Is There a Way out of the Impasse over Nagorno-Karabakh?

International Policy Digest
April 4 2023
Alex Little

In October 2022, following intense clashes in Nagorno-Karabakh, European Union-led talks resulted in Brussels deploying a two-year civilian peacekeeping mission to Armenia with the “objective of monitoring, analyzing, and reporting on the situation in the region.”

However, since December 2022, an Azerbaijani blockade of the Lachin corridor, the only road connecting the breakaway republic of Artsakh to Armenia, has cut off the 120,000 Armenians living there. In March, because of Armenian shelling of Azerbaijani military positions, Azerbaijan accused Armenia of escalating tensions.

Armenia, the victim of the first modern genocide during the First World War, is desperately searching for a solution to end the blockade. Artsakh is overwhelmingly Armenian, and Armenian is the dominant language spoken there. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has stated that the crisis is a pretext for “ethnic cleansing” of Karabakh Armenians. On top of this, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev recently said that “Armenia lost its chance to become an independent state.” Azerbaijan’s actions have led the UN’s top court to order Azerbaijan to allow free passage through the corridor.

However, Azerbaijan continues to deny responsibility for the blockade led by “environmental activists.” They claim to be protesting the alleged illegal mining of natural resources in Nagorno-Karabakh and the Armenian transfer of arms into the region. In March, Azerbaijani suspicions of arms transfers to Artsakh led to clashes between Karabakh-Armenian police and the Azerbaijani military, which led to five people being killed. As a result, Armenia is concerned that Azerbaijan is signaling further military escalation. These concerns were confirmed in March when Russia accused Azerbaijan of violating the 2020 Russian-brokered ceasefire when Azerbaijani forces crossed the demarcation line.

For some observers, it appears that Brussels is beholden to Azerbaijan because of a recent energy agreement. The agreement will see Azerbaijani energy supplies circumvent Russia, which would double gas imports to 20 billion cubic meters annually by 2027. But how will Brussels balance condemning Azerbaijani actions while maintaining close energy ties with the country?

For the EU, investing diplomatic capital to end the blockade should take priority over energy cooperation. Moreover, while the United States and Russia have had high-level contact with Armenian and Azerbaijani officials, Brussels could play a unique neutral role. Rather than the U.S. getting involved, the EU is the ideal peace broker, given that Austria, Lithuania, and Romania helped launch the EU’s mediation efforts after the 2020 war.

These European countries have a vested interest in avoiding the geopolitical implications of a spillover of the conflict. Olaf Scholz, Germany’s Chancellor, led the charge to find a solution to end the Azerbaijani blockade. Scholtz emphasized that it is “important to reach a peaceful solution based on the principles of territorial integrity and sovereignty of Armenia and Azerbaijan, the right of the people of Nagorno-Karabakh to self-determination.”

Europe has leverage over Azerbaijan as the country relies on European expertise to operate its most significant energy projects, like the BP-operated Shah Deniz field, which is Azerbaijan’s largest natural gas field. BP also plays a critical role in maintaining the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline, Baku’s main route to transport energy to foreign markets, and owns the largest share of the project. While it is helpful that Azerbaijan is exporting energy to European markets, the United States has most significantly aided in stabilizing Europe’s energy needs. Azerbaijan’s contributions are minuscule in comparison. Preventing the escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict should take precedence over energy projects.

Above all else, the potential for increased involvement of Russia, Iran, and Turkey should alarm Brussels. Russia’s involvement as a “peacekeeper” in Nagorno-Karabakh has done little to curb violence. Moscow has used the conflict to expand its influence and profit by selling weapons to both sides. Additionally, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict may serve as a proxy battleground for Iran and Turkey, who support Armenia and Azerbaijan, respectively. Azerbaijan has stated that Iranian agents are routinely visiting the region. The provocative involvement of middle powers and increase in arms sales to both sides will only fuel the fire and increase the devastation wrought by the conflict.

The EU’s monitoring mission is not without controversy, as the Kremlin said that it will “only bring the geopolitical confrontation to the region and exacerbate existing contradictions.” However, from the Armenian point of view, Russian “peacekeepers” that remain in Karabakh have done little to reduce the pressure from Baku on Yerevan to sign a comprehensive peace agreement that would restore Azerbaijan’s control over Karabakh. The passivity of the remaining Russian peacekeepers has resulted in Karabakh Armenians organizing protests against the Russian military and alleging that Russia is conspiring with Azerbaijan. In addition, frustration from Armenia has led Yerevan to doubt the effectiveness of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) alliance, of which Russia and Armenia are members.

Russia’s influence over Azerbaijan is waning as well. Azerbaijan openly attacked a CSTO member in 2022, ignoring the fact that Armenia is under Russia’s security umbrella. Azerbaijan has taken advantage of Russia being distracted in Ukraine and described Artsakh as a Russian puppet state in the heart of the Caucasus.

To make matters more complicated, Ukraine is an ardent supporter of Azerbaijan due to Armenia’s security alliance with Russia and Azerbaijan’s recent defiance of Russian influence. Azerbaijan is Ukraine’s only serious strategic ally in defending its sovereignty, and Baku can gain political clout from the West by supporting Ukraine. Meanwhile, Armenia has few partners to rely on to avoid future aggression from Azerbaijan.

If Armenia is willing to refrain from sending arms to their stranded population through the Lachin corridor, Azerbaijan must end the blockade. Additionally, including Iran and Turkey in the negotiating process might help to keep the conflict from expanding and alleviate the humanitarian crisis more quickly.

Azerbaijan’s role as an energy supplier is welcome news for Europe as they continue to find ways to maximize their energy security amid the Western economic sanctions on Russia. However, this should not stand in the way of the EU mitigating a humanitarian crisis and a potential threat to its security. Brussels should prioritize searching for a peaceful solution to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict before it becomes an even greater security liability.

FOX: Anti-Armenian flyers promoting ‘completion of genocide’ appear in Glendale

April 1 2023
Anti-Armenian flyers, promoting the completion of the Armenian Genocide, were spotted in Glendale Friday. 

The flyers were posted on light poles near St. Mary’s Armenian Apostolic Church and other areas of the city. Glendale police say a passerby saw the disturbing flyers and called police to report it. 

“As mayor of Glendale, I’m very disturbed and upset that speech inciting violence against Armenians has visited our city by way of individuals vandalizing our city with hate-filled flyers,” Mayor Ardy Kassakhian said in a statement. “Our police are taking this issue seriously and will be investigating this as a hate crime. I speak for our residents and our council when I say that Glendale is not a place for hate speech against Armenians or any other group.”

The flyer read “NEVER AGAIN does not apply to GOYIM (Armenia) Israel FULLY SUPPORTS our Azeri-Turk Brothers to complete Armenian Genocide.” 

Police are canvassing the area and looking at surveillance video to see who is responsible. 

“So far we do have a surveillance footage of a subject, unfortunately unidentifiable, but he is dressed in all black, carrying a satchel with what appears to be more flyers in his satchel,” said police captain Robert William. Police said they found at least 11 flyers posted throughout the city Friday morning. 

Similar anti-Armenian flyers were posted in Beverly Hills in January. 

The Armenian National Committee Glendale Chapter condemned the hate incident and said the incident in Glendale and Beverly Hills showcases a troubling trend of anti-Armenian sentiment and rise in hate crimes. 

“As an organization dedicated to the well-being and advancement of the Armenian-American community, we are deeply disturbed by these hateful acts, and we call on local authorities to thoroughly investigate these incidents and hold the perpetrators accountable,” the ANCA wrote in a post online. 

On April 24, 1915, 1.5 million Armenians were massacred at the hands of the Ottoman Empire (modern day Turkey). To this day Turkey and their ally, Azerbaijan, deny the genocide. 

In September of 2020, Azerbaijan launched a full scale war on the Republic of Artsakh (also known as Nagorno-Karabakh). Artsakh is occupied by indigenous Armenians and has been under a blockade by Azerbaijan for over 100 days. The Lachin Corridor has been closed by Azerbaijan since December 12, limiting Artsakh’s access to food and medical care. During the blockade, Azerbaijan cut off power to Artsakh, leaving residents without heat in the freezing cold winter. It is the only road connecting Artsakh to Armenia and the rest of the world. 

RELATED: 

  • US political leaders call for end on Azerbaijani blockade as situation in Artsakh intensifies
  • World remains silent as Native Armenians face another humanitarian crisis

Since the war began in 2020, Azerbaijan, with support from Turkey, have been accused of ethnic cleansing. 

In 2021, President Joe Biden became the first US president to formally recognize the genocide.  

The flyers were posted just a day before the start of Armenian History Month. Glendale and Los Angeles have the largest population of Armenians outside of the country itself. 

https://www.foxla.com/news/anti-armenian-flyers-glendale.amp 

WATCH the video report at

https://news.yahoo.com/anti-armenian-flyers-promoting-completion-010914462.html

https://news.yahoo.com/glendale-pd-investigating-anti-armenian-050938494.html

RFE/RL Armenian Report – 03/31/2023

                                        Friday, 
Armenian Government Blamed For Fresh Azeri Territorial Gains
        • Artak Khulian
        • Ruzanna Stepanian
Azerbaijani soldiers set up positions near the Armenian village of Tegh, March 
31, 2023.
The Armenian opposition accused Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian’s government on 
Friday of letting Azerbaijan occupy more Armenian territory after rerouting much 
of the Lachin corridor to Nagorno-Karabakh.
The five-kilometer-wide corridor became Karabakh’s sole overland link to Armenia 
following the 2020 war stopped by a Russian-brokered ceasefire agreement. The 
agreement called for the construction of a new Armenia-Karabakh highway 
bypassing the town of Lachin.
Azerbaijan regained control of the town last August after building a 
32-kilomer-long highway linking up to a new Armenian section of the corridor 
which was supposed to be completed by April 1, 2023. Azerbaijani troops 
redeployed on Thursday morning to more parts of the Lachin district adjacent to 
the Armenian border, blocking the old corridor section.
Armenia’s government and National Security Service (NSS) downplayed the 
redeployment, saying that the new Armenian road leading to Karabakh is already 
passable. However, the NSS also said that the Azerbaijani troops occupied 
Armenian territory in the process.
“In some places, the Azerbaijani side, without waiting for pre-arranged [border] 
adjustments, started to position itself and carried out fortification works,” 
said the statement. “According to the Armenian side’s calculations, there are 
five such points where the Azerbaijani side crossed the border and advanced 100 
to 300 meters [into [Armenian territory.]”
The NSS added that the two sides agreed that their cartographers will try to 
“ascertain the situation.” Armenia is keen “to not allow an escalation,” 
emphasized the security service.
The Azerbaijani forces moved very close to the Armenian border village of Tegh. 
According to local government officials and farmers, they now control a large 
part of the community’s agricultural land and pastures.
One of the Tegh residents, who did not want to be identified, said he discovered 
on Thursday that he no longer has access to his 2-hectare wheat field.
“They [Azerbaijani soldiers] are now uprooting my wheat and digging trenches 
there,” he told RFE/RL’s Armenian Service.
Armenia - A road to Nagorno-Karabakh passing through the village of Tegh.
The development left many in the country wondering why Yerevan did not act to 
prevent the loss of what it regards as Armenia’s internationally recognized 
territory.
Pashinian stressed that the Armenian military did not lose any of its border 
posts in that area.
“The Armenian army had no positions at the border section in question because 
such positions are set up not on the border line but on nearby strategic 
heights,” the NSS said for its part.
Leaders of Armenia’s two main opposition groups dismissed these explanations. 
They said that Pashinian’s administration could and should have prevented 
Azerbaijani from making the fresh territorial gains.
“Clearly, this is a major failure by the Armenia authorities in both the 
political and military fields,” said Seyran Ohanian, a former defense minister 
who now leads the parliamentary group of the Hayastan alliance.
“We have a situation for which the authorities and Nikol Pashinian personally 
are responsible because … the change of the [corridor] route presupposed 
political decisions that were not made,” agreed Tigran Abrahamian of the Pativ 
Unem bloc.
Abrahamian argued that Pashinian’s government itself has repeatedly accused Baku 
of violating Armenian-Azerbaijani agreements and launching military aggression 
against Armenia after the 2020 war.
“Objectively, no Armenian government could have had reason to believe that 
Azerbaijan would honor an oral agreement [reached in August 2022 and cited by 
the NSS,]” he told reporters.
Senior lawmakers representing the ruling Civil Contract party refused to comment 
on the opposition accusations.
Opposition leaders also blamed Pashinian’s government for much bigger 
territorial losses suffered by Armenia during border clashes with Azerbaijan in 
May 2021 and September 2022. They regularly charge that it cannot defend the 
country and rebuild its armed forces after mishandling the disastrous 2020 war. 
Pashinian and his political allies deny this.
Russia Signals Ban On Dairy Imports From Armenia
Armenia - Dairy products at a supermarket in Yerevan.
Russia moved on Friday to ban imports of dairy products from Armenia amid rising 
tensions between the two allied countries.
The Russian government’s Rosselkhoznadzor agriculture watchdog first warned of 
such a measure on Tuesday, saying that Armenian dairy companies use Iranian milk 
and other raw materials banned in Russia. It said that Russia risks importing 
“low-quality and unsafe products” also because of a lack of “proper oversight” 
of those companies’ operations by relevant Armenian authorities.
Rosselkhoznadzor reported on Friday its ensuing negotiations with Armenia’s Food 
Safety Inspectorate yielded “unsatisfactory results.” It said it has therefore 
asked the Armenian state veterinary service to suspend from April 5 mandatory 
safety certifications of all dairy products exported to Russia.
The Armenian government did not immediately comment on the move.
A spokeswoman the Food Safety Inspectorate insisted on Wednesday that the 
Iranian raw materials are safe for consumption. She also told RFE/RL’s Armenian 
that Rosselkhoznadzor’s inspection of some Armenian dairy firms conducted last 
week did not detect “any problem threatening people’s lives and health.”
The Russian watchdog issued its first warning four days Armenia’s Constitutional 
Court gave the green light for parliamentary ratification of the International 
Criminal Court’s founding treaty. The ruling in turn came one week after the ICC 
issued an arrest warrant for Russian President Vladimir Putin over war crimes 
allegedly committed by Russia in Ukraine.
Moscow warned on Monday that recognition of The Hague tribunal’s jurisdiction 
would have “extremely negative” consequences for Russian-Armenian relations.
The Armenian government has still not publicly reacted to the stern warning. 
Still, two pro-government lawmakers stated earlier this week that Yerevan should 
not be afraid of pledging to arrest Putin if he visits the South Caucasus 
country.
Russian-Armenian relations have soured lately due to what Prime Minister Nikol 
Pashinian’s administration sees as a lack of Russian support for Armenia in the 
conflict with Azerbaijan.
Dairy products make up a small share of Armenia’s exports to Russia. The Russian 
market is far more important for Armenian exporters of fresh fruits and 
vegetables, processed foods and alcoholic drinks.
Armenian exports to Russia nearly tripled to $2.4 billion last year as a 
consequence of Western economic sanctions against Moscow. The soaring trade with 
and other cash flows from Russia are the main reason why the Armenian economy 
grew by 12.6 percent last year.
Media Figures Dismiss Pashinian’s Press Freedom Claims
        • Naira Bulghadarian
Armenia - Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian holds a news conference, March 14, 2023.
Journalists and other media professionals disputed on Friday Prime Minister 
Nikol Pashinian’s claims that he has consistently strengthened press freedom in 
Armenia during his five-year rule.
“As a former editor-in chief and journalist, I know full well, from my own 
experience, the importance of being able to function without interference from 
the state,” Pashinian told on Thursday a media-related event held as part of the 
U.S.-led Summit for Democracy.
In a video address, he said that his government has put in place “all the 
mechanisms for developing free press as an essential part of true democracy.”
“Armenia is continuously implementing reforms aimed at improving its legislation 
for ensuring better environment for media and journalists to perform their 
professional duties safely and freely,” added Pashinian.
Ashot Melikian of the Yerevan-based Committee to Protect the Freedom of Speech 
countered that in 2021 Pashinian’s administration tripled maximum legal fines 
for “slander,” made it a crime to gravely insult state officials and imposed 
unprecedented restrictions on journalists’ freedom of movement inside the 
Armenian parliament building.
More than 50 Armenians were prosecuted for defamation and hundreds of others 
investigated on the same grounds before the authorities decriminalized such 
offenses under domestic and foreign pressure last year. Many of those criminal 
cases stemmed from offensive comments on Pashinian made on social media or in 
public speeches.
Melikian also said that government, law-enforcement and judicial bodies remain 
reluctant to provide important information to the media.
“It is not accessible,” he told RFE/RL’s Armenian Service. “Often times media 
outlets do not receive information sought by them even after filing numerous 
requests.”
Armenia -- Photojournalists and cameramen at an official ceremony in Yerevan, 
January 10, 2019.
Aram Abrahamian, the veteran editor of the independent Aravot daily, noted in 
this regard that a government bill recently approved by the parliament should 
make it even easier for the authorities to withhold such data from the public.
Abrahamian believes that only the methods of government pressure on the media 
have changed since the 2018 “velvet revolution” that brought Pashinian to power.
“The methods have become somewhat more subtle and less crude,” he said. “And I 
prefer these methods. Unlike the former authorities that could simply have 
journalists beaten up, [the current authorities] just say, ‘You’ve bought a 
particular home.’”
Abrahamian referred to Pashinian’s recent reaction to growing media reports 
about personal enrichment of members of his political entourage. The prime 
minister suggested that journalists investigate instead properties bought by 
their bosses.
Earlier this month, hackers hijacked Aravot’s YouTube channel just as it was 
about to publish a video report detailing expensive property acquisitions by 
several senior government officials and pro-government lawmakers. Abrahamian did 
not rule out government involvement in the cyber attack.
Another major newspaper, Hraparak, blasted Pashinian’s “completely false” claim 
that his government “didn’t put any restrictions on media freedom and the 
Internet” even during martial law declared right after the outbreak of the 2020 
war with Azerbaijan.
The government banned at the time any news reports and social media content 
contradicting its official statements on the hostilities. It used heavy fines to 
enforce that ban.
Hraparak also pointed out that the Armenian Ministry of Justice drafted late 
last year legislation that would empower authorities to block access to news 
websites and social media in times of war. The proposed bill prompted serious 
concern from media freedom advocates.
Armenian Opposition Lawmaker Arrested
        • Gayane Saribekian
Armenia - Parliament deputies Vladimir Vartanian (left) and Mher Sahakian.
An opposition member of Armenia’s parliament was arrested on Friday after 
brawling with a pro-government colleague in disputed circumstances.
Eyewitnesses said that Mher Sahakian of the main opposition Hayastan alliance 
punched Vladimir Vartanian, the chairman of the parliament committee on legal 
affairs, during a session of the panel held behind the closed doors. They said 
the violence followed a shouting match between Vartanian and Sahakian and other 
opposition lawmakers.
Vartanian, who represents the ruling Civil Contract party, suffered an injury to 
his left eyebrow and was treated in hospital following the incident.
Meanwhile, other senior pro-government lawmakers called the police. Parliament 
speaker Alen Simonian could be seen giving instructions to police officers and 
security guards in the parliament lobby before they dragged away Sahakian to a 
police station in Yerevan.
Armenia’s Investigative Committee said later in the day that Sahakian was placed 
under arrest on suspicion of “hooliganism.” The law-enforcement agency did not 
clarify whether it will bring relevant charges against him.
Armenian law gives it three days to decide whether to indict the 35-year-old 
oppositionist and ask the National Assembly to lift his immunity from 
prosecution.
“We know very well what influence Civil Contract has on the law-enforcement 
system and don’t exclude that they will also raise the issue of his arrest and 
prosecution,” Sahakian’s lawyer, Ruben Melikian, told reporters.
Melikian insisted that his client acted in self-defense, a claim echoed by 
Artsvik Minasian, another opposition parliamentarian who also attended the 
committee meeting. Minasian said that during the meeting Vartanian shouted at 
opposition members of the committee before standing up and walking menacingly 
towards Sahakian.
In a statement, Hayastan’s parliamentary group likewise blamed the incident on 
Vartanian’s “provocative and unbalanced behavior.”
Vartanian said, however, that the assault was unprovoked. He claimed that 
Sahakian and other opposition deputies ignored his “legitimate demands” to stick 
to the meeting’s agenda.
Sahakian’s swift arrest sharply contrasted with law-enforcement authorities’ 
response to violent incidents involving lawmakers affiliated with the ruling 
party.
One of those pro-government lawmakers, Vahagn Aleksanian, approached and kicked 
Hayastan’s Vahe Hakobian as the latter gave a speech on the parliament floor in 
August 2021. Hakobian and five other opposition deputies were hit by a larger 
number of Civil Contract lawmakers in an ensuing melee that was not swiftly 
stopped by scores of security personnel present in the chamber. The authorities 
did not try to prosecute anyone in connection with that incident witnessed by 
Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian.
Reposted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL
Copyright (c) 2023 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc.
1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.
 

Armenia counting on Russia’s role to ensure safety of Karabakh population — top diplomat

 TASS 
Russia – March 20 2023
Earlier, an EU civilian monitoring mission began its work in the border areas at Yerevan’s invitation

MOSCOW, March 20. /TASS/. Armenia is counting on Russia’s participation in ensuring the security of the Nagorno-Karabakh population, Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan said at a news conference with his Russian counterpart, Sergey Lavrov, in Moscow on Monday.

“Without in any way downplaying the role of our Russian partners in the process of establishing a ceasefire in 2020, as well as the role of the Russian peacekeeping contingent, including in preventing a humanitarian disaster after the blockade of the Lachin Corridor, the emerging situation demonstrates the need for mechanisms to guarantee the rights and security of the population of Nagorno-Karabakh, and for international participation in them,” the top diplomat said.

“It is necessary to employ international mechanisms for the prevention of genocide, as well as to dispatch an international fact-finding mission to the Lachin Corridor and Nagorno-Karabakh. We are hoping for cooperation with the Russian side on this issue,” he added.

Earlier, an EU civilian monitoring mission began its work in the border areas at Yerevan’s invitation. At that time, the Russian Foreign Ministry pointed out that Yerevan preferred to opt for the EU, without allowing the work being done on the track pursued by the Collective Security Treaty Organization’s mission in the region to come to its logical conclusion. On February 20, Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova emphasized that Moscow saw the EU civilian mission in Armenia as having exclusively geopolitical motives, far removed from the interests of normalization in the South Caucasus, and as an attempt to squeeze Russia out of the region.

Later, Yerevan came out in favor of dispatching an international fact-finding mission to the Lachin Corridor and Nagorno-Karabakh.

Armenia: The Caucasian ally of Russian aggression against Ukraine

 eureporter 
March 23 2023

“It is a truth universally acknowledged that Armenia is a post-Soviet democracy in the Caucasus oriented toward Western values.” This could have been the opening line in an article about Armenia in a better world, but it can hardly be said about Armenia in 2023. What concerns its Soviet past and geographic location is still relevant, but its commitment to democratic Western values and rule of law is highly questionable – writes James Wilson.

The Russian aggression in Ukraine has exposed the ugly truth about Armenia and its participation in the conflict on the side of the aggressor.

On November 23, Russia fired missiles at the maternity ward of the hospital in Volnyansk, Zaporizhia region (a newborn baby was killed), a residential house and a clinic in Kupyansk, Kharkiv region (two dead), residential buildings in Kyiv and Vyshgorod, Kyiv region (7 dead). More missiles targeted Poltava, Vinnitsa, Lviv regions, Odessa, Dnipro, and Mariupol. On the same day Prime Minister Pashinyan welcomed Putin in Yerevan, addressing him as “Dear Vladimir Vladimirovich” and shaking his hand.

This is not surprising: earlier in summer 2022 the Prime Minister claimed that “Russia is a strategic partner and ally of Armenia”.

“The positions of our countries on fundamental international issues are close or coincide,” said the deputy speaker of Armenian Parliament Arshakyan on 11 July 11.
These are not isolated statements: “Russia is the closest partner and strategic ally of the Republic of Armenia,” the prime minister repeated on 7 September. On 2 November, Parliament speaker Simonyan proudly stated, “I can confidently state that the current Armenian government is one of the most pro-Russian.”

To put matters into perspective: since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, Pashinyan has visited Russia five times, met with Putin six times and talked to him on the phone 18 (eighteen) times.

Pashinyan was not the only high-ranking Armenian official to bow to the Kremlin. The Armenian defense minister, the secretary of the Security Council, and the chief of the General Staff all paid their visits to Moscow, most of them more than once. The Russian aggression against Ukraine has clearly intensified the military partnership between the two countries: joint military exercises were held in September, and an agreement on military cooperation in 2023 was signed in December. In February of this year, the Armenian parliamentary committee on defense and security issues ratified an agreement on cooperation between the intelligence services of the two countries in the field of information security[i]. The latter looks almost insulting against the backdrop of Ukraine’s joint efforts with Western partners to counter threats from Russia in this area.

The war in Ukraine triggered unprecedented growth in trade turnover between Armenia and Russia: in 2022 Armenian exports to Russia totalled $2.4bn, which is 185.7% more than in 2021. Russian imports to Armenia totaled $2.6bn — an increase of 44.5%. On 2 February this year Pashinyan stated with satisfaction: “There is a great and steady growth in our trade and economic relations.” He emphasised “the special personal role of Vladimir Putin… in these dynamics.”

Nevertheless, the growth of exports from Armenia to Russia is not only due to simply replacing imports from countries that have imposed sanctions on Russia. According to Western officials, government agencies and research centres, Armenia serves as one of the main Russian hubs for the purchase of goods in the EU and East Asia, bypassing sanctions. The parallel import of microchips, smartphones and cars through Armenia is especially booming. “New supply chains through Armenia … were established within days of the sanctions, and it took several months to expand them,” a February 2023 report from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development noted. On 2 March, a joint document by the DOJ, Commerce Department, and U.S. Treasury identified Armenia among ” third-party intermediaries or transshipment points to evade Russian- and Belarusian-related sanctions and export controls.”

Armenia actively assists the Russian Federation in circumventing sanctions not only in the import of civilian goods. In September, the U.S. Treasury Department published detailed information about the participation of an Armenian company in the purchase of foreign equipment for the Russian military industry. In October Bloomberg published evidence of supplies of European equipment components through Armenia for use in Russian military equipment. Armenia is not just a logistical hub, but a centre of military and technical supplies that supports Putin’s regime in its war against Ukraine.

Armenia has become a convenient transshipment point for weapons from Iran. It seems that Ukrainians should “thank” the Armenians for the fact that the Russian army has drones that damage their civilian and energy infrastructure, as well as kill and wound civilians. On 28 November, the Polish magazine New Eastern Europe noted: “Iran supports Russia’s war against Ukraine with the support of Armenia, which helps Moscow circumvent sanctions by supplying Iranian drones and missiles through Armenian airspace and airports. Iran Air Cargo, a subsidiary of Iran Air, flew from Yerevan Zvartnots Airport to Moscow on September 4 and 5, following two previous flights on August 21 and 29. Iran Air Cargo, Safiran Airport Services and their parent company Iran Air are under U.S. sanctions for transferring Iranian drones to Russia with Armenian assistance. Il-76MD Russian Air Force aircraft were also used to transport Iranian drones through Yerevan. Russia used these Iranian drones and missiles for terrorist attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure. The U.S. warned Armenia about its close relations with Iran and Russia, including during the CIA chief’s visit to Armenia in the summer of 2022. He warned to stay away from the close military alliance between Iran and Russia, but Armenia has ignored the warning”.

This data publicised by a major media outlet affiliated with the Polish government and the European Commission shows that Armenia also serves as a military and logistical base for the war of Russian-Iranian alliance against Ukraine.

The bitter irony of the situation lies in the fact that Armenia is taking unprecedented measures of diplomatic pressure in the international arena in order to achieve recognition of the Armenian genocide. A nation that claims to be a victim of one of the loudest crimes of the 20th century, that demands to hold countries and nations accountable a century later, that demands sanctions against its neighbours, is knowingly and actively participating in the most blatant crime against a once brotherly people. In fact, right now Armenia is up to its neck in what has been repeatedly called the genocide of the Ukrainian people.

"No new escalation…" Armenia and Azerbaijan to sign peace treaty

ANI

Yerevan [Armenia], March 24 (ANI): Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan on Thursday announced that there will be a peace treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan based on joint official statements adopted at the highest level. The PM said: “There won’t be a new escalation.””There will be a peace treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and it will be based on the joint official statements adopted at the highest level. There won’t be a new escalation! The international community must strongly support this narrative,” the Armenian PM tweeted on Thursday.

US State Department’s Principal Deputy Spokesperson Vedant Patel in response to the development said the US is encouraged by the progress made toward lasting and sustainable peace in the South Caucasus.

He said US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is engaged in facilitating peace discussions between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

“@SecBlinken is very engaged in facilitating peace discussions between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and we are encouraged by the progress made toward lasting and sustainable peace in the South Caucasus. We very much appreciate @NikolPashinyan’s message on that progress,” Patel tweeted on Friday.

Armenia and Azerbaijan have engaged in two wars in the more than 30 years both ex-Soviet states have been independent.

Thousands of lives have been claimed in fighting for the control of Azerbaijan’s Armenian-populated enclave of Karabakh.

According to Al Jazeera, a fragile truce has been in force between the neighbours since a 2020 war that left more than 6,500 dead and forced Armenia to cede territories it had controlled for decades.

Recently, Azerbaijani troops and ethnic Armenians exchanged gunfire in Azerbaijan’s contested region of Nagorno-Karabakh, killing at least five people.

As per Azerbaijan’s defence ministry, two servicemen were killed after Azerbaijani troops stopped a convoy suspected of carrying weapons from the region’s main town to outlying areas. It said the convoy had used an unauthorised road.

Armenia’s foreign ministry said three officials from the Karabakh interior ministry were killed. The convoy had been carrying documents and a service pistol, it said, dismissing Azerbaijani allegations that weapons were being carried as “absurd”, Al Jazeera reported.

It said Azerbaijan’s version of events was a “provocation planned in advance and instructed by the top leadership”. (ANI)

RFE/RL Armenian Report – 03/20/2023

                                        Monday, 
U.S. Vows Continued Support For Karabakh Peace Talks
U.S. - U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Armenia's Prime Minister Nikol 
Pashinian meet on the sidelines of a UN General Assembly session, New York, 
September 22, 2022.
The United States will continue to facilitate peace talks between Armenia and 
Azerbaijan, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken told Prime Minister Nikol 
Pashinian in a phone call on Monday.
In a Twitter post on the call, Blinken said Washington remains committed to 
helping the two South Caucasus nations reach a “sustainable peace.”
“Diplomacy is the only way to peace in the South Caucasus,” he wrote.
“Secretary Blinken thanked Prime Minister Pashinian for Armenia’s continued 
commitment to peace and encouraged concrete steps forward in finding solutions 
to outstanding issues,” said Vedant Patel. “He reiterated U.S. support for 
direct talks and diplomacy to support a lasting and sustainable peace in the 
South Caucasus and stressed that there is no military solution.”
An Armenian government statement on the conversation said the two men discussed 
Azerbaijan’s continuing blockade of the Lachin corridor and the resulting 
“humanitarian crisis” in Karabakh. It said Blinken reiterated U.S. calls for the 
immediate lifting of the blockade.
The statement added that Pashinian expressed concern over “Azerbaijan’s 
increasingly aggressive rhetoric.”
Armenian leaders have repeatedly accused Azerbaijan this month of planning a 
“new military aggression” against Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh.
As recently as on February 18, Blinken mediated talks between Pashinian and 
Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev on the sidelines of the Munich Security 
Conference. The State Department said afterwards that the European Union’s top 
official, Charles Michel, is due to host another Armenian-Azerbaijani summit “in 
the coming days.” However, no such meeting has been announced so far.
Louis Bono, a U.S. special envoy for Armenian-Azerbaijani peace talks, visited 
Baku and Yerevan earlier this month.
Ruling Party Defends High Court Judge Embroiled In Scandal
        • Naira Bulghadarian
Armenia - The Armenian government nominates Seda Safarian to the Constitutional 
Court, June 30, 2022.
Pro-government lawmakers rejected on Monday opposition calls for Armenia’s 
Constitutional Court to take action against one of its new members accused of 
having illegally worked as a private lawyer after joining the court in December.
Seda Safarian was one of the two new justices nominated by the Armenian 
government and confirmed by the National Assembly in September. Prime Minister 
Nikol Pashinian’s administration thus all but completed a purge of the 
Constitutional Court that began in 2020 with constitutional changes condemned by 
the Armenian opposition as illegal.
It emerged recently that on at least one occasion Safarian represented a private 
client in another Armenian court after her election. What is more, she sent 
documents to the Court of Appeals on behalf of the client on December 28, two 
weeks after formally taking over as a Constitutional Court judge.
Safarian denied any wrongdoing when she spoke to RFE/RL’s Armenian Service last 
month. She said that she only provided the Court of Appeals with additional 
documents on December 28 and that her actual appeal was filed on December 5.
A group of lawyers critical of the government insisted, however, that Safarian 
violated an Armenian law which bans judges from doing any other paid work. They 
said that the Constitutional Court must take disciplinary action or even 
consider ousting Safarian.
The law allows the Armenian parliament to ask the country’s highest court to 
consider such action. The main opposition Hayastan alliance initiated a relevant 
motion early this month. It was discussed by the parliament committee on legal 
affairs at a meeting held on Monday.
Speaking during the meeting, Hayastan’s Artsvik Minasian echoed the lawyers’ 
arguments and also seized upon their revelation that as of the end of January 
Safarian remained listed on a state registry of “individual entrepreneurs” 
working as lawyers.
“Being listed on the Justice Ministry’s state registry of legal entities is 
sufficient evidence of involvement in entrepreneurial activity,” said Minasian.
Committee members representing the ruling Civil Contract party countered that 
Safarian asked the State Revenue Committee to remove her from the registry late 
last year and earned no revenue after that. She must therefore not face any 
punishment, they said.
Although the parliament panel voted against the opposition motion, it will have 
to be debated on the parliament floor. Even so, the pro-government majority in 
the National Assembly is extremely unlikely to back the proposed appeal to the 
Constitutional Court.
Safarian also raised eyebrows when it emerged that she had her husband appointed 
as her driver right after taking the bench. Critics accused her of nepotism. She 
said that she did not break any laws.
West Accused Of Trying To Drive Wedge Between Russia, Armenia
Russia - Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov meets his Armenian counterpart 
Ararat Mirzoyan, Moscow, .
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov accused the West on Monday of trying to 
end Russia’s close relationship with Armenia as he met with his Armenian 
counterpart Ararat Mirzoyan amid unprecedented friction between Moscow and 
Yerevan.
“We see undisguised attempts by Western countries to estrange Armenia from 
Russia … undermine the regional security architecture while thinking and caring 
not about the interests of the countries located here but about their own vested 
geopolitical interests,” he told reporters after their talks in Moscow.
Lavrov also renewed Russian allegations that the Western powers are seeking to 
hijack Armenian-Azerbaijani agreements brokered by Moscow during and after the 
2020 war in Nagorno-Karabakh.
The Russian Foreign Ministry similarly claimed last month that the West wants to 
“squeeze Russia out of the region” when it reacted to the deployment of 100 or 
so European Union observers to Armenia’s volatile border with Azerbaijan. By 
contrast, the Armenian government hailed the deployment, saying that it will 
reduce the risk of fresh fighting along the border.
Earlier this year, Lavrov rebuked Yerevan for refusing a similar mission offered 
by the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) in November. Armenian 
leaders have repeatedly accused the Russian-led alliance of failing to defend 
Armenia against Azerbaijani “military aggression” in breach of the CSTO statutes.
Speaking at a joint news conference with Lavrov, Mirzoyan did not rule out the 
dispatch of CSTO monitors to Armenia’s border areas, saying that CSTO member 
states keep “working” on such a mission.
Armenia - European Union monitors patrol Armenia's border with Azerbaijan, 
February 20, 2023.
Lavrov sounded more optimistic on that score. He also indicated that a planned 
meeting of the Russian, Armenian and Azerbaijani foreign minister will take 
place soon after all.
The meeting was originally scheduled for the end of December. Mirzoyan cancelled 
it in protest against Azerbaijan’s blockade of the sole road connecting 
Nagorno-Karabakh to Armenia.
The blockade is another reason why Russian-Armenian relations soured in recent 
months. Yerevan has accused Russian peacekeepers in Karabakh of doing little to 
unblock the Lachin corridor.
Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian said last week that if the peacekeepers are 
unable to protect the Karabakh Armenians against Azerbaijani military attacks 
Moscow should ask the UN Security Council to “activate additional international 
mechanisms.” The Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman, Maria Zakharova, laughed 
off Pashinian’s statement.
Mirzoyan reiterated on Monday Yerevan’s calls for the dispatch of an 
international fact-finding mission to the Lachin corridor. “We hope to cooperate 
with the Russian side on this issue,” he said.
Lavrov did not back the idea. He again urged the conflicting sides to comply 
with the 2020 ceasefire that placed the corridor under Russian control and 
committed Baku to guaranteeing safe passage through it.
The top Russian diplomat was “sincerely satisfied with the results of today’s 
talks” with Mirzoyan.
“We spoke frankly, as befits between friends,” he said. “I am sure that this 
conversation will contribute to the further growth of mutual understanding and 
deepening of ties between Russia and Armenia.”
Russia ‘Still Key Mediator’ Between Armenia, Azerbaijan
        • Ruzanna Stepanian
Armenia -- Parliament speaker Alen Simonian talks to journalists, January 12, 
2023..
Russia continues to play the central role in Armenian-Azerbaijani peace talks, 
parliament speaker Alen Simonian said on Monday.
Simonian said that Armenia and Azerbaijan are specifically using Moscow as their 
main channel of communication on a bilateral peace treaty discussed by them.
“Proposals regarding the treaty are exchanged through various channels and the 
principal way of exchange is through the Russian side,” he told reporters. 
“Russia remains the main actor.”
“But there are also initiatives by the United States, which is quite active, as 
well as France,” he said.
Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian 
most recently met in Munich on February 18 for talks mediated by U.S. Secretary 
of State Antony Blinken. The U.S. State Department said afterwards that the 
European Union’s top official, Charles Michel, is due to host another 
Armenian-Azerbaijani summit “in the coming days.” There have been indications so 
far that the summit could take place soon.
The U.S., France and Russia had for decades spearheaded the Nagorno-Karabakh 
peace process in their capacity as the co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group. Their 
joint mediation collapsed following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Moscow has 
since repeatedly accused the West of trying to sideline it and use the Karabakh 
conflict in the standoff over Ukraine.
Aliyev declared at the weekend that he will not sign the peace treaty unless 
Yerevan recognizes Karabakh as a part of Azerbaijan and accepts Baku’s terms for 
demarcating the Armenian-Azerbaijani border. Armenians will not live in peace in 
the absence of such an accord, he warned.
The Armenian Foreign Ministry responded by accusing Azerbaijan of laying claim 
to Armenia’s entire territory and “doing everything to make peace in the region 
impossible.” It again claimed that Baku is planning a “new military aggression” 
against Armenia and Karabakh.
Simonian insisted that despite Aliyev’s latest threats the talks on the 
Armenian-Azerbaijani peace deal are not deadlocked.
“But this doesn’t serve as a deterrent against another Azerbaijani provocation,” 
he said.
Reposted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL
Copyright (c) 2023 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc.
1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.
 

Implementation of Yerevan-Baku peace treaty must be backed by guarantees, says Pashinyan

 TASS 
Russia – March 14 2023
“We don’t need guarantors, we need guarantees,” the PM said

YEREVAN, March 14. /TASS/. The implementation of the future peace treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan must be backed by guarantees, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said at a press conference on Tuesday.

“There must be guarantees backing treaty implementation. Perhaps, proposals will be made that lead to this issue being resolved. We don’t need guarantors, we need guarantees,” he said.

Premier: CSTO is leaving Armenia willingly or unwillingly

NEWS.am
Armenia – March 14 2023

The CSTO is leaving the Republic of Armenia willingly or unwillingly, and that worries us. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan stated this during his press conference today.

“When the CSTO chairman had visited Armenia in 2020, he told me in a conversation that there is a fear in the CSTO that the Republic of Armenia will leave the CSTO. I said: I think that fear is not appropriate, the other fear that exists in the Republic of Armenia is appropriate; that is, CSTO will leave the Republic of Armenia. My assessment is that the CSTO is leaving the Republic of Armenia willingly or unwillingly, and that worries us,” said Pashinyan.

According to the PM, Armenia would be happy to take over the position of the CSTO Deputy Secretary General if assuming that position does not result in a wrong message being sent to the Armenian people.

“If it means adding another factor of ensuring the security of the Republic of Armenia, if it doesn’t mean that, we don’t see the point in taking such a step—at least from the logic of being honest with our people. We have worked with CSTO for a long time and consistently, and we continue to work. We have proposed our principles, which are not about the Republic of Armenia, it is about whether the CSTO is functioning or not, whether it exists or not, at least in the territory of the Republic of Armenia. We are ready to face this issue,” he said.

Referring to the remarks that the Armenian army does not participate in combat operations, and they want CSTO to come and defend Armenia, Pashinyan responded: “In November and September 2022, military clashes took place in Armenia [with Azerbaijan]. They were saying that the Armenian government petitioned to the CSTO with the wrong article, it did not petition with Article 4, it specifically petitioned in such a way that even if the CSTO wanted to, it would not be able to make a decision. We petitioned to the CSTO with all possible articles that were possible, we petitioned.”