Azeri Karabakh Community Leader, EU Official Discuss Conflict Settle

AZERI KARABAKH COMMUNITY LEADER, EU OFFICIAL DISCUSS CONFLICT SETTLEMENT

Trend news agency
21 Jul 07

Baku, 21 July: The special representative of the European Union
in the South Caucasus, Peter Semneby, has highly rated the recent
bilateral visit of Azerbaijani and Armenian intellectuals and expressed
his readiness to help continue this process. Semneby said this at a
meeting with the leader of Nagornyy Karabakh’s Azerbaijani community,
Nizami Bahmanov, on Saturday [21 July].

According to the European diplomat, he is also ready to initiate a
meeting between the Azerbaijani and Armenian communities of Nagornyy
Karabakh. In his opinion, such visits create a favourable atmosphere
to solve the conflict.

Semneby also said that he plans to visit the occupied territories of
Azerbaijan in the near future. During this visit, he intends to tour
these territories on his own and evaluate what he sees.

The EU special representative expressed his support for the OSCE
Minsk Group which is engaged in settling the Nagornyy Karabakh
conflict. Semneby said that the EU is considering the possibility of
more active involvement in the settlement of the Nagornyy Karabakh
conflict. "This cannot be seen as an alternative to the activities
of the OSCE Minsk Group since this might retard the process,"
Semneby said.

For his part, Bahmanov also positively assessed the visit of
Azerbaijani intellectual to Nagornyy Karabakh, but pointed out that
Azerbaijanis cannot hold meetings in places where there is the flag
and coat of arms of the separatist regime. In his opinion, such a
meeting can he held in any other place, for example, in some burnt
house or cultural centre.

Bahmanov noted the position of the Azerbaijani side again, according
to which the status of Nagornyy Karabakh can be discussed only after
the return of the 70,000-strong Azerbaijani community to its land.

Bahmanov expressed his protest against the recent visit to the occupied
territories of Azerbaijan by Peter Semneby’s assistants without Baku’s
permission, saying that these actions might have a negative impact on
the implementation of the EU’s neighbourhood programme. In response,
Semneby said that he was supposed to take part in this journey,
which had been agreed with the Azerbaijani government, but then he
cancelled his visit and his assistants went to Karabakh in his stead.

A film made by the Heydar Aliyev Foundation on the Armenian occupation
of Nagornyy Karabakh was demonstrated at the end of the meeting.

Saakyan Takes Vote In Karabakh

SAAKYAN TAKES VOTE IN KARABAKH

The Moscow Times, Russia
Reuters
July 23 2007

STEPANAKERT, Azerbaijan — Azerbaijan’s breakaway Nagorno-Karabakh
elected a local security chief as its new leader Friday, but the change
was unlikely to bring new policies or unlock a 20-year conflict over
the region.

Bako Saakyan, who served in the administration of outgoing separatist
President Arkady Gukasyan and was endorsed by his boss to replace him,
won with 85 percent in Thursday’s vote, preliminary results showed.

Azerbaijan — which lost a war for control of the mountainous territory
in the 1990s — called the vote illegal, while the European Union
said Thursday that it did not recognize the election as legitimate.

Nagorno-Karabakh, populated mainly by ethnic Armenians, is legally
part of mainly Muslim Azerbaijan.

It has declared itself an independent state but has not been recognized
by any country. Efforts to negotiate a settlement with Azerbaijan
have made no substantial progress.

"The EU underlines that it does not recognize the independence of
Nagorno-Karabakh. Neither does it recognize the legitimacy of these
‘presidential elections,’" Portugal, which holds the rotating EU
presidency, said in a statement.

K Street Cashes In On The 1915 Armenian Genocide.

K STREET CASHES IN ON THE 1915 ARMENIAN GENOCIDE.
by Michael Crowley

The New Republic, USA
July 23, 2007

Final Resolution

As a rising St. Louis politician in the mid-1970s, Richard Gephardt
was among a dynamic group of aldermen dubbed "The Young Turks." So
perhaps it’s not surprising that, 30 years later, the former Democratic
minority leader of the House of Representatives has aged into an Old
Turk. This spring, Gephardt has been busy promoting his new favorite
cause–not universal health care or Iraq, but the Republic of Turkey,
which now pays his lobbying firm, DLA Piper, $100,000 per month for his
services. Thus far, Gephardt’s achievements have included arranging
high-level meetings for Turkish dignitaries, among them one between
members of the Turkish parliament and House Democratic leaders James
Clyburn and Rahm Emanuel; helping Turkey’s U.S. ambassador win an
audience with a skeptical Nancy Pelosi; and, finally, circulating a
slim paperback volume, titled "An Appeal to Reason," that denies the
existence of the Armenian genocide of 1915.

Few people would place the Armenian genocide on their top ten–or even
top 1,000–list of the day’s pressing issues. In fact, many Americans
would likely be at a loss to explain who or what the Armenians are,
much less what happened to them 90 years ago. Not so in Washington. For
the past several years, U.S. representatives, lobbyists, and foreign
emissaries have been locked in a vicious struggle over a resolution
in Congress that would officially deem as genocide the massacre of
up to 1.5 million ethnic Armenians in the Ottoman Empire. The Turkish
government has fought this effort with the zeal of Ataturk–enlisting
a multimillion-dollar brigade of former congressmen and slick flacks,
as well as a coterie of American Jews surprisingly willing to downplay
talk of genocide. But the Armenian-American community has impressive
political clout–enough that a majority of House members have now
co-sponsored the resolution. And that means a ferocious final showdown
is looming, one so charged that this arcane historical dispute could
even interfere with the war in Iraq.

Even more striking than the historic Turkish-Armenian hatred festering
in the halls of Congress, however, is the way Washington’s political
elites are cashing in on it. Take Gephardt. While the Turks and
Armenians have a long historical memory, Gephardt has an exceedingly
short one. A few years ago, he was a working-class populist who cast
himself as a tribune of the underdog–including the Armenians. Back
in 1998, Gephardt attended a memorial event hosted by the Armenian
National Committee of America at which, according to a spokeswoman
for the group, "he spoke about the importance of recognizing the
genocide." Two years later, Gephardt was one of three House Democrats
who co-signed a letter to then-House Speaker Dennis Hastert urging
Hastert to schedule an immediate vote on a genocide resolution. "We
implore you," the letter read, arguing that Armenian-Americans
"have waited long enough for Congress to recognize the horrible
genocide." Today, few people are doing more than Gephardt to ensure
that the genocide bill goes nowhere.

It’s one thing to flip-flop on, say, tax cuts or asbestos reform.

But, when it comes to genocide, you would hope for high principle to
carry the day. In Washington, however, the Armenian genocide industry
is in full bloom. And Dick Gephardt’s shilling isn’t even the half
of it.

Representative Adam Schiff may be the first person elected to Congress
through the politics of the Armenian genocide. Back in 2000, Schiff
was a California state senator challenging Republican incumbent Jim
Rogan. The Burbank-area district is home to 75,000 Armenian-Americans,
or about 10 percent of the population, many of them desperate to see
Washington brand the Turks as genocide artists.

In September of that year, Hastert paid a campaign visit to the
district and delighted Armenians by vowing to call a vote on a genocide
resolution (which Rogan had co-sponsored). It’s possible Hastert was
stirred by questions of historical guilt. But, as one GOP campaign
official admitted, the vote would also happen to offer Rogan "a very
tangible debating point" against Schiff.

Mass murder may be strange fodder for a debating point. But in
America’s tight-knit Armenian community, it can seem that people want
to debate little else. Most Armenian-Americans are descended from
survivors of the slaughter and grew up listening to stories about how
the Turks, suspecting the Orthodox Christian Armenians of collaborating
with their fellow Orthodox Christian Russians during World War I, led
their grandparents on death marches, massacred entire villages, and,
in one signature tactic, nailed horseshoes to their victims’ feet. (The
"horseshoe master of Bashkale," the Ottoman provincial governor Jevdet
Bey was called.) Turkey’s refusal to acknowledge the guilt of their
Ottoman forbears infuriates Armenians, leaving them feeling cheated
of the sacred status awarded to Jewish Holocaust survivors.

It wasn’t until the mid-1970s that the Armenian community, which today
numbers up to 1.4 million, grew active enough to press its case in
Washington. At first, few people here took them seriously. After a
fruitless House debate about the genocide in 1985, for instance, one
Republican scoffed at "the most mischief-making piece of legislation
in all my experience in Congress." But the cause gained traction in
the 1990s, thanks largely to then-Senate Republican leader Bob Dole,
who never forgot the Armenian doctor who treated him after he was
severely wounded in World War II.

With Rogan’s seat on the line in 2000, a first-ever vote on a
genocide resolution seemed a sure thing–that is, until the Turkish
government mobilized its lobbying team, led by former Republican
House Speaker Bob Livingston, its $700,000 man in the field. In a
state of affairs one furious Republican described to Roll Call as
"ridiculous," Livingston found himself battling a measure meant to
protect the very House majority he had briefly presided over just
two years earlier. A Turkish threat to cancel military contracts,
including a $4.5 billion helicopter deal with a Fort Worth-based
company, ensured the opposition of powerful Texas Republicans like
Tom DeLay. Hastert was cornered. But he found cover in Bill Clinton,
who warned that Turkey might shut down its American-run Incirlik air
base, from which the United States patrolled the no-fly zone over
northern Iraq. Citing Clinton’s objections, Hastert pulled the bill.

Rogan tried to accuse Clinton of playing politics, and someone sent
out a last-minute mailer featuring Schiff next to a Turkish flag. But
it wasn’t enough, and Schiff beat Rogan by nine percentage points.

The episode–by showcasing crass partisan politics, expensive
access-peddling, sleazy political attacks, corporate lucre, and
the specter of geostrategic calamity–opened a new era in Armenian
genocide politics. "That was sort of the first introduction to how
aggressive the Turks are," says one former Republican congressman.

For the next six years, Turkish lobbying mostly kept the Armenian
genocide resolution off the Washington agenda. Then came a calamity for
the Turks: the 2006 midterm elections. Suddenly, Democrats, who had
always been more supportive than Republicans of the Armenian cause,
were in power. Even worse, California Democrats with Armenian-American
constituencies ascended to senior leadership positions. Among
them was the new House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who, with thousands of
Armenian-Americans in her Bay Area district, has spoken passionately on
the subject. "This Armenian genocide is a challenge to the conscience
of our country and the conscience of the world. We will not rest
until we have recognition of it," she declared in 2001. Likewise,
one of Pelosi’s closest confidantes, California Democrat Anna Eshoo,
is the granddaughter of an Armenian who resents the notion that her
grandma’s memories of genocide amount to "a fairy tale." And even
Democratic Party chairman Howard Dean, not previously known for
his interest in Transcaucasian affairs, paid a recent visit to the
Armenian capital of Yerevan and toured a national genocide memorial,
where he declared that "[t]he facts are that a genocide occurred."

It’s little wonder, then, that proponents of the genocide resolution
like Adam Schiff have never been so optimistic. "This is the best
opportunity we’ve had for a decade," the tanned and mild-mannered
Harvard Law graduate told me in his Capitol Hill office recently.

Which is also why, warns Schiff, "we’re seeing the strongest pushback
from the Turkish lobby that I’ve ever seen."

A few weeks ago, I called the Turkish Embassy to request an
interview. A couple of days later, I heard back–not from the embassy,
but from an American p.r. consultant employed by the Turks.

He suggested we meet the next day at a Starbucks. I found him in a
corner behind a glowing white iBook. He had long slicked-back hair, a,
seersucker suit, and a blinking Bluetooth earpiece, and looked ready
for a power lunch with the sharky agent Ari Gold from "Entourage." He
informed me our conversation would be off the record, before launching
his well-honed argument against the genocide resolution.

My Starbucks contact wasn’t the only Turkish emissary who prefers to
operate in the shadows. Another D.C.-based operative, who spoke to me
from a hotel room in Ankara, where he was chaperoning a very prominent
Democrat, also insisted that the substance of our conversation be
off the record. He asked that I not even reveal his identity. "I
don’t have a dog in this hunt," he insisted, despite his place on
the Turkish payroll. "My only hunt is for truth."

The truth, as the Turks see it, is simple: There was no genocide. The
Armenian death toll is exaggerated, and most died from exposure
or rogue marauders during mass relocations. (One Turkish activist
even cheerily assured me that, after the relocations, "everyone was
invited back.") The Turks say that the G-word implies an intent that
can’t be proved. This stance is more than just a matter of fierce
national pride. The Turks are terrified at the prospect of huge
financial and territorial reparations for the Armenians.("[C]ash,"
drools one Armenian nationalist blogger, "lots of cash.")

So, instead of doling out lots of cash to the Armenians, Turkey
showers Washington with political operators more than happy to argue
their case–for the right price. Few niches of Washington lobbying
are as lucrative as the foreign racket, which explains why more
than 1,800 lobbyists are currently registered to represent more
than 660 overseas clients. Thus the Turks have found no shortage
of willing pitchmen. Turkey currently maintains expensive contracts
with at least four different Washington lobbying and p.r. firms. The
result is that unsuspecting congressmen and staffers frequently find
themselves badgered by well-heeled Turkish emissaries. Not long ago,
one lobbyist invited a senior congressional aide to dinner at his
suburban mansion. When he arrived, the aide was surprised to find
himself surrounded by Turks keenly interested in his views on the
genocide bill. (This time, the hard sell backfired; the staffer
indignantly retorted that he believed a genocide had taken place,
causing the lobbyist’s face to go "ashen.")

The Turks insist that they need these expensive fixers and aggressive
tactics to counter America’s relentless Armenian grassroots lobby. In
addition to Gephardt (who did not respond to a request for comment),
Turkey contracts the services of David Mercer, a connected Democratic
fund-raiser and protege of the late Democratic Party chairman Ron
Brown. The Turks also pay $50,000 monthly to the Glover Park Group,
a powerhouse Democratic firm stocked with connected former Clinton
White House aides Joe Lockhart and Joel Johnson, for p.r. services.

That work included advice on shaping an April full-page New York
Times advertisement, which called for a new historical commission
(which the Armenians call a sham) and urged Washington to "support
efforts to examine history, not legislate it."

But the kingpin of Turkish advocacy is Bob Livingston, whose
lobbying firm, the Livingston Group, has hauled in roughly $13
million in Turkish lucre since 2000. Livingston, best remembered
for his comically brief stint as House Speaker-elect at the height
of the Clinton impeachment debacle (before he tearfully admitted
his own extramarital affair and resigned from Congress in disgrace),
has lobbied on a range of issues dear to Turkey’s heart. But it’s his
tireless fight against the genocide resolution that makes him a hero
in Ankara. Back in 2000, Livingston’s team personally contacted 141
different members of Congress in the five-week run-up to the aborted
vote. And on October 19, the day the vote was canceled, Livingston
met personally with Hastert to ensure its demise. Mission accomplished.

Likewise, when Adam Schiff tried to pass a symbolic House amendment
related to the genocide in 2004, Livingston’s firm again sprang into
action. As detailed in a recent Public Citizen study of foreign-agent
public lobbying records, the firm immediately barraged GOP leaders
like DeLay and Hastert with e-mails and faxes. Its team also badgered
everyone from top House aides to officials at the National Security
Council, the State Department, the Pentagon, and Vice President
Dick Cheney’s office. Livingston’s office even called the House
parliamentarian, apparently hoping to throw a procedural wrench into
Schiff’s gears. Against this onslaught, Schiff’s puny amendment didn’t
stand a chance. For its work in 2004, Turkey paid the Livingston
Group $1.8 million.

But, while Bob Livingston may be the winner of the Turkish lobbying
lottery, the prize for biggest hypocrite is still up for grabs. Dick
Gephardt isn’t the only lobbyist who has flip-flopped on the genocide
(though he gets points for having his firm distribute "An Appeal
to Reason," the genocide-denying pamphlet that offers a strangely
postmodern assessment of the imprecise nature of history–a convenient
stance if your forbears committed mass murder–including a quotation
attributed to philosopher Karl Popper, contending that "our knowledge
is always incomplete"). There’s also former Democratic representative
Steve Solarz of New York. Solarz was one of the first backers of a
genocide resolution way back in 1975. By 2000, he was working with
Livingston to defeat it, raking in $400,000 for his efforts.

It’s not just the lobbyists whose stance on the genocide seems
suspiciously malleable, however. Seven House members who have
co-sponsored the resolution this year have already changed their
positions. One is Louisiana Republican Bobby Jindal, who on January
31 added his name to the co-sponsor list–but then withdrew his
support the same day. Lobbying records show that, also on January 31,
Livingston called Jindal and spoke to him about the resolution.

(Jindal’s office didn’t respond to requests for comment.) Others have
seemingly positioned themselves less on the basis of historical or
moral considerations than on good old pork politics. Gunay Evinch,
a representative of the Assembly of Turkish American Associations,
recalls how one House resolution supporter privately explained
his position: "I don’t believe it was technically genocide," the
congressman said. "But I need highway funds."

Earning a special commendation for dubious behavior is Washington’s
Jewish-American lobby. In one of this tale’s strangest twists, the
Turks have convinced prominent Jewish groups, not typically indifferent
to charges of genocide, to mute their opinions. In February, Turkey’s
foreign minister convened a meeting at a Washington hotel with more
than a dozen leaders of major Jewish groups. Most prominent groups now
take no official position on the resolution, including B’nai B’rith,
the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (aipac), and the American
Jewish Committee. The issue "belongs to historians and not a resolution
in Congress," explains Anti-Defamation League director Abe Foxman, who
outright opposes the resolution. "It will resolve nothing." But it’s
also clear that Turkey’s status as Israel’s lone Muslim ally counts
for a lot, too. "I think a lot of Israelis agree," Foxman told me. (One
person involved in the fight offers a more cynical explanation: "Jewish
groups don’t want to give up their ownership of the term ‘genocide.’")

The Turks have also conspicuously hired some lobbyists with strong
Jewish ties. Their payroll includes a Washington firm called Southfive
Strategies, which bills itself as "a Washington D.C.

consulting boutique with access to the White House, congressional
leadership, and influential media organizations." Southfive is run
by Jason Epstein, a former Capitol Hill lobbyist for B’nai B’rith,
and Lenny Ben-David, an Israeli-born former deputy chief of mission
at Israel’s Washington embassy and a longtime aipac staffer whose
previous firm, IsraelConsult, also worked for Turkey.

Some Jewish leaders, to be sure, find such realpolitik less than
tasteful. "It is obscene for us, of all people, to quibble about
definitions," one prominent California rabbi recently told the
Jewish Journal. But, when I asked one Jewish-American aligned with
the Turks whether he truly believes that genocide didn’t take place,
he stammered that "the verdict" is not in, before adding, "If you’re
asking do I sleep at night, I do."

Strange as it may be to find a World War I massacre on the 2007
Washington agenda, even more bizarre is the possibility that it may
precipitate an international crisis. At one March House subcommittee
hearing, Adam Schiff got a rare opportunity to grill Secretary
of State Condoleezza Rice. Angry over the Bush administration’s
opposition to the Armenian genocide resolution, Schiff pressed Rice:
"Is there any doubt in your mind that the murder of a million and a
half Armenians between 1915 and 1923 constituted genocide?" Schiff
even pointedly appealed to Rice’s background in "academia." But the
ever-disciplined Rice wouldn’t bite. "Congressman, I come out of
academia. But I’m secretary of state now. And I think that the best
way to have this proceed is for … the Turks and the Armenians to
come to their own terms about this."

What Rice didn’t say is that the Turks, should their lobbying firepower
fail to stop the genocide bill from moving forward, have an even
mightier weapon to brandish: the war in Iraq. As they did in 2000,
the Turks are hinting they will shut down Incirlik, a far more dire
threat now that Incirlik supplies U.S. forces occupying Iraq.

Administration officials also fear Turkey might close the Habur Gate,
a border point through which U.S. supplies flow into northern Iraq.

In an April letter to congressional leaders, Rice and Defense Secretary
Robert Gates bluntly warned that a House resolution "could harm
American troops in the field [and] constrain our ability to supply
our troops in Iraq and Afghanistan."

That prospect may even be dragging U.S. troops themselves into the
Turkish counteroffensive. Or so says Frank Pallone, a New Jersey
Democrat and lead co-sponsor of the genocide resolution. "[The
Turks] have had American soldiers call members of Congress and say,
‘Don’t vote for this, because I am going to be threatened in Iraq,’"
Pallone says. (A Turkish embassy spokesman denied knowledge of this.)

The Turks also warn that branding them as Hitleresque is sure to
enrage Turkish nationalists and heighten tensions on the closed
Turkish-Armenian border. If the resolution is passed, "it’s going
to be a heavy, heavy blow," says Murat Lutem, a Turkish embassy
official. "The upheaval will be so significant that the government
won’t be able to say, ‘Let it be.’" That’s one reason some Turkish
newspapers, with their sudden interest in Capitol Hill politics,
have recently read like Ottoman versions of Roll Call. The Turks
are especially fixated on the Armenian ally Nancy Pelosi, whom one
Turkish columnist disdained as "an uncompromising iron lady."

Faced with such intense Turkish opposition, however, Pelosi may prove
less iron lady than diplomat. Democratic aides say the potential
for geostrategic mayhem weighs heavily on her–never mind her 2005
declaration that "Turkey’s strategic location is not a license to
kill." And after she rebuffed earlier meeting requests from such
Turkish dignitaries as Foreign Minister Abdullah Gul, her recent
willingness to meet the Turkish ambassador may be revealing.

Still, senior Democratic aides say Pelosi could press ahead–possibly
in early fall. Meanwhile, a Senate counterpart to the House bill
already has 30 co-sponsors, including Harry Reid and Hillary Clinton.

And so Dick Gephardt has his work cut out for him. But not without
a growing toll on his reputation. Even in modern Washington, where
it’s taken for granted that everyone has their price, flip-flopping on
genocide has the ability to shock. One person dismayed by Gephardt’s
reversal is Anna Eshoo. Eshoo says she was recently in an airport
with former Connecticut Representative Sam Gejdenson, one of the
three co-signers on Gephardt’s 2000 pro-resolution letter to Hastert,
when the pair spotted Gephardt. "Look who’s here!" Eshoo mockingly
exclaimed. "Hey Dick, the Kurds are looking for you!" Gejdenson
sardonically chimed in–referring to another foe of Gephardt’s Turkish
client. Eshoo says it was just teasing among old friends.

But, she pointedly adds of the former House Democratic leader:
"Clearly this is not a principle of his. This is business."

RESF soutient un couple azeri-armenien

RESF soutient un couple azeri-armenien

MIDI LIBRE, France
21 juillet 2007 samedi

Droit d’asile A l’heure où le gouvernement met en place une politique
de gestion des flux migratoires drastique, le Reseau Education Sans
Frontière (RESF) de l’Aude se mobilise depuis lundi contre la mise en
detention d’un père de famille armenien, deboute du droit d’asile. Le
conflit opposant l’Armenie a l’Azerbaïdjan continue, aujourd’hui,
de faire des morts, malgre le cessez-le-feu signe en 1994. Après le
genocide azeri en 1993 et la politique expansionniste armenienne qui
a suivi, de nombreux foyers ont ete victimes de graves persecutions.
M. Armen et sa famille ont dû fuir a cause des tortures qu’ils
ont subies.

Etant un couple mixte (NDLR : lui est armenien, sa femme est azerie),
ils ont ete rejetes par leurs deux communautes. Ce quadragenaire et
sa femme ont alors dû s’exiler pour la Russie, il y a une quinzaine
d’annees. Mais, la encore, le racisme anti-caucasien les a forces a
partir. C’est en 2005 qu’ils arrivent en France, avec leurs trois
enfants, et qu’ils demandent le droit d’asile. " Ils sont très
respectueux de la legalite et ne demandent qu’a vivre en securite " .
Isabelle Blanc, membre d’Amnesty International, se dit indignee par
la facon dont le prefet ignore l’affaire. " Le droit d’asile est un
droit fondamental, qui n’a rien a voir avec les flux migratoires. Il
ne faut pas tout melanger ! " Selon la prefecture, la famille n’a pas
fourni de preuves suffisantes des risques encourus a son retour. "
Les exemples de personnes azeries deboutees, puis assassinees a leur
retour ne manquent pas, pourtant… " En parallèle, la France a une
fois de plus ete condamnee, en avril 2007, pour non-respect de la
Convention de Genève dans le cadre du droit d’asile. Une petition
circule sur Internet pour venir en aide a ces familles en detresse
et une audience devrait avoir lieu en debut de semaine prochaine a
la prefecture. Le collectif d’associations mobilise pour le respect
du droit d’asile. N. A.-V.

–Boundary_(ID_UQ7XKUptksrxZQOJaYatxg)–

ANKARA: Former Security Chief Wins Nagorno-Karabakh Vote

FORMER SECURITY CHIEF WINS NAGORNO-KARABAKH VOTE

Journal of Turkish Weekly, Turkey
July 20 2007

Election officials in the unrecognized republic of Nagorno-Karabakh
say the former head of the region’s security service has been elected
president.

According to preliminary results made public today by the
self-proclaimed republic’s election commission, Bako Sahakian won
the July 19 presidential ballot with 85.4 percent of the vote.

His main challenger, Deputy Foreign Minister Mais Maylian, won 12.2
percent. None of the three other candidates polled more than 1.5
percent. Voter turnout was 77.36 percent.

The Central Election Commission has reportedly pledged to examine 19
separate complaints of fraud submitted by Maylian.

Final results of the election are expected to be released later today.

Unrecognized Ballot

Armenia and Azerbaijan fought a war over the region from 1988 until a
1994 cease-fire was brokered. The conflict has been frozen ever since,
and negotiations continue on its future status.

Sahakian has said that he seeks full independence from Azerbaijan.

No country currently recognizes the independence of the self-declared,
predominantly ethnic-Armenian republic within Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan
has condemned the elections as illegal and illegitimate.

Likewise, no international organizations, including GUAM and the
Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), consider
the elections to be legitimate.

A spokesman for the U.S. Department of State’s Bureau on European
and Eurasian Affairs, Chase Beamer, reiterated on July 19 that the
United States respects Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity, According
to Azerbaijan’s Turan news agency.

He said the elections will not have an effect on the peace talks and
said the United States will continue to mediate a resolution of the
frozen conflict through the OSCE Minsk Group.

Ties To Armenia

Sahakian, 46, was born in Stepanakert. After serving in the Soviet
army he worked for nine years in a Stepanakert factory, then in 1990
he joined the unofficial Karabakh Self-Defense Army, of which he
became a deputy commander.

>From 1997-99 he served as an aide to Armenian Interior and National
Security Minister Serzh Sarkisian, who is now prime minister and
the frontrunner to succeed Robert Kocharian as Armenian president
next year.

In 1999, Sahakian was named Karabakh interior minister, and two years
later, National Security Service head.

He will replace Arkady Ghukasian, who held the presidential post for
two five-year terms.

France Invites Armenian Prime Minister

FRANCE INVITES ARMENIAN PRIME MINISTER

PanARMENIAN.Net
20.07.2007 18:10 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Today RA Prime Minister Serge Sargsyan met with
Serge Smessov, the French Ambassador to Armenia, the RA government’s
press office reported.

Expressing satisfaction with the high level of the Armenian-French
relations, the interlocutors appreciated the Year of Armenia in France
as a perfect opportunity to represent the centuries-old history and
culture of Armenia to the French people.

Serge Smessov stressed the importance of mutual visits. Touching
upon the recent visit of RA President Robert Kocharian to France,
Ambassador Smessov said France is preparing to welcome the Armenian PM.

They also exchanged views on the latest developments on the
international arena and the Nagorno Karabakh conflict resolution.

ANKARA: Voting In Presidential Election Under Way In Disputed Nagorn

VOTING IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION UNDER WAY IN DISPUTED NAGORNO-KARABAKH, TURKEY OBJECTS

The New Anatolian, Turkey
TNA with Wire Services
19 July 2007

The Armenian-controlled breakaway region of Nagorno-Karabakh is
holding a presidential election Thursday amid a rumbling dispute with
Azerbaijan over the mountainous enclave’s unrecognized independence.

Turkey has already objected to the elections.

Pollsters and analysts say former security chief Bako Saakian tops
the list of five candidates campaigning to replace the incumbent
Arkady Ghukasian, who is ineligible to run after two five-year terms
in office.

Saakian, 47, headed Nagorno-Karabakh’s security service since 2001,
resigning in June to stand in the election. He is running as an
independent and is backed by the Armenian government in Yerevan.

This is the fourth presidential election in the impoverished territory
inside Azerbaijan that has been controlled by Armenian and ethnic
Armenian forces since a shaky 1994 cease-fire ended one of the
bloodiest conflicts that followed the Soviet collapse.

The six-year war killed 30,000 people and drove more than 1 million
from their homes, including many of the region’s ethnic Azeris.

Today, it remains one of the region’s "frozen" conflicts.

Azerbaijan, which has rejected the vote as having no legal meaning,
is still at loggerheads with Armenia despite more than a decade
of coaxing from international mediators led by the United States,
Russia and France to resolve the region’s status.

No country has recognized the independence of the mostly agricultural
region of 146,000 people, which has faced a steady brain drain and
dire economic problems despite financial aid from Armenia and the
Armenian diaspora.

Saakian has said that international recognition of Kosovo
as an independent state would pave the way for acceptance of
Nagorno-Karabakh’s sovereignity.

Azeris Don’t Want To Return

AZERIS DON’T WANT TO RETURN

A1+
[06:57 pm] 18 July, 2007

"There are no Azeris in Armenia with the exception of servicemen who
don’t want to return to Azerbaijan.

Armenia cannot ignore their wish," RA National Assembly Speaker Tigran
Torosyan said on July 19.

Today Tigran Torosyan received Ives Arnold, the head of the
International Red Cross Committee’s mission to Armenia on the occasion
of Ives Arnold’s tenure completion in Armenia.

The interlocutors noted that they don’t possess data on Armenian
prisoners in Azeri jails though their relatives occasionally get news
on them and are made different proposals in return of their freedom.

According to the RA NA Speaker lists on the missing over the past
13-14 years will involve the names of already dead and kidnapped
Armenians. He highlighted the thorough study of the RA legislation
in view of clarifying issues related to the missing.

Tigran Torosyan noted that a Standing Committee on Human Rights
Protection and Social Issues was set up in the National Assembly
which will promote the refined data.

Should Management Guidance Be Eliminated?

SHOULD MANAGEMENT GUIDANCE BE ELIMINATED?
By Selena Maranjian

Motley Fool
/17/should-management-guidance-be-eliminated.aspx
July 17 2007

I’m an Armenian-American. That means that I scan the scrolling list of
credits after a movie for Armenian names. It means my ears perked up
to learn that Principal Skinner on The Simpsons is Armenian. And it
also means that when I see a financial article written by a fellow
Armenian, I’m rather likely to read it. That’s why I found myself
reading a Vahan Janjigian piece from Forbes.com the other day, on
"Why Eliminating Guidance Is a Big Mistake."

Let me back up, though, and define terms. In case you weren’t aware,
Wall Street analysts and company management don’t keep to themselves.

Analysts should be studying their assigned companies and coming up
with their estimates of the companies’ future numbers and intrinsic
values. But they often do this with the help of management, because
most company bigwigs like to tell the world what to expect in the
coming quarters or years.

For example, the management of Bed Bath & Beyond (Nasdaq: BBBY) said
in its latest quarterly conference call with analysts that the company
is aiming to have more than 1,300 domestic Bed Bath & Beyond stores in
the near future, which reflects a goal of 60% growth in the U.S. Then
there’s Parametric Technology (Nasdaq: PMTC), which reported recently
that its expected sales level in the coming quarter and year will
be below previous estimates, because of falling license revenues in
the U.S. and Japan. And BlackBerry maker Research in Motion (Nasdaq:
RIMM) recently upped its estimates for its coming second quarter to
between $1.37 and $1.49 per share, on sales of between $1.30 billion
and $1.37 billion.

All that kind of information gets factored into many analysts’
estimates, which in turn inform investors’ opinions and decisions
regarding many companies.

Pros and cons So is this a good thing? Well, yes and no, if you ask
me. On the one hand, who knows a company most intimately, and who’s
in the best position to offer educated opinions on how it will fare
in the future? Its management. It seems silly to ask them to keep
their mouths shut.

On the other hand, what motivates management? Many times, keeping the
share price rising is a paramount concern. And a share price can be
influenced via guidance from management. Imagine, for example, that
the CEO of Home Surgery Kits (ticker: OUCHH) expects his company to
take in $1 billion in 2007. If he announces that he expects revenues
of $900 million and then the company reports $950 million, the company
will look good for having beaten expectations.

Janjigian offered other thoughts. For starters, he pointed out that
the Securities & Exchange Commission requires companies to report
their financial results on a quarterly basis. Thus, while some
criticize managements for offering quarterly outlooks that create an
unhealthy focus on short-term results, it’s the SEC requirement that
gets investors to focus on the short term.

He then suggested that without company guidance, estimates from
analysts would become less accurate, creating larger surprises when
earnings are released. He concludes by asking, "In an era in which
regulators are trying to promote more disclosure, how much sense does
it really make to tell corporations to stop providing guidance?"

He also pointed out, rightly, that while some object to the volatility
resulting from companies missing or beating expectations, that
volatility can present very useful and profitable entry points for
bargain-hunters.

What to do So what should we make of all this? Well, let’s live
with the reality of management guidance, but with an informed
perspective. Don’t take every number at face value. Know that it’s
routine for companies to be off the mark — after all, it’s impossible
to really know exactly what the future holds.

In the meantime, you can get more perspective from these articles:

The Earnings Estimates Game 3 Stocks That Missed the Mark P&G Loses
the Expectations Game And if you’d rather leave all this analysis to
trained professionals, consider investing in some top-notch mutual
funds, ones with proven managers and appealing track records. You can
find them on your own, by reading broadly or screening for them. I
also invite you to sign up for a free trial of our Motley Fool Champion
Funds newsletter, which offers terrific fund recommendations monthly in
an easy-to-digest format. (I’ve found a bunch of winners there.) Its
picks are beating the market by some 15 percentage points, and last
time I checked, none of them were underwater. In fact, over just a
few years, fully 25 of them are up more than 40%. A free trial will
give you full access to all past issues, so you can read about each
recommendation in detail.

Longtime Fool contributor Selena Maranjian does not own shares of any
companies mentioned in this article. Bed Bath & Beyond is a Motley
Fool Inside Value recommendation and a Stock Advisor pick. Try any
one of our investing services free for 30 days. The Motley Fool is
Fools writing for Fools.

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2007/07

Russia’s Secession From CFE Sovereign Right

RUSSIA’S SECESSION FROM CFE SOVEREIGN RIGHT

ARKA News Agency, Armenia
July 17 2007

YEREVAN, July 17. /ARKA/. Russia’s secession from the Agreement
on Conventional forces in Europe (CFE) is the country’s sovereign
right, Head of the Department for International Military Relations
and Defense Programs, RA Ministry of Defense, Major-General Mikael
Melkonyan told ARKA.

"Each country is independent in determining the scope and form of its
involvement in various international agreements and organizations. It
is Russia’s sovereign right to accede to or secede from international
agreements," Melkonyan said. He pointed out that Armenia is much more
concerned over the regular violations of the Agreement by the other
signatories located in the South Caucasus.

Melkonyan pointed out that Azerbaijan has exceeded the limits of
weapons and military equipment almost two times.

"In some categories, they exceed the limits equally set for both
Armenia and Azerbaijan. In particularly, the number of tanks must
not exceed 220, but even now they state that they have 261 tanks,
though, according to the information at the disposal of Armenia’s
Ministry of Defense, they have over 276 tanks," Melkonyan.

According to him, other types of weapons show a similar situation.

Specifically, the number of infantry fighting vehicles (IFV) is
limited to 220, but Azerbaijan actually has over 1,000 IFVs.

Melkonyan pointed out that Azerbaijan is known to have long been
building up its armaments, but Armenia is concerned over Baku’s
another intention.

"A month ago representatives of official Baku openly stated their
intention to secede from the CFE, but official Azerbaijan has not so
far done it," Melkonyan said.

According to him, Azerbaijan’s intention must make Armenia prepare
a corresponding response, but not by building up armaments, but by
other methods, particularly by enhancing the vigilance of Armenia’s
Armed Forces.

The CFE was signed in Paris, in 1990, a year before the USSR’s
collapse. A revised version, with the new terms considered, was signed
at the OSCE Summit in Istanbul. The adapted version is open to any
OSCE member-country.

On July 14, 2007, RF President Vladimir Putin signed a decree
suspending Russia’s participation in the CFE and related international
agreements in connection with exceptional circumstances involving
the country’s security.