Armenian dram to strengthen to AMD 352.1 for $1 by 2021

ARKA News Agency, Armenia
Jan 14 2008

Armenian dram to strengthen to AMD 352.1 for $1 by 2021

YEREVAN, January 14. /ARKA/. Under the revised program of poverty
elimination for 2008 to 2021, average exchange rate of Armenian dram
will be AMD 352.1 for $1 by 2021, Melik Gasparyan, representative of
the expert group in charge of 2008/2021 poverty reduction program
elaboration, said Monday in Yerevan.

According to the forecast the program contains, 1 dollar will be
equal to AMD 341.8 in 2015 and AMD 352.1 in 2021.

The dollar has weakened 28.12% against Armenian national currency
over the period between 2003 and 2006.

Average exchange rate was AMD 578.77=$1 in 2003, AMD 533.45=$1 in
2004, AMD 457.69 in 2005 and AMD 416.04 in 2006.

The dollar has sunk 19.26% against Armenian dram over 2006 from AMD
450.19 in early 2006 to AMD 363.50 later that year.

The dollar has plunged 16.31% against Armenian national currency over
2007 – from AMD 363.5 at the beginning of that year to 304.22 by the
end. M.V.-0—

Poverty Level Envisaged To Be Reduced by 20.5% Until 2021 in Armenia

POVERTY LEVEL ENVISAGED TO BE REDUCED BY 20.5% UNTIL 2021 IN ARMENIA

YEREVAN, JANUARY 14, NOYAN TAPAN. According to the revised variant of
the Poverty Reduction Strategic Program, it is envisaged to reduce
poverty in Armenia by 20.5% until 2021, which will make 6% and abject
poverty is envisaged to be reduced by 3.1% and it will make 1.1%. Melik
Gasparian, a representative of the expert group responsible for the
program’s elaboration, said this on January 14. According to him, a
progressive growth of working incomes and pensions of poor population,
as well as increase of the employment level will be the main factors of
poverty reduction.

M. Gasparian said that it is envisaged during the coming three or four
years to move from the group of countries with an average human
development level to the group of countries with a high human
development level. Besides, the prospect of poverty reduction is
expansion of "proper employment," which supposes a minimum level of
payment for work, which will permit the worker to avoid poverty. In M.
Gasparian’s opinion, though some progress has been registered in this
respect, nevertheless, over 22% employed people were considered poor in
2006. According to the second Poverty Reduction Strategic Program, it
is envisaged to decrease that index up to 5% until 2015.

Hovhannes Azizian, the Head of the Secretariate of the Poverty
Reduction Strategic Program, also said that they will work out
territorial, regional programs for the purpose of achieving
proportionate poverty reduction in Armenia. According to him, the first
pilot program of the kind will be implemented in the Shirak region.

Scientific assembly in Antilias

AZG Armenian Daily #006, 15/01/2008

Science

SCIENTIFIC ASSEMBLY IN ANTILIAS

January 13-19, in the capital of Antilias is taking
place an international scientific assembly dedicated
to the history of Cilicia. The Catholicosate of the
Great House of Cilicia and Yerevan Mashtots
Matenadaran are the organizers of the assembly.
Catholicos Aram I delivered the welcome speech of the
assembly. He is presiding over the assembly.

About 100 Armenian and foreign scientists from
Armenia, Diaspora and other countries are
participating in the assembly

Translated by L.H..

Turkey Imperils Religious Freedom for Christians

Assyrian International News Agency
Jan 12 2008

Turkey Imperils Religious Freedom for Christians

Turkish President Abdullah Gul met President George W. Bush on
January 8, marking Gul’s first visit to Washington as president.

The official agenda included a laundry list of issues central to
US-Turkish relations: joint efforts to counter the Kurdish rebel
group PKK; to promote stability in Afghanistan, Iraq, Lebanon and the
broader Middle East; and to advance Turkey’s European Union accession
goals.

In his second inaugural address, President Bush stated that, "The
survival of liberty in our land increasingly depends on the success
of liberty in other lands. The best hope for peace in our world is
the expansion of freedom in all the world."

While each of the issues that is currently on the agenda is a
priority issue, each also touches on a broader question which remains
off the agenda: freedom of religion and belief in Turkey itself.

A significant problem facing religious groups in Turkey is the
nation’s biased religious registration laws. Registration is required
for religious leaders and institutions to serve the spiritual needs
of their constituents. Currently, the Sunni branch of Islam is the
only "state-sanctioned" form of religion.

The Alevi Islamic Community is not recognized as a separate religious
group and is instead considered to be a defacto group within Sunni
Islam. This lack of distinct recognition severely limits their
ability to form their own houses of worship and leaves them suspect
to the laws of the state that pertain to Sunnis. The Shi’a community
is not recognized as a separate legal entity either.

The Armenian Orthodox, Greek Orthodox, and Jewish communities are
recognized as having "a special legal minority status." However, this
only applies to the individuals within these communities and not to
their religious institutions, which severely hinders the ability of
these groups to perform a wide range of functions necessary to
maintaining and serving the needs of their respective adherents.

All other religious groups, including the Roman Catholic Church,
mainline Protestant and Evangelical groups, have no official legal
status within the Republic of Turkey.

Religious education is another significantly contentious religious
freedom issue in Turkey. Two aspects of religious education are
particularly troublesome: the first is that Turkey requires a
majority of its population to take state-mandated religious education
classes; the second problem is the current restrictions that
religious groups face in properly educating their clergy.

Turkey currently requires all Muslims in the country, regardless of
their sectarian affiliation, to partake in religious education
classes. Minority religious groups are exempted from these religious
classes. The Alevis, and other Turkish Muslim minority groups, claim
that these classes teach only the Sunni form of Islam that advances
religious beliefs that are in conflict with their own religious
teachings. These groups also complain that many of these mandatory
classes actually demean and dismiss their beliefs.

Many other minority religious communities in Turkey face serious
problems in educating their believers. In 1971, the Turkish
government closed all university-level religious schools, both Muslim
and Christian. Numerous restrictions hinder the ability of these
institutions to reopen their doors, such as a requirement that all
students be Turkish citizens, a very serious problem for Greek
Orthodox clergy. The government argues that these restrictions are
necessary to prevent radical Islamic groups from opening their own
religious schools that could spread a violent and extremist form of
Islam. These restrictions disproportionately burden the nation’s
religious minorities.

The Greek Orthodox population has fallen to approximately 3000 people
over the past several decades. They do not have a large enough
population to maintain the primary Greek Orthodox seminary in Turkey
— the Halki Monastery. Halki Monastery was among those
university-level religious institutions closed by the government, and
it faces numerous restrictions to reopening. The Turkish Government
will currently not allow any foreign students to be educated at
Halki. Without foreign students, there are not enough Turkish Greek
Orthodox seminarians to maintain an official seminary. In addition,
due to legal restrictions mentioned above, this Monastery cannot call
upon foreign seminarians to travel to Turkey to train the students of
the Monastery. In approximately a generation, the Greek Orthodox
population will no longer have the capacity to train new theological
leaders.

Furthermore, due to legal restrictions that any religious leader in
Turkey must be a citizen and be educated in Turkey, within a few
years there will be no one that is eligible to be the new Patriarch
of Constantinople. As a result, this religious group will have no way
of practicing its faith or continuing its traditions. Without the
ability to practice their faith or continue their traditions, the
Greek Orthodox community will slowly disappear to the pages of
history. The continued closure of Halki threatens the very survival
of Turkey’s ancient Greek Orthodox minority and the "primus inter
pares" of Orthodoxy, the Patriarch of Constantinople. Turkey’s Greek
Orthodox community is a victim of a silent genocide as their
population, religion, and way of life are eroded over the years by
actions taken by the Turkish government.

What’s more, the Government periodically meddles in the internal
functioning of religious communities. The Higher Court of Appeals
recently ruled in favor of the Government in a purely linguistic
dispute with the Greek Orthodox Patriarch. The government refused to
recognize the use of the term "ecumenical" in reference to the
Patriarch. This means that the Turkish government refuses to
recognize the Patriarch as leader of anything more than the country’s
small Greek Orthodox community, in contrast with the esteemed
position that the Patriarch holds amongst other Orthodox communities
worldwide. As the government only allows Turkish citizens to be
members of the Orthodox Church hierarchy, this condition places a
great strain on such a small population.

Another cause for concern in Turkey is the recent string of attacks
against Christians. In January 2007, a protestant church in Samsun
was severely vandalized. In April, three workers at a Bible house in
the city of Malatya were viciously murdered. The victims’ throats
were slashed, and a fourth person inside the building was attempted
to escape by jumping out of a window and was severely wounded. It is
imperative that the international community pressure Turkey into
prosecuting those responsible to the fullest extent of the law. Every
community of faith needs the freedom to practice their religion
without worrying about either themselves or their religious
institutions being physically harmed.

By Joseph Griebowski

Joe Griebowski is President of the Institute on Religion and Public
Policy and Secretary General, Interparliamentary Conference on Human
Rights and Religious Freedom.

www.thecuttingedgenews.com

Per National Unity’s Vice-Chairman, LTP Return is Authorities Trick

ACCORDING TO NATIONAL UNITY’S VICE-CHAIRMAN, LEVON TER-PETROSIAN’S
RETURN TO POLITICS IS ONE MORE TRICK OF AUTHORITIES

YEREVAN, JANUARY 11, NOYAN TAPAN. The first Armenian President Levon
Ter-Petrosian’s return to the political arena is one more trick of the
authorities, the goal of which is at any price to hamper the victory of
National Unity party Chairman Artashes Geghamian in the presidential
elections. Alexan Karapetian, the NU Vice-Chairman, a member of A.
Geghamian’s preelection headquarters, stated at the January 11 press
conference.

He expressed confidence that Levon Ter-Petrosian is the most vulnerable
among the candidates and has the least prospects, as in the years of
his tenure "the country had irreparable losses." And A. Geghamian’s
victory, according to A. Karapetian, is inevitable even if because none
of the candidates "has written as many analytical materials as he."

BAKU: Azerbaijani railroads remain closed for Armenia

Today, Azerbaijan
Jan 11 2008

Nadir Azmamedov: "Azerbaijani railroads remain closed for Armenia"

11 January 2008 [13:33] – Today.Az

Azerbaijani Railroads remain closed for Armenia, spokesman for the
Azerbaijan Railroad Department Nadir Azmamedov said.

"They can promise everything but the Baku-Nakhchivan-Yerevan
railroad will not operate until the occupied lands of Azerbaijan

are not released", thus Azmamedov commented on the prospects of
opening of railway communication between Azerbaijan and Armenia.

It should be reminded that yesterday the Minister of Transport and
Communications of Armenia Andranik Manukyan, commenting on the
transmission of Armenian Railroads to the concessive regulation by
Russian Railroads, announced that Russian Railroads plan to restore
railway communication between Armenia and Azerbaijan and Armenia and
Turkey. Manukyan said it will occur in 2009-2010.

Azmamedov announced that the opening of railway communication between
Azerbaijan and Armenia is a political issue which can not be decided
by the management of Russian railroads.

Azmamedov said Armenians are interested in the restoration of a
railroad to Turkey via Kars and to Azerbaijan via Nakhchivam, as they
would get good dividends from it.

"However, Azerbaijani Railroads will not cooperate with an invader
country", the spokesman said.

/Day.Az/

Lecture about Armenia’s Challenges in Foreign Policy

PRESS RELEASE
ARPA Institute
18106 Miranda St. Tarzana, CA 91356
Contact: Hagop Panossian
Tel: (818) 586-9660
E-mail: [email protected]
Web:

ARPA Institute presents the Lecture/Seminar: `Armenia’s Challenges &
Prospects in Foreign Policy"," by Dr. Nikola Schahgaldian, on
Thursday, January 31st, 2008 at 7:30 PM at the Merdinian School
auditorium.

The Address is 13330 Riverside Dr., Sherman Oaks, CA 91403.
Directions: on the 101 FWY exit on Woodman, go north and turn right on
Riverside Dr.

Abstract: The strategic geographical location of Armenia renders it as
one of the key nations in the Caucuses. Located in a relatively
unstable region its delicate foreign policy needs to be well
coordinated and flexible enough to address all the challenges and
attain its national objectives. The political tensions of the region
aggravated by the situation of multiple separatist states that are
currently seeking independence, Karabagh being one of them, further
complicates the foreign policy issues of Armenia. Dr. Schahgaldian
will discuss the political doctrine of Armenia, what it is not and
what it is, its significance and issues related to continuity, clarity
and limitations. The main objectives of the doctrine, namely
safeguarding freedom, territorial integrity and the constitution, and
issues related to the political aspects of its implementation and
priorities will also be analyzed. Foreign relations of Armenia with
five main players, including the leading super-powers, as well as the
Karabagh conflict will be addressed in some detail. Lecture in
Armenia & Q/A bilingual.

Nikola Schahgaldian has a B.A. from the American University of Beirut,
an MA from Fordham University, a Ph.M. and a Ph.D. from Columbia
University, NY, all in political science. He is currently a private
policy analyst. He was a visiting researcher at the AUB in Lebanon in
1972 and operations manager for the Long Island Press, NY
1974-76. During 1976-77 he was the editor of Menk quarterly in NY and
1977-79 consultant of the Armenian Reporter. He has served on the
Editorial Board of the Armenian Review for a number of years and as a
lecturer in the U. of Pennsylvania. He was a Political Scientist
during 1980-1992 in the RAND Corporation, in Santa Monica, CA. During
1992-1998 he served as a Senior Political Advisor to the President of
Armenia, 1994-2002 as Dean of the Political Science and International
Relations Department in the American University of Armenia,
Yerevan. He has authored numerous articles, reports and books on
international politics, the Middle East, the Islamic world and the
former Soviet Union.

For Information Please call Dr. Hagop Panossian at (818)586-9660 or
e-mail at [email protected]

http://www.arpainstitute.org/

Vardan Oskanyan: If You Want To Hold On To Power Or To Come To Power

VARDAN OSKANYAN: IF YOU WANT TO HOLD ON TO POWER OR TO COME TO POWER YOU SHOULD…

Lragir
Jan 9 2008
Armenia

One of the crucial events for Armenia in 2008, also primary for the
external policies, is the presidential election, stated the foreign
minister Vardan Oskanyan January 9, in his first news conference in
2008. According to him, if Armenia holds a free, fair and democratic
election, better than the parliamentary election which raised the
international reputation of Armenia, Oskanyan thinks, the reputation
will rise higher, and the upcoming five years will be years of
development for Armenia.

If they fail to hold such an election, if no step towards progress is
made, Vardan Oskanyan thinks Armenia will lose its reputation in the
world which it acquired after the parliamentary election in 2007. The
foreign minister thinks this loss of reputation is dangerous because
it will weaken the position of Armenia in international relations.

In this connection, Vardan Oskanyan says some forces are up for
instability in Armenia but the foreign minister declines to specify
which forces. He says he urges the forces which have or don’t have
an intention to destabilize the country and thereby solve their
own problems to give up those intentions. "If you want to hold on
to power or you want to come to power, there are democratic ways
for that," Vardan Oskanyan says, noting that otherwise efforts for
destabilization to hold on to power or to come to power will bring
about heavy consequences for both us and our children. Oskanyan says
he utters this as a foreign minister, knowing what complications will
occur in international relations if the election is not compliant,
and says as a citizen who and whose children live in Armenia he does
not want the country to undergo shock and the future of the country
to be endangered.

"It will be a major shock if someone considers different methods to
destabilize the situation to solve some political problems," Vardan
Oskanyan says, noting that he would not like to go deep into other
issues because it is not his competence. Although Vardan Oskanyan
is aware of the reality, nevertheless, in answer to the question of
reporters if the opposition is able to rig the election he says
yes because if there is a wish to take the track of fraud and
destabilization, the mechanisms are always found.

Election Bribe In Armenian Manner

ELECTION BRIBE IN ARMENIAN MANNER

Lragir
Jan 10 2008
Armenia

On January 10 the Armenian government made several decisions aimed
at the well-being of certain people, apparently to affect their
consciousness as the presidential election is drawing nearer, if we
believe Marx that being determines consciousness.

In accordance with the decision of the government, the monthly
honoraria of people who were awarded the title "People’s" will rise
from 28 thousand to 40 thousand drams.

By another decision from January 1, 2008 the government will pay bonus
to doctors (20 thousand drams) and candidates of science (10 thousand
drams) employed in state-financed scientific and technical programs.

Again The Armenian Mentality, This Time Regarding Money

AGAIN THE ARMENIAN MENTALITY, THIS TIME REGARDING THE MONEY

Lragir
Jan 10 2008
Armenia

Judging by 2007, remittances are expected to grow by 40 percent
in 2008, stated the president of the Central Bank of Armenia Tigran
Sargsyan in an interview with ARKA on January 10. This index is almost
twice as high as the estimate of the Central Bank at 25 percent. Tigran
Sargsyan says the volume of remittances will exceed 1 billion dollars.

According to the president of the Central Bank, the volume of
remittances grows progressively, which is an objective reality
determined by mentality. The banker said, ARKA reports, two thirds of
Armenians live outside Armenia, and when their financial and economic
situation improves, they make more investments in Armenia.

"Therefore, for our nation, this is objectively positive," Tigran
Sargsyan says.

Besides, Tigran Sargsyan thinks that Armenia is the focus of economic
interests not only for its citizens but also Armenians worldwide,
and the establishment of a favorable climate for investments spurs
the influx of capital, development of tourism, demand for services.

"This is the objective reality which is a long-term tendency, and if
no cataclysms happen in the world, namely in Russia and the United
States from where most remittances come, and which have the biggest
Armenian communities, this tendency will continue," the president of
the Central Bank stated.

By the way, he mentioned that in 2007 the revaluation of the dram
against the dollar was 17 percent. According to him, in 2007 the
Central Bank bought 350 million dollars which is up by 40 percent
from 2006. Nevertheless, despite the intervention, the Armenian dram
continued to revaluate, Tigran Sargsyan says. At the same time, he
says this process has reduced inflation estimates and the potential
for inflation. Tigran Sargsyan also says considering the elasticity of
prices inside along with price shocks outside, Armenia needs efforts
to promote competition inside the country to keep prices of imported
goods low along with the revaluation of the national currency.