in time trouble and missed the fact that his opponent played Qg2 instead. His move was illegal (resulting in a time penalty), but worse yet, the touch-move rule meant that he had to move with his king, and all legal king moves happened to lead to a losing position.

16-year-old Dommaraju Gukesh continued his remarkable form, scoring yet another win to maintain a perfect record. This time, his victim was from the absolute chess elite in the form of Fabiano Caruana, who’s been having a torrid time at this Olympiad and fell out of the top 10 rankings in the world for the first time since March 2013.

Despite Caruana’s advantage in the opening, the game turned into a slaughter by move 30 as the White king was under a devastating assault. The match ended in a comprehensive 3-1 victory for India-2, a score that could have been even more lopsided had Nihal Sarin had a bit more time and composure in a winning position against Levon Aronian on board 3.

Before the event, many commentators wondered whether this young, explosive India-2 team featuring four teenagers could outperform the nation’s top squad. They’re now two points ahead of them (and the only ones with a chance to overhaul Armenia of the three home rosters.) The way the event’s been going so far, this very much looks like the first sign of a changing of the guard at the highest levels of elite chess. (India’s first and third team actually met up in round seven, and the India-1 squad scored a fairly comprehensive 3-1 victory, courtesy of wins on the lower boards.) Back in January 2019, Gukesh stated in an interview that he wanted to become the world champion. This rings very, very different today.

Round 9 will see India-2 go up against Azerbaijan, meaning Gukesh will now have to face Shakriyar Mamedyarov with the White pieces to try and maintain his perfect record. Meanwhile, Armenia faces Uzbekistan to try and keep its lead.

Despite starting high on the rating charts and having an outside chance for a medal finish in the absence of Russia and China at this year’s Olympiad, the Norwegian team has not lived up to pre-tournament expectations despite Magnus Carlsen’s record of six wins and two draws on the top board. A win over North Macedonia was followed by a draw with Slovakia, putting them in the 35-57th position with just three rounds to go. The round was effectively won on board one as 2594-rated Jergus Pechac managed to hold Carlsen to a draw with the Black pieces, excellently navigating an endgame to earn half a point.

The abdicating world champion missed a trick on move 17 by playing d4 instead of f4, which would have been a more damaging way to remove Black’s e5 pawn and open up the structure more favorably. Instead, the d-file opened up, and mass exchange of pieces followed, and Black had no problem holding the position in the ensuing endgame.

In what could be a remarkable Olympiad for the home team, India-1 continues to maintain a lead over the field in the Women’s section of the event. A hard-fought draw with India, the other top seed at the event, leaves them a full point clear of Georgia, a team they’ve previously defeated 3-1, after their crushing victory over Armenia’s women’s team.

In this section, Poland’s Oliwia Kiolbasa is the standout individual performer with an 868 score of her own, with a performance rating of 2984 for the time being.

It’s truly crunch time now at the Olympiad: with three rounds of play to go, the window of opportunity is beginning to close for the chasing pack in both sections. The tension keeps growing, and fewer players can manage to maintain their perfect scores.