Observing Protocol With An Elder Of Zion

OBSERVING PROTOCOL WITH AN ELDER OF ZION

Christopher Hitchens Watch
/
May 25, 2009 Monday 10:02 AM EST

May 25, 2009 (Christopher Hitchens Watch delivered by Newstex) —
Shimon Peres with his old friend Henry Kissinger. Both have been
compared to Machiavelli, but this is a unfair on the Florentine, who
was a true philosopher, a genuine Renaissance Man, and nothing like
as Machiavellian in his dealings as these two old rogues have been.

Early this May, Christopher Hitchens sat down for an interview with
Israeli President Shimon Peres.He writes about the encounter in the
Slate column: President of Which Israel? I was looking forward to
reading it because Hitch is unafraid of asking candid questions and
because Peres has a lot questionable history behind him. But alas, it
was not to be. Hitch settled instead for a round of softball questions,
and the column is essentially an exercises in selling Peres as a
moderate and pragmatic leader than Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu,
in case nobody had noticed that. But the lack of bark, let alone bite,
in this piece is palpable, and Hitch makes an excuse of sorts, although
not an apology, for his lack of aggression in the warm-up paragraph.

If we’d had time, I would have wanted to ask him about the days in
1956, of which he is now the sole living witness, when the governments
of Britain, France, and Israel met secretly in a French villa to plan
the invasion and occupation of Egypt. I should also have liked to
ask him about his other achievement at the Israeli Defense Ministry,
when Israel became the possessor of a nuclear facility at Dimona,
in the Negev Desert.

I too would have liked Hitch to have asked about Peres’s youthful
exploits. He was born Szymon Perski in 1923 in Vishnevo (Wiszniewo),
a small town in a part of Poland that is now in Belarus. The family
moved to Palestine in 1934, which was fortunate for them as the bulk
of the Jewish population of his hometown disappeared during the Second
World War, mostly murdered by the SS.

It would have been interesting to hear about Peres talking about
Mandate Palestine and the early days of the State of Israel. He was
militarily active in the years leading up to the foundation of Israel,
joining the Jewish paramilitary organization Haganah in 1947. Allied
with the British, the Haganah had fought against the Urgun, which was
violently anti-Arab and anti-British. But in 1946, while these two
groups were working as allies, Urgun operatives disguised as Arabs
bombed the central offices of the British Mandatory Authorities of
Palestine at the King David Hotel in Jerusalem, killing 91 people. This
atrocity ended the alliance.

Peres was active in government from the early years of the State of
Israel. In 1954, as Director General of the Ministry of Defense,
he played a central role in the failed covert operation in Egypt
that become known as the Lavon Affair, in which Israeli military
intelligence planted bombs in Egyptian, American and British-owned
targets in Egypt in the hope of blaming "the Muslim Brotherhood, the
Communists, or other unspecified malcontents. As Wikipedia has it,
"The spies acted seemingly without Prime Minister Moshe Sharett’s
knowledge, and Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion would later resign
from his post after being unable to get the full investigation he
insisted on." Peres resigned as Deputy Defense Minister in 1965 when
his involvement in Lavon was revealed.

In the fifties, Peres was influential in establishing the Dimona
nuclear reactor that produced the materials for Israel’s still
undeclared nuclear arsenal, and he was also one of the prime
Israeli architects of the plan to seize the Suez (NYSE:SZEZY) Canal
in 1956. But lamentably, current events took up the bulk of the
interview, although the recent Gaza offensive with more than a thousand
Palestinians dead and tens of thousands wounded and traumatized didn’t
rate a mention in Hitch’s column. Instead the main issue was one that
appears close to Hitch’s heart: the potentially nuclear-armed theocracy
in Iran and its pursuit of "hegemony" in the Middle East. Apparently,
Peres would like to reach an agreement with the Palestinians on their
future state, so that the Arab world will be able to make peace with
Israel and unite against the Iranians.

Hitch asked very delicately about whether Peres had remarked that Iran,
too, could be "wiped off the map."

With complete suavity, he assured me that this was meant only as a
warning to the Iranian regime that it was not all-powerful.

This response is intriguing because Peres has publicly compared
President Ahmadinejad and his call to "wipe Israel off the map"
to the genocidal threats against European Jewry made by Chancellor
Hitler in the years prior to the Holocaust. Thanks to Juan Cole,
Hitch and the rest of us are well aware that Ahmadinejad has made
no such remark about Israel, but Peres has done so about Iran. One
wonders what he intends to use for the eraser.

Then, Hitch sketched his and Peres’s shared perception of an Iran
that has ambitions of regional dominance and which consists of "33
million Persians along with an equal number of minorities who are
poorly treated," which allows him to pose the question: "How will
about 33 million Persians, then, be able to rule over perhaps 300
million Arabs in the rest of the Middle East?"

Hitch’s grasp of Middle East population statistics appears to be
on a par with the late Charlton Heston’s knowledge of the region’s
geography. As of the 2006 census, Iran’s population was officially
70,049,262 and it has grown since, yet Hitch opts for the doubtful
figure of 66 million from the CIA, an organization he doesn’t usually
consider reliable. As for 300 million Arabs in the Middle East,
even if for the sake of argument we include Egypt, it is hard to
find two thirds of that number. Of the 340 million people living
in Arab League nations, 80 million live in Egypt and a further 130
million live in other African nations. But neither mathematical nor
geographical detail have have ever been among Hitch’s strong points.

The idea of a potentially nuclear-armed Iran having ambitions to
recreate the Persian Empire of Xerxes and Darius is about as bizarre
as the idea of a nuclear-armed Israel wanting to revive the Kingdom
of Soloman and David or of a flying carpet-equipped Al-Qaeda wanting
to bringing back the Caliphate. The fertile imaginations of those
who dream up such fantasies are matched only by the gullibility of
those who swallow them.

I had particularly wanted Hitch, who is genuinely concerned about the
risks of nuclear war, as can be seen from his frequent drawing of our
attention to the possibility that Iran might be clandestinely planning
to develop its own nuclear deterrent, to ask Peres about his role
in Israel’s nuclear weapons program and about the country’s alleged
stockpile of about 80 undeclared nuclear warheads and its refusal
to sign the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty. No such luck there,
but intriguingly Hitch describes Dimona as Peres’s "other achievement
at the Israeli Defense Ministry." I can’t quite work out whether this
kudo was written tongue in cheek.

Sadly too, Hitch didn’t find the time or the courage to put in a word
for Mordechai Vanunu, the whistleblower who told the world about the
underground nuclear weapons center at Dimona and was then kidnapped
in Italy in 1986 by Mossad on Peres’s orders " "Bring the son of
a bitch back here" " and has since been subject to imprisonment and
persecution by the Israeli State for the past 23 years " which is even
longer than the Burmese State has been persecuting Aung San Suu Kyi.

Israeli President Peres and Turkish President Edrogan had a public
bust up at this year’s World Economic Forum in Davos after Peres made
an impassioned defence of Israel’s Christmas and New Year offensive
against Hamas in Gaza.

And lastly but by no means leastly, I was terribly disappointed
that Hitch rolled over like an Irish Setter in giving Peres a free
pass on the question of the Armenian Genocide. In what must be one
of his biggest displays of Hitchpocricy ever, our boy wrote three
Turkey-bashing Slate pieces in three successive weeks (April 6, 13, &
20) slamming President Obama for not pushing Turkey sufficiently on
its failure to recognize the Armenian Genocide issue, then faulting
him for not insulting the Turks when speaking at their parliament in
Ankara, and finally declaring that "Turkey wants all the privileges of
NATO and EU membership but also wishes to continue occupying Cyprus,
denying Kurdish rights, and lying about the Armenian genocide." Then,
just three weeks after the last of these tantrums, Hitch has the
gall to cite Israel’s military alliance with Turkey as a reason that
"helps explain Peres’ strongly held view that the sufferings of the
Armenians should not be equated with the Jewish Holocaust."

Last time I looked, the US had a military alliance with Turkey
too. I believe it was called NATO. Perhaps that helps explain Obama’s
strongly held view that there are other ways of dealing with one’s
allies than waving accusations of century-old genocide in their
faces. If it is acceptable for the Israeli President to lie about
the Armenian genocide, and OK for Hitch to deny it a capital "G",
what grounds does the Great Contrarian have for lecturing the US
President or the Turkish Government on how to deal with it?

http://christopherhitchenswatch.blogspot.com

ARF Calls For End To Turkey-Armenia Talks

ARF CALLS FOR END TO TURKEY-ARMENIA TALKS

Yerkir
May 27th, 2009

YEREVAN (Yerkir)–The Armenian Revolutionary Federation Supreme Council
of Armenia issued an announcement Wednesday urging the Serzh Sarkisian
administration to immediately end its negotiations with Turkey.

At a press conference, ARF Supreme Council of Armenia chairman Armen
Rustamian read the statement, which called the diplomatic efforts of
the past year to normalize relations with Turkey a failure.

Below is a translated text of the announcement:

In assessing the year-long process to normalize Armenia-Turkey
relations and the current situation created in that arena, the Armenian
Revolutionary Federation Supreme Council of Armenia finds that the
so-called "soccer diplomacy" effort has failed. Thus we affirm that:

* Until now the settlement process has served and is serving only
Turkey’s interests. On the one hand, Turkey is deflecting the
international community’s attention from its internal problems and
hypocritically acting as an advocate of establishing normal relations
with neighbors. On the other hand, the Armenian agenda is being driven
out of the international arena step by step.

* By gravely violating agreements, Turkey effectively has not
dropped its preconditions. Furthermore it is attempting to dictate
conditions on the Karabakh conflict resolution process, visibly taking
Azerbaijan’s side and obscuring the Armenian-Azeri conflict.

* The preconditions presented by Turkey are not only unacceptable
but are also illegal. They insult our national dignity and endanger
the future of our dual Armenian states and our the Armenian people.

* In reality, Turkey is continuing its anti-Armenian policies, while,
at the same time, attempting to play the international community. It
is evident that the opening of the border which it closed is its
international responsibility and cannot serve as leverage or an
opportunity to force preconditions on Armenia.

* At this juncture, Armenia and the Armenian people must prove that
despite the blockade by Turkey, they can put forward bold political
and economic policies and realize them, becoming a vital force in
the region and a developed country, without compromising our national
interests.

Based on these, we call on the president of the Republic of Armenia
to reassess these policies and end the negotiations.

We believe that Armenian should be guided by the following approaches:
the only way to normalize relations between the two countries and
address any pending issues is for Turkey immediately to end the
land blockade to adhere to international norms as the relate to
establishment of diplomatic relations.

A Fresh One-Of-A-Kind Project In Bulgaria

A FRESH ONE-OF-A-KIND PROJECT IN BULGARIA

AZG Armenian Daily
27/05/2009

Armenian Genocide

Lucy Aram Setian is a young Armenian born and raised in
Sofia, Bulgaria. She has set up the website ^S HYPERLINK
" ; o ";
^U and is determined to fight for the Armenian Cause for as long
as it takes for justice to prevail. This is a fresh one-of-a-kind
project in Bulgaria, and she aims to make it multilingual to attract
a wider group of young people. She would like you to help invigorate
her blog by contributing your views and articles. Lucy is a student in
the German faculty of the Technical University of Sofia. She is also
an investigative journalist and works in the Zeitungsgruppe-Bulgarian
branch as an online editor of two of the most famous Bulgarian dailies
whose websites are and

We all know the importance of having Armenian journalists in foreign
media. She will sure appreciate any encouragement she can get.

http://www.armengenocide.org/&quot
http://www.armengenocide.org/&quot
http://www.24chasa.bg
http://www.trud.bg.

On Occasion Of 85th Birthday Of Charles Aznavour

ON OCCASION OF 85TH BIRTHDAY OF CHARLES AZNAVOUR

Noyan Tapan
May 22, 2009

YEREVAN, MAY 22, NOYAN TAPAN. The world-famous Armenian-French singer,
composer, poet and actor and all this is about the same man – Charles
Aznavour who celebrates his 85th birthday in Morter Homeland on
May 22nd.

Aznavour wrote his first song "I Am Drunk" in remote 1944. He composed
more than a thousand songs, the most famous ones being, in particular,
"The Drums of Love", "La Mamma", "This is the End", "Alleluia",
"Give Us Today" and others. He won international recognition as a
singer after a successful performance at Olimpia concert hall in
Paris in 1959.

C. Aznavour’s voice is considered "the most important vocal reality
of new times". The roles he played in films did not go unnoticed
either: in 1959 he won a "Crystal Star" award for his role in the film
"Head Against the Wall", while in 1961 he received "The Best Actor
of France" award. His roles in such films as "Shoot the Pianist" and
"The Passing of the Rhine" (1960), "Taxi For Tobrouk" and "The Devil
and the Ten Commandments" (1961) are also worth mentioning.

After the destructive 1988 Spitak earthquake, Aznavour wrote jontly
with Tiran Garvarentz the song "Pour toi Armenie" ("For You, Armenia")
which was performed by a grour of famous singers from various countries
and aroused international compassion for the terrible tragedy of our
small country.

Following that, the great singer started active charitable activity
in the homeland of his ancestors.

The Decree of May 5th, 2009 opened a new – diplomatic page in
Aznavour’s biography: by the decree of Armenian President Serzh
Sargsyan, Charles Aznavour is Armenia’s Ambassador Extraordinary and
Plenipotentiary to Switzerland, he is also Permanent Representative
of Armenia to international organizations in Geneva.

Aznavour enjoys general love of his compatriots in Armenia, the
Diaspora and Artsakh – it is no accident that a square was named
after the chansonier in Yerevan, the capital of All Armenians, and
his house-museum will open here in the autumn. A bronze statue of
the singer was erected in Gyumri.

A series of concerts "For You, Armenia" took place in Stepanakert
and Artsakh on May 17-22. The final concert will be given in Gyumri
on the birthday of the singer.

Born in 1924, to a family of Armenians who immigrated from Javakhk to
France, Charles Aznavourian (Aznavour) is undoubtedly the most famous
person out of the Armenians currently living in the world. People
both in Armenia and France consider him as their own.

Aznavour is one of those few lucky persons whose greatness was
acknowledged by mankind during their lifetime. When he turned 80,
it was announced that he would no longer give concerts. Thank God,
the reality is different, and we again have an opportunity to listen
and see the Great Singer on the stage.

President Of The National Assembly Hovik Abrahamyan Receives The Del

PRESIDENT OF THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY HOVIK ABRAHAMYAN RECEIVES THE DELEGATION OF THE HUNGARIAN PARLIAMENT

National Assembly of RA
May 22 2009
Armenia

On May 22 the President of the National Assembly Mr. Hovik Abrahamyan
received the delegation headed by the Chairman of the Committee on
European Affairs of the National Assembly of the Republic of Hungary
Mr. Matyas Eorsi.

The President of the Parliament registered with satisfaction the
enlivening, which is evident in the Armenian-Hungarian relations,
noting at the same time that the cooperation between the two
parliaments of the two countries is rather passive. Mr. H. Abrahamyan
underlined that he, as a President of the Parliament, will do his
utmost in activating those relations.

The interlocutors highly assessed the Eastern Partnership initiative
of the European Union. The NA President underlined that Armenia is
resolutely intended and will make use of all opportunities of political
and economic modernization given to the European Union in that process.

The Hungarian side in its turn expressed its willingness to be useful
and support Armenia in avoiding mistakes on the way of joining Armenia
to the European family.

"Optimistic Forecast: Stability And Peace In The Caucasus Will Come

"OPTIMISTIC FORECAST: STABILITY AND PEACE IN THE CAUCASUS WILL COME IN FORTHCOMING THREE- FIVE YEARS," SAYS TURKISH DIPLOMAT."

/PanARMENIAN.Net/
22.05.2009 19:18 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ There is a stirring within the Minsk process, and
all three co-chairpersons from France, Russia and the United States
have been exerting intense efforts in reaching a resolution regarding
the Nagorno-Karabakh dispute.

"These efforts are definitely noteworthy, and we strongly support
these efforts," a senior Turkish diplomat, speaking on condition of
anonymity, said on Thursday, Today’s Zaman reports.

According to him, the ongoing Turkish-Armenian reconciliation
process appeared to encounter problems last week; Armenian leaders
criticized Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdohan, during a visit to
Baku, for making the normalization of ties with Armenia conditional
on a settlement in Nagorno-Karabakh, and urged him not to interfere
in the settlement process.

"The Caucasus should not be considered solely from the aspect of being
a rich resource of energy. We are talking about a geography between
Europe and Asia – the two continents which are constantly expanding –
and a geography next to the Black Sea," said the diplomat adding that
"It would be optimistic to expect full regional stability and peace
in the Caucasus before the next three to five years".

South Caucasus: Continued violence against journalists symptomatic

IFEX – News from the international freedom of expression community
________________________________________ _______________________

ALERT – SOUTH CAUCASUS

20 May 2009

Continued violence against journalists symptomatic of ongoing repression in
the region, says ARTICLE 19

SOURCE: ARTICLE 19, London

South Caucasus: Continued Violence Against Journalists Symptomatic of
Ongoing Repression in the Region

(ARTICLE 19/IFEX) – 15 May 2009 – ARTICLE 19 is becoming increasingly
concerned that acts of violence against journalists in Armenia, Azerbaijan
and Georgia are on the rise. Previous attacks have seen a lack of
independent and prompt investigation, creating a climate of impunity for
the perpetrators and fear amongst journalists working in these countries.

In recent weeks Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia have seen an increasing
number of physical attacks on journalists and media workers, especially
those covering politically sensitive issues such as opposition rallies in
Georgia and the recent call for the cancellation of the "Flower Holiday" in
Azerbaijan.

In Armenia, the most recent assault took place on 6 May, when Nver
Mnatsakanian, a prominent television anchor and host at Shant TV, was
attacked and beaten by unknown assailants outside his home in Yerevan.

ARTICLE 19 specifically calls on the Armenian authorities to condemn any
attacks on journalists and to undertake to end all attacks. In order to
prevent other attacks, ARTICLE 19 also urges the government to fully
investigate all violent incidents, thereby sending a clear message that
such abuses will not be tolerated.

In Azerbaijan, police used physical force against Durna Safarli, a Radio
Liberty correspondent; Elchin Hasanov, from Yukselish Namina; and Afgan
Mukhtarli and Layla Ilgar from Yeni Musavat newspaper on 10 May 2009 while
they were covering events surrounding the "Flower Holiday".

The "Flower Holiday" is an annual celebration of the birthday of former
President Geydar Aliyev on 10 May. This year students called for it to be
cancelled, to commemorate 13 people killed at the State Oil Academy in Baku
on 30 April 2009. Journalists attempting to investigate these killings were
also prevented from accessing information by authorities.

ARTICLE 19 urges the Azerbaijan government to set up an independent
investigation into the police violence surrounding this year’s "Flower
Holiday" and promptly investigate police attacks on journalists and
peaceful protesters. Members of the public were beaten and approximately 50
demonstrators were detained for a number of hours on this day, simply for
exercising their right to free expression.

ARTICLE 19 also calls for a complete disclosure of the findings of the
investigation into the killing of 13 people at the State Oil Academy in
Baku on 30 April 2009. The Azerbaijani public has the right to know what
happened and who was responsible for this unprecedented massacre.

In Georgia, journalists covering political opposition activities have
reportedly been subject to police ill-treatment. These included, for
example, Nino Komakhidze and Ani Khavtasi from The Versia newspaper who
were covering an opposition movement protest on 7 April. They were
allegedly also part of another group of journalists who were assaulted on 6
May, when violence erupted outside a Tbilisi police station.

ARTICLE 19 urges the Georgian government to conduct a prompt and
independent investigation into the alleged police attacks. We also call on
the Georgian authorities not to repeat the excessive use of force used to
quell demonstrators in November 2007, including the beating of journalists
by police.

ARTICLE 19 notes that Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia have ratified the
International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights and the European
Convention on Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms, which both guarantee
the fundamental right to freedom of expression, including the protection of
journalists.

For further information, contact ARTICLE 19, 6-8 Amwell Street, London,
EC1R 1UQ, U.K., tel: +44 20 7278 9292, fax: +44 20 7278 7660, e-mail:
[email protected], Internet:

The information contained in this alert is the sole responsibility of
ARTICLE 19. In citing this material for broadcast or publication, please
credit ARTICLE 19.
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Armenia, Cyprus Willing To Deepen Mutually Beneficial Cooperation In

ARMENIA, CYPRUS WILLING TO DEEPEN MUTUALLY BENEFICIAL COOPERATION IN ALL SPHERES

armradio.am
20.05.2009 15:00

The newly appointed Ambassador of Cyprus to Armenia, Petros Kestoras
(seat in Moscow), presented his credentials to President Serzh
Sargsyan.

Congratulating the Ambassador on assuming office, President Sargsyan
appreciated the high level of political dialogue with Cyprus and the
two peoples’ historical respect for each other. The President voiced
confidence that with his activity the newly appointed Ambassador would
contribute to the development and expansion of the Armenia-Cyprus
relations, which have rich traditions.

Ambassador Kestora conveyed the warm greetings of the President of
Cyprus Dimitris Christofias to President Serzh Sargsyan. The diplomat
stressed the willingness of Cyprus to deepen the mutually beneficial
cooperation in different spheres.

The parties assessed the Armenian-Cypriot relations as excellent and
agreed that those had a brilliant future.

President Sargsyan and Ambassador Kestoras agreed that Armenia and
Cyprus had a broad field of cooperation within the framework of the
Eastern Partnership Program of the European Union.

Petros Kestoras expressed gratitude for Armenia’s principled stance on
the Cyprus issue in different international structures. He presented
the latest developments in the negotiation process.

At the request of the Ambassador, President Sargsyan referred to the
process of normalization of the Armenian-Turkish relations.

Ambassador Kestoras assured he would spare no effort to contribute
to the expansion of cooperation between the two countries and
reinforcement of ties with the Armenian people.

Ankara Seeks Russian Support in Normalizing its Relations w/Armenia

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May 18, 2009

Ankara Seeks Russian Support in Normalizing its Relations with Armenia
Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor Volume: 6 Issue: 95

May 18, 2009 07:30 PM Age: 4 hrs

By: Emrullah Uslu

On May 16 Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan visited Moscow
and met with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, as part of
Ankara’s ongoing efforts to normalize its relations with Armenia.
Reportedly Putin and Erdogan discussed finding a sustainable solution
to the Karabakh issue as well as bilateral relations between Russia
and Turkey.

It appears that the process of Turkish-Armenian normalization might be
hijacked by nationalist rhetoric and the strategic interests of the
various international actors. While Erdogan attempted to secure
Russian support for Ankara’s policy of rapprochement with Armenia, the
Turkish authorities continue to link Turkish-Armenian relations to the
problems within the Armenian-Azerbaijan bilateral relationship.

A closer examination of the rhetoric used by both Turkey and Armenia
during the current normalization process, reveals that neither side
has addressed the "dark side" of their histories, which serves as an
obstacle to finding any lasting solution. Turkey insists that the
Karabakh issue must be considered as a component in this
normalization, since Ankara wants to prevent Armenia raising its
"genocide" claim -further complicating the process. In this sense,
Turkish officials emphasize that 40,000 Armenian citizens currently
illegally work in Turkey, in order to show that the state does not
harbor any hostility toward Armenians. Indeed, Erdogan further stated
that the illegal migrant Armenians working in Turkey could be
repatriated, however he did not consider such policies to be humane
(Milliyet, May 15).

Turkish political observers believe that the government’s position on
linking Karabakh with the normalization process might lead to eventual
stalemate. Moreover, they criticize Erdogan for reminding Yerevan
about the sensitive issue of illegal Armenian workers (Radikal, May
12; Taraf, May 18). However, Erdogan’s controversial remarks were well
received domestically by Turkish nationalists.

Armenia has actively tried to separate the Karabakh issue from its
policies toward Turkey, in order to avoid any Turkish effort to
utilize the "dark side of Armenian history" against Armenia. The
meeting between Erdogan and Putin exposed stark differences between
Turkey and Russia in their approaches toward finding a solution over
Karabakh. Turkey wants the international community, especially the
Minsk Group of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in
Europe (OSCE), to be more active in finding a solution to the Karabakh
issue (Milliyet, May 12).

It appears that Turkey and the U.S. as well as the European countries
within the Minsk Group may be in broad agreement. Bernard Fassier, the
co-chairman of the Minsk Group arrived in Ankara on May 18 for a
series of meetings. Fassier also recently held talks in Azerbaijan and
Armenia, and will meet with the undersecretary of the Turkish ministry
of foreign affairs Ertugrul Apakan, during his visit to Ankara to
discuss the latest developments in the progress of the talks between
Armenia and Azerbaijan. Fassier’s visit to Ankara underscores that
Turkey advocates the normalization of its relationship with Armenia
and the conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia are separate, but
parallel processes (Anadolu Ajansi, May 16).

However, by contrast the Russian position clearly differs from that of
Turkey. After his talks with Erdogan, Putin stated at the press
conference: "our view in this issue is that the parties (Azerbaijan
and Armenia) should find a solution that both sides agree on, and the
states within the Minsk Group can only help easing the process, and if
necessary they may be the guarantor for the agreement"
(, May 17) .

In Moscow, Erdogan made it clear that Turkey will not re-open its
border with Armenia unless Yerevan agrees to find a solution with Baku
on Karabakh (Hurriyet, May 18). The Armenian government argues that
Karabakh and the normalization of Turkish-Armenian relations are
separate issues. The Armenian Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandyan,
stated: "we expect Turkey to take further steps toward normalizing our
relations. Now it is time for Turkey to take these steps. I hope that
Azerbaijan will show the necessary political desire to solve the
Karabakh problem" (Taraf, May 18).

At this important stage in the process, it appears that by referring
to a bilateral agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Putin wants
to avoid any international pressure on Russia over the process.
However, by requesting that Turkey should take further steps, Yerevan
-perhaps with Russian guidance- might be attempting to portray Turkey
as being responsible for stalling the peace process.

The Jamestown Foundation
1111 16th St. NW, Suite #320, Washington, DC 20036
Phone: 202.483.8888 | Fax: 202.483.8337 | [email protected]

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Not Enough Silk For Nabucco

NOT ENOUGH SILK FOR NABUCCO
Pyotr Iskenderov

en.fondsk.ru
19.05.2009

Energy of the Future

The organizers of the new "Drang nach Osten" in Brussels were
disappointed with the results of the "Southern Corridor-new Silk
Road" conference, which was held in Prague on May 8 as part of the
Eastern Partnership Summit Format. It was expected that former Soviet
republics, which yet had not been invited to join the Partnership
(EU wants Azerbaijan, Georgia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan,
Kazakhstan, Egypt and Iraq to comprise the ‘new silk route’), would
confirm their intention to approve the EU`s energy policy (in which
Russia is not viewed as partner). The key moment of the conference
would have become the ratification of a political declaration on
Nabucco, which says that all EU members countries involved in the
project, EU membership candidate Turkey and former Central Asian
republics of the Soviet Union should undertake all necessary efforts
to sign an intergovernmental agreement on Nabucco by June 2009.

But Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, the countries which are
expected to supply gas to the EU through the Nabucco pipe, refused
to sign the anti-Russian declaration. The authors of the document did
not even mention Moscow as a key EU`s energy partner but attempted to
torpedo the agreements Russia had already signed with its partners
on purchasing natural gas an its transportation to Europe via the
existing pipe lines and the construction of the South Stream gas pipe
(from the Black Sea to Bulgaria and further to Italy and Austria).

Why they were in such a hurry? The reason is quite clear. Brussels
expects to put the Nabucco gas pipe in operation in 2014 in order
to outrun the South Stream, at least for a few months. But since
some Balkan states (Bulgaria,Hungary and Serbia) had already signed
bilateral agreements with Russia, the EU planned to achieve a deal
between a greater number of countries to repudiate the already existing
agreements (if not de jure, at least de facto).

The scenario for bandoned their Cold War thinking and continue to
play geopolitical games which show ‘zero result’.

On May 14 President of Bulgaria Georgy Pyrvanov published an article
in the country’s most circulated Trud newspaper daily. Although the
article says nothing about either the Eastern Partnership or the "new
Silk Road", it is obvious that Mr. Pyrvanov wrote it after the EU had
failed to press former Soviet republics on the Nabucco project. He
emphasizes the need of cooperation with Russia and suggests that the
South Stream project be as important for the EU as Nabucco.

"When we talk about energy security, we can`t ignore Russia. It
is necessary to decide whether the diversification policy will be
implemented without Russia’s participation, or will Russia, EU and
other countries rich in energy resources develop their strategic
cooperation. Russia will remain Europe’s major energy supplier, and
thus any attempts to ‘isolate’ Russia would have undermined the process
of diversification and hampered Russia-EU cooperation in many other
spheres. In the meantime, partnership with Russia would have put the
international energy cooperation on a brand new level",- President of
Bulgaria writes. Mr. Pyrvanov says both projects are necessary in the
interests of energy security and due to anticipated gas demand until
2025 and further. "Bulgaria makes its own contribution to the process
and will continue the implementation of both projects since for the EU
Nabucco is a project of high priority. But I also believe the South
Stream must be on the agenda as well. We cannot make far-reaching
plans on energy security without Russia. However, we want Moscow to
understand that we are going to defend our national interests-like it
was during the talks in January 2008, when we signed an equal agreement
on the South Stream, and like it was this spring. We should stick
to the agreements which have been made". The Eastern Partnership and
the Nabucco project in particular have already faced some financial
difficulties. Although the EU leaders were all smiles on 7-8 May in
Prague and looked optimistic, the initiators of the Nabucco project say
the pipeline is estimated to $7,3billion (about 5,4 billion euros), and
all the money will be from the EU budget. At the conference in Prague,
the sides approved a program which stipulates a 600-million euro aid to
Azerbaijan, Armenia, Belarus, Georgia, Moldavia and Ukraine until 2013.

Apparently, the Eastern Partnership aims to isolate Russia from the
process of energy cooperation despite the likelihood of financial and
political loses. However, not all countries in Eastern Europe, to say
nothing about the leading energy producing countries, are ready to step
on this slippery path. Although maybe too cautious, the conclusions
made by the President of Bulgaria in his article prove this quite well.