Author: Emil Lazarian

The situation surrounding the war against Iran is getting out of control. The conflict significantly escalated especially after the United States and Israel attacked Iran’s South Pars gas field and Bushehr nuclear power plant. About this Norwegian political scientist, professor of the University of Southeast Norway Glenn Dizeny with in the interview said former British diplomat Alastair Crookspeaking about the ongoing military operations in the Middle East region.

The British expert noted that in response, Iran attacked the energy infrastructures of the Gulf countries, causing serious damage to Qatar’s gas liquefaction infrastructure.

As the former diplomat notes, after that, Trump’s son-in-law, Jewish businessman Jared Kushner, called his father-in-law and conveyed that the Qataris were “furious” and “mad” about what happened. Alastair Crook refers to Mike Wolf, who spoke to people representing Trump’s circle.

“Of course, Jared has huge investments there, most of his investment funds come from Qatar, and he said this is very bad, they’re really angry, very upset about what happened, and Trump responded: “Listen, I’ll take care of it,” and then posted on his Truth Social page, stating that he didn’t even know about the attack, it was solely Israel’s handiwork, thus placing all the blame on Israel. However, the Israelis have very clearly stated that: “Listen, we act together with the White House in such matters.” Of course, they agreed.” Aleister Crook said.

According to Crook, Trump thought that through these coordinated strikes, they would put pressure on Iran and force them to stop blocking the Strait of Hormuz.

“He thought that after this sudden attack on Iran’s gas field, South Persia, the Iranians would say, ‘Oh my God, we better stop and open the Strait of Hormuz.’ I mean, it’s complete stupidity. That’s why I say that the situation is taking a dangerous course,” Crook added.

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I am addressing you on behalf of Samvel Karapetyan, who is the leader of the “Strong Armenia” party and is considered a political prisoner in Armenia, deprived of the opportunity to fully participate in the upcoming elections. lawyer and international human rights defender Robert Amsterdam announced on his Facebook page, also publishing a video.

“Our clear demand from the European Union is the supremacy of law and equality for all. Although we welcome the operation of the EU Rapid Response Team in Armenia, our demand is clear.

A key focus must be on the rule of law.

All political parties should be supported equally and transparently.

The activities of the group should be open to all interested parties and public groups in Armenia,” he wrote next to the video.

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Nikol Pashinyan’s pre-election campaign, contrary to the logic of his songs and heartthrobs, is not going smoothly. Perhaps, Pashinyan’s nervous outbursts during the question-and-answer session with the citizens testify to this.

Do the scenes of citizens’ uprising suggest to Pashinyan that his positions have weakened, and that is why he pays tribute to aggressive rhetoric after the heart-song mise-en-scenes: 168․amwas interested political scientist Hrant Mikayelyanfrom

In response, the political scientist mentioned: “Definitely, he sees it, definitely understands that he has serious problems, and this became clear not only to him, but also to everyone. the same shots of him getting off the subway, and no one wants to take the brooch-map he offers, or interact with him, etc.

It is impossible not to see this. And where there is no prepared mass, there is an incident everywhere. In other words, he isolates himself. By the way, this situation is not completely new, and it is an incomprehensible situation for them. they have to decide how to take the next steps, because the previous tactic that he goes among the people, the people start to support him and advance his agenda, has failed.”

In other words, under the name of democracy, foreign aid might not play a role in the upcoming elections, Hrant Mikayelyan responded to our clarifying question, in any case, in that case, the various technologies introduced will work in favor of the current government.

“For example, if they specifically target Kocharian’s bloc, the Armenia bloc, the Armenia bloc may not pass, and in that case it will be almost impossible to form an opposition coalition, because it is clear that the government has the leverage to at least gather more votes than the others, but not have a majority.”

The most likely scenario is the Gyumri scenario, and in the case of the Gyumri scenario, a lot depends on whether smaller opposition entities, in this case, for example, the “Wings of Unity” and the “Armenia” alliance, will pass or not.

It is clear that “Strong Armenia” takes the 2nd place, but this force, taking into account Pashinyan’s administrative resources and other circumstances, will not be able to form a majority on its own, and, accordingly, must work with other opposition forces.

So, these technologies can work well, because this election in Armenia is not only a referendum on Pashinyan’s support. It may turn out that he will not get support, but will be elected. I will cite a not-so-distant example: the example of the Yerevan elections, where his party is completely defeated, gathering only 32.6 percent in the case of very low participation, or 9.4% of the total number of voters, but one, thanks to various manipulations, their candidate becomes the mayor,” he reminded.

According to the political scientist, there are many risks in this regard. political manipulations will be very important in this situation.

“There will be specialists from abroad, or the threats of Aliyev, Erdogan and Pashinyan, or the EU summit… I will not rule out the release of prisoners in order to strengthen Pashinyan’s position in the pre-election phase, which was done in 2021.

It is an uncertain situation, because, yes, he has lost the support of the people, but he has not lost the administrative resource,” the specialist concluded.

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